Question: how accurate is puxatony phil predictions?
Answer: "If Punxsutawney Phil is right 39 percent of the time, that's much, much worse than a climatological prediction, Roche said. Even if you flip a coin, you'll still be right close to half of the time. That's a 50 percent accuracy rate. So you'll be better off flipping a coin than going by the groundhog's predictions."