Spreadsheet: 0f50fbc8-e26f-4ed2-9440-2883b1ad67b0
Sheet: Sheet1

Supplementary Tables | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9 | Unnamed: 10 | Unnamed: 11 | Unnamed: 12 | Unnamed: 13 | Unnamed: 14 | Unnamed: 15 | Unnamed: 16 | Unnamed: 17
Heat-related Deaths |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Increased Mortality Days
Sorted by Cumulative Deaths Due to Global Warming |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Sorted by Additional Days Due to Global Warming
Increases in Summertime Heat-Related Deaths due to [NAME] |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Increases in Summertime Increased Mortality Days  due to [NAME]
City |  | Average Heat-related Deaths per Summer |  |  |  |  |  | Cumulative |  |  | City | Threshold Temperature  for Increased Mortality Days | Average Number of Increased Mortality Days  per Summer
 | Model Estimate: unacclim | Current Deaths | Mid-century Deaths | Acclimatized algorithm | Factor by which Mortalities Increase | % by which Mortalities Increase | Additional Deaths Due to Global Warming | Deaths Due to Global Warming (Current to  Mid-century) |  |  |  |  | Current Days | Mid-century Days | Heat-related mortality | Heat deaths per day | Additional Days Due to Global Warming
Philadelphia | 303 | 72 | 234 | 128.84+0.27ATmin-0.12Jul | 3.25 | 3.25 | 162 | 3888 |  |  | Charleston | 102* | 4 | 21 | 9 | 2.2 | 17
New York |  | 381 | 528 |  | 1.385826771653543 | 1.385826771653543 | 147 | 3528 |  |  | Portland, ME | 87 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 13
Chicago |  | 110 | 243 |  | 2.209090909090909 | 2.209090909090909 | 133 | 3192 |  |  | Richmond | 100* | 7 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 13
Baltimore | 195 | 48 | 141 | 55.45+2.57DIS | 2.9375 | 2.9375 | 93 | 2232 |  |  | Detroit | 102 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 10 | 11
Detroit | 198 | 50 | 134 | -75.32+1.32ATmax+0.34ATmin | 2.68 | 2.68 | 84 | 2016 |  |  | Baltimore | 101 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 8 | 10
Los Angeles |  | 35 | 110 |  | 3.142857142857143 | 3.142857142857143 | 75 | 1800 |  |  | Pittsburgh | 100 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 19.5 | 10
Richmond | 83 | 21 | 83 | No acclimatization | 3.952380952380953 | 3.952380952380953 | 62 | 1488 |  |  | Washington, DC | 100* | 5 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 10
Las Vegas | 103 | 26 | 87 | 154.98-0.50Jul | 3.346153846153846 | 3.346153846153846 | 61 | 1464 |  |  | Columbus | 103 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 1.4 | 9
Minneapolis | 112 | 32 | 67 | 16.47+0.43ATmin | 2.09375 | 2.09375 | 35 | 840 |  |  | Los Angeles | 100 | 7 | 16 |  |  | 9
Albuquerque | 36 | 3 | 23 | 0.74+0.12ATmin+0.38DIS | 7.666666666666667 | 7.666666666666667 | 20 | 480 |  |  | Philadelphia | 100 | 12 | 21 | 72 | 6 | 9
Columbus | 47 | 11 | 29 | 39.21-0.03Jul+0.01ATmin | 2.636363636363636 | 2.636363636363636 | 18 | 432 |  |  | Portland, OR | 88* | 2 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 9
[NAME] | 58 | 13 | 31 | 175.55-0.23Jul+2.76DIS | 2.384615384615385 | 2.384615384615385 | 18 | 432 |  |  | Little Rock | 104* | 8 | 16 | 11 | 1.4 | 8
Portland, OR | 30 | 16 | 30 | No acclimatization | 1.875 | 1.875 | 14 | 336 |  |  | Minneapolis | 104 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 4 | 8
Charleston | 21 | 9 | 21 | No acclimatization | 2.333333333333333 | 2.333333333333333 | 12 | 288 |  |  | Chicago | 103 | 10 | 17 |  |  | 7
Pittsburgh | 105 | 39 | 49 | -19.62+0.82ATmax | 1.256410256410256 | 1.256410256410256 | 10 | 240 |  |  | Houston | 110 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 4.8 | 7
Little Rock | 32 | 11 | 20 | 15.35+0.03ATmin+0.31DIS-0.04Jul | 1.818181818181818 | 1.818181818181818 | 9 | 216 |  |  | New York | 100 | 15 | 22 |  |  | 7
Houston | 56 | 24 | 32 | -297.8+2.98ATmax+0.29ATmin | 1.333333333333333 | 1.333333333333333 | 8 | 192 |  |  | [NAME] | 100 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3.2 | 6
Portland, ME | 4 | 2 | 4 | No acclimatization | 2 | 2 | 2 | 48 |  |  | Albuquerque | 91 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 5
Washington, DC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 75.55+1.14DIS-0.66ATmax+0.16ATmin | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 48 |  |  | Las Vegas | 112 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 26 | 2
Miami |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | Raleigh |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | 0
Raleigh |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | Miami |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | 0
Total: |  | 908 | 1873 |  |  |  | 965 | 23160 |  |  | Total: |  | 113 | 283 |  |  | 170
 |  |  |  |  | 2.062775330396476 | 2.062775330396476 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2.504424778761062
Sorted by Additional Deaths Due to Global Warming |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Sorted by Mid-century Days
Increases in Summertime Heat-Related Deaths due to [NAME] |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Increases in Summertime Increased Mortality Days  due to [NAME]
City |  | Average Heat-related Deaths per Summer |  |  |  |  |  | Cumulative |  |  | City | Threshold Temperature  for Increased Mortality Days | Average Number of Increased Mortality Days  per Summer
 | Model Estimate: unacclim | Current Deaths | Mid-century Deaths | Acclimatized algorithm | Factor by which Mortalities Increase | % by which Mortalities Increase | Additional Deaths Due to Global Warming | Deaths Due to Global Warming (Current to  Mid-century) |  |  |  |  | Current Days | Mid-century Days | Heat-related mortality | Heat deaths per day | Additional Days Due to Global Warming
Philadelphia | 303 | 72 | 234 | 128.84+0.27ATmin-0.12Jul | 3.25 | 3.25 | 162 | 3888 |  |  | New York | 100 | 15 | 22 |  |  | 7
New York |  | 381 | 528 |  | 1.385826771653543 | 1.385826771653543 | 147 | 3528 |  |  | Charleston | 102* | 4 | 21 | 9 | 2.2 | 17
Chicago |  | 110 | 243 |  | 2.209090909090909 | 2.209090909090909 | 133 | 3192 |  |  | Philadelphia | 100 | 12 | 21 | 72 | 6 | 9
Baltimore | 195 | 48 | 141 | 55.45+2.57DIS | 2.9375 | 2.9375 | 93 | 2232 |  |  | Richmond | 100* | 7 | 20 | 21 | 3 | 13
Detroit | 198 | 50 | 134 | -75.32+1.32ATmax+0.34ATmin | 2.68 | 2.68 | 84 | 2016 |  |  | Columbus | 103 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 1.4 | 9
Los Angeles |  | 35 | 110 |  | 3.142857142857143 | 3.142857142857143 | 75 | 1800 |  |  | Chicago | 103 | 10 | 17 |  |  | 7
Richmond | 83 | 21 | 83 | No acclimatization | 3.952380952380953 | 3.952380952380953 | 62 | 1488 |  |  | Detroit | 102 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 10 | 11
Las Vegas | 103 | 26 | 87 | 154.98-0.50Jul | 3.346153846153846 | 3.346153846153846 | 61 | 1464 |  |  | Baltimore | 101 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 8 | 10
Minneapolis | 112 | 32 | 67 | 16.47+0.43ATmin | 2.09375 | 2.09375 | 35 | 840 |  |  | Los Angeles | 100 | 7 | 16 |  |  | 9
Albuquerque | 36 | 3 | 23 | 0.74+0.12ATmin+0.38DIS | 7.666666666666667 | 7.666666666666667 | 20 | 480 |  |  | Little Rock | 104* | 8 | 16 | 11 | 1.4 | 8
Columbus | 47 | 11 | 29 | 39.21-0.03Jul+0.01ATmin | 2.636363636363636 | 2.636363636363636 | 18 | 432 |  |  | Minneapolis | 104 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 4 | 8
[NAME] | 58 | 13 | 31 | 175.55-0.23Jul+2.76DIS | 2.384615384615385 | 2.384615384615385 | 18 | 432 |  |  | Portland, ME | 87 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 13
Portland, OR | 30 | 16 | 30 | No acclimatization | 1.875 | 1.875 | 14 | 336 |  |  | Washington, DC | 100* | 5 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 10
Charleston | 21 | 9 | 21 | No acclimatization | 2.333333333333333 | 2.333333333333333 | 12 | 288 |  |  | Pittsburgh | 100 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 19.5 | 10
Pittsburgh | 105 | 39 | 49 | -19.62+0.82ATmax | 1.256410256410256 | 1.256410256410256 | 10 | 240 |  |  | Houston | 110 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 4.8 | 7
Little Rock | 32 | 11 | 20 | 15.35+0.03ATmin+0.31DIS-0.04Jul | 1.818181818181818 | 1.818181818181818 | 9 | 216 |  |  | Portland, OR | 88* | 2 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 9
Houston | 56 | 24 | 32 | -297.8+2.98ATmax+0.29ATmin | 1.333333333333333 | 1.333333333333333 | 8 | 192 |  |  | [NAME] | 100 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 3.2 | 6
Portland, ME | 4 | 2 | 4 | No acclimatization | 2 | 2 | 2 | 48 |  |  | Albuquerque | 91 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | 5
Washington, DC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 75.55+1.14DIS-0.66ATmax+0.16ATmin | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 48 |  |  | Las Vegas | 112 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 26 | 2
Miami |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | Raleigh |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | 0
Raleigh |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | Miami |  | 0 | 0 |  |  | 0
Total: |  | 908 | 1873 |  |  |  | 965 | 23160 |  |  | Total: |  | 113 | 283 |  |  | 170
 |  |  |  |  | 2.062775330396476 | 2.062775330396476 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2.504424778761062
Sorted by Mid-century Deaths
Increases in Summertime Heat-Related Deaths due to [NAME]
City |  | Average Heat-related Deaths per Summer |  |  |  |  |  | Cumulative
 | Model Estimate: unacclim | Current Deaths | Mid-century Deaths | Acclimatized algorithm | Factor by which Mortalities Increase | % by which Mortalities Increase | Additional Deaths Due to Global Warming | Deaths Due to Global Warming (Current to  Mid-century)
New York |  | 381 | 528 |  | 1.385826771653543 | 1.385826771653543 | 147 | 3528
Chicago |  | 110 | 243 |  | 2.209090909090909 | 2.209090909090909 | 133 | 3192
Philadelphia | 303 | 72 | 234 | 128.84+0.27ATmin-0.12Jul | 3.25 | 3.25 | 162 | 3888
Baltimore | 195 | 48 | 141 | 55.45+2.57DIS | 2.9375 | 2.9375 | 93 | 2232
Detroit | 198 | 50 | 134 | -75.32+1.32ATmax+0.34ATmin | 2.68 | 2.68 | 84 | 2016
Los Angeles |  | 35 | 110 |  | 3.142857142857143 | 3.142857142857143 | 75 | 1800
Las Vegas | 103 | 26 | 87 | 154.98-0.50Jul | 3.346153846153846 | 3.346153846153846 | 61 | 1464
Richmond | 83 | 21 | 83 | No acclimatization | 3.952380952380953 | 3.952380952380953 | 62 | 1488
Minneapolis | 112 | 32 | 67 | 16.47+0.43ATmin | 2.09375 | 2.09375 | 35 | 840
Pittsburgh | 105 | 39 | 49 | -19.62+0.82ATmax | 1.256410256410256 | 1.256410256410256 | 10 | 240
Houston | 56 | 24 | 32 | -297.8+2.98ATmax+0.29ATmin | 1.333333333333333 | 1.333333333333333 | 8 | 192
[NAME] | 58 | 13 | 31 | 175.55-0.23Jul+2.76DIS | 2.384615384615385 | 2.384615384615385 | 18 | 432
Portland, OR | 30 | 16 | 30 | No acclimatization | 1.875 | 1.875 | 14 | 336
Columbus | 47 | 11 | 29 | 39.21-0.03Jul+0.01ATmin | 2.636363636363636 | 2.636363636363636 | 18 | 432
Albuquerque | 36 | 3 | 23 | 0.74+0.12ATmin+0.38DIS | 7.666666666666667 | 7.666666666666667 | 20 | 480
Charleston | 21 | 9 | 21 | No acclimatization | 2.333333333333333 | 2.333333333333333 | 12 | 288
Little Rock | 32 | 11 | 20 | 15.35+0.03ATmin+0.31DIS-0.04Jul | 1.818181818181818 | 1.818181818181818 | 9 | 216
Washington, DC | 15 | 5 | 7 | 75.55+1.14DIS-0.66ATmax+0.16ATmin | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 48
Portland, ME | 4 | 2 | 4 | No acclimatization | 2 | 2 | 2 | 48
Miami |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0
Raleigh |  | 0 | 0 |  |  |  | 0 | 0
Total: |  | 908 | 1873 |  |  |  | 965 | 23160
 |  |  |  |  | 2.062775330396476 | 2.062775330396476
Heat-Related Deaths for Hottest and Coldest* Summers
City |  | Average Mid-century  Heat-related Deaths per Summer
 | Model Estimate: unacclim | During Hottest Summers | During Coolest Summers | Acclimatized algorithm | Factor by which Mortalities Increase | % by which Mortalities Increase
Chicago | 567 | 567 | 0 |  | 0 | 0
New York City | 1020 | 1020 | 196 |  | 0.1921568627450981 | 0.1921568627450981
Los Angeles | 184 | 184 | 27 | 128.84+0.27ATmin-0.12Jul | 0.1467391304347826 | 0.1467391304347826
Albuquerque | 42.85714285714285 | 42.85714285714285 | 9.142857142857142 | 55.45+2.57DIS | 0.2133333333333333 | 0.2133333333333333
[NAME] | 117.6 | 117.6 | 19.2 | -75.32+1.32ATmax+0.34ATmin | 0.163265306122449 | 0.163265306122449
Baltimore | 271.6875 | 271.6875 | 52.3125 |  | 0.1925465838509317 | 0.1925465838509317
Charleston | 46.5 | 46.5 | 5.5 | 154.98-0.50Jul | 0.1182795698924731 | 0.1182795698924731
Columbus | 70.3529411764706 | 70.3529411764706 | 5.647058823529411 | No acclimatization | 0.08026755852842808 | 0.08026755852842808
Washington, DC | 31.43333333333333 | 31.43333333333333 | 0 | 16.47+0.43ATmin | 0 | 0
Detroit | 373.75 | 373.75 | 14.25 | -19.62+0.82ATmax | 0.03812709030100334 | 0.03812709030100334
Houston | 79.33333333333333 | 79.33333333333333 | 4.666666666666666 | -297.8+2.98ATmax+0.29ATmin | 0.05882352941176471 | 0.05882352941176471
Las Vegas | 177.3333333333333 | 177.3333333333333 | 0 | 175.55-0.23Jul+2.76DIS | 0 | 0
Little Rock | 47.15 | 47.15 | 4 | No acclimatization | 0.08483563096500531 | 0.08483563096500531
Miami | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39.21-0.03Jul+0.01ATmin
Minneapolis | 164.6875 | 164.6875 | 12.5125 | 0.74+0.12ATmin+0.38DIS | 0.07597722960151802 | 0.07597722960151802
Portland, OR | 59.96363636363637 | 59.96363636363637 | 9.636363636363635 | No acclimatization | 0.1607034566403881 | 0.1607034566403881
Philadelphia | 630.6285714285714 | 630.6285714285714 | 21.37142857142857 | 15.35+0.03ATmin+0.31DIS-0.04Jul | 0.03388909025009062 | 0.03388909025009062
Pittsburgh | 123.8166666666667 | 123.8166666666667 | 6.18333333333333 | 75.55+1.14DIS-0.66ATmax+0.16ATmin | 0.04993942657154393 | 0.04993942657154393
Portland, ME | 9.333333333333334 | 9.333333333333334 | 0 | No acclimatization | 0 | 0
Raleigh | 0 | 0 | 0
Richmond | 230.95 | 230.95 | 7.65 |  | 0.03312405282528686 | 0.03312405282528686
Total: |  | 4248.377291825822 | 395.0727081741787
 |  |  |  |  | 0.0929937905784231 | 0.0929937905784231
This table shows projected average seasonal heat-related mortality for the hottest and coolest summers that may be experienced by mid-century. Summertime conditions were modeled for the years 2046-2065. The warmest 25% of those modeled summers are referred to as the "Hottest Summers" and the coolest 25% of those are referred to as the "Coolest Summers."