Spreadsheet: 45219b6c-cc8b-478e-8e3d-8224808c6fbc
Sheet: Sheet1

U.S. red meat and poultry forecasts | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9 | Unnamed: 10 | Unnamed: 11 | Unnamed: 12 | Unnamed: 13 | Unnamed: 14 | Unnamed: 15 | Unnamed: 16 | Unnamed: 17 | Unnamed: 18 | Unnamed: 19 | 22759 | Unnamed: 21 | Unnamed: 22 | Unnamed: 23 | Unnamed: 24 | Unnamed: 25 | Unnamed: 26 | Unnamed: 27 | Unnamed: 28
 |  | 2001 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2010 |  |  |  |  | 2011 |  |  |  |  | 2012 |  |  |  |  | 2013
 | I | III | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | Annual
Production, million lb
Beef | 6182 | 6723 | 5838 | 6253 | 6360 | 6097 | 5725 | 6189 | 6560 | 6209 | 6248 | 6546 | 6768 | 6741 | 26305 | 6410 | 6559 | 6736 | 6490 | 26195 | 6283 | 6470 | 6475 | 5950 | 25178 | 6010 | 6260 | 24560
Pork | 4805 | 4548 | 5130 | 4897 | 5047 | 5435 | 5138 | 5021 | 5000 | 5525 | 5607 | 5302 | 5401 | 6126 | 22437 | 5719 | 5370 | 5484 | 6186 | 22758 | 5858 | 5520 | 5620 | 6300 | 23298 | 5900 | 5625 | 23680
Lamb and mutton | 59 | 52 | 53 | 46 | 46 | 50 | 49 | 46 | 44 | 48 | 43 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 164 | 36 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 149 | 39 | 38 | 35 | 36 | 148 | 38 | 36 | 145
Broilers | 7533 | 7882 | 8195 | 8492 | 8839 | 8537 | 8588 | 8934 | 8939 | 8904 | 8733 | 9198 | 9496 | 9484 | 36910 | 9290 | 9509 | 9542 | 8860 | 37201 | 9090 | 9350 | 9300 | 9150 | 36890 | 9100 | 9300 | 37100
Turkeys | 1332 | 1394 | 1309 | 1366 | 1390 | 1389 | 1328 | 1397 | 1375 | 1405 | 1340 | 1383 | 1415 | 1506 | 5644 | 1402 | 1471 | 1423 | 1495 | 5791 | 1446 | 1525 | 1460 | 1550 | 5981 | 1450 | 1500 | 5935
Total red meat & poultry | 20088 | 20777 | 20687 | 21220 | 21858 | 21676 | 20991 | 21764 | 22088 | 22254 | 22087 | 22629 | 23289 | 24057 | 91998 | 23112 | 23114 | 23396 | 23225 | 92745 | 22868 | 23067 | 23055 | 23142 | 92140 | 22648 | 22876 | 92052
Table eggs, mil. doz. | 1489 | 1519 | 1556 | 1574 | 1598 | 1637 | 1588 | 1583 | 1596 | 1644 | 1610 | 1626 | 1645 | 1666 | 6547 | 1624 | 1634 | 1646 | 1686 | 6590 | 1653 | 1650 | 1660 | 1685 | 6648 | 1620 | 1635 | 6565
Per capita disappearance, retail lb 2/
Beef | 16.1 | 17 | 16 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 16.8 | 17 | 16 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 14.6 | 59.6 | 14.1 | 14.6 | 14.7 | 14 | 57.3 | 14 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 13.2 | 56.1 | 13.5 | 13.8 | 54.5
Pork | 12.6 | 12.2 | 13 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 12.8 | 47.8 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 11 | 12.2 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 11 | 11.3 | 12.5 | 46 | 11.6 | 11.2 | 46.7
Lamb and mutton | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8
Broilers | 18.8 | 19.6 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 20.1 | 20.5 | 21.4 | 20.4 | 82.4 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 20.8 | 19.1 | 82.9 | 20.1 | 20.4 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 80.4 | 20 | 20.3 | 80.5
Turkeys | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 5.1 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4 | 5.3 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 16.3
Total red meat & poultry | 52.1 | 53.7 | 54.1 | 54.8 | 56.6 | 55.9 | 53.6 | 55.2 | 55.7 | 56.4 | 50.7 | 51.2 | 53.3 | 53.7 | 208.9 | 51.2 | 51.3 | 51 | 51 | 204.6 | 49.3 | 50.1 | 50.5 | 51.4 | 201.3 | 49.3 | 49.7 | 200.6
Eggs, number | 62.8 | 62.9 | 63.7 | 63.9 | 64.1 | 65.5 | 63.4 | 63 | 63.5 | 65 | 61.5 | 61.4 | 62.2 | 62.8 | 247.9 | 61.1 | 61.3 | 62.2 | 63.1 | 247.7 | 62.1 | 61.7 | 62 | 62.8 | 248.6 | 60.4 | 60.7 | 243.5
Market prices
Choice steers, 5-area Direct, $/cwt | 79.11 | 70.19 | 82.16 | 88.15 | 83.58 | 85.09 | 89.09 | 87.96 | 81.79 | 90.27 | 89.44 | 96.33 | 95.47 | 100.28 | 95.38 | 110.07 | 112.79 | 114.05 | 121.99 | 114.73 | 125.29 | 121.91 | 121-125 | 123-131 | 123-126 | 122-132 | 124-134 | 124-135
Feeder steers, Ok City, $/cwt | 86.82 | 91.13 | 87.98 | 104.58 | 116.27 | 110.19 | 104.05 | 113.36 | 111.5 | 114.84 | 98.73 | 112.65 | 112.29 | 113.55 | 109.31 | 127.2 | 131.09 | 134.74 | 141.93 | 133.74 | 152.81 | 150.05 | 148-152 | 148-156 | 150-153 | 147-157 | 148-158 | 149-158
Cutter Cows, National L.E., $/cwt | 43.77 | 46.69 | 47.5 | 54.86 | 56.25 | 50.78 | 54.18 | 59.17 | 55.34 | 49.75 | 51.79 | 58.79 | 58.9 | 54.93 | 56.1 | 68.66 | 74.88 | 66.11 | 63.54 | 68.3 | 76.57 | 83.51 | 78-82 | 76-80 | 79-81 | 77-81 | 78-84 | 77-81
Choice slaughter lambs, San Angelo, $/cwt | 83.63 | 60.26 | 100.62 | 97.06 | 93.62 | 95.44 | 106.1 | 98.6 | 92.9 | 94.44 | 103.87 | 106.17 | 115.57 | 141.62 | 116.81 | 174.66 | 157.99 | 161.13 | 148.61 | 160.6 | 145.33 | 127.08 | 118-122 | 121-131 | 127-130 | 130-140 | 125-135 | 128-137
Barrows & gilts, N. base, l.e. $/cwt | 42.83 | 51.05 | 44.18 | 54.91 | 56.58 | 54.35 | 51.92 | 52.09 | 50.51 | 45.67 | 50.41 | 59.6 | 60.13 | 50.11 | 55.06 | 59.94 | 68.8 | 71.06 | 64.66 | 66.11 | 61.68 | 61.79 | 62-64 | 55-59 | 60-62 | 57-61 | 60-66 | 58-62
Broilers, 12 City, cents/lb | 57.8 | 61.1 | 73.2 | 79.3 | 75.7 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 72.6 | 72.1 | 66.7 | 82.2 | 85 | 84.5 | 80 | 82.9 | 77.9 | 82.6 | 78.8 | 76.8 | 79 | 87.2 | 85.9 | 81-85 | 81-87 | 84-86 | 83-89 | 84-92 | 83-90
Turkeys, Eastern, cents/lb | 61.7 | 67.1 | 62.1 | 66.6 | 73.1 | 77.1 | 65.9 | 67.7 | 76.5 | 83.6 | 75.6 | 84.4 | 97.9 | 103.7 | 90.4 | 90.2 | 99.9 | 106.4 | 111.6 | 102 | 100.7 | 106.9 | 108-112 | 111-119 | 107-110 | 97-105 | 100-108 | 101-110
Eggs, New York, cents/doz. | 75.8 | 61.4 | 114.9 | 79.7 | 66.2 | 68 | 64.5 | 55.9 | 66.6 | 75 | 126 | 82.8 | 93.1 | 123.2 | 106.3 | 105.8 | 106.6 | 117.7 | 131.2 | 115.3 | 108.7 | 99.7 | 103-107 | 113-121 | 106-109 | 108-118 | 96-104 | 102-111
[NAME] bean meal, 48% protein, $[NAME] /2
U.S. trade, million lb
Beef & veal exports | 569 | 582 | 36 | 120 | 138 | 166 | 130 | 189 | 150 | 220 | 478 | 585 | 590 | 646 | 2299 | 633 | 702 | 769 | 684 | 2788 | 558 | 695 | 690 | 645 | 2588 | 645 | 700 | 2650
Beef & veal imports | 785 | 849 | 873 | 929 | 940 | 937 | 831 | 1065 | 906 | 797 | 573 | 690 | 598 | 436 | 2297 | 461 | 593 | 548 | 454 | 2056 | 582 | 675 | 655 | 565 | 2477 | 640 | 695 | 2620
Lamb and mutton imports | 37 | 29 | 62 | 47 | 34 | 38 | 41 | 52 | 39 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 31 | 42 | 166 | 50 | 48 | 31 | 33 | 163 | 37 | 34 | 30 | 46 | 147 | 45 | 40 | 165
Pork exports | 393 | 318 | 523 | 546 | 486 | 626 | 630 | 699 | 629 | 702 | 1046 | 1081 | 951 | 1146 | 4224 | 1247 | 1204 | 1261 | 1481 | 5193 | 1444 | 1310 | 1275 | 1375 | 5404 | 1375 | 1325 | 5450
Pork imports | 226 | 262 | 275 | 265 | 291 | 268 | 245 | 245 | 257 | 277 | 199 | 204 | 237 | 219 | 859 | 201 | 195 | 194 | 213 | 803 | 207 | 195 | 200 | 210 | 812 | 205 | 195 | 810
Broiler exports | 1375 | 1333 | 1024 | 1008 | 1250 | 1486 | 1199 | 1347 | 1315 | 1286 | 1469 | 1699 | 1643 | 1954 | 6765 | 1530 | 1584 | 1998 | 1878 | 6991 | 1737 | 1750 | 1850 | 1800 | 7137 | 1725 | 1725 | 7125
Turkey exports | 126 | 123 | 83 | 93 | 134 | 132 | 126 | 147 | 147 | 149 | 114 | 136 | 158 | 174 | 582 | 160 | 171 | 173 | 199 | 703 | 181 | 190 | 190 | 185 | 746 | 180 | 180 | 730
Live swine imports (thousand head) |  |  | 2210 | 2024 | 2196 | 2075 | 1894 | 1951 | 2157 | 2189 | 1446 | 1408 | 1479 | 1416 | 5749 | 1452 | 1429 | 1407 | 1508 | 5796 | 1441 | 1410 | 1405 | 1495 | 5751 | 1450 | 1430 | 5770
1/ Forecasts are in bold.
2/ Per capita meat and egg disappearance data are calculated using the Resident Population Plus Armed Forces Overseas series from the Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Supporting Materials.
For further information, contact: [NAME], (202) 694-5265, [EMAIL]
ERRATA: On July 25, 2012, the following corrections were made to this table:
Production:
·         Beef: 2011 annual production was changed from 36,915 million pounds to 26,195 million pounds.
·         [NAME]: 2011 annual production was changed from 22,752 million pounds to 22,758 million pounds.
·         [NAME]: Third quarter 2012 production was changed from 5,260 million pounds to 5,620 million pounds.
·         Total red meat and poultry: Annual 2012 production was changed from 92,132 million pounds to 92,140 million pounds.
·         Total red meat and poultry: Annual 2013 production was changed from 92,052 million pounds to 92,742 million pounds.
Market prices:
·         [NAME] slaughter lambs, San Angelo: Fourth quarter 2011 changed from $148.93/cwt to $148.61/cwt.
·         [NAME] slaughter lambs, San Angelo: 2011 annual changed from $160.68/cwt to $160.60/cwt.