Spreadsheet: 87b5324b-ec02-41fb-803a-7ddc20c97d5b
Sheet: Sheet1

U.S. red meat and poultry forecasts | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9 | Unnamed: 10 | Unnamed: 11 | Unnamed: 12 | Unnamed: 13 | Unnamed: 14 | Unnamed: 15 | Unnamed: 16 | Unnamed: 17 | Unnamed: 18 | Unnamed: 19 | Unnamed: 20 | Unnamed: 21 | Unnamed: 22 | Unnamed: 23 | Unnamed: 24 | Unnamed: 25 | Unnamed: 26 | Unnamed: 27 | Unnamed: 28 | Unnamed: 29 | Unnamed: 30 | Unnamed: 31 | Unnamed: 32 | Unnamed: 33 | Unnamed: 34 | Unnamed: 35 | Unnamed: 36 | Unnamed: 37 | Unnamed: 38 | Unnamed: 39 | Unnamed: 40 | Unnamed: 41 | Unnamed: 42 | Unnamed: 43 | Unnamed: 44
 |  | 2001 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2011 |  |  |  |  | 2012 |  |  |  |  | 2013 |  |  |  |  | 2014 |  |  |  |  | 2015
 | I | III | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Annual
Production, million lb
Beef | 6182 | 6723 | 5838 | 6253 | 6360 | 6097 | 5725 | 6189 | 6560 | 6209 | 6410 | 6559 | 6736 | 6490 | 26195 | 6282 | 6473 | 6586 | 6572 | 25913 | 6175 | 6513 | 6609 | 6423 | 25720 | 5868 | 6315 | 6310 | 6070 | 24563 | 5795 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6070 | -0.4942393030167325 | 12860 |  |  |  |  | 24315
Pork | 4805 | 4548 | 5130 | 4897 | 5047 | 5435 | 5138 | 5021 | 5000 | 5525 | 5719 | 5370 | 5484 | 6186 | 22758 | 5858 | 5519 | 5631 | 6244 | 23253 | 5775 | 5516 | 5622 | 6274 | 23187 | 5785 | 5400 | 5400 | 6070 | 22655 | 5750 |  | -1 | 1 | 0 | -6070 | -0.5358640476715957 | 11593.5 |  |  |  |  | 23310
Lamb and mutton | 59 | 52 | 53 | 46 | 46 | 50 | 49 | 46 | 44 | 48 | 36 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 149 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 40 | 156 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 156 | 37 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 149 | 38 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | -37 | -0.4966442953020134 | 78 |  |  |  |  | 147
Broilers | 7533 | 7882 | 8195 | 8492 | 8839 | 8537 | 8588 | 8934 | 8939 | 8904 | 9290 | 9509 | 9542 | 8861 | 37202 | 9089 | 9381 | 9372 | 9198 | 37039 | 9144 | 9466 | 9683 | 9537 | 37830 | 9278 | 9650 | 9825 | 9675 | 38428 | 9475 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | -9675 | -0.5035390860830644 | 18915 |  |  |  |  | 39275
Turkeys | 1332 | 1394 | 1309 | 1366 | 1390 | 1389 | 1328 | 1397 | 1375 | 1405 | 1402 | 1471 | 1423 | 1495 | 5791 | 1446 | 1505 | 1480 | 1537 | 5967 | 1459 | 1486 | 1440 | 1420 | 5805 | 1332 | 1415 | 1450 | 1500 | 5697 | 1400 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | -1500 | -0.526592943654555 | 2902.5 |  |  |  |  | 5925
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 20088 | 20777 | 20687 | 21220 | 21858 | 21676 | 20991 | 21764 | 22088 | 22254 | 23011 | 23114 | 23395 | 23226 | 92746 | 22865 | 23084 | 23274 | 23739 | 92963 | 22743 | 23183 | 23563 | 23844 | 93333 | 22450 | 22983 | 23187 | 23508 | 92128 | 22608 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | -23508 | -0.5103334491142758 | 46666.5 |  |  |  |  | 93617
Table eggs, mil. doz. | 1489 | 1519 | 1556 | 1574 | 1598 | 1637 | 1588 | 1583 | 1596 | 1644 | 1625 | 1634 | 1647 | 1693 | 6598 | 1666 | 1661 | 1685 | 1741 | 6754 | 1686 | 1698 | 1725 | 1773 | 6882 | 1720 | 1730 | 1740 | 1790 | 6980 | 1735 |  | -1 | 1 | 0 | -1790 | -0.5128939828080229 | 3441 |  |  |  |  | 7070
Per capita disappearance, retail lb 2/
Beef | 16.1 | 17 | 16 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 16.8 | 17 | 16 | 14.1 | 14.5 | 14.7 | 14 | 57.3 | 14 | 14.7 | 14.5 | 14.2 | 57.4 | 13.7 | 14.5 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 56.4 | 13.1 | 13.8 | 13.9 | 13.2 | 54 | 12.8 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.2 | -0.4888888888888889 | 28.2 |  |  |  |  | 53.2
Pork | 12.6 | 12.2 | 13 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 11 | 12.2 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 45.9 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 12.7 | 46.8 | 11.3 | 10.9 | 11.1 | 12.4 | 45.8 | 11.1 |  | 0 | 0 | -0.09999999999999964 | -12.49999999999999 | -0.5458515283842793 | 23.4 |  |  |  |  | 46.2
Lamb and mutton | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | -0.6666666666666666 | 0.45 |  |  |  |  | 0.9
Broilers | 18.8 | 19.6 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 20.8 | 19.1 | 82.9 | 20.1 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 19.7 | 80.4 | 20 | 20.3 | 21 | 20.5 | 81.9 | 20.2 | 20.8 | 20.9 | 20.7 | 82.6 | 20.2 |  | 0 | -0.09999999999999432 | 0.1000000000000085 | -20.7 | -0.5012106537530265 | 40.95 |  |  |  |  | 83.8
Turkeys | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 16 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.8 | 16 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 4 | 4.8 | 15.7 | 3.3 |  | 0.1000000000000014 | -0.1000000000000001 | -0.1000000000000005 | -4.899999999999999 | -0.6242038216560508 | 8 |  |  |  |  | 16
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 52.1 | 53.7 | 54.1 | 54.8 | 56.6 | 55.9 | 53.6 | 55.2 | 55.7 | 56.4 | 51.2 | 51.3 | 51 | 51 | 204.6 | 49.3 | 50.3 | 50.7 | 52 | 202.3 | 49.5 | 50.2 | 51.3 | 52.4 | 203.5 | 48.7 | 49.6 | 50.6 | 51.7 | 200.5 | 48 |  | 0.09999999999999432 | 0 | 0.1000000000000156 | -51.59999999999999 | -0.5147132169576059 | 101.75 |  |  |  |  | 201.7
Eggs, number | 62.8 | 62.9 | 63.7 | 63.9 | 64.1 | 65.5 | 63.4 | 63 | 63.5 | 65 | 61.1 | 61.2 | 62.2 | 63.4 | 247.9 | 62.6 | 61.5 | 62.5 | 64.2 | 250.8 | 62.6 | 61.7 | 62.9 | 64.2 | 251.3 | 62.8 | 63.5 | 64 | 65.7 | 256 | 63.1 |  | 0 | 0 | -0.0999999999999801 | -65.69999999999999 | -0.5132812499999999 | 125.65 |  |  |  |  | 257.1
Market prices
Choice steers, 5-area Direct, $/cwt | 79.11 | 70.19 | 82.16 | 88.15 | 83.58 | 85.09 | 89.09 | 87.96 | 81.79 | 90.27 | 110.07 | 112.79 | 114.05 | 121.99 | 114.73 | 125.29 | 120.91 | 119.69 | 125.54 | 122.86 | 125.52 | 124.95 | 122.3 | 130.77 | 125.89 | 146.34 | 144-148 | 140-148 | 142-154 | 143-149 | 146-158 |  | -0.004999999999995453 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.005000000000009663 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 145-157
Feeder steers, Ok City, $/cwt | 86.82 | 91.13 | 87.98 | 104.58 | 116.27 | 110.19 | 104.05 | 113.36 | 111.5 | 114.84 | 127.2 | 131.09 | 134.74 | 141.93 | 133.74 | 152.81 | 150.05 | 139.31 | 143.4 | 146.39 | 141.36 | 133.1 | 152.08 | 161.69 | 147.06 | 167.49 | 176-180 | 167-175 | 168-180 | 170-176 | 164-176 |  | 0 | 0.002500000000026148 | -0.002499999999997726 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 163-175
Cutter Cows, National L.E., $/cwt | 43.77 | 46.69 | 47.5 | 54.86 | 56.25 | 50.78 | 54.18 | 59.17 | 55.34 | 49.75 | 68.66 | 74.88 | 66.11 | 63.54 | 68.3 | 76.57 | 83.51 | 76.94 | 73.81 | 77.71 | 77.87 | 77.46 | 78.36 | 76.55 | 77.56 | 89.12 | 96-100 | 88-96 | 84-96 | 89-95 | 88-100 |  | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | 0 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 88-100
Choice slaughter lambs, San Angelo, $/cwt | 83.63 | 60.26 | 100.62 | 97.06 | 93.62 | 95.44 | 106.1 | 98.6 | 92.9 | 94.44 | 174.66 | 157.99 | 161.13 | 148.61 | 160.6 | 145.33 | 127.08 | 89.28 | 89.85 | 112.89 | 107.53 | 91.72 | 94.26 | 150.97 | 112.12 | 166.69 | 151-155 | 151-159 | 144-156 | 153-159 | 144-156 |  | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.004999999999981242 | -1 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 147-159
Barrows & gilts, N. base, l.e. $/cwt | 42.83 | 51.05 | 44.18 | 54.91 | 56.58 | 54.35 | 51.92 | 52.09 | 50.51 | 45.67 | 59.94 | 68.8 | 71.06 | 64.66 | 66.11 | 61.68 | 61.79 | 61.43 | 58.63 | 60.88 | 59.03 | 65.46 | 70.59 | 61.11 | 64.05 | 68.69 | 84-86 | 82-88 | 70-76 | 76-80 | 68-74 |  | 0.005000000000009663 | 0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 70-76
Broilers, 12 City, cents/lb | 57.8 | 61.1 | 73.2 | 79.3 | 75.7 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 72.6 | 72.1 | 66.7 | 80.2 | 83 | 78.2 | 78 | 79.9 | 87.4 | 85.1 | 82 | 92.1 | 86.6 | 103.5 | 108.6 | 93.9 | 92.8 | 99.7 | 98.4 | 108-112 | 100-106 | 98-106 | 101-106 | 100-108 |  | -0.05000000000001137 | 0.05000000000001137 | 0 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 100-108
Turkeys, Eastern, cents/lb | 61.7 | 67.1 | 62.1 | 66.6 | 73.1 | 77.1 | 65.9 | 67.7 | 76.5 | 83.6 | 90.2 | 99.9 | 106.4 | 111.6 | 102 | 100.7 | 106.9 | 108.5 | 106.1 | 105.6 | 96 | 97.7 | 99.9 | 105.4 | 99.8 | 100.7 | 103-107 | 104-110 | 106-114 | 103-108 | 98-106 |  | 0.02500000000000568 | -0.04999999999998295 | -0.04999999999999716 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 102-111
Eggs, New York, cents/doz. | 75.8 | 61.4 | 114.9 | 79.7 | 66.2 | 68 | 64.5 | 55.9 | 66.6 | 75 | 105.8 | 106.6 | 117.7 | 131.2 | 115.3 | 108.7 | 99.7 | 131.9 | 129.4 | 117.4 | 126.9 | 109.9 | 119 | 143 | 124.7 | 142.7 | 133-137 | 114-122 | 127-137 | 129-135 | 130-140 |  | 0.02499999999999147 | 0.02500000000000568 | 0 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 122-132
[NAME] bean meal, 48% protein, $[NAME] /2
U.S. trade, million lb
Beef & veal exports | 569 | 582 | 36 | 120 | 138 | 166 | 130 | 189 | 150 | 220 | 633 | 702 | 766 | 683 | 2785 | 558 | 625 | 650 | 620 | 2453 | 557 | 631 | 716 | 679 | 2583 | 583 | 630 | 660 | 635 | 2508 | 550 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | -635 | -0.5063795853269537 |  |  |  |  |  | 2425
Beef & veal imports | 785 | 849 | 873 | 929 | 940 | 937 | 831 | 1065 | 906 | 797 | 461 | 593 | 548 | 454 | 2057 | 582 | 669 | 516 | 453 | 2220 | 590 | 628 | 516 | 516 | 2250 | 596 | 660 | 595 | 545 | 2396 | 615 |  | 1 | 0 | 0 | -545 | -0.4549248747913189 |  |  |  |  |  | 2445
Lamb and mutton imports | 37 | 29 | 62 | 47 | 34 | 38 | 41 | 52 | 39 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 31 | 34 | 162 | 38 | 36 | 38 | 41 | 154 | 49 | 44 | 36 | 44 | 173 | 46 | 38 | 37 | 40 | 161 | 47 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | -40 | -0.4968944099378882 |  |  |  |  |  | 166
Pork exports | 393 | 318 | 523 | 546 | 486 | 626 | 630 | 699 | 629 | 702 | 1248 | 1201 | 1260 | 1481 | 5190 | 1442 | 1301 | 1251 | 1386 | 5381 | 1218 | 1226 | 1205 | 1343 | 4992 | 1345 | 1190 | 1065 | 1250 | 4850 | 1255 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1250 | -0.5154639175257731 |  |  |  |  |  | 5035
Pork imports | 226 | 262 | 275 | 265 | 291 | 268 | 245 | 245 | 257 | 277 | 201 | 195 | 194 | 213 | 803 | 207 | 191 | 198 | 205 | 802 | 207 | 210 | 229 | 233 | 879 | 212 | 220 | 240 | 240 | 912 | 230 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | -240 | -0.5263157894736842 |  |  |  |  |  | 890
Broiler exports | 1375 | 1333 | 1024 | 1008 | 1250 | 1486 | 1199 | 1347 | 1315 | 1286 | 1526 | 1588 | 1976 | 1878 | 6968 | 1734 | 1790 | 1864 | 1886 | 7274 | 1759 | 1876 | 1856 | 1873 | 7364 | 1831 | 1850 | 1975 | 1875 | 7531 | 1875 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1875 | -0.4979418403930421 |  |  |  |  |  | 7625
Turkey exports | 126 | 123 | 83 | 93 | 134 | 132 | 126 | 147 | 147 | 149 | 159 | 171 | 173 | 199 | 702 | 181 | 185 | 216 | 217 | 798 | 178 | 182 | 197 | 201 | 758 | 163 | 175 | 185 | 190 | 713 | 180 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | -190 | -0.5329593267882188 |  |  |  |  |  | 750
Live swine imports (thousand head) |  |  | 2210 | 2024 | 2196 | 2075 | 1894 | 1951 | 2157 | 2189 | 1452 | 1429 | 1407 | 1508 | 5795 | 1445 | 1444 | 1387 | 1380 | 5656 | 1326 | 1301 | 1255 | 1076 | 4958 | 1196 | 1185 | 1185 | 1185 | 4751 | 1175 |  | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1185 | -0.4988423489791623 |  |  |  |  |  | 4700
1/ Forecasts are in bold.
2/ Per capita meat and egg disappearance data are calculated using the Resident Population Plus Armed Forces Overseas series from the Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Supporting Materials.
For further information, contact: [NAME], (202) 694-5176, [EMAIL]
Updated 5/15/2014