Spreadsheet: 122ed2bc-6f89-4ff3-9086-1efa3c75e15d
Sheet: West

Population Estimates and Forecasts |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Trend-based Projection
Components of Population Change |  |  |  |  |  |  | Westbury
 | Year beginning July 1st …………..
 | 2001 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2021 | 2025
All Births | 190 | 230 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 220 | 230 | 230
TFR | 1.803359405625744 | 2.294885448631142 | 2.250794085872072 | 2.248616755186818 | 2.253557351570452 | 2.236875500859171 | 2.215646976394872 | 2.197797153665027 | 2.182069379243265 | 2.034238420382706 | 1.876148251495682
All deaths | 170 | 170 | 160 | 160 | 170 | 170 | 170 | 170 | 170 | 180 | 190
Life expectancy | 79.91769052279537 | 81.87102726596274 | 82.19275481117664 | 82.33710590217012 | 82.41808664289059 | 82.62935569963985 | 82.85151140847199 | 82.97774722001616 | 83.11401926118647 | 83.69723791227571 | 84.09420439837619
All in-migrants from the UK | 1180 | 910 | 920 | 930 | 930 | 940 | 940 | 950 | 950 | 980 | 1000
All out-migrants to the UK | 530 | 740 | 740 | 750 | 750 | 760 | 760 | 760 | 770 | 770 | 790
All in-migrants from Overseas | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30
All out-migrants to Overseas | 50 | 50 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60
Net Migrants UK | 650 | 170 | 170 | 180 | 180 | 180 | 180 | 190 | 190 | 200 | 210
Net Migrants Overseas | -20 | -20 | -20 | -20 | -20 | -30 | -30 | -30 | -30 | -30 | -30
Natural change | 30 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 50 | 40
Net migration | 630 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 160 | 180 | 180
Net change | 660 | 210 | 210 | 210 | 210 | 210 | 210 | 210 | 220 | 230 | 220
Summary of Population estimates/forecasts
 | Population at mid-year
Quinary Age | 2001 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026
0-4 | 1100 | 1180 | 1210 | 1220 | 1200 | 1170 | 1170 | 1160 | 1160 | 1190 | 1200
5-9 | 1030 | 1180 | 1170 | 1150 | 1190 | 1250 | 1260 | 1290 | 1290 | 1230 | 1260
10-14 | 980 | 1180 | 1210 | 1260 | 1250 | 1220 | 1240 | 1230 | 1210 | 1360 | 1300
15-19 | 820 | 1100 | 1120 | 1140 | 1150 | 1190 | 1230 | 1250 | 1310 | 1260 | 1420
20-24 | 740 | 960 | 980 | 1010 | 1060 | 1080 | 1090 | 1120 | 1140 | 1320 | 1280
25-29 | 980 | 750 | 780 | 800 | 850 | 890 | 920 | 940 | 970 | 1110 | 1290
30-34 | 1310 | 860 | 810 | 780 | 750 | 740 | 770 | 800 | 830 | 1010 | 1150
35-39 | 1290 | 1350 | 1270 | 1160 | 1090 | 1010 | 950 | 900 | 860 | 920 | 1120
40-44 | 1060 | 1550 | 1570 | 1600 | 1570 | 1510 | 1440 | 1360 | 1250 | 930 | 990
45-49 | 960 | 1340 | 1430 | 1480 | 1530 | 1570 | 1630 | 1640 | 1670 | 1310 | 970
50-54 | 1150 | 1070 | 1100 | 1160 | 1220 | 1310 | 1390 | 1480 | 1530 | 1740 | 1370
55-59 | 960 | 1050 | 1040 | 1030 | 1040 | 1070 | 1090 | 1130 | 1190 | 1570 | 1780
60-64 | 800 | 1130 | 1140 | 1180 | 1110 | 1070 | 1060 | 1050 | 1040 | 1200 | 1600
65-69 | 720 | 900 | 930 | 950 | 1050 | 1120 | 1110 | 1130 | 1170 | 1030 | 1200
70-74 | 660 | 750 | 740 | 750 | 790 | 830 | 870 | 900 | 920 | 1140 | 1000
75-79 | 580 | 570 | 610 | 620 | 640 | 660 | 700 | 690 | 700 | 870 | 1070
80-84 | 420 | 460 | 460 | 470 | 470 | 480 | 480 | 520 | 530 | 610 | 760
85-89 | 240 | 320 | 330 | 310 | 310 | 310 | 320 | 320 | 340 | 400 | 470
90+ | 120 | 170 | 180 | 200 | 200 | 210 | 220 | 230 | 220 | 250 | 320
Total Population | 15900 | 17860 | 18070 | 18280 | 18490 | 18700 | 18910 | 19120 | 19330 | 20440 | 21570
0-2 | 650 | 740 | 730 | 700 | 690 | 690 | 680 | 680 | 680 | 710 | 710
Pre-school 0-4 | 1100 | 1180 | 1210 | 1220 | 1200 | 1170 | 1170 | 1160 | 1160 | 1190 | 1200
Primary school 5-10 | 1210 | 1420 | 1410 | 1410 | 1420 | 1480 | 1510 | 1520 | 1540 | 1490 | 1520
Secondary school 11-15 | 960 | 1160 | 1200 | 1220 | 1280 | 1260 | 1230 | 1250 | 1240 | 1370 | 1310
College/Sixth form 16-17 | 360 | 470 | 440 | 440 | 450 | 470 | 510 | 510 | 510 | 520 | 550
Total Children | 3620 | 4230 | 4260 | 4300 | 4350 | 4380 | 4430 | 4440 | 4450 | 4560 | 4590
Male 16-64 | 4920 | 5270 | 5280 | 5340 | 5340 | 5340 | 5390 | 5440 | 5470 | 5700 | 5930
Female 16-59 | 4590 | 5080 | 5120 | 5170 | 5220 | 5270 | 5350 | 5410 | 5510 | 5780 | 5910
Working age population WAP | 9510 | 10350 | 10410 | 10510 | 10560 | 10610 | 10750 | 10850 | 10980 | 11470 | 11840
Male 65+ | 1160 | 1400 | 1440 | 1460 | 1540 | 1610 | 1640 | 1680 | 1730 | 1910 | 2130
Female 60+ | 1960 | 2360 | 2410 | 2460 | 2500 | 2560 | 2610 | 2660 | 2690 | 3020 | 3560
Retirement age population RAP | 3120 | 3750 | 3850 | 3920 | 4040 | 4180 | 4250 | 4340 | 4420 | 4930 | 5690
Armed forces in barracks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
Prisoners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
School boarders | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10
Total special populations | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10
Notes
The table above shows the Popgroup estimates output for 2001 and 2009, the latter year forming the starting point for the annual projections shown for the remainder of the projected period.
These estimates and projections are calculated using a 2001 Census base for each Community Area (using 01/04/2009 Community Area boundaries).
They incorporate ONS mid-year estimates 2001-2009, Vital Statistics of births and deaths 2001-2009, Patient Registration Statistics and ONS 2008 based Sub-National Population Projections.
These trend-based projections do not incorporate any housing policy figures and instead use recent trends to anticipate future populations.
This means assumptions for future levels of births, deaths and migration are based on observed levels mainly over the previous five years. They show what the population will be if recent trends continue.
Special populations shown above are independently controlled to pre-defined age structures and population totals.
All population figures have been rounded independently to the nearest 10.  0 signifies less than 5. Figures may not sum due to rounding.
This report was compiled from a forecast produced on 27/10/2010 using [NAME] software [NAME] by Bradford Council, the University of Manchester and Andelin Associates