Spreadsheet: benjamin_rogers__1045__98$ Email Format
Sheet: Brownsville

Unit Dispatch: | Brownsville Project |  |  | Capacity | 492 | MW
Dispatch and Revenue Output: | Enron Low Case |  |  | Heat Rate | 11074 | btu/kWh
(1998$)
Region : TVA
 |  | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020
Net Generation
Peak /1 | (000 MWh) | 49.36745510565706 | 47.96291520501242 | 46.59833548315927 | 45.27257904403056 | 43.98454133707687 | 42.73314923701299 | 44.01375353738807 | 45.33273430669698 | 46.69124159056069 | 48.09045989855599 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 33.29569309599459 | 22.38173150074533 | 15.04524634844493 | 10.11358025083348 | 6.79846
Off-Peak | (000 MWh) | 20.06278489434295 | 20.22381624198573 | 20.38614008690943 | 20.54976680317628 | 20.71470684811458 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
All Hours | (000 MWh) | 69.43024000000001 | 68.22595727475213 | 67.04256309723692 | 65.87969515101719 | 64.73699740411372 | 63.61412 | 64.91915682820725 | 66.2509663465496 | 67.61009779388499 | 68.99711167664739 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 44.11662852737349 | 27.64103960715917 | 17.3183467564952 | 10.85071830295868 | 6.79846
Capacity Factor |  | 0.01610940342280135 | 0.01582998229079708 | 0.01555540777954972 | 0.01528559582336034 | 0.01502046381466796 | 0.01475993057875784 | 0.01506272896671104 | 0.01537173923101812 | 0.0156870888076542 | 0.01600890774692973 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01023606668508313 | 0.006413353288961088 | 0.004018252486471952 | 0.002517614782399366 | 0.001577398188365445
Realized Energy Price
Peak | $/MWh | 28.9539487276429 | 28.52815954509267 | 28.10863190668213 | 27.69527373178404 | 27.28799429388468 | 26.8867042006707 | 26.86195310230681 | 26.8372247890662 | 26.81251923997359 | 26.78783643407297 | 26.76317635042764 | 26.84198346311724 | 26.92102263200708 | 27.00029454041215 | 27.07979987365951 | 27.15953931909423 | 27.19752505174892 | 27.23556391181008 | 27.27365597358251 | 27.31180131147489 | 27.35
Off-Peak | $/MWh | 28.92059652945778 | 28.55588200724316 | 28.19576686051441 | 27.84019308704357 | 27.48910341606249 | 27.14244129903854 | 27.117063683096 | 27.09170979469453 | 27.06637961164939 | 27.04107311179656 | 27.01579027299275 | 26.98039998279853 | 26.94505605336694 | 26.90975842396606 | 26.87450703394352 | 26.83930182272642 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
All-Hours | $/MWh | 28.94431116945585 | 27.95747980441374 | 27.70743747696807 | 27.45963144427972 | 27.21404170567803 | 26.97064843937164 | 26.94408436380063 | 26.91754645186126 | 26.8910346777843 | 26.86454901582593 | 26.83808944026763 | 26.88323388984549 | 26.92845427706906 | 26.97375072967334 | 27.0191233756082 | 27.0645723430387 | 27.1214185735164 | 27.17838420340226 | 27.2354694834819 | 27.29267466506774 | 27.35
All-Hours | 1998$/MWh |  | 28.76662077930639 | 28.50934176622206 | 28.25436377038551 | 28.00166621226982 | 27.75122869640449 | 27.72389580754433 | 27.69658983953952 | 27.66931076587502 | 27.64205856006192 | 27.61483319563738 | 27.66128420876094 | 27.7078133573056 | 27.75442077270324 | 27.80110658660681 | 27.84787093089073 | 27.90636239601295 | 27.96497671618218 | 28.02371414944226 | 28.08257495437902 | 28.14155939012143
Realized Capacity Price
Annual | $/kW-yr | 55 | 55.58732181224445 | 56.18091538650959 | 56.7808476962979 | 57.38718643029364 | 58 | 55.12960713342088 | 52.40126866698844 | 49.807954394895 | 47.3429820329294 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 44.59269315303928 | 44.18907294758037 | 43.78910601486046 | 43.39275928814621 | 43
Revenues
Energy Revenue | ($000) | 2009.61047113 | 1907.425822645678 | 1857.577625312379 | 1809.032148508434 | 1761.755347255921 | 1715.7140663 | 1749.18723840602 | 1783.313464113946 | 1818.105484343749 | 1853.576288587709 | 1889.73911976 | 1892.917856927457 | 1896.101941060467 | 1899.291381153183 | 1902.486186214883 | 1905.68636527 | 1196.505548343231 | 751.2387942248309 | 471.6733045908827 | 296.1451245249471 | 185.937881
Capacity Revenue | ($000) | 27060 | 27348.96233162427 | 27641.01037016272 | 27936.17706657857 | 28234.49572370447 | 28536 | 27123.76670964307 | 25781.42418415831 | 24505.51356228834 | 23292.74716020126 | 22140 | 22140 | 22140 | 22140 | 22140 | 22140 | 21939.60503129533 | 21741.02389020954 | 21544.24015931135 | 21349.23756976793 | 21156
Total | ($000) | 29069.61047113 | 29256.38815426995 | 29498.5879954751 | 29745.209215087 | 29996.25107096039 | 30251.7140663 | 28872.95394804909 | 27564.73764827226 | 26323.61904663209 | 25146.32344878897 | 24029.73911976 | 24032.91785692746 | 24036.10194106047 | 24039.29138115318 | 24042.48618621488 | 24045.68636527 | 23136.11057963856 | 22492.26268443438 | 22015.91346390223 | 21645.38269429288 | 21341.937881
Production Costs
Variable
Realized Fuel Cost
Total Delivered | ($/mmbtu) | 2.077839985551743 | 2.050966312509283 | 2.024440209206464 | 1.998257180361835 | 1.972412788833518 | 1.946902654867257 | 1.929060086809376 | 1.911381038603968 | 1.893864011658335 | 1.876507521113774 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.859310095719704 | 1.874938241117282 | 1.890697746490332 | 1.906589715964949 | 1.92261526294779 | 1.938775510204082
Total Delivered | ($/MWh) | 23.01 | 22.7124009447278 | 22.41865087675238 | 22.12870001532696 | 21.84249922354238 | 21.56 | 21.36241140132703 | 21.16663362150034 | 20.9726500651044 | 20.78044428881394 | 20.59 | 20.59 | 20.59 | 20.59 | 20.59 | 20.59 | 20.76306608213278 | 20.93758684463393 | 21.11357451459584 | 21.29104142188383 | 21.47
SO2 Cost
SO2 Cost | $/mmBtu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
SO2 Cost | $/MWh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
Variable O&M | $/MWh | 5.17 | 5.149843440635147 | 5.17 | 5.136449411924255 | 5.103116549566154 | 5.07 | 5.085899959453794 | 5.101849782558601 | 5.117849625691151 | 5.133899645718587 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.15 | 5.293748192745237 | 5.441508723921062 | 5.593393587002828 | 5.749517901458062 | 5.91
Total | $/MWh | 28.18 | 27.86224438536295 | 27.58865087675238 | 27.26514942725121 | 26.94561577310853 | 26.63 | 26.44831136078083 | 26.26848340405894 | 26.09049969079555 | 25.91434393453252 | 25.74 | 25.74 | 25.74 | 25.74 | 25.74 | 25.74 | 26.05681427487802 | 26.37909556855499 | 26.70696810159867 | 27.04055932334189 | 27.38
 | ($000) | 1956.5441632 | 1900.928295014475 | 1849.613867172312 | 1796.219732514241 | 1744.378258355973 | 1694.0440156 | 1717.002073071786 | 1740.312409977206 | 1763.981235586014 | 1788.014882477991 | 1812.4198092 | 1812.4198092 | 1812.4198092 | 1812.4198092 | 1812.4198092 | 1812.4198092 | 1149.538795971556 | 729.1456254114656 | 462.5205343981419 | 293.4094919720257 | 186.1418348
Fixed
Fixed O&M /2 | $/kW-yr | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.8
Total | ($000) | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6 | 4821.6
Total Costs | ($000) | 6778.144163200001 | 6722.528295014476 | 6671.213867172312 | 6617.819732514241 | 6565.978258355973 | 6515.644015600001 | 6538.602073071786 | 6561.912409977206 | 6585.581235586014 | 6609.614882477991 | 6634.019809200001 | 6634.019809200001 | 6634.019809200001 | 6634.019809200001 | 6634.019809200001 | 6634.019809200001 | 5971.138795971557 | 5550.745625411466 | 5284.120534398142 | 5115.009491972026 | 5007.7418348
Net Revenues
Net Revenues | ($000) | 22291.46630793 | 22533.85985925547 | 22827.37412830279 | 23127.38948257276 | 23430.27281260442 | 23736.0700507 | 22334.3518749773 | 21002.82523829505 | 19738.03781104607 | 18536.70856631098 | 17395.71931056 | 17398.89804772745 | 17402.08213186046 | 17405.27157195318 | 17408.46637701488 | 17411.66655607 | 17164.971783667 | 16941.51705902291 | 16731.79292950409 | 16530.37320232086 | 16334.1960462
Energy Margin | ($000) | 53.06630792999999 | 6.497527631202729 | 7.963758140067284 | 12.81241599419309 | 17.37708889994883 | 21.67005070000027 | 32.18516533423349 | 43.00105413674009 | 54.12424875773581 | 65.56140610971852 | 77.31931055999985 | 80.4980477274562 | 83.68213186046705 | 86.87157195318264 | 90.06637701488239 | 93.26655606999975 | 46.9667523716746 | 22.09316881336531 | 9.152770192740775 | 2.735632552921345 | -0.2039537999999652
Capacity Margin | ($000) | 22238.4 | 22527.36233162427 | 22819.41037016272 | 23114.57706657857 | 23412.89572370447 | 23714.4 | 22302.16670964307 | 20959.82418415831 | 19683.91356228834 | 18471.14716020126 | 17318.4 | 17318.4 | 17318.4 | 17318.4 | 17318.4 | 17318.4 | 17118.00503129532 | 16919.42389020955 | 16722.64015931135 | 16527.63756976793 | 16334.4
NPV (2000-2020) @ 11.2% Discount Rate | ($000) | 166353.4951306429
NPV (2000-2020) | ($/kW) | 338.1168600216319
Energy Margin @11.2 % Discount Rate | ($000) | 300.7199848474054
Energy Margin | ($/kW) | 0.6112194813971654
Capacity Margin @11.2 % Discount Rate | ($000) | 166052.7751457955
Capacity Margin | ($/kW) | 337.5056405402348
Notes
1: Peak reflects 6:00 a.m. to 10:00 p.m. weekdays
2: Generic ICF Assumptions