Spreadsheet: 024359b4-743a-4700-ac4a-1db7195f8d47
Sheet: Sheet1

U.S. red meat and poultry forecasts | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9 | Unnamed: 10 | Unnamed: 11 | Unnamed: 12 | Unnamed: 13 | Unnamed: 14 | Unnamed: 15 | Unnamed: 16 | Unnamed: 17 | Unnamed: 18 | Unnamed: 19 | Unnamed: 20 | Unnamed: 21 | Unnamed: 22 | Unnamed: 23 | Unnamed: 24 | Unnamed: 25 | Unnamed: 26 | Unnamed: 27 | Unnamed: 28 | Unnamed: 29 | Unnamed: 30 | Unnamed: 31 | Unnamed: 32 | Unnamed: 33 | Unnamed: 34 | Unnamed: 35 | Unnamed: 36 | Unnamed: 37 | Unnamed: 38 | Unnamed: 39 | Unnamed: 40 | Unnamed: 41 | Unnamed: 42 | Unnamed: 43
 |  | 2001 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2010 |  |  |  |  | 2011 |  |  |  |  | 2012 |  |  |  |  | 2013 |  |  |  |  | 2014
 | I | III | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual |  | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013
Production, million lb
Beef | 6182 | 6723 | 5838 | 6253 | 6360 | 6097 | 5725 | 6189 | 6560 | 6209 | 6248 | 6546 | 6768 | 6741 | 26305 | 6410 | 6559 | 6736 | 6490 | 26195 | 6283 | 6473 | 6586 | 6572 | 25913 | 6172 | 6517 | 6608 | 6420 | 25717 | 5830 | 6235 | 6225 | 6030 | 24320 |  | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -6030 | -0.4958881578947368 | 12858.5
Pork | 4805 | 4548 | 5130 | 4897 | 5047 | 5435 | 5138 | 5021 | 5000 | 5525 | 5607 | 5302 | 5401 | 6126 | 22437 | 5719 | 5370 | 5484 | 6186 | 22758 | 5858 | 5519 | 5631 | 6244 | 23253 | 5777 | 5519 | 5624 | 6275 | 23195 | 5885 | 5580 | 5755 | 6360 | 23580 |  | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | -6360 | -0.539440203562341 | 11597.5
Lamb and mutton | 59 | 52 | 53 | 46 | 46 | 50 | 49 | 46 | 44 | 48 | 43 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 164 | 36 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 149 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 156 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 156 | 38 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 153 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -38 | -0.4967320261437909 | 78
Broilers | 7533 | 7882 | 8195 | 8492 | 8839 | 8537 | 8588 | 8934 | 8939 | 8904 | 8733 | 9198 | 9496 | 9484 | 36910 | 9290 | 9509 | 9542 | 8860 | 37201 | 9089 | 9381 | 9372 | 9197 | 37039 | 9143 | 9466 | 9682 | 9460 | 37751 | 9425 | 9825 | 9925 | 9725 | 38900 |  | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9725 | -0.5 | 18875.5
Turkeys | 1332 | 1394 | 1309 | 1366 | 1390 | 1389 | 1328 | 1397 | 1375 | 1405 | 1340 | 1383 | 1415 | 1506 | 5644 | 1402 | 1471 | 1423 | 1495 | 5791 | 1446 | 1505 | 1480 | 1537 | 5967 | 1459 | 1486 | 1440 | 1425 | 5810 | 1390 | 1480 | 1500 | 1525 | 5895 |  | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -1525 | -0.5173876166242578 | 2905
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 20088 | 20777 | 20687 | 21220 | 21858 | 21676 | 20991 | 21764 | 22088 | 22254 | 22122 | 22626 | 23291 | 24058 | 92097 | 23011 | 23113 | 23396 | 23225 | 92745 | 22866 | 23085 | 23274 | 23738 | 92963 | 22742 | 23190 | 23563 | 23767 | 93262 | 22719 | 23324 | 23608 | 23834 | 93485 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -23834 | -0.5098999839546451 | 46631
Table eggs, mil. doz. | 1489 | 1519 | 1556 | 1574 | 1598 | 1637 | 1588 | 1583 | 1596 | 1644 | 1610 | 1626 | 1645 | 1666 | 6547 | 1624 | 1634 | 1646 | 1686 | 6590 | 1658 | 1653 | 1677 | 1734 | 6722 | 1680 | 1696 | 1721 | 1760 | 6857 | 1710 | 1730 | 1740 | 1790 | 6970 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1790 | -0.5136298421807748 | 3428.5
Per capita disappearance, retail lb 2/
Beef | 16.1 | 17 | 16 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 16.8 | 17 | 16 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 14.6 | 59.6 | 14.1 | 14.6 | 14.7 | 14 | 57.3 | 14 | 14.7 | 14.5 | 14.2 | 57.4 | 13.7 | 14.5 | 14.3 | 14 | 56.5 | 12.9 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.2 | 53.6 |  | 0 | -0.1000000000000014 | 0 | 0 | -13.1 | -0.4888059701492536 | 28.25
Pork | 12.6 | 12.2 | 13 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 12.8 | 47.8 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 11 | 12.2 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 45.9 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 12.8 | 46.9 | 11.6 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 47 |  | 0.09999999999999964 | 0 | 0 | -0.1000000000000068 | -12.8 | -0.5446808510638298 | 23.45
Lamb and mutton | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 |  | 0.09999999999999992 | 0 | 0 | 0.09999999999999992 | -0.3 | -0.6666666666666666 | 0.45
Broilers | 18.8 | 19.6 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 20.1 | 20.5 | 21.4 | 20.4 | 82.4 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 20.8 | 19.1 | 82.9 | 20.1 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 19.7 | 80.4 | 20.1 | 20.3 | 21 | 20 | 81.4 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 21.2 | 20.9 | 83.7 |  | 0 | 0 | -0.09999999999999432 | 0 | -20.8 | -0.4970131421744325 | 40.7
Turkeys | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 16 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.7 | 15.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 16 |  | 0 | 0.1000000000000014 | -0.1000000000000001 | -0.09999999999999876 | -4.899999999999999 | -0.6124999999999999 | 7.95
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 52.1 | 53.7 | 54.1 | 54.8 | 56.6 | 55.9 | 53.6 | 55.2 | 55.7 | 56.4 | 50.7 | 51.2 | 53.3 | 53.7 | 208.9 | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51 | 51 | 204.6 | 49.3 | 50.3 | 50.6 | 52 | 202.2 | 49.5 | 50.3 | 51.3 | 52 | 203.2 | 48.9 | 50.4 | 51.2 | 52.4 | 202.8 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0999999999999801 | -52.30000000000001 | -0.5157790927021697 | 101.6
Eggs, number | 62.8 | 62.9 | 63.7 | 63.9 | 64.1 | 65.5 | 63.4 | 63 | 63.5 | 65 | 61.5 | 61.4 | 62.2 | 62.8 | 247.9 | 61.1 | 61.3 | 62.2 | 63.1 | 247.6 | 62.3 | 61.3 | 62.2 | 64 | 249.7 | 62.4 | 61.6 | 62.8 | 64.1 | 250.8 | 62.6 | 63.5 | 63.8 | 65.6 | 255.5 |  | 0 | -0.1000000000000014 | -0.1000000000000085 | -0.0999999999999801 | -65.60000000000001 | -0.5135029354207437 | 125.4
Market prices
Choice steers, 5-area Direct, $/cwt | 79.11 | 70.19 | 82.16 | 88.15 | 83.58 | 85.09 | 89.09 | 87.96 | 81.79 | 90.27 | 89.44 | 96.33 | 95.47 | 100.28 | 95.38 | 110.07 | 112.79 | 114.05 | 121.99 | 114.73 | 125.29 | 120.91 | 119.69 | 125.54 | 122.86 | 125.52 | 124.95 | 122.3 | 130.77 | 125.89 | 130-136 | 127-137 | 129-139 | 130-140 | 129-138 |  | 0 | -0.004999999999995453 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.005000000000009663
Feeder steers, Ok City, $/cwt | 86.82 | 91.13 | 87.98 | 104.58 | 116.27 | 110.19 | 104.05 | 113.36 | 111.5 | 114.84 | 98.73 | 112.65 | 112.29 | 113.55 | 109.31 | 127.2 | 131.09 | 134.74 | 141.93 | 133.74 | 152.81 | 150.05 | 139.31 | 143.4 | 146.39 | 141.36 | 133.1 | 152.08 | 161.69 | 147.06 | 160-166 | 161-171 | 159-169 | 170-180 | 163-172 |  | -0.004999999999995453 | 0 | 0.002500000000026148 | -0.002499999999997726
Cutter Cows, National L.E., $/cwt | 43.77 | 46.69 | 47.5 | 54.86 | 56.25 | 50.78 | 54.18 | 59.17 | 55.34 | 49.75 | 51.79 | 58.79 | 58.9 | 54.93 | 56.1 | 68.66 | 74.88 | 66.11 | 63.54 | 68.3 | 76.57 | 83.51 | 76.94 | 73.81 | 77.71 | 77.87 | 77.46 | 78.36 | 76.55 | 77.56 | 78-84 | 80-90 | 78-88 | 77-87 | 78-87 |  | 0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | 0
Choice slaughter lambs, San Angelo, $/cwt | 83.63 | 60.26 | 100.62 | 97.06 | 93.62 | 95.44 | 106.1 | 98.6 | 92.9 | 94.44 | 103.87 | 106.17 | 115.57 | 141.62 | 116.81 | 174.66 | 157.99 | 161.13 | 148.61 | 160.6 | 145.33 | 127.08 | 89.28 | 89.85 | 112.89 | 107.53 | 91.72 | 94.26 | 156.5 | 112.5 | 137-143 | 140-150 | 130-140 | 135-145 | 136-145 |  | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.004999999999981242 | 0.002499999999997726
Barrows & gilts, N. base, l.e. $/cwt | 42.83 | 51.05 | 44.18 | 54.91 | 56.58 | 54.35 | 51.92 | 52.09 | 50.51 | 45.67 | 50.41 | 59.6 | 60.13 | 50.11 | 55.06 | 59.94 | 68.8 | 71.06 | 64.66 | 66.11 | 61.68 | 61.79 | 61.43 | 58.63 | 60.88 | 59.03 | 65.46 | 70.59 | 61.11 | 64.05 | 61-63 | 64-68 | 61-67 | 55-59 | 60-64 |  | 0.002499999999997726 | 0.005000000000009663 | 0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726
Broilers, 12 City, cents/lb | 57.8 | 61.1 | 73.2 | 79.3 | 75.7 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 72.6 | 72.1 | 66.7 | 82.2 | 85 | 84.5 | 80 | 82.9 | 77.9 | 82.6 | 78.8 | 76.8 | 79 | 87.4 | 85.1 | 82 | 92.1 | 86.6 | 103.5 | 108.6 | 93.9 | 92.8 | 99.7 | 92-96 | 93-99 | 93-101 | 91-99 | 92-99 |  | 0.02499999999999147 | 0.02500000000000568 | 0.05000000000001137 | 0
Turkeys, Eastern, cents/lb | 61.7 | 67.1 | 62.1 | 66.6 | 73.1 | 77.1 | 65.9 | 67.7 | 76.5 | 83.6 | 75.6 | 84.4 | 97.9 | 103.7 | 90.4 | 90.2 | 99.9 | 106.4 | 111.6 | 102 | 100.7 | 106.9 | 108.5 | 106.1 | 105.6 | 96 | 97.7 | 99.9 | 105.4 | 99.8 | 96-100 | 95-101 | 98-106 | 102-110 | 98-104 |  | 0 | 0.02500000000000568 | -0.04999999999998295 | -0.04999999999999716
Eggs, New York, cents/doz. | 75.8 | 61.4 | 114.9 | 79.7 | 66.2 | 68 | 64.5 | 55.9 | 66.6 | 75 | 126 | 82.8 | 93.1 | 123.2 | 106.3 | 105.8 | 106.6 | 117.7 | 131.2 | 115.3 | 108.7 | 99.7 | 131.9 | 129.4 | 117.4 | 126.9 | 109.9 | 119 | 143 | 124.7 | 116-120 | 104-112 | 99-107 | 123-133 | 110-118 |  | -0.02500000000000568 | 0.02499999999999147 | 0.02500000000000568 | 0
[NAME] bean meal, 48% protein, $[NAME] /2
U.S. trade, million lb
Beef & veal exports | 569 | 582 | 36 | 120 | 138 | 166 | 130 | 189 | 150 | 220 | 478 | 585 | 590 | 646 | 2299 | 633 | 702 | 766 | 683 | 2785 | 558 | 625 | 650 | 620 | 2453 | 557 | 631 | 716 | 630 | 2534 | 535 | 600 | 625 | 575 | 2335 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -575 | -0.4925053533190578
Beef & veal imports | 785 | 849 | 873 | 929 | 940 | 937 | 831 | 1065 | 906 | 797 | 573 | 690 | 598 | 436 | 2297 | 461 | 593 | 548 | 454 | 2057 | 582 | 669 | 516 | 453 | 2220 | 590 | 628 | 516 | 520 | 2254 | 545 | 620 | 590 | 530 | 2285 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -530 | -0.4638949671772429
Lamb and mutton imports | 37 | 29 | 62 | 47 | 34 | 38 | 41 | 52 | 39 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 31 | 42 | 166 | 49 | 48 | 31 | 34 | 162 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 40 | 153 | 49 | 44 | 36 | 42 | 171 | 44 | 42 | 38 | 40 | 164 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -40 | -0.4878048780487805
Pork exports | 393 | 318 | 523 | 546 | 486 | 626 | 630 | 699 | 629 | 702 | 1046 | 1081 | 951 | 1146 | 4224 | 1248 | 1200 | 1261 | 1481 | 5189 | 1444 | 1302 | 1252 | 1386 | 5384 | 1218 | 1226 | 1205 | 1325 | 4974 | 1255 | 1280 | 1270 | 1375 | 5180 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1375 | -0.5308880308880309
Pork imports | 226 | 262 | 275 | 265 | 291 | 268 | 245 | 245 | 257 | 277 | 199 | 204 | 237 | 219 | 859 | 201 | 195 | 194 | 213 | 803 | 207 | 191 | 198 | 205 | 802 | 207 | 210 | 229 | 230 | 876 | 215 | 215 | 225 | 225 | 880 |  | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -225 | -0.5113636363636364
Broiler exports | 1375 | 1333 | 1024 | 1008 | 1250 | 1486 | 1199 | 1347 | 1315 | 1286 | 1469 | 1699 | 1643 | 1954 | 6765 | 1527 | 1588 | 1978 | 1879 | 6971 | 1734 | 1790 | 1864 | 1886 | 7274 | 1759 | 1876 | 1856 | 1925 | 7416 | 1850 | 1850 | 1975 | 1875 | 7550 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1875 | -0.4966887417218543
Turkey exports | 126 | 123 | 83 | 93 | 134 | 132 | 126 | 147 | 147 | 149 | 114 | 136 | 158 | 174 | 582 | 159 | 171 | 173 | 199 | 703 | 181 | 185 | 216 | 217 | 798 | 178 | 182 | 197 | 210 | 767 | 190 | 195 | 200 | 195 | 780 |  | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -195 | -0.5
Live swine imports (thousand head) |  |  | 2210 | 2024 | 2196 | 2075 | 1894 | 1951 | 2157 | 2189 | 1446 | 1408 | 1479 | 1416 | 5749 | 1452 | 1429 | 1407 | 1508 | 5795 | 1441 | 1444 | 1387 | 1380 | 5652 | 1326 | 1301 | 1255 | 1050 | 4932 | 1225 | 1225 | 1225 | 1225 | 4900 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -1225 | -0.5
1/ Forecasts are in bold.
2/ Per capita meat and egg disappearance data are calculated using the Resident Population Plus Armed Forces Overseas series from the Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Supporting Materials.
For further information, contact: [NAME], (202) 694-5176, [EMAIL]
Updated 1/17/2014
Errata:  On January 17th, the January 2014 Livestock, [NAME], and Poultry Outlook report was corrected to include missing numbers for U.S. pork exports to the world, on page 10.  The missing numbers were 453 million pounds for 2013 and 467 million pounds for 2012.  An error in beef production numbers in the “U.S. red meat and poultry forecasts” table on page 20 was also corrected.  This correction changes first-quarter 2014 beef production to 5,830 million pounds and annual 2014 beef production to 24,320 million pounds.