Spreadsheet: benjamin_rogers__1046__Nominal$ Email Format
Sheet: Brownsville

Unit Dispatch: | Brownsville Project |  |  | Capacity | 492 | MW
Dispatch and Revenue Output: | Enron Low Case |  |  | Heat Rate | 11074 | btu/kWh
Nominal Dollars
Region : TVA
 |  | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020
GDP Inflator (1998 = 1) |  | 1.03935 | 1.06533375 | 1.09196709375 | 1.1592740743 | 1.194052296529 | 1.22987386542487 | 1.266770081387616 | 1.304773183829244 | 1.343916379344122 | 1.384233870724445 | 1.425760886846179 | 1.468533713451564 | 1.512589724855111 | 1.557967416600764 | 1.604706439098787 | 1.652847632271751 | 1.702433061239903 | 1.7535060530771 | 1.806111234669413 | 1.860294571709495 | 1.91610340886078
Net Generation
Peak 1/ | (000 MWh) | 49.36745510565706 | 47.96291520501242 | 46.59833548315927 | 45.27257904403056 | 43.98454133707687 | 42.73314923701299 | 44.01375353738807 | 45.33273430669698 | 46.69124159056069 | 48.09045989855599 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 49.53160923701299 | 33.29569309599459 | 22.38173150074533 | 15.04524634844493 | 10.11358025083348 | 6.79846
Off-Peak | (000 MWh) | 20.06278489434295 | 20.22381624198573 | 20.38614008690943 | 20.54976680317628 | 20.71470684811458 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 20.88097076298701 | 0.7174647165757323 | 0.02465190078439918 | 0.0008470328899019986 | 2.910382947142862e-05 | 1e-06
All Hours | (000 MWh) | 69.43024000000001 | 68.22595727475213 | 67.04256309723692 | 65.87969515101719 | 64.73699740411372 | 63.61412 | 64.91915682820725 | 66.2509663465496 | 67.61009779388499 | 68.99711167664739 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 70.41258 | 44.11662852737349 | 27.64103960715917 | 17.3183467564952 | 10.85071830295868 | 6.79846
Capacity Factor |  | 0.01610940342280135 | 0.01582998229079708 | 0.01555540777954972 | 0.01528559582336034 | 0.01502046381466796 | 0.01475993057875784 | 0.01506272896671104 | 0.01537173923101812 | 0.0156870888076542 | 0.01600890774692973 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01633732876712329 | 0.01023606668508313 | 0.006413353288961088 | 0.004018252486471952 | 0.002517614782399366 | 0.001577398188365445
Realized Energy Price
Peak | $/MWh | 30.09328661007565 | 30.39201118877186 | 30.69370109242821 | 32.10641281789904 | 32.58329225428324 | 33.06725482381397 | 34.02791851763951 | 35.01649123317103 | 36.03378377807991 | 37.08063051547015 | 38.15789004820639 | 39.41835765149703 | 40.72046221576581 | 42.06557913258564 | 43.45512922676793 | 44.89058025715642 | 46.30196583199786 | 47.75772617832721 | 49.25925646439592 | 50.80799572334502 | 52.40542823234235
Off-Peak | $/MWh | 30.05862200289194 | 30.42154486333389 | 30.78884959472848 | 32.27441406931568 | 32.82342706347259 | 33.38177919751616 | 34.35108496882868 | 35.34853644420151 | 36.37495088964141 | 37.43116930208488 | 38.51805709847251 | 39.62162697714764 | 40.75681492196785 | 41.92452681313706 | 43.12569448497481 | 44.36127646952024 | 5.944112440710771 | 0.7964710558337699 | 0.1067217602473727 | 0.01429999750383244 | 0.00191610340886078
All-Hours | $/MWh | 30.08326981397393 | 29.78404680058536 | 30.25560997698466 | 31.83323882318654 | 32.49498899650084 | 33.17049564914524 | 34.13195994244651 | 35.12129278486659 | 36.13930196098511 | 37.18681866944331 | 38.26469820161304 | 39.47893529384172 | 40.73170324572532 | 42.02422474034216 | 43.35776125964304 | 44.73361431563902 | 46.1723996472803 | 47.6574612135209 | 49.19028741561263 | 50.77241452685879 | 52.40542823234235
Realized Capacity Price
Annual | $/kW-yr | 57.16425 | 59.21904999869517 | 61.34771089882152 | 65.82456465109502 | 68.52330174842999 | 71.33268419464245 | 69.83653691527086 | 68.37177015531815 | 66.93772573292442 | 65.53375927107975 | 64.15923990807804 | 66.08401710532037 | 68.06653761848 | 70.1085337470344 | 72.21178975944542 | 74.37814345222878 | 75.91607511346034 | 77.48580689344772 | 79.08799632956945 | 80.72331455523518 | 82.39244658101356
Revenues
Energy Revenue | ($000) | 2088.688643168966 | 2032.045104485955 | 2028.413640927385 | 2097.164069341055 | 2103.628018313178 | 2110.111890684203 | 2215.818060357773 | 2326.819586337512 | 2443.381739784943 | 2565.783080634817 | 2694.316123296935 | 2779.813689692454 | 2868.024313325894 | 2959.034086467322 | 3052.931833315517 | 3149.809196689078 | 2036.970603456496 | 1317.301772979583 | 851.8944545152415 | 550.9171675919916 | 356.2762076204502
Capacity Revenue | ($000) | 28124.811 | 29135.77259935802 | 30183.07376222019 | 32385.68580833875 | 33713.46446022755 | 35095.68062376408 | 34359.57616231326 | 33638.91091641653 | 32933.36106059881 | 32242.60956137124 | 31566.34603477439 | 32513.33641581762 | 33488.73650829216 | 34493.39860354093 | 35528.20056164715 | 36594.04657849656 | 37350.70895582248 | 38123.01699157627 | 38911.29419414817 | 39715.87076117571 | 40537.08371785867
Total | ($000) | 30213.49964316897 | 31167.81770384398 | 32211.48740314757 | 34482.8498776798 | 35817.09247854073 | 37205.79251444829 | 36575.39422267104 | 35965.73050275404 | 35376.74280038376 | 34808.39264200605 | 34260.66215807133 | 35293.15010551007 | 36356.76082161805 | 37452.43269000825 | 38581.13239496267 | 39743.85577518564 | 39387.67955927898 | 39440.31876455586 | 39763.18864866341 | 40266.7879287677 | 40893.35992547913
Production Costs
Variable
Realized Fuel Cost
Total Delivered | ($/mmbtu) | 2.159602988983204 | 2.184963632829187 | 2.210622091717824 | 2.316527742977294 | 2.355164020209831 | 2.394444693747535 | 2.443675603169115 | 2.493918723250147 | 2.545194865518003 | 2.597525269394854 | 2.650931610995378 | 2.730459559325239 | 2.812373346104997 | 2.896744546488147 | 2.983646882882791 | 3.073156289369274 | 3.191956849461054 | 3.315349943010029 | 3.443513105909459 | 3.576630737147598 | 3.71489436411784
Total Delivered | ($/MWh) | 23.9154435 | 24.19628726995041 | 24.48042904368318 | 25.65322822573055 | 26.08108635980367 | 26.5160805385602 | 27.06126362949478 | 27.61765594127213 | 28.18548794074637 | 28.76499483327861 | 29.35641666016282 | 30.2371091599677 | 31.14422243476674 | 32.07854910780974 | 33.04090558104402 | 34.03213274847535 | 35.34773015093172 | 36.71418526889307 | 38.13346413484135 | 39.60760878317249 | 41.13874018824095
SO2 Cost
SO2 Cost | $/mmBtu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
SO2 Cost | $/MWh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
Variable O&M | $/MWh | 5.3734395 | 5.486302024524743 | 5.6454698746875 | 5.954552637197269 | 6.093388035464613 | 6.235460497704091 | 6.442665905566555 | 6.656756784207523 | 6.877961938986521 | 7.1065177785039 | 7.34266856725782 | 7.562948624275554 | 7.789837083003822 | 8.023532195493937 | 8.264238161358755 | 8.512165306199517 | 9.01225194120848 | 9.54171848526743 | 10.10229099741366 | 10.695796942029 | 11.32417114636721
Total | $/MWh | 29.288883 | 29.68258929447515 | 30.12589891837068 | 31.60778086292782 | 32.17447439526828 | 32.75154103626429 | 33.50392953506134 | 34.27441272547966 | 35.06344987973289 | 35.87151261178251 | 36.69908522742064 | 37.80005778424326 | 38.93405951777056 | 40.10208130330368 | 41.30514374240278 | 42.54429805467487 | 44.35998209214019 | 46.25590375416049 | 48.23575513225501 | 50.3034057252015 | 52.46291133460817
 | ($000) | 2033.534176021921 | 2025.123069008877 | 2019.717479095848 | 2082.31096764984 | 2082.878865405206 | 2083.460461665841 | 2175.046855847852 | 2270.712964023504 | 2370.643275359726 | 2475.030761685423 | 2584.077274502574 | 2661.599592737652 | 2741.447580519781 | 2823.691007935375 | 2908.401738173436 | 2995.653790318639 | 1957.012851439889 | 1278.561267733693 | 835.363533441785 | 545.8280852036002 | 356.6670041918803
Fixed
Fixed O&M 2/ | $/kW-yr | 10.18563 | 10.44027075 | 10.70127751875 | 11.36088592814 | 11.7017125059842 | 12.05276388116373 | 12.41434679759864 | 12.7867772015266 | 13.17038051757239 | 13.56549193309957 | 13.97245669109255 | 14.39163039182533 | 14.82337930358009 | 15.26808068268749 | 15.72612310316812 | 16.19790679626316 | 16.68384400015105 | 17.18435932015558 | 17.69989009976025 | 18.23088680275306 | 18.77781340683565
Total | ($000) | 5011.32996 | 5136.613209 | 5265.028539225 | 5589.555876644879 | 5757.242552944226 | 5929.959829532553 | 6107.85862441853 | 6291.094383151086 | 6479.827214645618 | 6674.222031084987 | 6874.448692017535 | 7080.682152778061 | 7293.102617361404 | 7511.895695882246 | 7737.252566758712 | 7969.370143761474 | 8208.451248074318 | 8454.704785516547 | 8708.345929082043 | 8969.596306954503 | 9238.68419616314
Total Costs | ($000) | 7044.864136021921 | 7161.736278008877 | 7284.746018320848 | 7671.866844294719 | 7840.121418349432 | 8013.420291198395 | 8282.905480266381 | 8561.80734717459 | 8850.470490005344 | 9149.25279277041 | 9458.52596652011 | 9742.281745515713 | 10034.55019788119 | 10335.58670381762 | 10645.65430493215 | 10965.02393408011 | 10165.46409951421 | 9733.26605325024 | 9543.709462523828 | 9515.424392158104 | 9595.351200355019
Net Revenues
Net Revenues | ($000) | 24122.95356782206 | 24006.0814258351 | 24926.74138482672 | 26810.98303338508 | 27976.9710601913 | 29192.37222324989 | 28292.48874240465 | 27403.92315557945 | 26526.27231037841 | 25659.13984923564 | 24802.13619155122 | 25550.86835999436 | 26322.21062373686 | 27116.84598619062 | 27935.47809003052 | 28778.83184110553 | 29222.21545976477 | 29707.05271130562 | 30219.47918613958 | 30751.3635366096 | 31298.00872512411
Energy Margin | ($000) | 55.15446714704535 | 6.92203547707777 | 8.69616183153721 | 14.85310169121476 | 20.74915290797253 | 26.65142901836225 | 40.77120450992061 | 56.10662231400784 | 72.73846442521699 | 90.75231894939316 | 110.2388487943604 | 118.2140969548022 | 126.5767328061129 | 135.343078531947 | 144.5300951420809 | 154.1554063704398 | 79.95775201660649 | 38.74050524589052 | 16.53092107345651 | 5.089082388391489 | -0.3907965714300872
Capacity Margin | ($000) | 23113.48104 | 23999.15939035803 | 24918.04522299519 | 26796.12993169387 | 27956.22190728332 | 29165.72079423153 | 28251.71753789474 | 27347.81653326544 | 26453.5338459532 | 25568.38753028625 | 24691.89734275686 | 25432.65426303956 | 26195.63389093076 | 26981.50290765868 | 27790.94799488844 | 28624.67643473509 | 29142.25770774817 | 29668.31220605973 | 30202.94826506613 | 30746.2744542212 | 31298.39952169553
NPV (2000-2020) @ 14.0% Discount Rate | ($000) | 176600.0140723767
NPV (2000-2020) | ($/kW) | 358.9431180332859
Energy Margin @ 14.0 % Discount Rate | ($000) | 322.5738137089913
Energy Margin | ($/kW) | 0.6556378327418522
Capacity Margin @ 14.0 % Discount Rate | ($000) | 175440.3191528124
Capacity Margin | ($/kW) | 356.5860145382365
Notes
1: Peak reflects 6:00 a.m. to 10:00 p.m. weekdays