Spreadsheet: 08bc85c5-1248-4ddd-ba50-8042626a52f8
Sheet: Sheet1

U.S. red meat and poultry forecasts | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9 | Unnamed: 10 | Unnamed: 11 | Unnamed: 12 | Unnamed: 13 | Unnamed: 14 | Unnamed: 15 | Unnamed: 16 | Unnamed: 17 | Unnamed: 18 | Unnamed: 19 | Unnamed: 20 | Unnamed: 21 | Unnamed: 22 | Unnamed: 23 | Unnamed: 24 | Unnamed: 25 | Unnamed: 26 | Unnamed: 27 | Unnamed: 28 | Unnamed: 29 | Unnamed: 30 | Unnamed: 31 | Unnamed: 32 | Unnamed: 33 | Unnamed: 34 | Unnamed: 35 | Unnamed: 36 | Unnamed: 37 | Unnamed: 38 | Unnamed: 39 | Unnamed: 40 | Unnamed: 41
 |  | 2001 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 2010 |  |  |  |  | 2011 |  |  |  |  | 2012 |  |  |  |  | 2013 |  |  |  |  | 2014
 | I | III | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | III | IV | Annual | I | II | Annual |  | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013
Production, million lb
Beef | 6182 | 6723 | 5838 | 6253 | 6360 | 6097 | 5725 | 6189 | 6560 | 6209 | 6248 | 6546 | 6768 | 6741 | 26305 | 6410 | 6559 | 6736 | 6490 | 26195 | 6283 | 6473 | 6586 | 6572 | 25913 | 6172 | 6517 | 6600 | 6255 | 25544 | 5875 | 6180 | 24130 |  | 2 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -12075 | -1.000828843762951 | 12772
Pork | 4805 | 4548 | 5130 | 4897 | 5047 | 5435 | 5138 | 5021 | 5000 | 5525 | 5607 | 5302 | 5401 | 6126 | 22437 | 5719 | 5370 | 5484 | 6186 | 22758 | 5858 | 5519 | 5631 | 6244 | 23253 | 5777 | 5519 | 5665 | 6425 | 23386 | 5930 | 5700 | 24135 |  | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | -12505 | -1.036254402320282 | 11693
Lamb and mutton | 59 | 52 | 53 | 46 | 46 | 50 | 49 | 46 | 44 | 48 | 43 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 164 | 36 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 149 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 156 | 38 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 156 | 37 | 38 | 149 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -74 | -0.9932885906040269 | 78
Broilers | 7533 | 7882 | 8195 | 8492 | 8839 | 8537 | 8588 | 8934 | 8939 | 8904 | 8733 | 9198 | 9496 | 9484 | 36910 | 9290 | 9509 | 9542 | 8860 | 37201 | 9089 | 9381 | 9372 | 9197 | 37039 | 9143 | 9466 | 9625 | 9500 | 37734 | 9450 | 9800 | 38850 |  | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -19600 | -1.009009009009009 | 18867
Turkeys | 1332 | 1394 | 1309 | 1366 | 1390 | 1389 | 1328 | 1397 | 1375 | 1405 | 1340 | 1383 | 1415 | 1506 | 5644 | 1402 | 1471 | 1423 | 1495 | 5791 | 1446 | 1505 | 1480 | 1537 | 5967 | 1459 | 1486 | 1440 | 1515 | 5900 | 1475 | 1550 | 6175 |  | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -3150 | -1.020242914979757 | 2950
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 20088 | 20777 | 20687 | 21220 | 21858 | 21676 | 20991 | 21764 | 22088 | 22254 | 22122 | 22626 | 23291 | 24058 | 92097 | 23011 | 23113 | 23396 | 23225 | 92745 | 22866 | 23085 | 23274 | 23738 | 92962 | 22742 | 23190 | 23527 | 23884 | 93343 | 22920 | 23435 | 94084 |  | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -47729 | -1.014603970919604 | 46671.5
Table eggs, mil. doz. | 1489 | 1519 | 1556 | 1574 | 1598 | 1637 | 1588 | 1583 | 1596 | 1644 | 1610 | 1626 | 1645 | 1666 | 6547 | 1624 | 1634 | 1646 | 1686 | 6590 | 1658 | 1653 | 1677 | 1734 | 6722 | 1680 | 1696 | 1720 | 1760 | 6856 | 1710 | 1720 | 6940 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3510 | -1.011527377521614 | 3428
Per capita disappearance, retail lb 2/
Beef | 16.1 | 17 | 16 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 15.6 | 16.8 | 17 | 16 | 14.6 | 15.1 | 15.3 | 14.6 | 59.6 | 14.1 | 14.6 | 14.7 | 14 | 57.3 | 14 | 14.7 | 14.5 | 14.2 | 57.4 | 13.7 | 14.5 | 14.7 | 13.9 | 56.8 | 13.2 | 13.9 | 54.2 |  | 0 | -0.1000000000000014 | 0 | 0 | -27.1 | -1 | 28.4
Pork | 12.6 | 12.2 | 13 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 13.4 | 12.3 | 12.1 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 11.4 | 11.7 | 12.8 | 47.8 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 11 | 12.2 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 10.9 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 45.9 | 11.5 | 11.3 | 11.4 | 12.9 | 47 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 48 |  | 0.09999999999999964 | 0 | 0 | -0.09999999999999787 | -24.8 | -1.033333333333333 | 23.5
Lamb and mutton | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 |  | 0.09999999999999992 | 0 | 0 | 0.09999999999999992 | -0.5 | -1.111111111111111 | 0.45
Broilers | 18.8 | 19.6 | 20.8 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 21.7 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 20.1 | 20.5 | 21.4 | 20.4 | 82.4 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 20.8 | 19.1 | 82.9 | 20.1 | 20.4 | 20.3 | 19.7 | 80.4 | 20.1 | 20.3 | 20.6 | 20.4 | 81.3 | 20.4 | 21.2 | 83.5 |  | 0 | 0 | -0.09999999999999432 | -0.1000000000000014 | -41.90000000000001 | -1.003592814371258 | 40.65
Turkeys | 3.8 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 16 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 16.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 16.8 |  | 0 | 0.1000000000000014 | -0.1000000000000001 | -0.09999999999999876 | -9.3 | -1.107142857142857 | 8.05
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |  | 0
Total red meat & poultry | 52.1 | 53.7 | 54.1 | 54.8 | 56.6 | 55.9 | 53.6 | 55.2 | 55.7 | 56.4 | 50.7 | 51.2 | 53.3 | 53.7 | 208.9 | 51.3 | 51.3 | 51 | 51 | 204.6 | 49.3 | 50.3 | 50.6 | 52 | 202.2 | 49.5 | 50.3 | 51.4 | 52.6 | 203.8 | 49.5 | 51.1 | 204.9 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -104.3 | -1.018057589067838 | 101.9
Eggs, number | 62.8 | 62.9 | 63.7 | 63.9 | 64.1 | 65.5 | 63.4 | 63 | 63.5 | 65 | 61.5 | 61.4 | 62.2 | 62.8 | 247.9 | 61.1 | 61.3 | 62.2 | 63.1 | 247.6 | 62.3 | 61.2 | 62.2 | 64 | 249.7 | 62.4 | 61.6 | 62.5 | 64.3 | 250.7 | 62.6 | 63.1 | 254.4 |  | 0 | -0.1000000000000014 | 0 | -0.1000000000000085 | -128.7 | -1.011792452830188 | 125.35
Market prices
Choice steers, 5-area Direct, $/cwt | 79.11 | 70.19 | 82.16 | 88.15 | 83.58 | 85.09 | 89.09 | 87.96 | 81.79 | 90.27 | 89.44 | 96.33 | 95.47 | 100.28 | 95.38 | 110.07 | 112.79 | 114.05 | 121.99 | 114.73 | 125.29 | 120.91 | 119.69 | 125.54 | 122.86 | 125.52 | 124.95 | 120-124 | 121-129 | 123-126 | 122-132 | 124-134 | 126-136 |  | 0 | -0.004999999999995453 | -0.002499999999997726
Feeder steers, Ok City, $/cwt | 86.82 | 91.13 | 87.98 | 104.58 | 116.27 | 110.19 | 104.05 | 113.36 | 111.5 | 114.84 | 98.73 | 112.65 | 112.29 | 113.55 | 109.31 | 127.2 | 131.09 | 134.74 | 141.93 | 133.74 | 152.81 | 150.05 | 139.31 | 143.4 | 146.39 | 141.36 | 133.1 | 150-154 | 150-158 | 141-144 | 153-163 | 161-171 | 160-170 |  | -0.004999999999995453 | 0 | 0.002500000000026148
Cutter Cows, National L.E., $/cwt | 43.77 | 46.69 | 47.5 | 54.86 | 56.25 | 50.78 | 54.18 | 59.17 | 55.34 | 49.75 | 51.79 | 58.79 | 58.9 | 54.93 | 56.1 | 68.66 | 74.88 | 66.11 | 63.54 | 68.3 | 76.57 | 83.51 | 76.94 | 73.81 | 77.71 | 77.87 | 77.46 | 78-81 | 77-81 | 77-80 | 79-83 | 83-87 | 81-85 |  | 0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726
Choice slaughter lambs, San Angelo, $/cwt | 83.63 | 60.26 | 100.62 | 97.06 | 93.62 | 95.44 | 106.1 | 98.6 | 92.9 | 94.44 | 103.87 | 106.17 | 115.57 | 141.62 | 116.81 | 174.66 | 157.99 | 161.13 | 148.61 | 160.6 | 145.33 | 127.08 | 89.28 | 89.85 | 112.89 | 107.53 | 91.72 | 94-98 | 98-106 | 98-101 | 98-108 | 101-111 | 97-107 |  | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.002499999999997726 | -0.004999999999981242
Barrows & gilts, N. base, l.e. $/cwt | 42.83 | 51.05 | 44.18 | 54.91 | 56.58 | 54.35 | 51.92 | 52.09 | 50.51 | 45.67 | 50.41 | 59.6 | 60.13 | 50.11 | 55.06 | 59.94 | 68.8 | 71.06 | 64.66 | 66.11 | 61.68 | 61.79 | 61.43 | 58.63 | 60.88 | 59.03 | 65.46 | 67-69 | 58-62 | 62-64 | 57-61 | 60-64 | 58-62 |  | 0.002499999999997726 | 0.005000000000009663 | 0.002499999999997726
Broilers, 12 City, cents/lb | 57.8 | 61.1 | 73.2 | 79.3 | 75.7 | 68.3 | 71.9 | 72.6 | 72.1 | 66.7 | 82.2 | 85 | 84.5 | 80 | 82.9 | 77.9 | 82.6 | 78.8 | 76.8 | 79 | 87.4 | 85.1 | 82 | 92.1 | 86.6 | 103.5 | 108.6 | 98-100 | 92-98 | 100-103 | 90-98 | 93-101 | 95-102 |  | 0.02499999999999147 | 0.02500000000000568 | 0.05000000000001137
Turkeys, Eastern, cents/lb | 61.7 | 67.1 | 62.1 | 66.6 | 73.1 | 77.1 | 65.9 | 67.7 | 76.5 | 83.6 | 75.6 | 84.4 | 97.9 | 103.7 | 90.4 | 90.2 | 99.9 | 106.4 | 111.6 | 102 | 100.7 | 106.9 | 108.5 | 106.1 | 105.6 | 96 | 97.7 | 99-103 | 101-107 | 98-101 | 90-98 | 93-101 | 95-102 |  | 0 | 0.02500000000000568 | -0.04999999999998295
Eggs, New York, cents/doz. | 75.8 | 61.4 | 114.9 | 79.7 | 66.2 | 68 | 64.5 | 55.9 | 66.6 | 75 | 126 | 82.8 | 93.1 | 123.2 | 106.3 | 105.8 | 106.6 | 117.7 | 131.2 | 115.3 | 108.7 | 99.7 | 131.9 | 129.4 | 117.4 | 126.9 | 109.9 | 113-117 | 119-127 | 117-120 | 110-120 | 101-109 | 107-116 |  | -0.02500000000000568 | 0.02499999999999147 | 0.02500000000000568
[NAME] bean meal, 48% protein, $[NAME] /2
U.S. trade, million lb
Beef & veal exports | 569 | 582 | 36 | 120 | 138 | 166 | 130 | 189 | 150 | 220 | 478 | 585 | 590 | 646 | 2299 | 633 | 702 | 766 | 683 | 2785 | 558 | 625 | 651 | 621 | 2455 | 557 | 631 | 625 | 550 | 2363 | 525 | 600 | 2300 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1175 | -1.021739130434783
Beef & veal imports | 785 | 849 | 873 | 929 | 940 | 937 | 831 | 1065 | 906 | 797 | 573 | 690 | 598 | 436 | 2297 | 461 | 593 | 548 | 454 | 2057 | 582 | 669 | 516 | 452 | 2219 | 590 | 628 | 605 | 560 | 2383 | 670 | 725 | 2740 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1345 | -0.9817518248175182
Lamb and mutton imports | 37 | 29 | 62 | 47 | 34 | 38 | 41 | 52 | 39 | 48 | 47 | 46 | 31 | 42 | 166 | 49 | 48 | 31 | 34 | 162 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 40 | 153 | 49 | 44 | 38 | 42 | 173 | 44 | 42 | 164 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -78 | -0.9512195121951219
Pork exports | 393 | 318 | 523 | 546 | 486 | 626 | 630 | 699 | 629 | 702 | 1046 | 1081 | 951 | 1146 | 4224 | 1248 | 1200 | 1261 | 1481 | 5189 | 1444 | 1302 | 1252 | 1386 | 5384 | 1218 | 1226 | 1190 | 1390 | 5024 | 1270 | 1295 | 5255 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -2690 | -1.023786869647954
Pork imports | 226 | 262 | 275 | 265 | 291 | 268 | 245 | 245 | 257 | 277 | 199 | 204 | 237 | 219 | 859 | 201 | 195 | 194 | 213 | 803 | 207 | 191 | 198 | 205 | 801 | 207 | 210 | 200 | 200 | 817 | 210 | 210 | 820 |  | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -400 | -0.975609756097561
Broiler exports | 1375 | 1333 | 1024 | 1008 | 1250 | 1486 | 1199 | 1347 | 1315 | 1286 | 1469 | 1699 | 1643 | 1954 | 6765 | 1527 | 1588 | 1978 | 1879 | 6971 | 1737 | 1791 | 1867 | 1886 | 7281 | 1759 | 1876 | 1975 | 1875 | 7485 | 1850 | 1850 | 7550 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -3850 | -1.019867549668874
Turkey exports | 126 | 123 | 83 | 93 | 134 | 132 | 126 | 147 | 147 | 149 | 114 | 136 | 158 | 174 | 582 | 159 | 171 | 173 | 199 | 703 | 181 | 185 | 216 | 218 | 800 | 178 | 182 | 180 | 195 | 735 | 205 | 201 | 840 |  | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -434 | -1.033333333333333
Live swine imports (thousand head) |  |  | 2210 | 2024 | 2196 | 2075 | 1894 | 1951 | 2157 | 2189 | 1446 | 1408 | 1479 | 1416 | 5749 | 1452 | 1429 | 1407 | 1508 | 5795 | 1441 | 1444 | 1387 | 1380 | 5652 | 1326 | 1301 | 1300 | 1350 | 5277 | 1315 | 1290 | 5235 |  | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | -2630 | -1.004775549188157
1/ Forecasts are in bold.
2/ Per capita meat and egg disappearance data are calculated using the Resident Population Plus Armed Forces Overseas series from the Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
Source: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Supporting Materials.
For further information, contact: [NAME], (202) 694-5265, [EMAIL]
2013-08-14 00:00:00