Spreadsheet: 227845d1365849007-best-least-sqaures-fit-bds
Sheet: datai8r4-2.xls

Time-step | healthy_count | sick_count | recovered_count |  |  |  |  |  |  | healthy_model | sick_model | recovered_model | s_healthy | s_sick | s_recover
0 | 500 | 1 | 0 |  |  |  |  |  |  | 500 | 1 | 0
1 | 500 | 1 | 0 |  | infection rate |  | 17
2 | 500 | 1 | 0
3 | 500 | 1 | 0
4 | 500 | 1 | 0
5 | 500 | 1 | 0
6 | 499 | 2 | 0 |  | recovery rate |  | 21
7 | 499 | 2 | 0
8 | 499 | 2 | 0
9 | 499 | 2 | 0
10 | 499 | 2 | 0
11 | 499 | 2 | 0
12 | 499 | 2 | 0
13 | 499 | 2 | 0
14 | 499 | 2 | 0
15 | 499 | 2 | 0
16 | 499 | 2 | 0
17 | 499 | 2 | 0
18 | 499 | 2 | 0
19 | 499 | 2 | 0
20 | 499 | 2 | 0
21 | 499 | 2 | 0
22 | 499 | 2 | 0
23 | 499 | 2 | 0
24 | 499 | 1 | 1
25 | 499 | 1 | 1
26 | 499 | 1 | 1
27 | 499 | 1 | 1
28 | 499 | 1 | 1
29 | 499 | 1 | 1
30 | 498 | 2 | 1
31 | 498 | 2 | 1
32 | 498 | 2 | 1
33 | 498 | 2 | 1
34 | 498 | 2 | 1
35 | 498 | 1 | 2
36 | 497 | 2 | 2
37 | 497 | 2 | 2
38 | 497 | 2 | 2
39 | 497 | 2 | 2
40 | 496 | 3 | 2
41 | 496 | 3 | 2
42 | 496 | 3 | 2
43 | 496 | 3 | 2
44 | 496 | 3 | 2
45 | 496 | 3 | 2
46 | 496 | 3 | 2
47 | 494 | 5 | 2
48 | 492 | 7 | 2
49 | 491 | 8 | 2
50 | 490 | 8 | 3
51 | 489 | 9 | 3
52 | 489 | 9 | 3
53 | 489 | 9 | 3
54 | 488 | 10 | 3
55 | 487 | 11 | 3
56 | 486 | 12 | 3
57 | 485 | 13 | 3
58 | 485 | 13 | 3
59 | 483 | 15 | 3
60 | 481 | 17 | 3
61 | 480 | 18 | 3
62 | 479 | 19 | 3
63 | 475 | 23 | 3
64 | 473 | 25 | 3
65 | 471 | 27 | 3
66 | 470 | 28 | 3
67 | 468 | 28 | 5
68 | 465 | 31 | 5
69 | 463 | 32 | 6
70 | 462 | 31 | 8
71 | 460 | 32 | 9
72 | 459 | 33 | 9
73 | 456 | 36 | 9
74 | 455 | 37 | 9
75 | 454 | 38 | 9
76 | 452 | 39 | 10
77 | 448 | 42 | 11
78 | 445 | 45 | 11
79 | 444 | 45 | 12
80 | 437 | 50 | 14
81 | 434 | 52 | 15
82 | 434 | 51 | 16
83 | 431 | 52 | 18
84 | 430 | 48 | 23
85 | 427 | 49 | 25
86 | 424 | 49 | 28
87 | 423 | 49 | 29
88 | 419 | 51 | 31
89 | 418 | 49 | 34
90 | 417 | 45 | 39
91 | 416 | 45 | 40
92 | 413 | 47 | 41
93 | 410 | 50 | 41
94 | 409 | 50 | 42
95 | 405 | 51 | 45
96 | 403 | 52 | 46
97 | 398 | 53 | 50
98 | 395 | 56 | 50
99 | 393 | 56 | 52
100 | 390 | 57 | 54
101 | 389 | 58 | 54
102 | 383 | 57 | 61
103 | 379 | 60 | 62
104 | 376 | 61 | 64
105 | 374 | 61 | 66
106 | 369 | 64 | 68
107 | 366 | 66 | 69
108 | 362 | 68 | 71
109 | 355 | 75 | 71
110 | 354 | 76 | 71
111 | 351 | 77 | 73
112 | 346 | 80 | 75
113 | 341 | 82 | 78
114 | 338 | 85 | 78
115 | 334 | 88 | 79
116 | 334 | 87 | 80
117 | 331 | 86 | 84
118 | 325 | 88 | 88
119 | 321 | 92 | 88
120 | 316 | 90 | 95
121 | 312 | 92 | 97
122 | 308 | 94 | 99
123 | 304 | 92 | 105
124 | 298 | 96 | 107
125 | 296 | 93 | 112
126 | 293 | 92 | 116
127 | 291 | 88 | 122
128 | 289 | 88 | 124
129 | 287 | 87 | 127
130 | 285 | 85 | 131
131 | 281 | 88 | 132
132 | 276 | 88 | 137
133 | 274 | 84 | 143
134 | 270 | 84 | 147
135 | 268 | 85 | 148
136 | 266 | 84 | 151
137 | 266 | 80 | 155
138 | 263 | 78 | 160
139 | 261 | 75 | 165
140 | 258 | 78 | 165
141 | 257 | 74 | 170
142 | 257 | 72 | 172
143 | 256 | 70 | 175
144 | 256 | 67 | 178
145 | 250 | 69 | 182
146 | 246 | 70 | 185
147 | 245 | 68 | 188
148 | 242 | 69 | 190
149 | 241 | 66 | 194
150 | 236 | 67 | 198
151 | 231 | 68 | 202
152 | 228 | 70 | 203
153 | 225 | 71 | 205
154 | 223 | 71 | 207
155 | 217 | 74 | 210
156 | 215 | 71 | 215
157 | 209 | 76 | 216
158 | 206 | 78 | 217
159 | 203 | 79 | 219
160 | 201 | 79 | 221
161 | 198 | 78 | 225
162 | 197 | 76 | 228
163 | 196 | 76 | 229
164 | 194 | 76 | 231
165 | 191 | 77 | 233
166 | 190 | 72 | 239
167 | 188 | 71 | 242
168 | 183 | 73 | 245
169 | 180 | 72 | 249
170 | 178 | 72 | 251
171 | 175 | 75 | 251
172 | 175 | 70 | 256
173 | 172 | 72 | 257
174 | 172 | 71 | 258
175 | 172 | 71 | 258
176 | 171 | 68 | 262
177 | 170 | 65 | 266
178 | 170 | 59 | 272
179 | 168 | 59 | 274
180 | 167 | 59 | 275
181 | 165 | 57 | 279
182 | 161 | 58 | 282
183 | 160 | 55 | 286
184 | 159 | 52 | 290
185 | 158 | 51 | 292
186 | 158 | 50 | 293
187 | 155 | 48 | 298
188 | 154 | 48 | 299
189 | 153 | 48 | 300
190 | 151 | 50 | 300
191 | 150 | 46 | 305
192 | 150 | 44 | 307
193 | 148 | 45 | 308
194 | 146 | 44 | 311
195 | 144 | 46 | 311
196 | 144 | 45 | 312
197 | 143 | 44 | 314
198 | 142 | 43 | 316
199 | 141 | 41 | 319
200 | 140 | 39 | 322
201 | 140 | 39 | 322
202 | 138 | 39 | 324
203 | 136 | 39 | 326
204 | 136 | 36 | 329
205 | 136 | 32 | 333
206 | 136 | 30 | 335
207 | 136 | 30 | 335
208 | 136 | 29 | 336
209 | 134 | 31 | 336
210 | 133 | 30 | 338
211 | 131 | 31 | 339
212 | 131 | 29 | 341
213 | 129 | 31 | 341
214 | 129 | 30 | 342
215 | 129 | 29 | 343
216 | 128 | 29 | 344
217 | 126 | 29 | 346
218 | 126 | 29 | 346
219 | 125 | 28 | 348
220 | 124 | 27 | 350
221 | 124 | 26 | 351
222 | 123 | 27 | 351
223 | 123 | 25 | 353
224 | 121 | 26 | 354
225 | 121 | 26 | 354
226 | 120 | 25 | 356
227 | 119 | 24 | 358
228 | 118 | 22 | 361
229 | 117 | 22 | 362
230 | 117 | 20 | 364
231 | 117 | 19 | 365
232 | 117 | 18 | 366
233 | 117 | 18 | 366
234 | 116 | 17 | 368
235 | 116 | 17 | 368
236 | 116 | 17 | 368
237 | 115 | 18 | 368
238 | 115 | 18 | 368
239 | 114 | 17 | 370
240 | 113 | 17 | 371
241 | 113 | 16 | 372
242 | 111 | 15 | 375
243 | 111 | 15 | 375
244 | 110 | 16 | 375
245 | 110 | 15 | 376
246 | 110 | 15 | 376
247 | 110 | 14 | 377
248 | 109 | 15 | 377
249 | 108 | 15 | 378
250 | 107 | 16 | 378
251 | 107 | 15 | 379
252 | 107 | 13 | 381
253 | 106 | 12 | 383
254 | 106 | 12 | 383
255 | 106 | 11 | 384
256 | 106 | 11 | 384
257 | 106 | 10 | 385
258 | 105 | 11 | 385
259 | 105 | 9 | 387
260 | 105 | 9 | 387
261 | 105 | 9 | 387
262 | 105 | 9 | 387
263 | 104 | 10 | 387
264 | 104 | 9 | 388
265 | 103 | 10 | 388
266 | 103 | 9 | 389
267 | 103 | 8 | 390
268 | 103 | 8 | 390
269 | 103 | 7 | 391
270 | 103 | 6 | 392
271 | 103 | 6 | 392
272 | 103 | 6 | 392
273 | 103 | 5 | 393
274 | 102 | 6 | 393
275 | 102 | 6 | 393
276 | 101 | 7 | 393
277 | 101 | 7 | 393
278 | 101 | 7 | 393
279 | 101 | 7 | 393
280 | 101 | 7 | 393
281 | 101 | 6 | 394
282 | 100 | 7 | 394
283 | 100 | 7 | 394
284 | 98 | 9 | 394
285 | 98 | 9 | 394
286 | 98 | 9 | 394
287 | 98 | 8 | 395
288 | 98 | 6 | 397
289 | 98 | 6 | 397
290 | 98 | 6 | 397
291 | 98 | 6 | 397
292 | 98 | 5 | 398
293 | 98 | 4 | 399
294 | 98 | 4 | 399
295 | 97 | 4 | 400
296 | 97 | 4 | 400
297 | 96 | 5 | 400
298 | 95 | 6 | 400
299 | 95 | 5 | 401
300 | 95 | 5 | 401
301 | 95 | 5 | 401
302 | 94 | 6 | 401
303 | 94 | 6 | 401
304 | 94 | 6 | 401
305 | 94 | 6 | 401
306 | 94 | 6 | 401
307 | 93 | 7 | 401
308 | 93 | 7 | 401
309 | 93 | 7 | 401
310 | 93 | 7 | 401
311 | 93 | 6 | 402
312 | 93 | 6 | 402
313 | 93 | 6 | 402
314 | 93 | 6 | 402
315 | 93 | 4 | 404
316 | 93 | 4 | 404
317 | 93 | 4 | 404
318 | 93 | 4 | 404
319 | 93 | 4 | 404
320 | 93 | 4 | 404
321 | 93 | 4 | 404
322 | 93 | 4 | 404
323 | 93 | 4 | 404
324 | 93 | 4 | 404
325 | 93 | 4 | 404
326 | 92 | 5 | 404
327 | 92 | 5 | 404
328 | 92 | 5 | 404
329 | 92 | 5 | 404
330 | 92 | 5 | 404
331 | 91 | 6 | 404
332 | 91 | 6 | 404
333 | 91 | 6 | 404
334 | 91 | 5 | 405
335 | 91 | 5 | 405
336 | 91 | 5 | 405
337 | 91 | 5 | 405
338 | 90 | 6 | 405
339 | 90 | 6 | 405
340 | 90 | 6 | 405
341 | 90 | 6 | 405
342 | 90 | 6 | 405
343 | 90 | 6 | 405
344 | 90 | 5 | 406
345 | 90 | 5 | 406
346 | 90 | 5 | 406
347 | 90 | 4 | 407
348 | 90 | 4 | 407
349 | 90 | 4 | 407
350 | 90 | 3 | 408
351 | 90 | 3 | 408
352 | 90 | 3 | 408
353 | 89 | 4 | 408
354 | 89 | 3 | 409
355 | 89 | 2 | 410
356 | 89 | 2 | 410
357 | 89 | 2 | 410
358 | 89 | 2 | 410
359 | 89 | 2 | 410
360 | 89 | 2 | 410
361 | 89 | 2 | 410
362 | 89 | 2 | 410
363 | 89 | 2 | 410
364 | 89 | 2 | 410
365 | 89 | 2 | 410
366 | 89 | 2 | 410
367 | 89 | 2 | 410
368 | 89 | 2 | 410
369 | 89 | 2 | 410
370 | 89 | 1 | 411
371 | 89 | 1 | 411
372 | 89 | 1 | 411
373 | 89 | 1 | 411
374 | 89 | 1 | 411
375 | 89 | 1 | 411
376 | 89 | 0 | 412