Spreadsheet: 0e21c80c-5db1-4144-ad34-112548b6bf62
Sheet: Sheet1

Table 1 | Unnamed: 1 | Unnamed: 2 | Unnamed: 3 | Unnamed: 4 | Unnamed: 5 | Unnamed: 6 | Unnamed: 7 | Unnamed: 8 | Unnamed: 9
Projected Population of Regional Council Areas
2006–31 (2006-base) update
Regional council area(1) | Series(2) | Population at 30 June |  |  |  |  |  | Population change 2006–31
 |  | 2006(3) | 2011 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | Number | Average annual(4) (percent)
 | High |  | 162600 | 171400 | 180100 | 188400 | 195900 | 43200 | 1
Northland region | Medium | 152700 | 159100 | 163700 | 167200 | 169900 | 171300 | 18600 | 0.5
 | Low |  | 155700 | 155900 | 154600 | 151900 | 147800 | -4900 | -0.1
 | High |  | 1517400 | 1670400 | 1829400 | 1991800 | 2154700 | 783700 | 1.8
Auckland region | Medium | 1371000 | 1488000 | 1604000 | 1719200 | 1833300 | 1944700 | 573700 | 1.4
 | Low |  | 1458800 | 1538300 | 1611400 | 1679400 | 1742100 | 371100 | 1
 | High |  | 426100 | 453900 | 481300 | 508200 | 534200 | 139100 | 1.2
Waikato region | Medium | 395100 | 416600 | 432600 | 446200 | 458100 | 468200 | 73100 | 0.7
 | Low |  | 407100 | 411500 | 411900 | 409700 | 404800 | 9700 | 0.1
 | High |  | 286200 | 306900 | 327800 | 348600 | 368800 | 103500 | 1.3
Bay of Plenty region | Medium | 265300 | 279600 | 292100 | 303600 | 314100 | 323400 | 58100 | 0.8
 | Low |  | 273000 | 277500 | 279900 | 280700 | 279800 | 14400 | 0.2
 | High |  | 48100 | 49800 | 51500 | 53000 | 54300 | 8400 | 0.7
Gisborne region | Medium | 46000 | 46900 | 47100 | 47000 | 46700 | 45900 | 0 | 0
 | Low |  | 45700 | 44400 | 42600 | 40500 | 37900 | -8100 | -0.8
 | High |  | 158600 | 164900 | 171100 | 176900 | 182200 | 30100 | 0.7
[NAME]'s Bay region | Medium | 152100 | 155300 | 157300 | 158400 | 158800 | 158300 | 6200 | 0.2
 | Low |  | 151900 | 149700 | 146000 | 141300 | 135300 | -16800 | -0.5
 | High |  | 112300 | 116400 | 120300 | 123900 | 127000 | 19700 | 0.7
Taranaki region | Medium | 107300 | 109600 | 110400 | 110400 | 109800 | 108500 | 1300 | 0
 | Low |  | 106900 | 104400 | 100700 | 96200 | 90800 | -16500 | -0.7
 | High |  | 238700 | 247600 | 256300 | 264700 | 272100 | 42700 | 0.7
Manawatu-Wanganui region | Medium | 229400 | 233500 | 236000 | 237400 | 237800 | 236900 | 7600 | 0.1
 | Low |  | 228300 | 224600 | 219000 | 211900 | 203200 | -26100 | -0.5
 | High |  | 500800 | 532000 | 561800 | 591000 | 618700 | 152500 | 1.1
Wellington region | Medium | 466300 | 489100 | 506100 | 519900 | 531700 | 541200 | 75000 | 0.6
 | Low |  | 477400 | 480500 | 478800 | 474100 | 466500 | 200 | 0
 | High |  | 49100 | 52200 | 55200 | 58200 | 60900 | 15100 | 1.1
Tasman region | Medium | 45800 | 47900 | 49600 | 51100 | 52300 | 53200 | 7400 | 0.6
 | Low |  | 46700 | 47100 | 47000 | 46600 | 45800 | 0 | 0
 | High |  | 47100 | 49800 | 52500 | 55200 | 57700 | 13500 | 1.1
[NAME] region | Medium | 44300 | 45900 | 47200 | 48300 | 49200 | 49900 | 5600 | 0.5
 | Low |  | 44700 | 44600 | 44100 | 43300 | 42200 | -2000 | -0.2
 | High |  | 47000 | 49700 | 52200 | 54500 | 56400 | 12800 | 1
Marlborough region | Medium | 43600 | 45800 | 47100 | 48000 | 48600 | 48700 | 5200 | 0.5
 | Low |  | 44600 | 44600 | 44000 | 42900 | 41400 | -2200 | -0.2
 | High |  | 33900 | 34800 | 35700 | 36400 | 36900 | 4800 | 0.6
West Coast region | Medium | 32100 | 33100 | 33000 | 32600 | 32100 | 31300 | -800 | -0.1
 | Low |  | 32200 | 31100 | 29700 | 27900 | 25900 | -6200 | -0.9
For footnotes, see end of table.
Table 1
continued
Projected Population of Regional Council Areas
2006–31 (2006-base) update
Regional council area(1) | Series(2) | Population at 30 June |  |  |  |  |  | Population change 2006–31
 |  | 2006(3) | 2011 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | Number | Average annual(4) (percent)
 | High |  | 584200 | 623600 | 661600 | 699400 | 736400 | 196400 | 1.2
Canterbury region | Medium | 540000 | 571800 | 596000 | 616600 | 635500 | 652400 | 112400 | 0.8
 | Low |  | 559400 | 568700 | 572500 | 573300 | 571300 | 31200 | 0.2
 | High |  | 214000 | 226000 | 237500 | 248800 | 259600 | 59800 | 1.1
Otago region | Medium | 199800 | 208500 | 214100 | 218700 | 222700 | 225900 | 26100 | 0.5
 | Low |  | 202900 | 202400 | 200400 | 197500 | 193500 | -6300 | -0.1
 | High |  | 96300 | 98800 | 100500 | 101700 | 102500 | 9300 | 0.4
Southland region | Medium | 93200 | 94200 | 93900 | 92600 | 90600 | 87900 | -5200 | -0.2
 | Low |  | 92000 | 89100 | 84900 | 79800 | 73900 | -19300 | -0.9
 | High |  | 3417200 | 3642400 | 3867100 | 4090300 | 4306100 | 1120900 | 1.2
North Island(5) | Medium | 3185100 | 3377600 | 3549300 | 3709400 | 3860400 | 3998600 | 813500 | 0.9
 | Low |  | 3335500 | 3450900 | 3543100 | 3618300 | 3676600 | 491500 | 0.6
 | High |  | 1060500 | 1111100 | 1157500 | 1201800 | 1242800 | 244000 | 0.9
South Island(6) | Medium | 998800 | 1047100 | 1080900 | 1107900 | 1130900 | 1149400 | 150600 | 0.6
 | Low |  | 1033700 | 1050600 | 1057900 | 1059200 | 1054800 | 56000 | 0.2
 | High |  | 4441800 | 4700300 | 4954300 | 5204300 | 5442400 | 1257800 | 1.1
New Zealand(7) | Medium | 4184600 | 4425400 | 4630800 | 4817900 | 4991900 | 5148500 | 964000 | 0.8
 | Low |  | 4408800 | 4561400 | 4682700 | 4782200 | 4859400 | 674800 | 0.6
(1) Boundaries at 30 June 2009.
(2) Three alternative projection series have been produced using different combinations of fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions for
each area.
(3) These projections have as a base the estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2006.
(4) Calculated as a constant rate of population change over the period.
(5) The medium projection of the North Island is the sum of the medium projections of the North Island regions. The low and high projections
of the North Island are derived independently of the regional projections.
(6) The medium projection of the South Island is the sum of the medium projections of the South Island regions. The low and high projections
of the South Island are derived independently of the regional projections.
(7) New Zealand comprises the North Island and South Island regions plus areas not included in a region (eg Chatham Islands territory).
The low, medium, and high projections of New Zealand are from series 1, 5, and 9, respectively, of the 2009-base national population
projections (released October 2009).
Notes: All derived figures have been calculated using data of greater precision than published.
Owing to rounding, individual figures may not sum to stated totals.