Spreadsheet: louise_kitchen__22601__Sprague--Supply&Demand--client
Sheet: Power

 |  |  |  |  | Installed Generating Capacity in the United States
 |  |  |  |  | (all figures in Megawatts unless otherwise noted)
 | Investor- | Government | Installed Capacity |  | Total U.S. | Yr/Yr % | Gross | Net | Summer | Capability | Summer
At | Owned | and | Total Electric | Non Utility | Installed | Capacity | Capacity | Capacity | Capability as | at Summer | Peak | Reserve
2001-12-31 00:00:00 | Utilities | Cooperatives | Utility Industry | Sources | Capacity | Increase | Additions* | Additions* | %  total installed | Peak** | Demand *** | Margin
1978 | 453,647 | 125,665 | 579312 | 19,391 | 598,703 | - |  | -
1979 | 464,144 | 134,299 | 598443 | 17,436 | 615,879 | 0.02868868203433084 |  | 17176 | 0.8841119765408465 | 544506 | 398424 | 0.2682835450849026
1980 | 477,083 | 136,612 | 613695 | 17,323e | 631,018 | 0.02458112713698624 |  | 15139 | 0.8846609763905309 | 558237 | 427058 | 0.2349880068859642
1981 | 490,767 | 144,041 | 634808 | 17,142e | 651,950 | 0.03317179541629556 |  | 20932 | 0.8777038116419971 | 572219 | 429349 | 0.2496771341042503
1982 | 499,111 | 150,994 | 650105 | 16,938e | 667,043 | 0.02315054835493524 |  | 15093 | 0.8787169642736675 | 586142 | 415618 | 0.2909260895823879
1983 | 505,487 | 152,695 | 658182 | 16,765e | 674,947 | 0.01184931106390441 |  | 7904 | 0.8836975347693967 | 596449 | 447526 | 0.2496827054785908
1984 | 514,863 | 157,600 | 672462 | 17,371e | 689,833 | 0.02205506506436805 |  | 14886 | 0.8759221434753048 | 604240 | 451150 | 0.2533595922150139
1985 | 530,405 | 158,328 | 688733 | 22,920 | 711,653 | 0.03163084398687799 |  | 21820 | 0.8734551811065224 | 621597 | 460503 | 0.259161482439587
1986 | 544,199 | 163,485 | 707684 | 25,321 | 733,005 | 0.03000338648189493 |  | 21352 | 0.8639654572615466 | 633291 | 476320 | 0.2478655152212805
1987 | 552,795 | 165,261 | 718056 | 30,015 | 748,071 | 0.02055374792804954 |  | 15066 | 0.8663856772953369 | 648118 | 496185 | 0.234421818249146
1988 | 557,756 | 166,097 | 723852 | 33,741 | 757,593 | 0.01272873831494614 |  | 9522 | 0.873265724472111 | 661580 | 529460 | 0.199703739532634
1989 | 562,127 | 168,757 | 730883 | 40,267 | 771,150 | 0.01789483271360748 |  | 13557 | 0.8731323348246126 | 673316 | 523432 | 0.2226057304445461
1990 | 568,769 | 166,282 | 735051 | 45,127 | 780,178 | 0.01170719055955383 | 24631.56 | 9028 | 0.8781214030644289 | 685091 | 545537 | 0.2037014060905777
1991 | 573,023 | 166,934 | 739957 | 50,052 | 790,009 | 0.01260097054774678 | 25631.18 | 9831 | 0.874565985957122 | 690915 | 551320 | 0.2020436667317976
1992 | 572,920 | 168,730 | 741651 | 55,188 | 796,839 | 0.008645471127544102 | 22766.78 | 6830 | 0.8727434274677821 | 695436 | 548707 | 0.2109885021770516
1993 | 575,163 | 169,526 | 744689 | 58,134 | 802,823 | 0.007509672593836392 | 22040.46 | 5984 | 0.8647609747104904 | 694250 | 575356 | 0.1712553114872164
1994 | 574,834 | 171,120 | 745954 | 65,010 | 810,964 | 0.01014046682768188 | 24360.28 | 8141 | 0.866851056273768 | 702985 | 585320 | 0.1673791048173148 |  | Forecast Drivers
1995 | 578668 | 171,874 | 750541 | 66,416 | 816,958 | 0.007391203555275005 | 22333.16 | 5994 | 0.8742456772563584 | 714222 | 620249 | 0.1315739363951265 |  | GE Greenville | Greenville |  | GE |  |  |  |  | Total GE | Implied
1996 | 582214 | 174,267 | 756481 | 69328 | 825809 | 0.01083409428636473 | 25367.18 | 8851 | 0.8761965539246969 | 723571 | 615529 | 0.1493177587272017 |  | Shipments | Smoothed | GE GW | Steam | Steam | Steam | Aero | Aero | GW | Industry
1997 | 582508 | 177,367 | 759875 | 70301 | 830176 | 0.005288147743606642 | 20970.52 | 4367 | 0.8782222083028177 | 729079 | 631355 | 0.1340376008635552 |  | in GW | GW | % Chg | Units | GW | Smoothed | units | GW | (90% US) | w/ GE 70%
1998 | 531591 | 197,190 | 728782 | 99195 | 827977 | -0.002648835909493941 | 14360.54 | -2199 | 0.8746535229843341 | 724193 | 660293 | 0.08823614699396432 |  | 8
1999 | 483746 | 194209 | 677955 | 167357 | 845312 | 0.02093657190960618 | 34241.24 | 17335 | 0.8677044688824954 | 733481 | 681449 | 0.07093844284991702 |  | 14 | 11
2000 |  |  |  |  | 867575.0457142857 | 0.02633707520333983 | 39169.28571428572 | 22263.04571428572 | 0.87 | 754790.2897714286 | 699983.4177547444 | 0.07261205232685386 |  | 25 | 19.5 | 0.7857142857142858 | 43 | 7.525 |  | 86 | 3.44 | 27.4185 | 39.16928571428572
2001 |  |  |  |  | 905200.6876571429 | 0.04336874617213038 | 54977.14285714286 | 37625.64194285715 | 0.87 | 787524.5982617143 | 719021.9446086399 | 0.08698477965549112 |  | 40 | 32.5 | 0.6 | 65 | 3.9 | 5.7125 | 159 | 6.36 | 38.484 | 54.97714285714287
2002 |  |  |  |  | 959430.9596182858 | 0.05990966721589963 | 72334.28571428571 | 54230.27196114285 | 0.87 | 834704.9348679086 | 738578.2915930882 | 0.1151624235814928 |  | 49 | 44.5 | 0.225 | 96 | 5.76 | 4.83 | 150 | 6 | 50.634 | 72.33428571428571
2003 |  |  |  |  | 1018362.34042592 | 0.06142326367191697 | 78120 | 58931.38080763428 | 0.87 | 885975.2361705505 | 758666.5426595242 | 0.1436932865768262 |  | 49 | 49 | 0 | 96 | 5.76 | 5.76 | 150 | 6 | 54.684 | 78.12
2004 |  |  |  |  | 1062795.093617402 | 0.04363157535155726 | 64800 | 44432.7531914816 | 0.87 | 924631.7314471395 | 779301.1648222969 | 0.1571767025531191 |  | 35 | 42 | -0.2857142857142857 | 68.57142857142857 | 4.114285714285714 | 4.937142857142857 | 107.1428571428571 | 4.285714285714286 | 45.36 | 64.8
2005 |  |  |  |  | 1092582.048887911 | 0.02802699734821323 | 51042.85714285715 | 29786.95527050912 | 0.87 | 950546.3825324824 | 800497.0185774209 | 0.1578559097298274 |  | 30 | 32.5 | -0.1428571428571429 | 58.77551020408163 | 3.526530612244897 | 3.820408163265306 | 91.83673469387755 | 3.673469387755102 | 35.73 | 51.04285714285715
2006 |  |  |  |  | 1118558.979338724 | 0.02377572510664439 | 47828.57142857143 | 25976.93045081322 | 0.87 | 973146.3120246899 | 822269.368604703 | 0.1550403485639054 |  | 30 | 30 | 0 | 58.77551020408163 | 3.526530612244897 | 3.526530612244897 | 91.83673469387755 | 3.673469387755102 | 33.48 | 47.82857142857144
2007 |  |  |  |  | 1144016.371180521 | 0.0227590965805371 | 47828.57142857143 | 25457.39184179695 | 0.87 | 995294.2429270531 | 844633.8947609517 | 0.1513726711841772 |  | 30 | 30 | 0 | 58.77551020408163 | 3.526530612244897 | 3.526530612244897 | 91.83673469387755 | 3.673469387755102 | 33.48 | 47.82857142857144
2008 |  |  |  |  | 1168964.615185482 | 0.02180759352177519 | 47828.57142857143 | 24948.24400496102 | 0.87 | 1016999.215211369 | 867606.7033721851 | 0.1468954052320828 |  | 30 | 30 | 0 | 58.77551020408163 | 3.526530612244897 | 3.526530612244897 | 91.83673469387755 | 3.673469387755102 | 33.48 | 47.82857142857144
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Note: GE data thru '02 based on GE forecast, 03 and beyond is SSB estimate
*  Assumes 2% retirement rate on installed base (I.e 50 yr plant life) |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Majority of steam units are for combined cycle gas applications
** Represents [NAME]. avail output under normal hydro conditions and  includes allowance for maint, unplanned outages and system requirements |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Smoothing adjusts for fact that a unit shipped by GE may not be operational for 6-12 months
*** Assumes demand grows 2.7%, in line with 20-year average |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Smoothing not used for aero units due to quick deployment times
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1 GW = 1000MW
Note: Total may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding.
Sources: U.S. Department of Energy. Energy Information Administration. Annual Electric Generator Report (EIA-860),
and Edison Electric Institute's "Capacity and Generation of Non-Utility Sources of Energy" and General Electric.
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Assumed Growth
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Rate of Demand
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Assumption:
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | 0.02719853980964747