Navigating Uncertainty Through Data
Published: 2023-11-08 03:34:53

Life is filled with uncertainty, for individuals and businesses alike. Individuals grapple with personal choices, career paths, and finding an ultimate purpose and meaning in a endlessly complex and ambiguous world. On a grander scale, businesses and companies also face uncertain decisions, from fluctuating markets to budget management and the selection of key personnel. It’s in these moments of uncertainty that leveraging information becomes so important. 

In the modern age, data science has become a powerful way for businesses to do this and make more informed decisions. However, on a human level, making difficult decisions can be a bit more complicated. This is where my personal journey through uncertainty comes in. After college, I ventured into real estate and considered pursuing a law degree, trying to find the answer to the uncertainty of career path. Ironically, the answer to this quandary led me to a career in data science, a field that businesses also embrace to fill the gaps of uncertainty, enabling better decision-making in an uncertain world.

##Lessons from _Fooled by Randomness_

My journey into data science has its roots in college, when a close friend recommended I check out "Fooled by Randomness" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. This book opened my eyes to the significance of randomness and uncertainty in our lives and first led me to the idea that data and statistics could be used to navigate through uncertainty.
 
This book exposed the ways in which humans tend to construct narratives as a coping mechanism in the face of randomness, showing that our innate desire for order and meaning often leads us to create narratives and underestimate pure chance and probability. This cognitive bias, known as the narrative fallacy, is a pitfall that I believe can be combatted by prioritizing use of data and statistics rather than intuition or 'gut feel,' which can often lead to false conclusions and bad decisions. However, it important to recognize that this is a bit of a double-edged sword. While analyzing data through an objective lens should lead to informed decisions, it is also easy to construct narratives around patterns in our data that are ultimately random. 
 
In the broader context, understanding the narrative fallacy has practical implications not only for data scientists but for anyone making decisions based on data. It serves as a reminder of the need for critical thinking and a healthy dose of skepticism when constructing explanations for events. This is a lesson that I would like to carry forward through my data science journey, reminding me to question the stories we tell ourselves, whether in our personal lives or in the business world, and to seek clarity amidst the randomness of existence.

##Path Forward

One area where data science truly shines is in sports analytics. As a sports enthusiast, I've always been captivated by the possibilities of leveraging data to gain deeper insights into player performance, team dynamics, and game strategies. Even as a sports-obsessed teenager, I was the one at the lunch table referencing advanced statistics to support my hot takes on topics like ranking basketball legends or comparing quarterbacks' performances. 
                   
Sports analytics offers a unique opportunity to apply statistical methods and machine learning to discover valuable insights that can significantly impact game outcomes. It's no wonder that many professional front offices have started and continued to expand analytics departments during the 21st century. While the roots of sports analytics are deeply entwined with baseball, thanks to the rise of Sabermetrics, the influence of data-driven decision-making has spread to other sports like football and basketball, among others. These sports, though inherently more complex due to confounding variables and noisier statistics, are gradually embracing the power of data.
                                             
With my extensive domain knowledge in sports and a solid conceptual understanding of analytics, I see the potential to make a meaningful contribution to this era of data in sports. This could serve as a fitting way to use my data science skills and contribute to the rise of sports analytics. 

On another note, psychology has always piqued my interest. I have an undergraduate degree in Psychology, and I have always been fascinated by the complexity of the human brain, whether it be addressing mental health concerns or in neuroscience generally. It occurs to me that I might find a compelling way to merge my interest in psychology with my data science proficiency, creating a unique intersection of knowledge.

In all honesty, I don't have a clear-cut answer for how I will use my data science skills in my career. While sports analytics and psychology both offer exciting possibilities, my belief in data as a guiding light for businesses and individuals keeps me open to the twists and turns of my data science journey. The future is uncertain, and I am eager to explore where it may lead me.