English: Thank you, Deputy Presiding Officer. It is surely common knowledge that adult social care services in Wales are facing unprecedented levels of pressure and are struggling to meet the growing financial and social demands of an ageing population. As our former Older People's Commissioner for Wales, Sarah Rochira, noted to the Finance Committee, social care support is a critical lifeline, helping vulnerable citizens to maintain their own independence. However, this lifeline is straining at the seams to keep up with current demand. For example, data from the ONS shows that over 800,000 of our 3.1 million people living in Wales are now aged 60 or over, with around a third of these aged over 75 - this being only set to increase in coming years. Also, Wales currently has the highest rate of long-term illness in the UK, which is the most expensive aspect of NHS care, having previously increased from 105,000 to 142,000 between 2001 and 2010. As a result, pressures on adult social care services are fully expected to rise by about 4.1 per cent every year. Fully funding these pressures would require an extra £1 billion by 2030, according to the Health Foundation. At the current levels in investment and support, this is simply unachievable. As the Finance Committee Chair acknowledged, these pressures have led to a funding shortfall. The Welsh Government continues to underfund vital services. The promise of an extra £60 million, given in the 2019 budget, is nothing more than a drop in the ocean of need. As Welsh Conservatives, we believe too that a better spending use could be made by looking at some of the reductions of wasteful spend by this Welsh Labour Government. One only has to look at the special measures implemented now against the Betsi health board, where £10 million have been spent, and yet, in three and a half years, we've seen no improvement. How much better that spend would have been had it been put into a social care budget and given to our local authorities? Not only do local authorities already spend over £550 million on social care for the elderly, the WLGA now predicts that there will be an extra £344 million-worth of added pressure on social care services by 2021-22. These are eye-watering and very worrying figures. Besides the lack of direct funding, the Government have repeatedly mismanaged funds that could have been used to improve the quality of social care services. What benefits can be drawn for those people requiring these vulnerable services from the £221 million spent on uncompetitive enterprise zones? Also, has it not been 18 months since the £100 million automotive park at Ebbw Vale was announced? Yet we still do not see any foundations laid or a single job brought about by this so-called investment. Indeed, this is becoming quite routine from this Labour Government. The funding gap has extended to the point that adult social care investment needs to rise by 4 per cent every year, increasing the spend to £2.3 billion. And this is according to the Health Foundation. Now, in contrast, the UK Government is due to publish a Green Paper covering a wide range of issues, reflecting their broader vision for a sustainable system of social care. This would be implemented through areas such as workforce planning, backing the sector with £2 billion of investment between 2018 and 2021 to get the right people into the right roles, or considering a more holistic and person-centred care service. In his most recent report, Professor Holtham puts forward the case for a social care levy. However, as the Finance Committee has advised, and this will be debated again tomorrow, the Welsh Government will need to be able to justify how any funds raised will be used and to demonstrate their impact. Other areas of caution include his admission that further research is almost certainly needed to prevent a reliance on highly provisional figures as well as managing the impact of issues of complex and costly administration, or let's look at the concerns raised by Age Cymru about hypothecation of financing, worrying that money would be diverted by the whim of Ministers like the national insurance fund. Despite these worries, the fundamental message remains the same - the adult social care service in Wales is creaking. Those working in our care sector are under immense strain and our services are facing a growing demand and increased financial pressures. I believe, and I understand and agree with you, Minister, that we need to look at this really holistically, really maturely, and I think that it is prudent for us now to work forward, collectively, across the political barriers and we really do need to start having some serious and some tough talking as regards taking our social care funding requirements going forward. Thank you.
Welsh: Diolch, Dirprwy Lywydd. Siawns fod pawb yn gwybod bod gwasanaethau gofal cymdeithasol i oedolion yng Nghymru yn wynebu pwysau digynsail a'u bod yn cael trafferth i ddiwallu gofynion ariannol a chymdeithasol cynyddol poblogaeth sy'n heneiddio. Fel y dywedodd Gomisiynydd Pobl Hŷn blaenorol Cymru, Sarah Rochira, wrth y Pwyllgor Cyllid, mae cymorth gofal cymdeithasol yn beth tyngedfennol, yn helpu pobl agored i niwed i fyw'n annibynnol. Fodd bynnag, mae'r cymorth tyngedfennol hwn yn gwegian wrth geisio ymateb i'r galw presennol. Er enghraifft, mae data gan y Swyddfa Ystadegau Gwladol yn dangos fod dros 800,000 o'r 3.1 miliwn o bobl sy'n byw yng Nghymru yn awr yn 60 oed neu hŷn, gydag oddeutu traean o'r rhain dros 75 oed - dim ond cynyddu a wnaiff hyn yn y blynyddoedd i ddod. Hefyd, ar hyn o bryd mae gan Gymru y gyfradd uchaf o salwch hirdymor yn y DU, hon yw'r agwedd fwyaf costus o ofal y GIG, lle gwelwyd cynnydd blaenorol o 105,000 i 142,000 rhwng 2001 a 2010. O ganlyniad, disgwylir i'r pwysau ar wasanaethau gofal cymdeithasol i oedolion gynyddu tua 4.1 y cant bob blwyddyn. I ariannu hyn yn llawn byddai angen £1 biliwn ychwanegol erbyn 2030, yn ôl y Sefydliad Iechyd. Mae hyn yn anghyraeddadwy ar y lefelau presennol o fuddsoddi a chymorth. Fel y cydnabu Cadeirydd y Pwyllgor Cyllid, mae'r pwysau hyn wedi arwain at ddiffyg ariannol. Mae Llywodraeth Cymru yn dal i fethu ag ariannu rhai gwasanaethau hanfodol yn ddigonol. Nid yw'r addewid o £60 miliwn ychwanegol a roddwyd yng nghyllideb 2019 hyd yn oed yn dechrau cyflawni'r angen. Mae'r Ceidwadwyr Cymreig yn credu hefyd y gellid gwario'n well drwy edrych ar rai o'r gostyngiadau o wariant gwastraffus gan Lywodraeth Lafur bresennol Cymru. Nid oes ond rhaid inni edrych ar y mesurau arbennig sydd mewn grym yn awr yn erbyn Bwrdd Iechyd Betsi Cadwaladr, lle mae £10 miliwn wedi ei wario, ac eto, mewn tair blynedd a hanner, nid ydym ni wedi gweld unrhyw welliant. Oni fyddai hi wedi bod yn llawer gwell petai'r gwariant hwn wedi ei gynnwys mewn cyllideb gofal cymdeithasol a'i roi i awdurdodau lleol? Mae'r awdurdodau lleol eisoes yn gwario dros £550 miliwn ar ofal cymdeithasol i'r henoed ond mae Cymdeithas Llywodraeth Leol Cymru yn darogan yn awr y bydd pwysau ychwanegol o £344 miliwn ar wasanaethau gofal cymdeithasol erbyn 2021-22. Mae'r rhain yn ffigurau anhygoel o uchel ac yn rai sy'n peri pryder mawr. Ar wahân i'r diffyg ariannu uniongyrchol, mae'r Llywodraeth dro ar ôl tro wedi camreoli arian y gellid a bod wedi ei ddefnyddio i wella ansawdd gwasanaethau gofal cymdeithasol. Pa fanteision sydd yna i'r bobl agored i niwed hynny sydd â gwir angen am y gwasanaethau hyn o'r £221 miliwn a wariwyd ar ardaloedd menter anghystadleuol? Hefyd, onid oes 18 mis ers i'r parc moduro £100 miliwn yng Nglynebwy gael ei gyhoeddi? Nid ydym ni wedi gweld unrhyw sylfeini wedi eu gosod nag un swydd wedi ei chreu yn sgil y buddsoddiad honedig. Yn wir, mae hyn yn dechrau digwydd yn rheolaidd gyda'r Llywodraeth Lafur hon. Mae'r bwlch ariannu wedi ymestyn i'r graddau fod angen i'r buddsoddiad mewn gofal cymdeithasol i oedolion gynyddu o 4 y cant bob blwyddyn, gan gynyddu'r gwariant i £2.3 biliwn. Ac mae hyn yn ôl y Sefydliad Iechyd. Nawr, ar y llaw arall, mae Llywodraeth y DU ar fin cyhoeddi Papur Gwyrdd sy'n cwmpasu amrywiaeth eang o faterion, yn cyfleu eu gweledigaeth ehangach ar gyfer system gynaliadwy o ofal cymdeithasol. Byddai hyn yn cael ei weithredu drwy feysydd megis cynllunio gweithlu, gan gefnogi'r sector gyda buddsoddiad o £2 biliwn rhwng 2018 a 2021 er mwyn cael y bobl briodol i'r swyddi priodol, neu ystyried gwasanaeth gofal sy'n fwy cyfannol ac sy'n canolbwyntio ar yr unigolyn. Yn ei adroddiad diweddaraf, mae'r Athro Holtham yn cyflwyno achos dros ardoll gofal cymdeithasol. Fodd bynnag, fel y mae'r Pwyllgor Cyllid wedi cynghori, a bydd hyn yn cael ei drafod eto yfory, bydd angen i Lywodraeth Cymru allu cyfiawnhau sut y defnyddir unrhyw arian a godir ac i ddangos ei effaith. Mae rhybuddion eraill yn cynnwys ei gyfaddefiad y bydd angen ymchwil pellach i atal dibyniaeth ar ffigurau dros dro yn ogystal â rheoli effaith materion gweinyddol cymhleth a chostus, neu gadewch i ni edrych ar y pryderon a soniodd Age Cymru amdanyn nhw o ran neilltuo arian, sy'n pryderu y byddai arian yn cael ei ddargyfeirio gan fympwy Gweinidogion megis y gronfa yswiriant gwladol. Er gwaethaf y pryderon hyn, mae'r neges sylfaenol yn parhau i fod yr un fath - mae'r gwasanaeth gofal cymdeithasol i oedolion yng Nghymru yn gwegian. Mae'r rhai sy'n gweithio yn ein sector gofal dan straen aruthrol ac mae ein gwasanaethau yn wynebu galw cynyddol a phwysau ariannol cynyddol. Rwy'n credu, ac rwy'n deall ac yn cytuno â chi, Gweinidog, bod angen inni edrych ar hyn mewn ffordd wirioneddol gynhwysfawr, gwirioneddol aeddfed, ac rwy'n credu ei bod hi bellach yn ddoeth i ni symud ymlaen, i weithio ar y cyd, ar draws y ffiniau gwleidyddol ac mae gwir angen inni ddechrau cael trafodaethau difrifol ac anodd ynglŷn â gofynion ariannu ein gofal cymdeithasol yn y dyfodol. Diolch.