English: I have mixed feelings about the report that's been published. I don't want to disillusion the Cabinet Secretary that he's following in the footsteps of Cincinnatus, going back to some farm because of political problems. I do think that it's a good thing that the Government is producing a report of this kind and that we are having a discourse at a governmental level on the future and future trends. In the past few years, the whole area of futurology has been given something of a bad reputation because of the work of people such as Philip Tetlock, Daniel Kahneman and Nassim Taleb, who have questioned to what extent we can predict the future. I do think the Cabinet Secretary is right to avoid falling into that particular trap, but the fact that we can't predict the future doesn't mean that we shouldn't have a policy conversation on future trends. Therefore, in terms of a framework, I do think that the framework and approach are right. The concern that I have is the lack of detail in the document at the moment, if we compare it, for example with the masterpieces produced by the Singapore Government, for example, which, for decades, have placed so much emphasis on this question of assessing the impact of future trends. The same is true of Finland, for example. So, they are relatively small nations that provide a fair amount of resource to the production of a report that is far more substantial than this one, and which has dozens and dozens of sub-reports based on the detailed input of specialists in the area. So, I'm asking, and it's a plea from me to the Cabinet Secretary: fine, this is the initial report that's been produced within a year, but could we build on these foundations and ensure that sufficient resources are available so that the report published, and its sub-reports, isn't as superficial? There wasn't much in the report that I could identify that I didn't know already to some extent or other, and that was a disappointment. Strangely, it was useful in the other regard, in looking backwards. There are a number of things in the report that talk about the post-devolution period, where it points out where we have failed. We have failed in terms of not achieving more than flatlining against the rest of the UK in terms of the economy, and the aim, of course, was to close that gap. There is reference here to the growth potential in Wales in terms of energy, which is as yet unfulfilled. There is reference to a slower start in Wales in terms of broadband as compared with the rest of the UK, and an increase in the number of people under 18 living in poverty over the past years. And finally, another policy area where we have failed: the number of households increasing more swiftly than the number of houses available. And what's interesting about all of those is that they were long-term policy objectives that we hadn't been able to achieve as a nation. And in looking to the future, would it be possible to ask the question 'why'? I know we're in an election period, but I'm not putting all of the blame on Government here - there are a whole host of reasons why policy objectives aren't delivered, but, in asking why there has been a failing in those areas over the past 18 years, then perhaps we would be in a better position for the future.
Welsh: Mae gen i deimladau cymysg ynglŷn â'r adroddiad sydd wedi'i gyhoeddi. Nid wyf i eisiau dadrithio'r Ysgrifennydd Cabinet ei fod e'n dilyn Cincinnatus i ryw fferm oherwydd helbul gwleidyddol. Rwyf yn credu ei fod yn beth da, yn sicr, bod y Llywodraeth yn cynhyrchu adroddiad o'r math yma a'n bod ni'n cynnal disgẃrs ar lefel lywodraethol ynglŷn â'r dyfodol. Yn y blynyddoedd diwethaf, mae'r holl faes o ragwelediad neu ddyfodoleg - 'futurology' - neu beth bynnag, wedi cael hi'n eithaf gwael a dweud y gwir oherwydd gwaith gan bobl fel Philip Tetlock, Daniel Kahneman a Nassim Taleb, sydd wedi cwestiynu i ba raddau rydym ni'n medru darogan y dyfodol. Rwy'n credu bod yr Ysgrifennydd Cabinet yn iawn i osgoi cwympo i mewn i'r fagl hynny, ond nid yw'r ffaith ein bod ni'n methu darogan y dyfodol yn golygu na ddylem ni gynnal sgwrs polisi ynglŷn â tueddiadau'r dyfodol. Felly, o ran fframwaith, rwy'n credu bod y fframwaith a'r dynesiad yn gywir. Y gofid sydd gennyf i yw'r diffyg manyldeb sydd yn y ddogfen ar hyn o bryd, os rŷm ni'n ei chymharu hi, er enghraifft, gyda'r campweithiau sy'n cael eu cynhyrchu gan Lywodraeth Singapore, er enghraifft, sydd, ers degawdau a dweud y gwir, wedi rhoi cymaint o bwyslais ar y cwestiwn yma o asesu effaith tueddiadau'r dyfodol. Mae'r un peth yn wir yn y Ffindir, er enghraifft. Felly, gwledydd cymharol fychain sydd yn rhoi tipyn o adnoddau i mewn i gynhyrchu adroddiad sydd yn llawer mwy sylweddol na hyn, a dweud y gwir, ac, wrth gwrs, gyda dwsinau a dwsinau o is-adroddiadau ar sail mewnbwn manwl gan arbenigwyr yn y maes. Felly, gofyn ydw i, a phle gen i i Ysgrifennydd y Cabinet: iawn, dyma'r adroddiad cychwynnol wedi ei gynhyrchu o fewn blwyddyn, ond a allwn ni adeiladu ar y seiliau hyn a sicrhau bod yna adnoddau digonol fel bod adroddiad sy'n cael ei gynhyrchu ac is-adroddiadau ychydig bach yn llai arwynebol, a dweud y gwir? Nid oedd llawer yn yr adroddiad roeddwn i'n gallu'i weld nad oeddwn i'n gwybod yn barod i ryw raddau, ac roedd hynny yn siom. Roedd e yn ddefnyddiol i'r cyfeiriad arall - wrth edrych yn ôl - yn rhyfedd iawn. Roedd yna nifer o bethau yn yr adroddiad yn sôn am y cyfnod ar ôl datganoli, lle mae'n pwyntio mas ble rydym ni wedi methu. Rydym ni wedi methu o ran peidio â gwneud yn well na chadw'n wastad â gweddill y Deyrnas Unedig o ran yr economi. Y nod, wrth gwrs, oedd cau'r bwlch. Mae'n sôn yn fan hyn fod yna botensial twf gan Gymru o ran ynni sydd heb ei gyffwrdd eto. Mae yna gyfeiriad at ddechrau arafach yng Nghymru o ran band eang o gymharu â gweddill y Deyrnas Gyfunol, a chynnydd yn nifer y bobl o dan 18 oed sydd mewn tlodi yn ystod y flwyddyn ddiwethaf. Ac, yn olaf, pwynt polisi arall ble rydym ni wedi methu: nifer yr aelwydydd yn cynyddu yn gyflymach na nifer y tai sydd ar gael. Beth sy'n ddiddorol am y rheini i gyd yw'r ffaith yr oedd y rheini i gyd yn nodau polisi tymor hir nad oeddem ni wedi medru cwrdd â nhw fel cenedl. Wrth edrych ymlaen at y dyfodol, a fyddai modd gofyn y cwestiwn 'pam'? Rwy'n gwybod ein bod ni mewn cyfnod etholiad, ac nid wyf yn rhoi'r bai i gyd ar y Llywodraeth yn fan hyn - mae yna glwstwr o resymau pam nad yw nodau polisi yn cael eu cyffwrdd - ond wrth ofyn pam mae methiant wedi bod yn y meysydd hynny dros y 18 mlynedd diwethaf, efallai fyddwn ni mewn sefyllfa well o wneud yn well ar gyfer y dyfodol sy'n dod.