English: Can I thank the Member for his questions and his contribution as a whole? It's a tragic fact that Shotton still holds the European record for the most lost jobs in a single day in modern industrial history across Europe. I was in receipt recently of a 1963 black-and-white photo of that year's intake of apprentices. It featured my dad, that's why it was sent to me, and upon scrutinising this photo, it became quite clear that most of the people in that photo were not in work at that site within 20 years of the photo being taken. I do wonder how many people at Airbus today will have work at that site in two decades in the event of a 'no deal' scenario. I think it's also tragic that Shaun, a 15-year-old, can articulate far better and with greater maturity the threats and challenge we face than Jeremy Hunt is able to do, in terms of what could happen to Airbus and the aerospace industry. Airbus are not fearmongering. Airbus are stating the facts. Airbus are doing what a responsible business should do, which is to share candidly, frankly, openly and honestly with a Government the likely outcome of a bad deal being reached or, even worse, a 'no deal' scenario, and Airbus are not alone in expressing these concerns. Today we heard that companies representing something in the region of 850,000 people across the UK share those very real concerns. Although Airbus is clearly the biggest private sector employer in north-east Wales, and certainly the biggest employer in Wales in terms of aerospace and defence, within that small part of Wales there is a strong cluster of businesses in the aerospace and defence sector. There's Airbus of course; there's Magellan; there's Qioptiq; DECA; Raytheon - businesses that employ people who are incredibly, incredibly well-skilled, and paid good salaries, people who are really loyal, people who contribute hugely to the local economy and to the Welsh economy as a whole. I think, as we look to the future, we need to just reflect on the very clear and consistent approach that the Welsh Labour Government has taken since the referendum, and it's an approach that, on occasions, has been adopted - perhaps stolen - by UK Government, certainly in terms of the free and unfettered access to the single market. It is something that, at times, the UK Government tried to replicate, in terms of hyperbole. Sadly, the red lines that have been drawn out by the Prime Minister would not allow that to happen in reality, based on the discussions that have taken place, but I do think that Keir Starmer has done a fantastic job in holding the UK Government to account, and continues to do an outstanding job in holding UK Government Ministers to account. In terms of what we're doing, we've looked at the impact of various scenarios on the Welsh economy, sector by sector, and what is quite clear is that if there is no deal, we cannot possibly mitigate against all of the consequences; this is just too grave a situation. The economy would shrink by more than 10 per cent in all likelihood, but the EAP, the economic action plan, has been designed as such to allow for automatic stabilisers to be deployed, rather than for the strategy to be shelved and a new strategy to be adopted for panic circumstances. The economic action plan is designed to be robust in any environment, but clearly, depending on the type of deal - and whether there is a deal at all - that emerges in the coming months, support for businesses will be focused on those areas that can weather the storm that is to come. But I don't think that we should believe that we can endure a 'no deal' scenario without the loss of significant jobs in the Welsh economy. I regularly speak, not just with my colleagues in the department for education, but I also speak with leaders in higher and further education and, again, their concerns are very real, and very grave indeed. I think it's fair to say that any deal that is reached should be agreed by the Parliaments of the UK. Should Parliaments decide that a deal is not sufficient and reject it, then in all likelihood, a general election could be called, and it may well be the case that another vote would have to take place. We shouldn't rule out the likelihood of people turning on the decision that was made, given the very real threat that so many people now face in terms of their livelihoods.
Welsh: A gaf i ddiolch i'r Aelod am ei gwestiynau ac am ei gyfraniad yn ei gyfanrwydd? Mae'n ffaith drist bod Shotton yn dal i ddal y record Ewropeaidd am golli'r nifer mwyaf o swyddi mewn un diwrnod yn hanes diwydiannol modern ledled Ewrop. Yn ddiweddar, ces i lun du a gwyn o 1963 o'r prentisiaid a ddechreuodd y flwyddyn honno. Roedd fy nhad yn y llun, a dyna pam cafodd ei anfon ataf fi, ac ar ôl craffu ar y llun hwn, daeth yn glir nad oedd y rhan fwyaf o'r bobl yn y llun hwnnw'n gweithio ar y safle hwnnw o fewn 20 mlynedd ar ôl i'r llun gael ei dynnu. Tybed faint o bobl yn Airbus heddiw fydd â gwaith ar y safle hwnnw ymhen ddau ddegawd pe cawn ni sefyllfa 'dim bargen'. Rwy'n meddwl hefyd ei bod yn drist iawn bod Shaun, bachgen 15 mlwydd oed, yn gallu cyfleu'n llawer gwell ac yn fwy aeddfed y bygythiadau a'r her sy'n ein hwynebu nag y mae Jeremy Hunt yn gallu ei wneud, o ran beth allai ddigwydd i Airbus a'r diwydiant awyrofod. Nid codi bwganod mae Airbus. Datgan y ffeithiau mae Airbus. Mae Airbus yn gwneud beth ddylai busnes cyfrifol ei wneud, sef rhannu'n ddidwyll, yn blaen, yn agored ac yn onest gyda Llywodraeth beth yw canlyniad tebygol taro bargen wael neu, yn waeth byth, sefyllfa 'dim bargen', ac nid dim ond Airbus sy'n mynegi'r pryderon hyn. Rydym ni wedi clywed heddiw bod cwmnïau sy'n cynrychioli tuag 850,000 o bobl ledled y DU yn rhannu'r pryderon difrifol hynny. Er mai Airbus yn amlwg yw'r cyflogwr sector preifat mwyaf yn y gogledd-ddwyrain, ac yn sicr y cyflogwr mwyaf yng Nghymru o ran awyrofod ac amddiffyn, yn y rhan fechan honno o Gymru ceir clwstwr cryf o fusnesau yn y sector awyrofod ac amddiffyn. Airbus wrth gwrs; Magellan; Qioptiq; DECA; Raytheon - busnesau sy'n cyflogi pobl sy'n hynod, hynod fedrus, ac yn cael cyflogau da, pobl sy'n bobl ffyddlon iawn, pobl sy'n gwneud cyfraniad enfawr at yr economi leol ac at economi Cymru yn ei chyfanrwydd. Rwy'n credu, wrth inni edrych at y dyfodol, bod angen inni fyfyrio ychydig ar y dull clir a chyson iawn y mae Llywodraeth Lafur Cymru wedi'i ddilyn ers y refferendwm, ac mae'n ddull sydd, ar rai achlysuron, wedi cael ei fabwysiadu - ei ddwyn efallai - gan Lywodraeth y DU, yn sicr o ran y mynediad rhydd a dirwystr i'r farchnad sengl. Mae'n rhywbeth, ar adegau, y mae Llywodraeth y DU wedi ceisio ei efelychu, ar ffurf gormodiaith. Yn anffodus, ni fyddai'r hualau y mae Prif Weinidog y DU wedi'u llunio yn caniatáu i hynny ddigwydd mewn gwirionedd, yn seiliedig ar y trafodaethau sydd wedi digwydd, ond rwy'n credu bod Keir Starmer wedi gwneud gwaith gwych i ddal Llywodraeth y DU i gyfrif , a'i fod yn parhau i wneud gwaith rhagorol o ran dwyn Gweinidogion Llywodraeth y DU i gyfrif. O ran yr hyn rydym ni'n ei wneud, rydym ni wedi edrych ar effaith y sefyllfaoedd amrywiol ar economi Cymru, fesul sector, a'r hyn sy'n gwbl glir yw os na fydd bargen, bydd hi'n amhosibl inni liniaru pob un o'r canlyniadau; mae'r sefyllfa'n rhy ddifrifol. Byddai'r economi'n crebachu dros 10 y cant yn ôl pob tebyg, ond mae'r cynllun gweithredu economaidd wedi'i lunio mewn modd sy'n caniatáu defnyddio sefydlogyddion awtomatig, yn hytrach na chefnu ar y strategaeth a mabwysiadu strategaeth newydd ar gyfer amgylchiadau o argyfwng. Mae'r cynllun gweithredu economaidd wedi'i lunio i fod yn gadarn mewn unrhyw amgylchiadau, ond yn amlwg, gan ddibynnu ar y math o fargen - ac a oes bargen o gwbl - a ddaw i'r amlwg yn ystod y misoedd nesaf, bydd cymorth i fusnesau yn canolbwyntio ar y meysydd hynny a fydd yn gallu goroesi'r storm sydd i ddod. Ond dydw i ddim yn meddwl y dylem ni gredu y gallwn ni oddef sefyllfa 'dim bargen' heb golli llawer o swyddi yn economi Cymru. Rwy'n siarad yn rheolaidd, nid yn unig gyda'm cyd-Aelodau yn yr adran addysg, ond rwyf hefyd yn siarad ag arweinwyr addysg uwch ac addysg bellach ac, unwaith eto, mae ganddyn nhw bryderon gwirioneddol sy'n ddifrifol iawn yn wir. Rwy'n credu ei bod hi'n deg dweud y dylai Seneddau'r DU gytuno ar unrhyw fargen a gaiff ei tharo. Pe bai'r Seneddau'n penderfynu nad yw'r fargen yn ddigonol ac yn ei gwrthod, yn ôl pob tebyg, gellid galw etholiad cyffredinol, ac mae'n ddigon posibl y byddai'n rhaid cynnal pleidlais arall. Ddylem ni ddim diystyru'r siawns y gallai pobl droi yn erbyn y penderfyniad a wnaethpwyd, o ystyried y bygythiad gwirioneddol sy'n wynebu cynifer o bobl nawr o ran eu bywoliaeth.