claim: The report, published in the journal Nature Geoscience on September 18, acknowledges that most of the models of warming trends failed to predict the ‘slowdown’ in warming post-2000, resulting in less pronounced warming than predicted and thus more room in the CO2 ‘emissions budget’ for the coming decades.
evidences.evidence_id: Global warming hiatus:12
evidences.article: Global warming hiatus
evidences.evidence: Subsequently, a detailed study supports the conclusion that warming is continuing, but it also find there was less warming between 2001 and 2010 than climate models had predicted, and that this slowdown might be attributed to short-term variations in the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), which was negative during that period.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO REFUTES
evidences.evidence_id: Global warming hiatus:55
evidences.article: Global warming hiatus
evidences.evidence: A month before formal AR5 publication, a leaked draft of the report noted that "Models do not generally reproduce the observed reduction in surface warming trend over the last 10–15 years", but lacked clear explanations, and attracted wide media coverage.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO SUPPORTS
evidences.evidence_id: Global warming hiatus:80
evidences.article: Global warming hiatus
evidences.evidence: They used the IPCC definition of the supposed hiatus as a slowdown in rate of temperature increase from 1998 to 2012, compared to the rate from 1951 to 2012, and again found no support for the idea of a "hiatus" or slowdown.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO REFUTES
evidences.evidence_id: Global warming:143
evidences.article: Global warming
evidences.evidence: The 2017 United States-published National Climate Assessment notes that "climate models may still be underestimating or missing relevant feedback processes".
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO NOT_ENOUGH_INFO
evidences.evidence_id: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:113
evidences.article: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
evidences.evidence: They judge that global mean surface air temperature has increased by 0.3 to 0.6 °C over the last 100 years, broadly consistent with prediction of climate models, but also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability.
evidences.votes: NOT_ENOUGH_INFO NOT_ENOUGH_INFO