The impact of adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) omission in ER-low (1-10%) early-stage breast cancer.
Authors: Grace Mei Yee Choong, Tanya L. Hoskin, Judy Caroline Boughey, James N. Ingle, Matthew P. Goetz
Journal: Journal of Clinical Oncology (2024)

513 Background: Adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) improves overall survival (OS) in patients (pts) with hormone receptor (HR) positive early-stage breast cancer (BC). For pts with estrogen receptor (ER)-low BC (defined as ER 1-10%), there is controversy regarding AET benefit, given tumor heterogeneity (&gt;40% basal; (1)), and similar chemotherapy response and prognosis to ER-negative (neg) BC. Current guidelines categorize ER-low BC as a separate entity and suggest equipoise regarding AET benefit. We previously determined that AET omission in chemotherapy-treated pts with ER+ BC resulted in a nearly 2-fold increase in death (2). However, the impact of AET omission in patients with ER-low BC is unknown. Methods: Beginning in 2018, the National Cancer Database (NCDB) began to abstract ER as a continuous variable, allowing classification of ER+ tumors as 1-10% or &gt;10%. Therefore, we queried the NCDB 2018-2020 for patients with stage I-III ER+BC treated with neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy, as these pts have the highest risk of recurrence. ER was assessed as ER-neg (0%), low (1-10%) and ER &gt;10%. OS was analyzed with AET as a time-dependent covariate using Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: 357,085 pts with stage I-III ER+BC were identified, with 10,396 (3%) classified as ER-low. Among pts with ER-low disease, 69% had PR-neg BC and 67% had HER2-neg BC. The majority (77%) were treated with chemotherapy (32% neoadjuvant, 44% adjuvant, 1% unknown timing) and formed our analysis cohort. Among these 7,956 pts, AET was omitted in 3,233 (41%). AET omission was more common for pts with tumors that were PR-neg vs positive (46% vs 30%, p&lt;0.001), HER2-neg vs positive (44% vs 37%, p&lt;0.001), and Ki67≥20% (44% vs 35%, p&lt;0.001). With median follow-up of 3 years, 648 deaths were observed. OS was 94.3% (95% CI: 93.8-94.9%) at 2 years and 87.6% (95% CI: 86.5-88.7%) at 4 years. In unadjusted analysis, omission of AET was associated with worse OS (HR 1.40, 95% CI: 1.19-1.65, p&lt;0.001), with similar effects regardless of PR, HER2, or Ki67 (each interaction test p&gt;0.3). When controlling for age, comorbidity score, year of diagnosis, PR, HER2, and pathologic stage, the adjusted effect of AET omission on OS was HR 1.22 (95% CI: 1.00-1.48, p=0.05). Given assessment of OS was performed during pandemic years, with 1/3 of deaths occurring during the first year of follow-up, we performed a sensitivity analysis to analyze pts who survived to one year after definitive surgery. In this analysis, the adjusted effect of AET omission on OS was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.02-1.51, p=0.03). Conclusions: Omission of AET in pts treated with chemotherapy for ER-low, early-stage BC is associated with significantly worse OS. These data strongly suggest that pts with ER low BC should be counseled regarding the benefit of AET and practice guidelines should recommend AET in this setting. 1. Benefield JNCI 2020. 2. Choong SABCS 2022.