Preconception and Prenatal Environment and Growth Faltering Among Children in Uganda
Authors: Paddy Ssentongo, Claudio Fronterre, Jessica E. Ericson, Ming Wang, Laila Al-Shaar, Helen Greatrex, Philip O. Omadi, Joseph Muvawala, Steven J. Greybush, Pamela K. Mbabazi, Laura E. Murray-Kolb, Abraham J. B. Muwanguzi, Steven J. Schiff
Journal: JAMA Network Open (2025)

Importance Children with growth faltering are more susceptible to infections and may experience cognitive, physical, and metabolic developmental impairments. Objective To assess whether prenatal and preconception meteorological and environmental factors are associated with village-level rates of childhood growth outcomes in Uganda. Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study used data collected between June 20, 2015, and December 16, 2016, from the 2016 Ugandan Demographic and Health Survey for individuals aged 0 to 59 months with available anthropometric measures (weight and length or height). Data analysis was conducted from October 2020 to April 2024. Exposures Factors assessed included meteorological information, such as drought index (Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index [SPEI]), Aridity Index, rainfall, temperature, and vegetation indices; demographic and economic development factors (nighttime light emissions, driving time to the nearest city); and land topography (slope angle, elevation above sea level). Main Outcomes and Measures The main outcomes were height-for-age z score (HAZ), weight-for-age z score (WAZ), and weight-for-height z score (WHZ). Spatial resolution estimates, at 1 km × 1 km of childhood growth faltering indicators, were created. Results Of the 5219 individuals aged 0 to 59 months included in the analysis, 2633 (50%) were female; mean (SD) age was 29 (17) months. Of these individuals, 30.22% (95% CI, 29.36%-30.98%) had stunting, 12.23% (95% CI, 11.55%-12.91%) had underweight, and 3.63% (95% CI, 3.46%-3.80%) had wasting. Large disparities in the burden of childhood growth faltering existed within Uganda at smaller and larger spatial scales; villages in the northeastern and southwestern areas of the country had the highest prevalence of all forms of growth faltering (stunting, &amp;amp;gt;40%; underweight, &amp;amp;gt;16%; and wasting, &amp;amp;gt;6%). Higher SPEI at 3 months before birth was positively associated with all childhood growth outcomes: HAZ (β, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.02-0.10), WAZ (β, 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01-0.07), and WHZ (β, 0.03; 95% CI, 0.001-0.06). Higher location mean rainfall 11 months before birth was also positively associated with HAZ (β, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.01-0.10). Aridity Index associations with WAZ (β, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.04-0.13) and WHZ (β, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.02-0.16) were consistent with findings for SPEI. Conclusions and Relevance In this study of 5219 individuals 0 to 59 months of age in Uganda, rainfall and long-term availability of water at preconception and during gestation were positively associated with nutritional child growth outcomes. Understanding the relative contributions of meteorological environment factors on the spatial distribution of undernutrition at various spatial scales within Uganda (from the village to the district level) may help in the design of more cost-effective delivery of precision public health programs.