A Treatise on Probability; New York: MacMillan; 1921
Authors: John Maynard Keynes
Journal: Annals of Internal Medicine (1998)

Brief Communications15 February 1998A Treatise on Probability; New York: MacMillan; 1921John Maynard KeynesJohn Maynard KeynesSearch for more papers by this authorAuthor, Article, and Disclosure Informationhttps://doi.org/10.7326/0003-4819-128-4-199802150-00007 SectionsAboutFull TextPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissions ShareFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail When somebody persuades me that I am wrong, I change my mind. What do you do?John Maynard KeynesA Treatise on Probability; New York: MacMillan; 1921Submitted by:Dean H. Gesme Jr., MDCedar Rapids, IA 52403 Author, Article, and Disclosure InformationAffiliations: PreviousarticleNextarticle Advertisement FiguresReferencesRelatedDetails Metrics Cited byMore Is Different … and Complex!: The Case for Agent-Based MacroeconomicsThe Heat Is on: A Framework for Measuring Financial Stress Under Disruptive Energy Transition ScenariosBitcoin: Rube Goldberg Machine, Gigantic Distraction, Entertainment, Ripoff or Money?Bitcoin: Rube Goldberg Machine, Gigantic Distraction, Entertainment, Ripoff or Money?Laplace's Theories of Cognitive Illusions, Heuristics, and BiasesBayesian Litigation (An Application of Bayess Theorem to Law)The Origin of Diversification: An Evolutionary TheoryTrading Complex RisksEssays on Uncertainty and Risk: F H Knight on the Role of Strong Versus Weak Evidence in the Uncertainty (Estimates) Versus Risk (Probabilities) Distinction in RUP: It Had Little to Do with the Issue of Whether Uncertainty is Measurable or Not MeasurableRevisiting IEEE 802.11 Backoff Process Modeling Through Information Entropy EstimationThe Contested Role of Investment Consultants: Ambiguity, Contract, and Innovation in Financial InstitutionsThe Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Assessment from Popper's PhilosophyThe Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Assessment from Popper's PhilosophyMeasuring Ambiguity Aversion: A Systematic Experimental ApproachDoes the St. Petersburg Paradox Cast Doubt on the Use of Expected Value Theory to Approximate the Random Present Value of a Life Annuity?The Network of Causality and Its Implications for Event PredictabilityOver-Confidence and Entrepreneurial Choice Under AmbiguityThe Theory of Reflexivity A Non-Stochastic Randomness Theory for Business Schools Only?Comparing J.M. Keynes’s and F. Von Hayek’s Differing Definitions of Uncertainty as it Relates to Knowledge: Keynes’s Unavailable or Missing Knowledge Concept Versus Hayek’s Dispersal of Knowledge ConceptDiscounting and ConfidenceBachelier: Not the Forgotten Forerunner He Has Been Depicted As. An Analysis of the Dissemination of Louis Bachelier’s Work in EconomicsTemporal Resolution of Uncertainty and Recursive Models of Ambiguity AversionRational Inference: Deductive, Inductive and Probabilistic ThinkingRobust Control in Global Warming Management: An Analytical Dynamic Integrated AssessmentDerivatives and Debt: The Market as God and Marketing as ProselytizingShackle's Economic Agent and Modern Decision TheoryProbabilistic versus Non-probabilistic Decision Making: Savage, Shackle and Beyond 15 February 1998Volume 128, Issue 4Page: 288 ePublished: 15 August 2000 Issue Published: 15 February 1998 Copyright & PermissionsCopyright © 1998 by American College of Physicians. All Rights Reserved.PDF downloadLoading ...