Model alignment of anthrax attack simulations
This paper describes our experience aligning two simulation models of disease progression after biological attacks. The first model is the IncubationProdromalFulminant (IPF) model, a variation of the SusceptibleInfectedRecovered (SIR) epidemiological model, and the second is an agent-based model called BioWar. We run BioWar simulations to see whether the results will, at the population level, match the IPF results. We showed that BioWar can generate population level results that are close to IPF. In addition, BioWar outputs emergent properties that cannot be simulated in IPF. This study provides insights for modelers who are developing simulation tools for investigating bioterrorism attacks and for decision makers who use these tools.
model alignment anthrax simulations agent-based model bioinformatics biosurveillance