A hybrid analytic/rule-based approach to reservoir system management during flood
The article presents an approach to real-time operation of a water retention reservoir during flood. Water releases are calculated repetitively on the basis of two-variant inflow forecasts and some expert knowledge. During every intervention of the control algorithm, an optimization problem with the expected value type performance index is solved. In the paper, the basic characteristics of trajectories of outflows resulting from the application of this control method are analyzed. Afterwards, the results of the series of simulation experiments based on a large set of historical data concerning a big Polish reservoir are presented.
forecasts water systems management flood control expert systems stochastic systems