Tackling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis  An application to water supply infrastructure planning
This approach tackles uncertainties in MAUT in a structured and consistent manner. Five major sources of uncertainty in MCDA/MAUT are reviewed. Ways to simplify elicitation and impacts on the results are evaluated. Robustness is assessed by scenario, uncertainty and global sensitivity analyses. This is exemplified for water infrastructure planning in a complex case study.
decision analysis water infrastructure planning uncertainty modeling and global sensitivity analysis multi-attribute utility theory preference elicitation