A model driven development approach based on a reference model for predicting disruptive events in a supply process
Due to the impossibility of predicting with certainty the occurrence of disruptive events, buffers defined to obtain a robust schedule could not absorb all the changes. Then, local modifications of the schedule are usually performed to avoid a new planning task. For this task, obtaining disruptive event information in advance can help to make better decisions. As a result, ability to predict disruptive events that affect the execution of the supply process an order represents is required. With the objective of satisfying this requirement, this work proposes a model driven development approach based on a reference model to automate the generation of the monitoring model of a supply process able to anticipate the occurrence of a disruptive event by monitoring variables that can explain it. The approach proposes both a reference model to represent the monitoring model independently of the implementation platform, and a specific model to represent the monitoring model with the particular language of the implementation platform. An engine based on transformation rules allows automating the generation of a platform dependent monitoring model from an instance of a platform independent metamodel. The monitoring component of a SCEM system has been developed, which implements the transformation engine as a Bayesian Network model, and uses an appropriate tool to execute it. For an empirical validation of the model three case studies are presented. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
disruptive event scem systems event management monitoring system