34ª Rodada do Brasileirão 2012  - 05/11
Autor: André Luiz Diniz | Publicado: 2012-11-05T05:29:00-08:00

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Seguem as chances atualizadas de
título e vaga na Libertadores, e o risco de rebaixamento de cada equipe1.
O Fluminense está com a mão na taça e as equipes que disputarão a Libertadores
estão praticamente definidas (mesmo que Grêmio ou São Paulo vençam a
SulAmericana). A única indefinição concreta é entre os 2 últimos rebaixados,
embora as chances de Sport e Palmeiras caírem sejam bem maiores, se comparadas
às de Portuguesa e Bahia.



 

  
  
#

  
  
Equipe

  
  
Nível

  
  
Classificação do Campeonato

  
  
Chance

de Título (%)

  
  
Chance de Libertadores
  (%)

  
  
Risco de Rebaixamento
  (%)

 

  
  
PG

  
  
J

  
  
V

  
  
E

  
  
D

  
  
GP

  
  
GC

  
  
SG

 

  
  
1

  
  
Fluminense

  
  
A

  
  
73

  
  
34

  
  
21

  
  
10

  
  
3

  
  
56

  
  
26

  
  
30

  
  
98,71

  
  
100,00

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
2

  
  
Atlético-MG

  
  
A

  
  
64

  
  
34

  
  
18

  
  
10

  
  
6

  
  
55

  
  
30

  
  
25

  
  
0,85

  
  
100,00

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
3

  
  
Grêmio

  
  
A

  
  
63

  
  
34

  
  
18

  
  
9

  
  
7

  
  
48

  
  
28

  
  
20

  
  
0,45

  
  
99,98

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
4

  
  
São Paulo

  
  
A

  
  
59

  
  
34

  
  
18

  
  
5

  
  
11

  
  
53

  
  
33

  
  
20

  
  
0,00

  
  
98,53

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
5

  
  
Botafogo

  
  
A

  
  
51

  
  
34

  
  
14

  
  
9

  
  
11

  
  
53

  
  
43

  
  
10

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,72

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
6

  
  
Internacional

  
  
A

  
  
51

  
  
34

  
  
13

  
  
12

  
  
9

  
  
44

  
  
35

  
  
9

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,67

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
7

  
  
Vasco

  
  
A

  
  
50

  
  
34

  
  
14

  
  
8

  
  
12

  
  
39

  
  
40

  
  
-1

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,09

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
8

  
  
Corinthians

  
  
A

  
  
50

  
  
34

  
  
13

  
  
11

  
  
10

  
  
42

  
  
34

  
  
8

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
9

  
  
Santos

  
  
A

  
  
46

  
  
34

  
  
11

  
  
13

  
  
10

  
  
43

  
  
40

  
  
3

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

 

  
  
10

  
  
Coritiba

  
  
B

  
  
45

  
  
34

  
  
13

  
  
6

  
  
15

  
  
47

  
  
51

  
  
-4

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,02

 

  
  
11

  
  
Náutico

  
  
C

  
  
45

  
  
34

  
  
13

  
  
6

  
  
15

  
  
41

  
  
47

  
  
-6

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,04

 

  
  
12

  
  
Flamengo

  
  
A

  
  
44

  
  
34

  
  
11

  
  
11

  
  
12

  
  
34

  
  
42

  
  
-8

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,11

 

  
  
13

  
  
Cruzeiro

  
  
A

  
  
43

  
  
34

  
  
12

  
  
7

  
  
15

  
  
38

  
  
46

  
  
-8

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,12

 

  
  
14

  
  
Ponte Preta

  
  
C

  
  
43

  
  
34

  
  
11

  
  
10

  
  
13

  
  
36

  
  
43

  
  
-7

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,97

 

  
  
15

  
  
Portuguesa

  
  
C

  
  
40

  
  
34

  
  
9

  
  
13

  
  
12

  
  
35

  
  
36

  
  
-1

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
20,24

 

  
  
16

  
  
Bahia

  
  
C

  
  
40

  
  
34

  
  
9

  
  
13

  
  
12

  
  
33

  
  
37

  
  
-4

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
13,49

 

  
  
17

  
  
Sport

  
  
C

  
  
36

  
  
34

  
  
9

  
  
9

  
  
16

  
  
35

  
  
53

  
  
-18

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
75,14

 

  
  
18

  
  
Palmeiras

  
  
A

  
  
33

  
  
34

  
  
9

  
  
6

  
  
19

  
  
34

  
  
45

  
  
-11

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
89,95

 

  
  
19

  
  
Figueirense

  
  
C

  
  
29

  
  
34

  
  
7

  
  
8

  
  
19

  
  
36

  
  
62

  
  
-26

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
99,92

 

  
  
20

  
  
Atlético-GO

  
  
C

  
  
23

  
  
34

  
  
5

  
  
8

  
  
21

  
  
31

  
  
62

  
  
-31

  
  
0,00

  
  
0,00

  
  
100,00

 




 

  
  
  
Equipe
  com maior chance de título.

 

  
  
  
Equipes
  que alcançariam as vagas na Libertadores, de acordo com as chances.

 

  
  
  
Equipes
  que seriam rebaixadas, de acordo com o risco calculado.