My final analysis of the USA 2016 presidential elections and prospect for their near future.
Autor: Luiz_Alex007 | Publicado: 2016-11-08T23:07:00-11:00

So, I spent the night awake because my biological timer is off. So I got time to watch the counting of the votes from the USA presidential elections. I had been keeping an eye on it since the start of the voting, it's good to be well informed about international geopolitics. But tonight I ended up watching it for lack of something better to do.

 In the end, it seems like Donald Trump became the new elected president of the USA, taking charge in January of 2017. A lot of states also legalized marijuana and voted for gun control. Still, the main focus was clearly the presidential election.

 So, many people are surprised about Trump's win... A lot are sad and some even terrified too... I am not that surprised nor even that impressed. After all, the USA was founded by rich racist white men who didn't want to pay taxes. To me, their founding fathers were liars and hypocrites. Men who talked about freedom while owning slaves. Men who talked about democracy while creating a model to keep the power in their hands and away from what they called the "bewildered herd". Democracy (power of the people) without the people part of it, or at least reducing it as much as possible while also trying to maintain an image of credibility and legitimacy. Men whose definition and model of democracy remind me of an aquatic park with the intention of avoiding water from getting in contact with it while also trying to pretend it's actually a park about water. Seriously, what sort of democracy is settle by the minorities and is formed with the intention of overruling the majority for considering them inept of good judgment?

 Trumps seems to fit the description really well... North Americans also seems quite incapable of understanding their own government and economy, probably due to their lack of education. Thinking that running a company is the same as running the government and thinking that his promises were anything above things that he knew he wouldn't be able to fulfill. So, I am not surprised by his win. It all makes sense, it all follows some sort of basic logic. I consider it a warped an erroneous logic, but I can still see it there.

 Anyway, being honest and sincere, I was cheering for Clinton's win. But I was prepared for both outcomes and I tried to see good and bad results from either one. Now, I feel like it could really be better this way. If he had lost, he would have called the election a fraud and his supporters would see him as a martyr and/or a symbol. It would be a scandal and his supporters could even gain more strength. Now, they can see him either succeed and change a lot of things or fail for 4 years and blame the system once again.

 When it comes to what is going to happen next, I remember the Brexit vote, I doubt it will be as bad as the opposition, Clinton's supporters, claimed it will be. But I also believe that it won't be how he promised either, not even close. Like I said in another post, he would be stupid to believe his own promises and claims about how to "make America great again" and all that jazz. I just hope that his future accomplishments, fails and mistakes show the world something new. Maybe it will show that voting for someone like him is the right thing to do. Or maybe it will show that they should have listened to the opposition, including me, and never allowed someone like him to take charge of one of the biggest countries and powers in our current society. Either way, I just hope that people and society learn from this, no matter the outcome. Still, I won't hold my breath for it.

 I guess it's going to be an interesting ride for the next 4 years, watching him either stop and reverse or actually accelerate the natural decadency of the USA. But I am going to be honest, I already made it clear that I tend to believe in the latter. After all, if my opinions about him are correct, he doesn't even need nor plan to fix anything. He can just spend 4 years failing to then blame the opposition, his own party and the whole system. Then, after 4 years, he can either try to go for reelection or just accept the rich retirement with life long CIA and NSA reports. The Bush family has showed how those damn reports can serve their companies and help them to amass wealth. 

 In any manner, Trump proved to be smart enough to get more power than any person that I consider sensible would give him. Still, like I already said, I hope that his government lasts the 4 years. Either way, I am sure it will be a good precedent. It will probably be a good example of why people should and/or should not vote for people like him and ideals like his. If he and his model succeeds, great for the USA. If he fails, great for the whole world, we can still try to learn from it. It will set an example of how and why to govern a country or how NOT to, only time will tell.

 The only real worry that I have is the half codes that he will receive. The ones to the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. I doubt he is reckless enough to use them. But north americans were reckless enough to buy his presidency. Their logic is clearly different from mine.

 Nothing personal against the USA... Well... Actually... Let me be honest about something to clear things up. It's no secret what I think about the USA. Fuck the USA. I never liked them, their models and their ideals. What I always cite as the reason for my grudge against then is mainly the imperialist manners that they used to forced their beliefs into several countries across the globe, specially in the Americas. They and their allies, the British, have been a real force in national politics in Brazil, at least, ever since the 19th century. I do not hide my contempt towards them and the way that they bled us, hindering any possible changes in our country just to secure their own interests. I understand why they did it, to make sure that they still had allies, it was better to keep the same friendly elites in power instead of risking to lose such a huge country. They also don't want another great power sprouting and competing with them. But I reserve myself the right to be annoyed and grudge-full about that. They had their selfish reasons, I have mine.

 With that in mind, I wouldn't be much saddened if the dollar dropped really low and if China decided to put pressure on them. I also wouldn't mind if Trump ends up isolating the USA from allies while futilely trying to befriend historical and current enemies, like Russia who flies high altitude bombers near USA air space all the time as provocation and such. As long as they don't drop nukes, the USA could burn to the ground, for all I care. Although I hope Canada stays safe, they seem nice. 

 So, with that explained, let me go back to my analysis of the result from their presidential elect and my prospect for the near future. I love how much the north americans ignored the warnings from actual economists, even Nobel prize winners, over what I consider nationalist propaganda. I mean, lots of people with several types and levels of degrees on economy already made it clear that his economical proposals are either lies to gather voter or impractical and inefficient, with some being just vague words and fallacies with no real meaning. 

 Once again, I think that this is going to be a great deal breaker for world politics. If he succeeds, nationalism, militarism and conservationism will sky rocket through the world. After all, such were big bases for his campaign and one would think it will be for his government. He is clearly anti liberal, nationalist, militarist and of a unclear economic politic. He also seems to think that a government should be based around the image of a strong leader and that appeals to the working class and population, even though, in reality, he has nothing to do with them and their struggles. I might be exaggerating but this all reminds me of the guidelines for 20th century fascism. Maybe we could even end seeing a new fascist age, lead by the USA and Russia. At least according to his claims and insinuations about how he will seek friendship with Putin and strengthen the USA military and economy while leaving the rest of the world to tend for itself.

 It seems far fetched to think about the USA and Russia leading a new wave of 21st century fascism, but so did Trump's election. So, I won't be very optimistic nor sure about anything. After all, like I said, his claims and insinuations point towards a government very similar to fascism. I wouldn't rule out that he creates and/or boosts a new bred of fascism around the world.

 On the other hand, if he fails to deliver much, such ideals could suffer a huge defeat. If he proves that such a model of government is clearly not suited for a big 21st century government and incapable of dealing with contemporaneous troubles and issues, it could smash such movements down to the background of political ideologies. However, it's also like I already mentioned, he is could not even try to implement his crazy promises and/or blame it all on the system. After all, he probably knew that the president isn't capable of all that things that he insinuated and even mentioned it very clearly, like building a giant wall between the USA and the UMS ("United Mexican States", it's actually the official name of the current mexican government and has been for a while). 

 Trump probably already expects and perhaps even plans to hit the red tape and then blame it for his eventual fails. This in itself could be use to trigger a movement to enhance the presidents power and decrease the power of both the Congress and of the Senate. Although, it's more of a subjective theory based only on opinion and shouldn't be taken seriously. That also fits the possible fascist model that I mentioned, concentrating power in the hands of a strong leader was quite popular among fascists.

 Then again, like I just mentioned, if he fails to deliver and accelerates the USA decline, it could return us a couple of years on ideologies. It could end throwing such ideas back to closed doors and pretty much back to before this election, when such ideals that were considered "politically incorrect" took support in Trump's campaign. In other words, if he proves to be a good president, these sort of ideologies could gain back notoriety. If he fails, it could set them really far back in public support. Still, now all that is left is to see what happens, watch the USA either swim back up, sink or float. It will most probably depend a lot on how much actual support he gets in congress and in the senate and how he deals with it. His discourse after winning was actually very different from his aggressive campaign and seemed much more like a Keynesianism discourse about investing in infrastructure, national unity and harmony. And we will only actually get an image of his model of government after he takes charge in January, 2017.

 On the other side of the globe, I bet Putin and Li Keqiang are laughing along with Al Assad, Kim Jong Un and some others that are either enemies or at least rivals of the USA. Their thoughts are probably along the lines of "Stupid americans seem to think that they changed something. They better not try to face us. We are still in control and we can break their economy and country by cutting relations with them. Then, if they try to face us military, they are going to find themselves isolated and alienated from allies that probably would rather be our allies than theirs.". Again, I would like to make a disclaimer saying that this is just my personal subjective theory and shouldn't be taken seriously.

 Well, I think this somewhat concludes my rambling. I would just like to leave a note about how people are reacting to Hillary's decision of cancelling her public speech in her national campaign after she learned that she had already lost. I see people calling her an hypocrite for "doing exactly what Trump said he would do and was chastised for". I disagree with such conclusion. Not admitting defeat in a public saying is far from what Trump insinuated that he would do if he had lost. He kept complaining about electoral fraud and was very clear about how he planned to contest any result that didn't consider him the winner.&nbsp;

She proably just didn't want to say anything in public in the middle of the night. I can't really blame her. She is old, she probably expected to win and both candidates were campaigning until the last minute. It's also not like her going to public right now is going to do much. At least she called Trump and congratulated him. From what the media said, most of her supporters had left when Trump won in Ohio and then in Florida. Media don't tend focus on the losing side either. Her speech wouldn't have much impact other than drain her last energies to thank those still there. I think it could really be better to let her sleep... She could probably be better trying to sleep it off. Maybe trying to wake up somewhere else...