CENÁRIO POLÍTICO-ELEITORAL CÂMARA MUNICIPAL DA CIDADE DO RIO DE JANEIRO - 2012
Autor: Paulo Simpson | Publicado: 2012-09-18T16:32:00-07:00



CONSTRUÇÃO DE CENÁRIO POLÍTICO-ELEITORAL

ELEIÇÃO 2012

A construção deste cenário político-eleitoral da Cidade do Rio de Janeiro para as eleições de 2012 teve como metodologia a utilização de instrumentos histórico-dedutivo-indutivos.
Esta é a primeira versão que abrange os 15 dias iniciais de setembro de 2012.

Paulo Simpson
Mestrando em Ciência Política - IUPERJ 

VEREADOR – RJ – RJ

Eleitores: 4.800.000

Votos em branco e nulos: 580.000 (12%)
Abstenção: &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 816.000 (17%)

Votantes: 3.404.000

Cadeiras: 51

Quociente Eleitoral: 66.000

PARTIDOS E COLIGAÇÕES
DEM(25) – 077 candidatos (César Maia-250.000; Carlo Caiado-20.000; Tio Carlos-25.000; Célio Luparelli-15.000; Flexa-10.000; Gonçalves-8.000) – 71 + Leg. (107.000+15.000=121.000)
Total: 450.000 (6,82) (450.000/6+1=64.285,71) (450.000/7+1=56.250) (450.000/8+1=50.000) (450.000/9+1=45.000) (450.000/10+1=40.909)

PC do B(65) – 072 candidatos (Roberto Monteiro-25.000) – 71 + Leg. (75.000+15.000=90.000)
Total: 115.000 (1,74) (115.000/1+1=57.500) (115.000/2+1=38.333,33)

PDT(12) – 082 candidatos (Brizola Neto-25.000; Jorge Manaia-18.000; Nereide Pedregal-20.000) – 79 + Leg. (75000+30.000)
Total: 168.000 (2,54) (168.000/2+1=56.000) (168.000/3+1=42.000)

PHS(31) – 077 candidatos (Piuí-5.000) &nbsp;- 76 + Leg. (38.000+2.000)
Total: 45.000

PMDB(15)/PSC(20) – 103 candidatos (Alexandre Isquierdo-15.000; Jairinho-25.000; Jorge Felippe-30.000; Fernando Moraes-25.000; Chiquinho Brazão-40.000; Guaraná-30.000; Rafael Aloísio Freitas-15.000; S. Ferraz-30.000; Thiago Barcellos-15.000; Thiago K. Ribeiro-25.000; Uoston-15.000) – 92+Leg. (184.000+100.000)
Total: 549.000 (8,32) (549.000/8+1=61.000) (549.000/9+1=54.900) (549.000/10+1=49.909,09) (549.000/11+1=45.750) (549.000/12+1=42.230)

PP(11) – 078 candidatos (Carlos Bolsonaro-30.000; Vera Lins-20.000; Ivanir de Mello-8.000)
75+Leg. (37.500+5.000)
Total: 100.500 (1,52) (100.500/1+1=50.250) (100.500/2+1=33.500)

PR(22) – 072 candidatos (Fernando Peregrino-20.000; Paulo Souto-8.000; Marcelo Nascimento-12.000; Márcia Teixeira-8.000; Naum-8.000; Verônica Costa-30.000)
66+Leg. (46.200+35.000)
Total: 167.200 (2,53) (167.200/2+1=55.733,33) (167.200/3+1=41.800)

PRB(10) – 079 candidatos (João Mendes de Jesus-25.000; Tânia Bastos-25.000; Wagner Montes Filho-25.000) 76+Leg. (38.000+20.000)
Total: 133.000 (2,01) (133.000/2+1=44.333,33)

PRTB(28)/PRP(44) – 097 candidatos (Jimmy Pereira-8.000; Oswaldo Souza-5.000)
95+Leg. (38.000+5.000)
Total: 56.000

PSB(40) – 077 candidatos (Carlos Eduardo-30.000; Marcelino d’Almeida-15.000; Marcos Braz-8.000; Marina Magessi-15.000; Oscar Berro-10.000; Rubens Andrade-10.000)
71+Leg. (56.800+15.000)
Total: 159.800 (2,42) (159.800/2+1=53.266,67) (159.800/3+1=39.950)

PSD(55) – 063 candidatos (Charbel Zaib-11.000; Eliseu Kessler-8.000; Carlinhos Mecânico-6.000; Paulo Cerri-12.000) 59+Leg. (41.300+5.000)
Total: 83.300 (1,26) (83.300/1+1=41.650)

PSDB(45) – 078 candidatos (Andrade-8.000; Marcelo Itagiba-8.000; Teresa Bergher-30.000; Junior da Lucinha-15.000) 74+Leg. (37.000+10.000)
Total: 108.000 (1,64) (108.000/1+1=54.000) (108.000/2+1=36.000)

PSDC(27)/PMN(33) – 106 candidatos (Eduardão-5.000; Jorge Mauro-8.000; José Richard-3.000; João Ricardo-8.000; César Daflon-3.000; Luiz Carlos Ramos-8.000; José Everaldo-8.000)
99+Leg. (39.600+2.000)
Total: 84.600 (1,28) (84.600/1+1=42.300)

PSL(17)/PTC(36) – 104 candidatos (Átila Nunes-9.000; Bencardino-8.000; Renato Moura-20.000; Quinho-8.000) - 100+Leg. (37.000+2.000)
Total: 84.000 (1,27) (84.000/1+1=42.000)

PSOL(50) – 059 candidatos (Eliomar Coelho-15.000; Jéferson Moura-8.000; Babá-5.000; Paulo Pinheiro-20.000; Renato Cinco-5.000) - 54+Leg. (24.300+100.000)
Total: 177.300 (2,69) (177.300/2+1=59.100) (177.300/3+1=44.325)

PT(13) – 076 candidatos (André Barros-3.000; Carlos Santana-10.000; César Abrahão-8.000; Edmilson Dias-8.000; Elton Babu-10.000; Gusmão-15.000; Jurema Batista-5.000; Marcelo Arar-10.000; Marcelo Sereno-10.000; Lurdinha-15.000; Mozart-10.000; Reimont-10.000)
64+Leg. (32.000+40.000)
Total: 186.000 (2,82) (186.000/2+1=62.000) (186.000/3+1=46.500) (186.000/4+1=37.200)

PTB(14) – 077 candidatos (Cristiane Brasil-25.000; Laura Carneiro-15.000) – 75+Leg. (40.500+5.000)
Total: 85.500 (1,29) (85.500/1+1=42.750)

PT do B(70) – 072 candidatos (Charles-8.000; Carminha-20.000; Seghetto-5.000) – 69+Leg.
(24.150+2.000)
Total: 59.150

PV(43) – 076 candidatos (André Esteves-5.000; Edson da Creatinina-5.000; Paulo Messina-5.000; Rogério Rocco-7.000; Sônia Rabello-5.000) – 71+Leg. (24.850+20.000)
Total: 71.850 (1,09) (71.850/1+1=35.925)


TOTAL: 2.883.200



PCB(21) – 001 candidato
PCO(29) – 002 candidatos
PPL(54) – 020 candidatos
PPS(23) – 078 candidatos
PSTU(16) – 007 candidatos
PTN(19) – 078 candidatos


TOTAL: 1711 candidatos


PREFEITO
EDUARDO PAES: 2.650.000
MARCELO FREIXO: 960.000 + 60.000 = 1.020.000
RODRIGO MAIA: 240.000 + 20.000 = 260.000
OTÁVIO LEITE: 120.000 + 20.000 = 140.000
ASPÁSIA CAMARGO: 50.000 + 30.000 = 80.000


COMPOSIÇÃO DA CÂMARA (51 CADEIRAS)
&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 
DEM &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;06 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; +01+01+01+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;10
PC do B &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;02
PDT &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;03
PMDB/PSC 08 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; +01+01+01+01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;12
PP &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;02
PR &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;03
PRB &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;02
PSB &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;03
PSD &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;01
PSDB &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;02
PSDC/PMN 01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;01
PSL/PTC&nbsp; 01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;01
PSOL &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;+01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;03
PT &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;02 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; +01+01 &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;04
PTB &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01
PV &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;01
TOTAL: &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;34 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; (17) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;51