Theresa May is about to pull the trigger but what will the remaining 27 EU countries prioritize in the negotiations?
The arrival area of the Council's Europa building ahead of an EU leaders summit | Carl Court/Getty Images
British Prime Minister Theresa May will trigger Article 50 Wednesday. There’s no going back — negotiations will soon commence.
Across the table from the British delegation, led by May and Brexit Secretary David Davis, will be the European Commission’s Michel Barnier. But behind Barnier and the Commission are 27 separate member states.
POLITICO has spoken to officials from each country, familiar with their government’s preparations for Brexit. There is a remarkable consensus about the importance of guaranteeing citizens’ rights and of the U.K. meeting its existing obligations to the EU budget framework. However, there is also a wide range of niche interests and national red lines that could turn these fiendishly complex talks on their head.
Austria will take over the rotating presidency of the Council of the EU in the second half of 2018. That means the country will have a central role to play in the negotiations, something Sebastian Kurz, Austria’s foreign affairs and Europe minister, raised during his trip to London at the end of March.
Safeguarding the rights of the 25,000 Austrian citizens living in the U.K. will be one of Austria’s top priorities. Another top priority is making sure that the remaining EU members who pay into the budget do not have to cover the multi-billion euro gap left by the U.K.’s exit. Instead, Austria wants to take the opportunity to make the EU leaner and fitter, according to Kurz. Ideas include reforming the way the Commission works, by halving the number of Commissioners to 14.
Belgian industry — especially in the Flemish north, which accounts for more than 80 percent of its exports to the U.K. — has a lot riding on future trade relations. Britain is the fourth most important trading partner for Belgium, after Germany, France and the Netherlands, and accounted for 8.8 percent of all exports in 2015, according to National Bank figures. Exports are especially important to the chemical industry, industrial machinery and textiles, all of which will be high on Belgium’s agenda in the trade discussions.
In its recent struggle with terrorism, Belgium is also counting on the U.K. to continue sharing intelligence.
As one of the six founding nations and the seat of the European capital, Belgium loves the union. Prime Minister Charles Michel’s office stressed the need for EU countries to unite in their stance on the negotiations and stand behind the EU’s accomplishments. He also stressed that the U.K.’s divorce must be finalized before trade talks begin. But Michel could face pressure from his coalition partner, the Flemish-nationalist N-VA party, which is far more “euro-realist” and wants trade talks to start sooner.
Brexit is not high on the Bulgarian political agenda and Boyko Borisov, the likely incoming premier, will almost certainly fall in line behind his ally German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Sofia’s priority is to protect the rights of its workers and residents in the U.K. The numbers of these Bulgarian citizens in Britain are unclear, as much of the work is seasonal or ad-hoc. But the total is estimated to be more than 60,000 people, not including students.
Bulgarians are a small community compared with the Poles, and the Visegrad Group of Warsaw, Prague, Bratislava and Budapest is expected to take the lead in negotiations over migrants. The number of Bulgarian workers is also far higher in Italy and Spain and they present more of a strategic priority than those in Britain.
Borisov, who is expected to return to the premiership after Sunday’s elections, has also “welcomed” applications from British residents seeking citizenship, although that is still difficult to obtain. There are some 7,000 Britons in Bulgaria. Many of them are pensioners and retirees who have retired to the sun or who have invested in holiday homes.
Last year, Borisov called Brexit a “bad day” for Europe. But in a sign that Bulgaria will hold a united front among the EU27, Borisov insisted that there could be no talks of a “special status” for the U.K. “Those would rip the union apart,” he said.
The EU’s newest member (it joined in 2013) has a long history with the U.K. It was the British government which led negotiations to end the conflicts that engulfed Yugoslavia in the 1990s and continued to push the enlargement agenda for countries in the region.
For Croats, the U.K.’s departure is seen primarily through the lens of security. They want to keep the U.K. as engaged as possible in the EU’s security agenda, not least due to fears of Russian and Turkish encroachment into the region. After accession, around 150,000 Croats left the country, but they mainly went to Ireland rather than the U.K., meaning that unlike some new accession states, the Croatian government isn’t too concerned about its diaspora.
Andrej Plenković, the prime minister, has also said that while he regrets the departure of the U.K., it should be seen as an opportunity to overhaul the way the EU functions. Plenković was heavily involved in his country’s accession to the bloc, so knows the EU treaties inside out. He’s also close to the European People’s Party hierarchy, so will tow the Merkel line.
Cyprus considers itself the third most affected EU country, after Ireland (the border) and Spain (Gibraltar.) Britain’s military bases in Cyprus cover one percent of its land including villages where Cypriots live. Their fate will be a key question for the government. Cyprus also depends heavily on Britain for tourists, and Britain is the top destination for Cypriot university students and exports.
Given all of this, Cyprus favors as close a relationship and as soft a break as possible. One Cypriot official hinted that issues like trade relationships would at least partly have to be discussed before Brexit is final — a break with the majority EU27 stance.
In January, Interior Minister Milan Chovanec was reported to be breaking ranks with other EU countries, saying that Prague should “undertake an independent initiative” and not wait for a U.K.-EU deal. But that is not the government position, which stresses EU unity as a core value.
On the issue of timing between the Brexit deal and the trade talks, Prague is in line with the Commission and member states who want to deal with trade only after the divorce settlement is concluded. “Although an agreement on a future relationship between the United Kingdom and the EU is, from a long-term perspective, a key part of the process, it should be preceded by an agreement on the basic outline of the conditions for U.K.’s withdrawal from the European Union,” the leaders of Czech parties represented in Parliament said in a joint statement last month.
In Prague, a cabinet-level Brexit task force has been set up and the country is getting ready for Article 50.
Denmark has long been a close ally of the British within the EU. But when it comes to Brexit, Danish companies have emphasized the importance of a level playing field to their government, according to a government official familiar with the country’s preparations for the negotiations.
Denmark’s high-end export goods — be it furniture, pharmaceuticals, furs or meat — are produced to tough environmental, labor and consumer standards, and the country considers the EU to have “raised the floor” to a Danish level of regulation, allowing the country to stay competitive. The Danes’ chief priority for Brexit, therefore, is to avoid a situation in which British companies are able to bypass EU regulations but retain good access to the single market, undercutting Danish goods.
There are also hopes that tariffs on agricultural products can be lowered in any eventual free trade agreement. Britain is the country’s third-biggest export destination for the nationally important pork sector.
Danes support the need to settle the divorce first, prioritizing the rights of EU citizens, the U.K.’s borders and its financial obligations, the government official said.
Copenhagen is also conscious that to succeed Brexit talks need to be conducted in a way that allows the U.K. and EU27 nations to sell the deal to populations at home. Even if the settlement is tough for the U.K., the Danes will urge against talk of punishment. “I don’t think anyone would have any wish to complicate May’s life,” the official said.
According to MEP Kaja Kallas, the U.K. has a friend in Estonia, a country that would regularly line up with the Brits in EU discussions on business regulation and internal market policy.
Estonians want a workable relationship with the U.K., not least because of the number of Estonian tech firms, such as Transferwise, who now have extensive operations in London.
Estonia is also playing host to a number of British soldiers, there as part of a NATO deployment. Estonians will want the U.K. to remain as closely engaged in the bloc’s defense activities as possible, at a time of rising tensions with Moscow.
Like many of its northern European neighbors, the Finnish government is especially sad to see the U.K. go.
A traditional ally on the free-trading, low regulation wing of the EU, Britain is also an important trading partner. “But they used to be more important. Finland is more global now,” a Finnish government official familiar with the country’s preparations for the negotiations said. At the turn of the century, the U.K. was the second largest export destination, mostly for paper and petroleum. Now it sits sixth on the list, and Finland exports as much to China as it does to Britain.
The diminishing importance of the partnership means that Finland will be relatively agnostic in Brexit negotiations and willing to go along with the majority view of the EU27. “We will not be the ones shouting out, ‘we are here, do this do that.’ We don’t have any special requests,” the official told POLITICO. “Our special, special wish is that there is unity among the EU27.”
“The Finnish government is very clear that the four freedoms are vital for the European Union. We want win-win, cooperation. But it can never be the same as with a member country. The four freedoms are not going to be put into a puzzle and taken away somehow,” the official told POLITICO, following consultation with colleagues in Brussels and Helsinki.
A senior EU diplomat said France would defend “systemic” interests in the Brexit talks. That means avoiding any disintegration of the European system or contagion of Brexit to other countries.
“If the Brexit arrangement is ill-conceived, it can lead to dislocation,” the diplomat said. France also has a clear interest in keeping regulatory standards the same after Brexit. “In many areas, we have rules of competition, so we will be firm with the U.K. to avoid any regulatory competition,” the diplomat said.
France is also focused on the future of European manufacturers such as Airbus, where “the entire economic model is based on the most complete fluidity of composite materials ever,” the diplomat said. Fisheries is also a matter of concern to the French.
Merkel first mentioned the mantra in a speech immediately after the U.K. referendum, and the chancellor and her senior officials have since made sure to bring it up at every opportunity.
“If it turns out to be possible [for the U.K.] to get full access to the single market, if you can pick certain things, then the single market as such will be very quickly at risk … because every country will want to cherry-pick,” Merkel told business representatives in January.
Across party lines in Berlin, there is a strong backlash against what officials perceive as British demands for getting the benefits from the EU’s movement of services, goods, capital, but doing away with the free movement of workers. So far, fears that other EU27 states will copy the Brits and start asking for special deals is greater than the fear the impact a “hard Brexit” could have on the German economy.
Officials’ resolve is strengthened by advice from their economic aides who believe Britain will be far worse off than the rest of the EU after leaving. “The EU-27, with Germany, France and Italy, is a trade giant like the U.S. or China,” an advisor said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “Britain by itself will play one league below that, with countries like Canada. When was the last time you saw someone being intimidated by Canada’s trade strength?”
After May’s confirmation of a hard Brexit stance, Berlin will take the British prime minister at face value and regard the upcoming negotiations as talks over a trade agreement with a third country. Increasingly officials believe it’s virtually impossible for the U.K. and the EU to strike a deal within two years.
The Greek government has yet to making any public statements or announce an official line on Brexit. Athens says that is waiting for London to formally trigger Article 50 and only then “all assignments, roles, priorities…will be gradually unfolded, in cooperation, of course, with the Commission’s special task force,” a Greek diplomat said.
Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras met with May at December’s European Council meeting but the topic of the discussion was Cyprus (where London is one of the guarantors) and not Brexit, a Greek official explained.
“The sovereignty camp has lost its loudest voice,” said Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó at an international conference at the beginning of the month, where he also stressed that Budapest prefers a soft Brexit. “We reject the approach according to which the British must be punished; their decision must be respected, even if it would have been in Hungary’s interests for Great Britain to remain a member of the European Union,” he said.
One of Hungary’s main priorities is defending the interests of Hungarian citizens working in the U.K. “The government wants to see the introduction of a mechanism that would ‘automatically’ renew the working permits of Hungarian nationals in Britain after it leaves the EU,” Gergely Gulyás, deputy head of the ruling Fidesz party, said at a press conference last year.
Hungary is also interested in a financial settlement that softens, as much as possible, the negative impact that Britain’s exit will have on EU funds, a Hungarian official said.
In terms of the negotiation strategy, Budapest will not be unveiling its position on how to sequence the divorce settlement and trade talks as their priority is unity with other EU countries, the official stressed.
Dublin’s foremost aims are to protect peace in Northern Ireland and avoid damaging trade between the highly interconnected U.K. and Irish economies.
The complex and contested border between the republic and Northern Ireland has grown largely invisible in recent years. Any return to a noticeable division could be destabilizing. Dublin wants to maintain the free movement across the two islands that existed before the EU was founded, and for the ultimate deal to explicitly guarantee easy EU accession should Northern Ireland democratically opt to unite with Ireland in the future.
People living in the North, which voted to remain within the EU in June’s referendum, can claim Irish or U.K. nationality, or both. “We did not vote to leave the European Union and we must protect our peace process. We cannot have a situation where people on our island, potentially citizens of Ireland, can be impacted by virtue of a decision taken in the United Kingdom,” European Affairs Minister Dara Murphy told POLITICO.
Dublin has undertaken a diplomatic blitz ahead of the negotiations, sending delegations to every member state in the EU. Murphy emphasized that despite its close relationship with the U.K., Ireland is firmly on the side of the EU regarding Brexit. “Pro-EU sentiment in Ireland is exceptionally strong,” Murphy said. “We are on the EU side of the table completely.” However, Murphy added that “every element of Brexit is not welcome,” so the Irish will be a strong voice for a low-impact solution.
Rome’s major concern is citizens’ rights, Italian Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni made clear when he met May in London in February. “Their rights will be respected and they will be treated well,” Gentiloni said.
Financial services are also relevant since they could be exposed to an aggressive British fiscal policy, according to an official at the foreign ministry, who listed Italy’s priorities as the future of the EU budget and the future of EU agencies now in the U.K., such as the European Medicines Agency, which Milan hopes to host after Brexit.
Rome wants to have Brexit divorce terms agreed first and then discuss trade talks only afterward. “This sequencing is a common line for member states,” one Italian diplomat said.
When Gentiloni visited May, he argued against “disruptive talks.” Italian diplomats agree the approach should be to encourage the EU27 to stay rather than any attempt to scare them from to leaving.
The Brexit dossier will be handled by DG EU at the foreign ministry and by the sherpa Marco Piantini, an official said.
Latvia is primarily concerned about preserving trade relations with the U.K. “The U.K. has been an active promoter of liberal market values, we are a small and open economy but we see the value of an open market,” Dana Reizniece-Ozola, Latvia’s Finance minister told POLITICO.
After the EU’s 2008 economic crisis, the U.K. has been one of the most active countries in the EU “helping to strengthen the single market,” she said.
“After the crisis, you could feel a sense of protectionism,” she said. “The U.K. has always been the one who’s been pushing further single market rules. We will miss them.”
Reizniece-Ozola also said the rights of more than 80,000 Latvian citizens living in the U.K. were important in their Brexit strategy.
The other red line will be EU-wide Cohesion Funds, Reizniece-Ozola said. “We are recipients of these funds, including on business, education, science programs, and we and would not like to see them reduced.” According to the European commission, Latvia has been allocated €5.63 billion from the European Structural and Investment Funds, for the period 2014-2020, covering areas such as research and low-carbon economy. “The reduction of these funds in case of Brexit should not hinder the competitiveness of Europe,” Reizniece-Ozola said.
The issues at stake for Lithuania will be the rights of their citizens living in the U.K., EU finances, home affairs, and security and defense, a senior diplomat from the Baltic country in Brussels said.
“The country has about 200,000 citizens (eight percent of the total population) living in the U.K.,” the diplomat said, and “we are still a net receiver” of EU funding.
The diplomat added her country would also need to “preserve cooperation” with the U.K. on home affairs, internal security and justice, and defense matters.
Luxembourg wants a slice of London’s business post-Brexit and wants to ensure that the U.K. financial sector continues to play by the regulatory rules so that its own companies stay competitive.
Minister of Foreign Affairs Jean Asselborn outlined his government’s position in Luxembourg’s national parliament on March 21, stressing the need to protect its financial sector — with its $3 trillion asset management industry — and the rights of British citizens working in the country.
The small country is also the eurozone’s largest hub for international wealth management and private banks, managing over $400 billion in assets. That needs to be protected, Asselborn said, stressing “we will not accept any cheap compromises.” To guarantee that protection, a “system of equivalences” — or mutually agreed regulatory standards — is vital to guarantee that “financial services access the European market…[This] is so important and we must ensure that this system is adapted to the new realities after Brexit,” he said.
As a member of the Commonwealth and former colony, Malta has a long history with the U.K., reflected in the fact English is widely-spoken. There’s a strong cultural affinity for Britain, too, although the Maltese see an opportunity in Brexit.
Given its climate and language, it’s well placed to poach business from London, specifically financial services firms that will need to open subsidiaries inside the EU.
“It is a historical irony but it is also a sad process. The U.K. was also one of the most supportive countries of our joining the EU. It is another irony that we are now piloting a process to let go of a country that let us in,” Prime Minister Joseph Muscat said in late January, reflecting on his country’s term holding the rotating EU presidency at a time of crisis.
The Netherlands is currently between governments due to the recent elections and so no one was available to comment on the national strategy. However, Anne Mulder, the Europe spokesman from the party of incumbent Prime Minister Mark Rutte, said it is crucial to correct “Alice in Wonderland… totally unrealistic expectations in the U.K.” towards the Brexit deal.
“We are saying this as a friend,” Mulder said. “They are totally not prepared… They don’t have the people to negotiate trade deals. So they are underestimating the situation… They need to be brought back down to earth.”
A report by two lawmakers on the Dutch position is working its way through parliament. This draft position recommends: guaranteeing the rights of Dutch citizens in the U.K.; protecting trade (the Netherlands has the highest level of exports to the U.K. of all EU countries apart from Ireland); involving the Dutch parliament in the negotiations; that the U.K. should meet EU financial contributions to which it has already agreed; and that the nuclear power treaty Euratom should be kept separate from Brexit.
However, Mulder characterized the Dutch stance as soft Brexit. “We have huge trade relations so a soft Brexit. We don’t have to punish them because they are punishing themselves,” Mulder told POLITICO, with a laugh. “They don’t need extra punishment. They are shooting their own foot.”
The British government estimates more than 800,000 Polish-born people live in the U.K., making them the largest foreign-born group in Britain and Polish the second-most spoken language.
That has created an enormous incentive for the Warsaw government to watch out for compatriots in the U.K. — people who can vote in Polish elections, send money back to the country and who still have families in Poland. When Jarosław Kaczyński, leader of Poland’s ruling Law and Justice party, met with May last week, migrants were the main topic of discussion.
It’s also unclear just how many of those Poles will get to stay. About 400,000 have been in the country less than five years — too short to become permanent residents under current rules. Although Warsaw says it will stick up for their rights, the Polish government is counting on as many as 200,000 people returning from Britain: something that could boost Poland’s economy.
Then there’s the money. Poland is the largest recipient of EU structural funds, and the worry is that a post-Brexit budget will be significantly smaller.
The U.K. may have some room for maneuver with Poland thanks to the country’s worries about Russia and the U.K.’s role as one of Europe’s most muscular military powers. But so far, on Brexit, Warsaw isn’t breaking ranks with the rest of the EU.
Portugal is strongly pro-European as well as Atlanticist. The loss of the EU’s pre-eminent Atlantic power leaves it feeling vulnerable. “We absolutely must preserve the balance between continental and Atlantic factors which are strategic for countries like Portugal,” Foreign Minister Augusto Santos Silva told diplomats recently. Reciprocal rights for EU and U.K. citizens “must be at the top of the negotiating priorities,” State Secretary for European Affairs Margarida Marques told POLITICO. “We also need stability in other areas, such as the union’s financial framework.”
Portuguese President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa spoke with POLITICO March 22. “There will be a bill,” he said. “They have existing commitments through to 2020, at least. The bill is a decision on quantity. The future relationship is a decision on quality.”
Santos Silva said that Portugal lines up “unreservedly” with the Commission and states calling for unity among the 27. In domestic and international deal-making, Santos Silva and Prime Minister António Costa, have proven themselves to be astute negotiators. They’ve been building close ties with other Southern European governments. With a stable government enjoying broad support at home and a wide degree of national consensus on Europe, Portugal might punch above its weight in the negotiations.
Romania’s negotiating strategy is focused on ensuring that there will be no discrimination between EU citizens (or between EU citizens and U.K. nationals) during the divorce, according to government officials. This is a core principle that Romania wants to see applied both during the withdrawal agreement and for any future relations.
Like others, Bucharest wants issues negotiated in a certain order: first focused on preserving the rights of EU citizens and dealing with the Brexit bill. Then the EU should informally explore how the EU-U.K. relation can transition to a future relationship. “The question of acquired rights for EU and U.K. nationals and the financial settlement should be addressed at the beginning of the negotiations, and only after sufficient progress will be made on these aspects, an informal scoping of the future relations could start,” European Affairs Minister Ana Birchall told POLITICO. However, she said, “even the softest Brexit will be a hard Brexit,” adding that U.K.’s decision to leave the single market and customs union “does not seem to make it possible to replicate the status quo.”
Slovakia made news in September when Prime Minister Robert Fico went on the record in an interview with the Financial Times saying that the EU will make Brexit “very painful.”
The bone of contention, in this case, is also the rights of EU citizens living in the U.K. Currently, an estimated 75,000 Slovaks live and work in the U.K.
“All we want is to be treated the same [as British workers],” Fico said. “If that happens, then this divorce could be a success. But even then it will be more painful for the U.K.,” he said. “Even if it is the fifth-biggest economy in the world — I understand their financial importance — this will still be very painful for the U.K.”
“It would be very wrong to have the EU emerge from the talks weakened and Britain strengthened,” the prime minister later told Slovak media. “That would be the worst example set for each and every single country for EU, where public pressure to leave the EU might be felt.”
At a more recent meeting with David Davis, Fico explained that his hard tone doesn’t mean his country has chosen a hard Brexit since he wishes the two countries will remain good partners and maintain high-quality relations.
British liabilities within the EU’s 2014-2020 budget settlement is not about politics for Slovenia, national officials said, but cold hard cash that has been committed to the country and is already being spent. A net beneficiary from the EU, Slovenia was allocated more than €3 billion for 2014-2020, money that is being spent on upgrading the railway network, motorways, waste management and numerous other educational, research and environmental projects.
“Our biggest concern is to get a deal on the EU budget,” said a Slovenian government official. “For us, this is a legal question.” Slovenia has aligned with its biggest trading partner, Germany, and will side with Berlin in emphasizing the importance of a “non-fragmented” single market. “That means no cherry-picking,” the official said. The country will be firm that the four freedoms have to be respected, and doesn’t expect to have trouble persuading EU27 partners to support its position.
However, as a smaller country — population two million — that benefits significantly from being in the EU, it will be among a group of net beneficiary nations lending moral force to the EU’s argument that the U.K. must pay up. Ljubljana rejects any characterization of hard versus soft Brexit, and hopes to remain a good partner to the U.K. after Brexit, officials said. However, its stance is at odds with U.K. hopes to avoid a big divorce bill and to secure generous single market access, so could be characterized as on the hard side.
As a firm pro-European country, Spain’s goal is for the EU to overcome the Brexit trauma in the best possible shape, meaning Madrid won’t break the negotiating discipline of the 27 member states and the priorities of Barnier’s team. “The most important interest now is the unity of Europe and the continuity of the integration process,” Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said in an interview with El País, adding that the goal should be to achieve the best possible relations between the U.K. and the EU, while making it clear that you can’t be better “outside than inside” the Union.
Spain also has a handful of particular priorities. Firstly, Madrid favors a quick, reciprocal, all-encompassing deal on citizens’ rights. There are more British citizens living in Spain — around 300,000 officially registered — than Spaniards in the U.K., a unique case in the EU, and around 18 million Britons travel to Spain every year. That’s a juicy source of income the country would like to maintain.
Secondly, Madrid would like the negotiations to end up with an as-good-as-possible commercial deal between the U.K. and the EU. The U.K. is the most important recipient of Spanish foreign investments and Spain’s fourth largest trading partner. Moreover, many of the biggest Spanish companies in the UK, like Banco Santander, Telefónica or Iberdrola, work in sectors which are highly sensitive to public regulation and therefore could potentially suffer heavy losses from Brexit.
Thirdly, Gibraltar and Scotland: Spain wants Gibraltar’s case not to be addressed at all in the Brexit negotiations so that whatever happens with the British overseas territory is negotiated bilaterally between London and Madrid. In the case of Scotland, Spain’s priority is to make sure that it doesn’t get any special treatment and leaves the EU in the same conditions as the whole of the U.K., so as not to encourage separatists in Catalonia.
Officials calculate that the EU budget will take a 13 percent hit from the loss of the U.K., a net contributor, and a priority from the Brexit talks and their aftermath will be first to ensure the U.K. pays any obligations — Foreign Minister Margot Wallström told the BBC in February that Britain had to “take the consequences” of Brexit — and then at the next budget round, to lower the overall EU budget so that Sweden and other member states don’t contribute more to make up for the loss of British cash.
Finance Minister Magdalena Andersson has spoken of the need for “as soft a Brexit as possible” and Sweden wants good terms with its fourth biggest trading partner. But while a good trade deal is hoped for, Sweden — historically a close ally of the U.K. within the EU — will not let its economic interests trump EU27 unity.
“The political project of the EU comes first,” a government official familiar with the country’s preparations for Brexit told POLITICO. Stockholm had hoped for the U.K. to stay in the customs union and was surprised when May ruled out full membership in her Lancaster House speech in January, the official said.
The U.K. might have hoped for special treatment from Sweden, but Europe Minister Ann Linde has gone on the record to say that Sweden will not “step outside the EU27” to support British positions during the negotiation.
Northern Ireland, Gibraltar and Cyprus must take priority as UK are still inside EU through these countries/sharing borders. Especially Cyprus with Turkey/EUGreece relationship being sensitive now.
You have no clue, I am currently working in the eu and I tell ya uk with at attitude will get nowhere.
The only one of these that matters is Germany; they’re prepared to take some economic hit to preserve the unity of the EU. So we’re in trouble.
As a commonwealth citizen I never understood my grand parents when they said the English were nuts. I think I can now.
They will probably get (1), and they may well get (2). But if they do get (2) they are being very optimistic about (3), (4) and (5).
“[Slovenia] will be among a group of net beneficiary nations lending moral force to the EU’s argument that the U.K. must pay up.”
What ‘moral force’ does any country that is a net recipient have in insisting that the UK, a country which has paid more into the EU than any other country apart from Germany, should pay out even more before it leaves? None.
Many Britons will be watching which of the many European countries we have in living memory gone to war for, liberated and defended, and paid out of our own pockets for, decide to screw us for all they can before we leave the EU. They will not find the UK a good market for their exports again for a very long time. And if they think Britain will risk the life of another serviceman or woman again in the defence of their security, they may find they are in for a rude awakening.
For goodness sake, at least let them sit down & try & negotiate, before jumping on the doom & gloom band wagon. It would be in everyone’s interest to reach a fair amicable agreement on our departure & future relationship. If this proves to be unachievable then so be it. Both sides will suffer, but will get over it, and that’s that.
Very interesting analysis that underlines the failure of the May Government to unilaterally secure the rights of EU citizens living in the UK is as a serious and indefensible mistake at the beginning of a very difficult negotoating process. Everybody, including the most determined suppporters of Brexit, can see that those rights will have to be granted. How to lose friends and allies and alienate people!
@Hilary Barnard: Depends on how you look at it. If it’s something that everybody wants out of the negotiation, withholding it at the start may not be such a bad move on May’s behalf.
@Hilary….. Bizzare comment! The EU could have unliaterally allowed UK citizen’s rights in EU as well?
I find it odd that it is only now that the rEU27 all say priority is given to citizens rights, implying that the bad boys in the UK don’t have that very same priority. UK tried to get this sorted out months ago but was blocked by Germany. So how is that the EU is taking the moral high ground.
Europeans wilI be increasingly important in the next 50 years both in terms of competence and relevance to global economy The right-wing fanatic will have to decide and not blame the EU
I hope you are right , and wish the members that want to remain as part of the EU project , all the best for the future .
I personally think that the EU is severely damaging itself , with it’s single minded actions in total contempt of its citizens wants and needs .
Bill Clinton is in Derry promoting peace and economic regeneration. He met the Firt and Deputy First Minisiters.
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will host a conference in ashington shortly aimed at encouraging U.S. businessmen to invist in NI.
President Clinton comes from the United States of America. It is a big country which generally tells the British what to do, rather than the other way round.
ah come on like - it was the yanks who banged heads together. they had absolutely no reason to do so - but they did.
Clinton did well for Northern Ireland. disagree with him on a ton of political issues, but with NI , he's got my 100% support. He's a good man who did a ton of decent , humane work in solving the war up north.
hopefully.. with the way the iran thing is heading, weapons export is probably the business to be diving into right now.
In conversation, I was trying to think of what the world today might be like if abortion did not exist anywhere.
What increased social problems might exist if lots of unwanted children were about? What child protection issues might exist if they were all put into homes as they were before? or how might we cope with them if abortion didnt exist at all?
There are so many missing populations now which existed in the past - but are just not there anymore.
Where are the Down Syndrome children? the cleft palate children? and other handicapped ones with missing legs or arms?
One has to wonder would we treat these unwanted children any better that they were treated back then
Or is abortion the straight alternative to the child abuse that existed back in the day when abortion wasent there...
Oh Christ. Not another fuking abortion thread. Cue 100 pages of rants, cat calls of "child murderer", "woman hater" etc over and back.
I live just down the road from some sheltered accommodation that enables a group of young Downs Syndrome people to have fairly independent and full lives; have I imagined this?
Just back from the Barlmoral show at the maze site. I have to say that the site and venue were excellent and the fine weather made the day.
Imagine having the national stadium here, the match would be over by the time a lot of the people got parked.
Hate to steal others lines but f you had phoned Gerry Kelly he'd have told you how to get out of there quicker.
Rip off merchants. I remember going to an agri show a few years back, it was 8 euro to get in. Fekk that I thought. Walked around the perimeter of the event, found a hedge with a gap and dashed on in. Others saw me and did the same. It was shyte as well so even more chuffed not paying.
Spent 2 hours getting there and 2 hours back. £5 to park and £15 entrance. Apart from that it was good.
THE CHIEF executive of Irish Nationwide Building Society, Michael Fingleton, was paid a bonus of €1 million just weeks after the Government introduced the €440 billion guarantee to protect the entire banking system.
However, it emerged last night that the Department of Finance intends to put pressure on Mr Fingleton to repay the bonus.
Mr Fingleton’s “pre-contracted incentive bonus” for 2008 was revealed in the report of the Government committee set up to assess executive pay in the seven banks and building societies covered by the guarantee, which was introduced on September 30th.
The report from the Covered Institutions Remuneration Oversight Committee (Ciroc) showed that Mr Fingleton was paid the bonus in November. The building society agreed to the bonus early last year and it was paid before the two Government-nominated directors were appointed in December.
The Ciroc report showed that Mr Fingleton’s annual salary increased at a time when the banking sector came under severe stress and the Government moved to protect the financial system with the guarantee.
Mr Fingleton’s overall pay package for 2008 totalled €2.34 million, which included benefits and fees of €453,240. This was higher than his 2007 pay of €2.31 million and made him the best-paid chief executive in Irish banking for 2008.
The bonus was coincidentally paid just prior to the date that two government representatives were to be appointed to the Board. Lenihan is said to be 'not impressed', and the government are saying they will pursue the matter further. All this despite Nationwide being the most exposed to commercial property of all lenders in Ireland, up to 80% of its property loans being badly affected by the crash. A situation designed solely by one Michael Fingleton.
I've said it before and I'll say it again. If there aren't horror stories waiting to emerge from Fingleton's little empire, then I'll eat my own feet. It's just a matter of time...
The Ciroc report shows that Mr Fingleton was the only chief executive in receipt of a higher salary this year. His salary rose 12 per cent this year, to €1 million from €893,000.
At this point Dr Michael Walsh was still on the board. Was Dr Walsh aware of this bonus and did he approve of it?
If there is anyone still there who approved this they must be sacked and without any payoff. Its time to stop saying that these boys are not above the law and time to start proving it.
That's the sort of point which needs to be made over & over again : what on earth were the non-executive directors doing in the banks/bs ?