2024年北卡羅來納州州長選舉
大選 > 民调

| 汇总来源 | 调查日期 | 更新日期 | 乔许·史坦 (D) | 马克·罗宾逊 (R) | 未决  | 差距 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 真清晰政治 | September 20 - October 8, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 52.1% | 36.3% | 11.6% | Stein +15.8% |
| 270toWin | October 2-10, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 50.6% | 35.0% | 14.4% | Stein +15.6% |
| 国会山报/DDHQ（英语：） | through October 8, 2024 | October 10, 2024 | 51.8% | 36.4% | 11.8% | Stein +15.4% |
| 平均 | 平均 | 平均 | 51.5% | 35.9% | 12.6% | Stein +15.6% |
| 民调来源 | 调查日期 | 样本 | 误差 | 乔许·史坦 (D) | 马克·罗宾逊 (R) | 其它 | 未决 |  |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Emerson College （页面存档备份，存于） | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 34% | 5% | 11% |  |
| ActiVote （页面存档备份，存于） | September 5 – October 5, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 57% | 44% | – | – |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 36% | 4% | 14% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 41% | 2% | 4% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 25–29, 2024 | 953 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 39% | 6% | 3% |  |
| The Washington Post （页面存档备份，存于） | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 2% | 6% |  |
| The Washington Post （页面存档备份，存于） | September 25–29, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 38% | 2% | 7% |  |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–29, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 34% | 3% | 11% |  |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–29, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 32% | 3% | 14% |  |
| Emerson College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 27–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 33% | 4% | 12% |  |
| RMG Research （页面存档备份，存于） | September 25–27, 2024 | 780 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 38% | 5% | 8% |  |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 23–26, 2024 | 1,005 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 33% | 5% | 13% |  |
| AtlasIntel （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,173 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 38% | 3% | 5% |  |
| CNN/SSRS （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–25, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 36% | 11% | – |  |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 53% | 33% | 7% | 8% |  |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | September 19–25, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 59% | 35% | – | 6% |  |
| Fox News （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–24, 2024 | 787 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 41% | 1% | 3% |  |
| Fox News （页面存档备份，存于） | September 20–24, 2024 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 40% | 2% | 3% |  |
| Marist College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 19–24, 2024 | 1,507 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 42% | 1% | 3% |  |
| Marist College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 19–24, 2024 | 1,348 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 54% | 43% | 1% | 2% |  |
| September 19, 2024 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 | 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认 |  |
| NYT/Siena College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 37% | – | 16% |  |
| NYT/Siena College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 17–21, 2024 | 682 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 36% | – | 17% |  |
| Meredith College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 18–20, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 5% | 9% |  |
| Victory Insights (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | September 16–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |  |
| Emerson College （页面存档备份，存于） | September 15–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 10% |  |
| Morning Consult （页面存档备份，存于） | September 11–18, 2024 | 1,314 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 37% | 1% | 12% |  |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/Impact Research (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | September 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | – | 6% |  |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | September 15–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.99% | 46% | 39% | 2% | 13% |  |
| Elon University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 4–13, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.74% | 49% | 35% | 3% | 9% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 33% | 3% | 23% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 42% | 1% | 4% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 41% | 5% | 4% |  |
| Morning Consult （页面存档备份，存于） | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 2% | 11% |  |
| SurveyUSA （页面存档备份，存于） | September 4–7, 2024 | 676 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |  |
| Florida Atlantic University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 38% | – | 14% |  |
| Florida Atlantic University （页面存档备份，存于） | September 5–6, 2024 | 619 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |  |
| Emerson College （页面存档备份，存于） | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | 3% | 10% |  |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | August 25–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 1% | 11% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | August 25–28, 2024 | 812 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 44% | 40% | 4% | 13% |  |
| SoCal Strategies (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 47% | 37% | – | 16% |  |
| Fox News （页面存档备份，存于） | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 43% | 2% | 1% |  |
| ActiVote （页面存档备份，存于） | July 26 – August 26, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – | – |  |
| SurveyUSA/High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 34% | – | 18% |  |
| SurveyUSA/High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | August 19–21, 2024 | 941 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | August 12–15, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 39% | 3% | 13% |  |
| NYT/Siena College （页面存档备份，存于） | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 38% | – | 14% |  |
| NYT/Siena College （页面存档备份，存于） | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 39% | – | 12% |  |
| YouGov (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 36% | 6% | 13% |  |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 38% | 4% | 15% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 3% | 16% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 5% | 23% |  |
July 21, 2024: 祖·拜登退出2024年美國總統選舉
| Public Policy Polling (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | July 19–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | – | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |  |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | July 16–18, 2024 | 461 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 36% | 4% | 23% |  |
| Spry Strategies （页面存档备份，存于） | June 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 43% | – | 18% |  |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | May 31 – June 3, 2024 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |  |
| North Star Opinion Research (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 29 – June 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |  |
| Change Research (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 13–18, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |  |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | May 2–9, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 34% | 39% | – | 27% |  |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | May 2–9, 2024 | 1,002 (A) | ± 3.2% | 30% | 35% | – | 35% |  |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 39% | 5% | 17% |  |
| Emerson College （页面存档备份，存于） | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | 5% | 12% |  |
| Meeting Street Insights (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | April 25–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 37% | 6% | 13% |  |
| Meredith College （页面存档备份，存于） | April 11–17, 2024 | 711 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 36% | – | 20% |  |
| Cygnal (R) | April 7–8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 40% | – | 18% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 52% | 44% | 2% | 3% |  |
| Quinnipiac University （页面存档备份，存于） | April 4–8, 2024 | 1,401 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 41% | 7% | 3% |  |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | March 22–30, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 37% | 34% | – | 29% |  |
| Marist College （页面存档备份，存于） | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |  |
| SurveyUSA （页面存档备份，存于） | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |  |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |  |
| Change Research (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | February 15–19, 2024 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |  |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 41% | – | 14% |  |
| Meredith College （页面存档备份，存于） | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 35% | – | 17% |  |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 44% | – | 16% |  |
| Meredith College （页面存档备份，存于） | November 1–5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 36% | – | 19% |  |
| Change Research (D) | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 38% | 42% | – | 20% |  |
| Opinion Diagnostics （页面存档备份，存于） | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 38% | 41% | – | 21% |  |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 18% |  |
| Change Research (D) | May 5–8, 2023 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 46% | – | 11% |  |
| Public Policy Polling (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | March 2–3, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% |  |
| Differentiator Data (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 42% | – | 16% |  |
| Public Policy Polling (D) （页面存档备份，存于） | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 42% | – | 14% |  |
| Meeting Street Insights (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 12–16, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | – | 10% |  |
假设民调
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Stein (D) | Dale Folwell (R) | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Stein (D) | Bill Graham (R) | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | February 9–12, 2024 | 1,207 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| East Carolina University （页面存档备份，存于） | November 29 – December 1, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Josh Stein (D) | Mark Walker (R) | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Cygnal (R) （页面存档备份，存于） | May 12–23, 2023 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| High Point University （页面存档备份，存于） | February 16–23, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 2% | 7% |