2024年歐洲議會選舉 (西班牙)
民調 > 投票意向預估

下表列出了加權投票意向預估。拒絕投票通常不計入政黨投票百分比，問題措辭以及對「不知道」答案和不打算投票的人的統計方式可能因民調公司而異。如果民調公司有預測席位，會以較小的字體顯示在百分比下方（或代替）。
超出法律規定民意調查期限
| 民調公司 | 調查日期 | 取樣大小 | 投票率 |  |  |  |  |  | AR>  |  |  |  |  |  | SALF（英语：）>  | 領先差距 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 2024年歐洲議會選舉 | 2024/6/9 | 不適用 | 49.2 | 30.2 20 | 34.2 22 | 0.7 0 | 3.3 2 | 9.6 6 | 4.9 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.6 1 |  | 0.8 0 | 4.7 3 | 4.6 3 | 4.0 |

| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/4/30—6/9 | 4,612 | ? | 28.7 19/20 | 34.5 23/25 | 1.0 0 | 4.2 2/3 | 10.5 6/7 | 4.2 2/3 | 2.3 1 | 1.4 0/1 |  | – | 6.3 3/4 | 2.9 1/2 | 5.8 |
| SigmaDos/RTVE–FORTA | 2024/5/24—6/8 | 12,000 | ? | 30.2 20/22 | 32.4 21/23 | 1.0 0 | 4.4 2/3 | 10.4 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 2.1 1 | 1.6 1 |  | – | 6.3 3/4 | 3.9 2/3 | 2.2 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 2024/6/6 | 800 | ? | 29.7 20 | 32.4 22 | ? 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 10.3 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 2.4 1 | 1.6 0/1 |  | – | 6.0 3/4 | 3.1 1/2 | 2.7 |
| Metroscopia | 2024/6/3—6 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 32.6 22/23 | 0.4 0 | 4.9 3 | 10.1 6/7 | 4.5 3 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 |  | – | 5.4 3/4 | 3.6 2 | 2.5 |
| KeyData/Público | 2024/6/3 | ? | 51.5 | 30.0 20 | 33.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.7 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.7 1 |  | – | 6.1 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.9 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 2024/6/2—3 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 20 | 34.4 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.9 2 | 10.3 7 | 4.4 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.6 1 |  | – | 6.2 4 | – | 4.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 2024/6/1—3 | 1,422 | ? | 30.2 21 | 32.9 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.5 6 | 4.2 2 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 |  | 1.2 0 | 5.9 4 | 2.5 1 | 2.7 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 2024/5/27—6/3 | 3,535 | ? | 30.3 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | ? 0 | 4.1 2/3 | 10.5 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 1.9 1 | 1.4 0/1 |  | – | 6.0 4 | 3.4 2 | 2.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/5/30—6/2 | 630 | ? | 29.3 20 | 34.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.7 2 | 10.1 7 | 3.8 2 | 2.8 1 | 1.6 1 |  | – | 6.3 4 | 2.7 1 | 4.8 |
| Cluster17/Agenda Pública | 2024/5/29—31 | 2,060 | ? | 29.5 20/21 | 33.8 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.3 6/7 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.7 1 |  | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 4.3 |
| Target Point/El Debate | 2024/5/29—31 | 1,003 | ? | 31.0 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.9 2 | 8.9 5/6 | ? 3 | 2.4 1 | ? 1 |  | – | 6.0 4 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.5 |
| GESOP/Prensa Ibérica | 2024/5/27—31 | 630 | ? | 31.5 21/22 | 32.0 21/22 | 0.9 0 | 4.4 2/3 | 8.1 5/6 | 5.0 3 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 |  | – | 5.8 3/4 | 3.7 1/2 | 0.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2024/5/27—31 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 29.2 20 | 35.0 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6/7 | 4.9 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.9 1 |  | – | 6.4 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía | 2024/5/25—31 | 3,109 | ? | 30.0 20 | 33.5 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.3 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 |  | 1.3 0 | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 3.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 2024/5/24—31 | 3,948 | ? | 29.7 19/21 | 32.7 21/23 | 0.8 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 11.0 6/7 | 3.8 2 | 1.9 1 | 1.3 0/1 |  | – | 6.9 4/5 | 3.5 2 | 3.0 |
| Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli | 2024/5/23—31 | 1,000 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | ? 1 |  | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.5 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 2024/5/28—30 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | 1.0 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 10.7 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.1 1 | 1.4 0/1 |  | – | 5.6 3/4 | 2.5 1/2 | 3.1 |
| GAD3/ABC | 2024/5/27—30 | 1,005 | ? | 29.8 20 | 34.9 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.7 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.9 1 |  | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.4 1 | 5.1 |
| CIS | 2024/5/27—30 | 7,491 | ? | 31.6–33.2 | 28.3– 30.5 | 0.7– 1.2 | 3.6– 3.9 | 9.9– 11.0 | 3.7– 4.1 | 1.5– 1.6 | 1.0– 1.3 |  | – | 5.4– 7.1 | 4.9– 5.7 | 2.7– 3.3 |
| Metroscopia | 2024/5/28—29 | 1,000 | 50 | 29.5 20/21 | 33.6 22/23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 10.1 6/7 | 4.7 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 1.8 1 |  | – | 5.9 3/4 | 3.1 2 | 4.1 |
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia | 2024/5/23—29 | 1,005 | ? | 30.1 20 | 34.5 24 | 0.7 0 | 3.8 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.0 2 | 2.3 1 | 2.1 1 |  | – | 6.4 4 | 2.6 1 | 4.4 |
| DYM/Henneo | 2024/5/23—28 | 1,004 | ? | 30.8 20/21 | 34.4 23 | 1.3 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.4 6/7 | 4.2 2/3 | 2.4 1 | 1.2 1 |  | 1.5 0/1 | 5.9 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.6 |
| Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero | 2024/5/23—28 | 1,100 | 49.7 | 29.3 20 | 34.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 |  | 1.1 0 | 6.3 4 | 1.9 1 | 5.6 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/5/25—26 | 503 | ? | 29.4 20 | 34.8 24 | 1.4 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.7 7 | 4.5 2 | 2.7 1 | 1.4 0 |  | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.4 |
| KeyData/Público | 2024/5/25 | ? | 54.0 | 28.7 19 | 35.8 24 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 10.6 7 | 4.6 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.5 0 |  | – | 7.4 4 | 2.7 1 | 7.1 |
| Data10/OKDiario | 2024/5/22—24 | 1,500 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.4 24 | 0.9 0 | 2.9 1 | 10.4 7 | 4.7 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 |  | – | 6.4 4 | – | 5.8 |
| GAD3/Mediaset | 2024/5/21—24 | 1,002 | ? | 31.4 21 | 34.5 23 | 0.7 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.3 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.5 1 |  | – | 5.7 3 | 2.7 1 | 3.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2024/5/20—24 | 1,000 | 54.3 | 27.9 19 | 36.1 24/25 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.0 6 | 5.2 3 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.2 1 |  | – | 6.8 4 | 1.2 0 | 8.2 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 2024/5/20—24 | 2,137 | ? | 30.2 19/20 | 35.1 24/25 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.7 6/7 | 3.6 2 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0/1 |  | – | 7.0 4/5 | 2.6 1/2 | 4.9 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 2024/5/18—24 | 1,500 | ? | 29.1 20 | 33.7 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 8.7 6 | 5.3 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 |  | 1.3 0 | 5.8 4 | 1.8 1 | 4.6 |
| Cluster17/Agenda Pública | 2024/5/21—23 | 1,640 | ? | 28.7 19/20 | 34.1 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.4 2 | 9.6 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.9 1 |  | 1.3 0/1 | 6.7 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/5/17—19 | 519 | ? | 28.8 19 | 36.9 25 | 0.9 0 | 3.2 2 | 10.4 7 | 5.1 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0 |  | – | 7.0 4 | 0.8 0 | 8.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2024/5/13—17 | 1,000 | 58.9 | 27.2 18/19 | 36.3 24/25 | ? 0 | 2.8 1/2 | 9.4 6 | 4.9 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 |  | – | 7.7 5 | 1.4 0/1 | 9.1 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural | 2024/5/12—17 | 1,250 | ? | 28.6 20 | 34.3 25 | 0.9 0 | 2.5 1 | 7.7 5 | 5.4 3 | 4.0 2 | 2.4 1 |  | 1.3 0 | 5.9 4 | 1.1 0 | 5.7 |
| CIS (Logoslab) | 2024/5/8—17 | 6,434 | ? | 30.5 20/21 | 33.0 21/22 | 1.5 0/1 | ? 2/3 | ? 7 | ? 2/3 | ? 1 | ? 1 |  | – | ? 3/4 | ? 2 | 2.5 |
| CIS | 2024/5/8—17 | 6,434 | ? | 32.8– 35.2 21/24 | 27.9– 30.2 18/20 | 1.8– 2.6 1/2 | 4.4– 5.4 2/3 | 8.6– 10.1 5/6 | 3.9– 5.0 2/3 | 2.2– 3.0 1/2 | 1.1– 1.6 0/1 |  | – | 5.9– 7.2 4 | 2.9– 3.8 1/2 | 4.9– 5.0 |
| Cluster17/Agenda Pública | 2024/5/14—16 | 1,511 | ? | 26.4 17/18 | 35.4 24 | 1.2 0/1 | 3.4 2 | 8.8 6 | 5.6 3 | 2.6 1 | 2.0 1 |  | 1.4 0/1 | 6.6 4 | 3.8 2 | 9.0 |
| 40dB/Prisa | 2024/5/10—13 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | 1.1 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 12.6 8/9 | 4.6 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.9 1 |  | – | 5.7 3/4 | – | 3.4 |
| Simple Lógica/elDiario.es | 2024/5/1—9 | 1,131 | ? | 29.9 20 | 36.4 24 | ? 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.9 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.1 0 |  | – | 8.0 5 | – | 6.5 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/4/30—5/4 | 1,279 | ? | 26.7 18 | 39.2 26 | 1.2 0 | 3.0 2 | 10.3 7 | 5.4 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.4 1 |  | – | 6.4 4 | 0.3 0 | 12.5 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 2024/4/24—30 | 2,120 | ? | 28.9 19 | 35.7 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.1 2 | 11.9 7 | 4.1 2 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 |  | – | 9.5 6 | – | 6.8 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/4/9—12 | 2,550 | ? | 26.3 17 | 38.1 25 | 1.7 1 | 2.4 1 | 10.9 7 | 6.1 4 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 |  | – | 6.7 4 | – | 11.8 |
| GAD3/Mediaset | 2024/3/18—21 | 1,017 | ? | 26.5 18/19 | 37.8 25/26 | 0.3 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 |  | – | 7.2 4 | – | 11.3 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/3/5—9 | 2,900 | ? | 24.5 16 | 40.1 26 | 0.9 0 | 1.9 1 | 10.6 7 | 4.9 3 | 3.0 2 | 1.2 0 |  | – | 9.3 6 | – | 15.6 |
| Ipsos/Euronews | 2024/2/23—3/5 | 2,000 | ? | 28.6 19 | 37.7 25 | ? 0 | 2.4 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.8 2 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 |  | – | 9.7 6 | – | 9.1 |
| GAD3/ABC | 2024/2/26—29 | 1,005 | ? | 27.1 18 | 38.4 26 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 8.6 6 | 4.3 2 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 |  | – | 7.3 5 | – | 11.3 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2024/2/5—9 | 2,900 | ? | 28.1 18 | 38.3 25 | ? 0 | 1.0 0 | 11.7 7 | 3.2 2 | 3.4 2 | 1.5 1 |  | – | 10.2 6 | – | 10.2 |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2024/1/12—18 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 28.3 18 | 37.5 25 | 0.4 0 | 1.7 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.0 2 | 3.3 2 | 2.1 1 |  | – | 9.1 6 | – | 9.2 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2023/12/25—31 | 2,309 | ? | 28.5 19 | 37.1 24 | 1.1 0 | 3.3 2 | 11.0 7 | 3.2 2 | 4.4 2 | 1.3 0 |  | – | 8.8 5 | – | 8.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 2023/12/15—26 | 2,992 | ? | 29.2 19 | 38.1 25 | 0.2 0 | 2.6 1 | 11.8 7 | 2.8 1 | 2.3 1 | 2.0 1 |  | – | 10.1 6 | – | 8.9 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 2023/11/20—24 | 2,109 | ? | 29.2 19 | 36.8 25 | 1.1 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.2 6 | 4.2 2 | 5.1 3 | 1.3 0 |  | – | 8.0 5 | – | 7.6 |
| 2023年大選 | 2023/7/23 | 不適用 | 66.6 | 31.7 (20) | 33.1 (21) | – |  | 12.4 (7) | 3.9 (2) | 1.7 (1) | 1.6 (1) |  | 0.7 (0) | 12.3 (7) | – | 1.4 |
| 2019年11月大選 | 2019/11/10 | 不適用 | 66.2 | 28.0 (18) | 20.8 (13) | 6.8 (4) | 12.9 (8) | 15.1 (10) | 5.3 (3) | 2.2 (1) | 2.8 (1) | 2.4 (1) | 0.9 (0) | – | – | 7.2 |

| 2019年歐洲議會選舉 | 2019/5/26 | 不適用 | 60.7 | 32.9 21 | 20.2 13 | 12.2 8 | 10.1 6 | 6.2 4 | 5.6 3 | 4.5 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.3 0 | 1.3 0 | – | – | 12.7 |