استطلاع الرأي الوطني حول الانتخابات الرئاسية الأمريكية لعام 2024
National poll results > Declared candidates > جو بايدن vs دونالد ترامب (2021–2022)

| مصدر الاستطلاع | التاريخ | Sample size | Margin of error | جو بايدن Democratic | دونالد ترامب Republican | Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Morning Consult | ديسمبر 31, 2022 – يناير 2, 2023 | 8,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Data for Progress | ديسمبر 22–29, 2022 | 1,189 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | ديسمبر 15–19, 2022 | 1,041 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | ديسمبر 16–18, 2022 | 7,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Harvard/Harris | ديسمبر 14–15, 2022 | 1,851 (RV) | – | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| Echelon Insights | ديسمبر 12–14, 2022 | 1,021 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | ديسمبر 9–14, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | ديسمبر 9–11, 2022 | 7,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Suffolk University | ديسمبر 7–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | ديسمبر 3–7, 2022 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | ديسمبر 5, 2022 | 1,162 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | ديسمبر 1–5, 2022 | 1,204 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Marquette University | نوفمبر 15–22, 2022 | 840 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Emerson College | نوفمبر 18–19, 2022 | 1,380 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | نوفمبر 17–19, 2022 | 1,036 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | نوفمبر 17, 2022 | 1,203 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Harvard/Harris | نوفمبر 16–17, 2022 | 2,212 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Léger | نوفمبر 11–13, 2022 | 1,007 (A) | – | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Rasmussen Reports | نوفمبر 8–9, 2022 | 1,767 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Democracy Corps/GQR | نوفمبر 6–8, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | نوفمبر 2–7, 2022 | 3,980 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | نوفمبر 2, 2022 | 1,084 (LV) | – | 39% | 44% | 17% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أكتوبر 27–31, 2022 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Benenson Strategy Group | أكتوبر 27–30, 2022 | 1,000 (V) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | أكتوبر 24–26, 2022 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | أكتوبر 22–26, 2022 | 1,500 (RV) | – | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Suffolk University | أكتوبر 19–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Emerson College | أكتوبر 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أكتوبر 13–17, 2022 | 1,209 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | أكتوبر 12–17, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 44% | 50% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports | أكتوبر 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| Harvard/Harris | أكتوبر 12–13, 2022 | 2,010 (RV) | – | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | أكتوبر 12, 2022 | 1,110 (LV) | – | 40% | 41% | 19% |
| Siena College/The New York Times | أكتوبر 9–12, 2022 | 792 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies | أكتوبر 5, 2022 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | أكتوبر 2–3, 2022 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | سبتمبر 23–27, 2022 | 1,138 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | سبتمبر 17–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College | سبتمبر 20–21, 2022 | 1,368 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | سبتمبر 18–21, 2022 | 908 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Premise | سبتمبر 16–19, 2022 | 1,703 (A) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Echelon Insights | سبتمبر 16–19, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Refield & Wilton Strategies | سبتمبر 14–15, 2022 | 1,163 (LV) | – | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Marquette University | سبتمبر 6–14, 2022 | 1,282 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Siena College/The New York Times | سبتمبر 6–14, 2022 | 1,399 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Harvard/Harris | سبتمبر 7–8, 2022 | 1,854 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | أغسطس 31 – سبتمبر 7, 2022 | 1,228 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | سبتمبر 2–6, 2022 | 1,247 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Premise | سبتمبر 2–5, 2022 | 1,185 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | أغسطس 28, 2022 | 1,050 (LV) | – | 40% | 42% | 18% |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | أغسطس 17–25, 2022 | 1,313 (RV) | – | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Emerson College | أغسطس 23–24, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | أغسطس 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights | أغسطس 19–22, 2022 | 1,054 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أغسطس 18–22, 2022 | 1,185 (RV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أغسطس 17, 2022 | 1,156 (LV) | – | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يوليو 28 – أغسطس 1, 2022 | 1,152 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | يوليو 29, 2022 | 1,094 (LV) | – | 35% | 42% | 23% |
| Harvard/Harris | يوليو 27–28, 2022 | 1,885 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Rasmussen Reports | يوليو 26–27, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Suffolk University | يوليو 22–25, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Emerson College | يوليو 19–20, 2022 | 1,078 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | يوليو 15–18, 2022 | 1,022 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | يوليو 11–14, 2022 | 1,085 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 48% | 10% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يوليو 8–11, 2022 | 1,261 (RV) | – | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | يوليو 9, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| The New York Times/Siena College | يوليو 5–7, 2022 | 849 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 41% | 14% |
| Harvard/Harris | يونيو 28–29, 2022 | 1,308 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Emerson College | يونيو 28–29, 2022 | 1,271 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 39% | 44% | 17% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يونيو 24–27, 2022 | 1,239 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | يونيو 17–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | يونيو 17–20, 2022 | 1,030 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | يونيو 15, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 21% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يونيو 10–13, 2022 | 1,243 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | مايو 30, 2022 | 1,173 (LV) | – | 38% | 42% | 20% |
| Emerson College | مايو 24–25, 2022 | 1,148 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | مايو 20–23, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مايو 19–22, 2022 | 1,360 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Harvard/Harris | مايو 18–19, 2022 | 1,963 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | مايو 17, 2022 | 1,120 (LV) | – | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| Rasmussen Reports | أبريل 28 – مايو 2, 2022 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | مايو 1, 2022 | 1,096 (LV) | – | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| Emerson College | أبريل 25–26, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | أبريل 22–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | أبريل 22–25, 2022 | 2,004 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | أبريل 21–23, 2022 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أبريل 19–22, 2022 | 1,187 (RV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Harvard/Harris | أبريل 20–21, 2022 | 1,966 (RV) | – | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | أبريل 18–20, 2022 | 1,001 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أبريل 18, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مارس 31 – أبريل 4, 2022 | 1,233 (RV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أبريل 3, 2022 | 1,205 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 19% |
| Marquette Law School | مارس 14–24, 2022 | 1,004 (A) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 37% | 22% |
| Harvard/Harris | مارس 23–24, 2022 | 1,990 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | مارس 17–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Echelon Insights | مارس 18–21, 2022 | 1,050 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell | مارس 15–21, 2022 | 873 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | مارس 20, 2022 | 1,193 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Emerson College | مارس 18–20, 2022 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مارس 10–14, 2022 | 1,225 (RV) | – | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | مارس 8, 2022 | 1,194 (LV) | – | 40% | 42% | 18% |
| Wall Street Journal | مارس 2–7, 2022 | 1,500 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| Schoen Cooperman Research | مارس 2–6, 2022 | 800 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | فبراير 24–27, 2022 | 1,532 (A) | ± 2.9% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| NewsNation | فبراير 23–24, 2022 | 1,046 (RV) | – | 37% | 41% | 22% |
| Harvard/Harris | فبراير 23–24, 2022 | 2,026 (RV) | – | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights | فبراير 19–23, 2022 | 1,078 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | فبراير 23, 2022 | 1,367 (LV) | – | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | فبراير 16–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College | فبراير 19–20, 2022 | 1,138 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | فبراير 6, 2022 | 1,406 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يناير 20–24, 2022 | 1,568 (A) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
| Morning Consult | يناير 22–23, 2022 | 2,005 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | يناير 21–23, 2022 | 1,098 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Marquette Law School نسخة محفوظة January 28, 2022, على موقع واي باك مشين. | يناير 10–21, 2022 | 1,000 (A) | – | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Harvard/Harris | يناير 19–20, 2022 | 1,815 (RV) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | يناير 13–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | يناير 8–9, 2022 | 1,430 (LV) | – | 39% | 38% | 23% |
| PMC/John Bolton Super Pac | يناير 6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | يناير 5, 2022 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | ديسمبر 17–19, 2021 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | ديسمبر 18, 2021 | 1,411 (LV) | – | 34% | 39% | 27% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | ديسمبر 9–13, 2021 | 1,558 (A) | – | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | ديسمبر 9–13, 2021 | 1,098 (RV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | ديسمبر 5, 2021 | 1,387 (LV) | – | 38% | 42% | 20% |
| Harvard/Harris | نوفمبر 30 – ديسمبر 2, 2021 | 1,989 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | نوفمبر 22–23, 2021 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 45% | 23% |
| Wall Street Journal | نوفمبر 16–22, 2021 | 1,500 (RV) | – | 46% | 45% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights | نوفمبر 12–18, 2021 | 1,013 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | نوفمبر 11–16, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | نوفمبر 15, 2021 | 1,500 (RV) | – | 35% | 41% | 24% |
| Marquette Law School نسخة محفوظة November 20, 2021, على موقع واي باك مشين. | نوفمبر 1–10, 2021 | 1,004 (A) | – | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | نوفمبر 4–8, 2021 | 1,673 (A) | – | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| Suffolk University | نوفمبر 3–5, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| Emerson College | نوفمبر 3–4, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أكتوبر 31, 2021 | 1,387 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Harvard/Harris | أكتوبر 26–28, 2021 | 1,578 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أكتوبر 19–21, 2021 | 1,704 (A) | – | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Echelon Insights | أكتوبر 15–19, 2021 | 1,098 (RV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أكتوبر 17, 2021 | 1,366 (LV) | – | 42% | 40% | 18% |
| Selzer and Company/Grinnell College | أكتوبر 13–17, 2021 | 745 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 40% | 19% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | أكتوبر 4–6, 2021 | 1,345 (LV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Echelon Insights | سبتمبر 17–23, 2021 | 1,005 (RV) | – | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports | سبتمبر 21–22, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | سبتمبر 19–20, 2021 | 1,330 (LV) | – | 42% | 40% | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | سبتمبر 9–14, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 47% | 50% | 3% |
| Redfield and Wilton Strategies | سبتمبر 4–5, 2021 | 1,357 (LV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College | أغسطس 30 – سبتمبر 1, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports | أغسطس 16–17, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يوليو 30 – أغسطس 2, 2021 | 1,552 (A) | – | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| PMC/John Bolton Super Pac | يوليو 8, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يونيو 22–24, 2021 | 1,592 (A) | – | 47% | 35% | 18% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مايو 24–26, 2021 | 1,588 (A) | – | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مايو 11–13, 2021 | 1,561 (A) | – | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | أبريل 12–16, 2021 | 1,106 (A) | – | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| PMC/John Bolton Super Pac | أبريل 3–7, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |