استطلاع الرأي الوطني حول الانتخابات الرئاسية الأمريكية لعام 2024
National poll results > Declared candidates > جو بايدن vs دونالد ترامب (2023)

| مصدر الاستطلاع | التاريخ | Sample size | الهامش of error | جو بايدن Democratic | دونالد ترامب Republican | Other/ Undecided |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| The Economist/YouGov Poll | ديسمبر 2–5, 2023 | 1,291 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| HarrisX | نوفمبر 22–28, 2023 | 4,003 (RV) | ± 1.6% | 42% | 46% | 13% |
| YouGov | نوفمبر 20–27, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 4.1% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Leger | نوفمبر 24–26, 2023 | 869 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | نوفمبر 24–26, 2023 | 6,527 (RV) | ± 1% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
| Emerson College | نوفمبر 17–20, 2023 | 1,475 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Harris X/The Messenger | نوفمبر 15–19, 2023 | 3,017 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | نوفمبر 14–17, 2023 | 1,006 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 47% | 8% |
| Reuters/Ipsos | نوفمبر 13–14, 2023 | 1,006 (A) | ± 3.8% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
| YouGov/The Economist | نوفمبر 11–14, 2023 | 1,272 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| NBC News | نوفمبر 10–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research/Fox News | نوفمبر 10–13, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| YouGov/Yahoo! News | نوفمبر 9–13, 2023 | 1,058 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University | نوفمبر 9–13, 2023 | 1,574 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | نوفمبر 10–12, 2023 | 6,130 (RV) | ± 1% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | نوفمبر 8–12, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| I&I/TIPP | نوفمبر 1–3, 2023 | 1,242 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| CBS News/YouGov | أكتوبر 30 – نوفمبر 3, 2023 | 2,636 (A) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| SSRS/CNN | أكتوبر 27 – نوفمبر 2, 2023 | 1,271 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger | أكتوبر 30 – نوفمبر 1, 2023 | 2,021 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| YouGov/The Economist | أكتوبر 28–31, 2023 | 1,500 (A) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 38% | 23% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | أكتوبر 27–30, 2023 | 568 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 43.5% | 14.5% |
| Quinnipiac | أكتوبر 26–30, 2023 | 1,610 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Morning Consult | أكتوبر 20–22, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1% | 43% | 43% | 15% |
| USA Today/Suffolk University | أكتوبر 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Harvard Harris | أكتوبر 18–19, 2023 | 2,116 (RV) | ± 2% | 41% | 46% | 14% |
| Emerson College | أكتوبر 16–17, 2023 | 1,578 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Yahoo/YouGov | أكتوبر 12–16, 2023 | 1,120 (RV) | – | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Hart Research Associates/Public Opinions Strategies/CNBC | أكتوبر 11–15, 2023 | 1,001 (A) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Grinnell College | أكتوبر 10–15, 2023 | 784 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| NPR/PBS/Marist College | أكتوبر 11, 2023 | 1,218 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Fox News | أكتوبر 6–9, 2023 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 48% | 2% |
| SurveyUSA | سبتمبر 30 – أكتوبر 3, 2023 | 2,330 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Echelon Insights | سبتمبر 25–28, 2023 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| YouGov/The Economist | سبتمبر 23–26, 2023 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Marquette University | سبتمبر 18–25, 2023 | 781 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 51% | – |
| Morning Consult | سبتمبر 22–24, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 42% | 14% |
| NBC News | سبتمبر 15–19, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | 6% |
| Harvard/Harris | سبتمبر 13–14, 2023 | 2,103 (RV) | – | 40% | 44% | 16% |
| The Economist/YouGov | سبتمبر 10–12, 2023 | 1,500 (A) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 43% | 12% |
| Fox News | سبتمبر 9–12, 2023 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 1% |
| Morning Consult | سبتمبر 2–4, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| CNN/SSRS | أغسطس 25–31, 2023 | 1,259 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أغسطس 17–21, 2023 | 1,113 | ± 2.7% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | أغسطس 18–20, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Marist College | أغسطس 11–14, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/The Center Square | يوليو 31 –  أغسطس 3, 2023 | 2,500 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Big Village | يوليو 24–26, 2023 | 1,663 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Quinnipiac University | يوليو 13–17, 2023 | 1,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | يوليو 13–17, 2023 | 1,098 | ± 2.7% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Marquette University | يوليو 7–12, 2023 | 788 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Morning Consult | يوليو 7–9, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger | يوليو 5–6, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | يونيو 23–25, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| HarrisX/The Messenger | يونيو 19–23, 2023 | 2,875 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Emerson College | يونيو 19–20, 2023 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| NBC News | يونيو 16–20, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University | يونيو 8–12, 2023 | 1,735 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Morning Consult | يونيو 9–11, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| YouGov | مايو 25–30, 2023 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights | مايو 22–25, 2023 | 1,035 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Quinnipiac University | مايو 18–22, 2023 | 1,616 (RV) | – | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Harvard/Harris | مايو 17–18, 2023 | 2,004 (RV) | – | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Marquette University | مايو 8–18, 2023 | 791 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 52% | – |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | مايو 17, 2023 | 1,117 (LV) | – | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| YouGov/The Economist | مايو 13–16, 2023 | 1,302 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Premise | مايو 12–15, 2023 | 1,591 (RV) | – | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Morning Consult | مايو 12–14, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence | مايو 10–13, 2023 | 1,571 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مايو 5–8, 2023 | 1,060 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | مايو 5–7, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | أبريل 28 – مايو 5, 2023 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
| YouGov/The Economist | أبريل 29 – مايو 2, 2023 | 1,357 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Emerson College | أبريل 24–25, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Morning Consult | أبريل 21–23, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Cygnal | أبريل 18–20, 2023 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 1.94% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Harvard/Harris | أبريل 18–19, 2023 | 1,845 (RV) | – | 40% | 45% | 15% |
| YouGov/The Economist | أبريل 15–18, 2023 | 1,316 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Premise | أبريل 14–17, 2023 | 1,485 (RV) | – | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | أبريل 14–17, 2023 | 1,027 (RV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | أبريل 14–16, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| YouGov/The Economist | أبريل 8–11, 2023 | 1,322 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Morning Consult | أبريل 7–9, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | أبريل 4, 2023 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| YouGov | أبريل 1–4, 2023 | 1,319 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Premise | مارس 31 – أبريل 3, 2023 | 1,562 (RV) | – | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | مارس 30 – أبريل 3, 2023 | 971 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Morning Consult | مارس 31 – أبريل 2, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | مارس 31 – أبريل 1, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مارس 30–31, 2023 | 729 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights | مارس 27–29, 2023 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Cygnal | مارس 26–27, 2023 | 2,550 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | مارس 23–27, 2023 | 1,600 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | مارس 24–26, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Harvard/Harris | مارس 22–23, 2023 | 2,905 (RV) | – | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Marquette University | مارس 12–22, 2023 | 863 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
| Premise | مارس 16–21, 2023 | 1,509 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | مارس 20, 2023 | 1,250 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | مارس 16–20, 2023 | 1,059 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | مارس 16–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | مارس 17–19, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Quinnipiac University | مارس 9–13, 2023 | 1,635 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Morning Consult | مارس 10–12, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Wick Insights | مارس 6–9, 2023 | 1,125 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | مارس 7–8, 2023 | 1,201 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Premise | مارس 4–7, 2023 | 1,621 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Morning Consult | مارس 3–5, 2023 | 5,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Cygnal | فبراير 24–27, 2023 | 2,424 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | فبراير 23–27, 2023 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Susquehanna | فبراير 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) |  | 52% | 39% | – |
| Emerson College | فبراير 24–25, 2023 | 1,060 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | فبراير 23–25, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Echelon Insights | فبراير 21–23, 2023 | 1,023 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | فبراير 17–23, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | فبراير 19, 2023 | 1,102 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Morning Consult | فبراير 17–19, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Premise | فبراير 16–19, 2023 | 1,717 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | فبراير 16–19, 2023 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 1.5% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Harvard/Harris | فبراير 15–16, 2023 | 1,838 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Quinnipac University | فبراير 9–14, 2023 | 1,429 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Ipsos/Reuters | فبراير 6–13, 2023 | 915 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 42% | 19% |
| Morning Consult | فبراير 10–12, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | – | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| Rasmussen Reports | فبراير 8–12, 2023 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | فبراير 10–11, 2023 | 1,056 (RV) | – | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| YouGov/Yahoo News | فبراير 2–6, 2023 | 1,063 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Morning Consult | فبراير 3–5, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | يناير 27 – فبراير 1, 2023 | 895 (RV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | يناير 28–29, 2023 | 1,139 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Morning Consult | يناير 27–29, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Echelon Insights | يناير 23–25, 2023 | 1,024 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| McLaughlin & Associates | يناير 19–24, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Morning Consult | يناير 20–22, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| Emerson College | يناير 19–21, 2023 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Cygnal | يناير 19–20, 2023 | 2,529 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Marquette University | يناير 9–20, 2023 | 790 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Harvard/Harris | يناير 18–19, 2023 | 2,050 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| YouGov/The Economist | يناير 14–17, 2023 | 1,314 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | يناير 16, 2023 | 1,458 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| YouGov/YahooNews | يناير 12–16, 2023 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Morning Consult | يناير 10–12, 2023 | 6,000 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Morning Consult | يناير 6–8, 2023 | 7,500 (RV) | ± 1.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence | يناير 2–8, 2023 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 41% | 10% |