Year: 1876

New York Tribunel


Since the dust has cleared away q little
from the late Conventions, we are able
to get better view of the field. A few
points, at least, are palmer now than a
week ago:


l. Gov. Hartranft is in no sense q ser-
Gus candidate. Nobody either out of
Pennsylvania or in it has any real pur-
pose Of trying to nominate him. Gov.
Hayes has a few friends who really
think he is candidate; but the rest Of
the Ohio delegation and all the rest Of
the Ohio politicians know n great deal
better. Roscoe Conkling is u candi-
date in dead earnest and means to do
his very best for the nomination.


2. Neither of these three gentlemen
has q delegation that has the remotest
intention or expectation OF nominating
him. The only one who is serious
candidate is also the only one who can
not get the united vote Of his own dele
cation, even for complimentary ballot.
He is also the only one whom the poll
ticians know to be utterly incapable,
even if nominated, OF carrying his own
State Hayes might carry Ohio; Har
tranft would pretty certainly carry
Pennsylvania New York would go
against Conklng by $4,000 majority, and
it is doubtful if he could carry fifty per
cent OF the respectable Republican vote
even OF this city.


8. The most popular candidate thus
far is the one who seems to be securing
the fewest delegates. Mr. Bristow's
popularity in fact is Of "a kind which
tions, since it does not extend among
the men who control caucuses and
choose delegates. He could very prob
ably get to-day for the nomination the
suffrages OF more Republican voters at
the North than any other candidate
could command But his friends have
no hold upon the nominating conven-
tions, and so far as effective strength
for Cincinnati is concerned, it does not
appear that he has made the slightest
progress in the past four weeks.


A. Mr.. Blaine'S strength is Overrated.
He will get considerable part Of the
New York delegation, but, on the other
hand, he does not have New England
solid, and recent developments make it
clear that his hold upon Pennsylvania is
more than problematical. He is, how
ever. making some inroadS at the South.
He may probably count on Virginia, and
possibly also on fair share Of the
Louisiana delegates.


5. The Pennsylvania delegation is
chosen for the single purpose of making
Senator Cameron's son, Don Cameron.
Secretary Of the Treasury. The plan
has been to hold it in hand until the
managers soc that it's vote can probably
secure nomination, then, having made
the bargain for Don in advance, to throw
it at the critical moment where it will
do the most good. The delegates are
chosen for this purpose, and belong to
Cameron to that end as much as if they
were his bond servants, or his oxen, or
his asses


6. 1t seems that Blaine has failed to
see Senator Cameron. The willy Penn
sylvanian does not mean to be deceived
by fair words. From Morton or Conk-
ling he can have distinct and binding
promise in favor OF his son Don. With
Blaine, thus far, he appears to have
failed. There is reason to believe, there
fore, that he has made up his mind
whatever else he may do-to defeat
Blaine; and that, with this view, he is
forming q combination with Conkling
and Morton, the forces Of the three to
work against Blaine, and to concentrate
on whichever can make the best show
for the nomination. There is probably
no way in which that combination can
be broken, unless Blaine should make
up his mind, and that very promptly, to
bind himself, in the event Of his nomina-
ton, to make Don Cameron Secretary OF
the Treasury. A real danger, therefore,
Of the Republican party to-day, may be,
that while its best men are struggling
for an ideal candidate in the person Of
Bristow, they may suddenly wake up to
find themselves saddled with very
practical one in the person Of Morton.


On the Democratic side the forces are
less developed. It may safely be said,
however, that the talk about taking the
New York Convention away from Tilden
is twaddle. His friends believe that he
will yet be their candidate for the
Presidency, and are working resolutely
and skillfully to that end. The Con
vention will give such instructions to
the New York delegation as Tiden him
self may finally decide upon as likely to
produce the best effect at st. Louis. His
party earnestly hope for the nomina-
ton of Conkling, since that would make
the Tilden canvass in New York mere
walk over the track.-N Y. Tribune.