Year: 1875

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OF the ten or eleven States which hold
elections to-day only three are impor-
tant, from their bearing on the Presidential
election. These three are New York. Penn
sylvania and Massachusetts,. The Pennsyl-
vania election was virtually decided in Ohio,
and there isno reason to doubt that the re-
publicans will also recover Massachusetts,.
The loss by the democratic party of Ohio,
which 1t carried last yesR By majority Of
If,2O2 OF Pennsylvania. which it carried
last year by majority of, 679, and of Mass
achusetts, where it elected the Governor by
majority Of 1882, will be regarded as
proof that the tide has receded. The won
derful impression made last year was pro-
duced mainly by the surprising democratic
victories in these four States, three of which
have been or will be lost again this year. 1t
is probable that the tide will also recede in
New York, although some of the causes will
not operate here which reverse the demo-
cratic successes in other important States.
There are several reasons for supposing that
the democratic party will carry New York
by diminished majority.


In the first place, one of the most effective
of the democratic weapons has been blunted
and quite thrown aside. Last year the third
term question made q great figure in the
State canvass. Every democratic newspaper
was full of it, and that it had powerful
effect was proved by the course of Governor
Dix, who, in the last stages of the canvass,
became SO alarmed that he came out in pub
lie opposition to o third term. His declara-
ton was too late to be of any service, and it
really injured him by alternating the office
holding politicians who were devoted to
| President Grant and resented General Dix's
attempt to rectify the republican platform
and save himself at the expense Of the Presi-
dent That troublesome question hurt Gen
eral Dix in two ways-frst by making votes
for the democratic party through all the ear
ier part Of the canvass, and at last by turning
the ofice-holding interest against him when
he hung out his flag of distress. But this
year the third term is a dead question: espe-
cially since the collapse of imitation, and
none of the democratic journals have alluded
to it. All the political capital which was
made out of the widespread alarm on this
subject last year is lost in the present can
vass by the extinction of the question.
In the second place. the republicans are
likely to recover the greater part of the votes
they lost last year on the temperance eques-
ton. The temperance people were enraged
at Governor Dix for vetoing one of their
measures, and gave the temperance candi-
date eleven thousand seven hundred and
sixty-eight votes, although their average vote
for the preceding four years had been but
two. thousand. The prohibitionists are
nearly all republicans, and at present there
is no such reason as operated last year to
separate so many Of them from their party.
In the third place, the liberal republicans,
most Of whom voted with the democrats last
year, are divided now, and quite proper
tion Of them will follow ex-senator Fento1f
and General Merritt back into the regular
republican ranks.


In the fourth place, the wreck of the Canal
Ring, whatever it may amount to, will vote
against Governor Tilden's ticket After
these men failed to defeat his nomination
last year they worked zealously for his cleo
ton in the hope of staying his hand by lay
ing him under obligations for political SER
vices. Having found this vain expectation,
they will use the remnant of their influence
against him. be it much or little.


In the fifth place, the fact that neither o
Governor nor members of Congress are to be
chosen in this election diminishes the mo-
tives for bringing out full democratic vote


In the sixth place, the republicans may
possibly gain some votes by foisting the
school question into the canvass They, of
course, expect to make something out of
their industrious appeals to religious pref
udices, or they would not have made this
topic so prominent.


On the other hand, as great set-off to all
these adverse influences, Governor Tilden's
unsparing war on corruption and corrup-
tionists has added immensely to his per-
sonal and political strength, and is 50
warmly approved by honest men that his
ticket cannot be beaten. A smaller majority
for subordinate State officers than was given
last year for the Governor is so much mat
ter of course, as elections usually run in an
soff year." that diminution will have no
very large.


Recorder Hacksa, Of Ne,o Pork, refused % make
places his court for tools Of Tdmmany and Tdmmany
pays him oG.''-BosToS TRAVELLER


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