skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"IIRC, 97% of climate scientists believe it's happening and caused by humans"

Okay, show me a study that has the details on which parts are human made and which parts are caused by nature (with numbers). I have never seen this anywhere and You would think if they actually knew, we would have seen it by now. This isn't that difficult and it doesn't really make any sense that humans are causing 100%. Especially with things like the little ice age before we were around to pollute the earth.

"the US National Academies of Science agree, as does the Royal Society in the UK; the US defense and intelligence communities are planning on it, as is the insurance and other industries. Sure, they all could be wrong, but so could the deniers. Who seems like a better bet, the 3%, or the 97%?"

Well, if we are going to use this argument, we could very well think the solar system revolves around the earth rather than the sun.

What about our treatment of women and minorities? Everyone did it, so it MUST be the correct behavior..right?

How about smoking? Even Doctors promoted it at the time (they are experts, right?).

Being homosexual and transgender was seen as a mental illness for decades. But all the experts agreed, so it must again be correct, right?

I guess it is a mental illness!! The experts all agreed..I can't go against them..

Even more recently, "Hands up don't shoot". Forensic evidence came out and said that it never happened, yet we have mainstream media and seemingly intelligent people continuing on with the stretching of the truth to fit a narrative.

"but the evidence is pretty certain about climate change"

Yes, the climate is changing (a fact). But we still don't know if it's completely due to man-made changes or nature.

You also left out government funding and the politics around academia, which is very important when it comes to studies. It's pretty well known in the academic world that if you don't support the current narrative, you will not get funding.

I worked for many years in Academia and it's 99% politics if you want to actually get funding. If someone in a higher position doesn't like you for any reason, you can kiss it goodbye.

Climate change (also known as Global warming and Global cooling depending on what the new narrative is for the day) has been talked about since the 1970s. None of the predictions by scientists at that time came even close to true and it was a majority..just like today.

Science shouldn't be about trying to fit the evidence to a narrative. It should be trying to figure out the truth.

If you can't even debate me on these simple questions, how can I ever believe what you are saying is true?

Even the behavior here on HN is pretty telling. I ask a few questions and I am met with: hostility, anger, and people using words like "fucking". If it is this bad here, I can't imagine the climate scientists with contrary evidence. It's just like during the middle ages. Except they won't be burned at the stake, they will lose their careers.
SO is most useful for questions that could be answered with a simple google search if only you knew the right search terms to use. For more complex questions, it's only occasionally useful.
N Ways to Be a Better Developer – Interview with Lorna Mitchell
stormbrew did say "otherwise rational and well-informed". I.e. not rational or informed in this particular matter.
I bring up some simple questions and I am immediately silenced.
I guess I didn't realize HN was anti-science and anti-intellectual.
Ok, so they collect a massive amount of taxes. Then what?
Many build tools will allow you to simply annotate functions that are meant to have their dependencies injected so you can avoid explicitly typing out the verbose array syntax. (e.g. https://github.com/olov/ng-annotate)
This is awesome, very nice of you. Many thanks to you!
This page has essentially no concrete content and a sign-up form. :/
Okay, s/ass/"collective ass"/. :)
> You're basically saying anything funded by government that might impact economics, and thus revenues, is biased. Right.

While I don't see the now-deleted comment you're replying to, I do feel there is validity to the viewpoint that studies funded by the government can be biased in much the same way as studies funded by private companies. Government is not magically above tainting research with predisposition and prejudice.
Or you could just finish growing up.

I know that sounds pithy, but the reality is most folks don't really hit their adult stride until their late twenties or early thirties. My peers and siblings all shared that same experience. To be honest, I wonder if it's actually bio/neurological.

Coincidentally, that's also about the timeframe when a lot of folks start having kids. So is it really the kids that gave you "perspective and curb existential angst"? Or was it just natural maturation, and the kids happened to be around at the time?

And let's suppose it isn't biological. That it's the kids themselves. I'd contend what you're actually doing is just distracting yourself... it's tough to care about the meaning of life when you're up at 2am changing another diaper. Is that perspective? Or is it just horse blinders?
Algorithmic wizardry
It's become a politicized issue, and as such, the media has created a narrative of 2 sides and a "debate." Take the 97% and put it into a different context and it makes the situation seem absolutely ludicrous.

If you had a sore stomach, and asked 2 groups of people to help you figure out why, would you trust the diagnosis from a group with 100 world-class doctors, surgeons, dieticians, etc... or 100 random people? When the random people say "Ya, but the doctor's don't know anything"... why would you believe them?

We've got global consensus from the leading experts in a dozen or so related fields, all pointing to the same thing. I trust the people that landed on the moon and can launch satellites to space to give me better information about the Earth's macro trends than the guy next door that uses his bible and the cold weather last week as his evidence of a trend.
While I support this valiant effort, aren't there often legal implications to doing this?
Agreed. That was basically a poor click bait article missing a lot of really good facts.
Nothing you wrote shows the parent as being "not completely accurate", and you don't refute objective statistics with "I think".
The problem isn't that the subject line sounds spammy, it's that the spam mails try to sound legitimate. This may in turn create problems for actually legit messages.

Maybe putting the scraped password in the subject line catches the recipients' attention.
so now is just a matter of time until somebody at gmail team find this?
ad-hominem. Who cares who wrote it, what does it say?
How much of a time commitment is it for the candidate? I.e. are you expecting a 20 hour coding test?
A couple years back I read the IPCC reports trying to find out if global warming was real or not. I noticed the Vostok ice core data in the earlier reports showed the temperature rose first and then the CO2 rose. Likewise, the temperature fell first and then the CO2 fell later on. They fixed this little inconvenient data problem in the later reports.
That's my point. It would be wonderful to have rich inference or automatic generation for cffi based bindings.

Not every Python programmer is familiar with c style languages and making it easier for them to use would encourage adoption and improve code safety.
No. The topic of deforestation covers a host of issues, but albedo can be changed without regard for forests. For instance, covering all the empty land black-top roads and parking lots, and putting black shingles on the roofs of hundreds of millions of houses adds a lot of dark surface area to the planet.
In angular that's basically how it works. The framework actually calls toString on the functions which actually allow you to parse out the arguments names so the callers know which arguments (dependencies) need to be passed.
There's a typo in the footer too. "helped place candidates at top technoogy", should be technology.
"Scotland’s Northeast shows remarkable population gains, a likely result of the North Sea oil industry concentrated in Aberdeen."

I think you can probably explain the two red blobs near Aberdeen on oil and the wealth it has brought to that area but at least one of the other red blobs further west must be the Aviemore/Strathspey area which has become incredibly popular for outdoor sports and general high quality of life.

Amusingly, although Aviemore is described as a "boom town" it's population only grew by 36% in the decade to 2011 adding an extra 956 people :-)

http://www.strathspey-herald.co.uk/News/Aviemore-hailed-as-a...
Great work and think it goes to show we should all be aware of the effects of what we put out into the world. You've just made it a slightly better place to be! :)
http://chicagoreporter.com/12-jobs-you-cant-get-with-a-felon...

look here for a nice slide show and even a much larger list of jobs felons are prevented from holding because of government intervention.

Barber, roofer, athletic trainer, tattoo artist, architect, and more. So really? The attached spreadsheet to the article is depressing and this is just Illinois
A history of hacking
Read the section yourself and ask if it does. They say right there that they don't do the calculations because it's too uncertain.
I assume you're talking about developer environments here.

If you use Vagrant, the actual virtualisation tool used can be up to the individual - i.e. I use Parallels but a lot of people may use VirtualBox because it's free (albeit has worse performance).

The key thing is to use the tools well - have your development environment match staging/prod as closely as possible - distro + version, stack components, etc. If its possible, re-use your setup scripts/config management system across all environments.
This man expresses such a passion for chalk...chalk of all things, and it's inspiring. I could see someone reading this and becoming an artisan chalk maker as a result(I kid, but its probably true). Even I kind of want to run a chalk business after reading it.
Azure SQL Data Warehouse Opens for Limited Public Preview
Rendering Improvements
Because it's not a debate about science, it's a debate about policy.

Imagine you are a Los Angeles politician looking to promote one of two policies:

1) Clean up the air in Los Angeles at a measurable cost of X, most of which will be paid by Los Angeles taxpayers (including said politician).

2) Reduce CO2 emissions worldwide at an unmeasurable cost of Y, most of which will be paid via the inflation of consumer prices. The air in Los Angeles will probably remain just as dirty, but the politician gets to say that he "did something".

Which of these policies would the hypothetical politician be more likely to support?
Unrelated, but this part amused me in that it was probably intended to be an argument for the quality of the model:

>ModelE2 contains something on the order of 500,000 lines of code, ...
This is the important part:

>...programmers are often thought of as "professionals," like doctors or lawyers, and not part of the "working class." But this is misleading. Most programmers are neither self-employed nor employed in an organization where they have a meaningful say, and most can't expect any kind of tenure or partnership status, no matter how long they work.

>...Programmers are typically hired at-will, and are not generally accepted to have any professional obligations that could supersede management's authority, nor the ability to do research or pro bono work on company time. Management styles range from the likes of Dilbert's pointy-haired boss to a hierarchy so flat that it's almost invisible--until it's time for somebody to get fired. Still, for most programmers, management authority is a constant.

Professionals without authority.

I like this highlight of collective bargaining:

>the right to contribute to open source projects or veto the release of insecure, privacy-violating or otherwise unprofessional code.

Sure would be nice if the red flags we raised would actually have an impact.

>Most important, however, might be the idea of solidarity.

This is something that Michael O Church mentioned in a blog post; how the managers always say nice things about one another whereas programmers always slag one another and always blame the last guy for crappy code instead of trying to build each other up. I once had two senior devs basically force me out of projects; where did they end up? at different companies 1 year after I was forced out. where did the executives end up? they merged the company and gained some $$ or completely cashed out. Solidarity would have been the better choice.

At another place, the devs weren't listened to and juniors/contractors were hired to develop a project. The devs had to deal with the mess that was created. What happens on the next project? They aren't listened to again and can't even flag down the fact that the previous project has generated like 0.001% ROI.
There's a wealth of indirect data that corresponds with many of these variables and they show a direct correlation with the data in question.

Examples of this include ice core data, which has been gathered on multiple sites in the world, and the concentration of gases contained within is a really good indicator of how things were in the past.

Another thing that can be used is tree ring data and other information from proxies. You can study the fossils of fauna and flora deposited over different locations and periods of time to get a good idea of the climate conditions in each place.

An interesting correlated piece of data is examining human remains from people. Humans have been buried with foods at the time of their death, and the bones can help establish cause of death. If you go to Peru you can see that the food and living conditions of peoples during El Niño match the surrounding geological data very well.

Glaciers are also interesting indicators of climate phenomena, since they form and melt under specific conditions.
All of those are boring technical problems, all of which can be solved with the application of money. Only physics is standing in the way.

The Earth problems, though, are a great deal more complicated. Even a sufficiently large checkbook can't solve world hunger.

Also, your whole "half the population won't admit to global warming" is some feelgood TED bullshit...I'm betting waaaay fewer than 3B (that's billion) people even remotely give a shit about the climate beyond whether or not it's going to be raining.
You're right, it was silly of him to repeat himself
Evidently we were reading different articles,because the author emphatically doesn't concur with your interpetation of the York dataset.
Yeah, Google's problem of how to spread their proprietary locked down experience to televisions.
I hope the open source community learned a lesson with Slack and other offerings. The trick is the user experience. Slack is a trivial piece of code to reproduce (not their business).
Did any models predict the "global warming hiatus" ?
http://www.ncl.ac.uk/postgraduate/courses/degrees/computer-g...

Literally every person that I knew who was on this course is now either in a job(in games industry) or doing a PhD.
It's rather funny how Stewart Butterfield keeps trying to build games, and ending up with social apps.

His first company, Ludicorp, tried to build an MMORPG called Game Neverending, which never launched, and they pivoted to create Flickr, apparently based on the same platform (which is why ".gne" URLs proliferated Flickr originally).

With Tiny Speck, he created Glitch, another MMORPG, which closed a little more than a year after launch. Tiny Speck then pivoted to launch Slack, based on a chat app they had built internally while developing their game.
You're right, a HN commentator summarizing research papers is much different than thousands of scientists summarizing research papers.
CS224d - Reports for 201
Hint: decades don't have to start with year 10*n+0.
Con-trail data would match the CO2 and temperature line. It would show another correlation that might call into question the validity of the absolute undeniable fact that CO2's correlation is causation.

There are people with simple minds that would then question CO2's role in Global Warming. We can't give those deniers anything else to hang their hat on.

It's the same reason we need to use the "Land Use" data instead of deforestation data. It would just confuse the non-believers. It's better to keep it simple and stay on message.
"colonies were at least theoretically self sufficient."

You mean like Antarctica, right?

"Especially since it's the people of Earth that will be funding this lifeboat."

Rich folks and companies, and maaaaybe governments, will be funding this--the same as all colonization efforts in the past. Consider the colonization of the Americas.

"real" pressures like limited resources, war, or economic expansion

These are still very much things to worry about on Earth. Moving to Mars doesn't solve those problems--for the Earthlings. Then again, fuck'em.
I'm sure the IPCC has flaws, like every other human institution (but what else do we have to work with?), but the original reports came out in 1990. Also, every data set ever produced has inconsitencies.

I don't feel that one inconsistency from 25 years ago, which might have a valid explanation or might be validly considered inconsequential, undermines the IPCC reports' credibility.
> Okay, show me a study that has the details on which parts are human made and which parts are caused by nature (with numbers). I have never seen this anywhere and You would think if they actually knew, we would have seen it by now. This isn't that difficult and it doesn't really make any sense that humans are causing 100%. Especially with things like the little ice age before we were around to pollute the earth.

Honestly dude, do the fucking research. Read the IPCC. Hell even Wikipedia has the fundamentals extremely well explained.

We know very, stupid well what's causing the climate to change. CO2 concentration is not just a correlation in the models, but has a directly observable physical effect that has been known about in labs and was later shown to be the primary reason for global warming.
Software Licenses – How to Pick the Right One
A simple tool to help you figure out which license to use for your coding project.
Follow along at home: https://github.com/antirez/redis/commits/geo
SQL Server Management Studio (SSMS) Outside of the SQL Engine Releases
>hedged on that bet
I do not think that first word means what you think it means:

https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/hedge_one's_bets
You have to manually define its constructor, manually provide getters if you want the value to be immutable, put each class in a separate file (or namespaced inside another class), and if your type has finitely many alternatives you have to set up the whole visitor pattern thing. Compare that with C#'s properties and readonly, Scala's case classes, Swift's enum types.
> Because it's not a debate about science, it's a debate about policy.

Bingo! The science is settled, as much as any science ever can be. The problem comes in with people "just asking questions", the same questions, over and over again, that have been answered so many times, but people don't want to change their beliefs. Reminds me a lot of tactics used by certain other groups with deeply held beliefs.

I have to commend people like hackuser, whose patience is not only commendable, but astounding! I truly hope the sealions don't wear him down.
They did the math already. The amount of directly released human heat is a drop in the bucket.
I paid for Sublime Text 2. Still use it all the time. Worth the money.

The "why nobody pays for" line reminds me that at one point, a comedy site announced "first person pays for mIrc IRC client!" because really, who would pay for that program? And yet, if you looked at the occasional charity sessions the author held, it appears mIrc was pulling in $40K-$50K per month. Not going to attract VCs, but good coin.
https://scotch.io/courses/building-a-slack-clone-in-meteor-j...
I'm expecting it to be a very lightweight service, almost like sending your friends to a YTMND. Rights, watermarks, and other details like that might be beyond the scope of a site like this.

It's perfect for times when you know the perfect meme to use, but you don't have time to go thru Imgur or another site's Memegen.
The sad thing is, some people who aren't particularly familiar with scientific practice will read this as damning, while in reality it's anything but.
If I have to use Windows I vastly prefer version 7 to 8. I don’t really see any reason to use 8. IMHO, the UI in 8 is very clumsy.
I'd bet that, if he made some Youtube videos explaining the recipe, and the way it changes based on the local situation (and manufacturing equipment), as well as some videos giving a tour of the manufacturing equipment, some enterprising Makers would find a way to whip up a "Make your own Chalk" machine.

While it wouldn't be perfect, such a machine could be standardized or improved, and quality could be iterated on by people who care about it until they could make their own chalk that was better than what they can easily buy.

Heck, just the recipe might be sufficient for people to do that.
couldn't disagree more. You see it dip just enough to seem like it won't work, and then the video cuts out. I was left thinking the entire thing was laughably ineffective, even under the constraints of magnets in the ground and liquid nitrogen cooling.
Slack has the advantage of maintaining message history server-side instead of client-side, so you can catch up on things you missed without running a client in a screen session (or a bouncer, or a logger, or...). This functionality is part of the core protocol.

Is there a similar standard for IRC? If not, then IRC is serving a different use case.
While the general gist of your argument is right, I think there are some non-trivial ways to overfit. There are some 25 constants in the standard model apparently that describe the world around us to enormous precision. This is so little information that of course the trivial 'overfitting by encoding observations directly' will fail, but we could still be overfitting by having an excess number of variables: perhaps there's really some mechanism in neutrino physics that explains neutrino oscillation without needing some constants to describe how it really happens. This might in turn boost tremendously our predictive precision for neutrino oscillation to match the precision of the other more fundamental variables in the model, for example. But I think you're right that it's so little data that we have some strong information theoretic guarantees that at least the model will have predictive power matching the precision of previous measurements.
Who said this batch signup is only for SF? ;)
Show HN: ElasticsearchCSV – A Node.js Library for importing CSV's into ES
Could you explain the "quality of life" bit? Are you saying that if you programmed in Java life would be hellish?
So, can it be used as an improvement over XMPP? A new IETF standard may be?
i was seriously disappointed with it as well.

Zero-K (which is a free TA Ripoff) is gameplay-wise worlds superior. i felt cheated paying so much for planetary annihilation.