skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The people who started the fork are ex OpenBSD developers. It makes all the sense.

Why wouldn't they start with what they already know, find good, and are happy to work on?
I call bullshit on this. The author is obviously a divorce industry shill :

Using 1995 data, National Survey of Family Growth forecast in 2002 a 43% chance that first marriages among women aged 15–44 would be disrupted within 15 years.[12] More recently, having spoken with academics and National Survey of Family Growth representatives, PolitiFact.com estimated in 2012 that the lifelong probability of a marriage ending in divorce is 40%–50%

from wikipedia. And that's from 1995 data. Things haven't gotten BETTER since then, LOL. Another "mythbusted" BUSTED. LOL
Do you pay programmers with 5-6 years experience in a domain 40x junior programmers?
A Developer in Marketing
This is an interesting point: Experienced programmers might not need the spec.
"..panels leased from Solar City, another company owned by Mr Musk" - just make it up as you go, I guess.
The scary thing is how this type of behaviour has been happening for decades (maybe centuries) and implies that the scientific literature on a whole range of subjects simply cannot be trusted 100%.

If there is or was an economic, political or idealogical motive for skewing or misreporting something then it is quite probably there distorting the historical record.
All these suicide manuals -- trolling. Someone trolled github by submitting suicidal texts in order to get it blocked, because morons from roskomnadzor will block such sites immediately without judgement and investigation.
You think they would be as interested in an animated movie?
That's just milking a popular novelty for what it's worth while you can.

Duff Beer could have some staying power from its Simpsons connection, but Angry Birds soda is just not compelling.
If you control the application that is embedding LuaJIT, you should be able to reserve (but not commit) that address space early on in the application startup.

Other applications won't affect your own process's address space.
The point is some people will provide an order of magnitude more business value in the long run. Most of that value will be outside of "implementation skill". The 10x programmer isn't really just a programmer.
The more decision making power one has the higher the potential multiplier.
Trying to find "the 10x programmer" in a large enterprise or a consulting company is like looking for a lion in Sweden. Though even with simple tasks 5x is probably not that rare.
> Stealing intellectual property is entirely different from censorship, and I'm disappointed to see these two things being lumped together here.

The Pirate Bay is entirely different from stealing intellectual property, and I'm disappointed to see these two things being lumped together here.

Also, I'd be careful throwing the word "censorship" around. What Roskomnadzor is doing here isn't terribly different from DMCA takedown notices or governments "censoring" documented child abuse.
mythical man month was the one wot done it
My understanding with ESP (My Nissan has it as Electronic Stability Program) was that it uses small amounts of single-wheel breaking to cause the vehicle to keep the expected line during extreme manoeuvring (eg swerving around a child running into the road, or swerving around the car in front suddenly anchoring on).

I would have thought your issue with power being removed to the drive wheels is actually the Traction Control system kicking in not the ESP, but then it's possible you have one button that disables both.
I think it is partly a myth. It can probably only work for small parts/systems. If a large system has to be written and it takes 3 good developers 2 years to do it it will probably still won't take 3 "bad" developers 20 years to do it. They will learn things when they work.
If I can write a few (like 5-10) classes to do something and it takes me an hour that still don't mean someone can write it in 6 minutes.
Funny part about this law is that's not illegal to write such things. It only requires ISP's to block them on request.
It appears LuaJIT employs optimizations that assume that its pointers fit in 31 bits. This wouldn't be particularly surprising, fast interpreters often try and steal bits from pointers for lots of reasons, e.g. inlining values (so the indirection is eliminated), encoding the class type in the pointer (some JVMs have done this), etc.
Nop, they are common in Europe too. Although most european countries have severily limited the operation of Uber, so...
I really don't understand this thing about charging bandwidth. In France we are used to the free and unlimited bandwidth for all providers and hosters (see OVH, Gandi, Dedibox... but also all ISP), and the rare cases when I had to pay my bandwidth (Hertzner), the service was quite bad (routes issues, ipv6 issues, and the throughput was very inconsistent).

It really seems to me like some providers are trying to charge for anything in order to extract value.
>> it could be argued that our engineer had taken
>> seven years to accomplish this task, it's just
>> that they had worked six of them at a prior company

Thats a great line - I think it reveals a lot about the impact relevant experience has on productivity.

Its truly awesome when it works out but change the problem or the technology and the 40x engineer becomes a 0.2 engineer in the short/medium and sadly sometimes the long term too.

I see two main problems that prevents experience always compounding positively - technology churn whereby a master carpenter has to switch to metal every two years and the unspeakable variety and flexibility of the software medium. I see software engineering as a collection of 1000 niches rather than a homogenous whole. RT embedded vs. data center vs. client-side vs. 3d vs. mass consumer and hitting market first vs. 10 year continuous improvement vs. safety critical etc. there is only so much overlap between them.

In one niche, killer productivity might be unlocked by leveraging libraries, in another by reducing dependencies. In one niche highly defensive programming may be the winner, in another rapid iteration might be the secret sauce. In one you need to master the theory, in another you need to abandon it. We too easily learn lessons in one niche and don't realise they are not generally applicable.

This is also why comparing two engineers is pretty tough. You can test them on the same problem but this will only ever be a narrow view of their comparative strengths.
The best they had was divorce rate per person (including children and unmarried adults). However, I did find some information in one of the links from the article: http://www.nytimes.com/2005/04/19/health/19divo.html?_r=0

It mentions numbers from 16 percent (those married between 1990 and 1994) to 41% (men who were then between the ages of 50 to 59 [in 2001]). They agree that the divorce rate has been declining, particularly among college grads.
So is it your livejournal that is linked to in the "suicide.rst" post?

What's up with the bans on suicide mentions? Is the topic growing because the public feels without hope as the poem seems to suggest, or is Roskomnadzor just tying to keep busy?
10 Policy Principles for Unlocking the Potential of the Internet of Things
Which makes this law much more stupid.

You can virtually block ANY website in Russia by posting prohibited text or picture (as guest user, for example).

Also, note that NO court decision required. Sites blocked imemdiately (almost).
unless there's an alien with another laser pointer on the other side ;)
marriage ends in either death or divorce, surely they can combine the stats!
We have distributed version control system, now looks like it's time to build decentralised package manager.
Rovio has made a boatload of animated shorts already, most of which are as dumb and flat as you'd imagine them to be, but I still see my kids watching them with interest. Just like Digimon had its audience, Rovio's flick may find their.
From what I can tell with my vague knowledge of Russian, they're not even meant to be serious. One of the ways to go is "nanobots".

Even if I disagree with the censorship, I can sorta understand what the problem is if it the list was meant to be serious - but banning black humour is just ridiculous.
See my previous answer. I don't think it works for longer tasks either since developers learn while coding. And if it takes 10 months to build a system it still might be impossible to do it in 1 months even if you're skilled.
I like this app better than Google Hangouts but I can't seem to figure out how to use it to send SMS from my Google Voice number. I can only send from my carrier's number. I tried changing the "my number" setting but it didn't do anything.
Hehe, works again here! (was in and out for me)
The Pirate Bay, by itself, does not steal intellectual property, people do. TPB is just a tool that is mostly used for that purpose. Forbidding access to it is wrong.

But I understand that to tackle the piracy problem is more practical to shut down torrent sites than to go after every single pirate.
Infographic: Why IT Might Be the Most Important Department in Higher Ed
Amazon Kinesis Update – New High-Throughput API
Yes it is. The exchange rate gradually falling is possible too. Or staying the same.

Also the exchange rate may rise, as actually happened last time US government spending spiked (post crisis).
The divorce to marriage rate is about 50% in the US: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Divorce_demography
If you consider Wikipedia a good example of what PHP can do, we have irreconcilably different quality standards.

I think the technical debt of PHP is a huge reason why development of the software behind Wikipedia hasn't fixed any of the huge issues in the last 5 years.
>>The Pirate Bay is entirely different from stealing intellectual property

As someone who has their intellectual property shared by The Pirate Bay I disagree.
>So is it your livejournal that is linked to in the "suicide.rst" post?

Livejournal blog linked there is a throwaway account of some unknown person, however I suspect Russian poet Leo Kaganov to be the author.

>or is Roskomnadzor just tying to keep busy?

this. just some bureaucrats being enthusiastic to assert their power.
Like so many before, this post seems to avoid the fact that while there is talk about a "10x variation" in productivity, that's not really the controversial claim, if by variation we mean "range" or "span". To find a 10x span just look for a 1/10 dev and you are done. There is no lower bound in productivity so the ratio of productivity between least and most productive is infinite since there are likely some that produce zero value (I'm pretty sure I've met those that deliver negative value).

So. Before one designs a test to find a unicorn one should define unicorn. Is it a certain variance in the sample? A variance such that at least one sample point is 10x more productive than the mean, that is at least well defined, but how large would the sample size have to be if you are looking for a single unicorn?
the saddest fact is that it turns out benzene is actually harmless. After all the expense caused by that hysterical ban campaign, it turns out to be completely harmless.
I don't understant why you compare yourselves to WhatsApp... because it's a mobile app?

It's a sports betting platform from what I can see. It looks nice.

I tried several during the World Cup buildup, but our main goal was to play against friends and coworkers.

If it has a nice social integration, it could be a nice Facebook game as well :) (you know of Preguntados?)
Except someone can be married and divorced multiple times (even within a single year).

Counting the marriages or the divorces is a mistake. You need to count the people over time, but also not consider people who never get married.
Especially if there are a lot of Russian tech companies relying upon Github then that could be a useful strategy. Or it might only result in a separate Russia-only version of Github.
The 50% divorce rate is pretty spot on. 50% of all marriages end in a divorce. This has been calculated independently for many different countries over different years (and within a year) and from what I can tell those numbers do not vary much.

That obviously does not say the likelihood of an individual marriage succeeding given that some people marry more than once.
GCHQ does not breach human rights, judges rule
Productivity as an inherent property of a developer has to be for "unseen" tasks. If someone started working with me today I'd be more than 10x as productive as them tomorrow and maybe all of next week. That is relevant for a company, but not really interesting.
> I could not believe my ears when he made the claim that Rovio makes the best games

I have been making games for over two decades and never seen a company, studio or team that does NOT say that kind of stuff: "our games are the best", "we have the best talent", "this is the best team I have ever been part of", etc. Both internally as well as in public-facing events. I'm all for projecting confidence, encouraging excellence and boosting passion and morale, but sometimes the cognitive dissonance is jarring.
Chimpanzees are not people, New York court decides
I think the main meaningful number is the chance of divorce for marriages starting today. There are probably many ways to estimate it indirectly.
Without mentioning the off work life challenges. I mean those have possibly an impact that often see dismissed in those stories about 10x engineers.
Whether "10x" exists depends entirely on the problem domain and the way you define productivity.

If the problem domain is building an HTML login page, and your measure of productivity is time to complete, then a 10x programmer probably doesn't exist. A whiz maybe writes it in 5 minutes and the average Web dude takes 20. Typing speed may be the limiting factor.

If the problem domain is building a better way to search the Web, and the way you define productivity is in long-term revenues generated, then Larry Page and Sergey Brin are billion-x programmers for building Backrub/Google.
>But that's manufacturing capacity it doesn't have for technology is also doesn't have.

Says who? Chinese technology is converging at US levels.

>You don't get to move from being a third world country with a third world cost base to being a first world country and keep your third world cost base. The two go hand in hand. That's why Chinese manufacturing is beginning to lose it's price advantages over places like Vietnam and Mexico.

Chinese manufacturing has been moving up the value chain since it began its mercantile strategy. It isn't particularly concerned about losing, say, shoe or t shirt manufacturing to Vietnam - because they are strategically pretty useless. It is keeping key industries at home and keeping their cost advantage through a combination of subsidies and suppressing the value of the Yuan. There is NO end in sight for this policy.

>China has a very long way to go before it becomes a technological rather than manufacturing powerhouse.

It's already there.

>Assembling high tech iPhone components

My Xiaomi is pretty much every bit as good as an iPhone and 1/4 the cost.

>Russia is desperate.

Russia is not desperate. This is a story spun by the Obama administration to make it look like Obama isn't weak and ineffectual and that his sanctions actually achieved something meaningful (they didn't).

That was at the root of all those silly stories about Putin sitting alone for lunch at those G20 meetings. It's the most ridiculous, transparent PR ploy I've ever seen, and weirdly it's working.
>I suppose we will soon learn what is the intersection of all free spech laws of the world.

Yeah, something like ACID test but for governments. Ultimate pack of offensive material in different jurisdictions.

Some nazi symbolics, some soviet symbolic, denial of Holocaust , Holodomor, some LGTB propaganda, something offensive for black or feminists, or Islam, or His Majesty the King of Thailand. And copyright infringement of course.
That only means instantaneous productivity isn't useful. Fortunately most employers know this: The employer pays for a mean-productivity-over-time.

If your productivity falls below that value you will get fired, and if it exceeds some other bound you may be bonus'd or promoted.

However if the productivity exceeds this line by 40x, then the question remains: Do you pay your programmers 40x?
Reminds of:

http://sourceforge.net/blog/clarifying-sourceforgenets-denia...

http://sourceforge.net/blog/clarifying-sourceforgenets-denia...
Unfortunately the feed died for me ~20s before launch (in S. America, and also for several people I was online chatting with [US, Ukraine]). After a bit, the audio briefly came back and I heard the sound of the rocket engine and the announcer say "exploration", which I take to mean the rocket launched. NASA's twitter account also says the rocket lauched[0] and 17 min to orbit[1].

EDIT: Looks like the feed is now revived (12:11 UTC).

[0] https://twitter.com/NASA/status/540839581374246912

[1] https://twitter.com/NASA/status/540840206862389248
PPP simply adjusts for local costs. It does not adjust for the value created during a transaction.
Apparently reliably streaming video is harder than rocket science.
Now, if something as seemingly straightforward as divorce rate is controversial to calculate, how about causes/existence of global warming which is orders of magnitude more complex and is driven by much more powerful special interest groups.
How a simple life can impact your time perception
This is the alt.suicide.holiday methods file, translated into Russian:

37. BEING BURNED UP IN UNPROTECTED RE-ENTRY (silly)

Time:
probably a few minutes

Available:
if you happen to be able to get into orbit

Certainty:
about as certain as you can get!

Notes:
Just go for a spacewalk in a low earth orbit, and
decelerate enough to enter the atmosphere. You'll get a
great view...
https://www.aclu.org/technology-and-liberty/nsa-spying-ameri...

We can start with the 4th amendment and move on from there.
For the purposes of my comment, they are pretty much the same thing (and once you have all the components for ESC, traction control is essentially a software option). My point was that immediate road surface conditions are already a bigger problem for humans than for computers.

nogridbag has a point, but I think the higher level computerized control system could make a finer grained input than a human, directly requesting that the power train operate at the traction limit.
from my own experience ... there are negative-value-created developers ... 1/1 is 1x, 1/0.1 is 10x, 1/0.01 is 100x ... 10/0 is infinity, then 10/-1 ??? not very well defined
This is slightly off-topic, but still ...

Compare The Pirate Bay to YouTube. An argument can be made that YouTube is the biggest distributor of pirated content, though you'd never make YouTube responsible for that. YouTube is a platform and so is TPB. Nobody would ever suggest blocking YouTube as a whole just because people use the platform to share copyrighted material — yet quite a lot of people think doing the very same thing to TPB is completely reasonable. I don't get that.
>You really do not want to go down that slippery slope.

Russia already did. Suicide filters were introduced two years ago or something. Now they are used to block porn, political opponents, sites about drugs and whatever government wants to declare "extrimism". Ah, and last time they added copyright infringement to the list.
Currently if you include xamarin, .net is among the best platforms if you care about cross platform development(with the ability to deploy native apps). And i don't see anybody who can replace that in the near term.
No codebase to refer to, everything was recreated from scratch; but the concepts (basing a hopping sequence on MAC address, agressive discovery of neighbors on power up, sending a single data/ack packet, instead of a complete POLL-ACK-DATA-ACK for small packets, tracking information for all adjacent nodes in a nodeq, keeping track of both RSSI and info success, etc...) were concepts that he had learned/developed previously (thankfully many of them in early 1990s so patent issues were probably not an issue either)

And you are correct - I am taking somebody who had an immense understanding of the domain, and testing them on a (close to) identical project and I am trying to compare it to an engineer with no domain experience - that was kind of my point. He was still an extraordinary engineer - but, moved into a new domain, maybe a 2x, possibly 3x engineer. (i.e. he could write code in a single month that would take a low level engineer three months to write to similar quality.)

But, if you are looking to build a new product - isn't the idea to hire extraordinary engineers with 7-10 years of experience in that field to get the huge boost in productivity? And, if you really could get 20x-40x performance boost in quality and performance - what would it be worth to hire those employees away from their current companies to lead your team, if only for a few years?

And, if these people really do exist - doesn't it make sense that they should be working for only one-two years at companies, where their skills are precisely matched to requirements, and get the huge boost in compensation for that time?

The only thing that is missing, is some mechanisms, system, that could match up these "world class engineers with extraordinarily specific skill" to companies that need those specific skills.
It went down for a lot of people, looking at the twitter feed on the side of http://www.ustream.tv/nasahdtv a lot of people are complaining.
I was at T-9 seconds and it died.
Stream mirrors:

http://www.livestream.com/spaceflightnow
http://www.ustream.tv/nasahdtv

Can be opened using VLC + Livestreamer script.
>will GitHub be banned in Germany as well?

Not in the next few years since some years ago a push to implement DNS-level blocking met with an outcry by the German geeksphere that ultimately pushed the pirate party in elections. The plans then were dropped on fear of censorship like in GB and Australia.

But of course, this could be resurrected at some time - and Nazi symbols would be high on the list.
> A new global political and economic order is emerging, the result of new economic realities. We cannot change these economic realities. But if we respond to them in the wrong way, we risk a backlash that will result in either a dysfunctional global system or a global order that is distinctly not what we would have wanted.

I just hope we don't mess this one up!
Ah Quantum Computing, the cold fusion of Computer Science!
The Disney comics are very much 'slice of life' mixed with comedy; the stereotype I have of US comics is that they're action comics, mostly serious business (and explosions), and not a strong basis for comic comics (geddit).

I grew up with the weekly Donald Duck comics, <3.
They are three separate economies. If they were not, then the GDP examples makes no sense.
Bullshit. If you believe they don't oversell their VPSs you are living in a fantasy land.
That was the point I was trying to make - there is more than one way to get a boost in performance. Innate Skill is one of them, but another is to do it through experience.
In my experience kids will watch almost anything as long as it's colorful, it moves and it makes funny sounds. Surely Angry Birds animated shorts are popular because kids recognize the birds, but I'd say that's hardly a basis for a strong, stable and lasting brand. When some other game with cute characters gets very popular and kids lose interest in Angry Birds games they (and by transitivity: their parents) will also lose interest in Angry Birds animated shorts and Angry Birds merchandise (exhibit A: this news article). It's not like <12 year olds are the best target audience for brand loyalty and disposable income.
> Nobody knows, because no one even agrees how to calculate it.

What's wrong with "percentage of marriages that end in divorce"?
50 New Street View Sights in Spain