skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> The best way to predict the future is to invent it. Nobody has a crystal ball, so it's really up to you.

In a sense you're right, it usually takes a few people doing something different, and if it's better, others will follow suit. However, by following current trends and looking at how past trends played out, I'm sure we can have a reasonable idea of what will decline and what will gain favor.

As the OP already noted, we can already notice a move towards web apps. Based on that one might conclude that we'll all be using web browsers as our OS and Chrome OS is a perfect example of that. However, we should also notice that demand for desktop apps didn't suddenly die out as web apps gained popularity. Desktop apps are still in demand, so the previous conclusion is too hasty. One conjecture I want to make based on current trend is that developers will start developing more for mobile platforms (phones and tablets), rather than the desktop because this is where consumer demand and use is moving to.

In both cases we can use current trends to strengthen or weaken hypotheses. It's not like the future happens in a crystal ball either, yesterday was another day that contributed to the future.
> Like it's easy to say "legalize" but where (geographically) can we find existing models of legalization along with which there is no market that incentivize drug-related criminal behavior?

The US before 1970 (CO/WA for MJ obviously 2014). Amsterdam, Vancouver, Uruguay, Portugal, The Wire (only kidding).

Would you rather stop someone from smoking a joint or actively help fund an army/cartel through policy?

It isn't as easy as that no, but the problem we are trying to fight has caused incredible harm in blowback, and is only just beginning. We don't want to fund armies south of the US any further. We saw what happened in the 80's in South America, now it has spread up to Mexico, and now along the border quite frequently. In 30+ years it has only increased the violence and caused immeasurable harm over that time. When do we start ratcheting it down?

The War on Drugs has not stopped drugs from their destination, in fact it makes it more of a demand product and the benefactors concentrated within criminal organizations. Drug abuse isn't that high for illegal drugs, it is a manageable problem and safer regulated. It is more pharmaceutical drugs that are the problem now in terms of abuse. We don't create a War on Pharma because that is silly, we know people will abuse them and we help them. We don't lock them up and give them felonies unless they are transporting outside of regulation.

Really all we have done with the War on Drugs is make criminals rich and they bought lots of guns. The War on Drugs hasn't, nor will it, stop people from using drugs. Moral laws do not work, history consistently reminds us. If people are going to use anyways and that is the case, the only solution is a non-violent/non-criminal response and tax it like tobacco. People aren't going to go out and start doing drugs tomorrow if they are legal, if they do them they already do them. Where people do use though it is safer with a regulated market as in Vancouver/Amsterdam/etc.

But the real question is... If people are going to do it anyway and stopping it with force won't work, then where should most of the revenues of drugs go? Regulated, taxed and tracked or to criminals to build armies. That is really the question. The War on Drugs is a failure in that it has only made the demand higher and riches from it more concentrated to criminals.

College kids drink and smoke weed sometimes. Do you want your son/daughter, or their friends, to happen to do this at college and have to deal with possible criminal elements if they do, or would you rather it be safer. Why do we think it is safer to have kids deal with dealers that are possible criminals "to keep them safe".
Differential -- the most misused word in sports. The video is a great explanation about the automobile version.
tl;dr; If you are really good at math, but didn't follow the math curriculum closely, you can probably rederive most of it. I'm not sure this counts as "gaming" a test. I'd describe it as "understanding the material really well and getting a high score."

Remember, the goal of an exam is to measure if you have the knowledge. Whether you got the knowledge by studying hard in a traditional classroom setting as scheduled by a syllabus is irrelevant.
It took me about three days of little sleep to set up an SMTP relay. I had some pretty specific and odd requirements and never really configured email servers before, but still, I think email administration is a skill that isn't really covered well by good sources.
Well it involves a generation loss
Police Suspected of Sharing Nude Photos Found on Female DUI Arrestee Phones
It's also the french for "to stink"

... Sorry
Facebook Offers Life Raft, but Publishers Are Wary
It's beyond me to pick apart another person's relationships, but at the end of the day, there are very few things humans like and seek out in relationships that are not related to power. We find attractive the things that convey status and economic security; we love our parents (and our children) because they provide for us. There's a reason why beautiful people have straight teeth and clean features rather than looking disheveled. Even in subcultures predicated on being so ~nonconformist~ and iconoclastic, people brush their teeth.

I'm sure your family and your relationships are very different and that all the love in your life is totally unconditional and moreover, totally uncorrelated with your ability to command resources. I hope you never fall upon hard times but if you did, I'm sure every relationship you have would survive it. Best of luck with your startup, it looks like a great idea and you're obviously good at executing. More resources look to be on your horizons.
Guide him through Agile. Tell him the core feature you want and check progress, then explain the next few requirements.
No, you just replace the drive. I'm am sure they have automated means to notify them of exactly which drive has failed and this is a routine occurrence.
the built in meter is perfectly capable of metering accurately enough for slide film. If you're not sure what you're doing just set the iso to exp comp about negative half a stop to avoid (as with digital) blowing out the highlights.

the meter in the camera is obviously reflected light only, so adjust if you're shooting black horses or white dresses. Just use common sense and meter a stop either way to compensate for the deviation from 18% grey.
In that case: you should be trading futures.
For the rubyist, Middleman [1] is really nice alternative. It also includes live reloading [2].

[1]: http://middlemanapp.com/

[2]: http://middlemanapp.com/basics/livereload/
I thought gravitational lensing was a GR effect?
That would be lovely but I wouldn't hold my breathe...
Let's try Title 47, Chapter 9, Subchapter I, § 1002. The whole subsection is good but calling attention to (b)(3):

"(3) Encryption

A telecommunications carrier shall not be responsible for decrypting, or ensuring the government’s ability to decrypt, any communication encrypted by a subscriber or customer, unless the encryption was provided by the carrier and the carrier possesses the information necessary to decrypt the communication."

http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/47/1002

Here's the Wikipedia article:

"The Communications Assistance for Law Enforcement Act (CALEA) is a United States wiretapping law passed in 1994, during the presidency of Bill Clinton (Pub. L. No. 103-414, 108 Stat. 4279, codified at 47 USC 1001-1010).
CALEA's purpose is to enhance the ability of law enforcement agencies to conduct electronic surveillance by requiring that telecommunications carriers and manufacturers of telecommunications equipment modify and design their equipment, facilities, and services to ensure that they have built-in surveillance capabilities, allowing federal agencies to monitor all telephone, broadband internet, and VoIP traffic."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communications_Assistance_for_...

Here's a checklist for CALEA:

http://transition.fcc.gov/bureaus/pshs/services/calea/CALEA%...
Ask HN: When is a “growth hack” appropriate or inappropriate?
1. Today, @Jason's voicemail got "hacked" by a YC-alum looking to get attention for his new product in the name of a growth hack. (http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:QkTa-zWgIh8J:https://medium.com/%40avizolty/my-investment-hack-jason-calacanis-voicemail-e4b414659ad7)

2. We've seen plenty of stories about growth hack spamming of all sorts, especially for mobile virality.

There are plenty of details we could debate about specific nuances, but at a high/paradigm level, when is a "growth hack" appropriate or inappropriate?
I don't think things will change a great deal in 5 years. I would love to be wrong, but the progress of web standards and browser technology is painfully slow. The things at the leading edge of development are amazing, but there is an enormous gap between the first browser supporting something and being able to assume that most users will have support. There is also a very slow progression due to the rather annoying notion that everything must have a 'Use Case'. WebGL comes along and when that got into browsers the need for Typed Arrays became more evedent, once people started making games and so-forth they wanted fullscreen options once things were fullscreen people wanted to use mouse movement rather than mouse pointer position so that FPS games could work properly. Each advance demonstrates a new deficiency which gets fixed but it takes another iteration of browser development and release.

I think the change is coming, it's just that the timeframe of 5 years is just too short.

I started a project a few years ago aiming to do Desktop style things using HTML+CSS+JS. When I started I was just mucking around and I expected something better to come along and I'd abandon the project, but I'm still plodding along ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7namj7iy16Y ).

Along the way I came across a simple idea as a test of whether or not WebApps were up to the job of desktop work. Completely replace the functionality notepad.exe (or OS Specific equivalent level program) with a Webapp. The text editing part is easily managed, but the test is not for what can be done but what can't. What about opening all .txt files with it, editing then saving the result to the desktop, or hacking on startup scripts when nothing else is available?

Much of the behaviour of WebApps assumes that "It's on the Cloud". That is a Deal breaker for a lot of people. Especially since Snowden.

We're getting there (or at least somewhere) but we're not doing it terribly quickly.
The US has drones. Why don't they firebomb every drug plantation and capo hacienda in L Latin America?
What about licensing their API? Could that be a viable business model for both the website and the app creators?
Rationality and knowledge are related, but not equivalent, as you seem to believe.
Well, drug consumers can stop purchasing drugs that you know that involve the cartels. But most people that talk about the "War on Drugs" would rather blame the US drug policies instead, rather than the own up to the fact that they are contributing to the problem.

I would also like to point out that legalizing drugs would not solve the problem. The problem is corruption, not the drugs themselves. Look at Miami in the 1970s. It was a war zone, just like Mexico is today. The reason is because you could buy off any cop or government official in the city (check out the documentary "Cocaine Cowboys" for some real news footage from the time).

If drugs are legalized tomorrow, what do you think would happen? If I were the cartels, I would continue selling my product, this time legal (similar to how companies are outsourcing to China..drug companies will outsource to Mexico). My power would continue or increase, because I could just buy off any cop and/or government official and the violence would continue (ruling by fear).

Fix the corruption..and you fix the cartel issue. At this point, the US would need to bring the military in there to fix the problem.

I also don't think people would stop buying drugs in the black market if drugs were made legal. Why? MJ will not ever be legal in the sense that you can just grow it and sell it out of your house with no government intervention. It will be taxed and regulated, which means much higher prices. Many people won't want to pay those higher prices and there will still be a demand for a black market (just like software and music piracy).

I'm not against the legalization of drugs, I'm against the dishonesty. Supporters were dishonest about "medical marijuana"..which is quite honestly, a joke. There are 10 doctors in my area that will give you a prescription for MJ for pretty much anything..it will just cost you $70. The majority of people that I know that have their prescriptions just want to smoke weed.

I wish I was one of those doctors...they are probably able to retire on the proceeds.

Please..just stop the fucking dishonesty and I might support your cause.
> And much of the blame lies with you and I for not shouldering some of the risk and uniting with her to be a stronger large force against the murderers.

Someone who can prevent their own misfortune by taking known steps yet doesn't take them is exhibiting behavior deserving of criticism. Finding someone else to blame doesn't change that, so what point are you trying to make by finding even more people to blame?
"BitLocker provides support for device encryption on x86 and x64-based computers with a TPM that supports connected stand-by. Previously this form of encryption was only available on Windows RT devices."

http://technet.microsoft.com/en-us/library/dn306081.aspx

Device Encryption is supported by Bitlocker for all major skews including Windows Server 2012 R2.

They have also backported Device Encryption to 8.

Edit: Per your comment below you recognize that it is enabled automatically on PCs - and this is supported by the documentation provided. The grandma argument doesn't stack up with the fact that OneDrive/SkyDrive is enrolled in PRISM.
I have bad ADHD. Every day is a battle against myself that I usually lose. It's definitely genetic; my dad is pretty much the same as I am.
We have quite an amount of oil. But that oil will continue to be sold to the U.S. (and others) regardless of what happens with the cartels or to the people of Mexico (Short of a revolution, I suppose). In fact, in recent years, reforms have been passed to make it easier for foreign companies to get involved in oil extraction in Mexico. Given that, there is very little incentive to send an occupation force in order to secure resources.

The drug cartels do not currently threaten or terrorize other countries, just the people living in Mexico, so arguments about national security (valid or not) also do not apply.

Besides, as terrible as things are right now, does anyone believe having an armed occupation force from another country would be better for the average person living in Mexico? Has that ever turned out well in recent memory? It would just be: 'hey, you know how you get shootings, executions and beheadings? Have some of them drone strikes as well!".

I am not saying international pressure cannot be used to help (there is some pressure coming from the European Union, rather the USA, and it has arguably had some impact in the actions of the Mexican government, at least when coupled with internal pressures). Sending an army, however, is probably the last kind of help Mexico needs right now...
>Further, there's no particular reason to think it was a huge evolutionary driver for us.

http://books.google.com/books?hl=en&lr=&id=bV9yeFV6_ckC&oi=f...

>People are naturally violent, but we mostly set that aside

This is the most demonstrably wrong thing. Try killing a man and say that you are naturally violent. Humans are social animals and to commit violence against one another is very difficult for us. The people who do not have this trait we call sociopaths. The people who harm others for a living do so at the cost of massive psychological trauma, probably unhealable, and the best and most effective killers have to be taught how to kill for years and years by people who have made it their job to teach how to kill, based on years of research and development of new ways to break people down and build them into war machines.

The most common response to seeing death is to vomit, and you say people are naturally violent? What do you know of violence?

>Could you be pulling our legs? When you call him arrogant and then explain how only you understand the deep, hidden truths of the world, it's kooky enough that I wonder if you're just trolling.

I think it's condescending and ironically, a status-grab to say something like "I pity people who directly pursue the thing I acquire by doing other things. I am better than they are, because I pursue these other, distinct things, that wholly coincidentally lead to the thing these other people pursue. How pitiful they are."
Here's how Leica describes their expensive new Leica M-P digital camera: "For connoisseurs who appreciate the details." Not photographers, "connoisseurs."
That sounds as if it would be better suited for a graphic, or at least an overlay of a graphic.
I'd love one! I'll email you as well.
Quite not, but as it's written on less wrong, absence of evidence is evidence of absence, and I don't think the comment parent has ever seen a hyperlinked phrase on HN.
That is a valid point. I personally offset that $400 with rebates. The remaining amount is totally worth it to me to have chargeback ability, extended warranties, insurance on my rental cars, and all the other perks you can get from credit cards. Having to visit ATMs and be responsible for actual cash is a (small) burden that I'm happy to be rid of.

On the merchant end of things, accepting card payments reduces their exposure to risk from theft (both internal and gun-in-your face type). For the big guys, the fee is in the low 1%.

But you're right about the lack of transparency. If card fees were required to be itemized separately, the whole dynamic would shift dramatically. But as far as Apple Pay and similar systems are concerned, the 0.15% is bitten off the banks' fee already, and the price of the transaction isn't based on cost, but on value. As a thought experiment, imagine if Apple stopped taking a 30% cut of app store purchases. Do you think that $0.99 games would be priced at $0.69? Probably not. I think the same is probably true of merchant fees--that they're not going to--on average-- increase by 0.15%.

We'll know for sure in the next several years though.
The trick to using a standing desk for long periods is having a padded wood platform to stand on. Standing on concrete or carpet on top of concrete will kill your legs in less than an hour. I have a slightly raised plywood platform with padding on top. I can stand on it all day with no problem.
I like http://www.interviewzen.com/ to do 15 minute code quizzes of candidates where the hiring managers and HR are all dispersed geographically.
I think the reality is much more complicated than that. Globalization, the speed with which capital moves in an abstract way, and the Internet have caused negative externalities in developing countries.

I'm not sure if legalization of all drugs would end cartels, because they would just move onto a different good or service (i.e. prostitution/human trafficking or water if its scarce). I think the system we have in the world today is irrevocably broken, but nobody wants to have a candid discussion about it. Until we have a conversation instead of a monologue, between the developed and developing world, nothing will change.
Can anyone else name a distributed public data store that acts as a point of truth that is not controlled by anyone in particular?

Can anyone else name a system where everyone has equal read and write privileges to a data store where that data is reliably available?

Look at this stuff:

http://coinsecrets.org/
http://cryptograffiti.info/#
https://www.coinprism.info/address/1BvvRfz4XnxSWJ524TusetYKr...
https://blockchain.info/new-transactions

The currency aspect and the incentives for mining keep these transactions secure and make sure they're propagated to clients over the network.

There has never been any thing remotely like this kind of shared public space on the Internet. Blogs and RSS are private residences. Twitter and Facebook are giant private residences that many people interact within.

The Bitcoin blockchain is like a public park or sidewalk.

We've never seen anything like it before.
How to Make Gold (Seriously). Warning: Don’t Try This at Home
To do any serious analysis of entrepreneurship you must include a population in your study that "did everything right" and still failed.

Studies of successful entrepreneurs are nothing but confirmation bias in action. Sure you can point to N successful people who did X, Y and Z, and follow that with an unjustified claim that X, Y and Z are the keys to the kingdom, but unless you go out and scour the ground for people who also did X, Y and Z and failed, you've said exactly nothing interesting.

In particular, you have not increased the posterior plausibility of the claim "people who do X, Y and Z are more likely to be successful" more than a tiny little increment.

I say this as a successful businessperson who has worked for a number of failed startups and knows a fair number of people who came within one business decision of "success" (defined as being a millionaire with less than five years of work).

These studies of only successful business-people are completely vacuous. It isn't enough to show that "People who were successful did X, Y and Z." You must also show "People who did X, Y and Z had a better chance of success", which is a completely unrelated question, and whose answer can only be ascertained by investigating a reasonably large sample of people selected on the basis of doing X, Y and Z, not on the basis of being successful.
A Marijuana Lubricant That Gives You a 15-Minute Climax
7 lessons learned growing SaaS companies
Since running a complex desktop app in the server and serving it to browser based clients is now a production ready solution I imagine this approach will become a bit more popular. (ref. Adobe's creative cloud)
the fuji x series are NOT RANGEFINDERS! they are auto focus cameras and support manual focus with the EVF. They might look a little like rangefinders (in that they mostly don't have "hump" for the pentaprism which is an SLR feature) but they do not have coupled rangefinder focusing like the Leica does. Leica are the only rangefinder digital cameras (besides the now ancient Epson R-D1)

So much misinformation as usual anytime anything comes up about photography.

yes rangefinders are prefered (or were) by street photographers because the cameras and lighter and smaller, the lenses too, with the mirror box to overcome the lenses can focus much closer to the rear lens element which makes for lighter, smaller lenses. The main reason for their success in street and journalistic photography was because what is moving into and out of the frame is visible at all times, and in crisp clear focus, no matter where the lens is focused. if you shooting a tank rolling into the city center its better to know what else is going on around you and you don't want to have to focus the camera before realizing you're going to get run down by an M1A1 Abrams.

Please let's confuse retrostyled with rangefinder. That doesn't the Fuji X series aren't good, they are, for an APS-C sensor they are decent performers with some nice lenses.
Here's a good start. Alter search query to taste.

https://archive.org/search.php?query=creator%3A%22Handy%20%2...