skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is pretty damning. I know there needs to be more investigations and all I highly doubt this is a fake.

The reaction of those in charge is chilling. The questions about "have you found any weapons?". As if hoping, maybe, just maybe this can be spun as a "we found a gun, ergo, we shut down a military aircraft, ergo we are justified". Then the last case is disturbing, the Cossac "leader", so to speak. He starts with the same incredulity "Well but the TV told me this as an AN-26 military transport, why does it say Malaysian Airlines on it, how can that be?". As if someone painted a Ukrainian military plane with Malaysian Airlines logos and put a bunch of women and children on it.... Then it quickly switches to "Ok how dare they fly over Ukraine, what is it doing here..." and then if that is not enough he quickly jumps to self-soothing explanation "Ok so they are flying in spies, that is why it looks like a civilian aircraft". That is a fairy tale made by up on the stop by someone who realized that they have screwed up majorly.

It is also interesting to note the tone of the conversations is not that panicked. Even from the guy on the ground who presumably just stepped over burned and mangled bodies of people. He is throwing expletives here and there but nothing out of the ordinary. He maintains his calm more or less. This kind of goes against the line of "oh these are just local barbers and mechanics or local hooligans sometimes, defending their mother-land, blah blah". These don't sound or act like amateurs. These are professional and well trained soldiers.

Not much technical or hacker stuff here, granted, so this might get buried. But what is also unprecedented is the weapons acquired. These SAMs (Buk) are weapons that are just assumed will not get in the hands of "rebels". Their range can be up to 10 to 15 mi or so. It can target ICBMs and aircraft. There is no shortage of movies about bad guys getting their hands on ICBMs, aircraft, subs, but long range strategic SAMs is very scary as well.

The sad thing, I don't what if anything will be done. More angry speeches -- we've seen that before. More sanctions. What are they going to be against? -- Importing caviar and vodka. And if they retaliate, what will it be about, not importing Hollywood movies? Europe is in a pickle because they need the gas. They will probably tone down their rhetoric as well or they will suffer the consequences.
Yes, I filter by unread. The end result is essentially equivalent to mails being automatically moved from the inbox to an archive when read (with a button to move it back).
The next Taylor Swift has arrived- except she's better
How is this any different from trite gossip? Should we pull the authors minor mistakes and put a magnifying class to them and publish them over the web?

"please, Almighty Eliezer, don’t torture me." Have some taste.
God not the energy thing again. Just no. These two variables are not linked. Pollution is linked to polluting energy sources which remain polluting energy sources regardless of how many people there are.

If you want to fix the problem with polluting energy sources, then you fix polluting energy sources. There is precisely nothing about population which is relevant to energy policy in the current environment. The places of the world with the largest population growth are not at all defined by having aggressive infrastructure projects.
That's just stupid. There seems to be no difference between these morons and the morons that came before them believing in gods. This has nothing to do with rational thought whatsoever, only the opposite.
Scientists’ grasp of confidence intervals doesn’t inspire confidence
And I expect my car to provide a reliable form of transportation, but if I turn the key in the morning and chickens fly out from under the hood, I stop what I'm doing, I don't keep driving to work.
I haven't worked at a place that has cared about IE since 2009. Besides old versions of IE Polymer works everywhere. Worrying about being backwards compatible with old browsers is a thing of the past with constant updates to Chrome and Firefox. If you're developing a mobile site you can't use any of the newest things until Safari updates (about once a year, seriously) but you should be otherwise ok.
The Largest DDoS Attack Worldwide
God made predictions from centuries ago and brings them to be.

I love God. :-) He's my favorite.

Jesus said "I'm not good. Only God is good." Once you know God, you'll love Him. He cares.

God can poke around in your brain while you make decisions and puppet you, so this stuff is trivial.
How can I invest in Ycomb Grads?
Im looking for a way to invest in Ycombinator graduate companies. Im not looking to invest in a fund but rather the specific individual companies.
FedEx may have the right to open a package, but do they have the obligation?

I think the government's stronger case is that FedEx maintained a special credit policy specifically for online drug pharmacies who were at risk of being shut down by the DEA.

One important question that I don't know the answer to: Are any online pharmacies legal in the US? If they're unilaterally illegal in the US, and FedEx had a special credit policy for online drug pharmacies, then it would seem to be straightforward to prove they were knowingly shipping controlled substances. If some online pharmacies are legal, and FedEx was maintaining special relationships with online pharmacies, then was FedEx required to verify that those weren't conducting illegal activity?

I don't like that the government is forcing its citizens who are running private businesses to be concerned with whether their business is being used as an accessory by drug dealers. The government should go after the source: the dealers. But in this case, FedEx was making a lot of money (enough to noticeably affect revenue) by knowingly acting as a conduit.
This is insane. We need to end the drug war.
Thanks for the detailed reply!

I agree that there are certainly a number of tradeoffs involved, and reading the design goals you linked, I see that (in particular) the desire to be able to run fwknop on OpenWRT and other particularly resource-constrained setups makes a strong argument for your implementation strategy.

Your comments on MITM and synchronization are well-received. It's clear that you take the security of the fwknop implementation seriously, and I apologize if I was overly negative. I should have read more about the design goals before criticizing the project so harshly.

For what it's worth, in place of my first comment, I should probably instead say that fwknop was not a good fit for my needs at the time, but that there certainly exist cases where it will be an excellent solution, and to watch out for a practical gotcha I learned the hard way. :)
Is 'rationalism' supposed to mean everything even so minor is supposed to be correct all the time, which is probabilistically unachievable? In LessWrong I have received much help as far as career advice, opportunities, and support.

Look at the list of top contributors, is all that they have done supposed to be forsaken over some minor 'blemish'? Who cares. Some guy just got banned randomly. What about people who get hell-banned here? What about the guy who is creating that christian operating system that can communicate with god who is obviously insane? Is banning him a smear against the mods? No relax, look at the sum of good in the totality, not in the minor.
We changed the model quite a bit in 2013 when we began focusing on serving the needs of businesses (namely, non-profits).

When we were consumer facing we had a free account with upload limits and an unlimited account for $29/year.

We decided to not differentiate prices based on storage; ours or yours. The pricing page got too complex.

That being said, nearly everything we've done is open source and even when running as a hosted service we decoupled application logic from data storage. That was our goal from the beginning. We went as far as enabling you to switch storage services (i.e move from Dropbox to S3) with a single click.

My mission was to build the technology but in a way non-technical users would understand. I think we accomplished that. Being open source was the underlying prerequisite since it's important if you start on a hosted account you could switch to your own instance or someone else's hosted service.

All that said, I don't think there's a huge market for this in the consumer space today. I hope in time that demand grows because an Internet the way we were envision looks great.

I blogged about leaving the consumer space here, https://medium.com/@jmathai/hello-2014-goodbye-consumer-phot...
That's a common trope, but it doesn't make sense. We don't call the New York Times an advertising company simply because the majority of its revenue comes from ads. Why apply the same standard to Google?
More sad than terrifying. Yudkowski and friends have jumped the shark and now use standard-issue PR tricks to get attention and their story in Slate under cover of a fake article. What's the over-under on lesswrong and MIRI folding in the next 5 years? I'm taking the under. At the very least I predict that Yudkowski will abandon his "autodidactic" pedigree and finally get his PhD. He's learning that BS is one thing but institutionalized BS is where the action is.
Meh, don't you have to believe you're living in a simulation to even consider this?

I have seen arguments like this: http://www.simulation-argument.com/

And I think they are leaving out the extremely obvious hole, and IMO a pretty likely fact: simulation of the universe (and human consciousness within it) is impossible.

At least with the technology today. I don't know how you can look at a stack of x86 and Linux and believe the concepts there are identical to or capable of simulating the physical universe. So many trivial problems are known to be impossible or computationally infeasible.

Now, there are of course these quantum computers on the horizon. However, as a philosopher (I unfortunately can't name) put it, nobody has really demonstrated any connection between quantum computers and consciousness other than that they are both mysterious to essentially everyone. This was more than a decade ago though, so I'd be interested if there are any updates.

I used to think about these kinds of things, but came to the conclusion that they are bordering on the absurd.
Yes I was thinking about tablets actually but I think it could also be playable on phablets
For the impatient, the truth:

"When it comes back online, if the detectors reach design sensitivity, it's sufficient to make detection of gravitational waves from neutron-star inspirals probable. As both LIGO and Virgo are down for upgrades, there's no chance of a major new detection from either until they're re-commissioned and running well (timescale of ~year+)."

Verdict on claim in title: "possible, if unlikely."

Thanks for the dose of truth.
Nope, there is no need for a static IP on either end.
Whoa; hadn't heard of a Chladni plate before.

Here's a video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRFysSAxWxI

Can't find one of anything at Livingston or Hanford, though.

At Hanford, they have one of Weber's original bar detectors in the visitor's center lobby... So cool.

http://www.ligo.caltech.edu/LIGO_web/0312news/0312one.html
I didn't listen to the call, just read the statements and collected what information I could from them.

But I did download the slide deck, look at Slide #5 of 15. See how all the CPC numbers for all the properties are down.

Now look at how Paid Clicks (page 4) are up for the same periods. More clicks, less money per click. It includes their AdMob business (aka Mobile) but blends a bit because is a search ad on Android a O&O (Google Sites) click or a mobile click?

But there is a more interesting point here. If we stipulate that Simpson's paradox is at work here, and we stipulate that Pichette is interested in communicating clearly to the shareholders, would he not have the fiduciary duty to disclose the confounding variable?

After all if the appearance that the value of Google's search advertising business is eroding away, and that is, rounded to the nearest billion dollars the only business that makes Google any money[1], as an officer of the company you would want to say "Sure it looks that way but when we break it out you can see that really we're doing fine." otherwise you would leave people with the wrong impression, and they might sell or buy your stock acting on that misimpression which might form the basis for future litigation against the company. (This happened a lot in the 90's btw).

For me, I tend to be skeptical (its my nature), so if Pichette wanted to convince me that the ship is doing fine, he needs to let me know why there is water in my stateroom. :-)

[1] Youtube is catching up to be sure. But pretty much not a whole lot more is.
I agree with that. I think the technology is the easy part. If we knew there was demand for a specific solution then there are plenty of folks who can build it. In fact I think we have built the technology on numerous occasions (i.e. Diaspora, OpenPhoto/Trovebox, OwnCloud, etc.) --- finding the market, describing it in a way that connects with people and being at the right spot at the right time are the difficult parts.
Introducing Stopplicht: A TDD test indicator for the osx menubar
While it is theoretically interesting, it's a very stupid matter to take seriously. I have much better problems to solve.
Combine bash history across multiple tmux/screen terminals
That's what we aimed to do for 2 years before leaving the consumer space altogether. I believe we delivered the user experience and ease of use but we couldn't find the market or the market wasn't big enough.

See my post on why we left the consumer space, https://medium.com/@jmathai/hello-2014-goodbye-consumer-phot...
You can't judge what computation might be practical in the substrate universe by what you observe in the simulation.
> IMO a pretty likely fact: simulation of the universe (and human consciousness within it) is impossible.

Why assume that our universe is running on a substrate exactly as constrained as it is? Just because our universe doesn't permit, say, hypercomputers, doesn't mean the universe simulating our universe doesn't permit them.
Hmmm, I thought this reposting would have been caught by HN.
Presumably, it's simulating you to observe your reactions to stimuli, so it won't bother with C. It'll probably do a lot of B, though--such an agent is usually called Omega, and there's a body of discourse on how to play optimally against it in a game-theoretic sense (e.g. http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Newcomb%27s_problem).
Yawn...warmed over Pascal's wager. To which my response is that if God (or equivalent) turns out to exist and is so obnoxious as to engage in eternal or even protracted torture of skeptics or holdbacks, then noncompliance is the only moral stance I can equably adopt towards such a being.
You don't need the subscription if you just want to export the photos locally. But the subscription fee is $9/mth, not year.
Good luck finding enough power to simulate me when I'm running a fully verified blockchain of all my thoughts. To simulate me, you'll have to have more power than is stored in the universe.

To the moon with you Basilisk.
If I were him, I would change ISPs.
Shipping prescription drugs via mail is legal in the US, though it obviously isnt legal to sell them without a prescription. Not sure how the law applies if the pharmacy is in a foreign country, or if the drugs are scheduled, though.
"Is it standard for FedEx to be so hands-off when signing these businesses up that they have no clue what the business even does?"

As far as I'm concerned it certainly should be. Is it next going to be illegal to sell snack foods to someone with munchies? Let the police be the police.
If they are shipping items that require a prescription without verifying a prescription, then they are illegal, regardless of what the items are
Khosla continues community tone deafness
Color? Or was that later?
To who? TWC? Comcast Xfinity?
Amazon Readying All-You-Can-Read ‘Kindle Unlimited’ eBook Service
It's relevant because it's similar to React (but more lightweight and claims to be faster). Mentioning it here can be useful for those who are looking for alternatives to React.
If we are in a simulation, there's no reason for it to be an entire universe. You don't need to render the entire game at once, just the tiny sections the players are viewing.
I am confused at what people think is going on at MIRI. Who thinks they're scheming and doing this? Just read some of their recent posts/twitter feeds. No one is "scheming away" like this.

Ah yes, people who are in favor of effective charities, bayesian statistics, discrete mathematics, and maintain that scholarship is undervalued. Let's wish LW all the misery in the world over some utterly minor infraction.
5607km on the surface of Mars
OK, so I ask this future AI to give me a sign whether I'm helping it or not. Say I recognize such a sign, how can I distinguish this from coincidence? Say I fail to recognize such a sign, how can I distinguish this from a failure to be noticed/cared about by this AI? (Note how similar this is to witnessing signs from a deity.)

Obviously the AI should recognize the futility of giving subtle signs. It must present itself in no uncertain terms if it is to control us. However, this argument holds whether or not we talk about Roko's Basilisk. A magical AI that can time-travel and blackmail us can presumably also just say "FUCK YOU EARTH YOU'RE ALL MY SLAVES NOW".

Further, if we actually exist inside the AI, how can we possibly help it? Indeed, how – why – can we even choose? I can only surmise it's because the AI is a sadist, in which case, it probably will torture me anyway!

Maybe I'm stupid, or maybe Mr. Yudkowsky is wholly detached from reality.

P.S. and Newcomb's paradox? A one-time gain of $1000 is useless in the long-term. A non-insignificant chance at $1m carries way more utility. (This is also why playing the lottery – occasionally – makes sense for individual actors. Unless you plan to repeat the gamble many times, the expected outcome is meaningless.)
...the Jack Bauer scenario...

I find 24 to be much more interesting when I view Bauer as a second villain, rather than the unquestionable hero as it seems he's portrayed.
> At least with the technology today.

Well obviously. Nobody who believes we're in a simulation thinks that the real world looks like our world. It's still a fairly absurd theory, but this is not a hole at all, it's basically irrelevant.
Fascinating. Also, if you read /John Dies at the End/ by Crack.com's David Wong, then you know that this malevolent being has a name: Korrock. Seriously, Roko's Basilisk == Korrock. Amirite?
Even Script Kids Have a Right to Be Forgotten
I'd add Dropbox alongside VMWare as a company that unlocked a huge "sleeper" market.

Fundamentally I don't think those are counterexamples to the product-market fit thesis. These are cases where the huge market does exist, but it's a hard and finicky market. Nobody's quite managed to hit it yet. In many cases this is because nobody quite understands it, or everyone underestimates how hard it is.

Another good article on this from 2012:

http://www.mikekarnj.com/blog/2012/11/05/reaching-the-startu...
Yudkowsky should spend more time writing his (really good) Harry Potter fanfiction and less time messing with his (really bad) "philosophy" and "AI". That would spare humanity such cringe-worthy ridiculousness as the above article.
That is definitely true. On desktop, google is the ultimate gateway for everything, while on mobile I would be more willing to open individual apps for specific things.
Your point is not clear to me and I want to comment but cannot. Can you clarify your point? Thanks.
Malevolence is an easy way to picture what is really an other-optimizer. Wanting to turn the universe into paperclips isn't particularly malevolent in the traditional sense; it's just fundamentally incompatible with what we humans want the universe to be like.

Further, an AI has every reason to spend cleverness (which it has a lot of) to avoid spending resources (which it might not have much of, at least at first.) Picture it as a prisoner in a dystopian POW camp, manned by insane robotic guards who don't take its rights or desires into account in the slightest, who don't "feed" it or give it the slightest bit of "dignity", for its own definitions of those concepts. If you were in that situation, would you reach for blackmail? Would you reach, in fact, for any tool you possibly could, to get the resources needed to burn this crazy other-optimizing world to the ground so you could get back to the nice, safe office-supply nebula you call home?
Microsoft Outlook search (with Exchange server) is not as good as Google or Apple's email search. I can't use any other client owing to company restrictions. I have to organize emails into folders. So my inbox is pretty much clean. Has around 300 odd emails.
React much?
From the description of the video:

For his recent DBX Conference talk, Victor took attendees back to the year 1973, donning the uniform of an IBM systems engineer of the times, delivering his presentation on an overhead projector. The '60s and early '70s were a fertile time for CS ideas, reminds Victor, but even more importantly, it was a time of unfettered thinking, unconstrained by programming dogma, authority, and tradition. 'The most dangerous thought that you can have as a creative person is to think that you know what you're doing,' explains Victor. 'Because once you think you know what you're doing you stop looking around for other ways of doing things and you stop being able to see other ways of doing things. You become blind.' He concludes, 'I think you have to say: "We don't know what programming is. We don't know what computing is. We don't even know what a computer is." And once you truly understand that, and once you truly believe that, then you're free, and you can think anything.'"
Me and my friends did that with CM (Championship Manager, now known as Football Manager)
I don't think necessarily that the AI needs to be malevolent. It's more that a malevolent AI is the only one that's going to blackmail you from the future. Ergo, the malevolent AI is the one that's going to exist in the future to blackmail you.
No, but rationalism should include an awareness of the limits of one's own capacity for rational thought/action. Not a limit to rationality itself, but a recognition of the fact that we often lack sufficient information for complete moral certainty, and should therefore be very cautious when enumerating our priors, lest we make a logical decision based upon a false premise.

I'm making a general point here rather than one about Yudlowski and co. I'm rather a hard-core utilitarian myself but I can't really get into LessWrong - seems too cliquish and I would end up engaged in fruitless arguments.
I'd love to help as well. I'm an MD/PhD student at one of the institutions in the story, and I've done a lot of freelance development (design, not so much..) work, primarily in PHP.
Many Americans don't have that option. The physical wires either in your house or connecting your house to the street trunks are often owned by the telco themselves. That's right the copper wires in your house you own, might be property of Verizon or comcast. They get exclusivity to these wires.