skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Warning Sign I5: Taking p too Seriously

What does it say about X when you have 10 studies saying X is true with p < .05, and another 10 studies saying that X is false with p < .05? It seems like the closer you come to actually taking p values at face value given conflicting results, the amount of things that can be considered to be 'scientifically proven' rapidly approaches zero.

Also, while I do like norvig's essay, all the errors he goes through are fairly pedestrian. If you read the modern scientific literature on research, the rabbit hole goes vastly deeper. (Assuming researchers researching researchers are more trustworthy than researchers.)
Pretty sure.

Also "irrelevant" isn't really the right word as much as "lost". Examining the word completely myopically, things like ability to play piano might seem relatively useless. However, science has recently been revealing that music is a lot more important — to the brain, moods, and the body, even — than we would have guessed it was 50 years ago.

If we allow our knowledge of music to be lost in between the era of musicians and some future rebirth of classical music, then what good have we done?

A good example of the waste that can occur is that of Roman formulations for concrete. Because the information about how the concrete was formulated has been lost, we have spent a tremendous amount of effort just trying to reverse engineer Roman structures like the Colosseum to figure out how they achieve the unique properties that they do. Also consider that the Romans had no way of imagining how important concrete formulations would be in the future. To them, after the fall of Rome, concrete formulations were probably just as "irrelevant" in their minds as well.

I am not so much afraid of my own death as I am that we'll lose knowledge and skill that we as a species have spent so long refining.
The fundamental issue here, like many projects of this size, is that it was trying to deliver a solution to a ridiculously complicated process.
Moreover the way of procuring that solution is also fundamentally broken.
Simplifying the underlying process would take a level of politics that is sadly well beyond even one party, let alone two.
Paid for by me.
Definitely couldn't agree more. I think there's a little bit of a prerequisite that I kinda set for myself, and that people need to keep in mind, which is basically that the 40 hour week works amazingly well so long as you're not blowing 5 hours a week on Facebook. I try to keep extremely focused, which means 40 hours is about my limit before I go bonkers and become ineffective.
There aren't private mass transportation services only because it's illegal for those to exist.
I do expect a reboot to require somehow reloading my settings via xmodmap. More troubling is during an X session with Unity, my settings would be reverted, and I'd have to reload with xmodmap. Other desktop environments didn't have this issue. I really should have done my part and written a bug report.
> I mean, come on, it's basic math people, it's not that hard to figure out.

Out of sheer morbid curiosity, I really want to know more about this basic math you think supports your point.
No.

Longer answer: Nope.

Oh, wait. The real title is Will the iPhone 5s and iPhone 5c Upcoming Overseas Release Make Inroads on Android and Windows 8 in Those Countries?

Then, yes. Apple launched a very successful product refresh and will regain some ground it previously lost.
FF 24 is the latest stable. FF's docs say they added this function in FF 4.0, which was several years ago. So it's a bit more complicated than you make it out to be.

EDIT: I thought FF24 wasn't working, turns out I was confused between my Linux desktop's and Mac laptop's FF versions. Sorry!
Local governments != Federal government. The Federal government could be significantly castrated without too many problems for most people. Dysfunctional local government is what I'd lose sleep over.
Absolute drivel. It is a useless frame of reference in which one would have to sit on the fence on every mythical creature ever mentioned.

"possibilianism" would cover leprechauns equally as well as god. It would cover santa right along with god. Unicorns as well, the flying spaghetti monster, etc. It is beyond useless.

EDIT: Author also thinks "faith" should be taught in public schools. http://biologos.org/blog/science-religion-can-coexist-in-sch...
Physics: What We Do and Don’t Know
" I'm befuddled to see that we still keep running into this though."

Please be more specific... What is it that confuses you. The lack of wages for public service? Or the idea that people are standing up for their rights?

I apologize for my ignorance my communication skills are less than par. I do not understand your comment... Are you associating the recent partial govt shutdown to strike/rally? If so, please explain the correlations.
More than $196 million spent on glitch-ridden Heathcare.gov
My experience with wxWidgets is that it's full with leaky abstraction... Not really wxWidgets fault here, but the philosophy - they wrap native widgets under common interface.

To give you an example - getting the current line or number of lines from wxTextBox control on Windows might in fact do way more than what you expect (the leaky abstraction) - it sends a message to the control to get size/current line - but what that does internally could be something which scans the buffer over and over - so if you have a hundreth of megabyte window with text (log screen) - you might have severe slowdowns.

Also I've found it very hard to extend with custom widget and make it right. Qt is much easier, while MFC has been the hardest for me. Juce is also easy, and I guess gtk would be too.
And don't forget the Downing Street Memorandum.

WMD was bullshit, and everyone knew it was bullshit.
Shutdown Ends, But US Antarctic Research Still on Thin Ice
There was a $600+ Million price for the website that was previously mentioned in HN comments on this topic, and others were claiming that this number was debunked, and the actual price was $30 Million or so.

NBC News has now released a report on what the actual numbers are. It's $196 Million as of 5/15/2013, and the price appears to be on its way to $292 Million:
http://www.nbcnews.com/video/nightly-news/53309356/

Anyway, I apologize if it looks like I'm spamming the thread with it (I posted at the bottom of the thread as a reply). That's not my intent, but I think it's important information.
Both are hand planes, with #7 being a "jointing" plane.

Smartass remark aside, I've successfully jointed with a table saw and a router, and planed with a drum sander.
Interesting you're spending at least 10% of monthly revenue on BounceExchange. Does it provide ROI? The product looks great but the pricing is another matter!
I was lamenting the fact that just today we've gone over a number of discussions in which people were defending a society without government, and other silly things (including the assertion that government shutdown is a good thing in any capacity). It's not a good thing. It should be very incredibly clear that it's not a good thing.
Just started testing BAAS last week. This speed up our process. Thanks.
Fair enough, each team's dynamics are different.
saurik said this on Twitter[1]

> A 3rd-party iMessage app was just released on Android; I believe all data sent from/to Apple is resent to/from China for processing: beware.

[1]https://twitter.com/saurik/status/382387551144652800
I'm trying to run a custom basic x86 kernel (it was an assignment for my Computer Architecture course). But I can't get it to work =/. (This image works with bochs and in a virtual machine without problems). It seems that it can get to protected mode, enable interruptions, enable paging, but it fails loading the tasks =/

This is the error that I'm getting:

Unimplemented: load system segment descriptor, type = 9
Execution stopped

Here's a screenshot: http://i.imgur.com/DdCt8jX.png
YOu have just reinvented a 1 minute cross on a unlit platform...
Yes my child!

No, really swing is aweful. I had to use many years ago, and it was very slow then. I've liked SWT (native+java) from eclipse for a while, but wanted to use more on the native c/c++ but wasn't that straightforward...
At the very least I can confirm the object is identical (same md5sum) across Linux, FreeBSD, and Solaris. Past sources have indicated to me Windows shares his object.
Seems a few comments here are pointing to the VPS provider being the ones who might have leaked the source code. I don't think that was the concern, but hopefully somebody more in the know can elaborate.

From what I understand, once a portion of the source code was in the open, a match could be made (not easily like a google search) to that server's index.php page, pointing to exactly which server is running the code, and can then be back traced to who the account was registered under.

What I don't understand (and I've never used any of these sites) is how do they have a DNS registration and ip look-up without that being connected to an individual. I know you can make your DNS details private, but I would have assumed that was only 'private' from public view and that most of the DNS companies would have cooperated with law enforcement.

Unlike general snooping, I think I'd be fine with Law Enforcement getting a warrant to find who registered a particular domain, and back trace from there. They would still need to make a case of illegal activity, so should this be protected information?
@Gwern I just wanted to point out that I did actually like the essay as a whole, even though it doesn't necessary come off that way when I'm only pointing out the few parts I disagree with!
Everyone is gonna give you advise on finishing and tenacity.

Have you thought of the opposite viewpoint - that it seemed like a promising idea, but once you fleshed it out you found out there's reasons why no one else is doing it?

I'd say you're doing it exactly right, keep working on projects, find out if they're dead ends or not, then move onto the next one.

If you want to improve your process, make sure you focus on prototyping and UI, and not worry about stuff like scaling.

Also - opensource your half-done projects on github, so you can have them as resume pieces.
It would be nice if my computer did all scan/cleanup defrag ops after I shut it down and go to sleep
It's Forbes, they have thousands of "contributors" and their site is nothing but a shell of blogspam now.

Make no mistake, there is no editing going on.
Qt has much more compact packaging - few dlls, maybe plugins, and even static linking maybe possible for GPL or other free software.

While I love gtk for the fact that it's C, it's not that easy to use from ffi-exposed systems like luajit, since it relies too much on preprocessor macro magic that has to be replicated there...
"being prevented by internal controls is outside the scope of the question"

/shrug, when Gabriel W. says no one at Duck Duck Go can read your search history he's making a claim based entirely on internal controls that DDG has established that make this impossible. Similarly, Apple didn't claim it would be impossible for them to ever <rewrite everything> and one day be able to read your iMessages.
I can't stop laughing. That was so weird and funny that I almost forgot what I was doing here on HN.
If people want to leave "America's Internet," the logical next question is: where would they go? So whether other national governments are doing the same thing is directly relevant. If they are, then nothing will be gained by leaving one surveillor for another.
While that is useful, in Windows-land the result would only be another message box to click-through, asking if you wanted to make the file executable, which no average user would understand, and therefore just click OK. If they even took the time to read it before clicking through.

Better to sandbox any executables received from external sources.
They said that they couldn't read iMessages as it is. One would think it was pretty obvious that they could change the system to be able to read them.
Thank you, interesting insight.
Two corrections to your comment...

ANY system where code can be deployed at will and the owner of the device is not in full control of the device will have this same level of vulnerability. Saying that a system is insecure because you could change the system doesn't tell you anything interesting about the system.

1. The NSA vacuums up network traffic. Meaning they use man-in-the-middle attacks. Sometimes they do force businesses to deploy a malicious program, as you describe, to gather a user's password. This is called a Pen Register, or Trap Trace Device: https://ssd.eff.org/wire/govt/pen-registers However, this is the exception, not the norm.

Defending against man-in-the-middle attacks is a bare minimum requirement for any system that purports to be "secure". Defending against Pen Registers is an unsolved problem, but it's unrelated to the attack presented here.

If I understand it correctly, they are saying that the messages are encrypted using an RSA key unique to the sender, and that this is not secure because Apple could, if they wanted to or were ordered to, replace the certificates with ones that were not secret. [...] What is misleading here is that (if I understand it correctly) the cryptography is solid, it is the implementation being owned by Apple that raises the doubt. But this is NOT a statement about the cryptography used on the iMessages, it is a statement about the fact that Apple effectively has "root access" to their phones.

2. From http://blog.quarkslab.com/static/resources/2013-10-17_imessa... page 36:

- All iMessages are encrypted and signed using
asymmetric cryptography

- Thus, there has to be a key directory

- iMessage client retrieves recipient’s public keys by
querying Apple’s ESS server

It's that last point which is the most important. When someone sends you an iMessage, their device queries an Apple-controlled server for the recipient's public key. The server returns a "Public Keys Buffer". The buffer contains an RSA public key (1280-bit) to encrypt
messages for the remote device.

Apple controls that server. They can send you whatever public key they want.

In other words, while I wouldn't say it's "trivial," it's at least "realistic" for the government to be able to order Apple to serve up an MITM'd public key. Combined with a copy of the network traffic, they can then decrypt all iMessages. And the government isn't the only adversary to worry about, either.

The point of cryptography is that you should be able to trust who you choose to trust. Apple is saying we can trust their claim of not being able to decrypt iMessages. But that claim rests on Apple to serving up the proper public keys through Apple-controlled servers. This is called the key exchange problem, and it's why their iMessage claim can be accurately described as "completely bogus." They don't even attempt to address key exchange security.

The takeaway is: iMessage shouldn't be trusted.
Enterprise developer here. That wizard bullshit is 100% enterprise. It's horrible to use and only exists because most enterprisey programmers are too terrible to grasp more productive coding methods.

Still 100x better than digging through 100 pages of abstruse Java docs about AbstractProxyBeanDAOFactoryProxy.GenerateAbstractProxyBeanDAOFactoryAccessor though.
Poo.

Qt has been a pain in my ass in OS X. You get the wrong version installed in the wrong place and you're fucked. I think it is something that is kind to developers and a headache to users.

Personally I give a big thumbs down on this decision. It's one thing for some random program or library to use Qt that I don't care about, but I've been using Wireshark since it was Ethereal. It should not be Qt. That's lame.
"The main criticism in the article seems to be that, in much of current scientific practice, the self-correction doesn't happen immediately."

Wrong. This is not the main criticism of the article. It is not a problem if self-correction doesn't happen immediately. It is, however, a problem if the rate of self-correction is not fast enough to compensate for the ratio of 'horrifyingly wrong' to 'generally correct' papers.
Works for me on Firefox for Android, no crashes yet.
Here's one:

https://blockchain.info/wallet/send-shared

(Please note, before downvoting, that I'm not saying that's a bad thing)
Relevant xkcd: http://xkcd.com/855/
We're talking about Ubuntu here - that was my point.

I've been upgrading Ubuntu Desktop for years (a decade, singular) and I've always been struggling - especially if I ventured to install an alpha and then keep upgrading that. Compared to OS X, on which I always upgrade to the first Developer Preview and keep upgrading on, although OS X comes with problems, too, the GM usually fixes it all up. With Ubuntu, it's best to script your environment and rebuild clean. At least my experience. Garbage always piles up otherwise!
> using Wireshark on the Mac is not a pleasant visual experience.

I personally do not give a flying fart what the "visual experience" is as long as it works and the interface is very usable.

You know who said something similar in the last few years? Jony Ive at Apple. Even though I like the concept of flat design and really wanted to like iOS 7 at first, it is the first time since Jobs left the world that they royally fucked over the UI. And it was in the name of "visual experience". It's hard to believe they even tested it on humans. To tell you how bad I think it is: I used it for days in inverse color mode, because that was better. If you've used that for a while, you know what that means.

I know they tried and they got some things right, but that is the reason you give interface to UE people, NOT designers. Great designers don't make great interfaces. They make great designs.

So, screw the visual bells and whistles. Give me emacs and midnight commander.
It's actually not all that complicated.

Firefox 4 added mozRequestAnimationFrame.

Firefox 23 added the unprefixed version.

It's documented in the browser compatibility table at https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/API/window.requ... (note that "moz" next to the 4.0).
Their starting example of priming reminds me of the post/video "Fixing Toxic Online Behavior in League of Legends" [1], where the makers of LoL discuss (among other things) testing how well priming was reducing toxic behavior.

They had absurd results like changing the color of intro text giving (IIRC) ~30% reductions, and were (IMO) obviously accidentally cherry picking.

1: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5616541
>but because they have a huge depth of knowledge about a particular field. Any working scientist can point out published, cited papers in their field that are total crap.

No. I promise you, there are scientists who literally cannot bring themselves to believe that any of the papers are crap, who buy into the Science as authority dogma. There are also scientists who do not have a depth of knowledge in any field, much less their own.
Hmm do you mean ArchBang? Because CrunchBang is a Debian GNU/Linux distro. I wonder how Debian can be more up to date than Gentoo. Am I missing something?
"Following presentation of the Northwoods plan, Kennedy removed Lemnitzer as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, although he became Supreme Allied Commander of NATO in January 1963"
Using ServletContextListener in Java
Probably not a great idea to learn about science in a magazine called The Economist.

(Yes, I am familiar with this famous and well-liked magazine. Its reputation does not rest on its science reporting.)
> Whoever they got to do the power system for their new Utah site ... failed rather hard.

Can you elaborate on this?
Oh my god, conspiracy theories abound on HN now. :-(

Living in Western Europe, life is busy. I spend all my time implementing conspiracies against Russia, Pakistan, etc, etc...

In fact against all countries which are controlled by authoritarian b-ds that use West as an external enemy to keep people from complaining about how much they steal. Weird coincidence.
Elon Musk.
Well, Vladimir, Dave, and Angela are fairly nondistinctive names (and in fact, I have no idea who you mean by "Dave").

But in general if I were looking for why something went by a certain name, I'd expect the answer to be "that's how it was learned in the beginning". People hate changing the name they use for things, and even just words for things can persist for so long that there is no knowledge of their origin other than "it's always been that way". (Obviously, they usually don't... but they can. The english word "wheel" is a good example, with an incredibly long line of descent straight from PIE; contrast the word "cycle", which descends from the same PIE root, but has the straightforward (?) origin "borrowed from the Greek".) I'm pretty sure you're referring to the guy as "Saddam" because you've observed that that's normal practice. It might be very difficult to find an example where that wasn't the entire justification.
> "The brain ... must choose between two different functional states - awake and aware or asleep and cleaning up"

As any lucid dreamer can tell you, there's also a third option--asleep and aware.
I don't mind apple is able to it... as long as not the chinese government ..
I thought it was obvious, but out of those two dozen intelligence agencies, some of them thought that he had weapons of mass destruction, and some of them thought that he was merely trying to acquire them. Perhaps I should have worded it more clearly.

That being said, I wasn't attempting to evaluate whether the evidence we had was strong enough to go to war or not. I was simply stating that a good portion of the world's intelligence agencies came to the same conclusions that we did about Saddam's capabilities and intentions.

I also didn't claim that anyone else opted to start a war, clearly they didn't.
> There are a lot of smart people in the world but we really can't afford to work on silly things.

Well, smart people's labor isn't your property to allocate. Nor is it the property of "us." It belongs to those individuals.

So it's not a question of what "we" can or cannot afford.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/post/a-skeptica...

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-...
There is a set of games where your opponent can threaten, "Unless you X, I will Y!" where both X and Y are undesirable for you.

It's perfectly reasonable in a one-off match to X, so long as it's less painful than Y.

In the iterated game, though, it seems weird to cave. If the game works, why wouldn't the opponent just play it over and over again, repeating Y or the threat of Y, increasing the pain indefinitely?

This seems like it applies to government shutdowns, strikes, and even some hostage situations.

Government shutdowns should lead to an agreement to keep the government open indefinitely, no-strike bonuses should comprise a meaningful portion of workers' wages after the first strike-induced labor/management negotiations.
Horrible mobile sites
Wait, what's wrong with a 7-3 schedule? I mean, the "blowing off the first three hours of work" is one thing, but what's wrong with time-shifting so you can spend your after-work time with the kids instead of traffic purgatory?
Do you understand local:fed govt? It's okay to not understand something...
Whatever helps them pay less themselves.
I have no idea what the Windows or Office people do, but the Visual Studio group certainly does build their own software in VS. (Or did as of mid 2009 when I quit, anyway.) It was not a particularly pleasant experience!
When the article's title is "Alas poor Oculus, I knew you well", insinuating that like Yorrick, Oculus is dead, then yes, the author is taking a side. The title led me one way, then the rambling prose lost all semblance of clarity and argument.