skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No.

One good way to see why is this. The theoretical approaches that you're talking about do not care about the internal details of your random number generator. You could have p_a be the result of a single random decision (convert or not), or be the result of first finding out that we had a random source, then having conversion probabilities that depend on the source. Either way, as long as in the end you get a stable p_a of converting from noticing you have a new visitor to an actual conversion, probability theory says that the exact same statistical statements will be true, and you'll have entirely equivalent results.

(Note, the way I set up my particular approach means that actual conversion rates can shift over the test without invalidating the results. I didn't call that out too strongly, but I value that detail.)

However there is a gotcha lurking. The gotcha is that if conversion depends on your source, then A/B testing will optimize for your current traffic mix, but its result may become wrong if that mix shifts. My usual approach is to simply assume that the world is not going to be malicious in this way, unless I have specific reason to suspect it is.

Thus, for instance, I would not think twice about source vs button color. But if I had a landing page with random testimonials, I'd expect that a testimonial from pg would convert better than a testimonial from Phil Ivey. And conversely for traffic from a gambling site.
What we have here is the "rational markets" analogy falling over. The sum of a bignum of irrational decisions does not, pace Friedman, necessarily converge on a rational one.
WindowsAndroid Lets You Run Android on Windows
I've lived in Northern Virginia for most of my life, and have seen it go through a lot of growth. One thing to bear in mind is that, prior to World War II, Northern Virginia was almost all rural. Old Town Alexandria was pretty much the only city. All of the growth in Northern Virginia during and since World War II has been driven by the growth of the federal government, and much of the lousy urban planning has been because the federal government has been growing faster than any of the urban planners expected.
Very cool, could definitely use something like this! Has always bothered me that travel sites always want to know things in such absolute terms, when most people are searching speculatively before they know anything about specific dates etc.

Another feature from skyscanner that I'd love to see: being able to set "from" as any airport in the country. For example, the UK is small enough that traveling to any airport is completely feasible. So I don't really care where I'm flying from (though it's advantageous if it's close to me), I just want the best price/distance ratio.
I'm a kiwi but can't speak from direct experience. However, there are a few articles around like this one (I read another one the other day but can't find it now): http://www.forbes.com/sites/kurtbadenhausen/2012/11/14/new-z...
But you have to start somewhere. There's never going to be a silver bullet that fixes the system. Because some people (the ones in power) do not consider the system to be broken.
Three things - FCC will most likely put you in cuffs (Feds, too), second in-air GPS is useless because on signal relay, and when your baggage is in the basement of an airport g'luck with that.
I hope this won't come off as tactless, but is there something going on in there more significant than CAS and writing to the database if it's a different value? Because I do non-blocking programming as a hobby and I'd love to know.
This is spot on. "Multitasking" is not a skill so much as an consequence of being skilled in a certain area.
It's awesome that it can make my bag to talk to me, but I'd love to know what language will she talk.

There's zero information about how the device works. Will it talk to me online while my bag is miles away after someone steal it and drive away (I doubt)? Or is it simply low energy Bluetooth 4? Will it only tell me “your bag is within 200 meters” or will it exactly show me direction?

First make your website talk to me, then promise me talking bags.
d0x3d!: An Open-Source Network Security Board Game
I thought planes generally want you to "turn off all electronic devices" at take-off and landing. Pardon the pun, but how is this idea going to fly?

Also,
Q. Why is the dollar sign on the wrong side?

A. "This page is in Italian! Would you like to translate it?" >_<
Detroit is extremely poor. It's not in the same class as cities like SF, Chicago or NYC in the sense that these cities have money and can spread it around to functional services.

For what it has, Detroit isn't run THAT poorly. Trash still gets taken out.
You have to maintain a crappy closed firewall just as much as you have to maintain an open source one. In fact, installing, configuring and maintaining an openbsd firewall is much easier and less involved than any of the commercial firewalls I've had the misfortune of using.
You're correct that the debt will continue to go up after 10 years if there are absolutely no cuts and no revenue increases. But 10 years is plenty time to bring the budget in line with GDP growth, and after the depression is behind us there should be bi-partisan interest in reducing the deficit. I'll be very surprised if the US deficit is over 80% of GDP in 10 years.

The comment by Krugman about Republicans wanting a fiscal crisis to dismantle the welfare system is somewhat hyperbolic. However there are plenty Republicans who claim to care about the deficit but when push comes to shove go for tax cuts instead and then point at the lack of revenues to justify cuts in the welfare system.
Also https://github.com/jeff-optimizely/Guiders-JS which I've had starred in Github for a while but not used
Eric Schmidt's original Google+ post: https://plus.google.com/+EricSchmidt/posts
Qddqee
Allstate compares SAS, Hadoop and R for Big-Data Insurance Models
Agreed. The whole idea of justice-as-transaction is an obscene perversion of true justice.
It's oversized for SpaceX's current rockets (a single F-1 has more thrust than the entire Falcon 9 first stage).

SpaceX has plans for bigger rockets and engines, but those are rumored to involve different fuels, perhaps for reusability. (Kerosene, the fuel for the F-1, and the Falcon 9's Merlin engines, gunks up the engine's innards a lot more than liquid methane, which is the rumored fuel for their next generation engines. If de-gunking would require a rebuild after a few flights, it's something you might prefer to avoid. The technical name for "gunking up" is "coking", if you'd like to read more on it...)
From these past couple of weeks, I have picked up on the basics of the PACER incident. Is the archive out there anywhere to be found? Maybe at Wikileaks or an onion address?

How about the mass of data Aaron got from JSTOR? Surely someone else must have a copy for safe keeping.

Seems this particular subset of data deserves to be liberated. Not that the archives in their entirety do not, but since a subset is already out there, why hasn't some group released it yet?

As someone who's had to pay PACER fees for their own court concerns, I find this entire paywall mentality offensive.
The patents on all these components expired before I was born.
Why is you confusing yourself posted as a response to me? You can mutter random nonsense to yourself offline, I don't need to be involved.
Square COO Keith Rabois resigns
I've seen similar devices. They usually require you to pay an ongoing subscription for a mobile phone connection that makes the price unattractive in the long term.

Is there anyway to broadcast a signal from these devices without me having to make a telco rich?
Funny thing is, we are talking (hundreds of) billions of dollars here.
Possibly it's more geared towards suitcases than hand luggage. I'd personally never leave my iPad or iPhone (or similar) in a suitcase and I can't imagine I'm the only one.
I think sometimes people confuse "proprietary" with "this is mine and you can't touch and I'm going to smack you if you try."
The currency sign is a suffix in many locales, e.g. parts of Europe. Makes sense for a translator to fix it. Although I'd consider it feature of the currency involved as opposed to the document language.
Hi, I'm the Game Industry, and I'm Addicted to Vaporware
>"The problem of socialism is that at one point you run out of other people's money". And that's where we're arriving now.

Ugh. I try my best not to be snarky on here, but here is the wiki explaining what socialism is:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialism

Don't worry, you don't have to read past the first sentence to reveal your complete and utter misunderstanding of the term.

The trend, over the years, has been overwhelming in favor of private ownership of the economic means of production. You're going to need to come up with another word to decry what ails you policy wise if accuracy, not dogma, is your goal.

PolySci 101. It ain't that difficult. Do I really need to GTFY on HN?
HTML5 geolocation sucks
Why make it google chrome specific when things like this run in other browsers:

http://gattis.github.com/milkshake/ ?
In fairness though, The Economist has argued against the WoD in other articles at length over the years. They may be assuming that the reader knows this, and wish to concentrate on this one topical point of the WoD's corrosive effects.
Startup CEO - An Intro to understanding online payments
That tool is giving you a standard frequentist p-value. Which means that if you insist on 95% confidence, and take multiple looks, then you'll have more than a 5% chance of eventually getting to confidence randomly.

If you stop your tests on the p-value cutoffs that I gave in my third graph, you'll get very strong a priori guarantees that the decisions that you make will be right. The downside is that you won't have any guarantee of making decisions in reasonable time. But that is the subject of the next article.
Probably harder than it sounds now. Last time I checked, miners run custom made ASIC rigs. It's no longer kids with cheap GPUs and ROIs north of 100%. The network is 20 Thash/s and growing. Getting up to 51% would take a major budget and sophisticated acquisitions and ops. While the USG could do it, it would likely cost way more than the cost of letting the bitcoin network live.
SSH Backdoor Linked to Linux Rootkits
For our company we experimented with using about a dozen animated GIFs - but found them to be a little hard to deal with. We replaced them with 2-3 short videos and were happier.

Now these product tours might be a good thing to add.
What about accessing it from outside of US? Can the USA block access to Antigua for Poland? Technically? And politically? I would guess they would rather come to our government and ask it to block Antigua - but even that would generate insane drama.

That said I believe Antigua is just playing it.
There is no information on the site....This belongs on theuselessweb.com
If it can be null, it will be null - The Golden Rule of Programming
Fair point. Cook County's total budget is $3 billion. Half the population of Cook County is in Chicago, so add another 1.5 billion (total 7.8 billion).
http://www.squarespace.com/

It is AWESOME.
The Communication First-Aid Kit Every Startup Should Have
"governments are going to default.",
"we live in a socialist world bent on confiscating savings (at the benefit of the state) using inflation"

These are contradictory. Governments don't have to default if they inflate their debt away.

Also, money is just pieces of paper or a number in a computer. You shouldn't keep most of your savings in money. Cash is just an agreed upon number meant to help with short term transactions. It's a tool for trading. You don't have real savings until you have something more err... real, like stocks or actual stuff. Inflation can't touch that. If you feel bonds don't offer a good enough return given inflation risks just don't buy bonds! No reason to panic. The world GDP won't drop 25% unless we run out of key natural resources or face some kind of catastrophe, things that would happen regardless of "socialism".

Government debt matters but not in the way you seem to think.
You can do it for free if a) you already have 2 devices, b) don't want to use both of them on the flight and c) dont' worry about the person stealing your bag and simply turning your iDevice off.

BTW, genuine question - which GPS tracker are you thinking of that is less than $40 and will transmit its location to you remotely? I'd be extremely interested in one of those, but I've never seen one for that kind of price.
That happens a lot outside the U.S. too, so I guess is better to have something worth less than 40 bucks to do the tracking.
FabFriday: Infographics and SEO Work Well Together, eh
I usually just read and don't comment. A couple things..
Better information on the website. Even just a picture of the device. Preorder is just a mailto: - put a form on there at least, it adds to the legitimacy of the company even if it just forwards an email in the end.

And a third point - whats the status of the product? Expected Ship Date? Are you just putting this out there to see if there is interest in the product? Be honest with the consumer.

So you had the hook - there are people that clicked on the link because they want to track their bags.. but you need more.

Where is the move down button on Hacker News? I know you can give points to comments but there should be a way to quickly drop posts that seem a little sketchy.
To say the prosecutors directly involved in this case do not hold any responsibility is quite shocking. Throwing your hands up and saying "it's not my fault it's the system" is a complete BS excuse in my view.

These prosecutors and even MIT staff (among others) had on multiple occasions the opportunity to alter the course of this case. Law enforcement and the justice system is not, and in my view should not be a massive array of machines coldly executing laws and prosecuting offenders without any variance.

Sometimes while seemingly unfair to the individual simply "doing their job", prosecuting a "cog" or part of this apparently flawed system of justice can be the impetus for change and send a message to the others to use proper judgement when deciding to pursue cases and what charges they actually bring.
I'm not sure how milkshake is generating it's visualizations, but with Vizrify I was playing with using the new WebAudio API (which will be coming to firefox in a while) to access html5 audio element FFT data directly. It also opens up the avenue to do other cool audio transformations that are difficult to do otherwise.
Awesome. I guess I now have fewer fears integrating it into our site.
Awesome idea to aggregate information. I wonder how many daily activities could be automated in a similar fashion?

Perhaps a calorie counter suggesting meals for dinner (keeping a balanced diet and all that jazz)? Outfit suggestions based upon the weather?
I can't speak to the details of the various and diverse Europe problems, but in the U.S. the debt problem is primarily political. Tax receipts as a percentage of GDP are near historic lows, and GDP itself is inhibited because we are climbing out of a recession.

In plain English--the government is taking a smaller piece of a smaller pie. No wonder our debt level has climbed.

And yet U.S. Treasury bond rates are still extremely low--which indicates that people are still very eager to invest in them. Why? Because despite obvious problems to solve, the U.S. government is still more secure than other options. As long as that is true, we can continue to finance.

So to talk about doom and gloom, you need to make a case for where all the money will go if it abandons the U.S. The typical candidates have been Europe or China. Well, Europe is in even worse shape, and China is heavily dependent on the U.S. for its own growth.
I saw the presentation of this startup at @AngelHack, they are pretty focused on building the product. I guess a better website is coming next on their roadmap.
You're acting as though NASA announced that it will exclusively focus on last century technology. NASA is spending a lot more time and money focused on future rockets and spacecraft than they are on the F1. Check the article again: this is just a small team of junior engineers. Also, given that most of the people who build the moon rockets are dead, studying what they did is extremely important. It's like school: most of what you learned is old news, invented by people long dead. Better not spend any time learning about it, right?
Wow, what website am I on right now? I can't believe these pedantic crap comments are on Hacker News.
I read about that idea, too, and it looks like an interesting way to protest. But it's also a rather expensive way to protest. Jury trials take many months (during which you may be unable to do anything productive) as well as many hours (that your lawyer bills you for). They will take even longer if the criminal justice system actually grinds to a "screeching halt" as intended. Few people can afford such an expensive method of protest.
But how will we keep our private prisons profitable?
Why Quora is failing - they don't embrace empathy
I don't think his investments are making much money. He bet on decoupling while the rest of the world looked to USA as the safe haven. He was right on some things, but didn't make a lot of money like some did in the crash. Like the hedge fund manager who bet on large mortgage defaults.
For the cheapo European carriers, you are generally billed for each leg seperately, and there is no discount for buying a return ticket.

But the real reason for looking for a one-way ticket was simply an attempt to speed up the awful search times.
WindowsAndroid goes above and beyond Bluestacks, lets you run Android 4.0 on PC
That's very kind of you. How can I contact you? My email address is on my profile page.
Understand that what Presidents say in public is very different from what they do in private.

Why anyone would expect Obama to carry through such threats when his staff has mostly been from these very same groups is beyond me. If anything its more like, you guys are going on pikes unless you play ball, here let me connect you to my campaign finance coordinator. Geitner protected his buddies. The real collapse would have been the money available to the various campaigns that eat it up directly or indirectly.

Washington is the one percent, they own Wall Street more than Wall Street owns them. They excuse themselves from insider trading, tax issues, and the like. How are the executives at Fannie and Freddie any different from those at other lending groups? Simple, they have/had better political connections.
Scrum Vs. Kanban in 12 Minutes (video)
Thanks for the link, it seems to have all the info about this product (assuming it's the same thing).
Yeah, and this song from The Wire soundtrack made me think the same thing: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SgBq_feHYQ4
It may not be as fancy as what this site is offering (not sure since they don't show the product), but you can use an old burner cell phone that has GPS on it to hookup to sites online to track positions of the phone. They also have very long battery lives on them. There is quite a few tutorials online that explain how to to do it for your car, which is the same idea.
Probably. I've been looking for easy ways to share large files between 2 computers, and I've noticed some people were recommending to just create a torrent with utorrent (apparently you can do it just by dragging and dropping the file on utorrent), and then send that person the torrent to download the file.

So I think this has a lot of potential, as a much more secure alternative to "cloud storage" as this is being more like "personal cloud storage".
It's like that in most of the Valley. You have (a) early adopters who jumped on the iPhone train in 2007 and can't get off due to lock-in (apps, familiarity), (b) high percentage of Mac users creating a halo effect, and (c) hero-worship of Steve Jobs/Apple. This combines to make the percentage of Android users in the Valley much lower than in the general population.
This looks useful, but I've got a suggestion from a cognitive ergonomics standpoint: smooth scrolling.

If a user clicks 'next' and the next step is not on the current screen, pretty much the best cue you can provide to build a contextual understanding of where this next step is on the page is easing into motion, then out of motion.
A Startup’s Step-by-Step Guide to Working with Recruiters
This is glorious. The haiku error methods from BeOS come to mind.
There's probably a policy lesson in there.
Lugga.me is registered to Matteo Lai and Empatica S.r.l. ("a young startup focused on real-time emotion tracking through bio-signals") in Italy but he seems to be based in the Bay area...
http://www.meetup.com/qsmilan/members/30004242/
Am I missing something? Other people have my files? Peer-to-peer sounds horrifying for my personal files.

I'll take SSL between me and one server, thankyouverymuch, and I'd prefer if 100 different seeders didn't have my personal files!

Or am I only seeding between my own personal machines? I sync to my four devices and I can leech off of any of my own devices connected? But that doesn't seem very "cloud".

Does anyone honestly feel comfortable syncing their files to peers?

Why not just hop on and peer everyone for the sole purpose of harvesting people's files?
Crashes safari on my iPhone 4s, iOS 5.1.1.
Please don't use this. Tooltip Tutorials are a user experience disaster. If you feel the urge to add this to your site - don't. Close your eyes and imagine Clippy. Breathe deeply and create a user interface that won't need this.
Self-employment FAQ
What can others learn from Twitter's #Inaug2013 struggles?
I have done many split tests on my company website using Optimizely, How does this service and others measure up in accuracy of the results?
I do better focusing on one thing at a time. Instead of multitasking, I choose one task, but allow myself to be interrupted only by small tasks that can be resolved on the spot or within a minute or so. Anything larger goes in the queue. There is something to be said for immediately addressing concerns of customers, vendors, and employees, -even if it could wait. Pays great dividends if your task involves other people.
Most of the projects that I focus on one at a time don't suffer if I break off for a minute to send an email or schedule a resource.

If it's just smaller tasks, -just line them up and knock them out. Even a quick email deserves attention to grammar and spelling and can be undermined by a typo while talking on the phone. What are you really gaining?
while back I read the Big Short

what I came away with was how durable secrets are

here was this billion dollar opportunity that a bunch of people became insanely rich exploiting

and it wasn't a secret at all

a bunch of people where doing everything they could to tell people how overpriced the housing market was, and the opportunity still persisted

it seems like there is so much noise in the world, that signal becomes indistuinghable
I doubt if RBS were the largest at the time. They're big, but they're not as big as JP Morgan, HSBC etc.
This was presented yesterday at AngelHack, I guess the team built the website as quick as they could. The presentation was quite good. Will have to look into the AngelHack videos to see if they post it.