skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I am going to assume you're being serious here, and that you believe the link you provided proves "how wrong" he is. The other option is that you're stating the opposite, but I can't tell.

That said, I don't see how that link proves him wrong at all. I don't think it's reasonable to expect anyone to be exactly right with their predictions - no matter how informed they are - so some inaccuracies in his predictions are completely expected.

Especially when you are looking at an exponential curve, the absolute values along the way can seem far off, but compared to a linear approach they are a much closer fit to reality. Obviously the "singularity" is a huge point of contention because of how ridiculous it sounds, but if we disagree, we should come up with our own explanation. If AIs start improving on themselves in a self-directed way with similar pattern-recognition systems as our brain, do we not expect the advancement of technology to explode? If not, then why not?

It's really easy for us to sit back and criticize his very public, specific predictions without making them ourselves. The questions we should be asking are not whether the exact things he is predicting happen (although he has been very close in the past), but whether his method of doing the predictions and lines of logic make sense. If so, then he may be off by a constant factor, not an exponential one.
Interesting how many comments about desktop Java being dead, when the highest selling video game still available and being developed is Minecraft, written in Java, which runs on the desktop... (over 9 million registered users, and still increasing... enough to make it the #9 all-time selling video game)

I will admit tho, for traditional desktop apps, it is very dead.
People always seem to assume that the typical "human" behavior (speech, reasoning, emotions, making plans) are the hard parts while walking around without bumping into stuff is the trivial thing. But aren't those just the things added by evolution at the last 3 million years or so on top of stuff that evolved for around 500 million years? So "just" being close to robots moving around nicely might already be 90% of the way. To get that far with AI we took around 60 years - so another 16 years is maybe not so little. If you take the evolutionary time-spans as basis we seem to be even closer already.
A programming chrestomathy site
Oracle fucked up Java? Not my view. Installing Java on Windows installed unwanted stuff for years during Sun's days. (Was it the Yahoo toolbar? I forget).

Oracle, for all its faults, has actually managed to get the new versions of Java back on track. Sun seemed to be unable to get Java 7 out the door. Oracle did so, and is making good progress on Java 8.
I'm going to give this inverted pyramid a try. I'm always wondering why I just can't effectively get my ideas across to certain people.
See also: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5097548
We have bank transfers. Generally, either or both sides of the transfer take the opportunity to inject an insultingly generous processing/service fee. These startups/services are only possible because they undercut these fees.

Trust is another big reason to be judicious with bank transfers in the US (and where these services add value--I think they convert what the other party sees from being account-based to transaction-based). I'm not familiar with IBAN, but can someone drain your account if they get your IBAN?
AI hasn't progressed because it hasn't been commercially viable in a lot of applications. PID, a bit of hardcoded logic, and a bit of common sense has been far more useful than a machine which will try to outsmart the operator, and screw up badly.

Now that it's actually becoming useful, things could progress very quickly. Think about how long it too the internet to be something more than a toy for geeks, and how quickly things started moving once it started getting a real a market.
But "On Intelligence" is a subset of "the entire academic AI field". And, for any of its variances from the norm with regards to opinion, it's fairly typical of the "academic AI mindset".
100% Agree. Asana is awesome.
Interestingly, there haven't been many (any?) studies looking at the efficacy of flossing for prevention of carries (cavities). What evidence is available suggests that flossing can reduce gingivitis (gum disease).

Relevant Cochrane review:
http://summaries.cochrane.org/CD008829/flossing-to-reduce-gu...
That explains the blazing speed, did not expect youtube to allow jsonp requests so I assumed you used a tiny nodejs server ..

I did earlier a similar project in django that converts youtube music into mp3.

I will give angular a try in my next version

Thanks
I am not sure whether suburbia is really to blame. People who are not able to drive are likely also unable to climb stairs or to walk a mile to the nearest supermarket and carry the groceries back home.
Also, I would expect that for people in a wheelchair living in areas that do not have a lot of space can be quite difficult.
In terms of accessibility, planned suburban towns are far ahead of older cities that have never been designed with accessibility in mind. Where I live, I can't remember the last time I saw someone in a wheelchair in a supermarket. I guess she wouldn't even be able to get through the aisles because they are too narrow.
"human minds may possess some qualities above our current understanding of physical reality."

While you are free to believe that, you should be aware that you've chosen to leave science and logic behind, and expect to be treated as such. I do not mean that in the sense that you are therefore wrong, or that that is necessarily a bad thing; we must all make choices that leap beyond the light that science can cast, as the light is quite limited in some ways. But nevertheless, you have explicitly tossed anything that can be discussed in concrete terms overboard.

Usually I'm saying this in the context of whether we'll ever have FTL. Yes, you are free to believe that the next supercollider will produce some bizarre result that turns out to be something we can harness for FTL... but meanwhile, in the real world, the evidence gets ever tighter that it is impossible. If you wish to take a flight of fancy, fine, but please be aware that is what you are doing. And do not mistake it choosing to toss rationality overboard for rational argument; you can't have it both ways.
In space, the atmosphere can't filter out any of the sunlight, nor can clouds/water absorb some of its energy, which results in about 30% more energy[1].

Plus, if you're not near any objects that can block the sun (i.e. Earth/Moon), you get full, intense sunlight 24-hours a day.

And you can use some of that sunlight to just directly heat the water, which makes it easier to split.

Given all that, I'd say that it's very likely you could get enough energy to split water in space.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunlight
I am not used to travel through air, but "Social Airline Tickets Bidding" got me kind of confused, I only undertood after reading below.

That is, if I understood. From what I gather, I sign up, name a price and a place, and you will Email me with offers that match my destination and price range?

And I can send to my friends through social networks?

Or am I wrong here?

Like I said, I don't travel through air much, and I don't live in the USA, so I wouldn't use a service like that, but that's me.

Also, make sure your link is in your header, it just says "Show HN:"
This explains it better than I could: http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Quantum_consciousness

We've always groped for ways to explain things we don't understand, and have always preferred irrational explanations to the uncomfortable feeling of ignorance. I guess it's passe to attribute things we don't understand to God, so now we choose to attribute them to quantum effects.
+1 for asana. Started using it few weeks ago, and so far so good! Love that you can reply to emails from asana and replies will be recorded in comments for particular task.

But how do you upload files there? Is this available only for premium users?
Upvoted for the OI reference, which I found to be a remarkable book. I highly recommend it.

But I wouldn't go so far as to say "it would seem that the algorithm of the cortex is mostly figured out": my takeaway from the book was that a lot of it was solid educated guesses and connecting of dots. E.g., the concept that the brain stores and manipulates patterns and this is the key intelligence behind all the senses, and the multiple "levels" of intelligence and how they connect to each other.

I totally agree with your second para (this is another point that is present throughout in the book). Jeff Hawkins did a good job (for me) to distinguish between intelligence and "human-ness". Recreating the human cortex will still leave us far far away from creating an artificial human brain.
Introduction to Haskell IO: tutorial on type system and inference, GHCi,
Some googling led to these related PDFs:

http://www.gazhoo.com/upload/document/2011/05/07/20110507170...

http://rtphoto.co.uk/tomflaherty/pyramid.pdf#best-memo-youll...
Take a step back, observe what the app does. Whether it blocks on slow system calls or coarse grained locks is irrelevant. The point is, the GUI thread hangs. That isn't supposed to happen. Quite a bit of Apple software does this. This suggests that this is somewhat systemic.
Other great impossibilities: sequencing a human genome in 15 years.

Cost of first human genome: $2.7b

Cost 20 years later: $250.

I think 2029 might be pushing it, but neither would I be surprised. Strong AI is always "20 years away". One day it wont be.
Trello takes a bit of getting used to (it helps to know the various phases of a project beforehand), but yeah, once you get into it, it's sheer joy.
I think the JOBS act allows bonds, as well as equity.
This is market forces in action. If more people wanted to live stacked on top of each other then more of those projects would be built. Families with children want to have a backyard, treefort, garage etc. To a large extent space is freedom.
"Write a linked list in python.."
>> A human mind cannot contain a complete specification / working model of a modern computer either (if you think of all the layers involved), but modern computers do exist

This is an excellent counterargument. I still think minds are many of orders of magnitude more complex, but your example shows that my box analogy is flawed.
That's incredibly shady.
This seriously changes my opinion of Oracle.
Asana suggests that you use their product as a "lightweight CRM", see video under "How to use it" at http://asana.com/product
Maybe you can just try Google contacts
The Startup World Doesn’t Care Where You Went To School
In Europe (at least the parts I'm used to), many dentist don't even actively recommend flossing to their patients. Some do, but they're in a minority. The other will say it's good if you ask them, but won't try to get you to do it unless you have a specific affliction for which it is especially indicated.
Education needs a Bill Gates
Web Developer interview questions
Not to mention that if you're in a near-zero gravity environment, you really don't have to do anything to keep the solar panels in place; structures just to keep things upright on Earth are expensive and bulky. Space architecture is so cool.
Having had a car and also having spent time without one, it creates a striking difference how much you see other people. If you travel by bike and public transport, the places that are easiest to get to are geographically close or with large population densities (= good public transport).
You never do "take away" or go to a drive in. At the tiny local hamburger joint between your workplace and home, you might see some people that you might otherwise avoid (you then realize why the drive in was invented) - and you reflect about your difference and are happy that you have a steady job. Or you can hang out with a laptop in a cafe in the city center, bump into an old friend and go somewhere together.

With a car, you're insulated from all that. You drive alone, you order your hamburgers from the drive in and go home and eat it alone. You avoid city centers since there's too much traffic there. You try to get your errands and hobbies done in industrial areas and suburbs by the outer ring roads circling the city. Your car whisks you there effortlessly, covering tens of kilometers in a few minutes. You live in a totally different world.

After a while you notice you haven't seen another person besides family and colleagues up close for a week. Your physical condition gets worse as well.
On the other hand, you might get into deep personal talks with your friends while giving them a lift in the night. You don't drink anymore. In theory, you could start a hobby that requires traveling to hard to get places with large equipment, but that might just as well be a fantasy that justifies the convenience of owning a car.

It's a striking contrast in life style. I wish the best sides from both could somehow easily be combined.

(If I didn't live in a North European city, I could bicycle much more. California weather could be ideal for something like that, if only city planning supported it.)

Nobody ever told me that this happens when you get a car?
People take him seriously because he has a good track record at making predictions.
I think we can do without the condescending tone. I think most people here are fully capable of distinguishing applications from OS. However, when Apple provide a suite of apps that are shipped with the OS it is reasonable to expect that those apps work.
It's almost as stupid as the recent new wave of rules the French government wants to impose taxes on Facebook, Google and other big social media companies for invasion of privacy. Honestly, I think these websites should either block french users or start subscriptions for users in this specific country. Even with the high rate of taxes in France, the french government is still greedy to get a slice of everything!
IPhone activations on Verizon increased by 47%
I lived in Santa Monica for a year without a car (intentionally). It's totally doable, but it takes planning.
I suspect people registering a domain on GoDaddy will have a much higher probability of being technically inclined and able to know what to pay for and what they don't need. Further, GoDaddy will recommend products which are relevant to someone who does or will be managing a website etc..

This is worse than that. I know the types of people who have browsers full of ask.com/aol/etc toolbars. They aren't technically inclined. They don't even recall how those toolbars ever came to be there and they never wanted them.

They aren't able to see through the tricks. They want to download software. They know that's the goal. Installers simply have to keep offering them opportunities to download software and they'll keep agreeing to it to achieve their goal.
That's where you went wrong. You're supposed to start by writing factorials & quicksort.
Perhaps; but I think the anger will be directed toward the perceived elitist "intellectual class". I mean, we already see a lot of that rhetoric in politics. (At least in American politics.)
More importantly

The implementation details are not relevant

We don't need to know how something works in the lower level to reproduce it and especially copying is not necessary.

It may be helpful. Very helpful. But not essential

ARM does not copy x86 and yet it achieves the same goal.

How a gecko attaches itself to the wall was not known until recently, however it's possible to study how to do something similar without studying the Gecko. Sure, if you study it it's a shortcut.

And this is a very specific and low level example.

For higher level things, the levels of abstraction that even nature creates make the lower level details irrelevant.

The functioning of a wing is independent of it's a bird or an insect wing (it is dependent of size, shape and speed, not origin)

A Shark and a Whale are completely different animals, and yet, they have lots of similarities.

So I'm thinking Ray's success or failure has almost nothing to do with our knowledge of the brain.
And hope that your imperative language supports tail call optimization? ;)
I don't think you'd start one of these for each school project. You'd have one project, "school".
You might have to use the ec2-api-tools cli package to launch spot requests for this instance type right now. The AWS Console doesn't always seem to be updated at exactly the same time as new instance releases.
I would imagine that if this was the case, the investors would want it to be treated like convertible debt. After all, who wants to invest in a highly risky project where the odds of losing all your money are near 100% to only be rewarded by a long-term debt payoff with interest in the single digits?
Asana has a premium membership, and many corporate clients who pay well.
The Art of Learning: An Interview with Malcolm Newsome
Ellen Ullman's "Programming the Post-Human" from the October 2002 issue of Harper's sheds some really interesting light on AI research, how the brain functions & what it means to be a human. Definitely worth a read if you're interested in the subject & available for free on Harper's site:

http://harpers.org/archive/2002/10/programming-the-post-huma...
If/when you do... just ping me and I'll hand over the domain names ;)
Would you drive a car if it had a mini-fridge?

I like how you started a user interview on the spot, but that question doesn't seem to have any purpose.
What about wounds caused by flossing irregularly?
When pitching a new product, I detailed the observations, product hypotheses, experimental design, results and conclusion in that order. The discussion focused mainly on the experimental design and the biases in the results and the implications for the conclusion.

I've had trouble putting into words how different mis-communications of mine have occurred, and this sums it up rather nicely. I think many developers I know do this: we're so excited about all of the sound reasoning we placed around our conclusions and the processes that got us there that the actual conclusion is an afterthought tacked onto the end (oddly enough, the conclusion of the communication).

But that's not why you're telling someone something. You're telling them so that they take away what you put all of that work into arriving at, not how you did it (unless they want details later, of course).
The 5-day drive across the country is beautiful, but it's still a 5-day drive :)
And large urban centers like NYC, SF, and Boston aren't driven by development companies with profit motives?

Blaming BigCorp seems misguided when we practically begged them to build it this way. It's like walking into McDonald's, ordering a dozen Big Macs, and then complaining about how McDonald's makes you fat.
I think you need to clear any cache of the page since I'm still seeing it.
One-Armed Bandit in CSS
"In today’s climate of cell phone contacts, Facebook and LinkedIn, business cards may be becoming a thing of the past."
Is this true? If you meet a stranger do you start to type his name right in to your phone? It seems simpler to accept the business card and enter his contact info in the phone later after the meeting.
I've got to try it now, so much positive feedback on it.
My dentist gives me a guilt trip about flossing on every visit. I've always thought that was a bit odd because it would be in his best business interest for me to neglect my teeth.
Grin, me neither.
There's lots of measures: Indeed job listings, google searches, mailing list volume; tiobe tries to incorporate a few.

http://www.drewconway.com/zia/?p=2892

http://www.wired.com/wiredenterprise/2012/06/berkeley-progra...
Fantastic, I love seeing these projects - minimal and functional - scratching an itch :)

Also I had totally forgotten about https://gdata.youtube.com/demo/index.html - thanks for the reminder!

Nice work/code
Is this official enough? It's on the front page. https://hacks.mozilla.org/2013/01/announcing-the-firefox-os-...
Don't Be a Feature Pig
The bits about the brain using quantum computing are only theories. TMK there isn't any evidence of these theories being true or false.

I would hesitate to use the term 'spot on' when discussing something we know so little about.

What we do know is that by 2030, a standard CPU will be doing somewhere in the neighborhood of 10^19 computations per kw/hr. That capability, presumably on a single chip, will rival or exceed the brain's computational ability, perhaps by an order or two of magnitude.

What we do with that horsepower is up to us coders. Maybe we'll code up a brain. Maybe we'll figure out how to sell you soap faster.
It's also because mostly germans value quality over quantity.
They don't demand very high margins. They demand very high quality which ultimately brings high margins. Mostly their targets are about quality, not throughput.
Google's decision means we lose all keyword data in Google Analytics?
> This is not true of all MBAs, but I seem to see a trend where there are more borderline psychopaths.

You "seem to see a trend"? On what is this observation based? On your detailed survey of the published clinical literature? Maybe on all the research you collated while assisting in the latest revision of the DSM? Perhaps on the personality assessments you've performed as part of a dissertation for your doctorate in psychology?

Or perhaps on nothing, and instead you are in no way qualified to make this sort of claim.
Uploading files is 100% free. You just drop em in the task description pane. Couldn't be simpler.
the emphasis on using HTML5 and JavaScript for app development will likely repulse many good developers who'd prefer to use a language like C, C++, Java or Objective-C.

But it will attract developers who use HTML5 and Javascript, of which there are a great number.

FirefoxOS is clearly aiming itself at low-end devices in emerging markets. None of the other players have done a great job here, so yes, there is a market. We're just not in it.
I like your construction, particularly the 2nd part. I think the trap I fall into is I know I only have an hour to work on things today. And I know I want it done by a certain deadline, but in between today and the deadline I have this vague sense that there is nigh infinite time, which of course isn't true...
There is no such thing as DevOps for Mobile Apps
An HN thread from eighteen days ago on flossing and dental care in general

http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5007968

accumulated a lot of interesting comments after I last checked it soon after it was posted. Going back to those comments now is food for thought as I read this thread. I'm trying out some of the ideas that come from the article that opened the previous thread, for example by changing which mouth rinse I use daily. I still floss daily, and have for years, and since I began doing that (in adult life), my dentists have generally reported that my teeth are now in better condition than they were before I started that habit.
A Defense of Presentational Class Names in HTML/CSS
Yep, exactly. This was my mistake.
Agreed! For the causation you'll have to read the extensive literature on periodontal disease.
The article draws an analogy between flossing teeth regularly and staying on top of your game, in general.

I'm not a fan of the analogy in this case, but the tl;dr is: don't rest on your laurels when you're #1 at something. Reference: http://idioms.thefreedictionary.com/rest+on+laurels
Explaining the Kim Dotcom/Megaupload case
Obviously you could change the name of your single, focused project - forever. But your point made me laugh. Twas a good one.
Most people are exposed to Java via enterprise monstrosities.

It depends on your POV. I've had to deal with an enterprise Java crapware app that was essentially a terminal emulator for an old mainframe... except that it required more than 4GB of memory on the desktop to work appropriately.

The mainframe itself has 2GB of RAM.
XY Combinator: The Dating Accelerator