skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You can do this. This may seem idiotically simple, but you can easily see how very possible this is. Track the market you are interested in purchasing a home. Watch the number of homes sold vs the number of homes coming up for sale. (simple supply and demand) If you see more homes coming on than being sold you are going into a buyer's market (price dropping) If the opposite, then seller's market (price goes up). By doing this, you can stay ahead of the market. Note: you must seasonally adjust, which is very easy to by getting a history of the market you are tracking.

Proof:

Look up historical solds vs "on the market." (ask a realtor for this info, keep calling you will eventually find one who will give it to you) Then look at zillow or any other site that tracks historical home prices. You will see the supply leads price, usually by months/years not days or weeks.

How can this the be possible?
1. Realtors, on average, are wildly misinformed and much more interested in making a sale than doing market research.

2. It does not pay for large investors to buy individual properties so you do not have savvy investors correcting market errors. (this does not apply to commercial property)
now the funny thing is that there is really a typo on that page, so all of the these hacker news people downvote just because I pointed out some small, but truth parth of reality.

this is called witch-hunt
> C#, .NET and the accompanying tools seem pretty nice to me and have been supported about as long as Mac OS X.

On the back end server, that's mostly true.

Microsoft has been playing the "here's a new API, we'll stop improving the old one, and make relying on it foolish" treadmill for more than 15 years: MFC, ATL, ODBC, ADO, DAO, Liquid, SilverLight, WPF, WinForms, VB6 -> VB.Net, DNA -> ASP, ...

The world, up until a few years ago, was very happy to be on that treadmill. I was always baffled by it, but I can understand the fashion and buzzword driven resume IT world.

Except, something changed in the last 3 years: People are no longer as happy with the Microsoft treadmill, and the cool kids started liking the stuff that does not strictly depend on a corporate sponsor for advances and obsoleting: Ruby [on Rails], Node.js, Clojure, and more.

I'm working on a project that's heavily invested in WPF, a decision that seemed reasonable to the decision makers back in 2010, and it's a horrible mess. There are resource leaks that have been reported as "won't fix until next version" 3 years ago, but it was only a year ago that it became clear there never will be a next version. (I have to manually call garbage collection once every second or so, or the GUI freezes with no error or explanation. Figuring that out was a few wasted days of debugging).

And WPF obsoleted WinForms; And silverlight was supposed to be a subset of WPF, except they have a weird common subset that is useful for nothing, and a lot of stuff I need was added to SilverLight, but not WPF, with the intention of adding it to the next WPF that never came.

Oh, and SilverLight was abandoned too.
via http://functionn.blogspot.com/2012/12/aria-templates-javascr...

This is another MVC JavaScript Framework, along the lines of ExtJS, YUI 2. The developers claim better browser support and performance.

Looks like a neat package, released under Apache License v2.0
While you have a point, I never tire to hear of or praise strong, smart women :)
If it's merely a break-even proposition for Apple, then perhaps a flat fee per purchase (or at least a maximum) would make more sense and allow services like Dropbox, Skydrive, and Amazon to participate.
Why do smart people love to debate the most implausible
nonsense? Time travel through singularities anyone?
Is the example fail-safe? Also wouldn't this result in the same machine code in either case (i.e. the code's simply being written in a more condensed fashion?)
Silicon Valley Straps on Pads: 49ers Utilize Startup Talent
I sometimes envisage the simulation as the random by-product of some other computation. That we exist in the noise, the margins of some extremely large (maybe "game-of-life"-like) computation. The runners of the computer computation don't know what is happening at our level, they just see the underlying binary representation and the eventual result. There can be a large stack of emergent patterns, from the bottom-most jumbling of zeros and ones to quarks and eventually atoms and molecules. Even if they are looking at molecular level they would have no idea that anything alive and conscious and suffering is in there. Just funny moving patterns! How could they recognize a completely alien ecology running at arbitrary speed?

A somewhat scary thought.
Is it me, or does Bill the Lizard close every SO thread linked from HN?
Leverage by its definition is scary. As you said increased risk/reward...

$X,XXX,XXX - 50% chance of 1.2x, 50% chance of 0.8x - not so scary

$X,XXX,XXX - 1% chance of 50x, 99% chance of $0 - scary

Its only not scary if you have an infinite amount of money and infinite number of rolls of the dice.
CVC4: A new, re-designed SMT (Satisfiability Modulo Theories) solver released
The killer product in Africa would be a 50$ solar powered smartphone I was in Madagascar and people there are walking huge distances just to go into a small shop where they can charge their phones.
Seems like a semantic argument. Clearly the wealth did not fall from the sky.
Sunday Comics: What Would Steve Jobs Do?
> always did "dogfood"

That's not been the case at least since .net came out.

They were trying to get developers to use .net GUIs and other APIs without dogfooding (WPF, WCF, WinForms, SilverLight, and a lot more). Most of them are horrible, buggy and unsupported a few short years later.

I'm not sure there is a lot left of the "Raymond Chen" camp of fanatic bug fixing and backward compatibility that was there in the Win32 days.
I'm pretty sure Apple's policies prevent developers from charging a different rate on iOS than they do on other platforms (specifically for subscriptions, but maybe also for one-time IAPs). This definitely protects their platform, but I'm sure there's a shady billing trick that this prevents as well.
under no circumstances do you want to get caught in the weeds of technical analysis

Why is that? (I ask as someone who is genuinely curious and has no prejudice, not as someone who disagrees with you.)

similarly stay away from the gold bugs

What do you mean? Do you mean, "Don't buy gold," or do you mean something more than that? And, why? (Similar caveat to before, modulo that it looks obvious to me that gold is a much safer store of value than almost anything else and probably even a good investment.)
Fluentd: Log Everything in JSON from Ruby
Hey, a couple of suggestions:

a. I can't find a way to sign up as a pure critic or a viewer - a user without a website.

There will be plenty of people (the category also known as end-users) who don't have a website yet who would still like to look at and review designs by other folks.

I wasn't able to sign up because my website is down for now.

b. It'd be nice to have a way to 'save' credit and expend it later on reviews for sites that I may build later.
Apple attempts to trademark the Leaf
Seems to be overloaded. I had better luck with (Coral) cached version: http://thezikomoletter.com.nyud.net/2012/12/10/you-are-natur...
Sounds fantastic - having this in a film/documentary with the right cutting work would be totally awesome <3
Latest Chrome developer build hints at Google Now integration
Yes -- at a minimum you need something like 4x RAM, IIRC.
As a non-native English speaker, I can tell you it's a very bad idea to mix up a language with English keywords but identifiers in a different language. The disconnect between the two is awfully annoying, and the "native language identifiers" end up being a mix of English and native language anyway (I don't know how it is with Chinese but many language don't have useful equivalents to many IT terms, or they are so terrible that nobody wants to use them).
How To Control Your Computer With Your Phone
Agreed. would happily put up money on kickstarter to see this funded to the end.
Oh no! The apocalypse here!
How typical of an antisemitic to immediately make it personal and blame a user that simply quoted the site's policy (which to remind you, is not yours to decide about) and violate the same policy by calling some poor user who has nothing to do with the topic "a Zionist."

Yes, everyone is a Zionist, the jews control the world, they kill Palestinians and use their blood to make Mazzas for Passover, we are sick of hearing it, besides being racist and antisemitic, it's boring, we hear this for thousands of years. please provide something new. that's was the purpose of that comment.

You know what? I wish you love success and prosperity and hope to God one day you'll take the time and read the facts and see how you are brainwashed with antisemitic propaganda.
Google Currents: what it is and why you should care
"Also wouldn't this result in the same machine code in either case"

Well yes. But Martin Fowler's recommendation in this case has nothing to do with the machine code optimization and everything with the readability of the actual code.
Hacker Party
Turn off Facebook apps permanently
I believe your suggestion is already the case.
Great read. Do you guys do all verticals or do you have any specialties?
Global Trends 2030
I'm with you, and I tend to agree with the Pando posts lately about "disruption" and the malformed philosophies that tend to go along with it. I didn't use it though, I promise!
[1] is the book I had in mind.

I think it's pointless to argue about it in that way, though. If you can think of a supposed example (or more than one) of a monopoly that doesn't derive from government power, I'll either explain to you why that's not the case, or concede the point. I scanned at the list of examples on Wikipedia briefly, and didn't find any "free market monopolies."

[1] http://www.amazon.com/Capitalism-Treatise-Economics-George-R...
Great point and an obvious solution once its thought of - annoying to change when already committed though..
Not being a web-dev guy i've never really understood why people insisted in including libraries from 3rd-party website..

Ok, i get that you might have a cache hit for a visitor that has visited a site with that exact same resource included before, but other than that, what am i missing?

Compared to events such as this, i'd rather host it myself and when i'm down, nobody cares because i'm down anyways..
Leverage is the only way to larger returns. This is true whether you go from a 1 person company to a 2 person company, whether you borrow or take equity to expand a company, or whether you borrow to fund a house.

Without leverage, you're getting nowhere. Employing a person is using leverage - you're betting that the employee will generate more revenue than they cost to keep.

Buying a house with leverage is neither dumb nor smart. It is a strategy. Strategies only become successful or failure after the events unfold.

In the case of houses, you only lose if the resale value of the property falls below the outstanding amount of the loan, presuming interest + taxes + maintenance do not exceed the equivalent amount of rent. Because loans are fixed at a currency amount on the date of funding, a property that keeps pace with inflation wins.

There are also intangible aspects to ownership, including security of tenure and ability to modify the dwelling as needs arise. It's impossible to put a price on this, but you could imagine one by asking a tenant how much insurance would they pay per year to prevent being evicted.

The key to property in general is the land underneath the property. A dwelling is itself a depreciating asset, which wears out, becomes unfashionable and falls in value. The land underneath the dwelling is the bit that increases in value, or at the very least maintains it's value compared to a currency being systematically inflated by a central bank.

For many people, a modest mortgage and their own property is a sensible investment, provided that they do not trade houses excessively, dip into the equity or destroy the value of their house.

So, again, leverage is a strategy used everwhere with many things. Excessive leverage is high risk, but sensible, well managed leverage is the key to success in life.
SourceForge is down
A couple issues with this though. Realtor commissions (possible to avoid if you have enough knowledge), and/or loan fees, closing costs, title insurance, etc. Also in the US, capital gains taxes if you don't live in it for at least 2 years. So the appreciation or difference in price would have to be significantly large.
Deleted iMessages are accessible through iOS search
We noticed if you use the search functionality on an iOS device you can still access old deleted iMessages.

In order to reproduce, delete an iMessage. Then go to the search screen by tapping home button twice (you should make the search from the general search screen, not using the search section in the Messages app). Search a word in that deleted iMessage. You will see the message in the search results.
It's not really a fair comparison as the dart versions are more-or-less completely statically typed. If they wanted this to be fair they'd be using untyped (typing is "optional" in dart).

If you're allowed to modify the code in substantial and performance altering ways for one language, you should be allowed to for the other as well (the JS versions of both those benchmarks have substantial perf problems).

This is especially egregious given that the DeltaBlue tests is ported from untyped smalltalk, so the JS version is actually closer to the original.
So, what did he learn exactly?
10 Marketing Hacks To Boost Your Startup
The Untapped Opportunity for Facebook
>Startup founders are generally leveraged on the upside but not on the down.

I don't agree with this at all. This assumes zero costs on the part of the founder when it comes to a startup. There are significant costs, including extra work, low or no salary, and opportunity costs.

I agree that the potential upside is much more like a call than a long position, but all calls have a premium cost, and have a much higher risk of being out the premium cost with no reward.
Wedding Dresses Collection 2013 | Wedding Dresses 2013 From HoneyBuy 
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Possibly a good time for a reminder, folks: It's worth checking that if you're hotlinking to jQuery, it's the Google Hosted Libraries version.[1]

It looks like code.jquery.com survived whatever the present situation is (otherwise a big chunk of the 'net would be finding out right about now), but it's been made clear for a while [2] that use of the code.jquery.com/* URLs isn't encouraged.

[1]: https://developers.google.com/speed/libraries/devguide#jquer...

[2]: http://blog.jquery.com/2009/08/20/codejquerycom-redirected-t...
Site's down, directing HN front page traffic at it will help bring it back
Rescued orphan puppy boy for adoption - Pets - China Business
Researchers show proof-of-concept Microsoft ERP hack
Ketamine too.
Analysis of Compression Libraries for Database Systems, from FB engineer
Apple's Multi-Touch Patent Invalidated by USPTO
It's the site's policy, read it, and perhaps you won't have karma of 1 forever.

http://ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

> Off-Topic: Most stories about politics, or crime, or sports, unless they're evidence of some interesting new phenomenon. Videos of pratfalls or disasters, or cute animal pictures. If they'd cover it on TV news, it's probably off-topic.

Calling Israel "apartheid" or "murderous military occupation" or "racist" is so old and boring (regardless of being racist, antisemitic and not really supported by facts nor accepted by most western world) and really doesn't fall into "evidence of some interesting new phenomenon"

Funnily, this flame comment is what took this topic off the front page, which means no one hardly reads this post anyway. So congratulations, instead of voicing your opinion in a civil way and making your point, you managed to get this topic flagged, and no one reads what you have to write.

So if you want to help the Palestinians, stop trying, you just make it worse.
Voice, Touch Accessibility Skills Coming to Kindle
> You've stolen his idea, he says, and profited with it against his will. And here the internal conflict introduced by the concept of "intellectual" property is highlighted. You used your own property as you pleased and in a way that did not harm or threaten to harm anyone else's property, and yet according to Bob, you've violated his "intellectual" property rights. In fact, the only way to not violate Bob's "intellectual" property is to not do with your property as you please, even though that use is entirely nonviolent. Bob's exercise of his "intellectual" property right is a violation of your property right!

Intellectual property is an umbrella term that encompasses copyright, trademarks, patents, etc. Using someone else's trademarks also does "not harm or threaten to harm anyone else's property". I know that you don't mean that, but in that case, you should offer more practical arguments against IP instead of getting all philosophical.
The best books are the 'Interview' series by Jack Schwager. These date right back to the 1980s until a very recent release last year. They are just interview format books with successful traders from a very wide variety of markets and styles.

The key takeaways from the books are 'your investment style must fit your personality' and 'anything is tradeable if you have an edge'.

The books will give you a very good grounding in trading concepts as well as open your eyes as to the diversity of people that succeed in the field.

It will also help you dismiss 'advice' like 'technical trading is useless' or 'fundamental trading is hopeless', because you will be able to detect the advice-givers bias, and realise that, like anything, it's different strokes for different folks. What matters (in trading, in life) is that you identify an edge you hold, and apply that edge with discipline. And if you don't know what your edge is, you don't have one.
Thank you :-)

(Assuming that level playing field cures malaria etc - but Singapore did just by getting richer and politically compete t)
> Despite the fact that Ext4 adds a number of compelling features to the filesystem, T'so doesn't see it as a major step forward. He dismisses it as a rehash of outdated "1970s technology" and describes it as a conservative short-term solution. He believes that the way forward is Oracle's open source Btrfs filesystem, which is designed to deliver significant improvements in scalability, reliability, and ease of management.

From http://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2009/04/linux-...
Did Twitter's founder reveal its would-be Instagram killer?
Potential consumer confusion has nothing to do with the size of Apple's cut or how it is structured.

Clearly, a 30% cut is fair for the average $1.5 purchase because it includes fees for payment processing and fixed cost per app.

But Apple will have to decide whether or not they want people to sell more expensive stuff on their platform. Taking a 30% cut on a $100 purchase is not economically viable and it is unnecessary if the goal is to avoid consumer confusion.

They could just charge 50 cents + 5%
food for though (mostly offtopic): what if most simulations are actually nurseries, run by our descendants as an alternative to mostly random procreation?

...I imagine that in a very distant and complex hypothetical future, the only way that super-intelligent beings could reproduce in a way that the offspring would truly be similar enough to their parents, so that they could feel empathy one towards another would be either by: (1) clone and mutate an existing individual (think mind-cloning, like software copying) and mutate, and (2) create "children from scratch" and raise them, for at least a few "eons" in successive simulations of their parents or ancestors pasts (any other alternative, I'd imagine, in a post-singularity world evolving incredibly fast, would result in offspring so different from their parents that it would make empathy and the existence of a shared culture with shared artistic and aesthetic values impossible...)

...maybe we're just "babies" in the first level of a simulated nursery, waiting to complete the stages to "adulthood" in world of unbound, "software like", intelligent beings :)

EDIT+: ...just realized that this could be made up into pseudo-scientific pseudo-theory of reincarnation (which I don't believe in, but I find it interesting) ...if any buddhist or hinduist mystic reads this and takes my idea and does something intersting with it, please give me credit as original author :)
There are benefits to use a CDN, or one of the Google API hosting services. But yes, linking to a copy right on the jquery site, can't be encouraged.
How can you call people getting access to technology for the first time "stagnation"? It's the exact opposite of that. Here's Ray Kurzweil showing a graph from 1800 till recently that demonstrates how technology has had a direct effect on the wealth of the nations and on the average "conditions of living" for everyone:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zihTWh5i2C4&feature=youtu...

Also a relevant bit from Louis CK on how we take technology for granted at every step:

http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2009/02/so_amazing_bu...

longer audio version: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpUNA2nutbk
Ask HN: Recruiter retracted offer
I was offered a job as a software engineer at a well-known company. Since I already had 2 other offers, their recruiter called and emailed me an offer contingent upon background and references check, and said the formal offer would follow; he also said I'd receive an email for the background check from the HR that night.

I'm in US on a visa expiring in <45 days unless I get a job, so it was very crucial that I start the job ASAP. When I didn't receive the email that night, I emailed the recruiter after the weekend, asking him to check with on the email, and if there was any way I could start this month, but was told no. I called him that afternoon to check on the email again, and to see if there was any way I could start earlier, and started throwing in ideas like taking an unpaid leave after starting; he said that would be illegal (which I wasn't aware) and we agreed on a date in the next month.

Another day passed and I still hadn't received the email, and my references hadn't even been contacted. I emailed the recruiter and left a voicemail. The recruiter went another day without replying. Since we'd been communicating via Jobvite until then, I emailed him directly next day and asked to talk on the phone. He emailed me back that night, saying he had been busy traveling, but he'd call me the next day. When he failed to call me the next day, I sent him another email that night; he emailed me back the next day that he'll contact me once he gets back in the office after the weekend.

Now the recruiter sent me an email on an official letterhead stating that they've decided not to proceed "due to [my] actions subsequent to receiving [the] offer, including [my] request to become an employee before [I] would actually start working."

Am I in the wrong here? I admit I may have been a bit forward, but I'm not sure what else I was supposed to do, especially given my position. I'm left without a job and I don't know what to do. Any advice would be appreciated.
Death Wish: A Writer Finds Twitter Turning Toxic
Same here. There are some kinds of software I'm not comfortable experimenting with - or at least not experimenting with using valuable data.
David Lee of SV Angel Moves to LA
Or, much better, have a local fallback:

<script src="//ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.7.2/jquery.min.js"></script>
<script>window.jQuery || document.write('<script src="/js/libs/jquery.1.7.2.min.js"><\/script>')</script>