skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
One Intrade commenter from London claimed he was set up to earn about $20,000 in arbitrage against Betfair. If you expect the manipulation to continue over a period of time (which I certainly did, and wished I could register on other betting sites), it's worth it to deposit larger sums of money with bank transfers despite the wait.

At one point I wondered whether the manipulators were making large purchases once per day and whether this could explain why the different betting sites never came back in line with each other. In that case, a savvy arbitrageur might take advantage of prices while they're at their widest differential, and then wait to buy more the next day. I thought I saw a pattern like this going for a few days in a row but it was gone by the time I felt confident enough to trade around it.
This is one of our next features. We've had a lot of feature requests for a better font integration. If you have a typekit account, we will soon be able to use that. Email me: ben@easel.io and we'll set it up.
A commenter over there mentioned that a similar phenomenon was noticed during the 2008 presidential election, and quoted John Delaney (Intrade founder, now deceased):

Mr. Delaney conceded there had been erratic behavior - including spikes in the direction of Mr. McCain and away from Barack Obama "by up to 10 points." And he said "trading that caused the unusual price movements and discrepancies was principally due to a single 'institutional' member on Intrade."

But, after interviewing members of the institution involved and tracking its trades, Mr. Delaney wrote in an e-mail message on Saturday: "I do not believe based on our investigations and over seven years' experience in such matters that the trading on Intrade was designed or motivated to artificially inflate McCain’s chance of winning."

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/20/business/20predict.html
> The federal government has already accepted that marijuana is going to become legal,

Which part of the federal government has accepted that?

Luckily after serving on a grand jury, I know what a PITA is is to bring indictments at the federal level. They will choke on cases if they really try to start prosecuting.
The expensive ones tend to be the ones that get better with wear (the raw denim that shows wear lines after months) :)
http://www.thumbtack.com/labs/abba/
Impossible at buffet pricing, unless it is priced way high, probably higher than would get much total revenue. Hulu pays royalties per view for the premium catalog.
i respect a guy who doesn't give a shit what he owns about a million times more than this example of privilege and loneliness run amuck.
While this is an interesting question, and it would be nice to know, I don't think its the only reason to have these get togethers. For someone like me, it would be more about experience, networking, and fun. I like to code in my spare time, but often work on my own and it kinda detracts from the fun.

Perhaps another interesting question is "Is there anything which differentiates this from a local HackerSpace?". If the goal is to not focus on specific languages or environments, then why not go one step further, and not focus specifically on software?

I understand that there is need to draw the line somewhere, so I don't have any problem with them focusing on just software, however another HN article could be:

HackerSpaces: Over 500 cities strong and counting [0]

[0] - http://hackerspaces.org/wiki/List_of_Hacker_Spaces
For sure you can uninstall them if you choose. I meant that I don't recall if you can opt out of them entirely during a clean install, as in they never get installed at all. A "no apps" Windows install.
Apple, Sneaky to the Core
WOW I am re-reading almost word for word a thread that I read during Bush v. Gore 2000.
Jordan Mechner's Karateka remake looks to modernize a classic story
JellyBean puts Play ads in the music app, and on the home screen by default, at least on the Nexus 7.

Also, one of the Kindles has home screen ads.
I'm hiring outside contractors and planning to ask for cofounders soon.
Android is worse. You can't even disable in built apps, so junk like Play Magazines and Twitter sucks up RAM and CPU forever.
Regardless, he could be more explicit about this point in his post.
This seems common sense to me, I would most likely have done it this way if I were designing a voice operated alarm module. Hence it follows Apple is already likely to have a patent on it.
I would love a movie theater where the ads were only previews and not cars and dentists.
The illusion of life: animation principles and UI design
The 12 oligarchs have power, not "authority".
Google owns the largest Android mobile app ad network.
There's an economics joke as old as the hills:

An economist and a non-economist are walking down the street when the non-economist notices something on the ground and says, "hey there's a $10 bill!" The economist replies, "Impossible. If there was a $10 bill on the ground, someone would have picked it up already."
The captcha is nearly impossible to read. Can you switch to a more human parseable version?
This reminds me of the Nobel Prize winner who came up with the first concept in Game Theory - John Nash.
His books always felt more like David Sedaris stories and less like James Gleick style educational popular science.
Nate Silver made an interesting point a while back when he compared the political data revolution to the Sabremetrics revolution in baseball.

In baseball, the journalists and pundits were way ahead of the professional operators in moving from gut calls to data-crunching, while in politics, it's the opposite - what Silver and other public number-based forecasters do is commonplace inside the campaigns.
I'd be interested to see how your model works for Senate races. That seems to be the bigger challenge.

House races seem to be far to data sparse to be reliable.
The big difference in the models was their assumptions on voter turnout for each side. You can precisely measure what people prefer, but you can't precisely measure whether they will show up next week. So it was the 'art' part of modeling, not the 'science' of statistics, that the conservative pollsters blew.

It's hard to know, but one reason for the strong turnout might have been better get-out-the-vote efforts of the kind described here.
Is this truly a math problem (in which case, that's fine), or is this a serious interest in industrial engineering problem of optimal ambulance allocation? I am presuming it is the former, given the specific Stack Exchange family site it was posted to, but there seems to be a bunch of evidence that it could be the latter.

If it is, it honestly seems weird to me that you so rapidly discount the more obvious answers without attempting to first prove them out of the way (as one would insist from a mathematical analysis of the situation).

As an example: you point out that sometimes you get another call while ambulance A is moving to the former position of C, but do not weight that against the probability that no call will come subsequent to the previous call in the vicinity of C.

As another example: you seem to simply ignore that the real suggestion many people are making is not to move A to C, but to redistribute all the ambulances for a new equilibrium state of "optimal coverage".

You then want to use the result to prove something about ambulance usage, but that is somewhat disingenuous: maybe the A/B--C situation comes up rarely enough that the probability of a call coming in that makes C a bad choice is so low that you really should always just choose C.

Alternatively, the entire premise might be flawed: maybe ambulance A and B are stuck in the same location (as you indicate there are any number of reasons why just moving them might not be practical) because of external factors that would make it infeasible to use them for this call on the other side of the map anyway.

In essence, taking this one problem alone simply seems strange: the model should include the speed ambulances can travel and the probability distribution of the rate of incoming calls; from that, you can attempt to extrapolate what the globally optimal algorithm might be (assuming there is one, and assuming it is efficiently implementable).
Voters boot three SOPA-sponsoring Hollywood allies from Congress
who is upvoting this? why? hackernews has gone to shit.
How does this affect NYC's position on unregukated landlording? Is there a crisis exemption?
yeah for sure. just email zach@codehs.com
I looked for and read what I think are the comments you mean. He got the 2008 British election wrong, yes? I'm inclined to cut him some slack about that. The two systems are so different that domain expertise in one might not translate well to the other, and it would be a classic geek mistake to underestimate the differences at first.
No Studying After 5pm: Using Parkinson’s Law to Kick Procrastination’s Ass
You don't have to be enrolled. You can just sign up as an individual on http://codehs.com
The idea behind it isn't party focused at all. Each state is represented in the House based on population. If, according to the Amendment (and keep in mind when it was written and the reasons behind it), a state acts in a way that denies legal citizens the right to vote, its allocated number of representatives is to be decreased according to the population that was denied the vote. The effect is to then decrease the state's overall say in national governing, with the desired end being that no state would allow voting to be denied, else they lose whatever power they have in the House. This means fewer votes to help push an agenda, to earmark money back to the state, etc.

It's not meant to punish a party, as the House isn't organized to proportionally represent party membership. So, in effect, the amendment wants to ensure that if states deny the vote by N citizens, that they are then recognized as having T citizens (total population) - N citizens (who were denied).
Why would 2016 be different from any other year in that respect?
7,000 Starbucks Locations Added to the Square Wallet
Thos. Moser Hawthorne Chair
Tim Schaaf to leave Sony
True, I really should have said it would distort Intrade's utility as a prediction market.
We've written a few posts on our blog about our A/B testing framework.

Our event tracking system: http://www.thumbtack.com/engineering/building-our-own-tracki...

ABBA, our tool for analyzing the results:
http://www.thumbtack.com/engineering/gambling-with-the-devil...

A script for using ABBA with Mixpanel:
http://www.thumbtack.com/engineering/ab-testing-with-mixpane...
I think the best would have been learning your tomorrow/today pattern and monitoring your use of the phone. For example, a "common" person will continue to use to tomorrow post-midnight until they have slept. The phone should monitor for lack of movement and use over 4-6 hours to identify a sleep schedule that is the person's day divider (patent pending!).
I could be wrong, but the Congress does not and would not execute the amendment's clauses. That is the executive's job. Thus it'd pretty much be the DOJ, I'd think, stepping up to make the threat, calling the states' attention to the fact that there are consequences set forth in the constitution they cannot fight against.
I disagree. Seeing this story at the top of HN... well really, it just made me sad. It is, as was said, empty madness.

Really, all this post is is the author telling us he has disposable income. Price factors into what is "best" for people; for him, less so. For others, even less so. Kim Dotcom spends $100K on each bed mattress[1] in his mansion. Kim Dotcom could write a blog post on the topic and it would sound exactly the same but with larger price tags.

There is no point at which you will be complete. You cannot perfect your existence with material things, no matter how much time and money you pour into selecting them. There is a hole, but it is not a hole you can fill up; it is a singularity, which grows as it is fed. You must learn to live with the hole.

[1] http://www.wired.com/threatlevel/2012/10/ff-kim-dotcom/
If it's a nav bar with positioning set to fixed-top, it will be z-index'd on top of the container. The container will need top margin to bring it out from under the nav bar. This is something we should probably do automatically, but right now we're using the vanilla bootstrap behavior.
I don't have a Twitter account. Is it too hard to add at least one other signup method for folks like myself?
Is their justification for the low risk of default? Such as an overall portfolio where other loan guarantees did not flop?
What better definition is there? BP's?
Sure, I read this: "After waiting for it 30 days, we decided to accept the Mangrove investment proposal." That sounds like a choice was made.

My main point is for those going forward: unless the equity you stand to convert into your own personal wealth is insignificant to you, an exit can't really stop your career for long but it also just might be the only chance you get.

Maybe the Google deal wasn't a sure thing but whether or not they could pay was not a question.
Super-Earth Discovered in Star's Habitable Zone
>>I still don't understand what's special about that design.

Jonathan Ive said it best: great design looks obvious in hindsight.

edit: Gotta love the downvotes. Must have hit a soft spot. :)
And all of that comes with 0 accountability to the electorate, which was parent's point.
Twitter survives election after Ruby-to-JVM move
noted..
"This newfound state of No Future is, in my opinion, a very good thing. It indicates a kind of maturity, an understanding that every future is someone else’s past, every present someone else’s future. Upon arriving in the capital-F Future, we discover it, invariably, to be the lower-case now."

- William Gibson
> What is ultimately important in life are people

I have, for example, the best luggage possible, because I spend a ton of time traveling long distances to spend time with people I care about.

I have the best camera I can afford because I use it to take pictures of time spent with those people.

I have the best mobile devices because I don't like to waste time dicking about with software when I am trying to get directions to meet with... (you guessed it) people.

They're tools. They're a means to an end. The best is important, because when you don't have it, oftentimes you find yourself not reaching that end in an efficient manner.
The book has some really good quotes.

http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Fight_Club_(novel)
It doesn't distort its utility for the people who are hedging (on the one side) or speculating (on the other), and those are the actual clients of the prediction market.

But it does make it less useful for third party observers :)
I have Evian ice cubes in my freezer right now.

Just sayin'.
ABBA:
http://www.thumbtack.com/labs/abba
Things I like about Easel:

- Zipfile export contains everything you need to demo your site with a web server

- The UI. It's simple and elegant [1] in its most minimal implementation, but grows in complexity in the right ways when you need it to. The menus are easy to understand at the core, and the functionality behind it should be self-evident to most front end devs. Kinks can be worked out but the overall implementation is effective. I don't like that the RHS menu overlaps with the design you're working on, but I take partial responsibility for using a 1366x768 display.

Things I don't like about Easel:

- Exported stylesheets for demo app aren't perfect [2]

- Elements don't snap to grid.

- It's extremely buggy. Some features flat out don't work, some work but are an eyesore. After clicking "Upgrade", I should not have to type "ESC" to exit the Upgrade path for example.

- The left hand side menu - the dropdowns make it seem like I have multiple choices to select from. It took me a while to realize my mouse wasn't failing to select from an apparent dropdown list.

- The right hand side menu - it should be dockable, minimizable, an arrow should be there, something should let me hide it from view if need be. This comes in handy when selecting multiple elements on a small screen.

Things I like about divshot:

- Edit CSS. This is a nice feature. Not that I want to be editing much code in a browser, I have Vim for that. It's just that access to the raw stylesheets gives you fine grain control over everything.

Things I don't like about divshot:

- Edit CSS was buggy and slow to load changes.

- The export to HTML/CSS feature is essential, but please don't make me have to link to your hosted version of my static assets. I don't enjoy CSS templates that employ href's to placehold.it either for this reason. I want to not worry about my Interweb connection status when running a server on localhost to preview the HTML as I integrate it into a bigger project. This is make or break important for me. Send all of the static assets I need in a zipfile.

- Previews. I don't want to see the dark blue bar on the RHS in preview mode, maybe turn it off when I switch to full screen mode?

- Color scheme. Prototyping should be energizing. Doing mockups should be (is) more exciting than many other phases in the app development lifecycle, because it's the closest you ever get to pure creativity without being weighed down with technical decisions. Give me a simple, lightweight tool that makes it easy and fun to make creative app designs with. The dark blue UI brings me down.

[1] http://imgur.com/hrUcE

[2] http://imgur.com/d3QJA
most popular mint? mageia?? where did they get the data from? most popular on desktop is ubuntu, on servers debian and rh/cent.

this picture is crap and spam. flagged.
> but I wouldn't necessarily know that it was the 21st without looking at my watch

> without looking at my watch

> watch

ಠ_ಠ
Those are all valid points, and I thank you for the civility :)
With many things, deliberating over them before purchasing still leaves the would-be purchaser in the dark compared with owning them for a few weeks.

Thus it would make more sense to try a variety of kinds of flatware, furniture, or cars (etc. etc.) and figure out not just what sounds like it would be perfect but what actually is.

To claim that some flatware or furniture is optimally designed is (in my opinion) somewhat absurd anyway, since both are largely a matter of taste as well as some degree of optimality for the particular use case.
Like talking into a prototype iPhone at 00:35 while drunk in a bar? :D
Reflecting on 14 years of free software
The number is likely from distrowatch.com . Yes, it is not credible. Distrowatch counts page hits, and some distros are good at getting people to click on them there for whatever reason.
To summarize:

Get adequate sleep and exercise
Maximize flow time
It's live, you can "play" it now. It still needs a lot of polish though.
I can imagine disk space, but why would they be running in the background?
I really really love that here in Germany, places will refer to e.g. "Friday 24:00" to mean 00:00 on Saturday.

The phrase "Friday at midnight" actually means six hours after 6PM on Thursday, of course, so using 24:00 versus 00:00 to disambiguate which day is meant is wonderful.
Android alarms work a bit differently to what you are thinking. The basic alarms are set around times, and when the time comes around, the alarm goes off. So as long as it's after 9:01 am when you use this command, the alarm will go off at 9am the next day correctly.

To deal with days the alarms have a 'repeat' option, listing which days the alarm should go off. Google Now can't handle these kinds of alarms yet. If you needed an alarm for a specific day then you'd probably use calendar alarms, however I don't think they're fully linked into Google Now at the moment.
Are you actually able to get all of your work done by 5pm on a consistent basis? I really like the idea you're promoting (and I may well try it myself), but that seems like a stretch for me. Between 2.5-3.5 hours of class a day, lunch, and the time it takes to go from class to another etc, that would really only leave me 2-3 hours for work every day...I honestly don't think that would be enough even if I could focus 100% for the whole time. Is your experience different?
This is really not impressive if you know the POS sphere. Starbucks' POS is a Micros-based system. Micros is the only major POS provider that is currently working with 3rd party vendors (such as Square) to allow direct integration between those vendors and Micros' clients. If this pays off for Micros, maybe we'll see more of it, but for now, others like Aloha are making so much revenue off their own products that they've shown no indication of adopting Micros' strategy.

Long story short: Don't expect many non-Micros clients to start getting added to Square, or anyone else, any day soon.
Wouldn't your phone have the date?
Sneaking suspicion? After the 2000 election you would be looked down on for calling Bush president in many demokratic circles.
I had a friend who made $10,000 (off a $200k bankroll) in 2008 doing this exact form of arbitrage...
Yeah, I actually have been. It seems like a stretch, but being really disciplined has made it possible. Sometimes if I start zoning out in class, I'll start doing some homework instead. Usually that leaves me with around 3-4 hours a day to get stuff done. Then there's the Sunday catch-up day. If I'm really behind on stuff, I'll take most of my Sunday to catch up before the week starts.

(Mostly) following this schedule has made me get everything done at least twice as fast, and given me more time to work on jobs and side-projects.
Ramen is wide and varied, and there are probably many who could legitimately lay claim to being 'the best' on a given day, within a given niche.

The point though, is that there isn't a 'best' anything. Just as one can't eat pizza every day and keep enjoying it, the place you fancy right now as the best might not be the place you want to go tomorrow.

My younger self had a steak at Tom Colicchio's CraftSteak many years ago, and declared it the best steak ever. In later years, I learned enough to declare it "the best steak I'd ever eaten", and then to re-refine its category as the best steak I'd had at the time.

There are now four steak places that I love at least as well, and would consider to be at the top of the heap, but they each operate so differently and make different cuts / seasonings / sides, etc., that it's hard to compare directly, and I've given up trying. When I get to eat at any of them, I consider it a "good day".

On top of that, he isn't likely to have eaten at every single Ramen place in Tokyo, so the claim is specious at best.
Your post would make a fine top post, because it lacks the vitriol and anger and name calling of the OP. Thanks for sharing.

(Note: I deleted my own post because it was downvoted once, despite getting a number of upvotes before that. It's my policy to delete any comment that gets a downvote, since that's a signal from the community that my contribution isn't wanted.)
It would have been better if before writing all super-intelligent stuff you had actually read the article or the patent, which explicitly says broken lines are not included in the claimed design. That's the whole point of that article.
Question for HNers from NYC: when would be a good time to visit?

I was planning to spend November there (hostels and/or airbnb) but put that off when the hurricane hit. All the official tourism sites are saying "business as usual" but that seems at odds with the thousands of displaced people and the TV footage of cleanup in Queens. Surely there's an accommodation shortage and many tired locals who don't want tourists running around?

Would I be nuts to visit in December?
I'm sure all political reporters know what Intrade is. If you were going to spend money to move the market, those are the people you're most trying to influence.

I'm still personally skeptical of the whole manipulation theory, however. It's probably just a combination of too many conservatives buying with their heart instead of their head, and too few active arbitrageurs taking them to the cleaners.
First Apache blessed CloudStack release, Apache CloudStack 4.0.0-incubating