skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"Can someone explain how this will work in practice?"

Read the law.

"presumably federal agencies (like the DEA) will still operate in Colorado?"

The feds have said that they aren't going to target individuals who follow state law. As to whether they prosecute growers and dispensaries, that is currently left up to each local DA. There are some rough guidelines the feds have put out saying that if you follow certain rules (as a grower or dispensary owner) then you won't be arrested, but it's up to each DA as to whether or not to honor those guidelines.

The federal government has already accepted that marijuana is going to become legal, but they're trying to make it happen in an orderly way. Insiders generally predict federal legalization (or at least rescheduling) in 3-5 years. That strikes me as optimistic, but at the same time I think the latest it will happen in 2024, which is when various demographic, political, economic, and technological factors will be most favorably aligned.
'literally' has literally become an overused cliche that does't mean anything and isn't used properly most of the time.

you can almost always take it out of the sentence it is being used in and the sentence is easier to read and makes more sense.

a new pet-hate word for me (nothing on you OP!)
Hands-on look at iPad mini
I don't think it's because of reposts. It's because HN is for tech news, not general news. The one Obama post that is up on the front page talks about Obama's technology agenda, in which case it is actually relevant.
tl;dr you'll still have to bust your ass to execute a successful startup. Don't expect the government to do your job.
The power/weight ratio. Particularly the energy density of available batteries. Unless batteries can be given a much greater stored energy capacity per unit weight, "toy" flight will be the only kind of battery powered flight possible.
Remember wines you’ve tasted, discover wines you’ll love.
If you break your ubuntu 12.04 install because nvidia driver 304 breaks, here's how you fix it. Hopefully you made backups of your x config files (it's a selectable option when you install new nvidia drivers). If it's x is truly broken, then you won't see any windows or GUI. Hit ctrl-alt-F1 and login to your user, then do this

sudo service lightdm stop
sudo nvidia-uninstall
sudo apt-get install --reinstall nvidia-current
>> failing

A line that I usually quote; "In case of a failure in the West, it's your ideas that failed; in the East, it's you who failed."
Yep, sorry. I thought it was obviously facetious. Probably not in the spirit of HN, but with all the victory lapping by the liberal wing of HN tonight, I guess the libertarian in me got a bit carried away.
2^3 == 8

So there's the pundit response or the data response.

The pundit response: "this election is a toss-up!" In which case we'll just reject your assertion outright.

No one really buys the pundit response, though! Okay, the data response to your assertion: pollster.com kind of rejects this if you scroll right on the top row of charts.[0] Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and North Carolina all polled closely, bumping us to 2^8 = 256 possible outcomes.

This ignores the absurd accuracy of Silver's predictions. My favorite is his prediction for Florida:

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight/status/26583576993401241...

Florida sat at 49.8% to 49.4% for the majority of the night until it recently opened up to a chasm-sized 49.9/49.2 for Obama. Silver had it at 49.79/49.72 for Obama.

So...yeah. If you look at his predictions it's not just monkeys on a typewriter. His results are incredibly accurate from a discrete or a continuous point of view.

[0] http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2012-presidenti...
My biggest concern is seeing an "email" where my text messages. I get text messages all the time, and they're usually pretty high on my list of important messages because I know that 100% of my text messages are definitely not spam and that i should at least read them. Using email to send me a text only makes me think i got spam and i'll just delete the message, i probably won't even read it.

But really, why email their number when you can just message them for their email (or using gvoice or something similar)?
His models have a memory (increase sample size by using a handful of day or week old data) and aggregate as many as 5 to 8 independent polls per state plus as many as a dozen national polls that factor into his simulations. That's easily four to sixteen times the sample size.
http://isnatesilverawitch.com/
Section 903 of the Controlled Substances Act has a "positive conflict" clause. I haven't heard enough about this, but legalization activists in Washington say it means that federal law will only override state law if the state law forces people to do something illegal.[1]

[1] http://www.newapproachwa.org/sites/newapproachwa.org/files/I...
I waited in line for ~4 hours to pick up a Surface on launch day and ended up returning it a little over a week later.

This review touched on performance, but it really was abysmal. Nothing was quite as painful as watching other people use the device; swipe gestures and touch points were frequently missed, the swipe-down gesture necessary to close or dock a metro app lagged behind by several seconds and took literally a dozen tries to successfully pull off, and even after installing the optional updates by going to the desktop control panel, I was still able to out-type the stock Mail application, using the touch cover at an abysmal ~10WPM. That was after waiting 5-10 seconds for the mail client to launch in the first place.

App support was the biggest offender, and I get that this is a short-term problem. That said, searching the app store for an SSH client and seeing nothing was a deal breaker. In the absence of useful applications, a terminal window that I could use to get somewhere to do actual work would have been great. Even in games, it feels like the strategy was all wrong. The usual suspects (Angry Birds, Fruit Ninja, etc) are there, but this would be my 4th or 5th time purchasing those games. Really don't have an interest in buying them again, and the original content under the New Releases section is really lackluster; apps that are still using the default Visual Studio app icon aren't uncommon, nor are apps with written entirely in different languages than the target market. The whole quality control angle seems sloppy.

If I could have installed another browser or had access to the Chrome web store, that would have been enough of a mitigation for app support, but those aren't options either.

The out-of-box apps are, understandably, incredibly Microsoft-centric. Couldn't change default search provider in Internet Explorer and the messaging client only had support for Live Messenger and Facebook. The app store currently has nothing available for music options (no Pandora/Spotify/etc). The browser is an option, but the Metro browser stops playing audio once the device auto-locks.

The speakers were really bad. With any level of ambient background noise, watching something on Netflix required my face to be less than a foot away to actually make out dialog. Was a common theme among other people using the device as well.

Touch cover was incredibly hit or miss and missed more often than not. In retrospect, I should have gotten a Type cover.

If the Surface had released with the iPad 2, it would be a competitive offering. At this stage in the game, though, it's competing with entrenched 4th generation and beyond offerings with years of developer support. Worse yet, it's walking into new tablets with specifications that are nearly twice as good for less money.

That said, the form factor of the Surface is incredibly solid. If someone sold a tablet with the Nexus 10 internals in a Surface form factor, I'd buy it in a heartbeat.
Ultimately, our plan for Thinbox is that the number mapping will be connected to more information than just an e-mail address.

A path we're considering that might have some more obvious use cases: a mapping of phone numbers -> mailing addresses. That way in your mobile postcard app, you can choose a friend to mail a card to, even if you don't have their mailing address in your phone. The first-time recipient would automatically get a text message along the lines of: "Steve would like to send you something. What is your mailing address?"
How the arbitage markets predicted the Presidential Race Result
Yessir. Very proud to be from Olympia, WA at this moment
You clearly were not following the polls very closely.

An average of the polls going into the election put 2 of the three that you name as "highly uncertain" at likely polling within 3%. According to the average of polling data at http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Nov06.html all of Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, and North Carolina should also be on your list of "highly uncertain states". So now you have 128 potentially reasonable combinations by your criteria.

(Admittedly the one that happened is in the top 4 outcomes. But a naive analysis would not have seen that Florida would be a photo finish while North Carolina would not. However Nate's analysis clearly did see that.)
You can improve effective sample size by eliminating extraneous variables. One thing that Nate does is take advantage of implicit biases (for example, PPP polls lean slightly left)
It will catch on better than no party !
> When enough local authorities stop enforcing the federal prohibition of cannabis, the prohibition will come to an end.

Maybe true, but unfortunately there have been instances relating to medicinal usage where local enforcement followed federal instead of their state law.
I'm pretty sure the plan is to have support for all of the languages be addon-type things.
Moving up next year, makes me happy to see.
Instagram Introduces Web Profiles | start.mv
How Difficult Is It To Advertise On The Web?
>> I think I speak for everyone when I say thank god politics is not like baseball :)

politics is not nearly as important. :-)
There isn't any mention of taxes in that article... What am I missing?
I'm not someone who would take advantage of the legalization of marijuana, but I am in favor of legalization because I don't think it's the government's job to tell you what you can or can't do. If drinking is legal, smoking weed should be too.

I understand the concept behind a tax on marijuana, but I don't understand a 25% tax on every stage of the process... If you're saying that it's legal to use marijuana responsibly and you're limiting how much you can buy, I don't see the point of a whole 25% tax on top of that.

Is marijuana bad and the government needs to bribed to let it? Are we selling out purely for the economic benefits? Or is neutral and the government are running what boils down to a protection racket?
So, does this actually do anything? I've tried twice and not seen anything on the phone end . . . .
Liquor, about 80 years ago.
v cool -- I've always wanted an easy way to do this!
Nate Silver seems like a pretty smart guy, wouldn't it be better if he spent his time doing something more productive? Predicting the outcome of an election may have practical applications in gambling or for a hedge fund, and yes he gets mad publicity and attention from women sure, but aren't there more useful ways to apply statistics?

EDIT: Haldean, your point is excellent and cancels out mine absolutely. Good thinking, you are entirely right. I would add that his attention and publicity itself should increase the credibility of rational analysis in the news, and that alone would be a great accomplishment.
It only works with U.S. mobile phone numbers right now, sorry!
Psh I think it's awesome and he's making statistics hawt right now. Gotta find your niche in something to make a name for yourself, anyway.
Very fast turn around, low quantity molds (~25 parts) is one of the few extremely promising possibilities for rapid prototyping. For speed you just can't beat the speed that you can get with this method, you can have fully functional parts in your hand a week after sending the model. You can turn around different hardnesses and colours in 2 days. I've used it, and it is a fantastic resource for experimentation with a part.
Amazing, love your project
I just moved here but this seems like a big deal too http://vote.wa.gov/results/current/Initiative-Measure-No-124...
Living in Colorado, I voted yes on Amendment 64. This was mostly because I think the hemp and 'recreation' industries will pull in a lot of tax revenue (of which, the first $40 million will be put directly into a public schools fund for the state), as well as potential job growth.

I'm not sure about the rest of the state, but Fort Collins and surrounding cities banned dispensaries within the city limits. Will this still be the case despite 64? Or will stores that sell marijuana products no longer be considered 'dispensaries'?

It will be interesting to see if the federal government will even let a hemp based industry get started up at all.
It started way before WW2 with Stalin's propaganda against Trocki. It rose once again after WW2 on political grounds when Stalin saw the birth of Israel as a threat that the vast jew population now having its own nation (and collaborating with the US) will undermine the integrity of the country. Contrary to Hitler's vision, Stalin's xenophobia wasn't based directly on ethnic grounds per se, it were delusions of a tyrant who slaughters its own people wherever and whenever he sees any political threat. The more modern antisemitic propaganda supposedly appeared under Putin's conflict with Jelcyn's oligarchs.

It won't make you feel better, but although anti-semitism is the most 'mainstream' discrimination, Russia is an enormous country full of various ethnic minorities under threat.

Take note although I've read a few about Russia, I'm far from an expert on it and it's a really complicated place for me, so you should investigate the issues I mentioned further to get a better view.
I'm actually optimistic about civil liberties in this country. Didn't see that coming. Two states legalized marijuana and possibly four more states have approved gay marriage (btw, I rarely smoke and I'm not gay).

Let's keep this going.
There are other themes, but they didn't get packaged in this release. The next release will have a bunch of new themes (and I think I've convinced Chris to add my own tomorrow-night theme from https://www.refheap.coms codemirror editor to it, woot) that you can set in the command bar with 'set theme sometheme'. Solarized dark is included, but the codemirror version of that is just as bad as the default theme.
quick image reference on Nate's predictions versus actual results: http://cl.ly/image/0744432U0S0L
Umm, I'm in the U.S. Texas to be specific with a U.S. Phone number.

Just sent an email to the connect email address with more details.
SCADA Security In A Post-Stuxnet World
And Netflix was willing to pay $1m to someone who could beat their own algorithm by 10%.

I haven't looked into Nate Silver's numbers, and certainly there would still be a reason for supporting him even if Romney had won tonight, but I think what most people are missing is that it's relatively straightforward to get pretty close to accurate, but incredibly difficult if not impossible to be completely accurate.

The predictions, as they get better, are going to asymptotically approach the actual results.
Congratulations Washington! Today is a day of forward thinking across the United States.

Also, Colorado voted to legalize Marijuana as well.
If I have their phone number why can't I just call/txt them and ask for their email address?
To his credit, he was wise enough to publish a book at just the time when people want to hear from him most. The downside of being the king of political prediction is that you're only popular once every four years. But you're really really popular, and he seems to be aware of and capitalizing on that.
Nate Silver's prediction vs the actual count (side-by-side comparison)
The most important part of this to me is that it generates a huge amount of precedent for the Latin American countries such as Uruguay and Guatemala that are considering legalization. The United States has used its global influence to push drug prohibition in other countries -- see for instance http://www.cannabis-med.org/english/bulletin/ww_en_db_cannab... -- and with these victories -- even if they prove to be merely nominal -- the people of Latin America can see that prohibition is crumbling.

There are some people who like to portray marijuana as a first-world-luxury or sideshow political issue, but for people in the countries most affected by the drug war, it is anything but. This electoral victory may just show some serious positive influence in Mexico, where the realities of drug prohibition have inflicted a lot of suffering on a lot of innocent people, and that's the real victory here.
He makes no sensasionalist claims that I've seen, he's only said that it's not a calibration error according to his testing.

In any case the mere presence of this type of bugs are a really strong point against wasting money in these devices.
>> If your goal is to make unique objects that you cannot find anywhere, then, sure, 3d printers are the future

In reality, uniqueness is overrated. Given a really large pool of objects to choose from(which are manufactured in mid quantities) , there's not a lot of consumer need for unique objects.

The largest market consumers do need unique objects is the healthcare market. But the economics there are totally different. for example 3d printing of dental crowns existed for a long time , but it doesn't(yet) captured the market with lower cost solutions(although it certainly has the power to do so, technically).
Sid Roth Articles
Sid Roth supernatural videos God told me to do it, He told me that the church was deficient; the Christian church was deficient, whereas the Jewish faith had been able to experience God’s favor, Sid Roth supernatural languages because of the spoken blessing over them, and He told me to study and then to be a part of restoring the spoken blessing to the church. Sid Roth Articles
Back in 2008 not one of you HN entrepreneurs would have hired him to run any kind of a startup.

Absurd. Running a country is not even remotely similar to running a startup. Bill Clinton presided over the largest economic expansion since World War II; he was a lawyer just like Obama, would you have hired him to run your startup?
There are those who are quick to point out that president Clinton can't really take that much credit for the complex factors that supervene in the emergence of an economic boom, they then go on to contradict themselves by suggesting that Romney does have the power to give everyone a job.

http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2012/11/romn...

Beyond that, it's simply silly to suggest that Obama or any president isn't qualified to preside over an economy. It's not as if Obama stays up late crunching stats, he obviously defers to qualified economists culled precisely for their particular expertise.

while I fear that my vote will not count because I live in California, I had to vote for the idea of a better potential future for both myself and my kids.

The future is not in peril; four more years of Obama won't destroy America any more than the last four, just like the world didn't end when Bush was elected for a second term.
Sid Roth Supernatural 2012
Thank you for asking on Sid Roth articles, I’ve only been here for a little less than three months; I found myself with the opportunity that God was opening up so many doors that I’ve never experienced before it made no sense to go back home after Sid Roth archives tv shows. And I have seen over a thousand miraculous healings from tumors disappearing to deafness, and when I say deafness I had two people, two young girls that were born deaf and God opened the ears of both of them. And it was also again, while I either laid hands on them or blew the shofar; and there has been over 200 salvations, the greatest miracle of those coming to accept Yeshua for the first time. - Sid Roth supernatural 2012
For those wondering, Vancouver borders Portland:

https://maps.google.com/maps?q=Vancouver,+WA&ie=UTF-8...
While you're eating a rainbow, might I suggest challenging the horizon to a race? ;)
Revenge of the Nerd. Sweet, sweet revenge :)
Which of your gay family members would prefer equality over employment and a growing standard of living?

This is obviously a false dichotomy but to say that you are postponing equality until prosperity is also. In the Bay Area (and probably in much of the religious south), Congressional and Presidential voting seems to focus on one issue group (gun control, abortion, gay marriage), everything else be damned.
Nope. Florida was predicted as going for Romney up until results starting coming in: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=74573...
I was looking at the jsfiddle and it doesn't work for me in FF16, is this Chrome only?
The number of possible outcomes is not the same as the probabilities of those outcomes. If I have a weighted coin that shows heads 90% of the time, there are two possible outcomes, but I'm happy to bet you $1 heads each time we flip the coin.

One successful or unsuccessful outcome is not evidence that the model works or doesn't work, but this is how probabilities work.
I've been reading Fooled by randomness , so i would ask , what proportion of his forecasting record can be attributed to just plain luck ?
How do you feel about legalization of other substances?
Ah, the smell of progress...
This'll take a lot of pressure off of people in Redmond...
I don't see the need, but you could easily make the poll yourself.
This, right here, is an excellent example of why institutionalized racism is a terrible thing. In any other situation, universities would be clamoring to have a student of such calibre study at their institution. But because this man was, heaven forbid, a Jew, they simply couldn't take him in.

This comment is mostly pointed at my home country of Malaysia, where "special rights" of members of a certain racial group is enshrined in our freakin constitution![0]

[0]: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_Malaysia#Articl...
I think the answer here is that it was better for Nate to join NYT- I imagine he was compensated well for the move. We can complain about it, but.. well, it isn't in our hands.
This is the first I've heard of this. How does Harvard penalize Asians?
must be talking about doobies ...
Ahem, he would be a warlock.
Yep. Feeling really good about this election.
I really hope the STEM immigration reform happens, independent of "comprehensive immigration reform". The main people blocking "just do the STEM part now" immigration reform are congressional Democrats, and I'm not sure if the election changes anything there. Maybe the President getting re-elected pretty solidly gives him more moral power in arguing with the Congress?
Ian Rankin - An authors journey (BBC iPlayer)
It'll be interesting to see what, if any, effect this has north of the border in British Columbia. Marijuana decriminalization and legalization has often been discussed in Canada, but one of the main arguments against a change in the law is that the United States would not approve. Seems like that may be changing.
This was the only vote that didn't go my way, unfortunately.
...and im trying to profiteer
http://www.facebook.com/HerbTours
> That strikes me as optimistic, but at the same time I think the latest it will happen in 2024, which is when various demographic, political, economic, and technological factors will be most favorably aligned.

sources?
Several admissions officers at Ivy league universities have admitted that because they get so many applications of similar-profile asian-americans (high grades, similar extracuriculars) they hold them to a "higher standard" than similarly-achieving non-asians. This is justified in the name of diversity.
In unrelated news, doctors announced unprecedented drops in the number of 20-40 year olds suffering from migraine headaches, irritable bowel syndrome, depression and insomnia.