skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Hah! I knew you guys were watching. First, I'm quite certain that is what dropbox and chrome do, but I'll leave research to you if you like.

And yes: getting cross distro (and especially multilib) support working is a big mess. But what you're doing is just awful. The scripts as-is are completely unusable on a Fedora box, because you've mixed "maintain the package installation" with "check for updates" with "run the binary" in a way that can't be cleanly separated. I'd literally have to rewrite most of your stuff just to use it, and that's dumb. Other providers (Skype is another good example, by the way) don't have this problem. Please study their solutions.
Possibly illegal, also. Unfortunately for urban uses. [1]

The stoves got plenty of attention from passers-by, including the police, who ordered BioLite to stop.

“It was going really well until the cops showed up, and we packed up and made our way back,” Ms. Rosen said. “I can sympathize with them — we’re in a disaster emergency, and here come a group of people with literally a table that’s on fire.”

[1] http://gadgetwise.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/06/biolite-stove... It seems a little heavy for actually using to backpack. But looks like a great disaster/recovery kit.
Yeah claiming to be the most sophisticated PCB editor is a massive stretch.

Just looking at the last project I did and the features I could not have done without, do you have differential pair routing? Interactive length tuning? From-tos? Pin swapping? Integration with some part swapping system for the manufacturer? Export and then reimport of DSNs for Electra/Specctra? Polygon pours? Integration with PLMs? Use scripting engine?

As far as working with Altium goes, those features are all pretty basic.
All voting against the incumbent does is attempt to flip flop between our two shitty parties all the time.
Nate Silver's calculations are certainly more sophisticated that a simple time-weighted average of legitimate polling numbers, but are they more accurate?

His baseball projection system, PECOTA, was extremely complex, but barely, barely outperformed a simple 3-year weighted average with an age component (Marcel), and some years was worse. Other projection systems that didn't take player comps into account were better overall than PECOTA (CHONE being the best, before the creator was hired away by a team).
Interesting read and I've heard similar stories, as well as know one person who got in, but still talks about how terrible it was even after admission... this is of course terrible and blatantly stupid of any nation to discriminate of bright minds on questions of faith or origin... but what does it have to do with Hacker News?
Can you explain why someone would want this? I'm not sure I've ever been in this situation before (only have someone's phone number but want to email them).
IMO you still see people using XP because that was the peak. It was certainly better than Vista, I cannot give an unbiased review of Win 7.
Let's be honest though, the number of likely outcomes was low enough that simply picking the correct one isn't too impressive.

Edit: I meant to say that the prediction itself was unspectacular, however I respect the meticulous-ness of his process.
It's just a brief G+ post with two links, but if you want to see what it's talking1bout just go here instead: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
"Steady progress" - just to make someone not familiar with the pharma industry gets this correctly : this means only the safety part of the drug has been proven, but there is no efficacy proof so far, so technically speaking we are very far away from a commercial vaccine. Probably 5-7 years more work ahead, assuming nothing goes wrong. And efficacy may not be a binary scenario, depending on the virus strains, since HIV is known to mutate a lot. Don't hold your breath, even if this is encouraging.
I wonder how much money he could be (is?) making in prediction markets like Intrade.
Washington voters approve legalized marijuana
He was down by 200k a few minutes ago, now he's only down by 110k. California has about 20 million more votes to count, if Obama takes them 55/45, should be good enough to take the popular vote.
This is nothing. I was texting on my phone and it changed "Romny" to "Ronny."

Microsoft must be behind it.
AMD Releases New Opterons as CIO and Corporate VP Leave the Company
As far as rdio is concerned, there is no requirement for a proxy server. They actually allow "US users" to travel abroad and listen to rdio. So, what you need to do is get through registration somehow.

That works pretty well if you:

a. Have a credit card with a US address

b. Can go through Amazon payments with a US zipcode

I have a credit card with a US address and therefore was able to sign up with no problems at all. Been using rdio for over a year and really enjoying it :)

For those that do not have a card with a US address, it's still possible to get through using one of those pre-paid debit cards/asking an American buddy to help/something else.

TLDR; rdio does not do IP based filtering.
Try browsing the NYT incognito - it seems to avoid the login prompts.
Quite impressive. Prediction in any form is difficult; more so when there are a million people involved.
The difference? Sample size. In baseball, everyone has the same data. It's all the data available. There's no sampling going on; it's a projection from past performance. Which, in many ways, is way more difficult.

His advantage in 538 is that he is using very sound statistical methods to combine multiple polls to increase the effective sample size and shrink confidence intervals. The complexities there are all related to increasing the individual pollster's historic performance and simulating the actual election.
What the hell are you talking about? If you actually placed bets by nate silver you could make quite a lot of money.

The number of outcomes is very high on a parlay bet like this.
Disagree with this. NYT brought a much better user experience and much nicer data presentation, and leant him a feeling of legitimacy too. There's a reason the NYT has the reputation it does.
Ask HN: If the world were to end 2 years from now, what would you do?
Would you still be working on what you are working on now. If not, are you sure you are doing the right thing now?
Sorry I wasn't clear, but the ability to "undo" an operation definitely requires a programming model change. The sandbox is only one part of that.

Rolling your own magic sandbox isn't going to help much without more buy in from the environment (though, I'm sure most of us test in sandboxes anyways).
His testing isn't thorough. He shows us the incorrect voting, and doesn't have enough sense to prove the other buttons are fine with his video camera.
Thanks for your thoughts, you brought up a few points I hadn't thought of. I haven't worked in a international corporate environment but the collaboration ability is an interesting advantage. Printed injection molds are also interesting. I had a project that involved this but it ended up getting shelved before this step so I don't have much original or personal commentary on it.

I am hesitant on the argument of getting excited about 3D printing for as-of-yet unthought of uses. Its a fine argument for science exploring but if we are imagining the future or if I were an investor in 3D printers, a more concrete vision of how A becomes B is needed.
I think you need to be more direct with what Light Table does. I tried creating a C file and executing it, it prompts me to start a "local client" (whatever that is).
Obviously I could be doing more to inform myself but skimming the first few paragraphs of this article didn't give me a better idea, neither did the software.
The scrollbar is also very hard to click on. The minimize and maximize buttons look to have the same color on my screen. I'm assuming I have a cheap setup, but that's how it is in the real world (I hope I'm not adding snark here, but it really is). A tooltip on what they do would be nice as well.
If you get this working with a language like C# or Golang, you'll probably get a customer with me because I like the general idea of working with functions instead of files. Maybe you can add powerful addon functionality if you don't plan to do this yourself.
Ask HN: How do I deal with illicit/lease-breaking roommate behavior?
I signed a rental agreement with someone who was at the time a good friend of mine.

He has drastically changed for the worse and is breaking our rental agreement in about 5 different ways.

* Smoking illegal substances inside the apartment. (He previously didn't do this)

* His (new) girlfriend lives with us, which started breaking our rental agreement one week after she moved in and has been going on for 2-3 months now.

* Other, smaller things like general cleanliness of the apartment and keeping things outside our apartment that are also breaking the rental agreement.

Personally I don't care what he does on his own time, but I'm seriously concerned about getting evicted or worse. I've tried to be civil and ask him to have her move out and ask him to stop smoking but it hasn't worked and the situation is getting worse. I have screenshots of text messages where he admits that his girlfriend has been living with us for two months (breaks our rental agreement).

I sent an email to our landlord asking about my options for the lease (I plan to be away and had to notify the landlord because it will be longer than three weeks anyway) and am still waiting for a reply.

How do I handle this sort of situation in California? I don't want to get evicted, but I also don't want to get pegged for the smoke damage or drug possession. In addition, he's shaving off rent and refuses to pay bills, etc.

If I need to speak with a lawyer, what kind do I look for?
For anyone that has experience with various types of fliers like this, why does battery life suck so much and are there any options that can be used to extend it very significantly? Is it a matter of needing to invent better batteries, would reducing weight be the best option, or does it need to run off of some different fuel source to improve?

I guess my question really is: will this improve over time, or is there some real stumbling block that's holding that back?
Correct English or not, you "layed out" a board, not "laid" it.
At the time of posting, it also looks like Washington is going to pass their marijuana ballot too.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/06/marijuana-legalizat...
I don't know what you mean by this.

Are you referring to "Obama wins" as a potential coin flip? Because Silver's prediction was more nuanced than that.

Are you talking about his predictions for the 50 states, which represented a potential (albeit naive) 2^50 combinations? Because he called some very close states, including a Florida election that he forecasted as an Obama victory by hundredths of a percent.

Or are you just trolling?
Interestingly enough, Washington State's similar initiative, Initiative 502, passed as well tonight. It would seem momentum is growing around legalization. How the federal government via the DEA and DOJ ultimately handle these two victories for legalization proponents may be telling in regard to how close a national concensus is.
Mac OSX was never hideous to look at. The interface may have been slow, but the multi-tasking on it was awesome at the time. I remember being able to play DVD's and browse the web and download large files at the time and the system never blinked, and no frames were ever dropped on the DVD playback. Regarding the Surface, the hardware is nice, and the software can fortunately be fixed. The question is will enough people buy it?
Including Alaska and Hawai'i, with zero precincts reporting!

</sarcasm>
Obama's 'Four more years' victory tweet already the most retweeted of all time
I think I speak for everyone when I say thank god politics is not like baseball :)

But seriously, congratulations to Nate Silver. I think this vindicates his method, at least for America. He was badly wrong with the last British election, whether because of bad polling data or an insufficient understanding of the system, so I was apprehensive going into this one. But it seems like, for America at least, he's cracked it. I think it's inevitable considering the absurd quantity of polling data available that someone would eventually.
What I mean is that if you put 100 random people and a room, and explain the likely outcomes to them, its reasonable to expect that each of those outcomes is chose at least once.

There was not anything wildly unexpected that happened, and therefore his predictions being correct seems unspectacular.
If you take all the simple weighted average with an X component and then selectively choose X after the fact, you can beat a lot of things.
This reminded me of just how nice the Doom WAD format is: http://doomwiki.org/wiki/WAD

When a friend complained that he had a hard time figuring out which maps were present in a given WAD, I enjoyed myself while writing a utility to organize them into directories with map numbers. I kept thinking: this is how you serialize data. Looking back on the code now, it's still easy to understand.
My main concern would be spam. At the moment I get telemarketing calls on my mobile, but with this people could spam me through my phone number. You might want to mention to people how you combat that when you send your opt in SMS
The only highly uncertain states were Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. (Based on the time before results started coming in). So really there were 9 safe predictions, having picked one of them does not make the OP's story spectacular.
Edit: missed that part
tl;dr: Tax it.
That statement is true though. It just becomes something altogether different when your truth tables have billions of entries.
I think they may be on to something here. It simply means you can have one source (contact detail) to reach out into many. It may not even be a pertinent MVP for every individual, but the linkage, and potential with a bit of creative thought behind it, is pretty cool.

Full disclosure: I know / am good friends with the original post author / creator of ThinBox, but that had no influence on my comment.
One way to look at is that there were only about 6 states that could go either way, so he picked 6/6.
No, it doesn't. Because someone still has to win.
But he won as compared to all the pure poll averages. One presumes that weighting of polls is the biggest factor in his model now over others, so that sounds pretty good to me.
Actually, I believe when there are a million people involved it's actually easier. As long as you have access to good data that is.
Make sure you make it easy to cancel, e.g. instructions in the first text for how to block your number from the registry. People who do not have a texting plan in favor of iMessage, Skype, etc. but do not block all incoming texts by default will thank you. I got a text like this recently from AIM mobile-something-or other from some weird spammy address. The second message contained instructions on how to block any future requests, but afaik I'm going to see all the messages that were sent in the meantime on my bill at $.10/ea– I'm glad I wasn't roaming, since the price essentially triples.
In this particular election, so far there have been zero surprises. In other words, an idiot who simply read the polls could have made the correct prediction simply by being unclever.

This election is not a validation of Silver's models because this particular election did not need a model.
If he's wrong on AK and HI, I will eat my hat, a moose, and a rainbow.
Spooky Link Found Between Gh0st RAT, DDoS Botnet
So how is this any different then linking to a torrent tracker? I mean, I get it, I live in New Zealand and it sucks that our only legal option for viewing media is by paying for SKY and waiting 6 months - a year or more for shit to reach us.

This is still copyright infringement though, you are not authorized to view the media because you live outside the countries that these companies have the rights to broadcast to.

I can't help but feel this sort of shit is just to make people feel better about piracy. You may as well just be honest with yourself and go ahead and download torrents, at least then you aren't actually costing Hulu, Netflix, Pandora etc money by using their bandwidth.
> to combine multiple polls to increase the effective sample size and shrink confidence intervals

How does this work? I was under the impression that to shrink the confidence interval by half you need 4x as many sample points, but there must be more sophisticated statistical methods at work here.
I was looking at the Intrade prediction market a couple of days ago.. I think they got everything correct too.
unfortunately it just failed in Oregon:

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/11/state_m...
What else would the point of the "I voted" stickers be?
As an outsider, I'm not sure I understand what this means. Can someone explain how this will work in practice? in the sense that this doesn't over-rule federal laws, and presumably federal agencies (like the DEA) will still operate in Colorado?
It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.

-- Yogi Berra
Are there any other instances of this kind of issue to compare this against and see how it's going to play out. I'm trying to think of other instances where something was illegal at the federal level, and states have made that legal?
What you call a toy covers the needs of the vast majority of "everyday" users.

Regardless of your feelings on the matter, whether it's pertinent to call it a toy or not is left as an exercise to the reader.
The same way they do now. They'll do a bust every couple of months to keep their directors happy.
As a former manager of mine said (paraphrasing): having to vote once every several years is a small inconvenience to endure for getting to live in such a well off country.
Is it still a repost if it is from a different website ? I remember when steve jobs died the front page was all covered with "reposts"
He has consistently predicted election results throughout his career based on some of the most extensive polling analysis of anyone out there. Alleging that he just made a couple lucky guesses is ridiculous.
As far as I can tell, no one's sure yet.
As a Washington state resident, the thought of Oregonian pot tourists sends a shiver down my spine. :)
Use AutoMan to program with people
I disagree. Here's an archive from post-2008 election: http://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethi...

The old page contains more information yet looks friendlier. The nytimes style is more streamlined, but it became too sanitized. The content became sanitized too; Nate Silver could be more himself when it was his blog. He gave personal accounts, he was more honest, etc.
Presumably Silver's projection is "priced in" to Intrade.
"On-Topic: Anything that good hackers would find interesting. That includes more than hacking and startups. If you had to reduce it to a sentence, the answer might be: anything that gratifies one's intellectual curiosity"

This was interesting, as you noted.
As someone that doesn't smoke weed and never wants to. I'm happy that this got passed. I want Cartels to go out of business.
A wonderful quote, but this is the only google result for it. Can you provide a source?
Here's VA http://electionresults.virginia.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=PRE&...
Reporting at 100%. 50%/48% in favor of Obama.
You, me, almost every economist, and a huge group of law enforcement professionals.
Slavery? :-P
Great post! An oft heard question, we get as a start-up selling to large enterprises is - How will you meet our need for these N custom features? Being constrained on the software development side, we've found it helpful to triage the client needs and lay out a phased plan for development.
Also finding a champion for our product in the client organization, usually a mid-senior level executive, who can coach us through their decision making process has been helpful
This was inevitable. The Oregon law was based on the tomato model, which is only 1 / 5th as popular as the tax and regulate like alcohol model:

http://blog.norml.org/2012/10/24/59-of-all-americans-want-ma...

If the law gets rewritten and makes it onto the ballot again in four years then it will pass easily.
There is no need to go Ubuntu only. See how Humble Indie Bundle packaged Torchlight. It works on many major distros, DEB, RPM based and etc.
Show HN: Stalker, a jQuery Plugin That Follows Users on a Page
NPR had a really nice results dashboard also: http://election2012.npr.org/
Provided we also legalize same-sex marriage, this voting cycle will make me proud to be a Washington native.
Interesting approach to cross service contact. We've taken a different tact with our app - http://tray.io.

Interested to see how it develops!
Palo Alto's marijuana measure heads toward defeat
Vancouver, WA is going to be an interesting place.
Nate's Prediction and actual results side by side http://twitter.com/cosentino/status/266042007758200832/photo...
And yet no serious publications were willing to admit this info. I think the biggest value of fivethirtyeight has been to cut through all the partisan and non-committal predictions coming from the media and rest of the web.
I'm the same way. I don't smoke but I think the lives saves from legalization is worth it.

Disclosure: I live in Colorado and voted for the amendment.
An eLearning platform for schools in Asia? Very interesting, could we talk more in detail on email? (tianshuo_at_gmail.com)
Provided this actually happens (ie: it doesn't get sabotaged by the DEA), I expect Colorado's tourist numbers and college applications will compete for the largest increase next year.

Not a weed smoker here, but good to see some sanity emerging.
We also got another district this cycle. Hurrah. Northwest peoples!
Possibly the least accurate TL;DR I have ever read.
Y'all also fell for another initiative from Tim Eyman.
So, Nate Silver seems to deserve the even higher profile he'll have after this election, but his model is pretty explicitly not predicting the outcomes of any individual states. They're giving estimated probabilities of the various outcomes, and the (presumptive) outcome that happened was given a probability of ~20%, which was more likely than any other particular outcome, but a far cry from "calling the states."

The big difference is that if this were to happen over and over again ("this" meaning that the most likely predicted outcome actually materializes), that would be (weak) evidence against his model -- if the model's right, he should "correctly call" the states only about 20% of the time. No more and no less.

But good for him, because he's had a lot of unjustified criticism for the last month or so, so he's due some (slightly) unjustified praise.
Alcohol prohibition in the United States underwent a similar process. New York legalized alcohol, while it was still prohibited by federal law. Eventually, enough states had stopped arresting and prosecuting people for alcohol that it was not feasible to continue federal prohibition.

Yes, the DEA may have a presence in Colorado and Washington, but the vast majority of law enforcement is handled by local authorities. When enough local authorities stop enforcing the federal prohibition of cannabis, the prohibition will come to an end.