skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Although I am not going to fault the conclusion, there are a number of questionable assumptions in this analysis.

One is that the expected value of an effort is not the probability of trying times the expected value of succeeding.
Multiplying by 1% since only 1% of companies raise VC funds is not relevant. The correct proportion should be the percentage of companies that try to raise VC funds which are successful. Say this is 10%.

Two is that you are not going to spend the 10 years used for comparison trying and failing to raise VC funding. After 6 months you should give up, and spend the next 9.5 years trying to build a small business (expected value = (90% chance of failing to raise VC funding) * (9.5years/10years)* $356.4k ~ $305k).

Three is that the expected value of an exit is not the probability of a minimum exit cutoff times that exit value. There is a power law distribution to success, so the expected value of an exit is much higher than $100M * 2%. I'll be lazy and guess that the expected value is 3x higher due to the power law distribution of success (I imagine 3x is grossly underestimating here).

This makes the expected value of the VC success $3.3k * 10x * 3x ($100k) + the expected value that you give up on VC funding and start a small business ($305k), or approximately $405k. Not nearly so obvious a choice as painted in this blog post.
Company creates petrol from the air
Is Hacker News running on your desktop now?
No, it helps, by clearly showing novices that Android Police is a reputable news site and the Gawker family is shite.
This is a good example where downvoting, provided this is the rationale, is a poor decision. Why not just comment? Even if it is a simple note. Honest question. Not trying to weigh in on this partcular subject per-se, but this comment makes it seem like its normal course practice on HN. (disclosure: & I just upovoted TZS, for raising his hand on this).
This is very promising, but it seems to only understand one virtual desktop at a time, no?
Top Reasons Why You Shouldn't Redesign
Hear hear. I've been saying a similar thing for a long time.

If the business is so great why sell? The act of selling implies you think it's worth less than what someone else is willing to pay which is dishonest. If you thought it was worth more you wouldn't sell (under most situations, there are always exceptions).

Why shouldn't a VC hold on to the great business they've built for the sake of future cash flow? A great business should be able to get funding.

It also drives the wrong behavior. Instead of building a real business that lasts better build the appearance of a business that will fetch a good price. Such and such multiple of sales (what about profit? future cash flow?). Such and such many users (who may never pay you a cent). This behavior doesn't stop at the first exit, it perpetuates throughout the lifetime of many public companies; focus on looking good rather than being good.

I always thought the original purpose of the stock market was for companies to raise money to go after bigger things- it seems the purpose today is to "exit".

EDIT with another thought:
To me, build a business vs. build an exit strategy should be orthogonal to VC vs. bootstrap. You can bootstrap and work towards an IPO and you should be able to VC without selling the business. I think everyone would benefit from a frame of mind that is about building successful, sustainable, long lasting businesses.
Pinterest-lized Sites
Shallow social integration like "tweet this" or "like that" is crap, I am really not interested in that. What I am really hoping to build is an app that users can connect over their friends with.
I guess there are two reasons for social integration: promotion, which involves broadcasting the users participation to his circles (and I care less for that), but the other is engagement (come back to the app because the users friends did something interesting there). Games like Draw Something or Words With Friends for example are fun even when you aren;t tweeting actions to the non-participating audience. But its a lot less fun if its just a game you play with the computer itself.
Keith Devlin's Abstract Math site
I definitely know where you're coming from. I get calls like that a lot and I With all the consumer complaints these nuisance calls created, I don't understand WHY these companies still operate!

Well, yeah, there's that thing they call the freedom to "advertise" but what the ?? They're already trespassing into our freedom to privacy!

I don't know anybody who'd disagree but if these companies continue this unethical business practice, I would surely be happy to see them shut down!!!!
Well... I've been using Windows 7 on one computer at work and it's really bad compared to how smooth both Macs and Ubuntu (Unity and Gnome) are. Little things like the cluttered Aero theme, to the really horrid font rendering, the confusing ideas of "Libraries" mixed with filesystem folders to the unspeakable mess that is the control panel compound to make Windows an awful experience.

Windows 8 is much better but, still, leaves a lot to be desired before it can claim the smoothness of its competitors. It evolved by adding pieces and, after so many years of layer upon layer of stuff added, it starts to show. Windows 8 has some good ideas, but a lot of it is change for the sake of change.
That looks nice. You could improve things a lot by using even a simple model to account for opponent quality, home field advantage, etc.: a simple fixed-effects regression model with team-level effects would be one approach and would take only a few lines of R code.

For an example, look at: http://www.pseudotrue.com/details which is my blog, so this is a pretty shameless plug but I don't really know of a different reference.

The point of using model isn't because you believe the model is true or expect it to necessarily be accurate, but because it can give you a better measure than just looking at (say) yards per game.

But your site is cool as is, so good job.

edit: tweaked URL to point to the right page.
I think it is also important to remember that iOS (and similar devices) have a much stronger security model from a technical standpoint (low-level, near complete sandboxing with white-listed permisions). As apposed to most desktop computers where almost every program runs with full user permisions, and in the case of windows 95 (and maybe also XP), that normal user tended to be an administrator.

I don't really think most computer sophisticates have a problem with a walled garden, but rather a problem with a locked down garden. In linux, for example, the standard means of installing software is through a central repository maintained by whoever maintains the OS, and all of the software in that repository is reviewed before being added. The difference is that if the user wants to, they can install software not offered through the repository, and/or add 3rd party repositories.
Great analogy - and I'm sorry if I didn't make it clear that I am in agreement with those who are assessing our risk from TSA backscatter radiation, and trying to do an assessment of the risk/reward function.

What I was trying to (and failed to) do was focus on the fact that I'm getting radiated while flying - and I don't ever recall that being talked about in much detail, and certainly not by any airline staff. For example - do I get more radiation from an open window? Do they make window screens that can block radiation? Is there any research into reducing radiation exposure while flying? In much the same way we take a risk while driving, but now have Air Bags, ABS Breaks, tempered glass, break away wheel columns, etc... - I'm wondering if we're putting the same effort into the radiation risk while flying.

I just never heard much about it until the TSA added the backscatter machines.
And guess what? All you trespassers out there, be aware that I am reporting your phone numbers to Callercenter.com every time you call. Just so you know, in case you start wondering why your calls seemed to be blocked.

You want publicity by harassing me? I give you just that. Negative publicity!
Google News was aggregating the PR site, so lot's of people would have seen the story that way. Why they were doing that is another question.
Joining healthcare to a single place of employment was a mistake from the very beginning. Luckily, health care is comparable when purchased separately, depending on obvious factors.
I don't like speed cameras any more than anyone else - but the fact that it's legal to obviously evade laws with technology means that either there's something seriously wrong with the government/laws and that needs to change, or if we all agree that these laws are for the greater good (we don't seem to) then products like this shouldn't be legal.

Just my irrelevant 2c.
Could you explain the link?
I've always preferred to do it in public. If there are any shenanigans, I want non-TSA witnesses.
I have heard of many startups trying to tackle this niche. I haven't seen anyone pull it off as gracefully as zetrip (referring especially to the UI as featured on the zetrip.com front page). There is a lot of utility (and thus, profit-potential) in this market, I'm impressed overall and I look forward to seeing the infographic on my fb wall within 24 hrs.
Why does the title to the submission refer to Keith Devlin when each page on the submitted site says "Produced by Charles Wells"?

http://www.cwru.edu/artsci/math/wells/home.html

http://www.abstractmath.org/
Mozilla Popcorn -- annotated, remixed and popped
AirBnB does pretty well on an IRS-flouting (and similar state-level authorities) business model.
So much for dogfooding...
Good job, and bookmarked. When Stripe makes it to Europe / Australia, you'll have another customer.
The ideas that matter are the ones that survive short term tactical changes. If you don't have one of those, what are you really doing? Ever found yourself saying "well, the idea is that..."

yeah.
Mojibake from acm.org?
really nicely done, would love to see NFL stats
The word spiritual is usually used as an intentional avoidance of religious particulars.
The pricing seems way out of wack. If, for instance, I wanted to use your product to create a squarespace competitor, I'd need a $99 licence per user per month?

I can't actually think of a practical use case for the Pro-xx accounts. A fairly simple blog would easily have a 100 assets or more. Even a simple corporate blog would have 100 assets after a few months.

In particular, I'm trying to figure out what your expected use case is for the Pro-20 account ... what kind of site would I have only 20 assets that I want multiple editors to be able to change?

Websites tend to be many asset/many editors or many assets/few editors. I can't think of too many few assets/many editor situations.
The key is diversity; I use municipal bond funds and have had great success and much more income than from treasuries.
Thanks for the submission of the blog post hosted by a major newspaper. I hope this gets as many eyeballs as the two less carefully edited blog posts that mistakenly said "Minnesota Gives Coursera the Boot" or, worse still, "Free Online Education Is Now Illegal in Minnesota." So many of these tempests in teapots arise overnight in the relevant time zones, without enough taking time to check facts and verify conditions on the ground. As I look at the active stories view of HN

http://news.ycombinator.com/active

much attention is being devoted to ideas about Minnesota that are obsolete. Cooler local heads have prevailed, and the Legislature will clarify the law, if need be, after the general election as state legislators begin new terms of office. Have a good night, everyone.
I thought this was a fun game, I had no problems with crashing on my phone, 4s, iOS6. I hope you continue with new games, or enhancing this one, if that's your interest.
I agree with what you are saying but I don't think that's what Bezos was getting at (as paraphrased, anyway).

What trait signified someone who was wrong a lot of the time? Someone obsessed with details that only support one point of view. If someone can’t climb out of the details, and see the bigger picture from multiple angles, they’re often wrong most of the time.

There are two points here: Getting lost in the details and getting stuck on a particular idea. Obviously they can reenforce each other in a bad way.
Doesn't that suggest the state can ban online courses if there is profit involved? That the state's power to "protect consumers" extends as far as their exposure to pure speech?

The law's intent is to protect Minnesota students from wasting their money on degrees from substandard institutions, Roedler says.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/college-inc/post/minneso...
I always refuse the private room as well, not so much because of the witnesses but since it seems to me to be a much more efficient protest to have American citizens see a guest in their country being molested by their security personnel.
It's a legitimate question. Bitly should do a GET request to the resource before creating the 1.use.gov link. This is standard practice. It should work quite well in this case because the open redirectors under .gov are just poorly programmed; they're not actively trying to avoid detection.
Great idea! I'm also working on an interactive resume, but havent finished or pushed the code to github yet. http://www.stevewight.com/resume
Good stuff! You should consider supporting recurring billing, too.
Here's Carl Sagan talking about the "Pale Blue Dot", it's definitely worth a watch: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wupToqz1e2g
What I don't understand is, why would anyone accept terms that had any relation to profits at this point? Surely this is well-known by now?

I can understand this working for a while, but it's amazing how long it's been going on.
Way exaggerated. At most they get some road bumps. Nobody's going to prison.
I'm not sure about the "news.ycombinator.com@" bit, but the number can be identified like this:

$ ping 1249739877
PING 1249739877 (74.125.132.101) 56(84) bytes of data.
64 bytes from 74.125.132.101: icmp_req=1 ttl=41 time=395 ms
...

Looks like a Google IP.

$ nslookup 74.125.132.101
Server: 127.0.0.1
Address: 127.0.0.1#53

Non-authoritative answer:
101.132.125.74.in-addr.arpa name = wb-in-f101.1e100.net.
...

Sure is. And Google redirects wb-in-f101.1e100.net to its main page.
That whole interview was a good read, thanks.
Can you imagine what the Egypt uprisings would have been like if this new feature was implemented last year? The freedom of publication on Twitter played a major role in developing significant change and gaining momentum in Egypt. So, in my opinion, this is a dangerous new feature to start developing on social media sites.
I dunno... Sometimes I miss the good 'ole days.
>UPDATE: Downvoted? Larry, is that you?

>UPDATE 2: Wow, I've never had a post that goes up and down in votes like this one.

Please don't do this. A good rule of thumb is that, if it will annoy people on reddit, it's probably not appropriate for HN.
city did a great job maintaining those planters

Chicago?

When I lived there, I often fantasized about getting one of those super-sticky stickers (apparently the Post Office gives them out for free) and sticking it on the camera lens. If only I had a ladder.
Maybe change your title to "Any particular app you want built for WinRT?" or something similar. Right now the title looks much more like you're trying to ask for others to join you rather than you soliciting ideas for apps to build.
I'm not sure about this specific example, but I could see a couple of reasons:

* One really wants the movie to be made, like a Clint Eastwood figure director who likes the script, regardless of the cost to self

* Director is new and potentially naive; agent is no good

* Director is new, not naive, and wants to make a brand for him- or herself in the movie world (and knows the movie isn't bound for a Saturday Syfy special... /snark)
Indeed. Though with a 3d printer I may well be able to download a car someday...
I don't know many talented directors. I know a few bumblers, but perhaps that's because I don't live in CA?
MacHeist 4 Bundle
Might be a bad analogy considering Chuck Norris is completely insane:

"You and I have a rendezvous with destiny. We will preserve for our children this last best hope for man on earth, or we will sentence them to take the first step into a thousand years of darkness."
The part before the @ part is supposed to be the username for HTTP authentication. The complete format is http://username:password@site.com but the password is optional.
If we're doing feedback on version-controlled-via-Github "interactive" resumes, my I present mine?

http://judy.github.com/

- It parses via the hResume microformat, although I've never been able to fully test that. Is there a way to do that now?

- It prints quite nicely; there are hidden sections that allow me to move the contact information up top when you're printing it, more like a traditional resume.

- It's responsive. It should look good on any phone, tablet, or traditional display.

Please, please fork it if you like it. You have my full permission. (I mean, just don't copy the content, mmmkay?)
MW3 Hacked Lobby
I missed how he got from the photo upload to being referenced. Did he trigger this by submitting a tip someplace or did someone run across the image on Picasa, and if so, how did they find it? His timeline seems to imply he took no action other than uploading the photo, but then there is that submission screenshot with no explanation. Where did he submit it?
Have you tried the GNOME Remix installer? I haven't given it a try, but my understanding is that it comes without Unity.

https://wiki.ubuntu.com/UbuntuGNOME/ReleaseNotes/12.10
Louis Vuitton Online Shop|Louis Vuitton Sale
Hot Asian female model in photo shoot
I've read/heard that it's best to flip your experience with education unless you want to be viewed as someone entry-level. When education is the best thing you've done, sure, list that first. But when you've created things like an actual business, you want to highlight that first and foremost.

Like the inefficiencies of a call to action being hid at the bottom of a page, you want to highlight your best value proposition (most likely to be the most recent thing you've done) closest to the top.
Check at the top on the front page or any of the show pages - there is an option to toggle to search movies as well.
Actually, I'm going to reply myself as I'm looking at it again. I built this when Bootstrap was hot shit; it's now a bit cliche-looking, so to speak. I may play with the styles.

I've also gone back and forth on having a picture or not. That pic is on every other "resume" site out there, like Dice or StackOverflow Careers or LinkedIn.

I'm also not looking for a job currently, but I AM looking to speak at more events, now that I'm doing open source work for a living. I wonder how the structure should change?
To be fair, this is probably all because some bureaucrat couldn't say "I don't know."
Colony: Visualise your JavaScript Project Structures with d3 and Node
You raise a good point. If I attempt to print it, Chrome has a terrible time rendering it for print; it's completely unreadable. I think that may just be the custom fonts used. OP should figure that out with a print stylesheet.
PNaCl was announced quite a while ago, and is a publicly developed open source project. The new detail here is just when it should start shipping to stable for use in Apps and Extensions.
The thing is, people who are that new and naive can't demand much in the first place. People who are in a position to take a slice worth worrying about would presumably know better.

I guess that's not completely true, going by the Scott Derrickson example, but it still seems strange to me.
Hi all,

I'm Jon, inventor of the noPhoto. I was a bit shocked to login and find 14,000 views to our website today, and that a lot of them came from here! Thanks to all of you for your support. I figured I'd clear up a couple of points while I'm here.

1. The noPhoto does react more than fast enough. The shutter speed of the red light camera is actually irrelevant when dealing with optical slave triggers, technology which has been used in the photography world for a long time.

2. The noPhoto does defeat multiple pictures at once, and it does work in the daytime. I can't post a link here, but if you go to our youtube channel you can see a video we shot to show it working under a few different conditions.

3. Most studies that are not funded by the red light camera companies show that these cameras actually increase both overall accidents as well as injury-causing accidents.

4. We do not support running red lights intentionally. The noPhoto is not meant to enable irresponsible drivers to blow through intersections with impunity - rather, the hope is that by installing a noPhoto, drivers will drive as they did before the dangerous red light cameras were installed.

If there's any other questions you have, feel free to ask. Thanks!
Just opt-out. I always did. It's not a great situation, but slow progress beats no progress.
Don't know if you're joking, but I don't think the directors are getting shafted by this creative bookkeeping.
I probably fly a little more frequently than the average citizen (once a quarter or so). I opt out 100% of the time. My reasons are are a little further down the tin-foil hat spectrum though... I'm not comfortable with the government having a highly accurate 3D model of my body.
not allowed to practice a religion that involves sacrificing animals (but farms allowed to do it, go figure)

Citation please. Note that http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church_of_Lukumi_Babalu_Aye_v._... suggests that animal sacrifice is protected under the Constitution.
High school whiz kid retracts PLoS ONE herd immunity paper
I hope you can port a Lua or AWK interpreter to WinRT. If those are too big, try Scheme.
I can promise you my love of knowledge is bright and receptive. I've read the federalist papers and the writings of many who claim to be the intellectual successors of Hamilton, Jay, and Madison.

If only the US were a democracy instead of a representative republic! But, given the standard human condition, we still coalesce into tribes. Be it based on race, religion, hometown, shared career, you name it, we form blocs. These blocs then either innately or in response to other blocs seek to gain power (heck, that's what political science _is_, the study of acquisition of power, and it's far from a solved question). So the fairy dust solution of "everyone" being the minority represented doesn't really hold true in the real world.

Thus, given these constraints, I conclude a for-profit-society is more transparent and navigable than a profit-for-society. If one were to assume that everyone else lived a profit-for-society life, then one defector would be able to manipulate the entire society to their personal aims. Though I strive to live my personal life to a more noble ideal, I cannot assume everyone else will.

Your proposal is akin to the ideal anarcho-capitalists* have, in that states compete. As I understand the philosophy, judicial systems and police forces are private and distinct. Law is common-law, meaning it's not case based, but rather takes into account the accuser, accused, and the situation. The will of the court is then implemented via by a hired police force. The issue is then when courts and police merge horizontally and vertically. You then have a _de_ _facto_ state. It's unavoidable, and the answer is "Well, you obviously can't have a society where people are like that." This answer ignores the strategic human element. One cannot even call this behavior immoral, as it likely comes about with noble intentions.

Anyway, just some thoughts. I salute your goals.

*EDIT: anarcho-capitalists (ancaps), not socio-anarchists.
Of course, it's hard to track down cars with no license plates...
I predict the first US citizen to shoot down one of these will instantly become a folk hero.
A Handbook of Mathematical Discouse
Have you given Pyramid a look?