skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> How can his supporters appreciate all this - constant - chaos

A lot of people in USA felt they were entitled to their slice of the American dream, did not achieve it because we stopped building houses therefore you can't buy one on a high school education like our parents and grandparents did. Add in what appears to be somewhat of a collapse in people starting relationships/families and you suddenly have a massive segment of the population with little to lose.

I presume many on the HN community are insulated from this reality of life in USA.
No one will make long-term investments in US manufacturing capabilities in response to policy that will revert in 4 years.
RFK did this to Carlos Marcello. Was it right then?
Could be (a bit) worse. Lyndon Johnson named his dick "jumbo", and on occasion would take it out in front of journalists etc.
https://bsky.app/profile/unusualwhales.bsky.social/post/3lmf...

Seems to show people knew it was going to happen a few minutes before he posted.
It's amazing what Trump's accomplished for the US, isn't it.. he's dragged the country so fast downhill that China is looking more and more the better business partner.
I have been a heavy user of Claude but cancelled my Pro subscription yesterday. The usage limits have been quietly tightened up like crazy recently and 3.7 is certainly feeling dumber lately.

But the main reason I quit is the constant downtime. Their status page[0] is like a Christmas tree but even that only tells half the story - the number of times I have input a query only to have Claude sit, think for a while then stop and return nothing as if I had never submitted at all is getting ridiculous. I refuse to pay for this kind of reliability.

[0] https://status.anthropic.com/
I don't mean that the primary (or only) way that it interacts with a human can't be just text. Right now, the only way it interacts with anything is by generating a stream of tokens. To make any API calls, to use any tool, to make any query for knowledge, it is predicting tokens in the same way as it does when a human asks it a question. There may need to be other subsystems that the LLM subsystem interfaces with to make a more complete intelligence that can internally represent reality and fully utilize abstraction and relations.
A president should not be essentially day trading the economy.

The volatility levels are unseen since Covid and GFC.

People’s livelihoods will be at stake soon enough.
The thing about stupid policies that make us poorer is they are self-punishing. The same is true of unnecessary retaliation after a backdown.
It’s not.

> For my friends, anything. For my enemies, the law.

- Oscar Benavidez, Peruvian dictator
Announce a controversial decision. See if it sticks. If not, claim it was a joke and you never meant that.

Drama, manipulation, and a US government tactic, all in one.
It's sad that they used 4o's image generation feature for the cat example which does some diffusion or something else, results in the whole image changing. They should've instead used Gemini 2.0 Flash's image generation feature (or at least mentioned it!), which, even if far lower quality and resolution (max of 1024x1024, but Gemini will try to match the res of the original image, so you can get something like 681x1024), is much much better at leaving the untouched parts of the image actually "untouched".

Here's the best out of a few attempts for a really similar prompt, more detailed since Flash is a much smaller model "Give the cat a detective hat and a monocle over his right eye, properly integrate them into the photo.". You can see how the rest of the image is practically untouched to the naked human eye: https://ibb.co/zVgDbqV3

Honestly Google has been really good at catching up in the LLM race, and their modern models like 2.0 Flash, 2.5 Pro are one of (or the) best in their respective areas. I hope that they'll scale up their image generation feature to base it on 2.5 Pro (or maybe 3 Pro by the time they do it) for higher quality and prompt adherence.

If you want, you can give 2.0 Flash image gen a try for free (with generous limits) on https://aistudio.google.com/prompts/new_chat, just select it in the model selector on the right.
The market is huge enough that the fact that something is being considered somewhere doesn’t mean much, right? If I consider building a factory in the woods, but I don’t have two pennies to clack together, does anybody hear it?
Import to another country then the US?
Welcome to demagogy 101. In this session, we'll talk about "guiding" public opinion by buying a small but loud support team that looks bigger in the media.

Thank you for enrolling at Banana Democracy Uni! We look forward to train the new generation of wannabe dictators.
It’s clear the China tariffs (in their current form) won’t last the week.
"All of YouTube" brings the same problem as training on all of the text on the Internet. Much of that text is not factual, which is why RLHF and various other fine-tuning efforts need to happen in addition to just reading all the text on the Internet. All videos on YouTube are not unedited footage of the real world faithfully reproducing the same physics you'd get by watching the real world instead of YouTube.

As for object permanence, I don't know jack about animal cognitive development, but it seems important that all animals are themselves also objects. Whether or not they can see at all, they can feel their bodies and sense in some way or other its relation to the larger world of other objects. They know they don't blink in and out of existence or teleport, which seems like it would create a strong bias toward believing nothing else can do that, either. The same holds true with physics. As physical objects existing in the physical world, we are ourselves subject to physics and learn a model that is largely correct within the realm of energy densities and speeds we can directly experience. If we had to learn physics entirely from watching videos, I'm afraid Roadrunner cartoons and Fast and the Furious movies would muddy the waters a bit.
He literally created the emergency himself. What the hell. I can't understand how one of the most powerful countries in the world doesn't have a system in place to prevent the president to act like a dictator
The best way to stay clear from this insanity is to divest from the US as much as possible / reasonable. It won’t help second-order effects, but it reduces your exposure.
The execution model enables more powerful composition (reusable components whose functionality spans both client and server) which hopefully helps people make things people want faster (the story of our industry). Sam gave this argument a wonderful treatment in https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CN9RCzznZc, I don’t think I can make as compelling a case in a comment. But he fully represents my viewpoint on why. If you’re genuinely interested then do check it out.
Ya, I don't know what Trump is going to do in the next 90 days, but it will probably not just be working on his golf game (although we can hope).
How so? By lying about the country of origin?
Ah. That went over my head. As the leader of the free world we must remain vigilant while others get to joke around.
Since KYC is a major tool for spotting the use of assets for criminal purposes, I would not expect it to be reduced.
stop normalizing this idiocy. there was no country that wasn't already willing to negotiate trade relations with the US.
Seldom a dull moment with the present government. He's still saying 125% on China so it's not back to normality. Also I guess the penguins still face 10%.
The fact that what they’ve been saying all along is that the goal of the reciprocal tariffs is to renegotiate with all countries for a more fair economic playing field. Many people aren’t so fickle as to just assume everything the party they don’t like is doing is insane and a big conspiracy to insider trade and ruin the world.
Exercising early only makes sense in some pathological examples that do occur but practically never happen. In general, very loosely, a put is worth something for the hedge plus the amount you could get for exercising it right now. Thus, if you want to exercise it right now, you just sell it and get the hedge premium.

Also, the current VIX is the same as January of 2020. If you believe the current state of the world is less certain than the outbreak of a global pandemic, I have some options to sell you.
No, but it’s also not supposed to be. It’s probably impossible for any mechanical movement to be as accurate as a quartz crystal.
I'm not sure why, but the voices in voice mode are different than the voices used to dictate responses provided in "normal" mode. The latter are far better / less annoying.
With today's rollback, the glitz and glam event - Liberation Day - held last week, was not really a Liberation Day? :-)
> They did not vote for any of this.

Me either. I'm afraid you'll have to ask the people who did elect the copper thieves for an explanation.
Yeah, this feels like fraud in the case of lying to literally get extra paychecks knowing you don't care if you get fired. I wonder what these people will do when their original employer lays them off, and now their job search becomes harder since they've burned so many bridges.
A Reply to the Bitter Lesson by Rich Sutton
That power is only supposed to last for some number of days before review by Congress. But Congress decided a day isn't a day anymore, at least for the rest of the year.
And yet it's called a "Sprint"
Then tried Little, Big by John Crowley and the relationships were probably wrong. I mean, Sylvia might be related to George Mouse, but probably should not have a family connection to Daily Alice.
Trump is like your father who overreacts to everything but changes his mind when he calms down. "You're grounded for a year!". 1 hour later. "Ok, you're not grounded. But you can't go out with your friend this weekend".
Legally, any enhanced version would need to remain FOSS anyway. It appears to be an AGPL-licensed project with 60+ contributors and no CLA, so the codebase has 60+ different copyright holders.

Monetization of a GPL or AGPL project generally involves a CLA so that the creator can offer closed-source and/or SaaS enhancements while still accepting third-party contributions. Without a CLA, the project creator would be violating the copyright license that was granted by the third-party code contributors. He/she doesn't own their code and cannot relicense it in a way that violates the AGPL.
They setup more factories in vietnam to assemble chinese parts. But this isn't really a thing they can do in 90 days.
Again, it's called a burner. If the criminal underworld can master this concept...

If you engage in stupidity online and it comes back to bite you because you wear it on your arm, my advice is don't go crying about it, unless you didn't believe enough in what you're saying to follow your words through with actions.
Because everything other investment is worse?
Microsoft has the MAIA 100 as well. No comment on their scale/plans though.
I think he's well aware that the reasons he is giving for his actions make no sense. That doesn't mean he doesn't have a plan, he's just lying about it.

As for the actions themselves, they're pretty much his standard operating procedure:

> I think I can get away with bullying these people, so I will

When he talks about the existing agreements being unfair, he means that we have leverage that we're not using. The proposed tariffs are proportional to the trade deficit because the trade deficit is a reasonable proxy for how invested that country is in its economic relations with the US. You can extort more from somebody who is heavily invested, and less from somebody who is lightly invested. It's a classic protection racket, just on a sliding scale.

He's trying to look ignorant because it's at least a better look than showing the malice that actually drives him.
Everyone else is not cooperating though. Just because you think nationalism, realpolitik, and xenophobia (and slave labor, for that matter!) are all bad things that one shouldn't partake in, doesn't mean the rest of the world feels the same way, such that they will extend you the same courtesy.
Might clock him as an East India Company cosplayer.
Given the rate of improvement wrt to llms, this may not hold true for long
Chinese manufacturers don't pay US tariffs, the entities importing the goods do.
Not as broadly to that extent though. Trump's tariffs are 10% of anything, so Europe will reciprocate in kind.
EU and many other counties have already had tariffs on the US for a long time.
He does all the above!

He owns his own social media stock (DJT), where he post this morning "THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT" to his followers. Attracting more to his social media company.

He has a meme coin in cryptoland, and now via tariff manipulation, he can guide select people to place big bets on the largest derivatives market.
Agreed! There is actually a nice C library (libdill: https://libdill.org).

Would still like it as a first-class language construct.
This is also how it looks from the inside. It's baffling. Apparently all our vaunted checks and balances are useless if one vindictive and incompetent political party controls all three branches of the government.
Using a personal account to post comments to social media is not an official act.
Rolex is a funny brand. They have cheap models that exist exclusively for you to make a dealer happy by buying several of them, before they will consider allowing you to buy a high-end watch.

“Normal” people can’t actually buy these high-end Rolexes, even if they have the money.
VIX is still at 35%. We are still in quite unstable territory, just not insanely unstable.
I think he knows exactly what he is doing. Him and his friends are making boatloads of money doing it.
You’re probably wasting time commenting here instead of having your AI do it.
> The US has done quite well

Some do extremely well, many don't do well at all.

> with a mostly free market.

We both know there are massive social programs, and the market is unfree in many ways - powerful participants often make markets very non-free for others, and of course some are highly regulated to the point of distortion.

I actually favor using the free market whenever possible, most importantly because of the first word - people should be free to do as they like in business too, as much as possible - and because it works very well for the great majority of things.

I think we need freer markets - open to all competitors. Extreme capitalism is destroying the free market because capitalists are driving out competition. It's become capitalistism - an economy allocating things for the capitalists, not for capital.
> Convolution is useful when you don't know the underlying filter transfer function

But we don't?
I listen to NPR during my commute and these tics have a calming effect

Is this ASMR?
You can just sell the options. You don't need to exercise.
>Despite the media tantrum the market only dropped back to early 2025 levels at the most.

A) This is obviously wrong if you spend even 5 seconds looking it up, unless you misspelled "2024"

B) You can't just ignore that they spent several days telling financial journalists it was just a negotiating tactic and leading them to believe this might be peeled back quickly.
It’s possible I’m an alcoholic but equally possible I’m so used to puritanical rules that I assume one is an alcoholic because they wish to imbibe in a park on a nice day.
I joked to a friend that Trump is going to cause a new religion to start. One that makes people pray that today he does what they want (e.g. just shut up and not yell "China, 500% tariffs!")

Or one that makes people pray that one of those cheeseburgers he's been eating finally does something...
Curly braces have taken over the world (let's ignore Python for now...).
Responding in good faith to other countries’ willingness to negotiate fair trade terms isn’t exactly flip flopping. In fact he did the same thing with Mexico. If the market was paying attention it would have accounted for this…
> think of the investors!

The stock market is a barometer for future predictions.

Stocks going down meant we were on track for everyone to have reduced buying power, which would impact company's bottom lines, which would make them less valuable.

Trying to see this as class warfare between investors and average people is missing the point.

Furthermore: Stocks are up, but yields did not drop. If this holds, it's still not good for the average person. Expect mortgage and auto rates to go up, combined with that 25% tariff on autos that wasn't delayed.
Yes that’s exactly the point

Open the interface publicly then monetize the I/O or storage or processing.

Classic high margin SaaS approach with a veneer of “open.”

You can look at it as a standards capture
I've done this on some tinker boards we use at work.

systemd-nspawn is a great tool for this.
Catch the falling knife!
Is it clear now why we wanted to abolish ICE? It was always going to be for this, the people working there want it to be for this.
Do Crocs bought today match up to those old ones?
Oh no. Stock isn’t risk free automatic gains?

I know that with RSUs etc people treat it that way. But no the risk is real.
Those amount to only around 3% on average.
>I'm more focused on upping my cash reserves and bracing myself for a recession.

I'm doing the same because I'm legitimately in fear of both economic troubles and/or losing my job as a result of all this uncertainty.

I have cut my personal spending to nearly zero aside from essentials and have been hoarding my money. It's the only sensible option when planning for one's future becomes impossible.
Is it just the historical legacy of international trade that tariffs apply only to physical goods, but not to something like software-as-a-service subscriptions, digital media, or intellectual property?

As the latter categories are more representative of US exports, it would surely be an interesting escalation if other countries were to start including them in their “retaliatory” tariffs.
Most countries have tariffs on the US. The media would have us believe Americans are the first ones to ever do it.
>Can do the work the next day to reinforce.

Keeping the curriculum fixed, there's already barely enough time to cover everything. Cutting the amount of lectures in half to make room for in-class homework time does not fix this fundamental problem.
For accuracy? It's probably a little worse than quartz. The escapement will have a longer overall lifespan, and may need servicing every couple decades, as opposed to a new battery every couple years.
> Quite a lot. Look back at the size of the teams working on language models at IBM, Microsoft, Google, etc, and think about all the decades of language model research going back to Shannon and quantifying the entropy of English.

I wonder at what point the money spent on LLMs matched the $200 million that was ultimately spent on CYC.

> Funnily enough, the more grandiose use-cases of LMs actually were envisioned all the way back at the beginning!

Oh, I know—but those grandiose use cases still have yet to materialize, despite the time and money spent. But the smaller scale use cases have borne fruit.

> there's an incredible science fiction story you've never heard of which takes language models, quite literally, as the route to a Singularity, from 1943. You really have to read it to believe it: "Fifty Million Monkeys", Jones 1943

Thanks, I'll read that.

> If you read the whole OP, which I acknowledge is quite a time investment, I think Yuxi makes a good case for why Lenat culturally aimed for the 'boil the ocean' approach and how they refused to do more incremental small easily-benchmarked applications as distractions and encouraging deeply flawed paradigms and how they could maintain it for so long.

I read it for a chunk, but yeah, not the whole way.
>I think the prevalence of these AI writing bots means schools will have to start doing things that aren’t scalable

It won't be long 'til we're at the point that embodied AI can be used for scalable face-to-face assessment that can't be cheated any easier than a human assessor.
If this pattern holds (high tariffs on China, low tariffs everywhere else) there will be a booming industry of pass-through "factories" that receive shipments from China and then re-sell them as having come from Vietnam or some other intermediary country.

This exact thing happens frequently at scale. When countries put export controls in place on shipments to Russia recently, they had a sudden spike in exports to a number of countries known to re-ship products into Russia.
It's 2 days later and Trump has dropped most of the tarrifs... temporarily.
Does the US Customs office have inspectors that go to Vietnamese factories and check that the factory exists, and that 51% of the assembly was actually performed there?

If not, what stops a Vietnamese shell company from sending "Vietnamese" goods through a port in China, or worst case, a port in Vietnam?
Agentic AI without understanding what it's doing is like owning a warehouse but knowing nothing about manufacturing. Or, managing people but never actually meeting with them. You can use it to generate stuff, but you need to go back and understand in detail what it did and how it works.
> Well, yes. However, the impact of that on the ride cost is exaggerated.

Yeah, because they’re losing the money. Meaning YOU’RE not paying it, it’s being lost.

Keep in mind this is also with:

- uber not providing the capital for their rides. Taxi companies buy taxis, uber says you buy it.

- vastly underpaying their work force.

- skirting employment laws with gig work

- relying on tips! The ride cost doesn’t include tips, despite that being a huge portion of wages!
And if he has one of his McDiarrhea's, what's going to stop him from using that newest agreement as toilet paper?
* The EU has had comparatively very small and targeted tariffs on US goods for a long time

Just so we're all on the same page, instead of maga talking points.
Normally there are rules regarding how long an emergency can last. This is why, I kid you not, the Republican controlled Congress declared there are no more calendar days in this session of Congress. Every day is March 11. So they'll let him do it as long as he likes.
124 duct tape patches over 10,000’ of rusted pipes ain't fixing anything. windows is an easy target and wont be fixed until there is real regulatory requirements that devs be responsible engineers. along with proper investigations and heavy civil penalties just like any other kind of engineering.
I don't know why you're being downvoted. It was stated in a court case from them that they're entertainment.
Do you mean like a quartz timer?

Almost certainly not, but that's not really the point for mechanical watches.

Quartz oscillating frequency is like 32k Hz. Good luck getting anything mechanical to operate at those frequencies.
Do you recommend any alternative markets to be more investable?
Two decades of Git: A conversation with creator Linus Torvalds [video]
The entire concept of "official act" does not actually exist. It wasn't defined in the Constitution, and neither was it defined by the Supreme Court when they invented it from whole cloth.
Even if that was the idea, the agreements are worth less than the paper they are written on. He is boo-ing and shredding trade agreements that he made himself during his first term. He says one thing one day and the complete opposite the next day.
They EU has a tariff on literally anything that comes in called the Commons Customs Tariff.
Americans. Ever listen to an American podcast?
Possibly because lawsuits challenging the power of the President to impose tariffs under the Emergency Economic Powers Act are underway.[1] GOP support for Congress taking back control of tariffs is building.[2] At some point, Congress or the courts will take his toys away.

[1] https://www.newsweek.com/trump-tariffs-hit-lawsuit-group-his...

[2] https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5236142-congress-tariff-...
Baking the Y Combinator from Scratch