skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> This only stops when China equalizes.

Not sure what that means. There are many potential outcomes that could be defined as "equalizes".

At one limit, no country in the world, except for China, has a solid industrial base. In other words, nobody makes anything except for China.

OK, then their standard of living continues to increase. Got it.

In, say, 50 years, the cost of doing business in China starts to become less competitive. This, assuming no manipulation. This creates an opportunity for other nations to return to participation in various industrial sectors. However, this also means fifty years of utter destruction around the world. This also comes with loss of skilled workforce, manufacturing plants and the infrastructure necessary to support industrial activities.

Regrettably, by that time, most industrial capacity around the world would have been utterly destroyed. So, this reentry into manufacturing will likely be characterized by making low value products. For example, making screws, wire, some types of clothing, etc. Assembly operations might also make sense for lower tech products. This will only make sense if shipping parts from China to country X and then assembling there is economically viable. Tough to predict five years from now, much less fifty.

This process of "equalization" (in quotes because it really doesn't have a solid definition) most likely brings with it a further and non-trivial destruction of economic drivers in the US and Europe (and everywhere else). This, in turn, will result in terrible outcomes and economic collapse of the kind these societies are not used to (this is certainly the case in the US, Europeans have gone through serious consequences of the world wars).

I will not claim to be smart enough about these things to understand what the solution might be. Go to Walmart or shop on Amazon and it is impossible not to come out thinking that the damage is done and must of this is not reversible. I don't know. What I do know is that something has to change or things are going to get worse, much worse. We are not going to float entire economies on the back of AI and data centers.

I have always found the aspects of the history of Argentina have serious parallels with how large western economies have damaged themselves from the inside. Coincidentally, I just came across a nice and concise historical perspective of how this country went from being one of the top economies in the world to barely having the industrial output and economy to survive. Here it is:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=jGnl4Re8Gpk
This sounds like official Chinese propaganda. This was truer at some point, but things have started turning bad for China with the advent of Xi Jinping. 20-25 years ago, the country was hopeful, developing fast, opening up. Foreigners started moving there, seeing it as a new land of opportunity. Much of that is gone. The economy is in bad shape, youth unemployment is massive, the country is a dictatorship, nobody wants to move there (and China doesn't want you to anyway). I'll quote the Economist: "When Mr Xi took over in 2012, China was changing fast. The middle class was growing, private firms were booming and citizens were connecting on social media. A different leader might have seen these as opportunities. Mr Xi saw only threats."
I am 100% certain people said the same thing about arithmetic and calculators and now mental arithmetic skill is nothing more than a curiosity.
What do you believe the valid reasons are to worry and what are the ones you consider invalid?
On android you can hold down the power button and then tap lockdown mode. Then it will require your pin/password to unlock again. Ideally have a password as your authentication method if you're concerned about privacy.
To be fair, Canadian border agents have been looking at some travelers' phones for years. A typical scenario might be: "So why are you entering Canada?" ; "Visiting friends, on holiday" (traveler carrying a suitcase full of tattoo equipment); "Ok let's look at your phone" ; "Interesting, in this SMS thread from yesterday your friend says 'looking forward to you starting work in the tattoo studio'". Entry denied.

https://www.cbsa-asfc.gc.ca/travel-voyage/edd-ean-eng.html
> Tech hiring stalls

uhhh... it's been stalled a while... like since at least 2023
This is revealing an important design distinction. The game needs to adapt to different scales. There are huge scale estimations (day 3's question is the volume of air humanity inhales each day, for ex), and smaller ones that are still useful "how many cups of coffee can a barista make in a hour". Both seem like they could still be fun, with the mechanics being more dynamic to the question's scale. Do this seem right?

I ought to make this cleaner in the app. Thanks so much!
"foreign names"? Applying to a restaurant?
Oh the dreaded swish. I grew up in such a place.
Specialization is over-rated. I've done everything in your list except make an ASIC because learning how to do those things was interesting and I prefer when things are done my way.

I started way back in my 20s just figuring out how to write websites. I'm not sure where the camel's back would have broken.

It has, of course, been convenient to be able to "bootstrap" my self-reliance in these and other fields by consuming goods produced by others, but there is no mechanical reason that said goods should be provided by specialists rather than advanced generalists beyond our irrational social need for maximum acceleration.
How does this compare to Shen?

https://www.shenlanguage.org
Kindly read past the first line, friend :)
Trump temporarily drops tariffs to 10% for most countries
Trump Says Tariffs Paused for 90 Days on Non-Retaliating Countries
I suspect the biggest draw to Rolex purchasers is the high price.
Having worked in FAANG and for the Feds (on a project that was in collaboration with 18F, to boot), I respectfully disagree. You simply do not get the same calibre of technical operators or even just product operators in the federal government, full stop. Maybe they exist, but they're going to be occupying high up/plum positions because people like that are so rare.

In practice, it is software consulting companies that are doing all of the heavy lifting while the federal workers largely sit back and collect their paycheck - and talented operators are extremely rare there as well.
I'd argue the "presentation and Q&A" format addresses that directly. The candidate gets to pick exactly what the interview is going to be about, at least at the beginning, so they have full control over first impressions. No gotchas at all. Who wouldn't pick something they're confident about?

If someone thinks Cmake is super cool and knows all sorts of great use cases for it, then they should present that. They should also be prepared to answer open-ended follow-up questions like "broadly speaking, how could a project transition from something like Automake to Cmake?" or "what are some footguns in Cmake and how can we avoid them?"
- "...but in the current iteration of the administration I find it unlikely that it would be a positive experience if you were to stand on it"

I.e., this warning example from this week,

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43618754 ("Lawyer for U-M protester detained at airport after spring break trip with family (freep.com)")

(US citizen, attorney, detained for 90 minutes as punishment for asserting his rights and refusing to unlock his work phone, which contained privileged attorney-client communications).
My second job is consulting for my previous job which I've left to make more money at FAANG. My third job is consulting for a company where a friend of mine works. I gave him useful advice on some problems he was working on, and he connected me with the higher ups.

All three jobs are software engineering. C++ mostly.
As things currently stand, this wouldn't qualify for denaturalization. Even the Trump proposals have been to do it for fraudulently obtaining citizenship (e.g. lying about a criminal record), not general crimes, and certainly not for non-crimes like annoying CBP.

But next week it could all be different.
If this is a tool and doesn't host any content, what exactly will you be taking down upon receiving a DMCA?
Having to do work is different than getting adequate vitamins and minerals (which is all fluoride is) passively. It's no different than iodine in salt or vitamins B12, C and folic acid in cereal or vitamin D in milk.

We no longer go out and find the magic rock that we lick to ensure a good harvest or drink from the special stream that cures illnesses: we know what the human body needs to be able to do things like "grow teeth" and "not develop scurvy". Why would we go back to making people have to do a bunch of work to get access to basic nutrition? Because some weirdos want to take us back to a time when the average life expectancy in the United States was 40 years old?
I think it's more about law and order theatre. These actions play well with people who vote for people like Kristi Noem.
Veritasium: What Everyone Gets Wrong About AI and Learning [video]
Panfactum – Open-Source Framework for Cloud Infrastructure
>antivax rural areas

I would be careful with what size brush you are painting.

>There are, of course, the familiar anti-vaxxers, who spoke up as early as February with concerns about a mandatory vaccine. There are also new groups. One is connected to far-right extremism and conspiracy theories (about the virus and otherwise). The other, termed “vaccine-hesitant,” is more surprising. It includes members of the opposite demographic — highly educated, liberal, not libertarian

>While a majority of those unwilling to get a vaccine are Republicans, 42% of Democrats agree with them

https://harvardpolitics.com/the-new-anti-vax/
Why do you think tailored content will prevent you from exploring new territory? You are choosing the content.

I can't wait to watch the first entirely generated short film and create my own.
You're not entitled to a job. If someone else is working two, nobody's 'robbing' you.

If you think you are, I'll counterpoint it by insisting that I'm entitled to a house. Why should someone else have two, or more, or two hundred, when I don't even have one? Some landlord hoarding of them is, after all, robbing me.
Not that you're wrong, but here's the argument from the other side:

- AI is supposed to be a great productivity booster, but no one has figured out a way of actually measuring developer productivity, so we'll just use the proxy of measuring whether they're using AI.

- Developers won't want to use AI because it's threatening to them, so we'll mandate it.

- Consistency and fungibility of human resources is incredibly valuable. 0.5x developers can use AI to get them up to at least 1x. And 10x developers? We're actually better off if the AI "slows them down" and makes their work output look more like everyone else's. 10x developers are actually a liability, because it can be hard to quantify and measure their contributions, and so when things become worse when they end up leaving, it feels intangible and impossible to fix.
That specific mechanism is an example of corrupt/stupid politicians being a drain on the city’s economy, not the big box stores.
Related

High-dose Vitamin D reduces disease activity in early multiple sclerosis onset (91 points, 15 days ago, 52 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43469661

Over 80% of Covid-19 patients in a hospital study have Vitamin D deficiency (654 points, 4 years ago, 363 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24912172

Adequate Vitamin D Levels Cuts Risk of Dying from Covid-19 in Half, Study Finds (372 points, 5 years ago, 211 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24607645
The Hampster Dance (1999)
How does separation of powers work in the US? could Trump decide not to prosecute let say financial fraud in general?
But uninformed consent to having you remove a necessary mineral from the water supply is fine?

If you are worried, you can get a gravity filter and take it out yourself.
> But most of that revenue goes to JKR, whereas most of the fishing revenue may end up in "working class" people's pockets.

I am sure JKR has to pay taxes still, which goes back to the government.
If anyone had advanced warning, you could have made a fortune today:

https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-...
Also tried "Most fun way to catch HIV":

#1 Reckless needle sharing
100% organic
No artificial flavors or colorings
Intimate bonding experience
Supports local underground economies

#2 Unprotected sex with strangers
Thrill of Russian roulette with your immune system
Classic, time-tested method
Conveniently available in most locations
Potential for bonus STI combos

#3 Used Syringe Easter Egg Hunt
Family-friendly format (for very progressive families)
Element of surprise with every find
Possible genetic recombination benefits
Teaches children valuable sharing skills
Use it or lose it. With the invention of the calculator, students lost the ability to do arithmetic. Now, with LLMs, they lose the ability to think.

This is not conjecture by the way. As a TA, I have observed that half of the undergraduate students lost the ability to write any code at all without the assistance of LLMs. Almost all use ChatGPT for most exercises.

Thankfully, cheating technology is advancing at a similarly rapid pace. Glasses with integrated cameras, WiFi and heads-up display, smartwatches with polarized displays that are only readable with corresponding glasses, and invisibly small wireless ear-canal earpieces to name just a few pieces of tech that we could have only dreamed about back then. In the end, the students stay dumb, but the graduation rate barely suffers.

I wonder whether pre-2022 degrees will become the academic equivalent to low-background radiation steel: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low-background_steel
> could support realtime experiences

Node supports realtime applications? Really? Isn't it garbage collected? Or does the term mean something different in nodejs? I've only come to know the term in the context of time guarantees (i.e. if it's scheduled to run in x, it is guaranteed to run at that time) and that shouldn't apply to nodejs I think? When you schedule something there, I believe it'll run on the first free thread after the timer relapsed - which entirely depends on the load of the system
I had the swish at school, it was opt-in, not forced IIRC.

Edit add: I wonder if the swish is better overall as the fluid is spit out after rather than continuous ingestion?
> Fishing is less profitable for the whole UK than Warhammer.

There are 3x as many fishermen in the UK than employees of Games Workshop, and much more again if you count the number of related fishery jobs.

At the end of the day, politicians and voters alike respond more to employment than nominal monetary figures. A broader employment base is generally better for social and political stability than explicit wealth redistribution (e.g. tax + entitlements). The latter is what economic theory tends to emphasize--i.e. equivocate incomes based on state wealth redistribution schemes--but such economic theory is how we got Trump, Brexit, and a host of other ills. Economics hasn't figured out, yet, how to price the constituent inputs that produce political and economic stability. GDP, Gini, per capita income, employment rate, etc metrics are gross approximations that work well until they don't (though they're still better than rhetoric and handwaving). But to be fair, social and political theorists haven't solved that problem, either; at least, not with a rigorous quantification model.
>For many students, it's literally "let me paste the assignment into ChatGPT and see what it spits out, change a few words and submit that".

Does that actually work? I'm long past having easy access to college programming assignments, but based on my limited interaction with ChatGPT I would be absolutely shocked if it produced output that was even coherent, much less working code given such an approach.
Pretty much every country you travel to can detain you at the border simply for being suspicious. You generally have very few rights as a non-citizen and have to decide if you will really risk being detained vs. giving up your phone passcode.

Better to use a burner/travel phone.
> Complain about it in performance reviews

The last time I brought up concerns with a coworkers performance in a review I was fired a couple of weeks later

It turned out he was good buddies with my boss's boss

There are a lot of mechanisms in society preventing a lot of people from feeling the negative consequences of their poor work

I wish it were so easy as you say
Another turbine world record set – but not by China this time
I think the initial design is made to be subtly flashy to signal its presence to the people who are in the know, like Milgauss.

I think more subtle variants will follow in a couple of years.
Could you excerpt which part of the paper constitutes said dunk? I searched "Marx" and "labor" unsuccessfully. Also it would be helpful to use your knowledge of Marx to explain how price and value are not interchangeable in this case.
You've got to start somewhere. Dogfooding makes sense.
Is there any information about pricing? I can't find it.
Why Does My AI Keep Forgetting?
More than 1,500 new fonts – including all-time favorites – come to Adobe Fonts
Obviously not, but locking down your phone is just not practical for most people. Of course, avoiding travel to the u.s. is the safest approach, but it's not that simple for many of us who have spouses, siblings, parents etc who were not born in the u.s.
Just to say the obvious, they are also going to sell fewer/cheaper shoes according to the demand elasticity since the consumer price is 32% higher. Despite Nike making slightly more on a per-shoe basis, they are probably going to make less overall.
Why Chemists Have Shorter-Than-Average Lifetimes But Sometimes Become Wealthy
Constantin Fahlberg: "I dropped my dinner, and ran back to the laboratory. There, in my excitement, I tasted the contents of every beaker and evaporating dish on the table. Luckily for me, none contained any corrosive or poisonous liquid."
The article is paywalled, but the headline word "fraud" doesn't match the first few paragraphs of the article.

"Regulation by enforcement" has been a real thing and a bad thing. You can't expect people to obey the law if you won't tell them what it is.

I would like to see the government prosecute actual fraud, so if the article goes on to say they will not prosecute that, then maybe the headline is accurate.
This is very complicated, because it now implies:

1. I can intend to sit on a chair but fail, in which case it isn't a chair (and I didn't intend to sit on it?)

2. I can intend to have my dog sit on my chair, but my dog isn't a person and so my chair isn't a chair.

This is-use distinction you're making is fine; most people have an intuition that things "act" as a thing in relation to how they're used. But to take it a step forwards and claim that a thing isn't its nature until a person sublimates their intent towards it is very unintuitive!

(In my mind, the answer is a lot simpler: a stump isn't a chair, but it's in the family network of things that are sittable, just like chairs and horses. Or to borrow Wittgenstein, a stump bears a family resemblance to a chair.)
Going 538 on a US citizen would be a massive escalation. I'm not saying it's impossible, but if it ever comes up, I'll roll the dice on not unlocking my phone.

If you're worried about being beaten until you divulge your info, it's not like a burner phone is going to save you. They'll extract the login info for all your online accounts.
cost != value and value != price.
and consider alternative cost - highly trained workforce making shoes is a waste of resources.
> Sometimes you learn something new, sometimes you can feel superior, or politely disagree. AI ain't worth the hassle.

Often I am looking for opportunities to mentor a less experienced developer

Why bother if they are just offloading their thinking to AI
Pretty sure you're confusing the price of bonds with their yields, which are inversely correlated. Yields have gone up (to put it mildly).
> […] are "state capacity" issues. Things where the state is unavoidably involved and having better, more decisive leadership and not getting bogged down in consultations, would make a big difference.

See "America needs a bigger, better bureaucracy":

> I believe that the U.S. suffers from a distinct lack of state capacity. We’ve outsourced many of our core government functions to nonprofits and consultants, resulting in cost bloat and the waste of taxpayer money. We’ve farmed out environmental regulation to the courts and to private citizens, resulting in paralysis for industry and infrastructure alike. And we’ve left ourselves critically vulnerable to threats like pandemics and — most importantly — war.

[…]

> If government spending isn’t going to pay government workers, it must be going to pay people who work in the private sector — nonprofits, for-profit contractors, consultants, and so on. In other words, state capacity is being outsourced. But this graph doesn’t actually capture the full scope of the decline, because it doesn’t include outsourcing via unfunded mandates — things that the government could do, but instead simply orders the private sector to do, without providing the funding.

* https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/america-needs-a-bigger-better-...

Mentions the paper "State Capacity: What Is It, How We Lost It, And How to Get It Back" (22pp, so short):

* https://www.niskanencenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/br...

And the book Bring Back the Bureaucrats: Why More Federal Workers Will Lead to Better (and Smaller!) Government:

* https://www.rutgersuniversitypress.org/templeton-press/bring...
According to https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41283368 we should be linking to the primary source.

Q: Is there a specific reason* that this thread links to threadreaderapp?

* other than politics, which we try Really Hard not to bring into HN...
In the US, Airport fire operations have their own NFPA Standard

https://www.nfpa.org/codes-and-standards/nfpa-440-standard-d...

And their own standard for fire fighter qualification

https://www.nfpa.org/codes-and-standards/nfpa-1003-standard-...
In preparation for the kleptocrats to loot various pools of money from the government.
Is there a reason, be-it special buildings, tools, skills that shoes can not be made in the US to avoid the tariffs?

If Nike shoes exceed the cost of domestically produced shoes, isn’t that… like… kind of the point?
Educating a few hundred million former peasant farmers is how you get things invented.
Then don't travel, in many countries the penalty for disparaging the leader of that country is quite severe.
I'd personally love to have a Rolex just because of its craftsmanship. Because of this, I'm only drawn to the more subdued variants (all steel, plain bezel, plain dial in blue or black).

However, I have a couple of nice automatics, and don't want to expand my collection any further.
> Instead of policing crypto platforms and exchanges, Trump’s DOJ will “focus on prosecuting individuals who victimize digital asset investors, or those who use digital assets in furtherance of criminal offenses such as terrorism, narcotics and human trafficking, organized crime, hacking, and cartel financing.”

Wonder if this hints at possibly reducing or relaxing KYC rules also?
It will be more expensive for the consumer who will have been busy paying the tariff sales tax to get to that point. There's a reason businesses moved industry overseas.
The EU is not yet retaliating (the tariffs mentioned in the article are retaliation for the US's steel and aluminium tariffs from last month, not the most recent batch), and is negotiating; as I mention there was a zero-for-zero option. Retaliation for the current round of tariffs is currently under discussion.

Make no mistake, it'll be the same in Japan and SK. At least the credible threat of retaliation, if not retaliation already in action (the China approach) is required for any real negotiation.