skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Musk is explainable. Tesla WAS going to fail, and that became inevitable long before the election. Musk was going to lose big whether Trump or Harris (or Biden) got elected. Granted, probably less dramatic and slower failure than what we see now, but it was always going to fall big. Musks' new design, the cybertruck is a disaster, and he would have been the first to know. BYD is eating Tesla's lunch ... and BYD is merely the first and currently highest profile of 10 Chinese companies coming out with electric cars.

And yet, I do think Musk is actually worse off in his current position than he would have been under Harris. Which shows, yet again, what a "great thinker" he is cough. He acted, because he's under threat, that makes sense, but his actions made his situation worse than it would have been had he done nothing.

Then again, in this market, I bet a lot of people feel like that.
I wonder how the early employees did in the deal. Did they cash-out as well?
Because he is backed by a bunch of billionaires and everyone is trying to figure out why they are shooting themselves in the foot.
The trouble is that no company is going to want to invest in new/expanded US manufacturing facilities that only make sense under the just announced tariff regime, unless they have confidence that this is the new normal, and won't be rescinded any time soon. Would you want to bet that current tariffs will be largely the same next week, or next year, or in 4 years time?
> The economists who claim that tariffs will harm normal Americans were also the economists who claimed that sanctions would destroy the Russian economy. They had the opposite effect, for reasons that still remain somewhat unclear.

It is somewhat unclear to me that sanctions had the opposite effect to destroying Russian economy.

Does that mean it is doing great? I don't think so.
> It stands to me in real contrast to the "fake it till you make it"

They are the all-time greatest in fake-it-til-you-make-it. They got the IBM PC OS contract without having an OS, which they bought from someone else (iirc).

> What stands out to me about Gates and Allen is the serious technical chops. Writing an emulator for the PDP-10 and then an interpreter, line editor, I/O system all in 4KB of memory.

Is that really so impressive? Everything then was in 4K, from all coders.
How to Make a Habit Stick
If you want to make a level playing field have FTAs or impose tariffs on just those countries.

But to impose them on 60+ countries at once for arbitrary reasons makes absolutely no sense.
USB is also tough to bitbang also it has pretty strict timing requirements. Compared to something like i2c where the clock only advances when the pin is explicitly toggled.
I am just a lowly software guy who pretends to know how to use EAGLE. To me “ENIG” just means “5% more expensive boards”. What did I miss?
> People want these simulations to be as realistic as possible

Have you ever played D&D? There is no graphics, it's all in your head. I've played amazing adventures many years ago that I can still visualize in my head.
Why should someone be able to charge multiple times for the same thing?

That entire concept is a legal fiction, and the compromise was to make it last only a limited time.
The tariffs are not reciprocal tariffs (i.e., based on tariffs in those countries). They're set by dividing the trade deficit with that country against the total volume (and then halved). This premise can't be included in the steel man version of the argument.
Tried to open this page and the music I was streaming started to stutter so hard I just exed out. Is this a preposterously heavy page, or just very heavy?
> This will inoculate the economy against external supply chain shocks

How so? There's hardly enough unemployment and there's also no incentive towards increasing the number of immigrant workers.

Either suppliers eat the cost of the tariffs as the US administration says, or they don't and then everything becomes more expensive, but either way you have the exact same supply chain.
Yeah, I'm not sure he really has to defend holding cash.
If anything the flight bit is even worse.
Vietnam already approached this admin hat in hand. Remember they are all politicians and they will do what it takes to remain in power. Having a global financial meltdown is a bluff. Some countries will play the game (smaller ones) and some will not (China).
Yes they are incredibly popular amongst cartels and shady characters with import/export business, as Trump just handed them the largest geo-arbitrage payday of their lives.
> The U.S. can't "reward" local manufacturing (through subsidies, etc.) enough to offset the absolutely massive subsidies that China gives out like candy.

The U.S. has the biggest economy in the world. If they prioritized local manufacturing as much as China does couldn't they compete?
> In 2019, Chollet created the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus for Artificial General Intelligence, or ARC-AGI—an exam designed to show the gulf between AI models’ memorized answers and the “fluid intelligence” that people have

There are a number of skill signals we demand from an intelligence.

Mind you: some of them are achieved - like the ability to interpret pronouns (Hinton's "the trophy will not enter the case: it's too big" vs "the trophy will not enter the case: it's too small").

Others, we meet occasionally when we are not researching said requirements systematically: one example is that detective game described at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43284420 - a simple game of logic that intelligences are required to be able to solve (...and yet, again some rebutted that humans would fail etc.).

It remains important though that those working modules are not clustered (solving specific tasks and remaining unused otherwise): they must be intellectual keys adapted into use in the most general cases they can be be helpful in. That's important in intelligence. So, even the ability to solve "revealing" tasks is not enough - the way in which the ability works is crucial.
You need to be careful casting aspersions like that. He did answer the question, and he showed no hate towards Donald Trump. I think it is you who are projecting.
> I think OSI's definition is well thought out, widely understood, and regularly referenced

I agree it is well thought out, but I strongly disagree that it is widely understood and regularly referenced. By the kind of folks who frequent HN maybe, but not by the industry at large - and definitely not by most people outside the industry.
> If on one hand your goal is to build "super intelligence", i.e. way smarter than any human or group of humans, how do you expect to control that super intelligence when you're just acting at the middling level of human intelligence?

That's exactly what the true AGI X-Riskers think! Sama acknowledges the intense risk but thinks the path forward is inevitable anyway so hoping that building intelligence will give them the intelligence to solve alignment. The other camp, a la Yudkowsky, believe it's futile to just hope it gets solved without AGI capabilities first becoming more intelligent, powerful, and disregarding any of our wishes. And then we've ceded any control of our future to an uncaring system that treats us as a means to achieve its original goals like how an ant is in the way of a Google datacenter. I don't see how anyone who thinks "maybe stock number go up as your only goal is not the best way to make people happy", can miss this.
Why would I pay for a paywall to read a job ad?
Getting cancelled is one thing, gaining security clearance and unconstrained access to everyone's health/tax/social security/etc. data is another.
> So trade deficits are "losing" and he's retaliating with tariffs

He also puts tariffs on countries which have a deficit with the US.
> So, which pins could be combined with SDIO's three? After much thinking, the solution is obvious. RAM's nCS can be the SD card's CLK. RAM's CLK can be the SD card's CMD. RAM's MOSI can be the SD card's DAT. Try and figure out all the possible interactions with each device and what that would look like to the other, to convince yourself that it will work safely.

This is truly a brilliant hack, well worth publishing at Hacker News.
> Vietnam already coming to the negotiating table, time will tell.

Oh wow you got a developing country to agree to lower their tariffs on their fairly minor import capacity from the US.
During a world war, you cannot trade with your international “enemies.”

This level of tariffs is to discourage international dependency and trade as a prelude to war. Look who does not have a tariff.

This is not good policy - leading economists have written about this [1] as “…perhaps the worst economic own goal I have seen in my lifetime.”

[1] https://www.thefp.com/p/tyler-cowen-liberation-day-was-even
This doesn’t address the OP’s questions.
Dementia Is More Common Among the Married Than the Unmarried
What are other counterintuitive stories like this? (Regardless of veracity)

* Kerosene saves the whales

* Plastics saves the elephants

* Coal saved the forests

Other similar stories?
I have known about Tcl since the 1990s. I remember Stallman advising not use it. Maybe he did not like the license?

Yesterday, over 30 years later I was forced to write my first code. Noticed that a Cisco switch had an incredibly bad ssh implemtation, so to automate some commands I needed expect scripting. Expect is based on Tcl.
> i.e. there can be a price tag on military and political power

And what about services the US provides? Google and Microsoft are some of the biggest companies and bring a ton of money to the US, but this doesn't seem to be included in the calculation because they don't sell physical goods.
My big project at work uses pytk only because it was already included with the anaconda distribution. It works fine, it's not pretty but it's just an internal engineering tool.
That's why I believe that long-term tariffs will result in a net positive effect. Domestic production will keep growing. Things that cannot be produced locally will somehow get resolved on their own through a self-organizing chaos, so to speak.
I didn’t see any other responses mention this, but a Reddit tinfoil hat argument that’s going around, which sounds more plausible than the other theories like wealth consolidation and systemic destruction of middle class, is the national debt that needs to be rolled over in the near future. Higher interest rates make it more expensive to roll over the debt and intentionally tanking the economy to increase unemployment and force the fed to lower the interest rates could make it cheaper for the government to roll over the debt in a manageable fashion.
Seems doubtful. Trust is earned slowly but spent quickly.
1a) it's not AI, it's LLM. The companies who create/train/operate them may (wink-wink) pitch them as "AI" with half-truths, but we (here) know it's LLMs "all the way down"
1b) just like I disliked the "autopilot" in Teslas because it was never autopilot.
2) I know that I wanted to write some software tools, and I have been successful at this for the past many months, and I got top-shelve tools, that work, do their tasks, send alerts, etc. etc. And I am not the only one. So if the purpose is to "show it's a stupid AI".. well.. it's not AI.. so yeah. If the purpose is "it is not perfect", yes, because it draws a hand with 10 fingers. What else is new?

LLMs are a tool, still under development, still early in the curve, they can do A-B-C well but not X-Y-Z well (or at all). Congratulations :)
I condone and endorse breaking copyright laws.
Amazing work! I once did a short text adventure with CSS only (https://janpokorny.github.io/tiger10k/) and I remember it being not easy to figure out, even in this simple form. Doing counters is absolute witchcraft.
Argument for tariffs: Make foreign made goods expensive to encourage local production. And it has worked. Usually tariffs are more focused though. For example, the US has had tariffs on trucks for a long time; as a result, most foreign automakers have US plants to build trucks/SUVs.

The main problem with the tariffs is this: the US has benefited mightily from globalism. What actually happened is that the US, being at the cutting edge of technology, outsourced mostly low paying jobs, while developing more innovative/productive industries and sold goods all across the world.

Apple's a prime example. All the difficult (read physical) and low-paying aspects of production are outsourced to Taiwan and China, meanwhile Apple employs tens of thousands of high paid engineers in the US. Ditto for all the big tech companies.

Now, globalism has negatively affected a certain segment of the population and it was definitely a mistake to ignore that (rust belt great example). But bringing manufacturing back won't fix that now that the cat's out of the bag. Engaging in a trade war will destroy a ton of high paying jobs (every multinational is going to take a sizeable revenue cut) just to bring back a small amount of low paying jobs, if any are brought back... Firms will likely build highly automated US factories.

The best possible version of this policy would be focused tariffs on specific goods you want manufactured in the US... Semiconductors, autos, steel, boats, that sort of thing.
I would love to not use Airbnb as a consumer but there is no real alternative here. I hear a lot of people say that Airbnb is just as expensive as hotels but I just don't see it. I'm looking at traveling and a hotel in the area is $900 to $1200 while Airbnbs are $500 to $800.
Bored? I feel like we’re anything but boring!
>The economists who claim that tariffs will harm normal Americans were also the economists who claimed that sanctions would destroy the Russian economy. They had the opposite effect, for reasons that still remain somewhat unclear.

They didn’t have the opposite effect. They were ineffective in general, because Russia has large trade partners not aligned with the West and it has been preparing for it, optimizing the government apparatus for 20 years (financial bloc for 30 years). There are plenty of A-players (head of central bank, minister of finance etc), working industrial policy and digitalized processes, and they can make decisions very fast both politically and bureaucratically.
As long as you "own" the domain name yourself, so can point anywhere, what's the problem with using a platform and expecting to have to move someday?
I love this.

My most satisfying side projects are often not necessarily my "best" work, in terms of code cleanliness, best practices, efficiency, etc. They're ones where I had a particular creative itch I wanted to scratch. Is this kind of solution possible? What would a certain unusual approach to a problem look like? How can I use this algorithm or library in this situation where it doesn't quite fit, as an experiment?

Projects with extremely loose parameters and no particular "skill acquisition" goals are great ways to grow in ways you didn't anticipate. Which is one way to think about artistic creation, I think: non-goal oriented growth.
I don't believe you or share your optimism, but I also don't want to get into an argument about it. I think it's too late to ponder if this is overall good or bad... We'll all find out either way soon enough.
I think export tariffs are rare more for implementation reasons. For instance, resource royalties are relatively common, and you could theoretically structure resource royalties to apply to basically the same basket of goods, in the same amount as an export tariff.
This! I love the pure joy of picking both the destination and the path. No pressure, no goal — just the joy of building for its own sake.

These two lines really hit home:

> You don’t have to listen to any other voices here, except that quiet one inside of you that’s gently urging you to do the thing you know you need to do.

> You don’t need to know where it’s going to lead. For that matter, it doesn’t have to lead anywhere. Nothing ever has to come of it.

That freedom is everything. Just creating because it feels right (to me).
Thanks! Yeah another side project I used was once I got home assistant running I used ChatGPT to write a lot of ESP32 code for me to get some soil moisture sensors working for my outdoor garden. It also gave me a lot of input on the wiring up of the sensor and ESP32. And it helped me with the general concepts of ESP-IDF versus Arduino frameworks for ESP32, getting an SSD1306 OLED screen running on it and and and...

So yeah, it enables my brain to just chase the inspiration rabbit without getting too bogged down in infrastructure.
You've got some weird math there in your ratio. At a minimum it's a giant hassle and can potentially bankrupt you in the extreme. Anything related with heights, electrical or water i would never risk hiring uninsured/unlicensed rando because the potential downside is essentially uncapped
Don't understand these protests. When the war ramped up, Microsoft sent an email saying that they stand with Israel, that was the time to say no and quit.

This is just weird..
> "a dynamically typed language is a statically typed language with only one static type."

— Bob Harper
It doesn't really make explain it because then you'd expect lots of nonsensical lines trying to make a sentence that fits with the theme and rhymes at the same time.
As I understand it, there is a trade embargo on Russia, so there's no trade to put a tariff on.
Let's all hope two things:
1) AGI is not near
2) Nobody ever allows it to have physical presence
2b) should that happen, expect the one idiot ask it to make "as many paperclips as possible" :)
If you’re into open food datasets, OpenNutrition is worth a look — it’s not as big as Open Food Facts, but the data is cleaner and more focused.
This breakdown helped me get a sense of what it offers:

https://thedatabasesearch.com/trade_ad/opennutrition-food-da...
This would be a good argument for targeted tariffs. Less clear that it's a justification for tariffs on stuff the US just doesn't have.
Peter Jackson's recovery of the footage leading to "Get Back" on the roof of the Apple building shows a lot more normal interaction between the Beatles, Linda Eastman and Yoko.

If anything, Ringo is the disruptive one (albeit briefly) when the others ego trips get him down.

Yoko was mythologised into the evil influence by fans distraught at the breakup of the group. Was she wierd? Sure.

Was she wierder than anyone else in those times? Not really. The Chuck Berry gig is just a moment, it doesn't define her. The screaming shtick was a thing, sure.
https://archive.md/QXQs8
> But they weren't unresponsive to the actual needs of their voters.

Medicare for all? A cease-fire in Gaza and an end to the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians?
https://archive.md/nzhF4
The speech isn't why he would go to prison in a just world (that would be Georgia, the fake electors, and the toilet paper documents), and the impeachment that was a consequence of the speech is always a purely political trial. Someone can be impeached for any reason and no reason whatsoever, that is unfortunately how the system is designed. Two kinds of justice, with a few batshit SCOTUS rulings that make a criminal president unprosecutable as long as 34 senators are willing to go to bat for him.

It's not his speech that gave him trouble with the DOJ (before he dismissed all charges against himself), it's all the other parts of his conspiracy to steal the election.

Notice how none of the talking heads on TV were in legal trouble over their speech on the matter.

Every one of the cases against him had a bit more to it than 'well he said some bad words', the same way that a conman doesn't go to prison just for saying some bad words, or the same way that a war criminal gets a noose, despite simply saying words - giving orders.
That badge is from Not By AI: https://notbyai.fyi/about
https://archive.md/tt2nf
This means every buffer uses 4k (page size) minimum of RAM. Sounds very wasteful.
Isn't this very illegal? How come news media never makes this obvious?
> I've had _every_ model fail this

That seems to be because LLMs don't seem to be able to follow procedures (e.g. reliably counting).
Are you arguing that those countries don't impose tariffs on our goods, or you don't like the method of calculation?
It's not that surprising that models encode Byzantine Music Notation characters using separate tokens for each UTF-8 byte, since they're unlikely to occur often enough for byte-pair encoding to allocate dedicated multi-byte tokens to them.

What isn't clear to me is where ASCII text with 64 added to every byte occurs in the wild.
Wasn't SunOS essentially a flavor or distro of Unix?
Prices will very likely go up for products that are not 100% local.
Some resources for end products are currently mostly imported.
The new tarifs also affect resources and unfinished products.

New trade routes and spinning up local production will take time (likely longer five years) so the consumer will pay a price.
Question is how high it will be.

To purely imported goods (a lot of tech for example): cost will go up substantially.

To Russia:
They are currently in a war economy.
You will likely not really see a collapse coming until it is to late.
Banks have been forced to give far to cheap loans to the arms industry complex which are unlikely to ever pay them back.
This partially masks the true cost of the war.

Let's so how this proceeds.
Slightly more detail: until about 2001 Yudkowsky was what we would now call an AI accelerationist, then it dawned on him that creating an AI that is much "better at reality" than people are would probably kill all the people unless the AI has been carefully designed to stay aligned with human values (i.e., to want what we want) and that ensuring that it stays aligned is a very thorny technical problem, but was still hopeful that humankind would solve the thorny problem. He worked full time on the alignment problem himself. In 2015 he came to believe that the alignment problem is so hard that it is very very unlikely to be solved by the time it is needed (namely, when the first AI is deployed that is much "better at reality" than people are). He went public with his pessimism in Apr 2022, and his nonprofit (the Machine Intelligence Research Institute) fired most of its technical alignment researchers and changed its focus to lobbying governments to ban the dangerous kind of AI research.
Show HN: Constant reminders until you respond or snooze
I find it odd how many people continue to try and give this man the benefit of the doubt. Is it just hope? Hope that there is some grander plan and not just Trump doing stupid things that will in fact make everything worse because he's stuck in an 80s view of the world?
Francois Chollet and his work deserve a better title than this stupid headline.

Francois is out to push the boundaries of science and help create models that are truly more intelligent.
I keep asking this of people making the argument of “when tariffs are felt…”?

Where do you think they will be felt and by who?

My guess is among Trump supporters, especially among those solid blue collar middle class vocal MAGA ones, most of these tariffs will not be felt in any really meaningful way. The tariffs that might affect the middle class (basically east Asia) will be the first ones that end up negotiating them away before American consumers feel them…because it’s in those countries best interest and they know it.

The biggest danger to Trump from these tariffs are from the GOP politicians and conservative retirees and nearing retirement age who will not be happy with the stock market if it doesn’t stabilize soon. The price increases don’t hurt them, it’s the impact on their portfolios.
I wonder if you can appreciate just how arrogant that sounds. Even if you disagree, people generally have reasons they act the way they do.
Right, so we can get some concessions from Vietnam, but completely get cut off from Europe and China. Great trade.
California might also take note that the same induced demand argument works for housing. Currently the reverse is happening, as California fails to meet demand (and costs skyrocket) the state failing to grow like it could.