skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There's a certain satisfaction in anticipating these stop and go waves while driving, and timing it so that you catch the tail just as it starts moving again - the goal being to use the brake as little as possible and ideally only need to adjust acceleration. I don't really get why people feel the need to repeatedly accelerate up and then slam on the brakes, when leaving reasonable gaps makes everything go smoother.
I don't think that makes sense. Wars happen when one of the sides think they can win (and want something). USA leaving nato and reducing trade makes european states more vulnerable. I would expect this to increase the liklihood of war.

Especially in the near term - eventually europe will adapt to the new world order, but in the mean time their is a limited window of opportunity where everything is in flux, which would be a great time to strike.
Then it'll be a good lesson for you to diversify investments.
We started with SquareSpace just for a quick website and the ability to make quick updates, try different things, etc etc.

It was fairly inexpensive, squarespace doesn't "own" your domain.

We ended up going to webflow which, though a bit complicated to set-up, is much more flexible and you "design" your own site.

I'm a former webdev, both of these platforms are probably better than handrolling these days.
Bonds and stocks tend to have an inverse correlation. And, yep, bonds are up while stocks and real estate are down.

That’s why financial advisors tell you to keep a mix of stocks and bonds, trending towards a greater percentage of bonds depending on your risk tolerance and as you get older. (Because bonds have lower returns than stocks, historically, but are also less volatile.)
In the case of Trump, never attribute to ineptitude what can be explained by greed.

He is tanking the US economy so he and his billionaire cohort can buy things (businesses, real estate, stocks, etc) at a low price. Thus amassing more control and capital.

This is how the Russian oligarchy came into power.
Another benefit of water landings is you don't need to carry shotguns in the capsule to defend from bears.
Don’t worry. President Trump knows what he’s doing. If anything, this is a perfect time to invest before the markets inevitably recover.
Trump's been talking about tariffs for far longer than the current t-note cycle. He was talking about it a decade ago during his first time in office. IIRC he ran for POTUS as a Reform Party candidate in the 90s or 00s, and that party was started by Ross Perot, who was against NAFTA on the grounds that it'd cause a giant sucking sound of American jobs to Mexico.

He doesn't care about the debt; you can see this in how he pays taxes.

What he needs is something that lets the rich have their cake and eat it too. He needs to appear to be doing something for working-class American manufacturing jobs, while making the people that would fill those jobs bear the brunt of the impact. Tariffs are an expedient way to do that. They don't have to be approved by Congress and are effectively an autocratic way of raising taxes. They apply to prices first, not revenues, and they're simple to implement. The surplus value that used to head to shareholders as a result of cheap foreign goods will go down, but that can be offset by layoffs and the like.

The refinancing, if it's even a viable plan, is a nice side-effect.
Tesla loses another top talent: its long-time head of software
They must have finished this ride hailing app and solved Full Self-Driving ahead of the official go live in 2 months !
They can fall 90% slowly. Look at south Europe after 2018
When the bully gets too ambitious the large number of bullied gang together for revenge, or at least effective countermeasures. The world will route around USA, find they can manage ok without it. The USA will be iced out, lose its reserve currency status, nobody will buy its military technology, making the USA unable to recoup large outlays for ambitious military projects, and the USA will lose its military dominance.

Also, the future of warfare and terrorism is autonomous networks of drones. Mexico and Canada won't be disposed to care what passes through their borders with the USA, and like Zelensky said ... we had the oceans and friendly neighbors, but that won't help us anymore.

EDIT: minor corrections
Only one man knows the answer to this question.
Tech really needs to fall another 50% at least. I think when the big AI bust happens(unless it's happening now), we will see that
I know that a quotation is not necessarily an endorsement, but this is a fantastically short-sighted idea.

> it becomes increasingly burdensome for the United States to finance the provision of reserve assets

How dare countries want pictures of dead Presidents so badly that... they're willing to send real goods to the United States for its consumption, with no expectation of reciprocation.

> and the defense umbrella

... and agree to a de-facto policy of minimal militarization, such that they could not pose a threat to America's global security interests, no matter what it decides those are.

A few hundred years ago, this would look like a tribute system. It's unfathomable that a nation in such a privileged position would decide it's tired of such a systematic set of advantages.

> as the manufacturing and tradeable sectors bear the brunt of the costs...

What's the saying, they've tried nothing and are all out of ideas? Industrial policy is a known and understood thing. The US has this in its defense sector even it doesn't want to admit it, and the CHIPS act was another attempt for the semiconductor industry.

This sort of policy is far more targeted and far less disruptive than blowing up international supply chains in hope of repatriating sweat-shop sneaker sewers and factories for five cent injection molded widgets.
It is strategically beneficial, for trade agreements, diplomatic leverage and in international conflicts, for a nation to have a strong industrial base, in other words an economy that creates and exports actual physical goods. Tariffs level the playing field in our own consumer economy for American made goods, because without them American manufacturing is competing with countries where labor is absurdly cheap.
GP comment is a joke about gambler fallacy (or also MMO crit, drop, etc rates)
German conservatives sound alarm over gold reserves held in US
This. There is no reason why any country should trust us anymore if entire trade relations can be destroyed by a presidential whim.

Even if Trump fell out of a window today and we got a pro-trade president tomorrow, we’re not fixing this damage for a very long time.

We probably would have to amend the constitution to insulate foreign policy from the whims of a single person if we want any chance of fixing this in our lifetime.
Interest rates are high enough that holding cash isn't terrible, particularly if you expect the administration to reverse course on tariffs yet again.

Powell said the Fed isn't changing its plans to keep combating inflation from Trump's first term.

TLT is worth considering, though maybe we'll see Elon decide the treasury will default on bond payments.
I’ve been seeing people call this GEXIT, or global exit.
And no tariffs on Russia, oh I wonder why...
Trump has consistently avoided consequences from breaking the rules.

You can’t fight someone like that within the rules, and right now the left will throw anyone who starts breaking the rules in jail while consistently being unable to hold the opposition accountable.

It’s enforced self destruction.
The betting site did predict Trump will win the election.
Almost all the trade deficit numbers being thrown around by the US administration don't include trade in services which the US generally has a large surplus. A lot of that is very high margin tech SASS/advertising.

If this continues it seems like this could be a "digg->reddit" type moment for US tech. In some ways it is easier for a lot of people to leave facebook than it is for a single person. If you look at gross margins there is a lot of room for competition, though network effects make that competition very difficult. Maybe this is the catalyst for competitors to break in.
There’s still a way out, the US Congress could convene over the weekend and revoke the President’s ability to impose tariffs. Restore it to Congress as stated in the constitution.

Of course they won’t do that. Sic transit gloria mundi.
Yes, in the current American system!
Sales/support chatbot-in-a-box as far as I can tell.
There is away out of this mess: A U.S. Senate bill that would require congressional approval for new tariffs gained more Republican support on Friday [1].

Trump is not going to back down since that will make him look like a loser. Neither is China. But GOP can help Trump out by creating a new law that automatically expires all new tariffs after 60 days unless approved by congress. This will let Trump extricate his head from this mess without losing face.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/world/us/more-us-senate-republicans-...
I’m tired of winning boss.
Another kind of optimisation is to see if you are solving an unnecessarily general problem, which could be replaced by a narrower problem specific to your actual situation & workload, that might be easier to solve.

see also: Mike Acton's 2014 CppCon talk "Data-Oriented Design and C++": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rX0ItVEVjHc
There are two books that literally have dropped in the last 2 weeks and the authors have been doing a lot of media about them. One is called “Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the White House” another is called “Uncharted: How Trump beat Biden, Harris, and the Odds in the Wildest Campaign in History”. Both of these books quote anecdotes from Biden admin insiders and dem politicians about the challenges they saw and experienced.

DNC fundraiser Lindi Li has been all over the podcasts and news (back in November a lot) talking about the challenges she saw.

I’m not sure what you consider “reliable news sources” but I have seen this topic and these authors, and Lindi Li on network, cable, and new media news sources across the spectrum.
>> this immensely flexible and versatile language

> I would be interested to know if anyone ever built anything non-trivial that didn't turn into a complete mess due to TCL's general type-flimsyness and "everything is a string" philosophy.

Both MacPorts CLI client[0] and ports tree[0] have used it successfully for many years.

Regarding:

"everything is a string" philosophy

That can be said for the vast majority of Unix-like OS user-space programs.

0 - https://github.com/macports/macports-base

1 - https://github.com/macports/macports-ports
The civil rights movement was effective of course, but they were very, very careful about how they did things, and iirc the public protests were part of an intentional media strategy because TV would show them doing nothing and getting attacked by police.

> BLM eventually lead to wide policing reforms in many cities and states

Did it? I mostly remember it leading to police doing work stoppages and no one noticing or being able to control them.

Like, the NYPD kidnapped de Blasio's daughter. SFPD just stopped issuing traffic tickets and hasn't restarted, and Oakland police just stopped enforcing everything, so the airport In n Out closed because literally all of their customers got their cars broken into.
Yes, the isolationist era that followed World War One clearly calmed the rest of the world, so that the various "expansionist" regimes felt less threatened and just let their neighbors be.

History rhymes with itself.
Don’t check your 401K accounts, Americans.

This idiocracy administration is single handedly ruining both _public_ and _private_ safety nets.

To my fellow Americans that helped vote this dipshit into office, please fuck off.
But longer-term/bigger-picture I think I'd argue it is that way because that's the culture.

If we wanted to drive everywhere we'd see (over time) more suburbs springing up devoid of high streets and new town centres, with parking facilities near to existing centres, or as brownfield developments on the sites of former walkable residences.
What can be done?
You and I don't get to print money. Other classes do.
Tech was easiest to export cross border. You can export tech through culture, and the USA has been a powerhouse of every major technical cultural channel for the last 50 years.
> Why must a country run a trade deficit to retain its global reserve currency status? Because when your currency is the global reserve currency, the entire world constantly hungers for it in order to use it in all the various countries’ international trade between each other. The only way to keep those countries constantly supplied with dollars is for Americans to buy tons of foreign imports, which effectively sends dollars to those countries, since these purchases are made with dollars

So... the problem with the US being the reserve currency is that it makes other countries cater to our tastes because they want our money...?
Yes. It's probably a combination between "have to do something about China; this is something" and "now I can move FX markets at will; time for my friends and I to enrich ourselves"
AT&T Email-to-Text Gateway Service Ending June 17
China is isolationist and they seem to be growing.

The problem is the USA is a consumer economy which isn’t sustainable. We could get away with it as a tech leader, but with China stepping ahead (Deepseek) china will be a tech leader and manufacturing leader. What will the USA have?
My thought today was that aside from the stocks crashing, and aside from any realistic possibility of magically minting new manufacturing facilities, you'd force the price of imported products up in the short term, and prices don't really go back down, so after they go away you'll hypothetically be selling the same products at higher prices that people are now used to, and nothing else needs to happen functionally to increase efficiency or build them domestically. 1) Increase cost of selling imports 2) Crash stock market 3) Buy stocks 4) Remove tariffs 5) Profit

But I don't know wtf I'm talking about.
Trump would surely veto, and I currently have doubts there will ever be enough Republican votes to override
> Trump hates or doesn’t believe in knowledge

shortened that for you
Discussion (95 points, 12 hours ago, 93 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43581714
> Other companies pour money into their own giant datacenters, hoping to keep pace.

> estimates that the globally available AI-relevant compute will grow by a factor of 10x by December 2027 (2.25x per year) relative to March 2025 to 100M H100e.

Meanwhile, back in the real March 2025, Microsoft and Google slash datacenter investment.

https://theconversation.com/microsoft-cuts-data-centre-plans...
> The reason is simply that if every time you increase taxes and notice revenue goes down, you will naturally reverse it.

That isn't necessarily how it works.

Suppose you increase taxes and revenue goes up by 5%, but growth goes down. Now in ten years your economy has grown by 2.5%/year instead of 3.5%/year or more, so your tax base is >10% lower than it would have been in the alternative but at no point is is less than it was the year before.
> This was considered acceptable to win the war. Should we now hold other countries to a different standard?

Yes, we saw what happened and labeled them as war crimes. We don’t consider them to be acceptable anymore.
Well before what's happening now the US still was doing very strong on the economy (plus their advantage to be that big, their military advantage, them owning half of their continent, etc...). But with what is unfolding now...

If you want to know more about the current situation in the UK I would recommend this video [1]. His channel is amazing for geopolitical content.

[1] https://youtu.be/OTWDzMjgsEY?si=hxoB8ef_y2Qy4u0I
> But what exactly are they doing with the cash?

Buy Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) and hold them to maturity. (Don't buy TIPS funds, their value fluctuates based on interest rates. Buy actual TIPS instead, at either Fidelity or Vanguard.)
A lot of money is moving into treasuries, which is causing the 10 yr yield to quickly drop below 4%.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/10-year-treasury-yield-junk...
You owe tax on the difference between contributed dollars and converted dollars. So if you contributed $100 and it historically had grown to $150, you would owe tax on $50 to convert.

If that $150 in value is suddenly $120 instead, your tax bill to convert is significantly cheaper.
I’m pretty sure the conventional wisdom suggests inflation happens when countries don’t pay down their debt.

Increased money supply isn’t the only cause of inflation (e.g., stagflation). Uncertainty about how to price goods—especially for goods in the middle of supply chains—could cause supply disruptions. It’s a self-inflicted version of the Covid supply disruptions.
It's 1D chess, really, and it isn't really Trump who came up with the idea. We're between a rock and a hard place. If we refinanced at 4.8%, the interest payment would go to $1.2T per year. If we refinance at a lower rate, it's lower. Note that we're not just refinancing either, we'll have to borrow about $1.8T, too, unless DOGE miraculously achieves its $1T/yr savings (doesn't look like it will, if the current trends are anything to go by). Tariff revenues would help to plug that hole somewhat. Then there's the issue of many countries having higher tariffs for our stuff than we have for theirs. That's not "free" trade. Then, finally, there's the issue of the near-irreversible erosion of the industrial base.

Warren Buffett warned about this back in 2003, and proposed an elegant solution, which, unfortunately, would require Congress to implement it through legislation: https://faculty.washington.edu/ss1110/IF/Buffett%20Fortune%2... But we do not have a functioning congress, so Buffett's solution is impossible.
ROTH contributions grow tax-free. Doing your conversions now allows you to buy equities are they're currently discounted prices, maximizing your potential long-term tax-free gains.
Are you claiming that the 'shareholder class' would rather depress the economy and wipe out trillions in shareholder value...over inflating the economy and lowering interest rates?
About 25-33% of resturant sales are the cost of food. So you can break out the total spent on food pretty easily.
<3

To be clear, the use case of this is anything where I have lots of text on a canvas? Like, a canvas based game with thought bubbles or something like that?
We’re talking antibiotic abuse eh?
> In this case there are very few truly "OSS companies" except for Red Hat and few other Linux distribution maintainers.

Okay then. Fine by me.

> Gitlab

Perfect example. They have OSS offerings. They are not an OSS _company_.

This also serves to exclude the hundreds of VC-backed "totally open source 100% not going to enshittify this when our investors come asking for returns". Which, again, I'm fine with.

The business model of the purist OSS company is not one that's been found to be terribly successful. Nevertheless, it _is_ one which has a sort of moral high ground at least. I would prefer to leave definitions as is so as to keep that distinction (of having the moral high ground) crystal clear.

Does that make sense?
It doesn't require a constitutional amendment, we can just repeal the law [0] being used, which would ironically involve the same number of votes as keeping the law but slapping down Trump's particular usage of it. (That's now how it originally worked, but the easy-slapdown route got ruled unconstitutional.)

Military alliance stuff might be harder. Some stuff like NATO is supported by actual legislation, but other stuff was set up as a kind of gentleman's agreement with the US President-du-jour on the assumption that successors wouldn't be crazy.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Emergency_Econom...
The crypto betting site users had high sentiment trump would win
It is an interesting theory but as kid who hit puberty at the peak of MTV distorted 5ths on guitar, there is just something oddly sexual about that sound.

Maybe we are talking about the same causal variable though.

The engine and power chords as a form of sublimation.
This is basically 1 - P(tariffs get repealed).
Passing law that removes tariff authority from the president would be a good start to rebuilding trust.
I started wondering if there's a way for citizens to push the issue that these tarrifs are unconstitutional. Like a lawsuit that got escalated to the Supreme Court or some thing if congress isn't going to.

Some of the senators are breaking away though.

If the country survives this though the next thing through executive order could be just as bad or worse. There doesn't seem to be any realistic way out of this insanity.
> so they could use it as an eternal campaign issue

clarification - its the republicans that used it as a campaign issue. the dems just assumed it was settled law
With this kind of free fall it's going to trigger a lot of busts.
The vision is to convert the American economy from one with infinite profit margins (ads and software) to a manufacturing one with single percentage profit margins and limited growth potential due to tariff environment.

So I think a 80-90% drop in the overall market value is justified.
Ah, so that issue is specifically related to a statistics/count query used by the UI and not by River itself. I think it's something we'll build a more efficient solution for in the future because counting large quantities of records in Postgres tends to be slow no matter what, but hopefully it won't get in the way of regular usage.

> Perceived only at this stage, though the kind of volume we’re looking at is 10s to 100s of millions of jobs per day.

Yeah that's a little over 100 jobs/sec sustained :) Shouldn't be much of an issue on appropriate hardware and with a little tuning, in particular to keep your jobs table from growing to more than a few million rows and to vacuum frequently. Definitely hit us up if you try it and start having any trouble!
Because you have to pay taxes on it when you convert, and you will have less to pay taxes on if you do it now.
That's the most charitable possible reading of this strategy. There are many others.
Also would require near-certainty that these conditions will last far, far longer than 4 years (or 4 days, per earlier tariff tantrums). Especially for the most important industries like semiconductors, steel, oil, which require massive capex.
Trump has kooky beliefs about tariffs, and his economic guys are yes men.

Economics and science mean nothing to the President. He probably heard some blowhard in a bar 50 years ago yabber about tariffs. He’s an instinctual person, and when he senses danger to himself, he’ll pivot.

I’d guess there will be air strikes on Iran or threats of an incursion into the Mexican side of the border by June.
He doesn't know either.
And in Tcl the runtime type is computed at time of use. An optimized Tcl could cache an integer with a string that represents an int to avoid that cost.

Nevertheless, a runtime type tag is an optimization. That doesn’t make Bob’s statement any less true.
If Trump is effectively insider-trading, much of the profit would come from the flip-flopping rumors he spreads every week. To keep going, there does need to be the occasional concrete action, otherwise traders start ignoring the rumors.
Interesting, I hadn't thought about this. Is the issue that the JIT output is likely to be a different number of bytes away? tbb/tbh seems like a more common version of that problem, TBH.

As I understand it, this kind of thing was a big problem for ARM in the mid-90s when they finally wrote the ARM ARM and outlawed things like ldmia r2!, {r0-r4}.
Maybe all the billionaire owners of these stocks can go storm the capital together?
Could you clarify for me please why the term globalist would be used instead of global? Like "Apple is a global corporation" is an unarguable fact but using the term globalist for these companies seems pretty strange to me since there are some pretty weird connotations with it.