skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It reminds me of this rather classic post: http://johnsalvatier.org/blog/2017/reality-has-a-surprising-...

Science is not ideas: new conceptual schemes must be invented, confounding variables must be controlled, dead-ends explored. This process takes years.

Engineering is not science: kinks must be worked out, confounding variables incorporated. This process also takes years.

Technology is not engineering: the purely technical implementation must spread, become widespread and beat social inertia and its competition, network effects must be established. Investors and consumers must be convinced in the long term. It must survive social and political repercussions. This process takes yet more years.
You seem to be very confident, but from what I've seen online most people that employed this type of countermeasures did really have a drop in requests. I can't find the graphs I've seen about this at the moment, but I'll update if I do.
The Path to Cognitive RPA (2018)
The way he views net investment and net foreign ownership seem wrong.

He uses the analogy of a farm owner selling bits of their farm to fund their trade deficit.

But in the real world, it's not zero sum like this. The pie isn't fixed to the size of the farm. New companies serving new needs can be created.

If you're a poor country wanting to escape poverty, you want FDI to be high because you realize it's not zero sum.

Yeah, foreigners now own 20% of your stock market due to negative net investment, but it's now 1.5x as big so your slice increased in size to 0.8*1.5 > 1 and everyone is happy.

Given this, I struggle to understand if his argument still has merit.

He has a point about national debt but it's not a new one.
> create products the rest of the world actually wants to bu

Exactly. Esp when you have the leader(s) of the US complaining that Europe doesn't buy US cars. Well in the UK smaller cars dominate the market where in the US larger cars do. On avg US cars are longer, wider, taller, and heavier.

A lot of our roads (Cities and urban areas) were not designed for larger cars, even a Tesla smallest car, the Model 3 feels big on the road, well it feels big on the road to me.
Quoting from wikipedia:

> Prior to 20th-century monetarist theory, the 19th-century economist and philosopher Frédéric Bastiat expressed the idea that trade deficits actually were a manifestation of profit, rather than a loss. He proposed as an example to suppose that he, a Frenchman, exported French wine and imported British coal, turning a profit.

> He supposed he was in France and sent a cask of wine which was worth 50 francs to England. The customhouse would record an export of 50 francs.

> If in England, the wine sold for 70 francs (or the pound equivalent), which he then used to buy coal, which he imported into France (the customhouse would record an import of 70 francs), and was found to be worth 90 francs in France, he would have made a profit of 40 francs.

> But the customhouse would say that the value of imports exceeded that of exports and was trade deficit of 20 against the ledger of France. This is not true for the current account[, which] would be in surplus.

( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Balance_of_trade#Monetarist_th... )

A major fundamental flaw in the concept is the assumption that goods have a fixed value. In reality, their value changes according to where they are, which is the only reason it's possible to make a profit by moving them around.

Note that in the same example, if the French wine is bought by a wizard instead of a merchant, and he transmutes the wine into 50-francs-of-wine's worth of coal for export to England (the ways of wizards are mysterious), the customs house will record the value of the coal as 90 francs. It's only worth 50 francs when it's going the other way.

And if he does the same thing, transmuting the wine into coal within France, and then sells it in France, the econometric body will be happy that French GDP has increased by 90 francs, making the people of France richer.
Well for brevity I did trivialize it but I will expand:

The left side got people fired. This is objectively not as bad as getting people disappeared. You can get a new fucking job. You can’t get freedom from detention and you cannot easily return to the country (if at all)

Additionally there is the motivational factor behind both sides:

The lefts argument in policing language was to reduce harm to marginalized groups. You may not agree with it, but that is the rational.

The rights argument is to erase those marginalized groups.

These are extremely different in motivation. Asking you to respect a persons gender identity in professional contexts is far different than forcing someone to not be able to express it on federal documentation.

One side of this was “we want to create inclusive spaces that make people comfortable and if you don’t want to participate in that there is the door”. The other side is “we did not want to participate in that so go fuck yourself and we will do whatever we can to deny your right to express your identity”

“Any attempt to control speech” is an absolutist statement that is absurd in its fallacy. So I can say I can murder you? I can say you’re planning a terrorist attack? I can say you want to kill the president? Of course not. Speech is limited contextually and by law
Antibiotics are not cheap. Make it cheaper and you will see how they will use it on livestock.
Business people don't necessarily make the best economists or politicians, that's the main lesson from the last few years to me.
The t-shirt metaphor is completely unjust - there is no value there for national security nor strategic autonomy.

Consider instead:

- Semiconductor low-end fabrication (Taiwan, Korea)

- Basic electronics: circuit boards, USB devices, .. (China)

- Auto parts (Mexico, China, Germany)

- Generic drugs (India, China)

The reality is that the US is not the ultimate global hegemon anymore and therefore offshoring industries cannot simply be viewed through an economic lens.
Political-Discourse-Framework
> Honestly, who doesn't think that a person shouldn't be in jail who would prefer to film and giggle while a child was drowning? A person like that needs a timeout at least.

The difference is that jail in the US is not "timeout". Prisoners may be required to work against their will, which is the carve out in the fourteenth amendment which abolished slavery. People openly joke about sexual assault in prison with derogatory comments like "don't drop the soap". All in all, I think the bar should be higher to send someone to prison in the US. We already have too many people in prison and, in my opinion, many of them are wrongly in prison.
Are they really winning though or are they actually just rotting in a hell of their own making?

Something to consider. Money can't buy you love.
This article was printed on November 10th, 2003 (!).
>high value goods at home and provided high value services that couldn't be provided elsewhere.

Eh, they were swiftly outcompeted in almost all fields, but protected that system of mercantilism, by disallowing their colonies to unload anything that was not flagged british. Monopolies work that way, they ruin things and are memorized in the empire center as "good times"..

https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/041615/how-did-merc...

PS: This is one of the reasons why the spinwheel is on indias flag- as a sign of clothing production autonomy.
this whole thing reeks of panic from brands that raised a ton of vc money to sell $90 socks and never built real supply chain resilience. now they’re surprised their margin math doesn’t work when they actually have to pay fair rates for production. incredible.
Makes me think of Unison [0]. I never used it but I found it interesting to read about.

[0] https://www.unison-lang.org
> database of functions

This is exactly what Unison (https://www.unison-lang.org/) does. It’s kinda neat. Renaming identifiers is free. Uh… probably something else is neat (I haven’t used Unison irl)
Hugston AI and Repo (captcha signup fixed)
And USA get 30% (or 20% depending on the studio) of the price you paid. Do you use Android, windows or Apple, or any licensed software?
Many things you don't notice consciously unless you take the time to look but they still affect your overall perception. I suspect highly detailed animations fall into that category.
I software and IT services (cloud) etc. "goods" or not here? As far as I know that very large sector is not included in that calculation. A follow up question is how US company subsidiaries located in Europe are counted - the gains all end up in the US eventually (or at the very least the money streams are under US control), but it does not count as a US export? I have sooo many questions.

Everything is Microsoft and Co. in Europe and elsewhere, both the OS and things like AWS or Office 365 subscriptions.
It's made me reconsider visiting. ATM, if I do go, I'll most likely go via Ireland where most of the border checks are done before getting on the plane rather than when getting to the states.

However, the article you linked to states its not an offical travel warning, more like an advisory.

> But they also stressed that this change does not count as an official travel warning
I didn't think it. I imagined a cartoonish chubby character in typical tan safari gear with a like-colored round explorer hat and swinging a whip like a lion tamer. He is mustachioed, light skin, and bespectacled. And I am well familiar with Dr. Jones.
Probably a dumb question but.. Is the 3d exploding diagram model of the engine here just a visual metaphor for a complex system working in sync with itself? Or actually created using the toolkit? I flipped through the API and everything appears to be lower-level animation support, but intro gives the impression that it's CAD-like.
I think MIT's breakthrough is a huge step forward, but it also highlights just how tricky drug delivery still is. Scaling up nanoparticle production is essential if we ever want these treatments to be more than just a cool lab experiment. But even with this progress, we’re still stuck with the same old problem—getting drugs exactly where they need to go without wrecking the rest of the body.

That’s why I find DNA nanobots fascinating, even if they still feel a little like science fiction. Instead of just improving how we make nanoparticles, DNA nanobots could take targeting to another level—programming them to only release drugs when they hit specific cancer markers. The idea of a ‘smart drug courier’ that doesn’t dump toxins everywhere is really appealing. Will it actually work in humans at scale? Who knows. But five years ago, I wouldn’t have expected MIT to make mass nanoparticle production look feasible either.

If you’re curious about the DNA nanobot approach: https://dnananobots.com/antibody-drug-conjugates/
Your reasoning is invalid.

For your claim to be true, it would need to be provably impossible to explain human behavior with mathematics.

For that to be true, humans would need to be able to compute functions that are computable but outside the Turing computable, outside the set of lambda functions, and outside the set of generally recursive functions (the tree are computationally equivalent).

We know of no such function. We don't know how to construct such a function. We don't know how it would be possible to model such a function with known physics.

It's an extraordinary claim, with no evidence behind it.

The only evidence needed would be a single example of a function we can compute outside the Turing computable set, which would seem to make the lack of such evidence make it rather improbably.

It could still be true, just like there could truly be a teapot in orbit between Earth and Mars. I'm nt holding my breath.
It seems more likely that bad data was involved.

There are actually export statistics (obviously errors, possibly fraud) for these islands. Someone probably stuck the numbers in a formula without digging a little deeper.
Unless I got it completely wrong, the beauty of this ambiguity is that one can make two radically different arguments based on it, depending on who we're trying to impress. Do you want to praise the USA? Here. Do you want to tax China? Also here.
This looks like the end of story is that the US will consume less, "more expensive" and home made.
I think it will have disastrous consequences for the U.S IF the rest of the world keeps trading free.
There will be more jobs in the U.S but in the end will become a more inefficient market.
There should be a (2003) at the end of the post title.
There's nothing unconventional about Microsoft Edge. It's pretty much Chrome.
I disagree that you can own things, but I certainly concede IP as a good starting point.
> The only way to balance that is to make things they can afford. Which means low value items.

How about the US pays them well for their work so they can afford all these "high value" items?

Oh no, we economically enslaved all these people to our clothing in sweatshops for pennies an hour, but now they're not buying our...1000$ tablets that don't even have a calculator app...or whatever else the US considers "high value"... Oh how terrible!
Of course they don't because they are made in China. Do you think that Ford cars manufactured in Mexico count as U.S export?
You can’t win with these people. They don’t care if they aren’t personally impacted. The “sjw boogeyman” that could theoretically impact their cushy livelihood matters more than the very real right wing government that exists right now and is disappearing people.

But as long as they can still say the n word on twitter and call of duty everything will be okay. Who cares about those disappeared people anyway, they weren’t even citizens
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Fundamentally I think this comes down to answering the question of "why are you creating this?".

There are many valid answers.

Maybe you want to create it to tell a story, and you have an overflowing list of stories you're desperate to tell. The animation may be a means to an end, and tools that help you get there sooner mean telling more stories.

Maybe you're pretty good at making things people like and you're in it for the money. That's fine, there are worse ways to provide for your family than making things people enjoy but aren't a deep thing for you.

Maybe you're in it because you love the act of creating it. Selling it is almost incidental, and the joy you get from it comes down to spending huge amounts of time obsessing over tiny details. If you had a source of income and nobody ever saw your creations, you'd still be there making them.

These are all valid in my mind, and suggest different reasons to use or not to use tools. Same as many walks of life.

I'd get the weeds gone in my front lawn quickly if I paid someone to do it, but I quite enjoy pottering around on a sunny day pulling them up and looking back at the end to see what I've achieved. I bake worse bread than I could buy, and could buy more and better bread I'm sure if I used the time to do contracting instead. But I enjoy it.

On the other hand, there are things I just want done and so use tools or get others to do it for me.

One positive view of AI tools is that it widens the group of people who are able to achieve a particular quality, so it opens up the door for people who want to tell the story or build the app or whatever.

A negative side is the economics where it may be beneficial to have a worse result just because it's so much cheaper.
A [2003] tag in the title would be appropriate.
Well, you actually want the body to clear things. That’s not a problem, it’s a feature. If the phage is able to target the bacteria before it is fully cleared, that’s all you need. Humans have been injected with phages and it has been shown to work. The Soviets actually did a lot of research on it, IIRC. The practical issue that is really challenging for broad phage therapy adoption is that phages are very specific to the bacteria they target. So, you can’t just get injected with any old phage and expect it to work. Instead, you need to catalog all the phages you find in a database and search for one that can target the specific bacteria the patient has been infected with. Phages are simply viruses that target bacteria. You’re awash in them all the time.
Who cares if it's valuable for the majority? What do you think this is? Stock market for slop?

This is art.
> Maybe Studio Ghibli making it through the seemingly deterministic GPT guardrails was an OpenAI slip up, a mistake,

The author is so generous... but Sam Altman literally has a Ghibli-fied Social profile and in response to all this said OpenAI chooses its demos very carefully. His primary concern is that Ghibli-fying prompts are over-consuming their GPU resources, degrading the service by preventing other ChatGPT tasks.
> any physical USA goods

Do you see the word "physical" in my original comment? And me saying that I don't buy such things?

I will admit to buying Intel CPUs, but aren't they manufactured in the Far East?
Floating point math was a key feature on these early machines, since it opened up the "glorified desk calculator" use case. This was one use for them (along with gaming and use as a remote terminal) that did not require convenient data storage, which would've been a real challenge before disk drives became a standard. And the float implementation included in BASIC was the most common back in the day. (There are even some subtle differences between it and the modern IEEE variety that we'd be familiar with today.)
Yep, and what if good things only exist because they were created by and for those who can tell good from great.
Study finds you enjoy doing things you like. If there's something you particularly like, you seem to enjoy it even more.

If you are missing on some form of pleasure in your life, substituting it for another pleasure can help alleviate the pain.

Woah.
I was wondering the same thing and found this paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S10439...
The Ireland tip is a great shout. My brother-in-law holds passports for the UK and another country that is not on the USA's christmas card list, he does all his US business flying via Ireland.
I don't see how exact search string can lose its sense. But it does yield "no results", more often than before even if the string has to be publicly available somewhere, in a source I could make sense of.

I can see how google can be seen as better in some ways, but brushing all case where it's worse as irrelevant looks like an easy shortcut to shut down complains without caring if they might be legit.
If the answer is the end of - I'll call it - "Consumerism", and the industries we choose to subsidize are those that are more essential to a community driven life (e.g. food, shelter, health, education, transportation, communication, etc ...), I think it is possible to lower the "Standard of Living" as reshaping what the term means, undoing years of advertisement based conditioning.

Americans may no longer have an unnecessarily large or luxurious automobile, or a screen in every room, but I would argue excess becoming the standard is the problem and a major cause of the imbalance.

The solution doesn't feel very democratic or free though, values that have been critical to the identity of the USA.
Lowering the cost of high-quality education makes it more accessible, which isn't the same thing as "accessible for all".

But lowering the cost of tuition also have positive effect on economy, because people who are starting their career will have more money roughly at the same age where they will want to spend more money. They are figuring their living situation, they are trying to figure out what independence means, a lot of people will want to start families at the first 10 years of their career.

If you paid your tuition fees for 15 years, then you most likely already figured where you live/had kids and the additional money will go into savings for retirement. It's will not be "buyer" money, that will go to pay for products and services, and so it wouldn't go towards someone's paycheck.
I'm working on a personal project with this right now. Closure components FTW.
The end user didn't ask for Indiana Jones though.
Same goes for chemo therapy. There are many chemo therapies from 60s still being used due to the fact their patent is still owned by certain oligarchy.
Don’t you mean cross-pollination?
It is a smaller step to further the justifications than to deal with the often severe implications (to the self-image) of having been wrong. The more obvious it becomes having been wrong, the more necessary the justifications are and the more absurd they become. As having someone accepting your absurd justifications becomes proof of being blameless.
With books it's even worse. Movies might get a trickle of revenue from TV licensing but once a book is out of print (which usually happens very quickly, and most never go into print again), that's it. No more revenue from that book, it continues to circulate in libraries and used bookstores but the author and publisher gets nothing from that.
It's such madness that all this resource usage is for LLMs that are barely useful (at least for me). So many billions in resources wasted for machine learning systems that mimic human speech, it's not intelligent in any sense.

Now we see models showing the user it's "thinking" as some sort of intelligent agent, when really, ploys like that is to prop up the AI sector's stock price.

Surely LLMs in this form can't be the future of AGI?
> Why is Denmark so high up for example, generally considered the country in the world with the highest tax pressure, and without any substantial natural resources.

It isn't the country with the highest tax pressure, e.g. Denmark government revenue is 36% of GDP, approximately equal to the UK, vs. 44% for France or 48% for Greece:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_governmen...

But the major source of variance in the numbers is that it not only matters what the tax rate is, it also matters how effectively you spend the money.

Suppose a government with the level of competence of Denmark would have an optimal tax rate of 20%, i.e. that's the point at which the low-hanging fruit is gone and additional spending starts to become net negative. That doesn't mean it's enormously net negative, when the government is more competent and efficient than average the loss could be small, so that Denmark at 36% might still only be slightly worse than breakeven compared to the lower tax rate.

Meanwhile a different government has the 20% tax rate, but three quarters of the money is lost to corruption or incompetence instead of funding the beneficial programs it should have been, so they could be worse off because high levels of corruption and waste can be as bad as high taxes.

The worst case is, of course, when you do both and have a high tax rate which goes to a government with a high level of corruption, which is what you see in e.g. Greece. But this is also what tends to happen in any place with a less efficient government that tries to solve it by raising taxes. The inefficiency that was the cause of the problem to begin with then gets more money to set on fire and that makes it even worse.
Don't worry, that's the kind of thing that would only happen in a country with a fickle, mercurial government that doesn't value certainty and the rule of law.
This is being studied. Phage research is active.
The wheel on the Indian flag is not a spinwheel[1], though it was proposed at some point in time before they got independence.

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashoka_Chakra
Ask HN: How does HN's admin area look like?
It would be super cool if we could see any screenshots of HN admin/manager, yes?