skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Holy cow! I had to check for myself: there are even more data points on trade balance for all countries at https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/index.html (whereas @orthonormalist used a partial list from wikipedia) and the percentages I calculate line up exactly with the Trump's full list of "Tariffs Charged to the USA" percentages (https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1907541343250878752) !!

Specifically they used 2024 trade balance figures. Example: take a random country, like Botswana, and the country's page at https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c7930.html shows a 2024 trade balance of 104.3 (exports) and 405.1 (imports) so 1-104.3/405.1 = 0.74 which matches the "74%" "tariffs charged to the USA" claimed by Trump...

Rarely you get handed such blatant evidence that someone produced bullshit numbers and/or doesn't understand where the numbers come from !
SBR Explained: White paper [pdf]
I think you’re somewhat missing the point, which is that the collapse of the dollar as the reserve currency around the world will eventually lead to default of US debt, which has cascading consequences domestically and internationally. This is the direction the US is heading if it really continues to alienate its allies and try to “fix” its trade deficit.

However, the OP was wrong about the fact that China will become a hegemony, for reasons like you mention, and so what’s likely happening isn’t the change of hegemony, it’s the beginning of the end of the era of the American Empire and to a likely a multi polar world. It’s going to take another world war, in some form, to create enough of a vacuum to give us another superpower/hegemony like we have with the US currently.
If only writing it as fact made it fact, you'd have an argument.
Just curious: do you own your own domain? My experience is that many (most?) people who would be competent to own their own domain just don't.
> the people of the Isle of Man were EU citizens.

Not quite, at least not by default. The pre-Brexit Manx passport did confusingly include the text "European Union" on its cover, but holders of Manx nationality were only citizens of the EU if they had lived for at least 5 consecutive years in the UK or if they descended from a UK parent or grandparent.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isle_of_Man-variant_British_pa...
> One of the main reasons that old Thinkpads stand out is their design philosophy. They are made with swappable components with the intention of user upgradeability.

On a fixed PC everything is swappable by definition. I don't quite understand why people love laptops so much. If you're using your PC in only one place a tower PC is cheaper and can be upgraded indefinitely with only a screwdriver (if that).
There’s also Lightyear. But so far the Zero (formerly One) ran into the ground after a barely existent production run, and the Two I’m not sure exists in any way.
> And to your point, if anyone ever asked an engineer to insert another floor between 8th and 9th floor of a 15 story building, they'd laugh at them. In software engineering, this is possible even if hard.

Bingo.

For building engineers this is chuckle worthy. For software engineers, it's Wednesday.
Apple Mail was actually the straw that broke the camel's back for me.

I wrote a blog post about our reasoning here:

https://marcoapp.io/blog/marco-an-introduction
Foreign countries buy USD through trade. Japan needs dollars for international trade so the US Treasury prints dollars and gives them to Japan and in return Japan gives the US Nintendo Switches or whatever. Those dollars go into the international trade system and some of those dollars will just circulate internationally indefinitely and won't ever make their way back to the US, hence the perpetual trade deficit. This is a great deal for the US because at the national level they effectively got those Nintendo Switches for free.
I'm always surprised at how many LLM research papers are published on here, so despite OpenAI, I think it's absolutely happening.
No services, only goods. This is according to @JamesSurowiecki on Twitter, one of the first to reverse engineer the equation for how they’re coming up with the numbers. So Office, Netflix, etc wouldn’t count against the deficit.
It's different, but even if distribution were free you still need to pay people to investigate and write the news. It has a cost, and it's not free. It not being free isn't elitist; it's what you do in a society that banned slavery a long time ago.
Wake up. That's what's happening to your gifts you released under permissive licenses. Enterprises like AWS, Apple etc. build their business on them and don't want to give anything back.
It's not strictly THAT or ONE laptop though. It's the concept of old Thinkpad laptops in general: since there is already a big enough refurbishment market active, parts will still be produced or stored and sold, thus permitting that kind of laptop to be repaired and survive. Even if you apply the "ship of Theseus" logic, it won't matter. It won't be the same original Thinkpad, but it will still be a Thinkpad (flies like a Thinkpad, sings like a Thinkpad...)
> They want to repudiate foreign held debt, or devalue it, by revaluation of the USD

I don't understand, who's holding that "foreign held debt"? foreign countries I suppose, so which countries do you have in mind?

For one, it's not China, which holds a large amount of US treasury bonds (so basically, China is a lender of USD). So the revaluation of USD would work great for China: one, the value of the China-held USD bonds increases, and second, the price of Chinese exports decreases in USD terms.

So help me understand, what's the plan with the revaluation of USD?
In simple terms, if you're the Philippines and you're selling fish to Russia, would you rather have Rubles or US dollars? Way back in time, US Dollars were one to one based on gold in fort knox. Right? But no country has a gold reserve now. Most countries have a dollar reserve to back the paper money they print themselves. This is the main reason the dollar hasn't collapsed already.

[edit] someone who graduated college with an economics degree please come and correct the following vague and possibly totally wrong perceptions I have as a subject of the American empire /edit

The value of a country's money is backed by a combination of how much they produce and how much foreign currency and assets from other countries they hold (euros, dollars, gold) they have on reserve. Only the US gets away with having no actual reserve ...because a combination of military might and cultural strategic dominance has allowed it to BE the reserve for everyone else. This is why it somehow makes sense for America's economy to be based entirely on consumption rather than production.

OP is right. Whichever superpower controls the levers of global trade is the one that can sell debt and enforce the currency regime.

Some of us think that it's a lucky thing that it's been America, rather than a more authoritarian power, who had held that control for the past 80 years. Europe would not have recovered from WWII otherwise, and be living behind an iron curtain. Anyone who controls global trade after America is likely to be worse from a human rights perspective.
Here we go.

My dumb ass invested money in usa stocks when trump got elected because trump is pro business, right ? Should have invested in Asia, today china is the usa from 40 year ago.
If anything is sneaky, it's the way how the in US you never see salestax until you're about to pay :D
> Waltz had “potentially exploitable information” sent to his Gmail, such as his schedule and other work documents

Says nothing about him sending information from the account

Goes on to say one of his aides "used Gmail for more sensitive material, such as discussing military positions and weapons systems" which is pretty vague as far as accusations go
Except those islands are Australian territories. And they've given Australia higher tariffs, so in theory they could reduce these tariffs (which will be paid at least in part by US citizens) by exporting through there?

There's nothing strategic about a 4 column excel spreadsheet and one formula.
And? That's bigotry, a totally different issue from accessibility.

The population WANTS this piece of bigotry, heck our ancestors voted for the damn thing it, it's literally the 2nd amendment of our the constitution.

You can't blame NADRA for including it in their forms, they do it on government demand. Heck, I had to sign the damn thing to get my damn passport, there is no escaping it.

But NADRA also has vans that go village by village providing photo-ID on the doorstep. And THAT is accessibility.

Do I wish this piece of bigotry wasn't in on our forms? Yes. Today Ahmedis; tomorrow Shias; day after who knows, it might be me.

Does it mean CNIC are BAD? NO, they are perhaps the only actually part of cour damn governance, being able to provide ID.

We could obviously do better, but NOT having ID is crazy.
I have a 2nd generation iPad and its amazing how well it still runs.

Of course I can't do anything with it because you can't update the OS and without having a new OS you can't actually download or run anything from the shop.
If the US doesn't apply non tariff barriers and the EU, for example, does, why us the EU flooded by Chinese cars and smartphones and the US isn't?
You are absolutely right, that is not a .NET specific issue, it was just very little time between these big libraries going commercial. I think that there is a deeper issue here. Maintaining an open source project is hard work and is rarely compensated, I can even understand the motivation of the mantainers that decided to put their projects under a commercial license.

Businesses and developers profit from foss software, but the chances that anything, be it money or support via contributions, is given back are low. I don't think that it is desirable to go closed source to solve that issue, but I also don't have a good solution at hand.
They will lose 'face' if they start now, that's the issue.
In most western countries there are few state-run enterprises so there's little "government's money". There's taxpayer's money, and they care how it's spent.
what would happen to US??? I mean you cant ignore US market right now

so is this enough that factory gonna comeback on US soil??
Except people don't eat money, so raising supply needs to be done in a way that won't kill the economy.
Ask HN: Best online communities where high skilled front end devs hangout?
AoE2 was released 1999 based on a 1997 game engine, and a new major DLC is about to drop this spring in 2025 (for the definitive edition). Sandy Petersen should be proud.
> Spreading awareness

It's not spreading awareness, it's just spam at this point.

> is important

How is it important to take down Mozilla? How is it valuable - maybe do something constructive if you are concerned. Even if you don't like them, aren't there many far more important things to do? Can you think of bigger problems?
This is where the calculation is extremely unfair to a country like Vietnam. They export low value physical goods and import high value services like ChatGPT, engineering consultations, etc.
They're getting screwed by this tariff plan.

Any tariff based on trade deficit needs to account for services.
You really don't understand what types give you, do you?

Where are you going to put the code above in this:

<section @name="user-details" class="user">

<media :image="/app/icon/cc/{cc}.svg" :title="name">
<p>{ email }</p>
</media>

<dl :if="org">
<dt>Company</dt> <dd>{ org }</dd>
<dt>Country</dt> <dd> { country }</dd>
<dt>Company size</dt> <dd>{ size.desc } ({ size.label })</dd>
<dt>Website</dt> <dd><a class="action">{ website }</a></dd>
<dt>Plan</dt> <dd><pill icon="dot" :label="{ plan }"/></dd>
</dl>

<media-thumbs :items="shots"/>

<chat-thread :thread="thread"/>

</section>

Are you going to write ifs for every permutation of possible typos? (Let's ignore for a second that it's not just typos)
I'm working on an open source one for myself: https://github.com/ginkgo/trackball

Next step is adding QMK support.
Thank god, I'm so tired of seeing those things parked around Amsterdam when the original loophole was for farmers :eye roll:
>You have hitched yourself to the no-ID bandwagon for so long it kills you to admit it was wrong.

Please explain to me clearly where I was wrong? What is the problem you have identified and the solution that I gave that was incorrect?

This rest of the text you posted is a massive non-sequitor. I identified to you that (1) there is no voter fraud problem (2) voter ID would not fix anything except cost the government more money and (3) it's a false claim made to disenfranchise voters.

Please clearly, explain whats wrong, backed with relevant data about voter fraud instead of waffling about Ezra Klein and John Stewart on a completely different issue.

>I am sorry, you fear.... governing?

I fear spending money trying to solve a made up problem. Something you pretended to care about when you brought up Ezra Klein. Except in the case of Voter ID you oppose Ezra Klein and you actually want to spend money doing bullshit that solves nothing. Please identify what is actually solved that is worth someone spending 25 years of their life handing out voter IDs.
That's sexy!
The definition of good pay is relative. Increase wages enough, and people will leave other industries, and new workers will join the workforce straight out of high school rather than going to university. Those jobs will be filled.
I was assuming that other requirements associated with the software were otherwise met. If you're simply less productive all other things being equal, you should probably be at least eased out especially if you're simply refusing to use appropriate tools (assuming those tools actually do enhance productivity).
Me too. Thumbnails just appear black.

Safari 17.6 (19618.3.11.11.5), MacOS Sonoma 14.7.3 (23H417)

It works on Chrome on the same machine.
Good idea, I had the same but didn't want to get into the intellectual property issues.
Edit: someone said it doesn't work for Japan but it does. Every country I checked by hand matches the figures exactly... For Japan the figures are from https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5880.html and their 2024 trade balance is: 79,740.8 (exports) and 148,208.6 (imports) so 1-79740/148208 = 0.46 which matches the 46% "Tariffs charged to the USA
" from the table shown by Trump...
I'm not a fan of OpenAI, and certainly not a fan on Sam Altman, quite the opposite, it's anything but open, and at a fundamental level I believe it does the opposite it claimes to do—benefit humanity. In fact I've often called OpenAI a scam.

But the hubris of the conspiring board members is astounding. God, what arrogance. Not only conspire against Altman, but essentially conspire to destroy OpenAI itself. I don't understand how these people have not been charged with something. They didn't make a mistake, they were activelly sabotaging OpenAI. To think that these people are on other boards is unthinkable.
I actually was in a situation where I had such a debate during Covid with someone I was in school with. I tried to take time to argue.

He would show some numbers and make completely wrong conclusions. There was no way I could get him to try to listen to me. Whereas back at school, he was never arguing with me about maths given that he had bad grades and I didn't.

So somehow I really feel like there is this "authority" thing missing. Now that he is an adult, he feels like his opinion about everything is valid.
Trading in USD means that all your transactions become known by a third party (US). That is why everyone should be interested in cutting out the middle man.
I am not ignoring it, That disenfranchisement is deliberate, and NOT as a consequence of voter-ID.

Our government and population WANT to disenfranchise them, we WANT to be bigoted against them, and if photo-ID didn't exist, voter rolls STILL exist and then we would use THOSE to lynch them or whatever.
I have a hard time telling this alleged incompetence apart from actual malice.
De minimis exemption expiring has been a planned thing for years through administrations of both parties. Trump admin has been delaying the already planned expiration during the Biden years to use as a negotiating carrot.

Basically it just means Temu/Aliexpress/Etc. will ship their goods to the US in bulk instead of bypassing customs on individual small orders, and distribute from domestic warehouses, having to now compete with US producers who do the same thing.

It does completely kill any business built on dropshipping individual orders from chinese factories without ever touching inventory however.
> The Make in India policy of the present government is reminiscent of the pre-1991 inward-looking Indian state.

Have you seen the 70s or the 80s? I was a child during the 1980s when India was a socialist state. There were very few private enterprises, because there was absolutely zero government support. Taxation peaked at 90% during the early 1970s under Indira Gandhi, who also nationalized many of the largest private companies - because private enterprise was seen as a bad thing. It was also impossible to bring in foreign investment, because that would come with profit motives.

Basically, the comparison you're drawing is not really accurate. The current Make in India plan is very similar to the US bringing in strategic manufacturing back into the US; a plan which has had bipartisan support (for example, the CHIPS Act). It incentivizes businesses (including foreign companies) to set up manufacturing units in India. And is quite the opposite of what was happening during India's socialist era.
Everyone puts taxes on some sectors. It's economic policy. Trump is not doing economic policy. He's using a simple formula to ideologically reduce trade deficit. No matter the consequences!

Trust the experts: America will be poorer because of these tariffs.
Except for that price. Yikes. Heck of a barrier to entry for an unproven product. I do wish them well, but as we call for more modularity in laptop design, we can't forget the core value of keeping it affordable for the masses.
Ignore the financial valuations, man is a worm. I'd call him a 'hack' but that might imply talents given where we are.

Through his shitshow, he tried - and failed - to curry favor with an OSS puppet. Not any particular software... like one might think, but the whole "thing".

There was never any moment where WPEngine was beholden for offering WordPress services. Everything was strained to the point he was trying to redefine OSS.

He got in his way, ours as members of the public, and that of WPEngine. Repeatedly... and I don't see enough reflection/reason from Matt to believe this will change. Personally, I'd hesitate to promote his strategies or skills.

Hamfisted is a better message. Or none, take the wind away. We don't want his ambition or to hear about it. It's demonstrably shit.

Edit: just in case this needs saying, I've never been affiliated with either company. Don't waste your limited time looking for me, Matt.
Whataboutism is outsider tribe X also does thing B therefore B is not to be argued about.

Instead maybe consider that it's thinking in tribes that's the issue at root.

Personally I think it's impossible to stop being in a tribe. One should, if free, only be able to choose the tribe to join. We can't choose not to join a tribe. Most people either are not free to choose or not willing to consider that they can choose. Freedom to choose a tribe is very scary.

Looking at how other countries do politics might help. For example did you know that conspiracy and paranoia is a characteristic strategy used in American politics? It's not used as much in other parts of the world.

It's incredibly difficult for a person to see themselves as being paranoid or to believe in a conspiracy theory. But paranoid people who believe in conspiracy theories make great tribe members. It is literally a way to make people think of things as "us vs them"
I often talk politics with friends, mostly because we all like to moan about the state of things.

Maybe this doesn't translate to the US, but in the UK (and the largely British friend-group I have here in Australia) in my bubble we don't tend to strongly identify with any political party or politician, rather we tend to look down at the self-serving and/or myopic weirdos in parliament and decry their short-sighted, uninformed policy-making whichever side they're on. And I'm not trying to claim some great enlightened intellectual position for myself here - I think it's probably more common than not.
Not only America will be poorer. Everyone will be poorer
KubeCon Europe 2025: Mirantis' K0s and K0smotron Join CNCF Sandbox
The world was fine without Internet for most of its history. What's your point?
Have tried giving detailed directions to people? Nobody follows them, and the few who try don't do it effectively. There are many steps to setting up a domain - and with an email host!
By all accounts, it doesn't make sense. Hence why it's ... well, interesting, to say the least.
For what it's worth, I bought a $2000 robotic hand from US a year ago, and paid about €400 in VAT and €32 (so like 2%) in import duties / tariffs.

Obviously VAT isn't a "trade barrier", if anything it's a "consumption barrier" and it's the same for every business that EU citizens give money to (i.e. if I bought a robot hand that cost $2000 to make from an EU company, I'd likewise be paying €400 VAT on top of that).
AFAIK, it's server-based rather than p2p for DE, but the way it works is all clients/servers simulate the world in lockstep and hold a full copy of the state. That's what makes map hacks possible.

You don't need anything paxos-like for this, the game desyncs and stops if any machine messes up but you can usually restore from a save point in that case.
Whilst I'm generally not against piracy - I think there are valid reasons as to why it's a thing - I can't help but feel like disguising pirating content under the veil of fair use is a bit far fetched and disingenuous.

Using copyrighted material in a fair use way seems fine to me and is important.
But these companies not wanting to pay for creating their model and then just claiming fair use is silly.
GP here: I'm not deeply skeptical; I'm just wondering about these issues.
Musk's money probably helps, his strange need to be a visible face of this seems to possibly be backfiring.
Don't bother applying to this one, as it's a ghost job posting (you can check for yourself in previous Who is Hiring posts dating all the way back to 2023)
People love them because they want to use their PC in more than one place.
> if you're the Philippines and you're selling fish to Russia, would you rather have Rubles or US dollars?

I would have assumed the fisherman in the Philippines would like to be paid in Philippine peso.
Learning Clojure as a JavaScript Dev
You are describing the problem of getting a picture of a party or movement from media and without interacting with them.
Can you blame the new generations for not wanting to work their asses off doing arduous manual labor, payed a minimum wage that is barely enough to afford a single room?

Republicans made work awful. I've heard some wanting to get rid of minimum wage too. Do you think this will help?
Doesn’t Zorin Linux already sort of does this?
I actually started paying the subscription for my Tumblr account a couple years ago. I don't get much direct benefit from it, I do it because it's the only social media site I use and enjoy, and I was hoping it would help keep it from shutting down. 60% workforce reduction is not great.
Not really. Some people love the candidates but I suspect a lot of us vote against the other side more than for a candidate.
> I fear spending money trying to solve a made up problem.

Ah I see.
In fact, every EU big tech company has already been fined a trillion EUR! All 0 of them.