skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Well one of the reasons we can be so spendthrift in this country is our financing rates staying so low despite massive amounts of debt. This is due to confidence by global investors and asset managers in the US's economy and ability to pay back its debts.

The US can try to renegotiate or not pay, but that's an overt signal to investors that the US is not reliable and will result in the 10-year Treasury bond rate soaring, probably permanently, which will decimate our country's credit and is an own goal that we probably wouldn't be able to come back from economically.
> Due to their inability to poll a representative slice of the population they try to correct by adjusting their results to compensate for the difference between who they've polled and the likely makeup of the electorate.

This is where polling becomes race science.

> This makes sense in theory

It does not make sense in theory. It is a necessity for the profession, but all justifications for it are specious. Polls only get it right when everybody is getting it right. What they offer is false precision and justification for the current narratives.

It's similar to AI in that way. It's also similar to the mythical prediction markets that polls have been compared to lately, the "mythical" here meaning with no insiders involved. On issues where there are no real insiders, like close elections, the prediction markets are simply a lagging indicator of what pundits said in the paper this morning. That goofy Iowa poll swung them so hard that I thought Seltzer should have been investigated for whatever the prediction market equivalent to securities fraud is.

It might be more accurate in light of the OP to say that polls get it right when everybody is getting it right, and when everybody isn't sure what's going to happen, polling accuracy is around 50/50.

The best book to read about polling is The Full Facts Book of Cold Reading by Ian Rowland. It also tells you how to write defenses like this, which are part of the con.

-----

edit:

Section headings from "The Win-Win Game" from TFFBoCR, which teaches 10+1 ways how to make failures seem like successes:

> 1. Persist, wonder and let it linger.

> (Phase A: The psychic persists with the official statement and tries to encourage at least partial agreement. B: she acts puzzled, and invites the client to share the blame for the 'discrepancy.' C: she leaves the discrepancy unresolved, in case the client finds a match later on.)

> 2. I am right, but you have forgotten.

> 3. I am right but you do not know.

> 4. I am right but nobody knows.

> 5. I am right, but it's embarrassing.

> 6. I am wrong now, but I will be right soon.

> 7. I am wrong, but it doesn't matter.

> 8. I am wrong in fact, but right emotionally.

> 9. I am wrong in fact, but right within [the] system.

> 10. Wrong small print, right headline.

> [+1]. Accept, apologise, and move on.

> (In this way the psychic cuts her losses and moves on. She leaves the problem behind, where it will be quickly forgotten, and at the same time she comes across as extremely honest.)

Very much worth reading for entrepreneurs looking for investment or any other confidence men. Rowland even tried to brand it a few years ago in Cold Reading For Business as the "CRFB" system.
The CASS site on iOS WebKit has bullets overflowing into the border and a mix of fonts that doesn’t look great:

https://casscss.github.io/cass/
Yes (the link is that he gave interviews at the encampments where that happened), but it doesn't even matter what he actually did. If you really want to, yes, you can find videos of him defending the violence. It's not hard to find on Youtube. I don't think I could find video where he, personally, commits violence.

But it doesn't matter.

Visas can be granted or withdrawn at the president's discretion. You're absolutely right that visa holders are protected by US laws ... but that doesn't protect them from losing said visa.

Deportation is also at the president's discretion. So the same applies.

But they are definitely protected by US laws. You cannot kill a them. You will get arrested for stealing from them. Even if they're being deported. But the executive ("the president"), ie. ICE, can forcibly remove any visa holder, from US soil, that is perfectly within the law.
More regulation, of course. It's worked so well for guns, after all. Because making more laws prevents people who disregard laws from breaking other laws.

Really, we should just cut to the chase and outlaw murder.
Thanks for mentioning these books as I came across “Virtual Light” by William Gibson in jail and found it a very accomplished novel and his craft at a high level. Also it finally clicked to me why the mainframes were called Gibsons in the film “Hackers” as I grew up not being exposed to his books (though now I actively have them on my to read list).
This is absurd, only a extraordinary moron would believe Ukraine executing this attack to be the case.

My comment is accurate. It is absurd to suggest or believe Ukraine is executing a DDOS on X. Ukrainians are desperately trying to fight a bordering superpower and need the assistance of Starlink and the US government where Musk is in the leadership circle. It does not serve the community to pretend otherwise.
Here, I got another: https://archive.seattletimes.com/archive/19910912/1305069/ir...
You can make the case for that, but a disorderly transition to that kind of system will ensure that some people starve to death before the new system is in place.

I don't have any of the purported 'savings' in my pocket right now and I don't suppose I'll see them any time soon, so I don't have any extra money. Quite the contrary, what with the stock market tanking.
> As the article notes, public polls started appearing in late September showing Harris ahead, which they never saw internally. Are internal polls just that much better than public ones? Is the media just incentivized to report on the most interesting outcome (a dead heat)?

Intentional bias for motivational purposes is a thing - it doesn't make any logical sense, but people want to vote for the winner.
Indeed. I once saw a pic on the internet of a dog trying to mate with a duck.
I believe format shifting (ripping CDs for personal use) is still illegal in the UK.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Format_shifting

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/quashing-of-private-copyi...

Probably due to the following, but can't find it from a quick Google:

R (British Academy of Songwriters, Composers and Authors and others) v Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills [2015] EWHC 1723
There is no mention of her using the visa waiver program. In fact it talks about her "tourist visa" (which allows up to 6 months).
Commercially speaking, the target audience is embedded developers. It's FOSS because, a few months back, I released a MISRA compliant Unicode algorithms library [1] and I received comments on HN asking why it wasn't under a FOSS license. With this project, I wanted to experiment with dual-licensing. I'm using a copyleft license because I fear a permissive license will mean no sales.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42423988
It's not immediately clear from the documentation but if anyone is familiar with Iroh, I'd love to know if it's suitable for use in disconnected networks, eg. WiFi networks or PANs with no internet.

I suspect that Iroh is primarily designed for P2P between two devices on the internet.
> I know many Irish people who are straight up racist towards the English

I'm Irish. I've spent a lot of time in the countryside and the cities. This is not true. It's very rare to find an Irish person who is racist towards the British

> secondary school "Up the Ra" was a common slogan shouted by my classmates.

These days its justa catchy rebel chant. It does not necessarily mean the people chanting it support the IRA

> There's still pubs in Dublin and other places around the country where you wouldn't want to go with an English accent.

No there's not.

I can think of maybe 2 pubs in Dublin you might get an unfrindly welcome. On a bad day.

> But for us Irish, holding onto this old identity of "the oppressed" is a part of our collective psyche

You're really really over stating how prevalent this is

> a quarter of the geographical landmass of Ireland still belongs to the old oppressors. But that's another thing we need to let go off.

We did. Remember the referendum? The one where we collectively voted to remove the territorial claim from our constitution?

Your whole comment is vastly exaggerated.

There's Americans reading. Don't be giving them the wrong ideas, they've enough to be dealing with.
If it’s true that they can most deport anyone at their discretion, why does the actual have a long list of specific reasons, most of which are felonies or other crimes which would normally carry long jail sentences?

https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1227
And the fix is another framework, because of course it's another framework. Frameworks are to CSS what greige paint is to a house. Trying to implement the missing 5% of a CSS framework without knowing how to implement "complex" CSS from the ground up means you are never implementing the missing 5%. Your site or app or whatever is just going to look like every other site that uses that framework.

Now that CSS is more or less feature complete and the fact that there's just one web browser means you don't need the clever tricks rolled up in a framework to center a div or to have a grid layout that works without resorting to tables. It's literally part of the CSS spec and has been implemented in every browser for a decade now.
Also MAM
Are you thinking of this, formerly known as Lumen?

https://github.com/GetFirefly/firefly

AFAIK it's been mothballed and one of the major contributors seems to have left the BEAM ecosystem altogether. They're doing Ethereum-ish smart-contract-ish stuff now. The other top contributor looks to have pulled way back from OSS dev of any kind.
You need a mortgage to buy most of their SDRs. Their cheapest IIRC is a B210 which is about $2,500.
It usually really bothers me (not joking) when people use “sinister” when they actually mean “nefarious” or “odious” or whatever, because it perpetuates old superstition about left-handed people being evil even if does so unknowingly.

> “bulldozer” […] popped up in […] an Illinois court case to describe a manufacturing machine that had ripped off a worker’s left arm.

…but this time I guess I have to give it a pass :) Hug a lefty today!
TVO: Leak of radioactive material at OL3 nuclear plant
> And they’ll never be allowed to be full participants in a democracy

This is what the elites often assert before the mobs with guillotines, torches, pitchforks, etc come for them.

Who gets to decide who is a participant? Ultimately it's the group that seizes power. You might think that a tiny group of despotic people can hold out against the overwhelming majority (South Africans sure tried, and some are still bitter that they failed at it) forever, but this type of thing never lasts, fortunately.
uh oh, must have insulted "critical thinking doge fans".

While I acknowledge my tongue in cheek quote is not on brand for HN, and the GOP has demonstrated a long term, 40-year strategy of embracing ancient middle eastern value systems to co-op US government, that does not mean the current crop of leaders are deep thinkers.
This is about the same level of lawbreaking as slightly exceeding the speed limit. I have no problem with removing them. Jailing them for days first is ridiculous. Imagine if you got pulled over for speeding and they stuck you in jail for days until they could be bothered to find you a ride home.
For me it was Worms 2. There was a plain text file controlling all the explosion sizes etc for the weapons.
OP's premise is that "Firefox is gone" and "Chrome is the only option". That suggests Chrome is better than current Firefox.

Personally, even though my trust in Firefox (and especially Mozilla) has been eroding rapidly in recent years, it's still so much greater than what I have for Google and Chrome that it's not even a choice.

Therefore, I agree with GP that this rhetoric is exhausting.

Bringing up the issues with FF and Mozilla is important and deserves attention. This kind of misleading FUD is not and does not.
It sounds like the article is advocating something more along the lines of, buy a copy of a newspaper and if the front page has a picture of your customer committing war crimes with your product maybe ask them about it.
For ham radio I can see it, but SDR stuff is fundamentally programming and for me the majority of time was doing programming like tasks and not actually doing stuff with the finished code.

Ham radio on the other hand is like an appliance and so there isn’t any programming necessary.
IIRC a Jewish billionaire funded a van which drove around campuses doxxing students who had little or nothing to do with the protests. He also sent lists of those students to potential employers.
Your browser is ESP32 (2022)
If you look back at this discussion you'll notice we were in agreement the whole time (you and me anyway). lol. It's men with the Testosterone, and it's the Testosterone that causes aggressive behaviors as well.
That is all baked into rent, including the developer's profit margins
We grow maize, which is what we call corn, here. In significant quantities, using modern agricultural methods. Even with that the climate is not totally suitable and it is mostly used for animal feed.

I very much doubt it would have been possible to grow sustainable amounts of maize up until recent decades
“Illegal” and “a crime” are not synonymous. Immigration violations are mostly civil infractions, similar to jaywalking and low-level speeding offenses.

Among other things, this means that you don’t get a public defender if you can’t afford a lawyer for your immigration case.
https://archive.is/MlTSh
Isn't "prejudice" a better word? It's the base underlying idea of assuming some bad quality about an individual based on their membership in a group that they can't change. It's just strange for me when one 'ism' out of thousands is taken as the defining form of prejudice. Maybe it's just me, but I find it prevalent in US-centric communities, where racism is the agreed-upon baseline discrimination, from which parallels are drawn to the other forms.
The P-80 might not have seen any action but the Gloster Meteor was introduced into service in July 1944 and saw a fair bit of combat through to the end of the war in Europe. Not a massive impact and wasn't really that important in the grand scheme of things, but it's still an allied jet powered plane that made some contribution to the war effort.
A honeymoon with 40's approval ratings in a then "good" economy says a lot in and of itself. Wonder if he'll set the global record this time by the time he leaves office. He somehow just missed bottom 5 in his first term
Although written earlier, Jonathan Swift’s A Modest Proposal is a chilling satire about the destitute of the Irish at the time and the English attitudes toward it: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Modest_Proposal.
It's not that I don't want to run them locally. It's more like I would like to

a) use HTTPS when developing services
b) give each service a unique hostname
c) run all my services on the same port

and there's simply no easy way to do that that I know of. Hence my Ask HN :)
Our first family computer was an A3000. I'm still amazed at the boot time on it compared to the PCs we had later (even today). Switch it on, beep and then almost instantly you're in a responsive GUI. (The wonders of storing the OS in a ROM I guess).
Yup they finally got me to switch to Firefox
Agreed. But I care a lot more about what my government does to people who break the rules than I care about people breaking minor rules.
At least within the US, entering a restricted area without authorization can result in your own personal military air show, followed by lots of questioning, possibly prison, losing your license or both. You don't mess around with restricted areas unless you have a damn good reason.
How does it work outside of clients, like on the browser, is it difficult for yt-dlp to impersonate a browser compare to a client?
> Yes (the link is that he gave interviews at the encampments where that happened), but it doesn't even matter what he actually did

In other words, no, you don’t. Talking to reporters is covered by the first amendment. Talking to school officials is covered by the first amendment. Being at a protest is covered by the first amendment. Simply at protest where other people do something illegal is covered by the first amendment, too. Unless there’s evidence that he was personally doing or inciting illegal activity, this should be textbook civil rights law.

> Green cards can be granted or withdrawn at the president's discretion.

Can you provide a citation to that law?
Oh no. This author appears to have imagined some kool aid to drink.

No one's job is actively going away. What's happening is job-role compression - no longer are there "pure coder" roles. You can think of it the same way as there's no longer an IT team in the depths of the company - nowadays the company has many SaaS products strung together with APIs, and the office manager is part-time IT as one of their many roles. They do point-and-click to perform onboarding/offboarding etc. - in the same morning they might onboard a new employee, then go restock the kitchen.

In software the roughly-equivalent outcome is a decrease in deeply technical work (and especially a decrease to produce CRUD apps). But no change in the human-to-human work to uncover what actually needs to be built. So you're no longer a "programmer" or even "software engineer", you're now a "full stack product manager".

It's a continuation of a trend where less "sit-and-type" is needed to get to value. Think of how simple kubernetes and similar infra makes it to implement horizontally scalable, stateless web apps. As the "sit-and-type" ratio changes, the value you can generate by being good at deciding what to build increases!

As always, if you want a durable job, hone 2 skillsets: get good at talking to people about what they need, while simultaneously keeping up with trends such as LLMs so you can keep on guiding the computer to produce what is needed.
How can the web players read the videos if they are encrypted? I’m guessing by definition they need the keys to do so thus would it not be possible for ytdlp to also support this when the encrypted video implementation is fully rolled out?
That is not a TCP/IP stack in 200 LoC. The thing described is a TCP/IP segment parser with response packet encoder.

The “stack” described [1] can not transmit a payload stream. That also means it avoids the “costly (in terms of lines)” problems of transmit flow control and “reliable send” guarantees in the presence of transmit pipelining needed for even modest throughput. For that matter, it does not even reconstruct the receive stream which is, again, one of the more “costly” elements due to data allocation and gap detection. It also does not appear to handle receive side flow control either, but that could be hidden in the TCP receive engine state which is not described.

These are not minor missing features. The thing described does not bear any resemblance to a actual TCP implementation, instead being more similar to just the receive half of a bespoke stateful UDP protocol.

Now it is possible that the rest of the TCP/IP stack exists in the other lines, as only about 25-ish lines are written down, but you can conclude almost nothing from the described example. The equivalent C code supporting the same features would be similar-ish (under 100 lines) in length, not 10,000 lines. That is not to say it is not a tight implementation of the feature set, but it is not reasonable to use it as evidence of multiple order of magnitude improvements due to representation superiority.

[1] https://worrydream.com/refs/Kay_2007_-_STEPS_2007_Progress_R... Page 44
No, the tariffs wouldve been truly horrendous. Back pedaling is much better.
Major decisions desks (AP, Edison, and Fox News; plus a recent newcomer called DDHQ) have made about 3 incorrect calls in their entire history (they were house races, not senate or presidential calls). An incorrect call is a HUGE deal and they have an extremely high bar for certainty. Even for Obama, who's wins were basically a landslide compared to the past 3 elections, calls weren't made until around midnight. Historically it's even common for presidential candidates to concede even before decision desks have made an official call (another norm Trump has challenged).

Anyways Decision Desks are a very different topic than pollsters and have no overlap.

I don't know what "mainstream media" you were consuming but as a bettor, I definitely didn't get the sense that the race was locked in. All major polls had Biden trailing Trump. Harris got a big boost but that only pushed her to being neck and neck with Trump. We can check the Wayback Machine to verify your claim

* NYTimes frontpage the day before the election says "turnout is a focus in a closely divided race" https://web.archive.org/web/20241105011526/https://www.nytim...

* Vox frontpage says "5 reasons Harris could win and 4 reasons Trump could" and "Should it really be this hard to beat Trump?" https://web.archive.org/web/20241106000611/https://www.vox.c...

* CNN frontpage does not include any particular characterization of chances https://web.archive.org/web/20241105000156/https://edition.c...

A cursory look at other "mainstream" media sources will easily verify that the race was clearly represented as a very close tossup.
FWIW, this exact text was probably part of ChatGPT's training data, but the next important NOTAM might not be.
>> I don't buy it. How often do you hear of a passenger plane getting shot down

> At least within the US, entering a restricted area without authorization can result in your own personal military air show, followed by lots of questioning, possibly prison, losing your license or both. You don't mess around with restricted areas unless you have a damn good reason.

You're not taking my point.

I don't know about you, but I would sure as hell prefer prison over myself and hundreds of other people falling from 40,000 feet.
Of course That is how they vote. But their analysis isn't on the impact of tarriffs nor the economic strength of trade.

It's on egg prices and job market vibes and other everyday sorts of stuff. He promised he'd fix those. And it seems the center seokg voters are facing a lot of regret on that right now.
There are more risks than getting shot down. All sorts of dangerous activities may be going on in restricted areas: missile launches, dogfights between fighter jets, tests of unmanned vehicles, etc. You don't want to be a surprise guest at any of them. "Restricted" is a single, short word taught in pilot school to get the message across clearly. If a sudden emergency requires entering a restricted area, then air traffic controllers are there to coordinate it.
> Putting this girl in prison and a jumpsuit is ridiculous.

Should they have put her on house arrest in a hotel room? She doesn't deserve special privileges. A huge swath of the US population would be adamantly against her being treated special.
If this is real, surely it cannot be that hard to find and remove this kill switch?
That's a fair question, but even if Google makes an extra $21B/year because of that default setting it's still a good deal for Google.
The correct application of this quote would be “Democrats buy cars too,” so the problem with the Tesla brand is more apparent.