skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It is a rational behavior to question a prediction if an event that was deemed to have low probability actually happened, I don’t like the implication that it is stupid to do so.

In fact, after thorough investigation, most polling agencies did identify significant factors that let to bias, and almost all major pollsters have adapted their methods in later elections as a result: education weighting, compensating for nonresponse bias, diversified polling channels beyond phone calls (online surveys, text messages, in-app polling), likely-voter modeling…

I don’t think any professional pollster will tell you that the prediction you mentioned was reasonably accurate in retrospect, regardless of affiliation.

I don’t attribute malice or incompetence, it’s clear that the game changed suddenly and new confounding factors became significant. People that would previously vote together diverged significantly, lots of politically inactive people became involved, people were afraid to be honest, and people that were harder to reach were voting much differently to those that were more accessible to pollsters. That will really mess with any sampling strategy that proved reliable for many years before.
Sure you can. But it costs more.
We Just Build Hammers: What's Inside the Book
Computers and Mice – Mister Rogers Neighborhood
Hey, I am not trying to convert you. You might not be the target audience of the post, but I recognized our situation. We have some old, intertwined, outdated, messy distributed complex systems to take care of. Big Balls of Mud. Big Massive Balls of Mud. Big Expensive Balls of Mud. Big Unique Balls of Mud. Big Balls of Critical Mud. So in very general terms, there is the massive problem of entropy we have to reduce. Undocumented APIs actually are an example of such entropy, so beware. AI has helped us with those, just saying. And yes, we've seen generative AI itself being a source of entropy, less so recently.
>The author even identifies a problem with the example from the original guide

He does, but I'm not sure he's right. The code snippet appears to be in C# or Dart and neither has undefined.
We already mix vector and text search with Elastic + Vespa. What exactly makes your thing better? Not trying to be rude, but why should we care about Yet Another Search Engine?
I believe their point is less about the specific decade, but rather they were made over 50 years ago.
Excel is really easy to use for smaller data collection and manipulation. There's no input validation, signing and other complicated design decisions needed to start an excel spreadsheet. There's alot of tools out there for easy integration. So its not something you need to switch away from once you have rather static requirements. Billions are just numbers that fit inside a cell just fine until someone complains.
I find the main problem is not wanting to split up functions.

I greatly prefer small helper functions, so that a more complicated one becomes more readable.

Even declaring a little local variable which explains in English what the condition you’re going to test is supposed to do is greatly appreciated
As trade war simmers, Canadian province bans U.S.-made gaming equipment
This is a key exchange mechanism, not an encryption system.
Then what does the function that calls the split functions get called? foo_and_bar_and_qoo? And if they’re called only under some conditions?
"Standardized test" is pretty vague. I remember reading about drops in IQ scores which are on a scale centered around 100 where anything outside 50-150 is really exceptional (many tests don't go higher than that), whereas the SAT runs from 400-1600 which is a swing about 10x higher, so maybe 6 pts on the SAT is like 0.6 on IQ.

The difference between the airfield and the racetrack is that the race car could be switched to some other high octane gas or you could race some other kind of car whereas for general aviation you really don't want an engine to fail when you're in the air and the industry is both essential and moribund at the same time so you it's hard to ask people to get new planes or new engines.
Indeed. I'm on Starlink and am constantly running into issues with this. My egress IP changes every so often from Denver to Salt Lake, occasionally Seattle, but even when static seems to be routinely misclassified. Some websites (most frustratingly GOG) will suddenly think I'm in Canada. Most of the time that's fine, but not when buying stuff. It's ludicrous (and has to be illegal) to force me to pay Canadian taxes, international shipping, and incur an exchange rate fee from the banks when I'm livingin in the US and buying a US product from a US company. It's pretty wild that I have to set up a VPN to fix geolocation so it's more accurate. There are also constant annoyances like Chromecasts and sometimes Android pohones randomly showing Seattle or Denver weather, random geo-locked things (like streaming services telling me the show I'm watching is no longer available in my region, even though it is) and others. So yeah, "nightmare" is not a huge exaggeration.
How does OCEAN practically ensure transparency about which models (among potentially thousands) handle specific user queries?

Also, how exactly can everyday users influence OCEAN’s direction and policies, given your vision for user-owned AI? Excited to give it a spin!
$999 if you pre-order. Normally $1,299.
You could, but currently I'm not aware of any widely used options. Both Deno and Node turn it into Javascript first and then run that.
You can read my blog post about the project at https://dev.to/daviducolo/introducing-krep-building-a-high-p...
Honest q, which part is out of date and why? Thanks
$999 for early access! We just launched at SXSW, and will begin shipping later this year. Via our website we’re offering the $999 early access pricing for a refundable $99 deposit today. Once we enter distribution we’re expecting to increase pricing to $1299
It is long past time to ditch Google, if you care about an open web or actually finding things. But it is a mistake, absolutely a mistake, to shift over to another proprietary piece of shit from another unethical company.
Have you considered a closer to metal language to implement the compiler in like c or rust ? Have you evaluated further perf improvements ?
+1 for Llamafile. They just released a new release and it supports Deepseek R1 models. I have a blank Llamafile and load models into it using a .bat file that I edit as needed. I have a custom webui that I made that lets me save and organize my sessions.

Whisperfile is also amazing. I used it to transcribe a podcast I hosted 20 years ago and it was fast and the errors it made were acceptable.
> While there is room for op-eds in the paper,

My experience is that projects which value code formatters (and similar rulemaking) tend strongly not to have room for "op-eds", FWIW. And conversely the code bases I've seen with the best/cleanest/most-clearly-expressive code tend strongly to be the ones with fewer rules.

I think the one exception there is in some open source contexts (Linux is the archetype) which receive a fire hose of submissions of questionable quality and maintainership. There, you can use adherence to arbitrary rules as a proxy measurement[1] for attention and effort on the part of the submitter. And that I have no problem with.

But the actual value of code formatters is IMHO extremely low in practice, and the cost isn't "high", but is non-trivial.

[1] The "No Brown M&M's" trick.
I mean - people in those communities can purchase Starlink if they want (I know many people in the north who have had it since it first came to Canada, it was a "game-changer" for them) - this deal was actually at a higher level than Quebec negotiated for similar service, so...

It was a good start - it would be more meaningful if they prevent American companies from participating in the Ontario government procurement process overall.
Sounds like the missing technology here is double entry accounting, not the persistence layer.
I think this can be fixed with social housing. Not a fundamental issue but yes I agree this is an issue.

The UBI in my mind is not $$$ but merchandises and services coupons.
This makes me think of a system that just got replaced where I work - multiple hundreds of temporary workers being tracked through their setup and onboarding processes through one massive Excel spreadsheet, saved on a shared Teams group that everyone edited at once. It was held together with prayers, fickle filters, custom views and loose validation rules and I hated it the whole time it was active. We'd frequently have to make sure to remove rows from it and put them in an archive spreadsheet to keep the main one performant enough to function - but that split made it difficult to sift through data when someone had an issue. Not to mention that records routinely went missing or got overlooked.

It's now a SharePoint database - I don't know what I think of that, but at least it was built for the job and has some solid integrations with other systems in it that make life easier.
It actually is engineering wise quite trivial but the underlying question is which modality is the best to elicit spatial reasoning capabilities from the current general models.
We tried (very anecdotally) a couple of months ago to get an agent to reason over a couple of ascii representations of factories and the results weren't very promising. It seems the models struggle with creating an accurate internal spatial representation of the game state only using textual tokens

The question is what is the most efficient and high-quality representation we could use to improve that
Deleting or falsifying data by the US administration is the biggest issue that the US is facing right now.

They get started with DEI, climate change and vaccines, which are all issues that a lot of people on the right care about, and that have a somewhat negligible influence on most people's lives. So people get used to data being deleted. But what happens when that kind of crap hits the justice system, or worse: the election results?

This is the scariest shit.
It is designed to backup your most important appliances. You can start with one or have one in each room.
Any plans for a AOT version of Typescript with strict typing that targets WASM or LLVM?
You just submitted this an hour ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43332891
What makes you think they are triggered?

As an aside, I'd be very curious to hear your answer to the question. I'm generall very pro-diversity, but I think it's naive to think it's all lollipops and rainbows.
Show HN: Endless Banger – Algorithmic music generator for you coding sessions
Hi all,

I wanted to share `Endless Banger`, a browser-based endless algorithmic music generator.

I am a fan of a project from Vitling [1]. I love it as a background music for coding. The interface was a bit complicated and I just wanted a way to Play/Pause the music.

So I hacked a simple version of it during the weekend. I'm sure someone may find it useful!

You can find the repo here: https://github.com/dspaccapeli/Endless-Banger

[1] https://github.com/vitling/acid-banger
I don't think c or rust are really 'closer to the metal' than golang (what they're using)
Two people can be weird for different reasons.

Me, I can see why the label "weird" would apply to Brinton therefore the Democrats would have a hard time using that word to attack Republicans… except, of course, for the fact that Brinton was fired in 2022.

And if you're going to bring up arrests, then you have to wonder about the mind of a man who frames his own arrest warrant mug shot, on charges of election interference, on the wall just outside the Oval Office: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mug_shot_of_Donald_Trump#/medi...
Goodbye Nouveau GL. Hello Zink
I mean, no? That's basically a known bug in Rust's compiler, specifically it's a soundness hole in type checking, and you'd basically never write it by accident - go read the guts of it for yourself if you think you might accidentally do this.

At some point a next generation solver will make this not compile, and people will probably invent an even weirder edge case for that solver.

Whereas the Go example is just how Go works, that's not a bug that's by design, don't expect Go to give you thread safety that's not what they promised.
Defeat the feed
Why LA Has Streets That Are So Steep
This is not about surface level typing. This is about compiler internals.
> They’ll simply resume the same leadership position they always held, but now over a greatly reinforced alliance.

As a practical matter, if things deteriorate to the point that the office of NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe stops being held by the commander of US European Command - it looks like things might be trending in that direction now that NATO countries are holding meetings without the US and intelligence sharing is starting to break down, never mind whatever the US means when it talks about "withdrawing" from Europe - Humpy Dumpty is broken. Whatever organization the US might join again in the future, or even somehow attempt to "lead," will be fundamentally different than what has gone before.
This makes me feel better about a current situation, briefly.
Because if they're not covering their costs now, then eventually they will which either means service degradation (cough ads cough) or price increases.

I applaud the GP for thinking about this before it becomes an issue.
> As the complexity of the game state grew and the screenshots were filled with more entities, the models got even more confused and started hallucinating directions, entities etc or weren't capable of troubleshooting factories with apparent mistakes (i.e missing transport belt, wrongly rotated inserter). We think it's because [...]

I think you just described a research paper that would advance sota. Less describing why, but how. (Assuming it's not just, wy finetuned the model and it worked perfectly)
Republicans want this, and are afraid - not necessarily of Trump and the administration - but their constituents.
Oh man the Celeron A, which was basically a Pentium II with on-die L2 cache. Intel attempted to handicap it by limiting it's FSB to 66 MHz, but any half-decent motherboard would allow you to bump that up to 100 MHz so long as you had the rest of the hardware to support it (i.e., PC-100 memory). This resulted in a pretty significant bump in CPU frequency.
The difference here is that with Typescript, you're not really measuring Typescript's performance, but whatever your output language is. If transpile to Javascript, you're measuring that, if you output Wasm, you measure that, etc, and the result isn't really dictated by Typescript.
And this is exactly why you should not rely on AI without fundamental understanding.

That would only be true if the payout odds are even. And in my comment I explicitly say not 1:1 payout. Go ahead and ask the AI for clarification, I’m sure it can explain it to you. On Wikipedia, the factor is “b” - ie 2:1 payout and you would bet on a 50/50 event.

The intuition should be incredibly obvious here. I have a fair coin and will pay you 200 dollars for heads and take 1 dollar for tails. You would flip that coin as many times as I let you.

Even in your reply to this - ChatGPT is telling you in one situation you should not bet because the expected gain is nothing, and the other you don't know what to do - which is not equivalent. But the edge it is talking about is the expected gain over the probability of the event with the payout odds. If there is no edge, you won't bet. But you can have an edge with 50/50 odds, and if so you would bet.
A missed opportunity to improve c# by dogfooding it with TS compiler rewrite.
I agree. The article didn't touch on this aspect, but we're now at the point where even authentic recordings could be plausibly denied and claimed to be fake. So the entire usage of recordings as evidence will suffer a hit. We may essentially be knocked back to an 18th century level of reliance on eyewitness testimony. One wonders what the consequences for justice will be.
I simply can’t help but wonder about why do the barbarians go after knowledge centers age after age. Library of Alexandria, Bayt al-Hikmah, Nalanda and Odantapuri Universities and now the US institutes. Is there any study being done on this phenomenon?
When I bought my new MBP, I was wondering whether to just upgrade the memory to 48GB thinking that it will become more likely that I will run local models in the next 3-4 year cycle of this laptop. So I took the leap and just upgraded the memory.

Hoping that these kinds of tools will run well in these scenarios.
I had a John Deere 420 [1] from the 1950s when I first got my farm. It ran great on unleaded but was killed when we switched it from the straight 20 oil specified for it that had become impossible to find to modern multi-viscosity oil -- the gaskets all failed. We traded it in to a tractor enthusiast and replaced it with this tractor [2]

[1] https://www.tractordata.com/farm-tractors/000/0/4/46-john-de...

[2] https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:New_Holland_TC30_HST...
a couple of commits merged yrs back, things I stumbled on that I used as an excuse to learn more about internals
> While the University has emphasized the positive impact the projects will have on the local economy, some residents are concerned about rising rent and how much benefit will reach the community as opposed to investors.

What a non-issue. You have this massive development that's going to benefit your community and you're concerned because the people who actually contributed to it are going to benefit as well? The entitlement is just unreal.

I've lived on one of the streets mentioned in the article and its hard to overstate how shockingly dangerous the area is. Hearing gunshots was a regular occurrence. I knew someone who intervened in a robbery and was shot and nearly killed. I wouldn't allow friends to come visit after dark because I feared for their safety. If anything, the University and its police force should do more to rid the neighborhood of its anti-social element.
Potentially they are doing some hairpin rules that require specific enumeration?
dems were going to oil the presses and run them at full speed, aaaaaaand then dump the mess on someone else
the orange one has other plans
> "Inside IR35" -> an employee in all but name (and therefore subject to employment taxes etc.)

Only from the point of view of taxes. Inside IR35 carries all the same risks of outside but pay more taxes.
Past: Path, Basement.
Yeah I saw that but will they maintain a browser compatible version is another question
No, but they did engineer an economic system where all the food that the Irish grow gets sent overseas while the latter starve.

The Soviets built a similar system a century later in Ukraine, it's product was called the Holodomor.
"do something" as in impeachment? Absolutely not. If Dems sweep in the midterms, maybe. He has sycophants everywhere now, even in Congress.
The discussion in this thread shows why despite lots of talent Europe has no build large tech companies.
I’ve seen like hundreds of articles over the past few years talking about the risks of post-COVID recession? Who exactly was ignoring this?

It’s very weird to me that “the media is ignoring this” can become such an overwhelming media narrative, doesn’t at some point the medias overwhelming attention to a thing mean they’re not ignoring it?

Usually I’d agree with you, the president doesn’t have that big an impact on macroeconomics, but usually the president doesn’t attack the economy in such an acute way, nor advertise that their plan is to cause a recession.
Protector lets you hire armed body guards like you would an Uber
I always assumed they were thinking "Well, it's not like there are going to be a lot of ice storms in LA..." and were in a hurry.
A tab I have had open for a while no longer loads:
https://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/pnsp/features/feature.php
Nothing linked under web tools here:
https://www.usgs.gov/mission-areas/water-resources/science/n...
I assume they got nuked
100% correct.

The executive branch removing even the concept of stability and predictability from the US markets has nothing to do with it. It's that darn press and the Democrats!

Want to have a good idea of the costs of your business inputs? Sorry, not possible. You have to guess if it's going to be roughly the same or 50% more in a week. You have to sit and wait for what one man decides. That's a great environment for running a business.
Apple Pay drops the FeliCa requirement for Japanese issue payment cards
asking that question with a straight face is exactly why the dems lost
> How are you stitching together a database, auth-layer, geo-spatial layer, complex querying, server-side state, session, caching etc. all into an "api/" folder within your app?

Conceptually, I think you're looking for Go. Surprisingly pleasant for all-encompassing webdev.

> I genuinely would like to drink the Kool Aid and try building an app the way "I'm supposed to".

Isn't that what React and Next/npm are?
Why only 1 extra state? And will we up the number of US Representatives to accommodate?
Not really in the case of TypeScript, because (with very small exceptions) when you “compile” TypeScript you are literally just removing the TypeScript, leaving plain JavaScript. It’s just type annotations; it doesn’t describe any runtime behavior at all.
When can we just replace the JS runtime with TS and skip the compiler altogether? Start fresh, if you will.
I wish there was a language like rust without the borrow checking and lifetimes that was also popular and lives in the same area as go. Because I think go is actually the best language in this category but it’s only the best because there is nothing else. All in all golang is not an elegant language.
Show HN: Free Online Password Generator – Create Secure Passwords Instantly
Hey Hacker News!
I built a simple yet powerful password generator that lets you create strong, secure passwords instantly.
Features:
- Random & Pronounceable Passwords
- Copy & QR Code Generation
- Customizable length, symbols, and more

Would love your feedback!
As I mentioned in the past on these stories, I equate this as a modern take of with Germany burning books in the 1930s.

I am glad there are organizations willing to save this data and I hope these 4 years will put an end to this MAGA craziness.
Understood. My boiler/furnace is the single most important "appliance" in my house. I guess I still need an electrician and/or use the traditional gas generator/panel switch approach.
Again, where is the problem?

Close your eyes and _listen_, don't be distracted by the video.

Just Clarkson hamming things up.
my point is merely that the quality of discussion in the replies to GGP are going to be bad [0][1][2], the relevance is tenuous, and it crowds out content based discussion. of course, now my content-based questions are getting downvoted.

> reduce institutional competence and increase the likelihood

most replies interpreted it the same way I did, likely due to the reference to 'loyalties' & 'trust'.

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43333834
[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43333698
[2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43333643
Exactly. If the whole "deep research" thing pans out, and we have models that can reliably produce proper literature reviews in 10 minutes...that alone will be an enormous boon to research.

Then add all the practical/mundane tasks that you mentioned, and you've got quite the multiplier.
This needs 164 MB of disk space. Not to bad. Thank you to the author for this.
They view the knowledge as corrupt and fabricated. So they believe they are purging the world of lies. Or they know it's true and have an evil, manipulative agenda.
I found Mozilla's Transformer Lab quite nice to use, for very small and dabbling values of "use" at least. It encapsulates the setup and interaction with local LLMs into an app, and that feels more comfortable to me than using from the CLI.

Upon getting a model up and running though, I quickly realized that I really have no idea what to use it for.

https://transformerlab.ai/