skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I don't think the equipment to move through an underwater tunnel designed in 5 days has any equivalence to what SpaceX has (and has always been the solution - just delayed). It never made any sense to me since they do missions extremely routinely. What specifically WERE the technical reasons? If no one has them, or they are categorically provably wrong, then someone lied about it being technical.
One wants the money supply to expand to match a growing economy. One way is to permit fractional reserve banking. Bank deposits can grow beyond the amount of gold, both increasing the money supply and creating the possibility of a bank going bankrupt. An alternative is fiat money: the King prints a limited amount of extra money to match the money supply to the growing economy and avoid deflation.

This is nice for the King because he benefits from the seigniorage. (But also potentially fatal, as he gives in to temptation to print too much and then some more, leading to hyper-inflation and the guillotine.)

Fiat money can be combined with fractional reserve banking. Now the monetary authorities can create extra money to overcome banking crises. Notice that society has a trade-off to make. Perhaps high reserves, so that the banks do not create much money, in which case the King/President will have to print extra fiat currency. Perhaps low reserves, and a small base of fiat currency. Now the banks create most of the money in circulation and get to charge interest on it, as an kind of on going seigniorage.

Which is best for the country? One off seigniorage accruing to the national treasury (due to printing), or the recurring seigniorage of interest paid to the banks on the money created by the fractional reserve system? There is something to be said for fractional reserve banking, as a kind of automatic stabilizer. If the economy contracts, there is a credit squeeze and the money supply contracts. Pick the reserve ratios and minimum lending rates correctly and it contracts the correct amount for price stability. And this works in reverse, expanding the money supply as the economy recovers, avoiding needless restrictions on growth due to deflation.

Experience shows that reserve ratios are too low, leading to economic instability. Why do we ignore this experience? Follow the money, low reserve ratios are profitable for bankers. We could have have a much more stable economic system with a two part strategy of 25% reserves and the monetary contraction implied by raising reserve rate being countered by printing the right amount of money.
I'd guess maybe 40% of kids are using drugs now and then, less than 5% regularly (at least in my district). But over 90% are on Instagram, even more on Tiktok. Its not really comparable.
Yes, although many won't realize it.

I use VPN (usually Tailscale, though I have the Proton subscription package that includes their VPN - mainly useful if for some reason my home internet is slow or out, otherwise I would just TS it) on all public WiFi. My work's remote access blocks logins from outside the US, so if I'm out of the country, my wife and I both need VPN to be able to log in.

Interestingly, while my work's network blocks Tailscale's initial authentication, it doesn't actually block the traffic. I can authenticate my iPad via cell phone tethering or just before I leave the house and it will work when I connect to their network. It's a personal device without any access to their internal network, and I'm using the guest network, so I'm not compromising security to actual work devices. But when I'm stuck up there and I want to stream a movie from my NAS at home, I can.
"No One Saw a Thing" was a pretty grim documentary as I recall.
Also; it is obvious when someone uses a nuke. There is a big crater and a mushroom cloud + lots of radiation. It isn't half as obvious that someone is using an AI, particularly once they start to obscure it. If a military campaign is executed with apparently superhuman efficiency, does that mean AI was involved or just that the people involved were good? There'll always be plausible deniability if it matters.

People underestimate just how bad human management is; we haven't had an improvement on it to date apart from some mathematical techniques but even just getting the basics right consistently would probably give an army a big advantage if they work anything like a more standard corporation. Which they will; there are no magic techniques to be more capable when guns are involved. A superintelligence could probably win just by being demanding about getting basic questions answered like "Is there a strategic objective here? Is it advantageous to my side if that objective is achieved? Can it reasonably be achieved with the capabilities I have?" and not acting when the answer is no. That'd put it ahead of the military operations the US has been involved in this century. Bam, military superintelligence with plausible deniability.
Native as in Swift/Objective C (iOS) or Kotlin/Java (Android). Probably 99% of the UI (and lower layers, outside of specialty cases!) is based in that. C++ is used for typical high performance cases; e.g. Video rendering (though there's more than that).

There's a lot of internal tools. I don't know what they're written in. I would not be surprised if it's Lynx, but I'm a mobile developer on the TikTok app, and haven't ever looked into it.

I haven't come across any WASM in my time here, but I'm not in a position to declare that it doesn't exist.
This is known as "death by attrition". It's generally not a successful strategy.
Career Update: Google DeepMind –> Anthropic
How do people feel about the value of the M3 Ultra vs. the M4 Max for general computing, assuming that you max out the RAM on the M4 version of the Studio?
$0.50/day is well below most people’s discretionary threshold, and it isn’t just money being burnt but keeping a promise. If we want to lower the cost to the taxpayers, we should be shrinking the military first rather than cutting the benefits which were promised to people decades ago.

If you want to cancel it out, there are many easier ways to do it, including things like more IRS auditing for tax evasion. There’s roughly a 10:1 return rate for enforcement, with an estimated gap of over half a trillion dollars.
Well, yes. Hunting obviously was a part of the issue.

I'm just saying that bison near-extinction was not a result of a directed action to exterminate them.

It's more fair to say that bison went through a normal bust cycle and hunting prevented them from bouncing back.
Certainly all policy matters are political, in at least the sense that politicians want to be seen to be pursuing the policies that are supported by those who votes they expect or want, and to be seen to be fighting against the policies that those voters oppose. But the idea that even acknowledging the existence of environmental concerns is a political position, systematically embraced by one major US political party and denied by the other, is new, even if the specific policies for addressing the (acknowledged) environmental concerns, and the wrangling of votes to accomplish those policies, is and always has been with us.
I don’t think you understand hardware timelines if you think this product had literally anything to do with anything DeepSeek.
Not really comparable?
Any ideas on power consumption? I wonder how much power would that use. It looks like it would be more efficient than everything else that currently exists.
Birkin bags appreciate in value. This is more like a Lexus. It's a well-crafted luxury good that will depreciate relatively slowly.
that's interesting... i've been noticing similar issues with long context windows & forgetting. are you seeing that the model drifts more towards the beginning of the context or is it seemingly random?

i've also been experimenting with different chunking strategies to see if that helps maintain coherence over larger contexts. it's a tricky problem.
It’s also annoying that the latest Intel/AMD Zenbooks don’t offer a non-PWM IPS panel screen option. The OLED panels they use apparently bother some people at low brightness settings with flickering and of course there’s the usual longevity concerns with the technology.
CGNAT isn't used with ipv6, right?
The main question is weather you want to share something like a Plex server with other people and force/convince them to essentially install a VPN to do so (which usually mean other VPNs are out of the game. You can't, for example, have Tailscale work alongside an adblock VPN in Android). To me thats a deal breaker and quite a burden to the people who want to access it. You are better off putting all those services behind a reverse proxy with a cert from let's encrypt.
Agno: Agent framework 10,000x faster than LangChain
I'd hope so, but you never know what you can get people to tolerate "for the children". This is, after all, the same UK population that voted these halfwits into power.
How is that comparable? On-package RAM is lower latency and higher bandwidth and also much more expensive than external DDR5 sticks.
The UK has to formally ask for a backdoor, the United States has the leverage to coerce Apple into implimenting one while demanding that it remain a secret. We don't know if the US has implemented equivalent iCloud backdoors yet, it might be under wraps like the push notification bug.

Maybe that doesn't concern you though, and that's fine. Apple is always looking for customers that don't care that much about their devices.
That was actually something we debated launching before Tailscale SSH but ended up doing Tailscale SSH first because the state problem for compute was annoying and we'd seen the App Engine etc progression through the problem space and knew it could be a time suck.

I still want to do it and we continue to brainstorm on the problem of state management and how to do it in an HA way, so you can run services where the compute bounces around some node in a set that's up and reachable on the tailnet but the state is durable and in sync between the nodes. It's a fun problem.
How much vram do you need to run this model? Is 48 gb unified memory enough?
It feels to me that it can’t be lost on anyone or a coincidence that given Musk’s tangential (official) relationship to the government, he’s a really good scapegoat if something goes south with Doge.
Location: San Francisco (GMT-8)

Remote: yes or on-site

Willing to relocate: depends on offer

Technologies: Go, Python, AWS (ec2/alb/eks/ecs), GCP, Terraform, Kubernetes (CRDs), Jenkins, ArgoCD, Spinnaker, Automation, Heroku, Jupyter, Redis, Docker, Project Management, Observability (OTEL, Dynatrace)

Resume: Available upon request

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aaron-addleman/

Summary: Over +30 years of DevOps experience, multiple projects big and small, I look forward to helping achieve your goals together. I am actively looking for a full time position to exercise my skills and generate a positive change in this world.
I wish you luck. I really like Anthropic’s ethos, so I understand why you ultimately made the decision you did.
> This fight is about providing encryption to the masses

If apple cared about providing encryption to the masses, ADP would be enabled by default and you'd have to opt out of it.

As-is, all your messages, photos, and so on are backed up unencrypted to apple's servers where they can read them at will. End-to-end encryption is opt-in, and I doubt most "the masses" even know a setting for that exists.
Beautiful!

I have these ultra thin bt keyboards that came in a leather ipad case from Restoration Hardware... SUPER THIN.

These bitches better have a lot of magnets! (oh saw that in future. and the LED thingy -- if you can have a display in the side panels, that would be nifty - and a second BT object? Whereby the display in the side panels is BT to phone and thus get distractions.

my problem with small super thin BT keyboards is that the materials are too slippy -- so a tacky-ish finish so they dont slide around when on a surface such as a pant leg or so...

also, a curved version of this would be great for a sleave version - with magnets so that you slap one on your fore-arm. could even have power/connectivity coming from wires in the garment that they attach to.

Magnets basically. Need lots.

--

what if... since the thing is so small, the actual object is the mouse? So you can choose l/r object and then just grab it and mouse about?
I’m sure it’s just a coincidence, I didn’t mean to imply otherwise.
How AI Takeover Might Happen in Two Years
It really depends - a recent example I had was trying to implement the DPMO paper (a signed distance field to mesh algorithm), and one of the steps is "compute the plane of best fit with these points and project this other point onto it." Not a particularly long piece of code, but long enough that my local DeepSeek model was able to meaningfully save time for me.

http://www.sccg.sk/~chalmo/GM/SM02ob.pdf
> Here's the quote you missed:

Nowhere in that quote does it list how much of each type of storage is required. Again, they just list a range of storage systems, most of them never deployed at scale, and just don't even bother to lay out a concrete plan. The quotes you're posting are fitting this pattern of vague statements about storage and a total absence of concrete plans.

How many TWh of batteries? How many TWh of pumped hydro? How many TWh of some more exotic storage systems like compressed air or hydrogen? There's a reason why plans for a renewable grid don't go into this detail and stick to vague statement: actually sketching out how much storage would be required would show just how infeasible it really is.

Like I said, proponents of a mostly renewable grid don't have a plan to address intermittency. Or rather their plan is, "assume something solves storage, and don't worry about it".
There has been some exploration around developing a JavaScript API for accessibility. If implemented, that would allow <canvas> renderers to be accessible. I hope people will consider that blocking for shipping canvas renderers, but we'll see.
I don't think most users use those integrations, they're mostly just a feature bullet point.
I own a Framework 13, my biggest problem with it is the poor build quality. After only a few months of carrying it in a laptop bag (not in a backpack), it stopped being able to sit flat on a table. I have never had this problem before, including with laptops that cost way less than the Framework. I get that I could try to repeatedly buy case components from the site and replace them until it sits flat on a table again, but I don't want to have to do that and then have it start wobbling again in another few months. The fan on mine is also very loud and on a lot, and if you use it on anything besides a flat table (i.e. your lap or a bed), the vents get blocked, causing the fans to go super high and the computer to start thermal throttling. Overall it's nice that the Framework is upgradable long-term, but I don't think it's worth it when the benefit is that I'm just able to use a computer that I don't enjoy using for longer.
It’s partially a meme stock propped up by true believers. Well true believers who have never had to be truly tested. The next 6 months of Tesla stock pricing will test their grit. Their stock rise hasn’t been tied to financial reality for a moment. Tbh though it has historically worked out for them but I don’t see the argument for continued investment today.
You’ll get regular performance on battery.

I’ve gone entire work days with my Pro on battery because I didn’t notice I hadn’t plugged it in. All my docker containers, IDE etc plugged into my external monitor. It was a good 9hrs before I noticed.

Macs are easy to beat depending on what trade offs you want to make though.
Kids are extremely expensive when you have to raise them to 18 with no return. We should have social security, but for the young.
Cool, I didn’t find that one! Thanks.

A single 192 core Epyc is 11k by itself, so I’d probably go for the simpler integrated M3 ultra solution…
If your threat model includes intelligence services and mitming AWS you should not be using tailscale, and you would hopefully already know that.
> If you're a security person, can you explain why a centralized key exchange server is needed at all? If you care about security you have to verify every nodes key anyway...

I do verify every node’s key. That’s kind of the point of tailscale lock unless I am missing something.

> Also, it seems their infrastructure runs on AWS, not exactly confidence inspiring from a censorship/privacy risk standpoint.

I don’t understand what censorship has to do with a personal home network?

Privacy on the other hand, is fair. For my usecase this is a home network I am not that concerned that they know what devices talk to what devices. Yes they know my ip address but that’s not valuable since it’s all defended by the tailnet lock.

> I fail to see why one would use Tailscale over just wireguard other than for "convenience" reasons which are almost never good reasons if security and privacy also matter. Please correct me if I'm wrong with anything, I'm happy to learn.
Direct access to my network being limited behind tailscale with a requirement to be part of my tailscale network signature satisfies my requirements for no one else’s access to my network at all. And only if I am away from home does any of my traffic pass through a relay.

Tailscale has more device support than any wireguard apps than I know of. I don’t believe wireguard has Apple TV support, but tailscale does.

I am not the only member of my family either, including them in this network with the simplicity of tailscale’s apps is also important.
Same thing happening all around the world, even poor countries threatened by population collapse.

Even if you can convince educated, relatively younger population of poorer countries to come and work for you, integration is a real issue. As an expat who lives in a rich country, I can say that; it's not easy.
But if most of the native population turn into seniors, especially if they start to feel like a minority(age/ethnicity/cultural gap), I think that would be very annoying for them.
Now let me run Linux on it natively without having to jump through hoops. That would be something...
I think you are right. A minor shock in share price from a bad profit announcement will cause certain traders to have to sell to stop the loss getting worse, probably by an automated stop-loss order. This will start a chain reaction.
I don't know, if a dangerous thing can be seen, it can be destroyed. My worry is the destruction of the human race by viral means. Flu, COVID, bird flu...they can kill and all you see is the results. There are vaccines, but what if the government decides these are nonsense and cuts off funding and bans access to them?

An Ebola vaccine, rVSV-ZEBOV, was approved in the United States in December 2019. (per Wikipedia.) What if the US government decided to not provide this? This is a nightmare scenario, but the article is about the destruction of humanity.
As I said below, I had to find a new way to manage my bookmarks due to the difference in how it works in Vivaldi. Also after some search I decided to write a custom search-with extension, which surprised me with learning web-ext signing. Another issue was with download location that works very strangely until you mess with about:config. Firefox also has scrolling tabbar, which I had to disable and restyle so I can actually see where tab buttons are. Spent time on finding a non-malbloat gestures ext. Still have to rewrite some ahk scripts for new bookmarklets placement. Failed to have custom shortcuts (ff has none). I remember having a few more issues but can’t tell now. Things like last tab standing, deciding which one of the history/recently closed lists to use, etc.

It took a few days to investigate, google, try and fail, take rest, try again. Sure, I can do this faster now due to experience, but you start with none.
I _suspect_ that those 8 door-dashers were not compensated for being sent to a restaurant to pick up an already-delivered order, because they failed to complete the delivery.
I had some of my family install Tailscale to access my tailnet. They can watch movies from my collection more easily than using Netflix, and we can share files through the client with a single click. I have other friends using it to play old-school dedicated server games without having to deal with CGNAT/hairpin NAT problems.
> Unpopular opinion, but FiveThirtyEight constantly got the polls wrong and this isn't surprising.

538 almost never got the polls wrong, they simply reported the results the pollsters got. But you probably meant something else was wrong, and not their reporting of the polls. Like, maybe, the poll-based predictions that the polls supported.

But their poll-based predictions of individual results across all of the individual elections they predicted tended to be reasonably accurate in the Silver era, in that results predicted as, say, 70% chances were actually correct about 70% of the time, etc. In the post-Silver Morris period, I haven't seen any after-the-fact analysis, but the universe is a lot smaller, so you'd also expect the actual results on that limited universe to be less accurate in representing the long-term accuracy of the modelling approach.

The main problem, though, is that people want predictions to have probability 1 or 0, and don't deal well with things in between.
>Edit: WTF, someone downvoted "Enjoy the upvotes?" Pathetic.

You should read HN posting Guidelines if you want to understand why. Although I guess mostly in this case it is someone fat thumbed downvote.
Yes it is. My M2 Max MBP runs multithreaded workloads in the same ballpark as my water cooled 12900k.
Having attended a SuperDay, I can hands down state that their interview process is the best I've ever had (didn't get the job tho, which was probably for the best at this phase of life). Designed to perfectly lift signal and minimize noise, for what they're trying to achieve. Don't change a thing PostHog.
My informal testing puts it just under Deepseek-R1. Very impressive for 32B. It maybe thinks a bit too much for my taste. In some of my tests the thinking tokens were 10x the size of the final answer. I am eager to test it with function calling over the weekend.
Intriguingly, my work network (both guest and employee networks) blocks OpenVPN, commercial VPN (Proton I use, plus a couple of others I tried just as an experiment), and Tailscale authentication, but if the device is already authenticated to the tailnet, it will continue to work. Turns out that work uses the same ISP my home does, so perhaps that's part of it, but I have another TS exit node running at my in-laws' house (so I can remotely maintain their network, and so I can get out to the Internet via TS even if my home is down), and they're in another state with a different ISP.

I haven't actually tried this when my home service is down, because it's basically never down, but I can easily switch exit nodes when they are both running without hitting the authentication servers again.
>> Wow. 900 applications down to 10 "SuperDay" participants down to 4 hires. All to work at.... posthog. What a depressing statistic.

Yeah, at first I thought it was some kind of parody, then I realized it's a serious article and was astonished.
A fair statement, even though the phrasing is meant to be humorous and tongue-in-cheek.

I'm 42 and have simply never felt the desire to be a parent. Never felt a biological need to reproduce. Don't get me wrong, I have a libido, but never wanted a baby to come from it.

I can rave for hours about how great the DINK life is. A sibling comment talked about the logistics of traveling on vacation with kids. It's amazing to not have to deal with any of that.
The second anyone develops an AI that is more capable than humans they will use them to completely cripple opposing threat actor's attempts to develop AI. Full power grid, economic, social attacks are definitely coming, not sure how you could think otherwise.
It may not be Firefox in terms of hundreds or thousands of tabs but Chrome has gotten a lot more memory efficient since around 2022.