skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I tend to agree, with the exception of: I don't agree with the assertion that the US is broadly intending to renege on many of its security guarantees. I don't think that's a fair characterization on the Ukraine situation. If we had a security guarantee with Ukraine, it was the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, and we reneged on that under Obama in 2014 with Crimea, and under Biden in 2022 with the current war, but even Russia was a signatory to that and frankly its security guarantees were pretty weak anyway. Some say the economic, humanitarian, and military aid we've provided technically counts; its not like NATO Article 5 after all.

The more accurate framing, to me, feels like: America is going to ask for more from the world in return for its security guarantees. We're seeing this with the mineral rights in Ukraine, and now this TSMC investment. The world does not like this, because no one likes being asked to pay the bill at dinner when you're used to dad picking it up for the past 80 years, but that seems to be the priority.

This is ultimately healthy; as Starmer said this week, Europe needs to lead the effort in Ukraine, with US backing. A Europe that spends more on its own defense and is more independently capable of defending itself is a stronger Europe; this is what America wants, America wants strong allies across the pond, and it should be what Europeans want too.

But, as you allude to: Russia is not the threat some think they are, today. This war has decimated their offensive capability, thanks to US support over the past three years, and the geopolitical situation in eastern Europe right now is in a place where Europe, even with its diminished military capacity relative to the US, can actually lead security guarantees with Ukraine. But, the US will be there; America will get some mineral rights, and there will be some kind of peace deal organized in tranches where violation of tranche 1 means the EU military gets involved but violation of tranche 2 means you've woken the beast and the US gets involved too.

You're 100% right that there will be more wars, though. It just won't be the ones people expect. I don't think Taiwan will happen in the next decade; both sides have too much to lose. Ukraine & eastern Europe will calm down in the next six months. Longer term, I'd be more concerned about India and Pakistan or China, as that's an area of the world where the US has few existing security guarantees and direct allyships, but the military spending is ramping up.
OSA is a censorship law that pushes the cost of monitoring and compliance onto website operators.

This means that unless you are a gigantic corporation with deep pockets and can afford all the hundreds of hours of lawyers, developers, and moderators needed to comply with the law then you really can't afford to operate websites that other people can use.

It is effectively handing over the keys of WWW to mega corporations in the UK.

If you are operating a personal website it doesn't impact you, but if you are doing forums or anything were more then a handful of users use then you'll need a pretty significant budget to keep it running without the fear of the government cracking down on you.
> What I don't get is, in what universe is any US president going to engage militarily against China across the ocean, let alone the current one?

A managed escalation would blockade China, or at least ensure the rest of the free world never trades with China again.

Similarly, a local conflict could ensure chip facilities in Taiwan aren't surrendered intact.

The US doesn't have to win a hot conflict. Just start a cold war.

I still think the US has allies in Europe that would sanction China indefinitely. They'd probably also show up with something, if called.
>> especially Trump's tariff threats will do a number on us.

There will be losers certainly, but I'm not 100% sure that tarrifs for Canada are bad in the long run.

Firstly, there are already reports of Canadians buying local over US goods. If that sentiment hrows, and becomes entrenched that's good.

Secondly, at least gor some goods, suppliers are incentivised to explore other export markets. Again, long term, that diversification is good.

Thirdly, for at least some goods, the US cannot simply ramp up production. So they'll still be buying, but their consumers will pay more. Canadian suppliers can simply increase prices as well, since any US consumer increase will be ascribed to the tarrifs. This though is somewhat balanced by Canadian oversupply.

Fourthly it encourages producers to diversify somewhat to reduce over supply. In the long run a varied economy is better than one dependant on any one sector.

Ultimately Canada and Mexico could come out of this stronger. While the US consumer gets used to higher prices. (Which Canada et al can take advantage of whe tarrifs are removed.)
If I trip and fall and throw an arm out to catch myself instead of face planting, and my arm accidentally hits someone, this is not aggressive behavior. This is exactly what happens in the video, the robot lost balance and was jerkily trying to correct itself. This article is terrible clickbait trying to stir controversy
It is hidden behind a keyboard shortcut -there is no menu. cmd-shift-g I think. But it is literally the only way I know to get to folders besides the designated shortcuts (documents, pictures, etc) and I've been a daily mac user for many years.
> If I don't get social security benefits, and I don't get my $400K, I personally will be furious with Musk, Trump, and all their Republican enablers the rest of my life.

Small price to pay - for them.
Shortcuts.

Have you tried using Shortcuts on ANY Apple device? It's a fucking mess.

It is impossible to write Shortcuts with code. Consequently, this means that you're stuck with the no-code workflow builder.

Unfortunately, the no-code builder is a hog! Moving actions around within the panel will cause Shortcuts to lock up. Sometimes, Shortcuts will just refuse to reorder actions when you move them. Exiting and re-opening is the only fix.

Then there's running Shortcuts. Shortcuts appear like they can run anywhere on first glance. Try running a Shortcut to append text to a note on Apple Watch. You can't. But Shortcuts will gladly spin lock for two minutes doing whatever the fuck before yielding a "Remote Message Execution timeoit" that is Apple speak for "watchOS doesn't support appending to notes," or "you're saving a file into an iCloud directory that doesn't exist, and I'm not going to create it for you because no" or "your phone's off and I could connect to iCloud, but I'd rather not and piss you off instead."

But say you go through ALL of that and build your perfect complex shortcut that makes your life much easier. You'll find out later that year when the new iOS drops that a few of the actions in your Shortcut were silently changed and now the entire thing doesn't work!

You'll spend hours fixing it, wishing you were on Android the entire time but remembering that your Apple Watch actually is useful sometimes and everything on that side is SO MUCH WORSE because Apple has insane economies of scale and patents the shit out of everything.

This is just the tip of my iceberg of grievances with Apple software.

AirPods whose case dies every three days and often fails to switch between devices despite it being a flagship feature. Accidentally changing tracks when you raise-wake your phone. LITERALLY EVERYTHING about the keyboard. I could easily go on.

But, hey, at least Apple Intelligence can summarize my emails so I can think even less.

I miss the Apple that made Apple Mail, Calendars, Reminders and Notes. Those apps were made _before laptops were mainstream_ but are STILL the best at what they do while being mostly private and on-device.
> I don't care about Donald Trump. (How did this even become about him ?)

You said you “read” about turbines killing birds (shockingly with no citation). There is literally nobody else claiming such stupidity.

> Do note that there are ~100 million cats and only ~70k wind turbines, if you use US as a reference. Cats are clearly not the top-predators of birds anymore.

Do note, a tiny fraction of the 100m cats are outdoor cats. And yes, they are absolutely one of the top predators of birds and have been for decades.
Converting waste to fuel is great.

Meanwhile, I’m pretty excited about this project to make it cheap and easy to convert solar power to liquid fuel. Starting with carbon-neutral natural gas.

https://youtu.be/cRg1ZVwttNU?si=JWK5ZUdlNWooNYtt
Is this all because US are afraid China will own the world through HPC/AI ?

How many of us really depend on the latest cpu to survive ?
Except that wasn't mining at all, except in a remotely metaphorical sense.
Isn't that per year? I'm on their bigger $90/year plan which is excellent.
The thing is, the Nobel Committee for the Peace Prize is Norwegian. And Norway has a land border with Russia...
Agile. Sprints. Firing QA departments.

I see these trends as negatively impacting app quality.

"User pain" as a euphemism for "lowest common denominator" apathetic / fear driven development.

Like, playing the Vulcan game of Kal Toh where you remove rods unintelligentlly and still believe your constructed structure (the app) is fully coherent, and instead it dissolves into uselessness.
Common Lisp. It offers powerful abstractions and high speed. I’m happy with it.
Open access operators have generally not been allowed to directly compete with franchised Train Operating Companies (TOCs).

Many of Britain's railway routes are profitable, but open access operators aren't allowed to compete with franchised TOCs for a slice of those profits. As a prerequisite for approval, the Department of Transport requires open access operators to show that their services would create additional value of their own, not just abstract existing revenue.

Lumo, an open access operator and a part of First group, run trains between London and Edinburgh. They stop at Morpeth for no other reason than to fulfil their requirement to create value, in this case by stopping at a station previously underserved by the DfT franchise of the route. In other words, Lump had to make compromises in return for being allowed to get in on the action on one of the profitable railway lines.

I'd be confident in claiming that there has never been any true free market competition for British passenger rail services since privatization. The existence of private capital doesn't automatically create free markets!
I've always wanted toasters to have a lid to keep dust out. That's one thing I would add to their design.
Gravity from Entropy
Me too for projects and tools. Would like to use Ada for IOT projects and tools.
> You can address that by letting operators speculate on real estate, or you could do it with taxes.

One of those has a positive virtuous feedback loop. The other has politicians.
right on the money.
Based on your first sentence I thought you were going to talk about the government shutting down church services, which was a talking point on the other side. I think in either case, the first amendment would allow for the government to impose safety restrictions. (Could you, for example, use the first amendment to stop your church from getting shut down due to building code violations?)

However, to the point about credibility among conservatives, even some drive-in Church services were shut down: https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/voices/2020/08/08/cor...

I think if crowded outdoor marches were deemed safe, a drive-in church service should have as well.
Interesting. That is like 52 sqm per unit, which is 2.9 kW/sqm — three times higher power density than the solar irradiance on earth surface. If this is used at full power, how are the rooms cooled?
(most energy gets converted to heat in typical use-cases)
I should definitely try building small things and experimenting a lot. Asking people early like I did this time with Hacker News was a great move. If I hadn’t, I might’ve gotten lost and wasted a lot of time. Also, if I just study too much, I feel like perfectionism kicks in and stops me from doing anything, so I’ll start making stuff here and there.

Lastly, I know GenAI is a sensitive topic, so I’ll need to think hard about how to explain it and approach people about it. Thanks so much for leaving a comment!
When I try to build something too big, I often get overwhelmed and don’t know where to start. I’ll try starting small. Thanks for the resource recommendations too
Everything is politics. Remember when the US forced the Ukrainian investor of Firefly to sell?

https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/07/feds-who-forced-ukrain...

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/max-polyakov-and-no...

https://noosphereventures.com/eos-to-create-its-own-radar-mi...
Can you explain this?

In commodities market, the strike price is between the lowest price seller and the highest buyer.

In the goods market, individual buyers buy depending on their elasticity of demand unless the good has inelastic demand (rare).

Neither matches what you seem to say.
This is both very accurate and very depressing.

'Security guarantee' conjures thoughts of defending a population and its cities from destruction, whereas what it actually means is the opposite: to ensure all items of value are fully destroyed before they're taken.
Allies are good for America. Trade is good for America. Isolation has never been good for anyone.

>The USA is going to claw back whatever economic largesse it has granted to the rest of the world

The USA is going to stop bribing people to like them, an arrangement that suited the USA very well, but is difficult to articulate to seppos in general.

>This is a net relative win for the US economically because once it claws back what it needs, it has a better ability to "go it alone" than any other country in the world. US stocks will continue to be the best buys out there

This is a huge loss, but seems like a win for people who don't understand trade, supply and investment ie, seppos.

>Ergo we are looking at another American century

A Century of trying to keep a safe distance from the most armed nation doing its best north korea impersonation.

Let me make a prediction here.

1. The US is going to get more isolationist
2. Every time they face consequences of isolationism, they will simply declare that the problems were caused by not being isolationist enough, tearing up more trade agreements and generally just shifting away from the world.
"If they wont sell us good at price we like, we will just abandon international patent agreements" seems like its not far off after the tariffs.
3. This is a spiral that will end the modern USA as anyone knows it.

I am quite happy with this, as long as the seppos keep the nukes to themselves while they remove themselves from the planet economically.
Brexit was absolutely about Economic conditions. Anti immigration sentiment was one big factor that everyone talks about, but in reality the sentiment itself was a symptom on display for the underlying condition of people having their living standards drop. The second big factor people kept bringing up was that EU was making decisions for UK, which people thought needed to be reversed. Austerity measures, which EU adopted, were the single biggest reason why people felt they needed more control. They also slowed down the post 2008 recovery, which meant people weren’t doing as well anymore. Anti immigration sentiment also rose once people were unhappy and needed someone to take the blame.
3 Yrs on, Ukrainian evacuees help ballet project grow in Japan
I agree. The frameworks and tools we use are so complicated, but we’re also so tied to the complexity that it’s pretty much an anti pattern to go outside the framework/toolkit.

I haven’t fully thought this idea out, but I’ve been feelin it recently.
REMOTE (US)

COMPANY: fifo.com - Startup in the fintech space targeting self-employed individuals.

Remote, software dev position that uses primarily CoffeeScript and some HTMX, for the backend.

(CoffeeScript is JavaScript with a different syntax.) The backend is in CoffeeScript, while the frontend is in JavaScript. Backend is most needed right now.

Email jenny@fifo.com with your intro/resume (and/or GitHub/portfolio, if you have).

Could you let me know how many hours are you looking to work per week? (We let you choose your schedule.)

Max hours that you’re able to give, preferred.

What monthly salary you'd require to work your max hours for this position?

Also, where are you based? (For example: Are you a U.S. citizen? AT THE TIME BEING, USA-only.)

And include which days/times you’re free to a 30-60 minutes interview (it’s not a coding interview, so it’ll be convenient.)

I will respond back to your email scheduling when I’m free to interview.

Thank you!

Please email me at jenny@fifo.com for more details!
We could be plunged back into the horrible era that was ... the 2010s! There wouldn't be a global collapse if TSMC was lost. It'd be an inconvenience that sets the semiconductor industry back a decade or so. Most advanced technology hasn't had time to have an impact on the global economy yet and 98% of people won't notice much in practice if all the TSMC foundries exploded tomorrow. There'd maybe be some shortages while other companies build new foundries - although even then it isn't a given people would care. China seems to be about to flood the market with manufacturing capacity.
Thanks for building this.
I might have believed that a couple weeks ago. Mexico and Canada put a show on for the him about the tarrifs and they're still set to be in place tommrow. Why would anyone else play along now?
I appreciate the non assumption explanation in the article. Well done.
I think those are intentionally misleading numbers. The UK is a finance power house, not a manufacturing one, so of course it derives a larger share of GDP from less energy.

Italy has a higher % of GDP from manufacturing but way more expensive energy.
Hmm, I see, that's right!
Bright side APPRECIATED! TY.
I recently switched from an Android to an iphone and the writing experience (keyboard, text selection, scrolling) are so frustrating. I initially thought I must not be used to it but then found so many people had the same problem. I didn't expect this from Apple.
I'm riding the XRP train until the end.
The Budapest Memorandum basically only required the USA to bring any violations to the UN Security Council, which we did in 2022. I think we have a moral obligation to continue providing military aid and diplomatic assistance but there is no legal obligation to do anything more.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum
This is not a bug, it's a feature.

By "volunteering" your data for third party advertising (...remember, you agreed to Apple's ToS), they get to sell referrals and you get nothing.

Sounds fair?

My main Apple computers predate modern LLMs, and will forever be stuck on Ventura & 10.14. The M4 Mini I just purchased (to replace MacPro5,1) will never go online, and I have physically removed all wireless "features" [why does bluetooth constantly turn itself back on?!] — love the OS (particularly the fluidity of screensavers) but the OS is so enmeshed in wanting to "be helpful" (== I don't want your AI schizo ==) that I won't plan to update any online machines any further than 2023 operating systems (== "pre-AI" ==).

The best news in all this is it may finally push me into running Linux as my main online machine, which I've been putting off for only three decades now (68k->PPC->Intel->Silicone).
> If we face the reality: Taiwan is a vassal state. The decision makers are simply owned by the US.

The thing about US "vassel" states is they don't have to do what the US says. And sometimes won't!

It's a classic Russian talking point that Ukraine has no agency. You're making the same argument for Taiwan.

Taiwan doesn't have to accept a US deal they don't like. They could build nukes. They could opt to do nothing and run the risk of invasion.

It's a democracy, Taiwan has agency. Even if, they have good reasons to make friends with the US.
Law should be considered to be artificial rules optimized for the collective good of society.

What's the worst that can happen if we allow unregulated AI training on existing music? Musician as a job won't exist anymore lest for the greatest artists. But it makes creating music much more accessible to billions of people. Are they good music? Let the market decide. And people still make music because the creative process is enjoyable.

The animus towards AI generated music deeply stems from job security. I work in software and I see it is more likely that AI can be eventually able to replace software devs. I may lose my job if that happens. But I don't care. Find another career. Humanity needs to progress instead of stagnating for the sake of a few interest groups.
We are all, in all our information streams, rolling more dice than ever more times a day than ever, and you only need one or two snake eyes to start the process of going down an unfortunate path.
Although this is more like a Great Leap Backwards. Expect the same death toll, but on average none of the US will be more modernized or industrialized afterwards.
Just like the free market figured out cybersecurity?

It ain't a magic wand that fixes all problems, buddy. Some problems just aren't possible to fix without making changes that sacrifice values core to the economy and of our culture.
Its weird to claim that the US is in decline when discussing the EU. The fate of the EU is incredibly intertwined with that of the US. If one is in decline, the other is as well.
A Guide for Choosing the Right Workflow Automation Tool
Or more closely related, when I import a library or utilise an external tool, I don’t know how that works either.

When I store a record in the database, I have no idea what Postgres does to do that, it just happens.
Yeah of course distributed infrastructure is ... Bad???

Oh no we have no single point of failure, empower people to invest into the grid and have huge redundancies in the grid...
Batteries literally solve most of the problems
A tool to search email server config
It's not actually Electron; it's a bit of an unholy mishmash of webkit doing layout of things that are sometimes native views with interaction handling that's also a bit of both. It just has many of the same problems that that Electron apps have, which is also why the interactions are so janky.
I've had the same experience. MacOS had lots of features intended to make it friendly for casual users, which made it a pain when you wanted to modify it, but if you wanted to modify something, you generally could; it just took some extra steps compared to Windows 7. By contrast, I spent an hour figuring out how to uninstall Edge on Windows 10 this afternoon, and I suspect it's going to reinstall after the next update like all of the other bloatware did.
I see what you did there.

(those who don't follow: you can catch up on the Seven Pillars wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven_Pillars_of_Wisdom or like basically any biography of Lawrence, various forwards, et c.)
This is not as crazy as it sounds at first glance. The % is less important than where they are spending that money.

An "economy" is just a measure of the overall movement of money. If the bulk of that spending is internal, then that is contributing to the economy. Govt workers are consumers, local companies are providing goods to govt etc.

USaid for example spent a lot of money on food. And a lot of that was purchased from US farmers. Killing USaid "saves a lot of money" but also costs a lot of producers their income.

As long as the bulk of spending is local, govt spending is an excellent way of keeping money moving.
Not Lonely at All (2009)