skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Zalensky is right. Russia started it, if we have to destroy the planet with nukes and kill every single European of fighting age, we can never, must never, surender to Putin. And think of the great innovations in murderous drones we will get out of an ongoing multi-decade prixy war, all that ingenuity and Ukranian expertise in killing can be ours for very, very low cost! Beginning to wonder about Trump's priorities.
Russia has 1.5 million active military personnel. So you're basically saying that the entire EU+UK is militarily smaller than a country (Russia) that has a GDP less than Texas.
Cheney comes to mind.
If you don't stand up to bullies like Putin, they continue to act as bullies.

You cannot appease a bully. They will take what you gave them and then return to bullying you.
instead of arguing about who is the worst rapist, maybe we could try to stop electing rapists in general?
They told themselves they could contain him, they thought he was like them, cultivating an insincere public persona to accumulate power. He had the juice and the ability to perform jedi magic over their constituents. They rationalized the indefensible to win elections.

None of them care about anything except power and leveraging it. Politics ain't bean bag and all of that. It's revealing to anyone actually paying a modicum of attention that isn't blinded by partisan hate.
Teams also has a lot of technical debt in it's own given that they essentially combined Yammer with Sharepoint and Office to make it!
Skype is still good as a video client, but where they really screwed up was chat history. The only way you can recover old messages is to infinite scroll until you get to the point you need. Search is largely useless.

WhatsApp desktop is a perfectly usable alternative, and chat is good - you can save to a file, media is automatically backed up if you want.
Only American MAGA supporters saw Zelensky being humiliated.

Anybody else saw Vance and Trump humiliating themselves. Showing the intellectual and emotional capacity of a middle schooler to the world while a man whose people are suffering occupation and mass casualties and deals with death every day just looks stunned.

To anybody with critical thinking skills it feels like Trump & Vance are talking about a TV show or video game. Completely disconnected from reality. Horrifying and shocking level of narcissistic immaturity.
We've crossed the Rubicon, where sarcasm is no longer indistinguishable from reality.
Russia will offer concessions that benefit the president and his friends, you mean.
Although I agree that Trump's desire to end the war without any Russian concessions is foolhardy, Russia will not tolerate NATO membership or nuclear weapons on its borders. Recall that this conflict's roots began when we reneged on our promise to freeze NATO's borders in the late 90s after the Soviet Union's collapse. None other than George Kennan, the Russian-speaking architect of Cold War containment, wrote an op-ed about it then...

https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/05/opinion/a-fateful-error.h...
https://archive.ph/7qYtE
Work on sideprojects.
With what David Cameron and Boris Johnston did with us in the uk. Brexit. A lot in four years.

Labour is doing no better.
Can someone ELI5 the facts & dynamics at play - without taking a side in this topic?

Seems like POTUS feels used / manipulated, but how & why?

Zelensky seems to disagree with some apparent proposed plan, but what is the plan & why does he disagree?
Despite all the rage in these comments, the base of the right largely views this as best possible outcome.
all middle eastern forever wars are part of the Netanyahu’s Clean Break strategy that US implements

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Clean_Break:_A_New_Strategy_...
> I don't sync back and forth, preferring to hand-transcribe anything that is worth my while (I type fast enough on my computer). However it's good to know that my notes are just plain text, therefore always accessible.

I sync Org mode from the desktop to the mobile, and read in orgzly. To record things on mobile, I use voice notes.

I'm right now working on a desktop application to transcribe and make voice notes accessible by other means as well. If you're interested then my Gmail username is the same as my HN username.
Time series is an established term. For example predicting an earthquake from a sequence of events, or a stock price change, etc.

I never worked very seriously with time series problems, but I know enough from the title to know I can’t evaluate how good this thing is.
> most of my fellow Americans did

Not true.
> Old men often don't care about personal help

This is no ordinary old man though. Look at how many times he has mentioned third term as President.
> JdVance will not last for long - is there procedure to replace him?

fwiw, the President cannot fire the VP. The Vice Presidency is an independent political office.
Genuine question: what is the solution?

The United States has given Ukraine billions. That hasn't seemed to resolved the issue?
A classic form of intimidation. Lyndon Johnson was a master of it as he loomed over the target of his entreaties, tall man that he was.
Didn’t a Trump call with the Danish prime minister also end like that?
Syria is very much Russia's conflict.
Russia broke the last ceasefire. Another ceasefire without material guarantees of security for Ukraine is pointless for Ukraine to sign, as there's no reason to believe it'll "bring the meat grinder to an end".

Which is exactly what Zelenskyy was trying to say, when they kept shouting over him. And what at least one reporter asked about, which question Trump then dodged.
A few years ago I found+installed a small, simple Service to run "touch" on a file, but it broke a few OS upgrades ago. Anyone got a replacement ?
All President Zelensky had to do was say "thanks for your support" and have the hard conversations behind closed doors. Instead he tried to use high-pressure negotiating tactics in front of the cameras, on Donald Trump of all people. This was clearly a mistake, and now his diplomatic incompetence and lack of basic gratitude and respect will cost Zelensky and his country dearly.
> Support Ukraine enough so it can take all its territory (maybe minus Crimea). This may not be possible with weapons alone. This might require a NATO no-fly zone over Ukraine, which effectively makes us a combatant. I actually would support this path, but the downsides are all too obvious.

It _is_ possible with the combo of weapons and economic sanctions. Ukraine (had) more economic support, so it is both a war of blood and endurance, endurance which Ukraine could have by being a porcupine with next-gen weapons and non-stop bleeding for Russia until things start hitting the oligarch's pocketbooks too far and the people of Russia begin to demand regime change.

Russia is a glorified gas station. You can hurt it dramatically with economic sanctions because its whole GDP is concentrated into one sector.

Imo if Trump really cared about America's long term security, he would be trying to fund research into cheaper / easier to produce next-gen weapons for Ukraine to test for us, instead of complaining how much our HIMARS and tanks currently cost, firing top military brass, cozying up to a dictator, and trying to exploit a ravaged democratic ally.
Democrats vastly outspent republicans. https://www.axios.com/2024/10/31/democrats-republicans-ad-sp...
> I've decided to stop caring.

This is a problem because if you stop caring about Ukraine falling, you will start to care when Poland, baltic countries, etc., get overrun next. Zelenskyy wasn't joking when he mentioned American shores.
I have never seen a number similar to that quoted anywhere before. Can you name a source?

The BBC:s most recent rundown[1] has the strictly military support from the US accounting for a bit more than half of the total of the top-ten contributors (of which it is number one, of course).

When comparing dollar values for military equipment with other types of support, we should keep in mind that they are inflated. A lot of the equipment (ammunition, vehicles etc) are old things that were due to be rotated out of the stockpiles anyway. This is true for many (perhaps all) donor countries.

Example: GMLRS rockets have a shelf-life of 10-15 years and their disposal costs at end-of-life is not zero. Sending them off to Ukraine as they approach their best-before date does not incur much real cost on the donor, but the gift can be labeled as "253 gazillion dollars worth of ammunition." The value description is sort of true, as they will be used in their full capacity by Ukraine, but it might even save money for the donor who is the off the hook for disposal and was going to replace them anyway.

[1]https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62002218
Then your government needs to shut up instead of undermining the efforts of the rest of the free world to save Ukraine.

However, it is worth noting that from a geopolitical perspective you're the one who is ludicrous.
Why do you think they are trying to hide anything. They have been given carte blanche by SCOTUS that anything they do as official acts cannot be illegal. Congress has also abdicated their responsibilities as well. They are not afraid of anything the opposition side says/thinks/does. They have an agenda, and are making strides to accomplish their playbook.

I don't understand why people keep saying things like hide, shadow, etc. They're doing it right there in front of everyone live on TV or posting step by step on social media.
That's correct. Territory captured is useless for Russia, but it's what Putin wants, so his generals push for it at a great expense.

Ukraine is suffering 3-5 times fewer casualties than Russia, but it's also 3 times smaller than Russia.
What’s the advantage of this over https://utf9k.net/blog/conditional-gitconfig/ ?

I use this technique to use my personal identity by default, and my work identity with repos that are checked out under ~/$WORK

I even have git aliases that behave differently depending on which identity I'm using.
The US has mostly donated their obsolete weapons that were going to be decommissioned anyway. While expensive, they would’ve otherwise cost the US money to decommission instead.
I might also mention elections being compromised. It is another clear target for Russia with an extremely high payoff.
Feel certain they have not managed to hack the election?
Loans are not the same as heavy weaponry and intelligence.

Other American administrations have been spending decades begging NATO allies to keep their militaries up to a higher standard. Their refusal to do so is now coming back to haunt the world order.
I'm afraid of USA by now.

That one day they will sever ties with Europe, I expected. But not becoming an actively hostile state.

I am left wondering - how long it will take until Americans start openly supporting Russia and China?

When I was younger, anti-American people were a source of jokes for me. Being a Pole, why would anyone be against our ally? Well, now I see. And it's painful to say that, but I'm starting to see Americans as people in very negative light. Perhaps you were hated in the rest of the world for a reason.
GNOME Web (formerly Epiphany) switched from Gecko to WebKit in 2008, long after Safari was around.
> The war started in 2014

Exactly! This is the key. Why do you think Trump was the first US president that didn’t see Putin mount an offensive during his term? Trump armed Ukraine to the teeth during his first term, while being sure not to escalate with Putin. He carried a big stick but also didn’t provoke. Ukraine in NATO is unacceptable for Putin. Fact of life. US wouldn’t want Chinese military defenses in Mexico. Biden admin and Europe seem obsessed with this, but Ukraine in NATO ain’t gonna happen without risking a hot war with A FUCKING NUCLEAR POWER. We either end this now or at the very least drive Russia further into China’s arms or provoke a real WW with millions dead. This isn’t just good vs evil. Reality sucks sometimes, but you gotta deal with it. Trump admin is completely ready and willing to provide arms and aid to Ukraine, just as they did in first term. But we’re sick and tired of seeing endless aid further provoking a nuclear power with absolutely nobody envisioning an end other than “we beat Putin”. All the while we deplete our munitions, supplies, money, and have Russia-China rise.
It's sad to be smaller countries.
Thanks! Your hard work is appreciated.
The reason why the EU never "got serious" about building military after WW2 was mainly due to US interference.

The EU actually spends quite a lot in defense, but does so very inadequately. Each country has their own army, so there's a lot of overlap in spending. I actually think that now that the US is essentially an enemy nation, EU will be forced to integrate more, as that's the only way it can pose a meaningful response. That can only be a good thing.

Also, I think you are underestimating how much the US is alienating EU in this, and how badly it is damaging relations. Trust is something you earn in droplets but lose in buckets.
Find me a credible source then. I happen to be able to read and write Chinese as well, so don't limit yourself to English-language sources. I'm happy to be proven wrong. Everything I've found says that US intelligence thinks that Xi wants to invade by 2027 -- nothing directly from the Chinese government itself.

You might want to read this Defense News article (https://archive.vn/UNXdC), titled "How DC became obsessed with a potential 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan".

***

"... according to an American official who later spoke to the press, Chinese leader Xi Jinping grew exasperated — not at the risk of war, but at the timeline.

“Xi basically said: ‘Look, I hear all these reports in the United States [of] how we’re planning for military action in 2027 or 2035,’” the official said.
“‘There are no such plans,’” Xi said in the official’s telling. “‘No one has talked to me about this.’”

That first year, 2027, is a fixation in Washington. It has impacted the debate over China policy — a shift from the long term to the short term. It’s also helped steer billions of dollars toward U.S. forces in the Pacific. And in the last several years, it’s been a question mark hanging over the Biden administration’s approach to the region.

According to U.S. intelligence, Xi has told the Chinese military it needs to be ready to invade Taiwan by that year. ...

This became the standard line across the administration — affirmed by Central Intelligence Agency Director Bill Burns.

“President Xi has instructed the PLA [People’s Liberation Army], the Chinese military leadership to be ready by 2027 to invade Taiwan. But that doesn’t mean that he’s decided to invade in 2027 or any other year as well,” Burns said during a TV interview in February 2023."

***

> This comes directly from Xi's speeches at the People's National Congress

You might be referring to his 2022 speech, where a part of his speech was given the title "XII. Achieving the Centenary Goal of the People’s Liberation Army and Further Modernizing National Defense and the Military". (https://archive.vn/tSO65)

If you read its contents, you'd realise that he was talking about modernisation goals for the PLA, and not about invading Taiwan at all. All the information publicly available about Xi's supposed plans to invade Taiwan in/by 2027 comes from the US. While I do not doubt China's imperialistic ambitions, 1) there are many ways for the Chinese to achieve reunification with Taiwan without a military invasion; 2) the CIA has very little credibility.
What is worse, risking nuclear annihilation or risking the end of democracy as a concept and fully inviting authoritarianism?
> If I could at least view Org docs on the run, and do minor editing to jot quick notes, I think I could make the leap.

I just mentioned this in another comment here, but I think you would be interested too. I sync Org mode from the desktop to the mobile, and read in orgzly. To record things on mobile, I use voice notes. I'm right now working on a desktop application to transcribe and make voice notes accessible by other means as well. If you're interested then my Gmail username is the same as my HN username.
As Sir Martyn Poliakoff likes to say (greatly paraphrasing), your mind is like a vegetable soup, and stirring it around surfaces all sorts of interesting bits.

I see this as a great way of stirring things up! Like, once I asked ChatGPT about some ideas I had, and it had hallucinated something which gave me a great idea.
Ukraine isn't likely to recover much territory. But Russia will have a hard time taking more territory. At this point the war favors the defenders in either direction. Both sides are dug in and attackers get hammered by drones.
The US profits off war. War is the easiest way to stimulate the economy.
Why are you making things up?
Am in Europe (NL), people do care. I have Ukranian refugees living in my town, I helped them with computers and bicycles and what I could to help some kids be able to do their school works.

Europe has given more than the US to Ukraine. https://www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/war-against-ukraine/ukraine-s...

US number would've been smaller if Biden did not push a large package before leaving. I think EU should do more.

What is so bad about Russia to the US? Well, you can ask every American administration of the past 30 years, they all seemed to agree before. For some Russian doctrine introduction: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics
Your feelings don't matter.
To suggest the EU/Europe has done anything close to the bare minimum for Ukraine is absurd and Europeans who think otherwise are as delusional on this as the long term usefulness of the actual EU
People like you in 2014:

"We should not push back against Russia's annexation of Crimea. It will allow the war to end. They are not going to invade Ukraine to take other territory."
Binary Neutron Star Mergers as the Source of the Highest Energy Cosmic Rays
The existing system is already corrupt so I don’t think that hypothetical is helpful here. The process by which contracts are awarded is already unfair and biased towards certain players with the right connections to get a contract written in a way that only they can fulfill.

It’s possible, although I have not verified, that the contract was written in such a way that Verizon was the only qualified applicant because of lobbying.
What do you think Putin will do in year after a peace?
What do you think Putin will do after taking over Ukraine?
This is also a form of realism, to think what will happen in the future.
> professionalism." That was before "move fast, break things

I think you're professing a false dichotomy. Is it unprofessional to "move fast, break things"?

I'm a slow moving yak shaver partly due to concious intention. I admire some outcomes from engineers that break things like big rockets.

I definitely think we learn fast by breaking things: assuming we are scientific enough to design to learn without too much harm/cost.
But none of this is related to your opinion. So you are still free to state your opinion.
Insult, defamation, misinformation and hate should not be given the protection under the umbrella of free speech.
For fucking real, I was against invading Iraq (again...) for reasons pretty similar to why I'm against letting Russia take Ukraine.
https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/56470/did-henry...
How do you stop the Russians continuing a one sided murder campaign after the surrender?
When did Zelensky's presidential term expired again?
That would be a good ending by now - USA can start supporting Russia. With intelligence, with weapons.
A lot of people here are angry with Trump about this. But if you watch the full meeting, it's clear Zelensky could have avoided this fiasco.

Just the facts:

1. Zelensky did indeed say thank you, at the beginning of the conference.

2. Zelensky made faces at various points of the initial questions. Mostly in frustration with reporters but also in frustration with Trump

3. Zelensky shook his head when Trump started making some remark he disagreed with. A reporter even followed up on him shaking his head. This was the preamble to the bigger argument.

4. Finally, Zelensky asked Vance a provocative question "what kind of diplomacy are you talking about?" which started the shouting match.

Zelensky and this administration simply do not want the same thing. This kind of altercation was probably inevitable in some fashion, but it should've been done in private. Zelensky now gives no chance for the administration to even save face if they do decide to help more.
There's much that is potentially shady about that deal, such as the Clintons receiving donations through the Clinton Foundation that were allegedly bribes for the Uranium One situation. Certainly Russian foreign investment in America, especially something sensitive like uranium, should raise eyebrows.

But it's not clear there are direct or indirect ramifications for national security. Russia already has access to plenty of uranium.

This was also at a time when Russia was looking like it wanted to become a peaceful member of the world community. They were not the adversary to a peaceful world that they are today.

https://www.politifact.com/article/2017/oct/24/what-you-need...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_One_controversy
That's another user you are quoting, not me. This is a public message board, not your email inbox.
> 4. Abandon Ukraine and make a deal with Russia against China. [This is Trump's plan and it's as stupid as it sounds.]

It would have been in the US best interest to have done this twenty years ago, but some greedy bastards thought there would be untold riches in breaking up Russia, to have "two, three, many Ukraines". They failed.
First you tell me what is wrong about what I have said.
More Ukrainian + Russians dead/wounded and more money spent on weapons, and you end up in one of the other options anyway.
> I also suspect that Russia has been causing the very problems that the far right reacts against, most notably immigration.

They absolutely are.

A large portion of immigrants into Europe originate from countries suffering from conflicts that Russia has a big hand in. The big one, of course, being Syria, but also many African nations where the Wagner group, now effectively re-branded as the Russian Africa Corps are providing military support and protection.

Another big aspect of Russia facilitating immigration into Europe, is the immigration route through Belarus: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belarus%E2%80%93European_Union...
Stay strong, use this as a opportunity to become a better person. Just do the opposite of Trump / Musk, it will get you so close to being a saint.
I can think of a hundred things we could have US defense contractors make instead. And it's surprising how quickly Democrats have begun worshiping the Military Industrial Complex. As recently as Bush, it was the boogeyman. Now I'm supposed to support shoveling money into it to burn? Why don't we spend $100B on having American workers build high-speed rail instead, or anything else more useful than drawing out an unwinnable conflict? All that would be purchased with this money is a lot more dead Ukrainians before it's over.
I am a smart guy—which is why even as a college student I knew the Iraq War was going to be a monumental cluster fuck.

To me, it seems like the people supporting American involvement in Ukraine are throwing about the same vague platitudes about “dictators” and “interests” without anything concrete to back them up.

At least Iraq and its neighbors had oil—there was a credible narrative that what happened there would directly hit Americans in their pocket books. American interest in Europe seems even more attenuated. It seems to be nothing more than romantic sympathy.
Exhibit A for level one thinking.