skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You're right: I was focused on Monty picking a door with a goat depending on whether you had picked the right door. That would certainly give the game away, but indeed is not the only option.

However,

> Now even if you try to play the card of "reasonable assumptions" and rule out "boring" strategies because they are "giving the game away" this still won't eliminate all "non-independent" cases. The space of possible probability distributions here is way bigger than your list above. I can come up with an infinite number of "reasonable non-independent" strategies for Monty.

None of the assumptions you proceed to list are "reasonable". They introduce enough to the puzzle that they ought to be stated as part of the problem. Since they aren't, it's safe to assume none of those are how Monty picks the door.

Your "dice rolling" formulation of the puzzle is nonstandard. If you want to go with it, you must make it clear in the presentation of the puzzle. There are infinite such considerations; maybe Monty observes the phase of the Moon, maybe Monty likes the contestant, and so on... it wouldn't work as a puzzle!

Given no additional information or context, all we're left with is assuming Monty always opens a door with a goat behind it.

If we want to introduce psychology: I bet you almost all of the naysayers to vos Savant's solution to the puzzle are a posteriori rationalizing their disbelief: they initially disbelieve the solution to the standard puzzle, then when shown it actually works, they stubbornly go "oh, but the problem is underspecified"... trying to salvage their initial skepticism. But that wasn't why they reacted so strongly against it -- it was because their intuition failed them! I cannot prove this, but... I'm almost certain of it. Alas! Unlike with probabilities, there can be no formal proofs of psychological phenomena!
In Australia the routes seem to be overly influenced by truck drivers, at least out of the cities. Maps will recommend you take some odd town bypass when just going down Main Street is easier.

I imagine what you saw is some other frequent road users making choices that get ranked higher.
E39 beacon of reliability, is this sarcasm? I really can't tell
It takes quite a bit of configuration to add a new LLM, because of this I don’t believe its in our roadmap
Super writing. Very entertaining
Do you have a chat example you can share where you found it to work great? I feel that the performance varies a lot between domains.
You are proposing connector with exposed live 12V pins.
My takeaway is that since users seemingly have more confidence they are able to set their lives on courses more appropriate for them. For instance,

> She hasn’t wanted to have sex for at least five years

Zepbound just uncovered an underlying problem and now she has more confidence to say this out loud. It's bringing the real problem to the surface.
... Yeah, but I mean that's just nonsense, and is not going to happen. People can expect all they want, but ultimately reality is reality.
It has been 20 years since Prescott But the name is suitable still.
> Code is a liability

Another way I've seen this expressed, which resonates with me, is "All code is technical debt."
Surely the entire point of insurance is that the provider takes the financial risk. That is what they have been paid to do. If they cannot afford to do that through premiums then they should make a loss.
Why are people using 3rd party cables after the 40 series disaster?
You'll also be expected to work 60-80 hour weeks.

You can earn the bottom end of those salary bands in West Coast Big Tech with much less hours worked (30-50).

> ultra-low-latency software pretty interesting

Then go into ML Infra. It's the same skillset and problem space (high performance computing), but better work hours and decent compensation.
Great, yet another feature Firefox doesn't support... I really try to not use Chrome, but I run into this sort of issue a lot.
AI isn't hitting tech jobs, management is.
The government regulations are coming in between the proper functioning and quality required for what's best for users.
Imagine being catfished for years, and in the end you discover that not only was the person who catfished you not who they said they were, they weren’t even human.
What gap? People all around the world can speak English, and write code. The US didn't need AI to push all manufacturing to China. You're getting outsourced. This is normally where unions step in, but not in this country.
> This co-op model is clearly less exploitative than standard labour relationships

Maybe, but it also can be much worse. Any of your owners can exploit the situation via fraud and if they hide it well you won't know until the whole fails and you lose whatever your investment was. Co-op is still a good model for some things, but beware it isn't clearly any better and can be much worse.

In some cases co-op is more exploitive because they use the "you are a member" line and get you to believe it and so you don't even realize how bad it is.

When a co-op is good it is good. However don't fool yourself, it isn't always good. So long as you are not fooled they can work very well.
For same reason any other insurance company doing it? Those guys are statistically the worst, with no one else being close.

Like if your argument being fiduciary duty to rob everyone blind health outcomes be damned, then why say Kaiser is not being sued in to the ground?
Heat loss/gain is proportional to internal-external delta T (and fabric U or R values, and ventilation).

In winter, allowing for time to warm up when you next expect to be there, you should consider the lowest temperature that will avoid damage from freezing of pipes and so on. Plus your fridge/freezer and a few other things will not enjoy getting very cold. FWIW I built in 6C as the 'frost protect' temperature for a heating control currently on the UK market.
> the quality of code produced by AI will improve dramatically as model evolves.

That's a very bold claim. We are already seeing plateu in LLM capabilities in general. And there is little improvement in places where they fall short (like making holistic changes in a large codebase) since their birth. They only improve where they are already good at such as writing small glue programs. Expecting significant breakthroughs with just scaling without any fundamentally changes to the architecture seems like too optimistic to me.
Should probably write a compiler that compiles "enhanced SQL" down to compatible SQL. Make it accept trailing commas, queries starting with FROM etc.
Bandwidth. GDDR / HBM, both used by GPU depending on usage are high bandwidth low capacity, comparatively speaking. Modern GPU tries to put more VRAM with more memory channel up to 512bit but requires more die space and hence are expensive.

We will need a new memory design for both GDDR and HBM. And I wont be surprised they are working on it already. But hardware takes time so it will be few more years down the road.
Slightly off topic but this comment really underscores the complete loss of meaning of the word "woke" for me.

I'm not trying to say that was intentional/hostile or not, just that it just sticks out really significantly from the earlier days where it was more in line with "willing to see the reality of the country and not just a smoothed over view" (which is a sentiment shared across most polarization I can think of) and now is more about a label/badge about certain values.

Language is fascinating.
this whole arc is really is the dumbest way for the cozy-for-some post-cold-war world to turn into full blown fascism and kleptocracy, jfc.
The chess game it generated is pretty sad: https://ibb.co/5Xk57m5k
> Specifically, UHC did not demand she scrub out of surgery, but that she call back as soon as convenient.

Which means "now, or you'll wait on hold for hours".
Thanks, I was going to comment here about that. From your link:
>As the years passed, pinball machines continued to pop up around the country in various forms as the furor against them lessened and the laws and bans became more lax. Yet it was not until 1976 that the New York pinball ban was actually lifted.
https://archive.is/yAImv
Many Indian ads are creative and emotional. I know quite a few friends who actually spend time watching the ads if they have nothing else to watch.
I don't think the value of senior developers is so much in knowing how more things work, but rather that they've learnt (over many projects of increasing complexity) how to design and build larger more complex systems, and this knowledge mostly isn't documented for LLMs to learn from. An LLM can do the LLM thing and copy designs it has seen, but this is cargo-cult behavior - copy the surface form of something without understanding why it was built that way, and when a different design would have been better for a myriad of reasons.

This is really an issue for all jobs, not just software development, where there is a large planning and reasoning component. Most of the artifacts available to train an LLM on are the end result of reasoning, not the reasoning process themselves (the day by day, hour by hour, diary of the thought process of someone exercising their journeyman skills). As far as software is concerned, even the end result of reasoning is going to have very limited availability when it comes to large projects since there are relatively few large projects that are open source (things like Linux, gcc, etc). Most large software projects are commercial and proprietary.

This is really one of the major weaknesses of LLM-as-AGI, or LLM-as-human-worker-replacement - their lack of ability to learn on the job and pick up a skill for themselves as opposed to needing to have been pre-trained on it (with the corresponding need for training data). In-context learning is ephemeral and anyways no substitute for weight updates where new knowledge and capabilities have been integrated with existing knowledge into a consistent whole.
> Or is the rate based on the difference between inside and outside temperature?

Both conductive heat loss and "air leak" heat loss is dependent upon the temperature difference between inside and outside temperature.

For conductive loss, the heat differential determines the amount of heat that "moves" per unit time from the hot side to the cold side.

For "air leak" heat loss, the temperature difference between outside and inside determines the amount of "heat" lost/gained by the leaks per unit time (assuming the leaks are constant).

Are both "linear"? To a first order approximation they are probably "linear enough" to treat them as "linear" given your use case (lower/raise interior temp when no one is home). But also consider that the greater the raise/lower, the longer any recovery will take, so consider than in your calculations as well.
Yes. And it also doesn’t need to handle 40+ AMPs on input, with associated large bus bars, large input wires, etc.

Extra insulation is likely only a mm or two, those other components are big and heavy, and have to be.

It’s the same reason inverters have been moving away from 12v to 48v. Larger currents require physically larger and heavier parts in a difficult to manage way. Larger voltages don’t start being problematic until either > 48v or >1000v (depending on the power band).
Do sociopaths and people with narcissistic personality disorder do better at seduction? How would we know? Would a double-blind experiment setting up blind dates between sociopaths and average people to rate their seductiveness even be ethical if sociopaths are dangerously skilled at it?
The only thing they care about is next quarter's share price.

The wouldn't kill and eat your grandmother if it was legal to make a little money, but 100% without exception they would look the other way and profess innocence if SOMEONE ELSE killed and ate your grandmother and it made them money.

edit: and they would character assassinate and/or sue you for criticizing them in a large enough forum.
> but I've never even heard of this issue

I would expand this to say that TCR is an expensive, problematic and wide ranging issue. I accept that it is an issue you have never heard of.
One of the things that could really help here is to create a license along the lines of "GPL for hardware" and then for a company like Google or Meta to release a design under it. The design wouldn't even have to be state of the art; something with performance equivalent to a ten year old x64 design would be valuable enough that people would use it for things if it was free.

But the larger value is that then people could use it as a starting point for modifications, which would in turn have to be released under the same license. Soon you have a diverse set of designs to choose from and we can start getting open hardware into common use because using any of those designs would be a cost savings over buying or designing something equivalent, but because the license requires an open design the user can then create custom firmware etc. and we might finally start to do something about the IoT security nightmare.
I do set up auto payment when I am sure the bill will be stable, this was while I was still in the introduction rate and I wanted to be aware of when the price change hit.

Now the question is, since they messed up what should be a simple accounting transaction, do I trust their billing system to have unfettered access to take funds from my bank :)
I mean, you're again assuming the only use case is "encode and tag a huge music collection", encoding is used for more than that.

For example, I have a raspberry pi that is responsible for recording as soon as it powers up. Then I can press a button, and it grabs the last 60 recorded minutes, which happens to be saved as .wav right now, which I'm fine with, the rest of my pipeline works with .wav.

But if my pipeline required flac, I would need to turn the wav into flac on the raspberry pi at this point, for 60 minutes of audio, and of course I'd like that to be faster if possible, so I can start editing it right away.
This is just absurdly false. What basis do you have for this claim?
Great read! Thanks for sharing.
The only logical argument I can imagine is that people are using stacks of 5 pennies now routinely instead of nickels. But personally I never see that happening.
I like bringing up the concept of a (now defunct) NYC chain of restaurants, Lindy's Law and how maturity in tech plays out over time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect
> younger programmers skip straight into prompt engineering and never develop themselves technically beyond the bare minimum needed to glue things together

This was true before LLMs though. A lot of people just glue javascript libraries together
BetterBufRead: Faster Reads in Rust
> And to pump the stock price, they want money going to shareholders (or growth).

Paying out dividends hasn't been a major factor in stock picking logic for at least 20 years, and rather than real growth, they'd rather pad their numbers by firing people. Shareholders get their money by buying low and selling high, not through something as quaint as long-term investment.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-653Z1val8s
The old piece of advice if you were getting stonewalled was to write a personal letter to "$CEO_NAME, $HQ_ADDRESS". I wonder whether that still works today.
> They are, at minimum, information about a particular persons values and perspective. Collectively, those individual opinions are what shape elections and foment uprisings.

Ah. The good old communist dream: The masses are where the truth is. Just one more marginal voice and we will know of the glorious uprising that was foretold.

But of course one would say this, after all, this is the age of the influencer and the knee jerk reaction to any information is to turn to the nearest one and say "thoughts?"

Anyway, it doesn't matter. If you believe opinions are information, more power to you.
The benefit would be if he succeeded to lower the price point.
I am not saying it was a good tactic.
We have coyotes around in DFW. Not too many in the urban core areas (mid-century suburbs), so the squirrel are rampant. Out in the exurbs (more recent suburbs), the coyote population is high enough I practically never see a squirrel.

Granted - the older areas have more mature oak, pecan, and other nut producing trees too. But there should be some squirrels out in the exurbs and I never see any. I've spent some significant time out there too. They have more rabbits than I see intown, which I imagine is the coyotes main food source.
https://tinyurl.com/mrymfwwp

We will see, maybe models do get good enough but I think we are underestimating these last few percent of improvement.
I've seen projects akin to "Excel sucks because its written in X, I am very smart, we will rewrite it to run in browser only with this new framework I read about, backed by microservices in Kotlin/Rust/some new fad, running server less on AWS (using this new thing thats just out of beta that I saw at re:Invent)".

And we need to stop all new feature work on Excel since its legacy, so give me 80% of the dev team to do above. Oh btw, they don't know the alphabet soup of stuff I decided to use, so we will also start firing them as well, as I need to hire for these special skills.
Cutting the ampacity in half from 50A to 25A only drops the minimum (single) conductor size from #8 to #10, also there is no 24v rail in a PSU.
Are you using the splitter that nvidia provided or a 600w cable? Also, what PSU?

I've been using mine remotely, so trying to figure out how much I should panic. I'm running off the SF1000 and the cable it came with. Will be a few weeks before I can measure temperatures.
Author here. Happy to answer any questions. It's been a fun project, and I'm happy to be using it now.
A Catalog of Aesthetics
> Imagine a company that fires its software engineers, replaces them with AI-generated code, and then sits back, expecting everything to just work. This is like firing your entire fire department because you installed more smoke detectors. It’s fine until the first real fire happens.

I feel like this analogy really doesn't capture the situation, because it implies that it would take some event to make companies realize they made a mistake. The reality right now is: You'd notice it instantly. Product velocity would drop to zero. Who is prompting the AI?

The AI-is-replacing-programmers debate is honestly kinda tired, on both sides. Its just not happening. It might be happening in the same way that pirated movies "steal" income from hollywood: maybe companies are expanding more slowly, because we're ramping up per-capita productivity because engineers are learning how to leverage it to enhance their own output (and its getting better and better). But, that's how every major tool and abstraction works. If we still had to write in assembly there'd be 30x the number of engineers out there than there are.

There's no mystical point where AI will get good enough to replace engineers, not because it won't continue getting better, but because the economic pie is continually growing, and as the AI Nexus Himself, Marc Andreesen, has said several times: Humanity has an infinite demand for code. If you can make engineers 10x more efficient, what will happen in most companies is: we don't want to cut engineering costs by N% and stagnate, we want 10x more code and growth. Maybe we hire fewer engineers going forward.

> But with the AI craze, companies aren’t investing in junior developers. Why train people when you can have a model spit out boilerplate?

This is not happening. Its fun, pithy reasoning that Good and Righteous White Knight Software Engineers can prescribe onto the Evil and Bad HR and Business Leadership people, but its just not, in any meaningful or broad sense, a narrative that you hear while hiring.

The reason why juniors are struggling to find work right now is literally just because the industry is in a down cycle. During down cycles, companies are going to prioritize stability, and seniority is stability. That's it.

When the market recovers, and as AI gets better and more prolific, I think there's a reality where juniors are actually a great ROI for companies, thanks to AI. They've been using it their whole career. They're cheaper. AI might be a productivity multiplier for all engineers; but it will definitely be a productivity normalizer for juniors; using it to check for mistakes, learn about libraries and frameworks faster, its such a great upleveling tool for juniors.
I still don't understand where Jetbrains is going with Fleet. Is it a platform to prototype ideas for their IDEs? Is their long-term goal to replace their IDEs with Fleet? Is it just a standalone product?

So far, it seems like they're very slowly recreating their IDEs from scratch in Fleet while continuing development on the IntelliJ Platform and related IDEs, doing twice as much work for nothing.
>Alas, I guess "big company vs plucky surgeon in social media spat" is a simple script that requires no work, we don't need to be curious about who the hero(ine) and the villain are.

spoken like someone who doesn't have a chronic illness requiring an expensive medication to be delivered every month for the rest of their life, who every year has to fight with the insurance company about the fact that multiple sclerosis does not go away and that the medication is still needed, and yet STILL has lapses in receiving the pre-approved and approved and re-approved treatment which causes new symptoms to occur and old ones to relapse while the bureaucrat at the insurance company who is incentivized to give you the runaround plays delay deny delay deny delay over the medication that has been effective for YEARS and will be needed indefinitely.

No, we really do not need to be curious about who the villain is. If UHC is worried about their image, maybe they should DO THE THING THEIR CUSTOMERS FUCKING PAY THEM TO DO
accounted for economic activity
Pterosaur bones could inspire the future of aerospace engineering
It is a shame the orange clown is doing everything he can to hide the accomplishments of Tuskegee Airmen. All this proves is how racist the clown is.

But I am sure once the clown is out of office the Tuskegee Airmen will be put back in a place of honor.
Advertisements have gone out of hand these days
yup. the good news is this should make interviewing easier; bad news is there'll be fewer qualified candidates.

the other thing, though, is that you and I know that LLMs can't write or debug operating systems, but the people who pay us and see LLMs writing prose and songs? hmm
Yeah, how do people have these in their hands already? Everywhere I look is sold out.
So, I use a lot of AI tools. I would say that baseline for 'coding agents' today to make it usable is that you need to recover from error messages and lints automatically. Once you can do that it will be a lot easier to use.
General SELV limit is 60V, that's why PoE is 54≈56V at the source (it's calculated at roughly 10% tolerance so it can be built cheaply.)
Yep.

The article says "The opposite of being bored is to be surprised".

RoR is the surprises and metaprogramming magic all the way down, with a culture that hates code comments like it's some sort of plague.

People here are using "boring" as a synonym for "I can make money with it".
Oof. You got me.
I doubt there is a single Fortune 50 company that doesn't use one (or more) of the top 3 clouds.

I mean, Netflix and Apple even use public clouds quite heavily.
Usually, this is not a problem for signing.