skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> the economic growth in front of us looks astonishing, and we can now imagine a world where we cure all diseases, have much more time to enjoy with our families, and can fully realize our creative potential.

I think this is extremely myopic to assume things like “have much more time to enjoy with our families” unless that time is because you’re unemployed. Every major technology over the past couple hundred years has been paired with such promises, and it’s never materialized. Only through unions did we get 8h days and weekends. Electricity, factory farming, etc has not made me work any less, even if I do different things than I would have 200 years ago.

I think it’s also odd to assume the only things preventing curing all disease is the lack of intelligence and scale. There are so many more factors that go into this, and into an already competitive landscape (biology) which is constantly evolving and changing. With every new technique innovated (eg CRISPR) and every new discovery (eg immunotherapy) proven, the directions of what’s possible changes. If AGI is thru LLMs as we know it (color me skeptical), they do not have the ability to absorb such new possibilities and change on a dime.

I could go on and on but this is just a random comment on the internet. I understand the original post is meant to achieve certain goals at a specific word length, but not diving into all of to see possibilities (including failure modes in his extraordinarily optimistic assumptions) is quite irresponsible if he is truly meant to be a leader for a bold new future.
I blog as if I'll have one reader: myself.
No, this is clearly not the same guy.

This is just someone who took Coristine's previous handle [0]. That post was made 1 day after the WIRED article revealing his handle. Lots of conspiracies around election stealing going round (and sadly, quite prevalent in some corners of Bluesky), don't fall for it!

[0]: https://www.wired.com/story/edward-coristine-tesla-sexy-path... - "He also *previously* used an account on X with the username @edwardbigballer"
You don't seem particularly interested in seeking the truth, so I wish you the best.
There are plant based alternatives too, which are derived from kelp.
Yeah, there is something wrong with it, actually. We have a monthly post for people who are hiring. Here is the latest: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42919502

Post there. Or, if you are just looking for freelance folks, post here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42919501
BBC Horizon – Could Machines Become Intelligent? (1970) [video]
There are genuine similarities between the current administrations actions and the actions taken by Hitler in 1933 in Germany that essentially ended their reign of democracy, and of course people are going to write about that and talk about that. Toss in Musk's loud and frequent support for far-right parties (including in Germany), and top it all off with a nazi salute on national television and you're bound to get a few comparisons.
If I smell self-marketing, it reduces your credibility to me.
EmuDeck is exactly the package I was referring to that is a pain in the ass to setup.
Can you prove that the appropriate clearance hasn't been granted? It actually appears to be the opposite.

Passing an audit of " you spent x at y" isn't the same as "why are we spending X at y". He's doing the later, surely you can agree with that.

As for you partisan hat dig, i'm in fact not. I don't lean or vote how you're implying. In this particular instance, I've seen the excess of fraud, waste, and abuse through multiple agencies and organizations first hand. I've seen the pallets of USAID cash that were handed out without regard. I've also seen the increased prices, the national debt rising, and the general glut of how our government operates. So yes, while I may disagree with the process, the fact is no one else has taken a legitimate attempt at solving this problem. So in that manner I support the cleanse.
> He cofounded paypal which is payment system. Presumably he knows about things like payment systems, fraud, etc...

No, he didn't. He founded x.com as a payment system which was substantially less popular then paypal. Due to a bunch of mergers of parent companies, x.com and paypal had to merge. Musk became CEO and the whole thing was later sold to ebay, he left and cashed out big. That whole timeline unfolded in just a couple of years.

So his actual experience is not that long. And besides that all unfolded in 1999. I have no idea what your age is but that was a different time and payment system knowledge from that time isn't worth that much nowadays.
I’ve touched on some of c++20, but haven’t used it extensively.

Specifically here are areas I haven’t used that appear to have nontrivial amounts of complexity, footguns, syntax and other things to be aware of:

* Ranges
* Modules
* Concepts
* Coroutines

Each of these is a large enough topic that it will involve time and effort to reach an equivalent level of competence and understanding that I have with other areas of c++.

I don’t mind investing time learning new things but with commentary around the web (and even this thread) calling the implementation and syntax a hot mess, at some point it’s a better investment to put that learning in to a language without all the same baggage.

I really wish c++ had gone with breaking change epochs for c++20.
Just as Persians, Syrians, Egyptians, etc. were "Arabized", in turn Turks and Mongols were "Persified".
Even pointing that out is kind of a distraction from the real issue: DOGE is currently an excellent demonstration that the distinction between authoritarian governments and megacorps is a mostly-artificial one, which can and will be blurred to irrelevance if doing so is convenient for the powers that be.
> There's of course no "way" to check, as it's a microarchitectural property. Your best bet is comparing performance of the same code on predictable vs unpredictable branches.

I was afraid the answer to my question would be that, but since my read of your previous comment “there's way to check whether it's implemented” seemed to suggest you knew a way I did not, I had my fingers crossed. At least, it had been either that you knew a trick I did not, or that a typo had deleted the word “no”.

> I don't think there's any need for x86 cores to try to handle this; it's just a waste of silicon for something doable in one instruction anyway (I'd imagine that additionally instruction fusion is a pretty hot path, especially with jumps involved; and you'll get into situations of conflicting fusions as currently cmp+jcc is fused, so there's the question of whether cmp+jcc+mov becomes (cmp+jcc)+mov or cmp+(jcc+mov), or if you have a massive three-instruction four-input(?) fusion).

Interestingly, the RISC-V guys seem to think that adding an explicit instruction is a waste of silicon while adding logic to detect the idiom to the instruction decoder is the way to go. x86 cores spend enormous amounts of silicon on situational tricks to make code run faster. I doubt spending silicon on one more trick would be terrible, especially since the a number of other tricks to extract more performance from things likely apply to even more obscure situations. As for what happens in the x86 core, the instruction decoder would presumably emit what it emits for the explicit version when it sees the implicit version. I have no idea what that is inside a x86 core. I suspect that there are some corner cases involving the mov instruction causing a fault to handle (as you would want the cpu to report that the mov triggered the fault, not the jmp), but it seems doable given that they already had to handle instruction faults in other cases of fusion.

Also, if either of us were sufficiently motivated, we might be able to get GCC to generate better code through a plugin that will detect the implicit cmov idiom and replace it with an explicit cmov:

https://gcc.gnu.org/onlinedocs/gccint/Plugins.html

A similar plugin likely could be written for LLVM:

https://llvm.org/docs/WritingAnLLVMNewPMPass.html#registerin...

Note that I have not confirmed whether their plugins are able to hook the compiler backend where they would need to hook to do this.

Of course, such plugins won’t do anything for all of the existing binaries that have the implicit idiom or any new binaries built without the plugins, but they could at least raise awareness of the issue. It is not a full solution since compilers don’t emit the implicit cmov idiom in all cases where a cmov would be beneficial, but it would at least address the cases where they do.
What is Good music though? That's the whole point. Plenty of people listen to stuff I would consider weird and non music, but to them it is.
Hyperbolic hit piece.

"the UK's Competitions and Markets Authority, an organisation charged with investigating and punishing tech monopolists (like Amazon) has just been turned over to Doug Gurr, the guy who used to run Amazon UK.

This is – incredibly – even worse than it sounds. Marcus Bokkerink, the outgoing head of the CMA, was amazing, and he had charge over the CMA's Digital Markets Unit, the largest, best-staffed technical body of any competition regulator, anywhere in the world. The DMU uses its investigatory powers to dig deep into complex monopolistic businesses like Amazon, and just last year, the DMU was given new enforcement powers that would let it custom-craft regulations to address tech monopolization (again, like Amazon's)."
This was a very insightful comment. Cheers!
I’m not sure anyone is convinced this will empower individuals. On the contrary: if we get this tech “right” enough, the inequality gap will become an inequality chasm… There is no financial incentive to pay humans when a machine is a fraction of the cost.
They weren’t doing human sacrifices at that time at least.
Strace can slow traced processes 400x worst case (2014)
I don't see how AI has anything to do with it. I have been running asahi Linux for more then a year with less issues then running a Dell XPS before that. I don't think calling it an intellectual exercise is fair here. These MacBooks are better Linux devices then a lot of laptops. With some hardware support still missing currently.
Yup. Gas boiler central heating with radiators.
How does someone even clean up this mess? One of the DOGE kids may have just cloned every repo and then connect the machine to public internet because they need to fed it to an AI to figure out how things work. We can only assume the worst and that foreign adversaries may already be combing the code line by line.

What will happen when PIIs of every individual with dealings with the Treasury gets leaked?

Then there is going to be thousands of hours of meetings to review various processes...
You can see from his blog archives (and this post) that the author is well aware of GC strategies other than mark-sweep including Cheney copying.

He has posted about conservative GC (contrary to your implication he has only implemented precise GC).

Maybe "forwarding pointers" is overloaded but given he has a post about a semispace collectors which uses something he refers to as forwarding pointers I don't see how he can be said not to know about it.

He also has posts referring to NaN-tagging and pointer tagging unless my memory betrays me.

https://wingolog.org/tags/garbage%20collection
This is how media has been hacked. When everyone is exaggerating that the sky is falling, we all tune it out, and then it's really hard to convey when the sky truly is falling... resulting in authorities that can get away with pretty much anything.
I wonder if this article is AI generated.

> Vocal Synthesis: This allows one to generate new audio that sounds like someone singing. One can write lyrics, as well as melody, and have the AI generate an audio that can match it. You could even specify how you want the voice to sound like. Google has also presented models capable of vocal synthesis, such as googlesingsong.

Google's singsong paper does the exact opposite. Given human vocals, it produces an musical accompaniment.
In terms of solutions: UBI is frequently proposed. Depending on the degree to which AI and automation obsoletes human labor and increases, UBI could become arbitrarily redistributive. Increased output would keep inflation at bay, and the reduced incentive to work would be mitigated by the fact that there almost wouldn't need to be any incentives remaining for wealth creation.

Such an AGI scenario might also raise some old questions about the degree to which wealth disparity-as-an-incentive-for-success remains useful and justifiable. One wonders how Altman would receive this proposal.
I find the concept of ad hoc audits of the executive branch, by the executive branch, terrifying. Especially when used to terminate congressionally-mandated programs.

I agree that we should lean into audits and responsibility. The good faith way to do that would be laws passed by congress and executed by the executive.

There is no possible spin that legitimizes current events. I would say we have a constitutional crisis, but it seems like the blitzkreig was successful and the constitution became irrelevant.
>A rough estimate of GDP per capita would put it at ~$20K if you adjust for purchasing power, less than $15K if you don't.

Is that spread across only working adults or does it include children? A better metric to examine might be per family, if you have it.
What's Inside the Worst EBike? Reevo Teardown [video]
I didn't suggest they were ever perfect, but as with search, they got to a point where they were pretty good before taking a rapid nosedive.
> sync.Pool is useful, but it solves a larger class of problems. If you are expected to deal with dynamically sized chunks of work, then you will want to allocate somewhere. sync.Pool gives you a place to reuse those allocations. C# ref structs don't seem to help here, since you can't have a dynamically sized ref struct, AFAIK. So, if you have a piece of code that can operate on N items, and if you need to allocate 2*N bytes of memory as a working set, then you won't be able to avoid allocating somewhere. That's what sync.Pool is for.

Ref structs (which really are just structs that can hold 'ref T' pointers) are only one feature of the type system among many which put C# in the same performance weight class as C/C++/Rust/Zig. And they do help. Unless significant changes happen to Go, it will remain disadvantaged against C# in writing this kind of code.
> OP's article is about children, yours is about adults.

Studies on biological causes of ASD are notorious for failing to replicate and reaching contradictory conclusions. It is just as likely that you’d reach the opposite conclusion with children too

Because “ASD” isn’t really a thing, it is a whole bunch of different things with different causes and different symptoms semi-arbitrarily squished together under the one label, simply because those symptoms have some overlap. And every research sample is a random mixture of these different underlying conditions, and two different samples are unlikely to have the same mix, which is why studies of the same thing with different samples (even defined on the same criteria) frequently produce opposite conclusions. “Heterogeneity” is the technical term for this
> It isn't particularly newsworthy.

I disagree. Krebsonsecurity has regularly delivered HN salient and interesting frontpage material, and this is currently the most flagged submission they've ever had on HN. We've discussed security assessments very similar to this in the past, even political ones, with technical curiosity and good faith discussion. The constraining factor is now people who unconditionally idolize Elon Musk. It's easy to see who's in the wrong when flagging relevant, well-written and objective reports like this one.

My personal view is that HN shouldn't promote political content at all. It should just be moderated out or flagged with no opportunity for recourse, whether it's Syrian independence or the invasion of Ukraine. But I abide by the exceptions made in HN's guidelines and consider this a technically imperative article that most can tune out if they dislike. It's very easy to see the title and decide for yourself whether you're comfortable reading and discussing the article.
I wonder if some misconception can have snuck in there somehow. GCC (which also has an Ada compiler) has its lowest level link libraries under GPL. But there's a link level exception. This is the same for C, C++, Ada, whatever languages GCC supports. (IIRC.)

(Edit: apparently it used to a problem as per sibling comment?)
> Anyway, AI/AGI will not yield economic liberation for the masses. We already produce more than enough for economic liberation all over the world, many times over. It hasn't happened.

In Marshall Sahlins's Stone Age Economics, he studies work time of hunter gatherer tribes in Africa, Papua New Guinea, the Amazon etc. They often less work less than 40 hours a week. The hunter gatherer painting in caves in Chauvet seemed to have leisure time. Less hours than some fresh college grad pounding out C++ or C# for Electronic Arts any how.

The past 50 years has seen the hourly wage stay flat while the profit workers create is sucked up by the heirs.

Paying for four years if college to get a CS degree, then studying Leetcode, interning, working cheap as an associate/junior used to be seen as a good path, but obviously since late 2022 this has stagnated for most.
Mercury is generally concentrated in the meat, not the fat. (It has an affinity for the thiol groups on certain amino acids in protein.) There's certainly other fat-soluble pollutants like PCBs to worry about, but I'd never heard of any fish oil products having significant mercury contamination. I'd love to see the info you've been looking at?
I agree especially given how logically Bach structures his contrapuntal stuff. I also took a class on counterpoint and the professor had the great idea of using Gradus Ad Parnassum as our textbook. Very rewarding class but there's far more approachable books on counterpoint these days!
https://x.com/natedog155/status/1886180417549545674?s=19

I think it is the same guy.
How is 1 false? Log improvement means for 10x the cost the model is 2x as good. For 100x the cost, the model is 3x as good.

Not a curve to be happy about TBH. You need to simultaneously find big efficiency wins and drive up costs substantially to get 4-5x improvements, and it is probably impossible to maintain good year on year improvements after the first 2-3 years when you get all the low hanging fruit.
If I could change two things about terminals it was thesd:

1. Make text editable with a cursor and mouse selection like in any other modern text application

2. Make use of the normal and expected text shortcuts for copy, cut, paste, select all etc. Make ESC *escape* the current program.

And I am a heavy terminal user who has no issues with how it currently is, but I also have to teach these things...

I am aware that such a change would probably be 1000 times more complex to pull off than most people would think, but every time I have to explain to beginners they can't edit the text I die a little inside.
It’s usually several projects they’re overseeing, so splitting time at different locations.

PS: I’m just guessing here. I have no clue how DOGE operates.
> The cost to use a given level of AI falls about 10x every 12 months, and lower prices lead to much more use. ... Moore’s law changed the world at 2x every 18 months; this is unbelievably stronger.

Moore waited at least five years [1] before deriving his law. On top of that, I don't think that it makes much sense to compare commercial pricing schemes to technical advancements.

[1] http://cva.stanford.edu/classes/cs99s/papers/moore-crammingm...
Discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42971446
I wonder who wrote this? Doesn't sound like Altman's voice.

I wonder who theorized this? Altman isn't known for having models about AGI.

To the actual theorist: Claiming in one paragraph that AI goes as log resources, and in the next paragraph that the resource costs drop by 10x per year, is a contradiction; the latter paragraph shows a dependence on algorithms that is nothing like "it's just the compute silly".
I think you'll find neither Musk nor Trump nor republicans will change this. In fact, expect the opposite. They will do nothing that threatens or weakens state power, now that they control that power.
Previously:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42970632

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42975816

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42959824

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42953869
Wave-function collapse also violates conservation of energy. (Unless you believe in Many-Worlds, that is.)
If you had a monopoly generating company and it failed then the power goes out even if the grid is up. It's just as important as the grid, but it's amenable to competition.

"Operating" the grid isn't the natural monopoly either. The natural monopoly is actually the physical space beneath the grid, i.e. the roads. If a storm knocks down a pole or some transmission lines need to be upgraded you could put out bids to any number of companies to come and do the work. If customers want to buy power from a generator, the grid is used to deliver it, but that doesn't mean the grid operator has to be an intermediary between the supplier and the customer instead of a vendor of the supplier paid to deliver power. It's not even obvious that they should be paying per kWh instead of funding distribution through taxes in the same way as the roads, since a well-functioning grid should never exceed peak capacity but using otherwise-idle transmission capacity has no variable cost.

And then what's the natural monopoly? Just physical ownership of the infrastructure, and some accountants to predict when demand is about to outstrip supply and bids should be put out to expand capacity.
I understand a perspective from someone on the outside that hasn't worked within these organazations. The reality is we're ripping a bandaid off and it will sting and we may need more treatment, but we have to see where the real wound is at.

It's also not a situation of where we are spending money, but why. I have yet to see any reporting that can defend the vast majority of spend in USAID let alone the other organizations. Further when you look at the disclosures of how much money is actually making it to the organizations vs overhead it's even worse.

This is painful and it will impact people, but as a country we have to fix the books. If it goes to far, come election time we elect the people we need to fix it. Ultimately this was something he campaigned on and it's something he's doing. Like it or not, it's been a pretty transparent process.
> We already produce more than enough for economic liberation all over the world, many times over. It hasn't happened. Why?

Because directing material resources towards that end requires a certain aggregate amount of willing/aligned general intelligence, which we simply don't have as a society. Failure after failure of socialist states demonstrate that human general intelligence is on average, uninterested in working towards the greater good. AGI won't have such limitations.

The blog post even addresses this: "the cost of intelligence and the cost of energy constrain a lot of things".

However, I actually do agree with you, but for a different reason. AGI is highly unlikely to yield economic liberation for the masses. Not because we won't have the intelligence capacity, but because the iota of people that will have their hands on the levers of power will in all likelyhood be uninterested in tending to the masses of now economically useless people.
"assume the sale" is the marketing tactic. ie, in every pitch, project that agi (whatever that means) is here, and is a persistent threat.

unfortunately, ai is not search or social. there are no network-effects here. so, get-big-fast is not going to work. and slowly the masses start waking up and asking what the hell is this good for except as a fancy auto-complete.
Relevant: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/10/sam-a...