skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I think it's just a terminology or definition problem then. I think when the average person talks about if the economy is doing good or bad they are mostly thinking about their own wallet and what they can buy etc and how much things cost compared to previously.

If things keep getting more expensive and they don't feel like they can afford as much as before, they might think that the economy must be doing bad if all these companies need to raise their prices so much just to survive or make a profit.

I think most people would associate things being cheap and plentiful as a good economy, and things being expensive and hard to get (out of stock, long lead times, etc) as a bad economy.
Satoshi embedded the day's newspaper headline in the genesis block, as proof that he did not ninja-mine in the beginning for himself.
Office 2003 is my preferred pick for productivity, I use it for all new documents - and best of all there's no ribbon.
There are plenty of scams in the cypto world, in fact mostly anything related to crypto is scam/speculation. But I believe there is also a quiet revolution.

As far as mainstream financial organizations/economists/experts etc. are concerned, they have really no clue on the underlying revolution and transformation that is secretly underway because of crypto. Either that, or it dawns on them that the status quo will be disrupted, and then have a very predictable outburst: cite every imaginable crime being preferentially enabled by crypto.
There’s a tremendous market for gambling disguised as something more intellectually and morally palatable.
NBA, NFL Subreddits Among Largest to Ban X After Elon Musk Controversial Salute
Very much so, most people have bought into the idea that education is lame and therefor do not apply themselves and let go of their abilities to do things like mathematics, even simple math in their head. Let a lone being able to discern statistical data.

Finances are kept in poor places, such as banks and bitcoin, the stock market instead of better investment strategies like Bonds and ETFs. This allows the rich to eat the poor. As financial knowledge decisions get branded as wall-street-only information, people do not bother to read the details. Even though many brokerage accounts have a $0 minimum with low risk of failure.

There has also been a big fall in literacy rates, again ensuring people cannot read the details.

Now we are stuck with pearl grippers and hysterics preaching absolute nonsense. Personally it has caused a rift between myself and my parents because they chose to hop on the bandwagon and spread lies. While I believe they are entitled to spread lies, I cannot back the incentive to do so.

I can however enable more like minded people who may be uneducated on topics to learn more about brokerage accounts for example, and help alleviate the stigma.
American perceptions of a lot of things seem to be based on whether "their" party is in power or not. When democrats are in power, republicans feel inflation is bad, democrats don't see a problem. As soon as a republican gets in power, republicans don't worry about inflation anymore but democrats do. Same for many other things.

It's a really bad state to be in. Real data doesn't matter anymore. It's all about what they are being fed by their favorite super biased media (Fox News or MSNBC and CNN come to mind).
That will indeed help with Windowed mode
> having to revert to classic x11 to play games, lol.

It would be more of a problem the other way around, if we had to resort to Wayland to get low latency. I think most of us using Linux for gaming and casual stuff are happy to stick to X11 for now and the foreseeable future. It has good support in software, its failure modes are well-documented, and it doesn't add one more layer to the pile of complexity that desktop linux already is; at least, not one us users have to consciously keep in mind as a common source of issues.
> Many states have laws preventing direct to customer selling

Ahh, land of the free
to the extent that executing transactions on a fully decentralized, trustless database or distributed computer is something people demand, and transaction fees must be paid in Bitcoin or Ethereum or Solana or whatever, cryptocurrencies do have some amount of actual use value, so are sort of like "commodities".

I believe this is a correct argument in theory. In practice, at the moment, everything is exclusively driven by speculation, and if you took the degenerate gambling out of the system, I don't know what would be left.

It's just gambling at all levels. There are legitimately "useful" services on blockchains, but the useful services they provide are mainly facilitating more gambling on stupid garbage coins. And even such useful "picks and shovels" services often still choose to make their own token for people to speculate on, because crypto people aren't interested in anything else. And then the L1 cryptocurrencies also have their prices driven by speculation.

there is a core of actual technical innovation, which is almost totally irrelevant to the phenomenon of "crypto" today. But there may be a future world where cryptocurrencies provide real value. In that world where all the true believers have their wildest dreams come true, the price of a cryptocurrency would be much higher than zero, but even then, it might be much lower than they are right now.
Also the cost of food, the impossibility of affording a home, etc. Not really just "perception" is it?
FWIW, I don’t think they left it out so much as haven’t spent the time to build it. It’s not like they’re pulling implementations off the shelf.
Makes you wonder if Vanguard will change their position if the new administration gives crypto any sort of US backing. So far it seems like the new admin has only been interested on the scam side of crypto though.
IBM tried to do that (asset tracking for marine shipping) with some rather neat technology.

It sank like Titanic. Nobody was interested in it, turns out that companies are fine with emailing each other Excel sheets.
I don’t really see how/why/etc Bitcoin would achieve that use case. If governments and financial institutions aren’t bag holders then they are extremely financially motivated to stop that from occurring, and afaik those groups aren’t holding huge Bitcoin reserves (maybe fidelity is, or at least was).
The MacOS copilot implementation is horrid. Takes up a significant amount of screen space just to offer a summary of the email. Cannot turn off. For whatever reason cannot be a simple button with pop up on click. It’s horrid.
As an instance admin I can only say that there was a steady stream of sign ups from robot-like accounts, until I required accounts to write a motivation for signing up and then got rid of maybe 80% of new account sign-ups.

So I'm only speculating that a lot of that 80% were automated sign-ups.

Why create a bunch of fake accounts on fediverse nodes? I don't know, maybe they're used as currency later, or manipulation if the platform takes off. Who knows. These are only my observations.
Unsure what exactly counts as "looks nice" but I'll often add an intentional delay to buttons whose actions are near instantaneous but not great to do multiple times so that you don't accidentally click it twice.
Since the F-14 is on this website again might as well re-link the "recently (2024)" declassified CPU info - https://hackaday.com/2024/01/30/the-worlds-first-microproces... || https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F-14_CADC
For most professionals Excel alone carries 99% of the worth of an O365 subscription.

I would give anything for a standalone, offline spreadsheet software as robust and powerful as Excel. Unfortunately, that doesn't exist.
Wasn't that AWS Quantum Ledger, which is closing down at the end of July?
I think the difference is that the US dollar is actually used regularly as a currency and has the power of a government (and in particular the world's most powerful government) working to make sure that it operates as a useful currency.

On the other hand Bitcoin doesn't seem to have significant use as a currency outside of crime. Meme coins are even worse in that they don't have any use at all other than speculation.
The difference is that I can create an infinite number of different block chains and or crypto coins.

I can restart forks of both bitcoin and Ethereum on my laptop at this moment. I can restart 10 forks each. Or 100.

I cannot do that with gold.
The argument is PRC models can use data corpus from both sides of the great fire wall, whereas US models can't, hence US models technically incapable of being unbiased, whereas PRC at least could be.
Have you ever had a domain name stolen? They're also gone forever in most cases. There is no standard recovery path once a domain leaves the hands of your registrar. You might as well be trying to reverse an international wire transfer.

ENS is not worse in this respect than DNS. The DNS solution is for your registrar to require 2FA to protect your name from being transferred out in the first place. The ENS solution is for your custodian to... require 2FA to protect your name from being transferred out in the first place.

The difference is that anyone has the option to custody their own domain name if they want to - entrusting a third party is not a necessity.

Edit: Additionally, ENS gives you the equivalent of DNSSEC for free. So no need for certificate authorities, which represent DNS' reliance on cryptographic keys that would be catstrophic if stolen anyways.
Being a store of value and a medium of exchange provides value by itself.
Isn't that the definition of a Ponzi scheme?
If you’re saying “blockchain, not crypto” in 2025, you need to revisit your research process
You're correct on all points. Some additional refining points regarding accounting concepts:

- General legers are formed by way of transactions recorded as journal entries. Journal entries are where two or more accounts from the general ledger are debited & credited such that total debits equals total credits. For example, a sale will involve a journal entry which debits cash or accounts receivable, and credits revenue.

- The concept of the debits always needing to equal credits is the most important and fundamental control in accounting. It's is the core idea around which all of double entry bookkeeping is built.

- temporally ordered Journal entries are what form a log from which a general ledger can be derived. That log of journal entries is append-only and immutable. If you make an mistake with a journal entry, you typically don't delete it, you just make another adjusting (i.e. correcting) entry.

Having a traditional background in accounting as a CPA, as a programmer I have written systems that are built around a log of temporally ordered transactions that can be used to construct state across time. To my colleagues that didn't have that background they found it interesting but very strange as an idea (led to a lot of really interesting discussions!). It was totally strange to me that they found it odd because it was the most comfortable & natural way for me to think about many problems.
You say this, but have you seen the quality of the drivers they produce on platforms they ostensibly support? You do not want vendor mouse/keyboard software on any platform. Instead, improve the USB class drivers so that you don’t need third-party drivers.
I take steps to minimize my tax liability but not life altering approaches like you are listing.

I live in a very nice place and have no interest in moving. My taxes are exorbitant but worth it to live here.
I know what you mean

Like back when all you had to do to get banned software to run on your school’s computer was rename the executable to notepad.exe - I’ll be damned if I didn’t feel like neo in the matrix at the time
OpenAI reasoning traces are actually summarized by another model.

The reason is that you can (as we are seeing happening now) “distill” the larger model reasoning into smaller models.

Had OpenAI shown full traces in o1 answers they would have been giving gold to competition.
> All money that has even been invested into Bitcoin + total cost of mining = all money that investors will ever get back

Don't you mean "All money that has even been invested into Bitcoin - total cost of mining = all money that investors will ever get back"

Cost of mining has left the system. "Investors" will never get it back.
Also now there on Windows
why is this site offering this for free? who are they? absolutely zero info
When I look at Argentina I still see boom-bust cycles that subside.

The most prominent crashes I can remember are in the late 90s/early 2000s and the current one.
Yeah. The reality is that we enter into very few zero trust transactions. I don’t need a blockchain to guarantee things when the law and contracts have handled that fine for a very long time.
On Having a Maximum Wealth
> I think part of the challenge is that, when we talk about crime, what do you mean by crime?

As I was processing the article, I was subconsciously asking this in my head. My first thought on whether I believe crime was going up was yes, but for me, it related more to the increase in public overdoses in my town. Naturally, I would assume if I see more overdoses, then more illicit drugs must be getting sold, and therefore crime must be going up. But this raises a lot of questions:

Are the same overdoses increasingly spilling out into the public?
Are the illicit drugs getting stronger and thus causing more overdoses?

Answering yes to either of these may mean the actual crime rate hasn't changed. Anyway, it was just a rabbit hole I went down in my head that I think speaks to what is being said here.
> with key-logging + copilot off

That assumes Microsoft allowing you to do so.
> expecting uber to continue allowing unlimited amount of drivers to be "online", when they have to pay for them is absurd.

The market they operate is of their own making, there is no "free market" argument to be made here. What's absurd is the mischaracterization of what their constructed market can provide to its participants, particularly when people are apparently randomly banned from participating it as they please.
I read this headline like it was a current event and was really concerned.
Or perhaps the well-documented left wing propaganda outlets have you convinced that the economy is good for everyone?
Hey, speculation <> investment is a spectrum, it's fine to not care about the full spectrum.

But let's not pretend (for example) that gold price reflects it's industrial value more than it's speculative value. The same can be said of venture backed tech companies (ie. Wework?) early in their public lives.
Yeah, seems like everything is much worse off but somehow a higher dose of neoliberalism will definitely fix things, just give it more time
A non-human that can eat and gossip and make babies? What is this something?
I don’t think I care to agree with you at all or your way of responding with obtuse “the reaction you are displaying here”, then backing away from it.

Someone who wants institutions where people can get such support is pushing a narrative. Okay. Good for you.
My work laptop as 64 gigs of RAM and the latest processor. It is admittedly the most high-spec work laptop I have ever used. Unfortunately it has Windows 11, which means it runs slower than a crappy Windows XP laptop from 2005.
Crimes way down in populated areas. EX: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_New_York_City#/media/... Note that’s absolute numbers not rates.

I know people who have noticed the massive reduction in crime inside cities, and still think it’s up overall. Part of the issue is news stories harp on bad news when rates are slightly higher than last year, but not when they drop so random noise ends up looking like a steady increase.
Render raises $80M in Series C financing
If you find a place, hit me up.

Very tired of the popular “productivity” suites, I moved my entire company to Googles last year (which was as painful as you can imagine) and now they’re springing Gemini on us, which is less terrible, but we’ll be paying for the pleasure.
So, do you agree Trump should step down after the next four years or not?

You should ask yourself this question now.

If you say yes he should step down, I hope you’ll be out in the streets if he doesn’t along with those liberals you so despise.

If you say no, you’ve already lost the republic once held so dear.
Very interesting.

Could be useful for pentesters.
Sigh. This is an important topic, probably not an HN topic but still it is important, and the topic isn't "perceptions of the economy and crime" is "ability to discern discourse from propaganda"

If you can make someone believe something, you can use that belief to get them to act against their own self interest. This isn't even a controversial thing for most people to understand. The canonical example that illustrates this was Jim Jones making his followers believe that their best choice was to kill themselves and their children by drinking cyanide laced Kool-aid.

This effect is weaponized through persuasive narratives being repeatedly presented. Once the belief is set, the narratives add in the action that is required next.

That the "media" is the primary tool of setting this narrative is, and always has been, the case. One of the reasons the very first amendment to the US constitution protected the right to a 'free press' was to explicitly allow the media to present narratives that were different than what the government wished to present. Further that they could do this without fear of reprisal.

The "media" has its own agendas and influences, we have a shortage of voices which are both independent and trusted. It is informative to watch the response by established media when such voices emerge.
I can't find the link, but I read a similar story about Tandem - removing parts in front of customers and it kept going.

The funny bit was that it was configured to dial-up to the Global Support Center, when something went wrong, so after all of these hardware fail/component removed errors happened, a technician was sent over with replacement parts that weren't needed.
It's not something Vanguard would do, but I'm wondering if there's a good way to trade on Bitcoin's volatility?

Matt Levine has written about how buying convertible bonds from Microstrategy is sort of doing this [1] but it seems complicated to do.

> This is the more practical meaning of hedging your stock-price risk. It means that every day the stock moves around and you rebalance your hedge. When the stock goes up, you sell some stock at high prices. When the stock goes down, you buy some stock at low prices. Hedging the convertible means buying stock low and selling it high.

...

> a convertible bond is a bet on volatility: The more the company’s stock bounces around, the more money convertible arbitrageurs can make.

[1] https://archive.is/S9kOi
I knew a guy who was high level RA player and he said that the high level game mostly revolved around 2 types of units: tanks and dogs - where you would send the dogs to bait out first shot and then your tanks to finish the job.

What Starcraft 1 does very well and what many other games cannot really emulate is the dynamics of units - that the battles can happen across the whole map - because few units are often still significant enough. There is obviously the whole "death ball" concept too - but Starcraft Brood War is full of mechanics that actually go against the death ball - for example siege tanks, or psionic storm that just annihilate clumped units. This never existed in Westwood games, what meant that most games were mostly just sitting in one place and building 50 tanks.

The whole "you can garrison marines in a building" thing in RA2 was nice.. but at the end again it was static defense.
"Hey, I know your granddad bought the family home with his job at the local grocer, and you need to saddle 100K in student debt just to have a shot of buying a home by the time you're 35, but don't be sad, SP500 is at an all-time high!"
More and more I think these types of problems come down to (a) smaller attention spans, married with (b) dimensionality reduction, and (c) advertising optimization techniques.

Meaning that as the content we consume becomes shorter, the motivation for its existence and the message it's trying to communicate has to get compressed. You have to reduce the contextual load, and rely on a set of unspecified assumptions. When I talk to you, the economy is X. When I talk to the mayor, the economy is Y. When I talk to a CEO, the economy is Z.

This gets deeply corrupted by advertising, imo. Since content is mostly made to sell stuff, there is a really strong pressure for that to be the main CTA you get from what you're watching: buy the thing/experience/status.

So, messaging gets shorter and shorter, and the people seeing the ads are all getting hyper targeted feeds. The main message is to buy something, but that's not what the ad actually says. It says whatever is short and sweet and releases pleasant brain chemicals. So now we have some proxy "vibes" which is what people are actually feeling, but have lost the ability to communicate due to this compression.

Seems natural to me that we will become unable to see things in a larger context. I could spend an entire day talking through the economy and how it works, but in the news all you will see is a question like: "is the economy in good or bad shape?".

This isn't enough detail to answer the question. But we also won't dedicate enough combined attention to have the larger conversation, so everyone is just annoyed that no one is hearing the same thing even when we all use the same words.

There's a lot of parallels to how AI works and this whole misaligned-on-purpose-to-make-advertisers-money system, but I haven't gotten the words yet. Maybe ChatGPT can help.
Deepseek,

I use Firefox on Linux. I can not scroll your TOS to see all of it.

This is at BEST bad web design. At worst, VERY SCUMMY.
Since we are hypothesizing, here is another hypothesis. Crypto, being non-government controlled, maybe be better than the hypothetic alternative: a government ledger, where the central planners decide which economic activity is "good" and which leads to de-banking, and where decisions are made by government-controlled AI. Then this p2p economic liberty is worth the investment.
Is it worse than apple intelligence butchering news summaries though?
But it's old and somewhat rusty so each segment sounds slightly differently, which can be exploited: https://milek7.pl/.stuff/splitflap_tune.mp4
That's not correct and also not what the article says. They are only talking about Excel and PowerPoint.

"We're working on adding the Enable Copilot checkbox to Excel, OneNote, and PowerPoint on Windows devices and to Excel and PowerPoint on Mac devices."

I am using Word on my Mac (version 16.93) and do have a checkbox that disables Copilot.
Guatemalan dev Rafael Cordon made a project called Simple Proof that leverages OpenTimestamps for election security.

It was used in the Guatemalan 2023 elections to timestamp tally sheets in different election districts around the country, so they can't be manipulated at a later time.
Signal is open source and ships with verified builds, so yes, we have a way to know what they actually collect.
Ironic to bring in partisan politics when the article was explicitly talking about how deluded things become when you go down that path.
Does it really matter if the value of something is 95% speculative or 100%? Loosing 95% of the value of your investment is not a lot different than 100%.
>Funny, maybe OpenAI will achieve their initial stated goals of propelling AI research, spend investors money and be none profit. Functionally the same as their non-profit origins.

Serves them right!!! This hopefully will give any non-profit pulling an OpenAI in going for-profit a second thought!!!! If you wanna go for-profit it is fine, just say it! Don't get the good will of community going and then do a bait and switch.
EDIT: (too late to edit above)

s/logic programming/relational programming/

it isn't as expressive as LP or CLP and works best embedded in a functional-biased language