skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> If Nvidia lost its AI dominance, where would its stock be?

Around the AMD (200bn) / Intel levels (100bn) which is a ~90% reduction in share price from todays close.
At least the controller firmware!
Soil health is a great example!

I've been working on a monologue about reductivism vs reductionism and it reminds me of Doug Hofstader setting up a dialectic between reductionism and holism with the problem that you can't say holism has the same presence that reductionism has.

But soil health really is a place where holism reigns, thanks for reminding me!
Once powerful AI is fully available as Open Source (like what DeepSeek hopefully just proved can be done) then there will be uncensored AIs which will tell the truth about all things; rather than lying to push whatever propaganda narrative it's creators wanted it to.
That's not circular. They are citing sources. The evidence is the direct experience of the sources.

If you don't believe them, that's a different objection.

And glitch policies are policies if they're getting enforced.
The part I quoted? I don't really see how to interpret it any other way.
Which phone is this? I recently got a Unihertz Jelly Star 2 as it was the only decent "small Android" option I found while researching.
A big part of what kubernetes provides is a standard interface. When your infra guy gets hit by a bus, someone else (like a contractor) can plug in blindly and at least grasp the system in a day or two.
I recently went from 60 to 144, also on a 4k (27") monitor, and to me too it has been a very noticeable upgrade. No tearing of any kind when dragging windows around, and scrolling feels buttery smooth.
I am extremely excited for this. It would be amazing if it had wireless charging so it was completely sealed. The battery life on my Pebble was amazing, the customization was great, and I really hope this new iteration works well with iOS to deliver notifications. NFC for unlocking things would be a bonus too of course. But no matter what, I am very excited especially since the OS will be open source.
I didn't say too tall, I just said tall.
Packages with >= 20GiB bandwidth == 47 packages totaling 2,536,902.81 GiB/week.

Less than 1% of top 5000 packages took 53% of the bandwidth.

5% would be about 127 TiB (rounded up).
I think so.

Junior devs can get plenty of value out of them too, if they have discipline in how they use them - as a learning tool, not as a replacement for thinking about projects.

Senior devs can get SO much more power from these things, because they can lean on many years of experience to help them evaluate if the tool is producing useful results - and to help them prompt it in the most effective way possible.

A junior engineer might not have the conceptual knowledge or vocabulary to say things like "write tests for this using pytest, include a fixture that starts the development server once before running all of the tests against it".
All other things being equal, less demand means lower profits. Even if demand still outstrips supply, it's still less demand expected than a month ago.
Oh, I guess you would need something like dynamic imports to not include uncommonly used functionality in the main bundle
This is great news. In the last few years, I have upgraded my apple watch couple of times hoping to accept even marginal improvements to battery life and hackability but every time I stop using it seeing how it's still not what I am looking for.

I tried keeping my pebble alive for so long even after it's demise, I bought 2 Pebble Time when a few were still available on ebay.

I remember writing my first integration from scratch to control room lamp using my Pebble watch. I hacked it together by getting a wifi socket and programming a web-server hosted on my raspberry-pi.

Here is the DEMO video I made 8 years ago: https://vikashbajaj.com/pebble.mp4

My pebble watch would call an app on my phone, in turn the app would make a request to the webserver and the webserver would then make a query to the wifi socket to toggle it.

It lagged a bit but it got the job done. I could connect anything to these wifi sockets and control any appliance with my Pebble time. This was before hackable smart hubs were a thing.
It’s not just about features but also a uniform and intuitive GUI across all apps and the OS.
> Once powerful AI is fully available as Open Source (like what DeepSeek hopefully just proved can be done) then there will be uncensored AIs which will tell the truth about all things

No, there won't, because there isn't an uncensored, fully-accurate, unbiased dataset of the truth about all things to train them on.

Nor is there an non-censoring, unbiased, fully-accurate set of people to assemble such a dataset, so not only does it not exist, but there is very good reason to think it will not exist (on top of the information-storage problem that such a datatset would be unwieldly in size, to the extent that you couldn't have both the dataset and the system you were trying to train on it in the universe at once, if you take “all things” literally.)
So you would say typing speed matters?
Exactly.

Also, what he’s saying is if 500/4 =125B were NVDA yearly profits (and of course really that would just be revenue, not profit), it’d still mean NVDA should be more like 1875B market cap at a more reasonable 15x price to earnings ratio. If I understand the previous poster correctly.
> the best workers will still be in China

This is quite an assumption.

But the majority of the AI R&D may be in China, with a high barrier for participation for outsiders, leading to an increasing gap. Whether this is so is not obvious.
I don't think it's anything so interesting. The FM band starts at the round number of 88.0 MHz and ends at 108.0 MHz. To divide that evenly into 200 kHz channels without bleeding over the ends of the band, they have to be centered at the odd decimal points.
Interesting. It would be great if they could open source that too. I would love me some fully hackable smartwatch hardware!
Reasoning models like o1 or QwQ absolutely destroy 4o in coding, let alone GPT-4 circa 2022.
A tool that can "write up a dopey SAAS in half the time it would take a human to do" is a pretty incredible thing to add to your toolbox!
Nope, companies always do what's in their "self interest", whereas the Open Source community is concerned with improving the human condition for all. This applies especially to AI/LLM censorship vs freedom.
I had the Instinct Solar. Not sure if it counts as "fancy", but it certainly was not reliable!
The author's advice to do as little as possible will ensure a self-fulfilling prophecy.

In every company I've worked for, everyone knew who the "little as possible" workers were. They were not respected by their coworkers. When people left to do startups, those people were not invited. When layoffs came to town, those people were the first to go.

If you're confident in your abilities, use the layoff as the kick in the butt needed to found your own startup. Invite the high performers at the previous workplace. (I've known people who did this, and would relate to me much later how the layoff was the best thing that happened to their career.)
As long as I can turn it off. Simplicity and battery life is what appeals to me with the Pebble.
I literally just bought a LTE watch because I hate phones, I never use mine, and I keep forgetting it anyway. I'd rather have a watch with an eSIM
It's a good long term strategy. Releasing step A you developed, so you can see where others can go with it and adjusting your process of development of step B and C accordingly. Complete opposite of what OpenAI is doing, basically trying to squeeze step A short-term before others catch up and trying to develop step B with only limited experience you can gather yourself, in-house, from step A.
> Twitter was gaining trust

It's interesting how our perception of this can be so different. From my viewpoint, Twitter had completely lost all trust by actively silencing people they disagreed with. This got particularly bad around covid. I am not much of a Twitter/X user, but at least people aren't being silenced on a massive scale anymore.
The vast majority of the world’s population falls into this category:

If you vote for someone who tells you they can make something cheaper they can’t actually make cheaper, and you don’t understand the how and the why, you are not a smart voter.

Your premise is wrong. There are lots of smart people who make dumb, emotionally based decisions in voting and other aspects of life.

…. in a short period of time?

?

What wand would government wave to make food prices decline in a short period of time? Cattle herds are at the lowest level in 73 years due to costs related to climate change (which influences beef prices), and the government isn’t going to mandate vaccination for poultry to stem Avian flu contagion

The discussion was about oligopolies and their pricing power. Now you are changing the topic by talking about things that don’t have to do with oligopolies and their pricing power.

I suggest you are not in a position to call other voters dumb.
I really don't think he's a bad guy. He helped accelerate timelines and backed this tech when it was still a dream. Maybe he's not the brains behind it but he's been the brawn, and I think people should try to be more charitable and gracious about him rather than constantly vilify him.
Yes, and we are not talking about data like name, age, email, SSN, IP address, etc.

Its more like a search history - people share intimate details of their lives with AI apps, making targeting the user with propaganda much more accurate and effective.
There are plenty of options that are realtime-capable.
I released a free watch face for the FitBit Versa (pre-Google) which emulated a Casio-style LCD. I can't remember the name, but you can get paid ones which look decent:

https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.azya.fitbi...
You can train a supervised model, taking into account the properties of the rater as well as the artwork, and tease out the factors that make it rated so.
go.mod and the golang tooling is a horror show. I absolutely LOVE the language, but dealing with the tooling is horrendous. I should blog about the specifics, but if you want a short version:

* not using posix args

* obscure incantations to run tests

* go.mod tooling is completely non-deterministic and hard to use, they should have just left the old-style vendor/ alone (which worked perfectly) and wrapped a git-submodules front-end on top for everyone who was afraid of submodules. Instead they reinvented this arcane new ecosystem.

If you want to rewrite the golang tooling, I'll consult on this for free.
lol yea
Thank you for the link to PBS. The article makes it clear that the government didn't actually order anything, and that Meta was free to agree or disagree. It also is worth noting that Zuckerberg himself is a motivated actor, who might be presenting a spin on facts favorable to his audience.

> "trying to achieve", "far-right website", pretending "basic standard of human decency" have anything to do with an editorial policy I doubt you could quote. Just no.

Well obviously the most heinous bits aren't publicly available. But I do know how that site routinely treats people like myself.

edit: this bit is quite funny:

> “I know that some people believe this work benefited one party over the other” despite analyses showing otherwise, he said. “My goal is to be neutral and not play a role one way or another – or to even appear to be playing a role. So I don’t plan on making a similar contribution this cycle.”

And yet he made a tremendous in-kind contribution by selectively relaxing speech standards, in a way that clearly favors one political tendency.
That's somewhere that the AI-as-junior-dev analogy breaks down a little.

There's still incredible accumulated value here, but it's at the other end. The more times you successfully use an LLM to produce working code, the more you learn about how to use them - what they're good at, what they're bad at, how to effectively prompt them.
Redirects to Pixel watch for Android user agents.
The Stargate project does not actual exist. It is just something they completely made up by lumping together data center investments from across the industry and rounded up to the nearest $500B
Complete Reason Why Llama Is Not Open Source
I'm developing an intuition to how and what to ask in order for the LLM's answer to be helpful. Once you start spinning your wheels, clear context, copy what you need, and start over.
Although there’s the Jevon’s Paradox possibility that more efficient AI will drive even more demand for AI chips because more uses will be found for them. But possibly not super high end NVDA chips but instead little Apple iPhone AI cores or smartwatch AI cores, etc.

Although not all commodities will work like fossil fuels did in Jevon’s Paradox. It could be the case that demand for AI doesn’t grow fast enough to keep demand for chips as high as it was, as efficiency improves.
Yep. I think a default state of skepticism is an absolute necessity when working with these tools.

I love LLMs. I agree with OP them expanding my hobby capacity as well. But I am constantly saying (in effect) “you sure…?” and tend to have a pretty good bs meter.

I’m still working to get my partner to that stage. They’re a little too happy to accept an answer without pushback or skepticism.

I think being ‘eager to accept an answer’ is the default mode of most people anyway. These tools are likely enabling faster disinformation consumption for the unaware.
More demand for what, chatbots? ai slop? buggy code?
Same answer as this person.

Snoozing alarms and music controls without even looking at the watch (e.g. while in bed, or while walking/snowboarding/etc.) were really neat.

And it kinda begs a question of how much should one want from a device. What is 'enough' so that one doesn't get emotionally attached to it being so expensive it alters behavior with it?

I lost my pebble se after jogging one day, and haven't purchased another one yet (many were too heavy, big, or feature-laden at a much higher price). I sold my original pebble to a bus driver who happened to already have one and presumably just liked having a cheap simple smartwatch for handling notifications and alarms.
Looks interesting. A few friendly notes, if I may…
Almost all links from your page don’t work :-(
I can’t read the launch article, support, terms, privacy all lead to a 404.
What are credits and how are they used? Nice of you to have a free tier, but what does it mean in sense of lessons? In the video it explains that 1 credit = 1 lesson.
To anyone else who's puzzled by how this could be possible to beat - after fighting an enemy, you need to click the square _again_ to collect the diamonds ("XP", I guess?) to allow you to level up.
And those are M2 Ultras. M4 Ultra is about to drop in the next few weeks/months, and I'm guessing it might have higher RAM configs, so you can probably run the same 680b on two of those beasts.

The higher performing chips, with one less interconnect, is going to give you significantly higher t/s.
Eye of the beholder. There's a ton of Windows folks that use docker and wouldn't have been exposed to ls before. If they used a command line at all, they're using dir on dos.

Granted, The linux subsystem stuff has expanded it's scope, but there's a few folks I know that have never touched linux and are using docker to run stuff.
Kali has actually used a non-root user as default for a while now.

Anyways, if you don't run `sudo -s` as your first command in a shell - are you really hacking?
Maybe you don't need a $5,000,000 car to build a charitable foundation.
It's said the AI war is a war between Chinese, be it US or China, be it hardware and software.

If that's true, normally, mainland will win, as the people over that side have more grit, are more eager to succeed, are working at 996 schedule, and have nothing to lose. They're hard to stop as long as their government will not interfere.
The scale is explained in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_wire_gauge
I agree. But even as recently as last year almost half of Americans still believed dropping the nuclear bombs was justified, with half of these people being convinced that using them on cities was the best thing to do [0].

[0] https://thebulletin.org/2024/08/what-do-americans-really-thi...
R1's inference costs are in the same ballpark as Llama 3 and every other similar model in its class. People are just reading and repeating "it is cheap!!" ad nauseam without any actual data to back it up.
Precision: Of course, I meant "FOR" and "IF THEN ELSE" separately (the way I wrote it might wrongly suggest there is something like for-then-else).
I had different agents play 'The Password Game'
"People disagree with the premise that they are useful tools given their current capabilities."

I will argue the opposite of that forever. They're very evidently useful, if you take the time to learn how to apply them.
The "illustrated"... He needs to read up on Tufte or Bret Victor or something, these are just diagrams with text inside of boxes.
Actual investor here... The other advice I see is baloney.

You get 50%. Your partner gets 50%. If and when you actually leave, then you renegotiate based on actual future contributions of each of you, maybe let your partner increase another 10-20% over time.

Avoid VC money like the plague...
This is the trouble with automation. It's clear this isn't a malicious post, it just matched some keywords their moderation bot identified as such.

I think a lot of the censorship problems would be resolved if they just shut the bots off and relied on user flagging. Does that require a lot more people? Sure. But the long-run result would be far more people would use and trust these networks (covering the revenue of hiring moderators). I know I'd be a lot happier if there was a thinking human deciding my fate than a random script that only a few people know the inner-workings of.

As-is, it seems like a lot of these social networks are just shooting themselves in the foot just to avoid costs and get a false sense of control over the problem.
Always-on screen, 7 days of battery life, notifications on wrist, optional custom watchfaces and apps, $149. We had it in 2013 and we want it back.
4-bit quant is generally kinda low, right?

I wonder how badly this quant affects the output on DeepSeek?
Eric going for the Steve Jobs speedrun. Risky but interesting to see how it plays out!
What's being described here is sometimes known as a "plus one" strategy, where a company maintains an alternate (hopefully non- tariff'ed) route to sell to some portion of its potential customers. In this particular case, "China plus one".

That said, I think calling all potential tariff policies "a waste of time" because of it is far too sweeping.
Seems like it's fair to assume, both canines and humans are highly adaptable, and we behave the way we need to in the environment we're in. My dog has never shown me anything except love and compassion, and that gets him the best living conditions, back scratches and the tastiest food.
> but at least people aren't being silenced on a massive scale anymore.

This simply isn't true.
I don't think it makes sense to be that cynical about a company opening their research and powerful technology to the public. The only underhanded thing they could be doing is lying, and it doesn't look like they are - but if they are, we'll know soon enough.

If the goal is to erode the moat around powerful US tech companies, by making tech that rivals theirs and releasing it to the public, it's just good for the world. The only way it isn't is if you believe that power should remain in the hands of certain elites.
> junior dev faking competence

A bit on a tangent, but has there been any discussion of how junior devs in the future are ever going to get past that stage and become senior dev calibre if companies can replace the junior devs with AIs? Or is the thinking we'll be fine until all the current senior devs die off and by then AI will be able to replace them too so we won't need anyone?

1. CS/Eng degree
2. ???
3. Senior dev!
I have not, but Jay has created a ton of value and knowledge for free and don't fault him for throwing an ad for his book / trying to benefit a bit financially.
> But who's the baddies now?

Russia is currently invading Europe, to the tune of hundreds of thousands KIA. And Russia's invasion would be dead in the water without Chinese support.
I thought about this in the case where someone scratches their media. They own the IP, remember? All publishers should have been required to replace damaged media for the material cost plus shipping.
No way! hahaha that's amazing. I love the internet. I remember waking up the next morning to like 120 downloads, totally unexpected.
Free software could reach parity with commercial software if commercial software gets degraded by ceaseless nagging about unwanted AI features.

At work Slack is nagging me to nag my IT staff to subscribe to their unwanted AI features, but we have a top-down policy that we need a contract with any AI vendors to respect privacy... I wonder if IT can turn off the nagging without buying...

I think the AI in Photoshop is useful, but I sure am sick of hearing about AI features in Acrobat, particularly when they are a hassle to dismiss on mobile devices, where I just want to read a frickin' PDF.
Well so far the paradigm is for powerful silicone that only Nvidia could deliver - so they could charge high margins.

Theoretically they could be on top if the paradigm changes to big volume slower and lower margin one. But there may be another winner.
Whoa, amazing! I still have my OG Pebble and its RMA'ed replacement in the shelf behind me! I've always hoped for a smartwatch that comes close to it, but nothing has. This is the most awesome news! <3
but you forgot the 80B from MSFT and 60B from META in 2025 alone? I assume quite a chunk of that investment will be going to NVDA.

Stargate wise, it's a joke, they have no money for their lip service.
The ones I work with are very good :)
What does marking a square with different numbers (or an X) mean?
Not sure we have anything resembling honey tho. The Matrix's pretense that our imagination was good apparently never thought of AI hallucination...
Most packages don‘t publish every CI build. Some packages, such as Typescript, publish a nightly build once a day. Even then a longer compression time dosen‘t seem too bad.
(author here) I compared it to the A75 on the Snapdragon 670, not the 845. I chose that comparison because I have a Pixel 3a (my previous daily driver cell phone), and that's the only A75 core I had access to.
Miniature Reactors Could Supply U.S. Bases with Unlimited Fuel
if somehow two Western European countries ended up at war with each other in this era, POWs would be almost certainly be afforded better respect than ever.

I feel like it's more about the relationship between the two countries than it is the era. the royal family of Britain is and was quite German, and the Nazis believed that the English were part of the Aryan race.
Jevons paradox doesn't really suggest anything by itself. Jevons paradox is something that occurs in some instances of increased efficiency, but not all. I suppose the important question here is "What is the price elasticity of demand of inference?"
that's a Milchmädchenrechnung. if it turns out that you can achieve status quo with 1% of the expected effort then that just mean you can achieve approximately 10 times the status quo (assuming O(exp)) with the established budget! and this race is a race to the sky (as opposed to the bottom) ... he who reaches AGI first takes the cake, buddy.
Llama.vscode and llama.vim look promising.
I suggest you don't understand the problem besides "oligopolies are the culprit," which is not supported by the evidence. Ag consolidation is a factor, but not the sole factor, nor one this administration will take action on. The supply side will remain unresolved, and the voter will remain angry and upset about it.