skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Don't let perfect be the enemy of good. No country avoided it entirely, but a lot of them managed to get rid of at least half the deaths (keep in mind that that's with still with individuals people being rebellious), sometimes more.

Excess mortality per capita is the useful number to look at, since it's immune to scaling problems and the "but diagnosis!" argument. Although it may include "too scared to go to the doctor", that can't be too much of a contribution since that contribution shouldn't spike so much. Let's look at some numbers, smearing the spikes:

* in 2020-2021, South Korea's and Japan's excess death rate hovers below 5%

* in 2020-2021, Canada's, France's, and Germany's excess death rate hovers around 10%

* in 2020-2021, the US's excess death rate hovers around 20%

* in 2020-2021, Spain and the UK have spikes so high (but narrow) that I'm not even going to try to average it out. I would guess they're somewhere near the US for 2020 but better in 2021.

* in 2022, South Korea finally had a bad spike, but averaged over the year it's still only maybe 20%.

* in 2022, in almost all countries it hovers around 10%, and the timing of the swings is very similar between countries

* in 2023, in all countries it hovers around 5%

Source: first chart of https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid ; I've done the calculus by eye with rounding since I don't want to look up billions of numbers to do the math the hard way.

(Frankly, Korea and Japan did even better than these numbers say, since their population is skewed elderly in the first place)
I am aware that SearxNG has chosen to remove the engine; hopefully, a mutually beneficial agreement can be reached.
In this case, yes, because people at the extreme lower end often do not survive past childhood.
almost quarter of Nvidia chips go to Singapore even still, most of which find their way into China..
> The article actually says the race is at a dead heat and LLM training for the same competency is getting cheaper, not that it's "over".

Odd, that's exactly what I interpreted the title to mean. "Supremacy" means one side has a total and insurmountable lead and control. That's how lots of China hawks in the West talk about it, arguing that they must do everything to stop China from building their own ChatGPT. The article is a pretty good summary of why no one side will achieve supremacy. And if you have been following Gary Marcus, he's been arguing this for a while now.
If it only cost $5.5 million for DeepSeek to create R1, what’s stopping OpenAI from building on their open research to create something even better for $500 million?

Everyone keeps talking about diminishing returns in training and plateaus in reasoning ability but it seems to me that’s exactly what R1 demonstrates with a 100x reduction in training costs: there is a long way to go and loads of low hanging fruit.
So arrest the one FSB/GRU guy on board. Shouldn't be hard to find them.
Correction: while they helpfully wake you up in the middle of your redeye to tell you about a new exciting credit card offer only available to you in flight
Winamp was great and there's nothing better now. Office 2003 was feature complete IMO.
There's still many more ideas to test and fuel to burn before declaring any outcome in the AI wars.

For more substantial content, check out:

The impact of competition and DeepSeek on Nvidia

https://youtubetranscriptoptimizer.com/blog/05_the_short_cas...

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42822162 (70 comments)
Majoritarian democratic systems require group coordination to achieve desires outcomes. Political parties are just a vehicle for doing that. If you care about outcomes, you should have some party identity, because that facilitates compromising less important goals for more important ones to achieve a coalition that can carry a majority.

I agree parties shouldn’t be so ideologically rigid, and for the most part they aren’t. Jamie Dimon and AOC are both in the same party, as are Marco Rubio and Tulsi Gabbard. People who refuse to work within a party unless the party agrees on every issue are simply not interested in outcomes. That’s fine too!
I can show multiple videos up to the end of Feb 2020 where Anthony Fauci said this wasn’t something to be too worried about, it was going to probably remain under control…
That and the fact that it will brick my $600 HP Reverb G2 headset are two reasons that I will never ever “upgrade” to Win11.
where is the recent essay?
Is it still a one-man operation? They used to have a blurb about that on their website, but I cannot find it anymore.

The bus-factor of one was probably the main reason I did not choose them when I de-googled myself during Google's fiasco with their "free forever" Legacy GSuite termination. I found out a year or two later that they had rescinded their termination, but it was too late. I had migrated out of Google, to my relief.
Mach really isn't an appropriate unit here as it is highly depended on altitude and atmospheric conditions.
The public doesn't know what events happened if they don't make it to trial or some other public forum. An arrest record unfortunately can't distinguish between events put behind and those that never happened. A presumption of innocence barring further evidence is not an unreasonable approach.
> the P-cores of Alder Lake will continue to support any instruction subset that had been supported by Rocket Lake and Tiger Lake and Ice Lake and Cannon Lake

Wait. I thought the article says only Tiger Lake supports the vp2intersect instruction. Is that not true then?
You also get the complementary full body check for any unusual protrusions before flight, if you ask for it.
Less than 31% of people voted for this administration. So no, it isn't.
Ever exercise to exhaustion? Not much like a job interview but it might help.
Nice. I'd try to avoid the puzzles with only two options, in (most?) of them it's obvious hat yu must pick the small object and drag it into the big one. Like

[chair] [room]

It make sense to move to chair into the room, bot not in the other direction.
Just release an AI agent that replaces lawyers.
They're not faster in any absolute sense, look at the wing sweep angle of new vs old jets or the fact that early low bypass ratio jets have a much higher exhaust velocity, the old jets are marginally faster by every metric.
As long as the amounts are small, and from a variety of cards, no normal (real) card processor is going to notice/care. Cannot speak for Stripe.
Isn’t Deepseek’s advantage that they didn’t actually start from scratch and that embeddings & training was already supplied? To say that Deepseek is comparable in performance to OpenAI is like saying Kirkland brands is comparable to {insert non white labeled good here}- they’re created off the same inputs. To say that Deepseek is a threat to AI supremacy is hyperbolic. As long as OpenAI innovates at the rate that it’s been innovating, their value is undeniable. Sure, Deepseek may tick after OpenAI’s tock, but the premium is in that tock.
I was fortunate to travel in one of these, back in 1996 - London to New York.

(BA was offering some sweet deals to staff at partner airlines, at about 10% of retail pricing.)

At the time there was no expectation that we'd regress, though had I been more generally aware I'd have noticed the lack of next-gen SST R&D during Concorde's operational lifetime.

I recall they flew one out to Sydney Australia in the mid 1980's, but I think appetite was quite low, probably from both regulators and small market size -- despite the obvious appeal (it's about 24h flight time still in conventional commercial passenger jets, to get to the antipodes).
Looking at the market, I think we can all agree where Microsoft is heading:

The XBOX COPILOT, the new handheld PC powered by AI!
A sitting president profiting off the presidency is a hall mark of a corrupt state. Doing it so openly suggests there's nothing stopping from doing so in much subtler ways too.
Sweden opens sabotage probe into Baltic undersea cable damage
I have used this for several years and have had few issues. When I needed support for something (which was my fault) I received a response within a couple of hours.
In grand scheme of things, I still think it doesn’t matter. “American AI labs are years ahead” illusion is being challenged right now. If it’s even 80% as good, and x30 cheaper, you’ll have a very simple choice when you’re making a product. And unlike EVs, this isn’t that easy to just import control.
Except due to greatly reduced efficiencies it's more like 500% more.
I hate to be that guy. But this seems like the perfect use case for an LLM. First put content through your script and then through a decently prompted LLM. Anything it catches, put in a queue for manual review.
> you can't extract a few tenths of a cent every time someone engages their brain

Don't give the startups any ideas
You can read the MMWR reports, the OP linked to them: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/index.html

The ones that were published in the weeks prior to the current administration weren't talking about the Kansas tuberculosis outbreak either.

So we're not really discussing the "US federal government department agency publishing (or not) data on that outbreak." Someone's implying that's what happened, and then people are spinning off into political discussions without even looking into the link they provided to see if that was actually the case.

It's not just going off topic to discuss politics. People are actively spreading misinformation to justify going off topic to discuss politics, and lots of other people are joining in without bothering to check if what was claimed is actually true. Two-thirds of the comments now are using the claims about the MMWR to discuss politics, and it doesn't look like anyone actually looked at the MMWR to see what it actually is.
officially its a 4 player only game, at least at the tournament. I never do it this way myself though
> Is this not practically speaking just the common-sense norm before launching your live product? Did everyone else know this and I'm just a moron?

I can’t help you because I’m not familiar with this area. But I just wanted to say that what you’re describing seems very much like common sense to me, and it would seem crazy to me that someone would be placed on an industry wide blacklist for it.

I’m also surprised to hear of this industry wide blacklist. That type of collusion feels like it could easily be abused.
Ask HN: Experiences promoting corporate propaganda in your job?
Hi HN, we always hear about discreet government propaganda divisions, but I want to know about the corporate ones, which are probably as if not more effective and widespread as they are a big part of our lives, especially given the world we are fast heading into. Thanks.
Your emails aren't being anaylyzed to create a profile about for being used for targeted ads.
It wasn't a likely murder. Navalny was never a serious contender against Putin (who is wildly popular because of his reduction in corruption and crime, as well as steps to nationalizing some industries), and he was a CIA asset. Even the head of Ukrainian Intelligence said they didn't believe he was murdered. All of that western media hysteria was a total psyop.
No, try again. Not correct in any way.
It seems like it should be possible to do the X async method without tearing.

When updating the cursor position, check if line being output overlaps with the cursor. If it isn't, it's safe to update the hardware cursor immediately, without tearing. Otherwise, defer updating the cursor until later (vblank would work) to avoid tearing.

Of course, this assumes it's possible to read what row of the frame buffer is being displayed. I think most hardware would support it, but I could see driver support being poorly tested, or possibly even missing entirely from Linux's video APIs.
Agree, nobody (at least not I) is suggesting the former
And in practice, it means CVSS is only really meaningful on software which exists as a complete system, like a web application or a device - questions like "is user interaction required to exploit this vulnerability" are usually unanswerable for individual software components.
Dog isn’t a legal entity.
This was the US working in China, with the government’s permission. It was an international task force that was operated by the US govt.

Also, if look up biological weapons research papers from Wuhan, you’ll find that many were done in collaboration with the US, and with US funding.
I think Apple stumbled into a problem here, and I hope they solve it: reasonably priced Macs are -- by the new standards set by modern LLMs -- severely memory-constrained. MacBook Airs max out at 24GB. MacBook Pros go to 32GB for $2200, 48GB for something like $2800, and to get to 128GB requires shelling out over $4000. A Mini can get you to 64GB for $2000. A Mac Studio can get you to 96GB for $3000, or 192GB for $5600.

In this LLM era, those are rookie numbers. It should be possible to get a Mac with a lesser processor but at least 256GB of memory for $2000. I realize part of the issue is the lead time for chip design -- since Mac memory is an integral part of the chip, and the current crop were designed before the idea of running something like an LLM locally was a real probability.

But I hope the next year or two show significant increases in the default (and possible) memory for Macs.
Confidence hijacks the human brain. Without direct, personal expertise or experience to the contrary, spending time around your hypothetical "friend who's very well-read and talkative but is also extremely confident and loves the sound of their own voice" is going to subconsciously influence your opinions, possibly without you even knowing.

It's easy to laugh and say, well I'm smart enough to defeat this. I know the trick. I'll just mentally discount this information so that I'm not unduly influenced by it. But I suspect you are over-indexing on fields where you are legitimately an expert—where your expertise gives you a good defense against this effect. Your expertise works as a filter because you can quickly discard bad information. In contrast, in any area where you're not an expert, you have to first hold the information in your head before you can evaluate it. The longer you do that, the higher the risk you integrate whatever information you're given before you can evaluate it for truthfulness.

But this all assumes a high degree of motivation and effort. Like the opening to this article says, all empirical evidence clearly points in the direction of people simply not trying when they don't need to.

Personally, I solve the problem in my friend circle by avoiding overconfident people and cultivating friendships among people who have a good understanding of their own certainty and degree of expertise, and the humility to admit when they don't know something. I think we need the same with these AIs, though as far as I understand getting the AI to correctly estimate its own certainty is still an open problem.
How can someone who couldn't be bothered to vote possibly count in a discussion of how many people support this administration? Putting aside people who were unable to vote, everyone who chose not to, absolutely 100% gave up their relevance in terms of what the people want. They took themselves out of the equation.
Looks like it.

https://purelymail.com/about
You should make an account, you can use a temp address. And that's a joke, to keep out people that take things too seriously.
"our" fighters? What military are you referring to?
I would guess that the pushback is more about the possible economic imbalance that will happen and less about being replaced on the actual effort of coding.
That's pretty much where the similarity stops, though.
Just ask an Internet-enabled LLM like You.com to do it. This is what they are good that. Wikipedia satisfies your repository requirement.
I feel unit tests suck when there is a complex external entity (database, etc).

Sure, one can mock the thing and test that an expected series of queries were made. But if one can confidently claim those expected queries always match the desired behavior, then the original code was probably already correct.

It’s too easy to just write “dumb” unit tests that merely confirm the code still executes the same inscrutable sequence of things it did when the test was first written…

Writing useful unit tests is often much harder…
It was the policy of the granting federal agency- it was not our choice, we had to immediately start operating on the president's proposed low budget in case it were to pass, rather than spend money that might never exist.

This happened because Trump's administration essentially copy and pasted Heritage Foundation materials rather than carefully think through a realistic budget.
The partisan thing was so weird. Im right wing adjacent, and I remember that early on in the pandemic being concerned about COVID19 was a right wing thing.

It was all so stupid.
I use https://github.com/jarun/nnn/ with `cd` on quit if I need to scan around manually. Otherwise, zoxide.
I've also been tracking the 'path to graveyard' for the startups from the last 3 years here https://pivots.fyi/
Another, huge in fact, reason is that we ask them to do a lot more.

Just the framebuffer for one of my displays uses more memory than a computer that was very usable for all sorts of tasks back in 1998. Rendering UI to it also takes a lot more resources because of that.
might be a freemason thing
Other sectors are filled with far fewer people with low empathy for other humans.

Not none, of course. It's just not a near-requirement.
Even more basic than that, it has some bizarre behavior regarding selections: pressing Shift+End selects to the end of line including the EOL, such that pressing Backspace will then splice the line. No other text editor I've used does this, and it's annoying.
It is, but he has someone ready if he gets hit by a bus.
Well done hanging this comment off an incorrectly flagged thread!
SpiRobs: Robots inspired by logarithmic spiral
Haunted by AI? I haven’t heard of problems with Proton outside of their calendar implementation, which I’ve heard they’re fixing this year.
That researcher probably wouldn't have an army of SWEs at his or her disposal but be out of a job like the SWEs. If they get AI to a point where it can be a safe and competent senior SWE, it'll be able to fill a huge breadth of other roles as well. Human creativity isn't looking like quite the moat it was supposed to be.

Our societies are not in any way equipped to deal with putting what may well be a sizable majority of working-age people out of work, possibly for good, nor are we in any way ready for the kind of power certain tech billionaires would have if their workforce were to scale with just the amount of hardware they own.

At this point I kind of hope the current breed of AIs will plateau quickly and stay there for a while so that maybe society can catch up instead of getting surprise bulldozed by a gaggle of tech giants.
> It's disheartening to see services with limits

> If they had a free tier I'd give it a go

Maybe these two things are related.
I think this is the mistake being made - he has no beliefs. He’s purely and completely a sociopath. Nothing matters but money and whatever power he has at Facebook.
IME the curvature isn't really discernible until far higher altitudes. Most of the "curve of the earth" shots you see are because someone stuck a go-pro on a hiball and a combination of haze and fisheye effect makes the earth look round. If you use a camera without the lens distortion it just looks like a normal horizon.
Customer for a few years now. I don't do anything fancy with it. It was the cheapest and most appealing option for a custom domain for personal email. I think it runs me ~$11 a year or something

I combine it with simplelogin to handle all my aliasing needs.

Thanks for the great service.
I have an automated account that needs its own inbox but sends like two plain text emails a day... mostly just to me. I never moved it to Fastmail because the price was prohibitive but this would be a great option for it instead.
First release one that replaces programmers then we'll talk :).
> No, because with hydrogen we don't have working prototypes nor a track record improvement.

This feels like a chicken and egg situation. There isn’t sufficient research or funding yet to write off hydrogen. If there were similar amounts of money spent in hydrogen compared to batteries, we could have a better sense of what’s possible and make a choice towards one or the other. But today, this comes off to me like saying nothing better is possible than what we already know, which to me feels unimaginative.
For some people, having no AI is a feature.
This is lovely.

However I am also curious and in awe : how did this company survive and acquire paying customers with so many well established competitors and so many free alternatives?

I am seeking inspiration!
Everyone who chose not to vote effectively removed themselves from the set of people to be counted as either supporting or not supporting this administration.
Raw gemstones are generally uninteresting until people shape them. Diamonds worth thousands may not even qualify as interesting enough to pickup in the raw state, assuming you don’t know what it is.

Mountains get meaning as aspects of our environment, but try and name the your top 10 most aesthetically pleasing mountains. At least for me, I may appreciate a scenic view but I just don’t think of them in that kind of context.
Are you proposing that "value" is meaningful in the absence of some perceiver? All value is the perception of value. The only difference is that it's easier to find people who value precious metals, but that sort of thing always depends on where you look. One can easily imagine situations where a position at the front of a queue is more valuable to the people nearby than a gold coin. Finding value in a blockchain is no different.

It's just that none of the blockchains have yet managed to situate themselves such that people are likely to value their effects. Instead they're focusing on scarcity, which is kind of silly because all of the competition is equally empowered to create artificial scarcities. I think they'll figure it out eventually.
The Case for Custom Email Domains
I really hope this isn't the kind of innovation where the company breaks the law and asks for forgiveness later. Like "oh the sonic boom is only slightly louder than Concord but really it's just a bunch of first nations people in Canada who are impacted and we are super rich and our time is so precious please just ignore these marginalized people and we promise we'll throw them a few bucks"
> I understand I'm complaining about free things, but this is a forced change for the worse for so long.

Then write code.

Asahi Lina has demonstrated that a single person can write the appropriate shims to make things work.

Vulkan being effectively universally available on all the Linux graphics cards means that you have the hardest layer of abstraction to the GPU taken care of.

A single or small number of people could write a layer that sits above Wayland and X11 and does it right. However, no one has.
The Harris 2024 coalition is a lot closer to the Romney 2012 coalition than democrats want to admit: https://x.com/patrickjfl/status/1854645395856482568. There’s been a huge swing of college educated whites, who Romney won decisively, to Democrats.

Also, Harris campaigning with Liz Cheney suggests that her campaign thought that Romney 2012 voters were their marginal vote.
The Domain Knowledge Dilemma
For me it's the ability to use a custom domain. See https://lorendb.dev/posts/the-case-for-custom-email-domains/ for my reasoning why I do this.
innocent people often ask to have the results sealed.
Custom domains aren't worth $0.83 per month to you?
Microsoft not the only one.Mac OS upgrades effectively brick their own hardware. I’ve got a beautiful 27 inch iMac with a retina screen 5k … unusable now on last 2 OS updates.
Liked the article. Have been accused here and elsewhere of being AI. The increase in slop is probably going to be mirrored by an increase in the accusations.