skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Far more Americans live in owned-homes than not.

Boomers are 21% of the population, but 38% of the homes. Only 54% of Millennials are homeowners. It's great if you're in the wealthy populous old generation; if you're young and hungry or even just an average person in their 30s, you're angry.

> Are they really buying this extremely expensive real estate with their low wages? Seems impossible.

No; [illegal immigrant] families pool multiple low wages together and buy houses together.
I prefer NW.js. I don't know why its not more popular.
You think illegal immigrants are the bottleneck driving housing prices?
Good questions. Everything listed in these pain points are problems related to the incumbent sites, either by broken or missing functionality that requires having to do things you shouldn't need to, or doing things that you do need to in a way that's not as efficient as it could be. The differentiator would be providing the right mechanisms to avoid these issues, either by improving on the features the incumbents are falling short on, or adding features they're missing.

Apologies if that also sounds vague, but I'm currently building this and don't want to give away too much about the exact details.
Sounds great!

My hope is 2030 sees more organizations that are each smaller. It implies more services provided by the economy thanks to greater specialization. For example today, SaaS tools exist for so many things you’d have had to hire for in the past. Thanks to SaaS you can get started really easily - take payments, get a storefront, send email newsletters..

If the trend of increasing specialization crosses over and starts to include services that require intelligence, it will be a net good on a scale we can’t imagine.

The megaliths of today also have more market power than optimal, hence so much anti-consumer shenanigans.

Bring on the layoffs!
If even 1/10th of them own houses; that's a million homes; so yes, it's definitely a factor.
> Boomers are 21% of the population, but 38% of the homes. Only 54% of Millennials are homeowners.

2/3 of Americans own homes.

> No; families pool multiple low wages together and buy houses together.

So the whole family will be mad when their home equity goes down.
I'll give you time to prepare 5 years early: [0]

[0] https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-repo...
> Additionally, after the story was published, TikTok enabled a feature that now alerts everyone in a company-wide Lark channel — a Slack competitor from TikTok parent ByteDance — when a screenshot is taken.)

Luckily their employees don't have phones.
Brought this up 4 days ago as soon as Sam Altman posted his "Reflections" blog post. [0] as AI agents will be "joining the workforce" and it is linked to the WEF 2025 Agenda of the "Intelligent Age".

Now we have the WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025 with employers admitting that they will accelerate the replacement of jobs even before 2030 with AI. [1]

The main takeaway is that this is inevitable, yet the massive problem is that there is no alternative for the destruction of all these jobs.

And yes, THAT is exactly what I am preparing for every year before 2030. [2] it will only accelerate faster every single year from now.

5 years is not a long time.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42606771

[1] https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-repo...

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42563239
If space lives up to even a fraction of its potential over the next ~10-20 years then robotics is going to grow astronomically as a field. More generally I have not found software to be a longterm satisfying career - the compensation, freedom, and potential are all excellent. You are well compensated, can work from anywhere*, and a single successful side project (don't sign away your rights to code you write outside of work) always has the possibility to blow up into something worth billions - this is really unlike any other "normal" career. But I think there's a reason that there's a growing sect of people leaving to do everything from farming, woodwork, and even welding. Building even simple things in the real world is somehow so much more satisfying.

If I had it to do over again I'd pick a field where software complements something done in the real world - robotics, astronomy, aerospace, etc.
Imo the best case scenario for AI is that it allows almost anyone to become an executive. AKA a small business boom.
Interest rates were pinned near zero, then locked in by mortgage holders for decades, the fed bought up some mortgage products, then rates were jacked. Supply is part the problem but essentially what happened was a magic trick where mortgagable real estate holders transferred wealth to themselves from non owners via inflation through the force of the state.

To buy them out of their negative real rate mortgage you must compensate them handsomely for losing such a loan that essentially lets them take from everyone else via fed induced inflation. This is why prices have been so sticky despite the now higher rates.
The question has come up several times on the thread so far, and just to add my read to it: the claim that Los Angeles housing prices are inflated seems to rest in part on the fact that they're about to get a lot more expensive to insure. The annual costs of ownership of a house --- taxes, insurance, and upkeep, probably in that order --- work against the market value of a house. I live in an extremely high-tax inner-ring suburb of Chicago, and the conventional wisdom is that our taxes knock double-digit percentages off our home market value.

Maybe the article is saying the same effect could hit markets around the country more broadly as insurers everywhere jack rates up in response to climate change?

As mismanagement and environmental issues unfold, in the narrative I play in my head to keep myself sane, insurers are kind of heroic. I know they aren't really, but: one thing you can say for them, they're some of the only players in our economy that are required to price externalities. Political bodies and residents can delude themselves about risks indefinitely, but an insurer that ignores them will be insolvent. You could write a state statute capping insurance rates, but, as you've seen, that just forces insurers to leave the market. They don't have a choice. It's kind of wonderful.
You are an anecodotal example, and no matter what is generally true about the IT industry, we can always find anecdotal counterexamples on HN because there are so many IT people here.

Many places won't look at you or will downgrade your application without a college degree, and data shows earnings are clearly less (as you say).

I'm truly glad things are going well for you. It's not the only thing in life, but if someone is a quarter away from getting one they'd be crazy to walk away.
When I was in college I worked as an "electronics technician" intern for a few months. We would work through 3-10 page mods to update PCBs from one version to the next. We worked under a scope, and sometimes routed magnet wire all the way across the board, or even thru vias from one side to the other.
It was painstaking work; I had a coworker friend who was a true artist. I never got that good at it, but I sometimes miss that kind of work.
Interest rates were near zero for decades in Japan and house prices didn't budge since 1995. When rates go down prices jump, they don't keep moving as a result. It's an impulse response.

[edit] Look at the chart of housing CPI and the chart of interest rates. They're basically uncorrelated.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIHOSNS

[2] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
Unfortunately this is true, and there’s no near-term treatment that might change this outcome. There’s some treatments for slowing it down but there’s no proof of anyone being cured by any experimental method. There’s great progress being made and thousands of people working on paths to a cure but we’re still early days for some diseases.
what incompetence is that? Having a hard time seeing the link between technological progress and thebsize of wild fires.
I'm curious, in your chart, where do the bumps come from? Does it mean the video views increase in the beginning of the day, and then flatline until the next day?
It’s not even good at writing unit tests. It’s good at writing bad unit tests but that’s not the same thing.
Headline makes no sense because companies all want to grow. Reducing staff to do the same amount of work isn't the goal. IMO this is just clickbait and stuff to get people riled up. In reality when AI becomes that useful we'll just be outputting more, expectations will be higher, probably not being paid more for our new efficiency.

In "In Praise of Idleness", theres an interesting point made, if technology that made us more efficient actually allowed us to work less, we would be doing it already, instead were expected to be more productive with the same amount of working hours
One can speculate that current clocks are already rounding to the nearest minute instead of truncating, i.e. already accounting for this, relative to some hypothetical clock that's 30 seconds slower.
1. High risk regions will pay much higher premiums to live in those areas
2. They may continue to live in those areas because of the large demand and desirability
3. Higher insurance, higher risk, contentious demand for property in the area: inflationary housing market even if initially the impacted areas see a slow growth compared to neighbouring areas.
Without knowing how much sports revenue offsets tuition, which I just showed you how to investigate, your 10% anecdote from millions of college students is irrelevant. It’s both possible sports offsets your tuition by 30%, and later you saw a 10% raise, but until you compute that initial offset your 10% gripe is meaningless.
1. You can sign up via our website: https://formalstack.com/.

2. Yes!
and this is the real reason why house prices are inflated in these areas - once the insurers and the banks catch up, prices on millions of homes are going to plummet as the only people able to buy them will be the people who are able to self-finance.
Can we fight fires with a fleet of AI powered drones? I've watched water bombers [like this](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrOESRoD1Jk) near my hometown. It seems like a lot of the water could be better targeted, and round trips to a body of water and back are long.
Combat Balls
If you haven't sent us an email already, please do!
there are 20,000 permitted multifamily units around Boston that have gotten through zoning but aren't being built because they don't pencil out. [1] I used to think zoning was the only thing in the way, but I think there are other problems, too.

[1] https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/07/05/business/housing-cons...
The folks at OpenXTalk are continuing to develop fork(s) of the final Open Source LiveCode Community Edition.

https://www.openxtalk.org/

https://www.openxtalk.org/OXTDownloads.html

https://www.openxtalk.org/forum/

The forum seems a little disorganized to me, but I lurk a few times a year and get the pulse of how the development is going by reading the recent-ish posts.

From the first link:

"What is OpenXTalk?

OpenXTal k [sic] is the working name of a fork of the now unsupported Legacy LiveCode Community Edition project, with the goal of keeping a FREE OPEN SOURCE xTalk language publicly available...."

Edit: Newline formatting.
I remember seeing an uptick in HN job posts, of which a large percentage (30%?) were AI startups. Now, will they still be there in 5 years? 10? Who can say. But technically, right now, they are jobs.
Ask HN: Thoughts on 3D Printing?
I rarely see posts about 3d printing, why is that?
If you could replace 3 of your 4 writers with gen AI then they weren't writing content they were writing filler.

AIs write noise, not signal.
Hmm as a tongue-twister it lacks twists and has too many extra sounds.

I'd suggest something like:

Most Musk Cyber Trucks metrics trick Cyber Trust Mark's trust
Robotics is an unforgiving field, and is generally not a sustainable commercial business outside research. However, if you live in a physical factory focused economy that might differ, but generally in north America it is niche field.

Security is also a niche field, but at least it is a more common lucrative position.

"An expert knows more and more about less and less until he or she knows everything about nothing."

=3
> Switching inputs

It could be so easy. Just render all the inputs at once, scaled to fit all of them on screen at the same time, and then select the one you want. Could be done intuitively with as few as two buttons. Interleaving samples of the scaled inputs would preclude any dramatic hardware cost.

Maybe someone has done this, but the TVs I've seen have a primitive and hostile scheme that frequently ends in a black screen with some mystifying abbreviated label and no clue where to go next. 100% certain to traumatize grandma.
It's scandalous, though, that the public will pay for firefighting efforts in areas that are unsafe to build in. It's insane to build on a slope or in a canyon that's plagued by katabatic winds.
The hard part is holding them down while you apply it. They squirm like crazy!

Also, you can buy pure lead in 1000 lb quantities (and leaded solder) at places like [https://www.rotometals.com/] with no paperwork.
In my opinion these fields will merge at some point in time as nextgen LLMs can be used to reason trajectories.

Consider RoboAgent[1] or LBMs at TRI[2]

[1] https://robopen.github.io/media/roboagent.pdf

[2] https://pressroom.toyota.com/toyota-research-institute-unvei...

I think from a technological perspective, building actual hardware has more relevant tangible real-world impact. But in the end, as many other posters have said, it really depends on the team, their experience and their capability to build product/drive business.

Shameless plug, I have been writing about this since 2023.
[3] https://jdsemrau.substack.com/t/robotics
Immigrants are such a relatively small portion of housing supply pressure, compared to the overwhelming positive affect they have in driving other CPI basket items supply up (and therefore, keeping prices low).

Getting rid of immigrants will make houses a bit cheaper, and everything else more expensive.

Increasing property taxes so it isn't so cheap to carry underutilized housing, and getting rid of zoning regulations written with the intention of artificially limiting housing supply, will actually cause housing prices to fall through the floor, without ruining the rest of our economic output and supply of CPI basket goods.
I just don't see how adding one more home for every 350 people in this country really makes prices fall through the floor
You think they sent Zuck out there to talk about half-baked ideas ?
The golden rule of software distributions (2022)
'Exploitation' doesn't mean people are physically or legally compelled. It means you offer vulnerable people a bad but 'voluntary' option, exploiting their vulnerability to not offer them a legitimate option.

In this case, the state saves money because of the incarcerated people's vulnerability. That vulnerability is the only reason the state gets to pay those very low wages.
Also the same rich people fight tooth and nail when someone wants to build housing near them - and especially if the homes being built are something besides a single detached unit.
> are required to price externalities

wait until the property owners there start demanding socialized property insurance!
Except that NULL is not the same as UNKNOWN! NULL is a data value (like integers) that can appear in data expressions (like NULL + 1) and comparisons (like NULL = 1) whereas UNKNOWN is a truth value that can appear in boolean/logical expressions constructed from logical connectives like AND, OR, NOT.

A data expression always evaluates to a data value, and usually whenever any part of the expression is NULL, the entire expression evaluates to NULL.

A comparison evaluates to a truth value, and usually when a comparison invovles a NULL it returns UNKNOWN. This leads to weird behaviors where both `SELECT 3 WHERE NULL = NULL;` and `SELECT 3 WHERE NULL <> NULL;` returns nothing (because the query engine does not output a row if the predicate returns UNKNOWN on it).

What you listed above only comes into play for boolean/logical connectives like AND, OR, NOT, and in that case we follow 3-valued logic.

And there's more annoying corner cases when you deal with DISTINCT. The situation is so hopeless that SQLite has a whole table documenting divergent behaviors of NULL in different systems: https://www.sqlite.org/nulls.html
I got my first "real" computer in 1984, though I had owned a Timex-Sinclair ZX81 prior to that. I had already learned programming, and was quite interested in it. I chose MS-DOS. but had already tried a Mac, and had seen a demo of the Apple Lisa.

The lack of Mac programming tools "for the rest of us" was noticeable, and contributed to an impression that Apple was indifferent or even hostile to small scale developers. The Mac was referred to as a "closed box." This in turn led to people preferring MS-DOS for small scale development of both software and hardware, even if we could never hope to match the quality of Apple's GUI.

I don't think this ever changed, through upheavals of both the Apple and Microsoft worlds. I used a Mac from 1993 to 1997, and wrote a couple of magazine articles on Mac hardware interfacing. I did all of my development in HyperCard except for creating a couple of "code resources" in C to access hardware functions. Being a Mac hardware hacker was a pretty lonely place.

Today, I won't touch any development tool that isn't platform independent, so the issue has been largely mooted for me.
Yes, that's why it isn't happening. It's not that it's hopeless; it's that many people quit and, here, even mock responsibility or seriousness.

In a democracy, if you and I don't do it, nobody will. If you are in your 30s, it's on you. There's no cavalry; there's nobody coming to the rescue; it's your country. If you don't fix the problem, you'll have the consequences.
You mean building a house with wood inside a forest area and have it surrounded by big and large trees. I get the aesthetics of it but don't complain about your house burning in a large fire. I've seen some footage and the trees have fared better than the houses. Tells you something about not preparing for any of this.
> 2/3 of Americans own homes.

You keep saying this like it's a good thing. That's a disaster - China has 93%. Romania has 95%. Russia has 92%. India has 86%. A 2/3s homeownership rate is an embarrassment, and shows we haven't addressed this problem sufficiently.

> So the whole family will be mad when their home equity goes down.

"Don't fix the system; better think of those short term equity values! Even better, don't build housing!"
theres going to be a lot more of small business stealing big business cookies than people are currently thinking
They literally want me to hang up and him to call back from the same line.

Actually, just the other day I encountered this and Dad just came on the line and authorized me. If I'd have lied, it would have went more smoothly.

In all the cases this has happened to me, the most verification they've ever needed is the last 4 of his SSN, which he has told to me.
The article is not optimistic on flying cars. The prediction is that an expensive flying car could be purchased no earlier than 2036, and notes a strong possibility that it won’t even happen by 2050. Plus states that minor success (aka 0.1% of car sales are flying cars) isn’t going to happen in his lifetime.

The author also expands on this:

> Don’t hold your breath. They are not here. They are not coming soon.

> Nothing has changed. Billions of dollars have been spent on this fantasy of personal flying cars. It is just that, a fantasy, largely fueled by spending by billionaires.

It’s worth actually reading the article before trashing someone’s career and engineering skills!
It's rare that a single sentence can tell me so clearly whether or not I'd be willing to work at a company.

The actual article could be misleading (it's not obvious if setting their RTO status to "natural disaster" status means they expend their sick days or not), but this is so clearly petty micromanagement that there's really no ambiguity.
> Deciding is one thing, remembering another. How would you catch yourself in those moments?

Honestly I don't remember. I suppose I'd catch myself some of the times, but not the others and this just averaged out to me catching myself most of the times in the end.
Postgres Tuning and Performance for Analytics Data
I'm referring to the covid era accumulated impulse.
Anyone have some interesting things they've built with Gleam?
> prices are inflated

the word 'inflated' presumes that the price is higher than _it should be_. The underlying assumption is that homes _should_ cost less, and the current price is artificially high.

It isn't.

The price if a house is not artificially high - it is high for market driven reasons. Therefore, it is a market price. Nobody is inflating the price via some nefarious scheme.
Expert beginner problem. If you can count a grain of sand, and measure the distance of one centimeter, then surely you can measure the exact length of a coastline and count the exact number grains of sand! (The length and number of grains goes to infinity as you get more detailed)

It is less magic, just insanely complicated. We therefore very well might not build it one day. Your claim we would solve it one day is not obvious and needs solid evidence. Some cryptographic problems require millions of years of compute to solve, why cant it be the case that AGI requires petayears of compute? A billion fold increase in compute still won't do it, hence, maybe not ever. 4 billion years and a trillion fold increase in compute might not be enough. (Assuming we have that long. Dawkins was most concerned about humanity surviving the next 500 years.)
The word required was "high," not "inflated."

Markets gonna market amiright
Speaking for one of those metro areas I'm familiar with: maybe in SF city limits specifically (where they still are half the Uber's share), but that's 10% of the population of the Bay Area metro. I'm very much looking forward to the day when I can take a robo cab from where I live near Google to the airport - preferably, much cheaper than today's absurd Uber rates - but today it's just not present in the lives of about 95+% of Bay Area residents.
first: the person who doesn't want to be reminded is probably not the person that is approaching you and actively telling you that they are approaching the end of their life.

second: speaking to them about their plight isn't the struggle; DEATH IS -- and we're all in that same boat.
Keto diets seem to have at least a positive anecdotal effect. Putting aside the cancer part, a strict adherence to the caloric restriction diet has general health benefits. Whether the positive health benefits impact the cancer itself is unknown. It may simply be that being healthier helps patients deal with the impacts of chemo and radiotherapy.

Also possible is that caloric restriction helps to put the body into a biology mode that helps to combat cancerous tissue.

There's no solid science behind any of this, but generally being healthier helps with any medical treatments.