skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
A single bike accidents is less likely to cause serious injuries but statistically that’s offset by vastly more collisions.

IE the number of serious accidents depends on the number of accidents times the risk of each individual accident and bikes are far less segregated from pedestrians than cars.
> in 1946 the US had a population of 141M and built 700k housing units

I think the year after the second world war ended at which point marriages, and therefore household formation, went to unprecedented levels introduces a lot of noise into that signal
I don't know if you've read it, but an essay published in 1944 by George Orwell titled What is Fascism? encapsulates your points.

> Language is fluid. Historically look at words like "hacker." People start to use words colloquially in ways that the originators of the word did not necessarily intend.

Individual terms are not the only victims of the linguistic tank tread mangling words into meaninglessness. "Paradox of tolerance", for instance, is the Internet age's "fire in a theater". The phrase has gained currency in the mid-2010s as a rhetorical bludgeon to dismiss the speaker's critics and shame those who don't subscribe to the speaker's incoherent definition of "the intolerant". It's usage has no bearing to, and even contradicts, the author's purpose in coining it.
I've deployed code with Claude that was >100X faster, all-in (verification, testing, etc) than doing it myself. (I've been writing code professionally and successfully for >30 years).

>100X isn't typical, I'd guess typical in my case is >2X, but it's happened at large scale and saved me months of work in this single instance. (Years of work overall)
Consider Forgejo: https://forgejo.org/.
you are often throttled. But you shouldn't be a a point where 200Mbps (advertised) is only giving you 100 Mbps or less in practice.

You probably need to check out the devices on your network and the quality/locations of any wireless setup you have. It was part of the reason I upgraded from trying to manage with an extender that gave me maybe 80 Mbps at best in the worst points, to a mesh network that has me utilize around 170 Mbps.

I use Comcast and I still have 100 criticisms about the company. But it hasn't been the worst network I've had to deal with.
A major innovation in search solutions is eagerly anticipated.
And you'll be a worse programmer for it because you won't have the reps.
For football (soccer), Reddit is much better.
I wonder how empty-nesting attributes to this. My parents have 3 empty (really, repurposed) bedrooms in their house now. But downsizing in their area wouldn’t actually help financially, so they don’t.
let's go back to pre industrial society
I don't know about how many deaths this would cause, but there was an interesting paper that looked at the effects of a limited nuclear war between India and Pakistan [1]. Here's a blog post about it [2].

India and Pakistan both depend on water from Himalayan glaciers that are shrinking due to warming, so the idea of them at some point going to war over control of that shrinking resource is not too far fetched.

What's interesting is how much of the rest of the world could be affected.

The paper looks at a war where the two counties exchange 100 nukes each about the size of the bomb used on Hiroshima, directed at each other's major population centers. That's about 1/3 of their arsenals. Besides killing a lot of people in those population centers, this would set of firestorms that would release a lot of soot into the upper atmosphere.

The paper used state of the art atmospheric models to predict what would happen to that soot, and state of the art crop models and food distribution models to predict what that could do.

Here's the abstract:

> A limited nuclear war between India and Pakistan could ignite fires large enough to emit more than 5 Tg of soot into the stratosphere. Climate model simulations have shown severe resulting climate perturbations with declines in global mean temperature by 1.8 °C and precipitation by 8%, for at least 5 y. Here we evaluate impacts for the global food system. Six harmonized state-of-the-art crop models show that global caloric production from maize, wheat, rice, and soybean falls by 13 (±1)%, 11 (±8)%, 3 (±5)%, and 17 (±2)% over 5 y. Total single-year losses of 12 (±4)% quadruple the largest observed historical anomaly and exceed impacts caused by historic droughts and volcanic eruptions. Colder temperatures drive losses more than changes in precipitation and solar radiation, leading to strongest impacts in temperate regions poleward of 30°N, including the United States, Europe, and China for 10 to 15 y. Integrated food trade network analyses show that domestic reserves and global trade can largely buffer the production anomaly in the first year. Persistent multiyear losses, however, would constrain domestic food availability and propagate to the Global South, especially to food-insecure countries. By year 5, maize and wheat availability would decrease by 13% globally and by more than 20% in 71 countries with a cumulative population of 1.3 billion people. In view of increasing instability in South Asia, this study shows that a regional conflict using <1% of the worldwide nuclear arsenal could have adverse consequences for global food security unmatched in modern history.

I bet that would be very destabilizing in the US and Europe. Think about how crazy some people got during COVID in the US with the relatively minor (but annoying) shortages during that. This would be worse.

[1] https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1919049117

[2] https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2020/03/16/even-limited-in...
> How much of a productivity increase is that? Well jeepers, if you’re only doing 1/5th the work, then you are… punches buttons on calculator watch… five times as productive.

Cool, so I'm going to make five times more money? What's that you say, I'm not? So who is going to be harvesting the profits, then?
even once

This isn't realistic in the slightest, and is the diametric opposite of "correct." What information source is one hundred percent accurate?

By this standard, people can't trust literally any source at all. This is an absolutely sick and objectively poor way of thinking and wind up just sort of believing whatever they want to believe. Whatever feels good, or, is the least bad. Or feels bad, but gives them a sort of predictable sort of bad feeling -- rage and an ill defined sort of aggreivement about some sort of ill defined state of affairs that has been denied to them by ill defined people for ill defined reasons -- that is at least preferable to the work of actually knowing things and understanding how anything works.

So are they Fox News people, or have they moved on to the harder stuff?
For the most extreme example just look at San Francisco here in the US, where the average number of legally-allowed new housing units is currently around 3.5 total per month (https://sfstandard.com/2024/04/08/san-francisco-new-housing-...) in a city of 873,000 people.
Those aren't citations, they're just asides.
> Whenever anyone tries to ban saying something that we'd previously been able to say, our initial assumption should be that they're wrong. Only our initial assumption of course. If they can prove we should stop say

For example, is a discussion about the defacement of the Black Hills a 'priggish' waste of time, or a valuable lesson about the real history of the United States?
It's an ad. The key point he works up to is `Put another way, you need a sidecar database. The data moat needs to be fast and queryable. This is a Search Problem!` And then of course this is hosted on the corporate blog of a code search platform. It's `make sure you have good prompt context` but trying to define that specifically as the thing they're selling
this coincided with an os upgrade for me.. made for a very confusing 15min until i checked gh status
The only thing missing right now is a solid goal planning, goal validation engine and search to define rewards.

Since code is one of those things you can train LLMs with using RL – not RHLF – it can actually do goal based AI planning, all the people who say "I don't trust LLM code" are missing how beside the point this is.

A lot of code in this world is accepted, even if it is suboptimal and people don't realize how much money is to be made by writing it so with ML models.
This is something I’ve been thinking about and trying to find a good way to explain. I think Wheaton has articulated it very well.
why? black automatically formats code
I use a fork of Gitea called Forgejo. It works nicely as well.

https://forgejo.org/
Oh yes I get that, but wasn't sure if there was some kind of better support for AOT compilation in the CLR which could do Clojure startup at build time or something.
Yiannopoulos is an... interesting case in general. Apparently[1] he declared himself to be "ex-gay", 'demoted' his husband to housemate, and is treating his homosexuality 'like an addiction'. His future plans include 'rehabilitating conversion therapy'.

Seeing all of that, I'm really not sure his boat has been rising with the tide, so to speak. I personally don't believe anyone thinks conversion therapy is good for themselves unless they are deeply troubled.

[1] https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/activist-milo-yiannopoulos...
> Engineers are in a better position to understand what the customer wants and needs. Salespeople are there to sell their product, and fundamentally don't need to understand what the customer wants, or needs.

I think you have that backwards. Sales people absolutely need to understand what they customer wants and needs, or they won't buy it. Engineers just know what they want to build because it's what they want.

But really, Product Managers are the ones who are in the best position to figure it out. They get input from sales, customer service, and engineering, and produce competitive research, and then prioritize from there.

A good CEO is going to listen to their the PMs.
It's not true, though. No 15 year olds find 2024 SNL funny, at all. Almost everybody found it funny up until 15-20 years ago. After that point every sketch was like "normal stuff, but black people doing it!" or "somebody acting gay, and everybody is uncomfortable!" Once Trump came along, it was almost a revitalization for about 30 seconds, because Trump himself is funny. Until it became Trump! fascist! Putin!, end of the world! over and over like all late night comedy.

No 15 year old is enjoying that. I'd bet the average age is approaching the same average age as the cable news audience. Retirees might even be getting sick of it. The truth might be that Lorne Michaels is the real audience of Saturday Night Live.
I learned recently that Charlieplexing is kind of like the discrete version of the Radon Transform: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radon_transform
Ironically github is sort of the exception that proves the rule: decentralized in the one way that really matters (decoupled development on individual systems), but centralized for easy interaction in the way the market demands.
I've got a brother who did this. His son is about to graduate med school in the 98th percentile.

More seriously, it's not beyond the pale to introduce them to the internet. The more important thing is to put off handhelds for as long as possible.
Some Jaz Drives suffered from problems that could vaguely sound like (but were fairly physically different from) Click-Of-Death. We had an early one, they got announced around 95 and I think we got one in 97 to replace tapes... alas when we actually needed to read data... Dad had to redo all his MIDIs because of that one. (Ironically none of our Zip drives failed and he used one up sometime between Vista and Win10... I think the same one...) [0][1].

> no CDRW yet (only CDR, at 5 bucks a piece).

IIRC Jaz cartridges were expensive back then, 100$ a pop. Launch price of 100$, back then 500$ could buy you a car that might last through an oil change or two. [1]

That said, The Castlewood Orb was a far more interesting piece of machinery due to capacity/cost. I have never seen one, but I do have a SyJet somewhere that I never hooked up to a PC [2]

[0] - FWIW the Jaz in question was a SCSI model with parallel port adapter. Not sure if it makes a difference...

[1] - It took a long time to fully reclaim my dad's confidence in purchase suggestions, wasn't finally conquered till a year after he ditched a problematic Chrysler Sebring for a Chevrolet Malibu (at which point he said I was glad I suggested it. Which I'm eternally grateful for...)

[2] - Got it used cheap way back when, I preferred SCSI CDRWs and thus had at least one competent Adaptec card for the task and a colleague was like 'hey since you can use it...'
A housing bust in 2008 washed a lot of capital and talent out of the house construction industry, and the current boom is hard to supply with construction capacity even when there is land to build on. And also, even if the land exists, there is already a SFH on it that needs to be torn down, so we are densifying at a slower rate than we need to. Couple that with an even increasing focus of good job opportunities into a few hot metros, the whole US housing market becomes one hot mess.
Does it matter where the bad code came from?
> Weren't there surrounded by frozen water? Is there any reason snow couldn't be used in an emergency to heat the train?

I have tried this.

Snow is not very dense. A lot of snow makes a very small amount of water. Quite an astonishingly small amount of water

I expect the steam generators were quite thirsty, I do not know.
That's interesting, my google home devices always play audio in sync and seem to just work.
> But it's going to enable a lot of code to get written by a lot more people and it's super exciting.

Is that exciting though? A lot of the code we've currently got is garbage. We are already slogging through a morass of code. I could be wrong, but I don't think LLMs are going to change this trend.
> My recommendations are Conversations, Gajim and Monal.

Conversations is indeed almost perfect on Android (I really wish it could use optionally use XEP-0357), but I mainly use iOS.

Monal looks nice, but I'm just generally wary of these single-engineer passion projects – ChatSecure looked nice before as well, and Monal could see the same fate any day.

> That's why providers.xmpp.net gives a good overview on where to sign up. [...] The whole ordeal is to choose an username and a password then.

The problem isn't finding one that lets you register, it's finding one that will reliably still be around in a few years.

If XMPP were to offer a lightweight, DNS-based "identity handle", this wouldn't be as much of a problem (as clients could back up your contact list and keys etc.), but as it is, if a server ever disappears, your lose everything.

That said, I do trust the people running conversations.im, and it even seems to be free at this point! (Down from EUR 10/year, which is nothing if you value XMPP, but an almost insurmountable hassle when trying to onboard any friends/family.)
> especially for older Sonos devices with limited processing power.

That reminds me: When S3 dropped support for MD5 ciphers, it ended up causing problems for a number of their customers who had remarkably old computers connecting to S3. The machines struggled to handle the newer / stronger ciphers they were now required to use. In one case it went from "just about keeping up" to "got no hope". That was a "fun" way to unexpectedly break folks.
You missed my point, there is no use teaching those who are cheating. And there is no use learning if you don't get called out.
Interesting game theory situation:

- if land value depends on the community that was there, then owners would all have incentive to rebuild their burnt down houses to regain the values.

- but owners probably realize most owners will sell their property as soon as things are back to normal. that would reduce the value of surrounding houses.

- so owners will rebuild as fast as possible, probably cutting lots of corners, just so they won't left behind to sell.

- some people start selling their houses but the late comers realize it's not worth it for them to sell it because the value has dropped a lot. so they stay.

- the new owners move in to the area and house prices go back up.
I thought it was my internet. Oh well, time to finish that game of Civ 6. Edit: and it literally came back up the moment I posted this.
In my case, most elderly relatives own their largest homes ever for when kids visit. So many bedrooms have never had a full time occupant.
Can you explain a bit more? What happened?

Linux used to be able to do S3 sleep well, and now it can't because... new platforms removed S3 for S0ix? Or S3 became even more complicated with mroe platform quirks and weird hardware?
I could see myself using something like this (a simulated-not-actual infinity animation) if I knew something else was guaranteed to happen within 20 turns, like a timeout/reconnect error/message/something. It stopping eventually would actually help that cause, acting as an indicator for the user that things are truly fubar.

In some contexts, a "do something for a long time" is fine. Doing something for literally forever isn't always necessary, especially if you have a human user.
Back up now for me.
I recently joined social media again.
Turns out the group that shared my interest in my region was here.
So I made a new account and joined.

And the thing is, I am interested still. But I do miss a lot, because the group is chaotic and really important announcements are mixed in with memes and chatter, so it was a chore to waddle through that everyday, only to discover that nothing important was announced.

They kinda have to do it, I guess, because engagement metrics are no joke, and if you don't have them, then why are you here. But it really opened my eyes to how to social media completely failed on its premise when it decided that time spent on app would be a good metric.

Sometimes people just have nothing important to say other to announce, and them it should be okay to keep silent for a while, without being downranked.

And seeing how those, who always chatter even when they having nothing to say, will ultimately rise to the top on any platform that values time wasted, I left social media again.

People in comments say how it's better to have a few close friends then shallow connections, but social networks did allow us to meet someone that shared our more specific interests. My best friend I have met on a forum: our interests aligned and we spend hours talking about things we couldn't discuss with real friends before meeting up.
There is value in shallow connections when they are based on shared interests.
This value is lost on most social networks today.

IMO mastodon and blue sky are "good social networks" for people who want to connect over specific topics.
> If I had to think, I imagine the entire point of RTO mandates is to keep cities sustainable.

Bingo
Using AI is like trying to build a product with only extremely junior devs. You can get something working fairly quickly but sooner rather than later it's going to collapse in on itself and there won't be anyone around capable of fixing it. Moving past that requires someone with more experience to figure out what they did and eventually fix it, which ends up being far more expensive than correcting things along the way.

The error rate needs to come down significantly from where it's currently at, and we'd also need AIs that cover each others weaknesses - at the moment you can't just run another AI to fix the 20% of errors the first one generated because they tend to have overlapping blind spots.

Having said all that, I think AI is hugely useful as a programming tool. Here are the places I've got most value:

- Better IDE auto-complete.

- Repetetive re-factors that are beyond what's possible to do with a regex. For example, replaing one function with another whose usage is subtly different. LLMs can crack out those changes across a codebase and it's easy to review.

- Summarizing and extracting intent from dense technical content. I'm often implementing some part of a web standard, and being able to quickly ask an AI questions, and have it give references back to specific parts of the standard is super useful.

- Bootstrapping tests. The hardest part of writing tests in my experience is writing the first one - there's always a bit of boilerplate that's annoying to write. The AI is pretty good at generating a smoke test and then you can use that a basis to do proper test coverage.

I'm sure there are more. The point is that it's currently incredibly valuable as a tool, but it's not yet capable of being an agent.
This is they way. This would fix so many things.
It's also a little suspect when a white man talks the degree to which racism (and by extension, sexism and homophobia) is a problem. The way he writes about it is such a casual dismissal that it sounds like gas lighting to me.

Has anyone ever referred to him with a racial epithet? Has he been stopped and frisked? Racially profiled? When was he last treated as if his ideas aren't as good because of his gender? Or passed up for a promotion for any of these reasons? Was he ever treated as if he is unworthy of marriage because he loves the wrong person? Has he worried about whether or not his name sounds a little too ethnic on his resume? Has he ever been called a dirty ____?

Among other things, including being called racial epithets, and worry about whether or not my name sounds a little too ethnic, I've had to listen to contemporary American politicians talk about how my ethnic group controls lasers from space.

But no, racism is not a problem on the scale that the woke believe it to be? It's easy to say that when you never experienced it.
I did :(
> Too bad Git lacks a distributed bug tracker

Email and mailing lists?
Thanks tor pointing that out. I missed that, indeed. That’s a stellar point.
Valve does run circles around every competitor it has.
Hey Bhanu! Oisin here, co-founder of Missio. Glad you like the product! We’re working on automating standups by proactively monitoring activity across Slack, Jira, and other tools. Missio will compile updates, highlight blockers, and send a quick summary—slashing that meeting time big-time. Let me know if you’d like to try it out!
>The vacancy rates are deceiving though. If you have a place that is owned by someone and they are paying taxes on it, and it's not listed as a rental, it's not considered vacant.

Why would you lie like that?

https://www.census.gov/housing/hvs/definitions.pdf

Occupied Housing Units. A housing unit is occupied if a person or group of persons is living in
it at the time of the interview or if the occupants are only temporarily absent, as for example, on
vacation. The persons living in the unit must consider it their usual place of residence or have no
usual place of residence elsewhere. The count of occupied housing units is the same as the count
of households

Vacant Housing Units. A housing unit is vacant if no one is living in it at the time of the
interview, unless its occupants are only temporarily absent. In addition, a vacant unit may be one
which is entirely occupied by persons who have a usual residence elsewhere. New units not yet
occupied are classified as vacant housing units if construction has reached a point where all
exterior windows and doors are installed and final usable floors are in place. Vacant units are
excluded if they are exposed to the elements, that is, if the roof, walls, windows, or doors no
longer protect the interior from the elements, or if there is positive evidence (such as a sign on
the house or block) that the unit is to be demolished or is condemned. Also excluded are quarters
being used entirely for nonresidential purposes, such as a store or an office, or quarters used for
the storage of business supplies or inventory, machinery, or agricultural products. Vacant
sleeping rooms in lodging houses, transient accommodations, barracks, and other quarters not
defined as housing units are not included in the statistics in this report. (See section on "Housing
Unit.")