skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"Today’s most advanced AI models have many flaws, but decades from now, they will be recognized as the first true examples of artificial general intelligence."

Norvig seems to be using a loose technical definition of AGI, roughly "AI with some degree of generality", which is hard to argue with, although by that measure older GOFAI systems like SOAR might also qualify.

Certainly "deep learning" in general (connectionist vs symbolic, self-learnt representations) was a step in the right direction, and LLMs a second step, but it seems we're still a half dozen MAJOR steps away from anything similar to animal intelligence, with one critical step being moving beyond full dataset pre-training to new continuous learning algorithms.
In a conversation (conversation and attached pictures at https://bsky.app/profile/liotier.bsky.social/post/3ldxvutf76...), I delete a spurious "de" ("Produce de two-dimensional chart [..]" to "Produce two-dimensional [..]") and ChatGPT generates a new version of the graph, illustrating a different function although nothing else has changed and there was a whole conversation to suggest that ChatGPT held a firm model of the problem. Confirmed my current doctrine: use LLM to give me concepts from a huge messy corpus, then check those against sources from said corpus.
Original paper is here:

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2408.07666

It actually covers more than LLM's. I had to shorten the title.

I also submitted the Github since it has piles of convenient links for us. :)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osamu_Suzuki_(businessman)
You could try aider, or another tool/workflow where you provide whole files and ask for how they should be changed - very different from code completion type tools!
Pragmatically, "AI" will mean (and for, many people already does mean) stochastic and fallible.

If your users are likely to be AI illiterate and mistakenly feel that an AI app is reliable and suitable for mission critical applications when it isn't, that is a risk you mitigate.

But it seems deeply unserious of the author to just assert that mission-critical
software is the only "serious context" and the only thing matters, and therefore AI is dead end. "Serious, mission critical" apps are just going to be a niche in the future.
> trivial changes in the question

i love how those changes are often just a different seed in the randomness... as just chance.

run some repeated tests with "deeper than surface knowledge" on some niche subjects and got impressed that it gave the right answer... about 20% of the time.

(on earlier openAI models)
To others like me who don't know what this represents, $100B profit is approximately Apple.
Saying that they "lie" creates the impression that they have knowledge that they make false statements, and they intend to deceive.

They're not that capable. They're just bullshit artists.

LLM = LBM (large bullshit models).
>incompetence and lack of training

Seems the most likely, for all the usual reasons, and it seems pretty clear from recent conflicts that Russia still subscribes to the game plan of mass numbers of expendable troops, equipment, etc less so well trained.

Probably little choice when you're running a Kleptocracy. It appears there's no part of the Russian system immune to corruption / etc.
I know a lot of people who dropped out of CS in college. Not a single one dropped out because of a semicolon syntax issue.
>>> it’s very likely any given startup will not be attacked by nation state backed hackers.

On what assumption do you base this? Startups that have high research value don’t hit your radar as a target?

And Really? Any given startup? Also the OP used Facebook.

I am baffled at your sense of security in nation state activity. Read the 2012 annual report to Congress about China. They collect everything.
It only has to be less likely to cause that issue than a paralegal to be a net positive.

Some people expect AI to never make mistakes when doing jobs where people routinely make all kinds of mistakes of varying severity.

It’s the same as how people expect self-driving cars to be flawless when they think nothing of a pileup caused by a human watching a reel while behind the wheel.
For the 10th time WSL is not windows, it's a Linux emulator.
> google's LLM-based search results have been getting better

don't worry, Google WILL change this because they don't make money when people find the answer right away. They want people to see multiple ads before leaving the site.
> "we're going to steal all the jobs"

It won't steal them all, but it will have a major impact by stealing the lower level jobs which are more routine in nature -- but the problem is that those lower level jobs are necessary to gain the experience needed to get to the higher level jobs.

It also won't eliminate jobs completely, but it will greatly reduce the number of people needed for a particular job. So the impact that it will have on certain trades -- translators, paralegals, journalists, etc. -- is significant.
It's a very controversial topic in the Porsche community, but overall it seems like the people that really know what they are doing and build reliable good running engines avoid the iron sleeves (e.g. https://flat6innovations.com/cylinder-bore-scoring/). Like you said- it requires using loose clearances which makes for a noisy, oil burning, short lived, and low performance engine... not what you want in a Porsche.

The factory coatings do fail in some cases- usually in specific engine configurations with issues, but very often last 300k+ miles... on the smaller bore M96 engines cylinder/coating failures are almost unheard of, even with very high mileage and lots of hard track use. Personally, I'll just stick with the smaller bore engines, and in the unlikely event it fails get a good used block where the factory coating is still intact. There's tons of the 2.7 and 3.2 M96 Boxster engines out there still running great with 300k+ miles, and you can buy a good used one for a few grand.
I'm am sure some would, why not.

Do you normally question whether people deviate from behaving as stereotypes and are generally incapable of individual behavior, or just when corruption and bribery in the US is discussed?
Yeah Embraers are widely considered to be the safest aircraft in the skies. The E-135/140/145 has literally never had a single fatality in over 30 years of flying.
> I was hoping for something sort of like ssh keys

SSH keys (and any other keypair shared across services) are a non-starter on the web for privacy reasons. (See also: `ssh whoami.filippo.io`.)
> "Silicon Valley" is not an actor (human or organization of humans) that decided any such thing.

Oh come on, you understand full well that they're referring to the wider SV business/software development "ecosystem".

Which is absolutely to blame for javascript becoming the default language for full-stack development, and the resulting JS-ecosystem being a dysfunctional shitshow.

Most of this new JS-ecosystem was built by venture capital startups & tech giants obsessed with deploying quickly, with near-total disregard for actually building something robustly functional and sustainable.

e.g. React as a framework does not make sense in the real world. It is simply too slow on the median device.

It does, however, make sense in the world of the Venture Capital startup. Where you don't need users to be able to actually use your app/website well. You only need that app/website to exist ASAP so you can collect the next round of investment.
This is basic QM "spooky action at a distance" stuff. Quantum information is teleported instantaneously, however to make use of that information, you actually need to transfer classical information over regular channels. That doesn't mean it's not useful, see for example the way QKD works: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_key_distribution
Credential stuffing would be a much less effective strategy is web apps went back to string-based usernames, and not email-based ones.

Also, I hit CTRL-F on this post for the term "portable", and I got zero hits. Both passwords and SSH keys are trivially portable. Not so much with WebAuthn passkeys.
Fifty Two Things I Learned in 2024
> AI software that can generate at least $100 billion in profits.

That's not an AGI, it's an AI unicorn.
During the first Trump admin, a report concluded that each H-1B denied resulted in 0.4-0.9 jobs created offshore. That’s choosing a very remote worker over some quite remote candidates. So a dimension of this is also the logistics of compelling a return-to-office mandate.
Being open with a select group of collaborators has gained me above average praise, promotions, etc. over the years. You don't need to be an extrovert to be an average or slightly above average engineer, you just have to pick your battles appropriately and understand the problems you are solving. OP is optimizing for a rat race that most people don't care about.
That's not a counter to the parent's point. The parent is saying there are many critical factors, one of which was the US performing an assassination.

Saying "there were other critical factors" both agrees with the parent post and doesn't counter the idea that the US was a factor.
The internal dynamics of different nations is always interesting to me. My understanding was that in Iran top leadership wanted to maintain the lie but there was a lot of resistance within the government, so much so they chose to admit it.
As somebody that used to use them for a while: The ergonomics of TLS client authentication in the browser were abysmal. And that's to say nothing about the privacy consequences.
Show HN: AlphaGeometryRE AlphaGeometry Re-Engineered
AlphaGeometryRE is an re-engineered version AlphaGeometry with a goal to make it easy to use (especially on Windows):

* Use ChatLLM.cpp form LLM interference.

* Greatly simplified requirements.txt.

* Indent with four spaces.
Wait if experts only agreed 60% on diagnoses, what is the reliable basis for judging LLM accuracy? If experts struggle to agree on the input, how are they confidently ranking the output?
Note, if someone is trying this, that you need to grant accessibility permissions for it to work when Ghostty isn't focused.
I've found it depends on the context (pardon the pun)

For example, personal projects that are small and where copilot has access to all the context it needs to make a suggestion - such as a script or small game - it has been really useful.

But in a real world large project for my day job, where it would need access to almost the entire code base to make any kind of useful suggestion that could help me build a feature, it's useless! And I'd argue this is when I need it.
Kepler Invented Sci-Fi and Defended His Mother in a Witchcraft Trial
Failure to meet requirements != you fail if you don't meet the requirements
"AI is a really smart but inexperienced person who also lies frequently."
Careful. Here "smart" means "amazing at pattern-matching and incredibly well-read, but has zero understanding of the material."
There is nothing about that regard in non-copyleft licenses.

https://opensource.org/licenses
No clue why this is being flagged. It's a clear example of a SAM being used against passenger aircraft.
> At some point, you have to trust something.

If by "something" you mean an internet syncing service, then no, I don't.

I do trust my own backup methodology.
> It isn't, but that ship sailed when cpp was invented.

The fact that subsequent languages largely avoided that suggests that we can sometimes learn from our mistakes.
Calea Zacatechici and Silene Capensis have existed since forever... I've personally found them very effective
Human minds are far less black boxes than LLMs. There are entire fields of study and practice dedicated to understanding how they work, and to adjust how they work via medicine, drugs, education, therapy, and even surgery. There is, of course, a lot more to learn in all of those arenas, and our methods and practices are fallible. But acting as if it is the same level of black box is simply inaccurate.
> Some of them are actual civilian aircraft, retrofitted into unmanned suicide drones

literally small prop planes with guidance systems and instead of ~4 passengers it's lots of explosives. commonly used against Russian oil depots, etc.

small radar signature, and a lot of ambiguity with civilian aircraft.
We can label the service 'Free', for "17 layers of indirection in paying for it" values of 'Free'.

Not much above emotional attachment is free here under the sun.
I loved to draw as a kid and in 2015 I tried to really learn so I bought a cheap course in one of these learning platforms (I think it was udemy). I haven't really kept drawing and have been on and off since then. Last year I decided to get back at it again and have been drawing a bit more consistently but I still can't keep it a daily routine.

TL;DR: I draw, not consistently, but I do enjoy it.
I know almost nothing about this but lay understand is this: the state of a photon can possibly be encoded with a vast amount of information, instead of transmitting that information encoded into light, they transmitted the state of entangled photons and thusly recreated the information on the third photon.
It's not deceptive. The whole point of the study was to figure out a way to transfer quantum information through active Internet cables, and not empty optical cables.
What other light mobility devices? E-bikes and scooters seem to be the big things and they’re not anything like a Segway descendant.

A world where Segway never happened would be nearly indistinguishable from our own.
> It doesn’t matter if other authenticators could work if a relying party refuses to allow its users to use them.

You keep repeating that, but that's not possible anymore, since both Apple and Google removed attestation from their respective passkey/WebAuthN implementations.

For details, see https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42522490.
CATO's Human Freedom Index uses inflation as a metric.

"87.4% of countries experienced pandemic related inflation" is a far less interesting premise.
I think that it seems that way because we're not trained to see outgoing people as having any anxiety about the matter. It's a funny thing for sure.
The decline of Popular Science and other publications is astonishing to me. This article is very clearly written to be SEO clickbait.
I don't have an active memory of hearing either of them speaking poor English. Can't be true.
put another way, your average seagull ain't cruising at 10000 feet @ 600 mph
You could add tracking to build an anki like system for repetition and learning.
Why would it matter? OP is experiencing an undesirable outcome, and assigning blame for the problem seems besides the point when the main goal is to change the outcome.
It's not that easy, say for example if a over excited user clicks the purchase button 20 times, ending up in 20 simultaneous orders. What is the best way to handle it? Should the user get 20 orders shipped to him, or only one? And should the user get a message that says "order already processed" or "order processed successfully"? You can have a system that works correctly 99% of the time. The devil is in the 1% of time when things go wrong.
Russia was even well known for targeting any area listed as a hospital in Syria and specifically bombing it, taking basic humanitarian protocol to protect civilians and using them for evil.

Syrian doctors had to hide their locations to prevent the murder of their patients and themselves.
The thing that makes the smarter search use case interesting is how LLMs are doing their search result calculations: dynamically and at metadata scales previously impossible.

LLM-as-search is essentially the hand-tuned expert systems AI vs deep learning AI battle all over again.

Between natural language understanding and multiple correlations, it's going to scale a lot further than previous search approaches.
they seem to be investing a lot into replacing workers with AI.
why? because you don't think we're fully-capable adults here, able to weigh information and accept/reject it with full agency?
> if the EU could stop inking passports on the way in and out

I’m not sure what you’re referring to. Where are you traveling from? I never had my EU passport inked when traveling to the UK or US. Within the Schengen Area I never needed a passport.
Elon Musk lie? he would never.
> the mission of ensuring artificial general intelligence (AGI) benefits all of humanity

Formerly known as "do no evil". I'm not buying it at all this time around.
I don't think the new $100B=AGI thing is about investment return, but rather about reassuring sugar-daddy Microsoft, and future investors. The old OpenAI-Microsoft agreement apparently gave OpenAI the ludicrous ability to self-define themselves as having reached AGI arbitrarily, with "AGI reached" being the point beyond which Microsoft had no further rights to OpenAI IP.

With skyrocketing training/development costs, and OpenAI still unprofitable, they are still totally dependent on Microsoft, and Microsoft rightfully want to protect their own interests as they continue to expand their AI datacenters. Future investors want the Microsoft relationship to be good since OpenAI are dependent on it.
If you sell out humanity for a Gulf Stream 5 private jet when you already have a Gulf Stream 4 it’s not deserving of empathy.

“Somebody please think of the investors they only have 500 years of generational wealth”
only 80 years later than any reasonable, unbiased person would think is reasonable. I guess better late than never.
Pretty sure the lede got buried: Carle sold 50mm copies. What other design discipline holds out a possible return like that? Generally the designer works as hourly or project labor, not owner.

Also they are really fun to illustrate and design. Powerful combo.
DMCA is for user generated content on platforms, so microsoft wouldn't have a lot of surface-area to target. That said, youtube gives preferential treatment to the largest creators and companies. Apple and Disney could easily call up their manager Jerry at Youtube and deal with frivolous takedowns. Small creators often have no direct contact with a human at youtube and have X as their best option for contact. Unless they know the process and have enough money for a lawyer, they're shit out of luck.
Speaking as a linux addict from the 90s: The NT kernel was great. The windows GDI and USER were reasonable but a bit warty, and not fully up to date for current graphics works. COM as interoperability protocol was quite good. The windows UI from 95 to win2k was also great.

Really apart from the lack of unix shell like automation and some serious security holes, this was a good system. Unfortunately, starting with XP, the end user was not Microsoft's center of attention anymore, and the OS gets worse every new version since.
There's no need for there to be changes to the question. LLMs have a rng factor built in to the algorithm. It can happily give you the right answer and then the wrong one.
Previously: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42495703
https://knowablemagazine.org/content/article/mind/2024/self-...

Original article not on site that complains you’ve run out of free reads.
Well it has several tax advantages, and nobody really knows how the GPUs are actually used.

Let's imagine some of these AI companies are actually mining cryptos for the benefits of their owners or their engineers, who would know ?
Trust Issues: The closed corporate ecosystem is the problem
Right, but doesn't that offer the perfect cover if Putin actually wanted someone on that flight killed?
This argument is very prone to survivorship bias. Of course, when we think back to the hyped technologies of the past we are going to remember mostly those that justified the hype. The failures get forgotten. The memory of social discourse fades extremely quickly, much faster than, for example, pop culture or entertainment.
It seems to me like there's room in the market now for (another) philanthropic AI startup...?
It pretty much is though...the former will go into a record with HR so that doing the latter is legal.
VW knows the location of your car – so could have everyone else – 38C3
It looks like a hater with a suck channel who has mental issues, but also knows how to use LLMs to generate fake lawyer letters
> by the time you receive an IFF query, you know you're about to be shot at

I don’t think that’s the most common case for an IFF query. AWACS oversight aircraft likely issue more IFF queries than fighter intercepts do. You still want to respond to a friendly AWACS inquiry, even though that aircraft is 100nm away and no direct/immediate threat to you.
Let's please not. Password recovery flows are hard enough to get right and usually suck; adding username recovery on top of that doubles the opportunity for locking legitimate users out.
> rewrite a simple C program in a complex combination of assembly and syscalls

That'd be a good introduction to assembly for someone who already knows C well.
And that might be a FOMO or they can simply exit with profit as long as they can flame up the hype. An of course, they may be hoping to have it in long term.

They are not replacing their workers despite claiming that AI is currently as good as a PHD and they certainly don't go to AI medical doctors despite claiming that their tool is better than most doctors.
Duo Lingo?
Boaters, especially in northern Michigan and northern Washington (where the various small islands can almost seem randomly distributed between Canada and US), can get an app on their phone (the "CBP ROAM" app) to handle their frequent border crossings. A user creates a "trip" on the phone at the beginning of the day and then presses a button every time they cross the border. If the US has a problem they do a video call through the app. It's been around for a few years.
This whole introvert/extrovert label drives me a little crazy, just like almost anything that attempts to put people into boxes.

Humanity really needs to get past this foolish notion that things are black and white instead of the real shades of grey.

I probably straddle the line of introvert/extrovert. People tire me out, and I recharge in solitude like an introvert, but I'm also quite gregarious, and need to be around people getting a regular fix. I could never work solo on anything. I couldn't cope in a role that doesn't involve at least a handful of meetings a week (though they have to be legitimate, because I hate wasting my time in meetings and get easily bored in them).

I'm probably close to what OP was talking about, and it has certainly been integral to my progression to staff engineer, but like you I disagree with the premise that you need to be particular ways to make progress in your career.

While all of the staff engineers I work with operate at the same kind of level, I'm surrounded by staff and staff+ engineers of every stripe. From extremely introverted specialists in particular fields, all the way to extreme extroverts focusing on cross org collaboration and consensus, and every possible combination of behavior in between. That diversity is essential to our effectiveness.
If you think it won't exclude them 100% of the time, then you haven't used o1.
That's actually a nice way to write. Nobody knows for real what is going to happen. It's so frustrating to see a writer chase down one narrow narrative and cherry pick anecdotes etc. Understanding what just happened is often more complex. And the future is even more open.
fact of the matter is that if AIs externalities were exposed - that is massive energy consumption - to end users and humanity in general, no one would use it.
I can think of at least two incidents where the military was deciding between downing and not downing an airliner, and decided on the former. Oddly, they both involve Korean Air and the Soviet military.

One hopes the modern Russian military is less enthusiastic about such things, but I wouldn’t want to bet my life on it.