skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Right, but the branching factor increases exponentially with the scope of the work.

I think it's obvious that they've cracked the formula for solving well-defined, small-in-scope problems at a superhuman level. That's an amazing thing.

To me, it's less obvious that this implies that they will in short order with just more training data be able to solve ambiguous, large-in-scope problems at even just a skilled human level.

There are far more paths to consider, much more context to use, and in an RL setting, the rewards are much more ambiguously defined.
How do you upgrade brake pads over the air? Or ensure tyre and wheel conditions? Or any of the other mechanical parts of the car (suspension, axles, transmission in-so-much-it's-still used...) Or ensure sensors are not interfered with? As soon as you get Waymo into private hands (or competitors need to cut corners), you'll start having issues like these.

I don't think hoping for self-driving cars is stupid, and I would certainly love to have one I can trust to take me and my family around safely. But to get to that trust, I want better reporting than what this study provides and proposes :)
An example of a company using AI in the space to help extract data and match patients is this company https://deep6.ai/
My UniFi mad PoE setup draws about 100w and my NAS another 100w or so. The i3 in my Supermicro board has been quite the efficient little CPU. My AMD 7950 and a 4070ti had to be taken off one my UPS because it was going over 1000w at times. Not sure what the full draw is while gaming.

The thing that kept me away from retired server hardware isn’t so much the power draw as it is the fan noise.
People might not like this, but that's true.

as long as non-western countries keep polluting - even if we achieve net-zero nothing will change other than us feeling better and patting ourselves in the back.
You're misreading it, there's two different runs, a low and a high compute run.

The number for the high-compute one is ~172x the first one according to the article so ~=$2900
GPQA scores are mostly from pre-training, against content in the corpus. They have gone silent but look at the GPT4 technical report which calls this out.

We are nowhere close to what Sam Altman calls AGI and transformers are still limited to what uniform-TC0 can do.

As an example the Boolean Formula Value Problem is NC1-complete, thus beyond transformers but trivial to solve with a TM.

As it is now proven that the frame problem is equivalent to the halting problem, even if we can move past uniform-TC0 limits, novelty is still a problem.

I think the advancements are truly extraordinary, but unless you set the bar very low, we aren't close to AGI.

Heck we aren't close to P with commercial models.
I don't know if we can remove stuff from it. I guess it remains a few things here and there to remove.
I used to regularly skip meals when I gamed. Weight started creeping up after I quit
Is it? The moore’s law is dead dead, I don’t think this is a given.
It's all downstream of the US's incredible geopolitical luck after World War 2.

The latest Gallup polling suggests anti-vax sentiment is at an all-time high. In no other comparable country on earth do 45% of people say vaccines shouldn't be mandatory. And it's not the foreigners on visas who are contributing to anti-vax sentiment.
Is it possible this batch of survey respondents just doesn’t trust anyone with information about their habits, so they lied?
easy if you start from scratch, hard if you want to get existing projects working

also it doesn't always work, I got stuck with some dependencies
when it works it's amazing
Some obvious risks are: higher chances of STDs, higher chances of strangers causing trouble for you in your home, more difficulties having kids (from paternity issues to differences in values like poly people don't often want kids), and a higher risk of losing your partner. You would probably be better off paying for a prostitute than trying to make polyamory work with all its inherent drama and complications. You still have to worry about STDs but at least you can walk away from any and all other trouble.
The title:

> Bat Feces Used to Fertilize Cannabis Is Linked to 2 Deaths

From the article:

> The men, who lived in Rochester, N.Y., were not named in the article, published this month in the journal Open Forum Infectious Diseases.

> […] “Exposure to bat guano among cannabis growers appears to be a recent trend that can lead to histoplasmosis cases and outbreaks,” the researchers wrote.

The title seems fair and accurate to me. This is a reflection of the findings of the researchers.

Subjectively, the takeaway I got from this was “stay away from bat feces”, not “stay away from cannabis”.
You mean besides literally all the times when people upload raw copyrighted movies and music to YouTube? DMCA is boring and un-newsworthy when it's working properly. (Unless you're the type who thinks copyright is inherently wrong, but it would then be very silly to ask if DMCA was ever "used in a manner".)
Looks interesting. Has an off-by-one error though; YTD steps receipt starts with December 2023. I'm in UTC+1.
I'd need to see what kinds of easy tasks those are and would be happy to revise my hypothesis if that's warranted.

Also, it depends a great deal on what we define as AGI and whether they need to be a strict superset of typical human intelligence. o3's intelligence is probably superhuman in some aspects but inferior in others. We can find many humans who exhibit such tendencies as well. We'd probably say they think differently but would still call them generally intelligent.
This may be true for you (it's mostly true for me as well with Apple Music), but the spotify playlists and the auto-playlist-generator-thing are both enormously popular. There's little you can do with your behavior to affect the power Spotify has in the industry.

> What's wrong with Spotify providing both?

Spotify shouldn't be anything but a dumb pipe. Corporate money should not be dictating what art we gets produced and we have access to. It does, of course, across multiple industries, but that's generally a very bad thing.
Collective punishment is among the tactics being used in Gaza which are considered illegal under the law.
Do they need to appease Hamas, or just the average, and presumably more moderate Palestinian enough to make them stop feeling persecuted, and stop supporting Hamas themselves? This is a sincere question, I think it is worth stating that outright as I feel it could be read as trolling or disingenuous.
This was mostly because most scientific packages didn't provide Windows binary builds for many years.

Today you can just "pip install scipy" on Windows at it will just work.
There's no way 18% of straight men had a threesome. That sounds like the kind of thing people would lie about. In any case, a single threesome is not "polyamory" and certainly not closely related to "parallel dating."
Thanks! Macroexpanded:

Grayjay – Follow Creators Not Platforms - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37924776 - Oct 2023 (106 comments)
Resistive heating is still a big thing, including new products being developed.

Here's the latest: electric instant water heaters designed as drop-in replacements for gas boilers in hydronic heating systems: https://stromltd.com

All the inconveniences of a hydronic system and resistive electric in a single solution, what's not to like?

This is the perfect "slumlord special", installed in place of more economical (and ecological) solutions such as A/C knowing full well the tenant is going to pay the resulting astronomical bills.
i think the problem with shorts is not their length but how youtube presents them.

freetube shows shorts in the same way it shows normal videos, just in a separate category. you have to look for them and click to see them and they don't push you to jump to the next one, and most importantly they are not random, just your subscribed channels.

some channels use them as intro/overview for their longer videos which i find useful. other channels use them for stupid stuff which i ignore.

you can ignore them completely if you want. freetube also has a category for livestreams, which i ignore to the point that i forget it's there.

grayjay could support shorts in the same way.
Another aspect here I think is the generalized fear and anxiety present in young people. Having spoken to some family members in the 15-18 age bracket, the message they seem to be receiving is that they are without a future... they won't be buying homes, they won't be getting high paying jobs, and that the system is not going to work in their favor. I think people of this age are uniquely feeling mortal and vulnerable in a way teens typically have not, causing them to be more hesitant to risk losing their mind which they may need to protect themselves down the road. But they also are modern teenagers, not only low in willpower but also coddled by their smartphones, which is why technology addiction is the go to "safer" alternative to habitual drug use.

Also, you typically need to be unsupervised with friends to get into drugs, something teenagers no longer have access to compared to 10-15 years ago. If we look at the social decline due to the pandemic, what made experts think these kids would bounce back? They are forever changed, and will forever be less social than other generations because they missed out on formative experiences.
Google and Amazon refuse to put GenAI into their existing speakers (which barely function). No doubt they want a new product launch to charge more.
That's pretty cool! Quite specific to this file format/workload, but this is an important enough problem that people might well be interested in a tailored solution like this :)
Screenshots disappear for some reason on mobile. Home page has screenshots but only of the mobile app.
Complete aside here: I used to do work with amputees and prosthetics. There is a standardized test (and I just cannot remember the name) that fits in a briefcase. It's used for measuring the level of damage to the upper limbs and for prosthetic grading.

Basically, it's got the dumbest and simplest things in it. Stuff like a lock and key, a glass of water and jug, common units of currency, a zipper, etc. It tests if you can do any of those common human tasks. Like pouring a glass of water, picking up coins from a flat surface (I chew off my nails so even an able person like me fails that), zip up a jacket, lock your own door, put on lipstick, etc.

We had hand prosthetics that could play Mozart at 5x speed on a baby grand, but could not pick up a silver dollar or zip a jacket even a little bit. To the patients, the hands were therefore about as useful as a metal hook (a common solution with amputees today, not just pirates!).

Again, a total aside here, but your comment just reminded me of that brown briefcase. Life, it turns out, is a lot more complex than we give it credit for. Even pouring the OJ can be, in rare cases, transcendent.
"It makes me happy to see my partner happy" is Relationships 101. Just because people gave it a word, doesn't mean it didn't exist - and I'd claim the opposite, poly people had to make a word because its not seen as the default in that community.

This is like saying, I invented the word "hiverchill" which means "that feeling of cold when it snows". You can't say this was a blind spot in our language. We didn't need this word, because of course you are cold when it snows.
The idea behind this particular benchmark, at least, is that it can't be gamed. What are some ways to game ARC-AGI, meaning to pass it without developing the required internal model and insights?

In principle you can't optimize specifically for ARC-AGI, train against it, or overfit to it, because only a few of the puzzles are publicly disclosed.

Whether it lives up to that goal, I don't know, but their approach sounded good when I first heard about it.
There are a bunch of screenshots on the linked page, you might have a plugin that is interfering with the content if you don't see them.
I'm not contradicting you, but it appears that the suicide rate hasn't changed since 2018. See this interactive chart and switch the Injury Type to Suicide:

https://wisqars.cdc.gov/fatal-injury-trends/

That chart shows the rate has hovered around 4000 per month for years. That's 4000 too many, but at least it's not increasing.
The more Hacker News worthy discussion is the part where the author talks about search through the possible mini-program space of LLMs.

It makes sense because tree search can be endlessly optimized. In a sense, LLMs turn the unstructured, open system of general problems into a structured, closed system of possible moves. Which is really cool, IMO.
Yeah, OP is comparing this to Google/Amazon/Apple/etc devices but this is being developed by the nonprofit that manages development on Home Assistant and in cooperation with their large community of users. It's a very different attitude driving development of voice remotes for Home Assistant vs. large corporations. They've been around for a while now and have a proven track record of being actual, serious advocates for data privacy and user autonomy. Maybe they won't be forever, but then this thing is open source.

The whole point is that you control what these things do, and that you can run these things fully locally if you want with no internet access, and run your own custom software on them if that's what you want to do. This is a product for the Home Assistant community that will probably never turn much of a profit, nor do I expect it is intended to.
Yeah I feel for chat use case, o1 is just too slow for me, and my queries aren’t that complicated.

For coding, o1 is marvelous at Leetcode question I think it is the best teacher I would ever afford to teach me leetcoding, but I don’t find myself have a lot of other use cases for o1 that is complex and requires really long reasoning chain
It's not really true to say "very little has been done." Thousands of person-hours have been invested into this problem! But the results have been mixed.

At least uv is nice! https://docs.astral.sh/uv/
How does that make a difference here?

Besides, physical property law is also just an abstract concept. If _you_ own a swimming pool, who says I cannot use it also?
We’re enabling a huge swath of humanity being put out of work so a handful of billionaires can become trillionaires.
Didn't money basically only emerge to deal with with difficulty of “double coincidence of wants”. Money simply solved the problem of making all forms of value interchangeable and transportable across time AND circumstance? A dollar can do with with or without AI existing no?
Gnss includes other systems like glonass and beidou, not just GPS.

Frankly GPS is so outmoded as to be a questionable source of meaningful data for things like ionospheric metrics. Beidou is light years ahead in both speed and fidelity.
Generality is not binary. It's a spectrum. And these models are already general in ways those things you've mentioned simply weren't.

What exactly is AGI to you ? If it's simply a generally intelligent machine then what are you waiting for ? What else is there to be sure of ? There's nothing narrow about these models.

Humans love to believe they're oh so special so much that there will always be debates on whether 'AGI' has arrived. If you are waiting for that then you'll be waiting a very long time, even if a machine arrives that takes us to the next frontier in science.
He’s pretty big. He helped tip a presidential election.
Agreed, but isn't it management who decides that this would be implemented? Are they going to propogate their own removal?
This used to be a big headache for me, especially having developers on Windows but deployment targets in Linux, but a lot of the libraries I commonly use these days are either pure python or ship wheels for the platforms I use.

Were your issues recent or from several years ago?
All those saying "AGI", read the article and especially the section "So is it AGI?"
If it doesn't feel panic in its viscera when faced with a life-threatening or value-threatening situation, then it has no 'real' values. Just academic ones.
I tried Conda a number of time over the years, regretted it every time.

These days, when I absolutely have to use it because some obscure piece of software can't run unless Conda, I install it in a VM so that:

- I protect my working system from the damage of installing Conda on it

- I can throw the whole garbage fire away without long term brain damage to my system once I'm done
A headless Big Tech web engine, geeko|blink(gogol)/webkit(apple), with a virtual mouse and virtual keyboard strapped to properly trained AIs.

Like the AI based FPS game cheats, but for the web.
Probably as much as any other smart speaker without having to give your data away.
Germany – Car Drives into Crowd
You would think Eric Berger (who's a pretty seasoned space writer) would have played Kerbal Space Program. That game took my understanding of orbital dynamics to a whole other level. I was immediately bothered by that paragraph as well.
Yes, that's my point
Personally I find "human-level" to be a borderline meaningless and limiting term. Are we now super human as a species relative to ourselves just five years ago because of our advances in developing computer programs that better imitate what many (but far from all) of us were already capable of doing? Have we reached a limit to human potential that can only be surpassed by digital machines? Who decides what human level is and when we have surpassed it? I have seen some ridiculous claims about ai in art that don't stand up to even the slightest scrutiny by domain experts but that easily fool the masses.
This might sound dumb, and I'm not sure how to phrase this, but is there a way to measure the raw model output quality without all the more "traditional" engineering work (mountain of `if` statements I assume) done on top of the output? And if so, would that be a better measure of when scaling up the input data will start showing diminishing returns?

(I know very little about the guts of LLMs or how they're tested, so the distinction between "raw" output and the more deterministic engineering work might be incorrect)
Not data driven at all, just my life experience, but I was a teen during the crack epidemic phase. It certainly had me and my peers cautious of crack itself, nobody wanted anything do to with it, but it was not a deterrence to drug usage in general. I was pretty experimental but when offered some crack once I remember declining; I wasn't even curious. The things that had the most correlation with my drug experimentation was 1) social activity/partying and 2) boredom. I think it's important to note as the average teen socializes significantly less and always has a digital crack pipe to cure their boredom; so I'd look there for a stronger causation.
Soundtrack for appropriate ambiance.

https://music.youtube.com/watch?v=ZnIxWznakz8&si=jhjMURGD4S0...
Human performance is much closer to 100% on this, depending on your human. It's easy to miss the dot in the corner of the headline graph in TFA that says "STEM grad."
How can there be "private" taks when you have use the OpenAI API to run queries? OpenAI sees everything.
Different legal environment. Until 1908, player piano companies didn't have to pay royalties to composers. See White-Smith Music Publishing Co. v. Apollo Co..[1] So, in its growth period, the player piano industry didn't need to acquire music rights.
Then Congress changed the law, to create the "mechanical license" right to play out the song from a storage device.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White-Smith_Music_Publishing_C....
It would be great to save time on the implementation of board game rules engines. Unfortunately the fine folks at FFG are really bad at figuring out what the rules actually are and telling people :(
Would you have any objection to your version being used as an AI test?

It seems plausible that AIs could port this code to other architecures. It seems like a good large scale task that most systems probably can't manage right now, but perhaps soon.
The article linked here doesn't compare previous time periods, only showing the percentages of use/abstaining that they detected now and just saying that's a decline or record decline, while the article it links to does compare to prior time periods for you to make up your mind about that better

https://news.umich.edu/missing-rebound-youth-drug-use-defies...
The article discusses all drug use, not just addictive use. I don't think addiction is prevalent enough to solely explain those numbers.
I can’t speak for anyone else but I’ve completely stopped doing any drugs that I can’t make myself or purchase from a liquor store or dispensary (or shroom store). The risk of fentanyl making it into the product even for unrelated party drugs is just insane now and I don’t trust myself to use fentanyl strips properly while already high or tripping.

I wonder if that impacts teen drug use too, because for the first time opponents have a tangible risk to point to instead of just a dumb frying pan commercial and fearmongering.
I remember lying on these surveys when i was 12 out of paranoia, i wonder if the internet makes teens more prone to this
Disclosure: I have a house battery.

over the last three months, I've been paying on average 16p a unit. Thats with a car as well. On the days in the winter when solar isn't doing shit, we top up at the lowest price that day.

This kinda goes to the articles point which is to you can avoid, or limit the peak with local storage.

The issue with the battery is that its costs a shit tonne. a basic battery is going to cost something like £8k installed.

Its almost certainly cheaper to upgrade the grid compared to adding batteries to a million households. Especially as the lifespan of batteries isn't that long compared to the super grid.
Does compulsive technology use trigger the same neural pathways as addictive substances?

Because "addiction" is a very loaded term (with a specific clinical definition when it's not being used colloquially), and the sources you cited used "attachment" instead.
Starbucks Baristas Walk Out and Picket in Three Cities in Bid for Contract
The secret to long-lasting connection? Shared rituals
Be careful of a possible false dichotomy; People don’t need to have a drug.
That's fine - but then it's no surprise if deep skills stay out of reach. Skills that take more than a few hours of watching a YouTube video or reading a book or two to acquire. Skills that one arguably should care about if one wants a career in that field.
> If there is one major lesson to be drawn from the war in Ukraine, apart from the need for an ability to produce drones, munitions, and missiles fast, it’s that small and cheap beats big and expensive

I think that's typical of the technology maturation process. Early on, the technology is immature and simple, innovation is happening rapidly, and complex, integrated, refined R&D processes and machines have little value. Later, many lessons have been learned, the technology becomes more mature and complex, and big and expensive becomes much more powerful than small and cheap.

As of todoay, small and cheap drones make sense; but small and cheap manned fighter planes would be ridiculous. Some day the drones will be like the fighter planes in maturity and complexity.
what do you mean by the mountain of if-statements on top of the output? like checking if the output matches the expected result in evaluations?
Google and Amazon Web Services each sponsor a $40k programming contest
why is this missing the o1 release / o1 pro models? Would love to know how much better they are
> Though Powell said Wednesday that inflation has “moved much closer” to the Fed’s goal, he said the changes in the projected path for rate cuts reflects “the expectation inflation will be higher” in the year ahead.

> “It’s kind of common sense thinking that when the path is uncertain you go a little bit slower,” Powell said. “It’s not unlike driving on a foggy night or walking into a dark room full of furniture. You just slow down.”

Very carefully choosing his words.