skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>Exploring space in a Monte Carlo Tree Search way, and remembering what works.

The information space of "research" is far larger than the information space of image recognition or language, larger than our universe probably, it's tantamount to formalizing the entire World. Such an act would be akin to touching "God" in some sense of finding the root of knowledge.

In more practical terms, when it comes to formal systems there is a tradeoff between power and expressiveness. Category Theory, Set Theory, etc are strong enough to theoretically capture everything, but are far to abstract to use in practical sense with suspect to our universe. The systems that do we have, aka expert systems or knowledge representation systems like First Order Predicate Logic aren't strong enough to fully capture reality.

Most importantly, the information spac have to be fully defined by researchers here, that's the real meat of research beyond the engineering of specific approaches to explore that space. But in any case, how many people in the world are both capable of and are actually working on such problems? This is highly foundational mathematics and philosophy here, the engineers don't have the tools here.
Someone once asked how would you cope with lawful interception of corrupt law enforcement agencies, so allow me to explain TideCloak in that context: imagine a corrupt agency requests the identity information of a specific user of TideCloak: they file a subpoena from the TideCloak operator – however the root identity of the user doesn't reside there. It's with Tide's Fabric. So, the agency has to file subpoenas in all the jurisdictions that this particular user's ID is split. Let's say that's this user's authority is spread across 17 countries across 9 jurisdictions – you'll need the cooperation of all those jurisdictions to get access to a single user identity. Still possible for an Interpol-coordinated task force for a valid law enforcement operation, but that's going to be very hard to get under the radar if the agency is corrupt.
+1 for mentioning Bryan Johnson
I was talking about third party libraries (library code), not providers (okta)
Using the wrong approach? Not taking the 'bitter lesson' to heart?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23781400
> the US financial system. It appears primed to go poof!

Can you explain more, and provide some specific examples? Are you talking about commercial banks, investment banks, or insurance companies? (They make up the bulk of what most people mean when they say "financial system".) Post-2008 GFC, ibanks are stronger than ever because they are much more conservative. With the exception of a couple of run-on-the-banks, commercial banks have been more stable than ever in the last 50 years. Similar for insurance companies.
At least for the "to the right" part, I think the monotonicity of time has that one covered unless someone invents a time machine to improve metrics in the past.
I give AI a “water cooler chat” level of veracity, which means it’s about as true as chatting with a coworker at a water cooler when that used to happen. Which is to say if I just need to file the information away as a “huh” it’s fine, but if I need to act on it or cite it, I need to do deeper research.
Fastmail Advent 2024
No true scottsman fallacy. I know how to use them, but using them "correctly" still produces many errors.

They suck at non-trivial code outside of standard library usage and boilerplate coding: I gave an example and parent did as well. In that regard would at least change your phrase from "actual coders" to "actual senior coders", as any junior receiving bad advice (in eternal loops as LLMs normally like to do it) is only going to make them waste time and tokens.
I will never understand why all these minimalist content publishing systems pretend that visual imagery is unnecessary.

Humans have expressed themselves in images long before they have expressed themselves in text.

Any system that forces humans to express themselves purely in ASCII, monospace, and monochrome is crude and borderline disrespectful towards human expression.

It made sense in 1983, when the technology to power these expressions was not prevalent. But why do this today? I know they exist, but who are the people who confine themselves this way? Is it acknowledged as an act of self-discipline or self-restraint? Some sort of an artistic statement? What is the process through which one arrives at "I will commit to this system, and always only communicate in written speech, laid out in uniform monochromatic typographic format. I will walk into these constraints voluntarily."

Any medieval monk writing manuscripts, any ancient Greek or Roman or Egyptian or Chinese capturing history and literature on parchments would have gasped at such a thought.
> Write super boring code. Write naive but obvious code. “Premature optimization is the root of all evil”. If it was too simple, you can always make it more complex later. And that moment might never arrive. Don’t write clever code until you simply have to. You will not ever regret writing code that was simple.

Hang this in the Louvre.
> Google is by far the most hypocritical

Blame it on Kennedy Gmail rollout which started the waste-the-space movement.

Android is also quite a space waster compared to iOS. It's much less comfortable to use a small Android than a small iOS device.
Nothing substantial. When we look back, 2025 will be just a footnote :halo:
DLL hell hasn't been a thing for more than a decade at this point though, so maybe it did. I genuinely never encounter any issues with DLLs anymore.
The imgur website is the worst.
In summary: so the "stomps benchmarks" means nothing for anyone trying to make decisions on that announcement (yet they show cost/perf info). It seems, hipey.
You can divide your approach to asking questions with people (and I do believe this is something people do):

1. You ask someone you can trust for facts and opinions on topics, but you keep in mind that the answer might only be right in 90% of the cases. Also people tend to tell you if the are not sure.

2. For answers you need to rely on you ask people who are legally or professionally responsible if they give you wrong advice: doctors, lawyers, car mechanics, the police etc.

ChatGPT can‘t lose it‘s job if it informs you incorrectly.
Also, if you see something you don't like about Retainr (or perhaps if you just hate SaaS!), please leave a comment here too!
I keep thinking about that Idris Elba Microsoft ad about AI about how much AI can help my business, and how both true and untrue that as is, and how much distance there is between the now and the possible promised of AI, and I imagine this is what keeps Altman up at night.
That’s just The Google Rot™ leaking out. It’s the one product I wish they would kill off already.
> most authentication schemes are well-known

so why maintain your own implementation of the scheme/spec when a community already does, as well as handles the vulns as they pop up and generally has more eyes looking (and fixing) issues?

Here's how I look at it; Trust my own NIH implementation of a spec and hope a user reports a vuln instead of it going undisclosed/unnoticed in the wild for years, or use a community lib that is always being scrutinized and vetted and has security professionals involved. It's a no brainer for me.
>Over the last 4 months I've moved most of my investments to gold, trading cards, BTC, wine, land and rare earth.

And you believe that in an economic crisis, people are going to want to buy these things?
I should add that these systems should also have some agency or goal resilience, like goal #1 Don’t die despite your environment and external influences. Easier done through control of free energy to counteract said external forces. And since entropy is a little fuzzy as a concept, we could substitute “reduce entropy” with “maximize free energy” or anything that can create blue photons or super high temperatures.
LLMs suffer from the "Igon Value Problem" https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Igon_Value_Problem

Similar to reading a pop sci book, you're getting an entertainment from a thing with no actual understanding of the source material rather than an education.
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Most human experts, when asked about their area of expertise, don't parrot what some guy said as joke on Reddit five years ago.

Most lawyers, when you ask them to write a brief, will cite only real cases.
> the safe c++ subset (if it arrives and works as promised)

It won't, and it's not meant to. It's not a serious effort to fix anything, it's an excuse to dismiss the problem.
I feel like if I did this, I would be charged under the CFAA with at least 5 years prison time.
All you have to do is just remember you’re asking your uncle bob, a man of extensive usually not too inaccurate knowledge.

There’s no reason a source has to be authoritative, just because it’s a computer.

It is a bit of an adjustment, though. We are used to our machines being accurate, or failing loudly.

But, looks like the future is opinionated machines.
* One or a few of the faangmanga-ish leaders will retire (or forced to by the board) and the new leader will be from within (likely Tim Cook for age reasons but could equally likely be Sundar Pichai for non-age reasons)

* LLMs (for non-coding tasks) will likely fizzle out as expensive talking fidget spinners and not the world saviors that the companies behind them envision them to be. AI will go back to being fun and exciting again and not the delight of both Wall Street and the ‘shoeshine boy’.

* Cloud egress costs will be heavily scrutinized and competed upon as transferring data no longer becomes a competitive advantage.

* Apple or someone like Apple will take advantage of cratering storage/compute costs by moving things off cloud to a locally owned ‘box’ that pairs with a new dumb-client/thin phone (backups, massive storage, running some compute on this box, sharing/storing ‘family’ stuff, streaming games or movies etc) also accessible via a reverse proxy (vpn) from anywhere.

* A combo of aibo/roomba/ring like device that goes about or rolls around your house and does things for you… kinda real life flubber.

* Selling users’ data goes out of fashion (goog/meta) as new companies use privacy as a competitive advantage to sell ads.

* Finally games actually have AI that doesn’t suck - a new class of AI games that would challenge and delight humans like never before.
Well if you’re a sensible person, you stop treating them as subject matter expert
I’ve never been a fan of google UI/UX myself
> but this where you get all of your performance caveats.

You mean the one where it locks on write? It’s totally fine, if you wrote any cross process code yourself it’s probably going to do similar locking.
> I've been doing some planning over the last couple of years on teaching a course on how to do all this

Yes! It's surprisingly common to hear it can't work, or can't scale or run reliably, when all that is done. Talking about how you've done it is great from that perspective.

Also, it's worth talking about what you gain, qualitatively! As this post mentions, your high-performance storage options are far better outside the cloud. People often mention egress, too. The appealing idea to me is using your extra flexibility to deploy better stuff, not saving a bit of cost.
When you say “cloud”, are you including old school web hosts that will rent you a dedicated server?

Like OVH, Hetzner or Hivelocity?

Because you can get some insane servers for like $300/month (eg brand new 5th gen Epyc 48-core / 0.5TB ram / lots of NVME) and globally available.
> ... i think google will take the lead here as they just have monopoly on dataset ...

I think there's plenty of data for people to train substantial models, either drawing directly from the public domain or scraping content. The cost of compute and disk space will continue to drop exponentially fueling the ability of small businesses and amateurs.

Compute is still following Moore's law, more or less, when you allow for GPUs. Hard drives are relatively on the same path, with maybe a price halving every 3 years or so.

> ... while on open source mark zuckerberg will be continuously leveling the playing field so the general population can keep up in terms of availability of access and end-result productivity.

Meta's offering is not open source. I agree that all the big players will make substantial moves in this space but I'm much more interested in the niche models that are actually libre/free/open source. I suspect FOSS will eventually eat all the big players lunch but I don't have a good read on it (nor do I know anything about China's OSS models).

> it's gonna be great to see lots of micro communities offering better content than netflix/disney/hbo ...

It sounds like a "Black Mirror" episode but I can't wait (and I don't think it'll be as bad as "Black Mirror").

> i wonder how much of the industry will transition into pure prompting too ...

My read on this is that we're in the "experimental art house" phase of this type of generative AI. So many people create weird things, experimenting with the technology but ultimately having low expectations in terms of what gets produced.

Sometime soon (1-2+ years?) my guess is we'll see finer control with someone, either an actor, director, etc. that can provide dialogue, facial expression and body language with minimal setup, a camera or voice recording, say, that can make or refine avatar/agent performance. I would guess this would be available to specialized visual graphics shops but will eventually bleed out so that amateurs have access. I think we might be seeing this available already.

Eventually, we'll have "make what I want", but I would imagine that's 5-10+ years away.
Couldn’t agree more. Btw what’s your use case?
Experience.
If I recognize they give unreliable answers on a specific topic I don’t question them anymore on that topic.

If they lie on purpose I don’t ask them anything anymore.

The real experts give reliable answers, LLMs don’t.

The same question can yield different results.
> There’s no reason why I need 20,000 items on the screen at the same time. Fewer but more legible items are better. I can scroll for more.

I'm reasonably sure most spreadsheet power users would have the opposite preferences to you. I do, for one. Data density is everything in non-trivial spreadsheets.
The article I posted did not claim they were the whole problem, nor did I.

They are, however, a large part of the system that no one likes to deal with and can be fully eliminated without obvious negative consequences.

Health insurance doesn’t provide health care and is a purely extractive rent-seeking business. The article I posted even explains how single payer can help drive health care provider rates lower, as you now have a single, powerful entity (Medicare) negotiating against doctors, hospitals and drug companies.

And this “one player” (health insurance companies) heavily lobby against the implementation of single payer health care system. And their profit caps ensure that their goal is to grow the cost of medical care so they can take an ever higher profit in absolute dollars.
As a marketer I recognize this and it’s the result of territorial marketing agendas at war over IAM, In-App Messaging, the holy grail of conversion funnels.

It’s a shame that Google is being run by marketers rather than engineers. And I say that as a marketer. When engineers were running the company this shit didn’t happen. Now we’re watching the inch by inch trench warfare of various teams at Google vying for quarterly KPIs and it sucks bad.

I anxiously await the next Google to usurp what Google has become, which is a kinda of proto IBM/GE.
100% agreed.

Maybe that urge (or need for the satisfaction) stems from having paid for a book or keeping a list of "read" books etc., But it's not worth the time and effort. If you find a book uninteresting, just close it and move on. If you linger on it later you can always return to it.
I think Open AI will release a GPT phone and the UX is built around your phone being your personal AI assistant.

When you pick it up it's like you are always on a Facetime call with your AI personal assistant. You can skin your AI personal assistant how they look .. to look like a celebrity to a deceased friend or relative whose always there to help & guide you through your day (get things done for you, your knowlegdebase, knows your life and sees how you are doing via Vision AI.. if you want it can be your friend and show care for you).

If Open AI doesn't do this then another AI company will in 2025. We need a new phone / personal device paradigm. The iPhone and Android are stale and boring in 2024!
> and it's impressive that they're so technically savvy they don't need the CSS as noted elsewhere

With the logs you provided, they appear to be coming from within iMessage.

So when someone posts a link in iMessage it will fetch the favicon(s) and the html in order to generate a “preview” of the page with the title of the page and use one of the favicons. It doesn’t need to fetch any css files to do this.

Not saying bad actors don’t fetch css either, but the lack of it being fetched doesn’t mean that it’s a bad actor.

As for why CF don’t reverse DNS their IPs stating it’s iCloud private relay, well CF are not Apples only 3rd party egress provider (Akamai are also one that springs to mind). So if the number of providers can change at any time, the best source of information about valid egress providers is from Apple themselves.

But Apple do also publish these changes to geo-location databases for you to query, for example: https://www.ip2location.com/demo/104.28.42.8 lists it as iCloud Private Relay.

As for “are CloudFlare caching my site when ran through private relay?”, not 100% sure, I’ll have to check my own logs and cba’ed right now, but I don’t think so (it’s been a while since I ran tests on it to see how it behaved to be 100% sure right this minute.

But I think it would be silly of them if they did as they may not be aware of the what to cache and for who. Let’s say they cached /profile without knowing what the server is using to determine who the logged in user is, they may false cache-hit and leak data from a previous request. When they act as your sites CDN you explicitly tell them what to cache on, but when acting as a relay (either for apple or their own warp product) for a site they are not a CDN for they are missing this info, sure they could guess, but why risk being wrong?)
I think if you count animation we’re probably real close going from comic book series to animated feature.
Cross check against what?
AI generated texts will flood the internet and burry the real knowledge just like SEO did before. But this time the fake knowledge will be less obvious and harder to check.
While true, LLMs are just a more advanced version of it. Let's take Go as example as that is a very boilerplatey language; with claude, I only have to write the meat, for instance;

result, err:= doSomething()

and it'll generate the rest around it. Every time. Faster than I would type it and with more eye for detail (I am lazy, I will forget things as I did it now the 10004th time). So you can imagine some boilerplate scaffold thing that would do this err handling for you, but if you have a custom one, for 'old' tools you would have to tell the tool; now it just does it.

It especially becomes clear in frontend tasks: it just generates 100+ lines of react that work and look good; who likes writing they type of thing manually? I know 0 people who do: after that you will want to tweak it, but the 100k+ lines of react we generally have in a project are not something we would want to write these days from scratch. Which old school scaffold etc tool does that? So that it is 80-90% there for SaaS first shot? I know nothing (doesn't exist) without the lovely verboseness of having to type a million tags?

It saves us a lot of time we don't have to spend on boring stuff. We only have to write the actual business logic and data models; the rest drops out. And of course we only have to write that very loosely, not formally.
AI used to develop new science along with efforts by governments to control access.

Trump delivers a live speech acknowledging the existence of non human technology on earth and a bit of what we know.
It's the exact same reason why most companies don't just run their own power stations, and instead buy it from a power company.

Computation has become a utility these days - this includes the fat ISP lines and connectivity etc, not just the CPU and harddrives. These things have economies of scale that smaller companies cannot truly reach, and will pay a huge fixed cost if they want state of the art management, monitoring and redundancy. So unless you are a massive consumer, just like power stations, you really don't need nor want to build your own.
How would you expect a gen AI to know what actually happened in any situation?
> Housing costs triple over night for the win? We'll all be homeless but those of us in construction will get a boost (or decreased competition from low cost imported labor).

Your discourse is sensationalist and unnecessarily agitated. Paying workers a fair wage wouldn't triple housing costs, that figure is completely made up.

> We'll all be homeless

It also wouldn't lead to complete homelessness.
You’ll be asked to log in into a government-run account, which will pinky promise not to store who accessed what.
It's basically a replacement for Stack Overflow, made possible by scraping Stack Overflow.
* AI and LLMs will continue to improve. AI will create a new programming language that will take the world by storm

* Market share for solar continues to increase

* A market crash occurs in the US and a government bailout is instituted.

* The US creates a pretext to go to war with Iran and is defeated.
It's not a trivial difference like you suggest.
models from different vendors,plus google search. for serious stuff, we'll still have to check manually ourselves
That's director or higher (and the upper end is at least a vp). I mean, there probably is a director involved, but they definitely aren't the one making the padding.
Yes. They're a part of the problem. Specifically: they are less than 10% of the problem. If you replaced them with Medicare, you would get somewhere between 1-5% off your health care bills, if everything went optimally.

Meanwhile: we are commenting on a story about someone murdering a health insurance executive.
My New Url Shortner
It's probably your IP? Try a VPN is my only suggestion.
SWE-Bench+: Enhanced Coding Benchmark for LLMs
It's getting really hard to post anywhere on Reddit with a new (low karma) account because so many subreddits have installed karma gating to stop low karma bots doing exactly what OP is talking about.
Don’t you already need to know the people before you are part of the Stammtisch?

That means you already aren’t lonely you just have a common spot in a pub with your friends - HIMYM vibes incoming.