skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Google will rename their AI product at least 3 times,
Google will also launch and shut down at least 5 messaging services.
The article definitely has issues, but to me what's relevant is where it's published. The smart money and experts without a vested interest have been well aware LLMs are an expensive dead for over a year and have been saying as much (Gary Marcus for instance). That this is starting to enter mainstream consciousness is what's newsworthy.
Longest common substring is linear time.
Society will continue regressing towards the mean of the last few thousand years. Less American exceptionalism, more serfdom and misery. Maybe polio will make a come back!
It's not just a bit out there; it's completely antithetical to what we're seeing in the data.
It's called HTML + RSS.
Emoji Garden
> Gambling addiction in kids is through the roof, sports betting, crypto betting, csgo skin betting

Hopefully content creators will get persecuted for selling crypto pump and dump schemes towards kids.
That makes a lot of sense.

Binary success criteria has very little room for bias.
The decline continues but steeper.

Market instability
I'm going to get older and gain weight.
More like "if you empty a safe-deposit box that doesn't belong to you, don't be surprised if random people start complaining about their goods being stolen."

Ownership matters for more than just memory. And the "just use GC" answer means deadlocks and leaks galore. If you limit yourself to killing processes you own, you will never have a problem.
Predictions from 2008:

National Intelligence Council/Director of National Intelligence - Global Trends 2025

https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Newsroom/Reports%20and%2...
If a forum has it, foreign agents already had it.
You have data for AI investments in 2025?
The results of this article are going to be fascinating. Realistically, WSJ has a far wider audience than the tech echo chamber, and the general public is only aware of GPT, not o1/o3.

Outsiders will likely read this article and think, “AI is running out of steam”, because GPT-5 is behind.

Those closer to this know of the huge advancements o3 just made yesterday, and will have a complete opposite conclusion.

It will be interesting to see people’s take away from this. I think WSJ missed the mark here with the headline and the takeaway their audience will get from the article.
I'll bandwagon on chat.com getting 10% or higher marketshare. Look back at Google search's 800 number; https://techcrunch.com/2013/05/12/google-kills-sms-search/ (the only article I could find). We're at that stage of chat.com going mainstream. Already chat.com is a better experience for finding local shops and restaurants.

ChatGPT voice mode was surgically amazing while driving. I had a personal assistant refining criteria to find the perfect shop to find the gift I wanted that was open and on my way to my destination.

I don't think there is a moat for search given the power of AI tools.
What's it give you above just holding a big object in memory? I guess partial serialization is something, so updates are stored on disk... But then why not just store a json file per key on disk? It's not like the serialized blobs allow you to have indexes or a particularly efficient full text search, so why bother with the SQL statements at all?
But psychoanalysis is literally psudoscientific nonsense. You got spooked.
Had a small circle that did the same every Friday evening. But as time passes, members have gotten more commitments, and the whole thing got dispersed.

I'd like to believe that I was one of the more avid members, but waiting alone for up to hours for the next guy to pop up, made me quit too.

Last I heard, only two to three members are left, and its a somewhat odd lunch held around 3-4pm.
The troubling part is that the references themselves existed -- one was an obscure Russian text that is difficult to find (but is exactly where you'd expect to find this kind of result, if it existed).
Very cool prediction, but is there anything like this actually coming down the pipe?
Someone here will enter 2024 on a form that requires the date.
New LLama will be released.

Efforts of the team will be appreciated publicly.

It will remain the most impactful open model.
The autoregressive transformer LLMs aren't even the only way to do text generation. There are now diffusion based LLMs, StripedHyena based LLMs, and float matching based LLMs.

There's a wide amount of research into other sorts of architectures.
Maybe they should hurry up and approve more claims. Seriously, my son’s insulin pump is sitting in “prior authorization” just so they can fuck me into paying the full deductible come Jan 1. Fuck United Healthcare.
The amount of desperate rationalization in this thread is unbelievable. It's like watching people at a Pentecostal church start speaking in tongues in the hope that something wonderful will happen until it evolves into the realization that shit isn't going to happen and then slowly they just kind of putter out.

TLDR: The cacophony of fools is so loud now. Thank goodness it won't last.
Not necessarily. And this is the problem with ARC that people seem to forget.

- It's just a suite of visual puzzles. It's not like say GSM8K where proficiency in it gives some indication on Math proficiency in general.

- It's specifically a suite of puzzles that LLMs have shown particular difficulty in.

Basically how much compute it takes to handle a task in this benchmark does not correlate with how much it will take LLMs to compute tasks that people actually want to use LLMs for.
Forget about 2025. I predict that, despite being a highly valued member of my organization and despite my company making money hand over fist, I will not get a holiday bonus this year.
I think you’ve articulated it pretty clearly here, but I still have minor quibbles. Back to the original point… I might be misconstruing it, but reads a bit like this to me: something should be free of consumer protections if consumers have cheaper alternatives; they chose the more expensive option, and therefore they should suffer the consequences of that good or bad; and furthermore, we shouldn’t care if the company selling the product (allegedly) actively works to make it harder for them to transition to the cheaper alternatives in the future should they so desire.

Does that seem like a misconstruction of the part of the argument that we originally started this string of comments on? I think there are other slightly better arguments against it but this one seems pretty flawed to me.

It seems reasonable to me that when a product hits some critical, hard-to-define adoption threshold, even if it is a “luxury” choice by your definition, there is still a good argument for placing consumer protections in place. It’s also reasonable to believe those actions would be nanny-state failings, stifle innovation, drive business away etc etc, but I do think the first point of view is reasonable.
>You did nothing at all to demonstrate why you cannot produce an intelligent system from a next token language based predictor

Sorry, but the burden of proof is on your side...

The intelligence is in the corpus the LLM was fed with. Using statistics to pick from it and re-arrange it gives new intelligent results because the information was already produced by intelligent beings.

If somebody gives you an excerpt of a book, it doesn't mean they have the intelligence of the author - even if you have taught them a mechanical statistical method to give back a section matching a query you make.

Kids learn to speak and understand language at 3-4 years old (among tons of other concepts), and can reason by themselves in a few years with less than 1 billionth the input...

>What GPT says about this is completely irrelevant.

On the contrary, it's using its very real intelligence, about to reach singularity any time now, and this is its verdict!

Why would you say it's irrelevant? That would be as if it merely statistically parroted combinations of its training data unconnected to any reasoning (except of that the human creators of the data used to create them) or objective reality...
It would make a lot more sense to preemptively kill them to influence the spread.
Well, those server farms don't pay for themselves.
We’ve been doing this for over 20 years.

But the “glue” that keeps us together, is the organization we’re all members of.
What are the checks and balances on the power of Elon Musk?
Google's own AI Lab hilariously recommends a vastly more radical breakup plan than the DOJ is asking for. To protect the markets it recommends breaking Google up into no fewer than seven companies!
In what way would this be better than a written overview?
Why is Hacker News OBSESSED with Germany no longer getting 13% of it's power from nuclear?

Of course you can disagree with it, but the way people frame it as as some sort of doomsday decision is just utterly, totally, ludicrous.

If this were a regular german language news site this would not be the top comment, nor would there would be a discussion about nuclear power in literally any post about Germany.

I'm quite sure I could make a post about some German film director and someone would claim his films would have been better if only it wasn't for the cataclysmic decision to not have 13% nuclear power.

I mean seriously, WTF? You think all the problems of the economy(global demand trends, phase out of ICE cars, red tape, lack of skilled staff), and all the problems of politics(immigration, healthcare, social cohesion, taxation, budget balancing, social system) could be solved by having a different type of power station?

Posts like this are what is utter madness.
Direnv: Load and unload environment variables depending on the current directory
The parameters have moved to a class method, still within the class, which is now public, but still taking a string and an intrinsic int, the string, as being passed as a parameter is already in the string pool or perhaps on the heap outside the string pool if it was created with New,

Nothing has been elevated outside of the block scope.

As private methods don't use the table now:

https://github.com/openjdk/jdk11u-dev/commit/942001236f945c2...

Where is anything that was claimed about raising variables to global scope as was suggested above apply.

You still have a constructor btw, just the make() method overloading the missing class construction.

The parameters are just placeholders, they have to be instantiate when invoked even if the implicit construction is hidden.

But in the beginning example and the refactored example they have the same instance variables, with the latter being marked private but that doesn't impact the lifecycle.

The question being if the refactored version uses the new private methods as callable or if optimization removes them.

The point being is that blaming performance regressions on this type of refactoring to improve readability is on thin ground for java.

This example does nothing to suggest that global state APIs etc.. that are a problem in react relate at all to the recommendation, which are still containing everything in a local scope.

I thank you for taking the time to answer, but what I am looking for is how this somehow lifts vars to a global scope, which it doesn't.
I think the defining story of 2025 will be AI agents getting very good with computer use, largely enabled by RL fine tuning.
Yea, and those statements were true. For a time. If you want to say "AGI will be priceless some unknown time into the future" then i'd be on board lol. But to imply it'll be immediately priceless? As in no cost spent today wouldn't be immediately rewarded once AGI exists? Nonsense.

Maybe if it was _extremely_ intelligent and it's ROI would be all the drugs it would instantly discover or w/e. But lets not imply that General Intelligence requires infinitely knowing.

So at best we're talking about an AI that is likely close to human level intelligence. Which is cool, because we have 7+ billion of those things.

This isn't an argument against it. Just to say that AGI isn't "priceless" in the implementation we'd likely see out of the gate.
Scrub the internet ? Good luck with that. Streisand joined the chat.
RF is not an issue, but X-ray emission is indeed a problem that had to be confronted by TV engineers back in the day. A rule of thumb is that a color TV needs about 1 kV of acceleration voltage per diagonal inch. 43 kV is no joke when it comes to X-ray generation, so I'm curious if they found a way to make it work at a lower voltage.

At one point in the video you can see that the TV has two second-anode leads, so maybe that was the trick, using two separate acceleration electrodes at half the voltage.
Streisand effect comes to mind. Also it seems too late to try to stop it now.
We have a very complex app with many states for each page. A good example is a liveness detection page where we need to check the user’s face position and inform them on how to move it. Formalizing the acceptable state and state transitions is a game changer.
Memory hole everything that is inconvenient. Woo! Hardcore!
Prosecutors in Washington State Warn Police: Don't Use Gen AI to Write Reports
I need to know what is the pricing?

And what is the source code license?
TikTok ban becomes a nothingburger.
The data strongly suggests that AI is dealing with a bad case of a bubble, and it's not that far out there to suggest that the bubble will pop next year. That's not to say that some companies won't come out ahead—there were success stories that came out of the .com bubble too—but I'd give it no more then three years before the bubble bursts and the startup casualties stack up.
I don't think that is really fair and not restricted to Ireland either. I have visited the Emerald Isle a couple of times, North and South, from the UK.

I found a culture that is definitely different in some ways but just as familiar in most ways. Just as I do in Wales and Scotland.

For example we all share a strange obsession with the weather. Obviously we don't really but the standard rules of chatting about the weather enables an easy start and disengagement from a social encounter. We also suffer from an inability to stop saying goodbye ...

Pub culture as a whole is changing massively. I remember when Ireland banned fags in pubs (a fag is a cigarette). I used to smoke and found it a bit odd having to go outside. Then the UK followed suit. With hindsight, I don't miss quite a lot of the "good old days" of smoke filled rooms that even a tabber's eyes would nearly be bleeding. Brown stained wooden chairs with plum or mustard upholstery and worryingly sticky floors and tables.

I remember chatting to a landlord of my local at the time around 1998. The boozer was called the Globe Trotters (Yeovil, Somerset, UK). It was formerly a cider house called the Globe and now its a modern effort called ... the Globe and Crown. The landlord described how he had to get rid of the "old boys" who would sit in the corner and quietly piss themselves whilst talking bollocks.

Anyway, I'm not sure what pub culture is these days. It probably died of COPD a few years ago.

Despite all that, I do think that the Stammtisch ideal is alive and well in our very odd corner of Western Europe. We just don't give it a name. Perhaps we should. The nearest thing I can think of is pub sports - darts, pool, snooker etc.

I've been playing pool badly for a team for a good 25 years now.
Stocks keep going up

Trump inaugurated without any incident

2 more mass shootings

Advances in LLM and other Ai

US economy keeps growing and outperforming rest of world.
googles counter to relief is , let us keep doing it, and popup a checkbox after lock-in, to review the 'choice'
I've encountered many otherwise solid engineers who are intimidated and/or put off by Nix (the language).
Different bipolar person chiming in :)

I can only tolerate antipsychotics because my medication mix counters a lot of the side effects.

I have an entire page of notes for my psychiatrist, listing my medication’s and their side effects, and how they interact.

I’m probably one of the few people who never wants to stop taking medication. They helped me focus my creativity. I never could’ve become an author without them.
He means via trendline prediction.
I meet with a few men every 6 or 7 weeks in a similar fashion to a Stammtisch. We talk about nothing and everything. It’s more about creating the space for things to come out than any individual meeting.

I’m gradually finding that my mission in life may be to fight the widespread atomization we all feel by any means necessary.
Honestly I think being narrower in scope and less (or at least more simply) programmable/configurable than emacs is a pro not a con 95% of the time.
It's also quite possible that someone falsely claiming to be UHC is doing this. This is a major loophole with the DMCA, there's very little vetting of takedown notices.
The example was talking about versions of another package that both of the given packages depend on. Not Python itself. The version numbers were made up.
CISA Urges Immediate Patching of Exploited BeyondTrust Vulnerability
Venture Capital as an asset class completely collapses and we seek grassroots alternatives to funding innovation, without the compromise to capital.
This page needs a breadcrumb! With chrome-obscured URLs it just seems to suggest that this alone is who they are.
In this case it’s because Dylan Patel of Semianalysis interviews Lisa Su regularly and presumably has a direct line to her, and because Lisa and the rest of AMD leadership are absolutely reading the article. It’s unclear if Pat would have (e.g. I don’t think Pat ever sat down for a chat with Semianalysis like Lisa has).
If Android had provided an defining UI API like this entirely in C without using Java, Android would have 100% monopolized the mobile OS market. So fast, efficient.
Maybe you'll get a subscription to the jelly of the month club. It's the gift that keeps on giving
Wasn't UHC the company that decided to deny claims with an AI that was wrong 90% of the time? I assume they did do this. False DMCA claims are nothing to them.

Yet another egregious abuse of a law that has zero real consequences for a false report. I wonder why this happens so often?
True, but they didn't ask how to get it for free. And besides, people are pretty much over having to subscribe to everything. It's not that they don't wish to pay, it's just they don't want to have to pay every single entity every single month. It's just too much. If only micropayments had took off.
That is the only sensible way, in the end. Ultimately you have to fix the bug in your product, even if the bug comes from a library. Users won’t generally like to hear you make excuses of that kind.
Linux 6.13-Rc4 Released for Kernel Testing Ahead of the Holidays
Are Cuba or Haiti part of North America? A lot of British people feel like their civilization is meaningfully distinct from “Europe”, even though they’re part of it in a technical geographical sense.
Get ready for your AI Smart Toaster.. On a serious note
2025 will be year of
AI and Tools. Prepared to have AI on every damn thing that you visit digitally.

Another step towards autonomous driving. Short content becoming more popular.
Harrowing...

Basf

Agfa

IBM

Thyssen

Hugo Boss

Mercedes

BMW

And many more are named in historical records
Dont cry about it. Just switch companies. If you are high value it should be easy.
> It seemed like a typical bar hang — until one of the guys planted a little flag on the table: an insignia for their group.
That seemed a bit odd: Why do these pals have a flag? Turns out, this was no random meetup for a pint. It was a Stammtisch.

"It was a Stammtisch" doesn't explain why there was a flag placed on the table other than that maybe it's common for a flag to be part of this kind of gathering group. But still....why? There are plenty of groups that meet regularly. It's unusual to plant a flag like that. Book clubs, bridge game meetups, regular pints with a friend group (that isn't a Stammtisch), Sunday brunch group, etc. None of these kinds of groups plant flags.
This is a great idea to prevent bots, but that’s not who posts the bad stuff this thread is talking about. Wherever you set the threshold will determine a point of wealth where someone can no longer afford to speak on these platforms, and that inevitably will prevent change, which tends to come from the people not well-served by the system as it is, i.e. poor people. Is that your goal?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skin_gambling I assume
1. There will be a renaming of "social media" as people note that there is nothing social about being served endless ads, ragebait and distracting videos with no actual social interaction happening.

2. The "social media" giants will invest more in public affairs to improve their image as public resistance grows. Expect lots of research papers getting funded that sow doubt and fear about banning children from social media, following similar strategies to tobacco and oil industries.

3. Miraculously, Truth Social and X will be exempt from the same controls put on other platforms. Justified on the basis that they are official communication channels for the government.
There’s no easy bound on the set of code you’d have to audit to confirm that even one use of unsafe is in fact safe.
Every time I try to work on someone's Haskell code, I'm confronted with a slew of custom infix operators, and I find my previous experience is completely irrelevant as I learn the new DSL the authors chose to write (which more often than not also involves flexing their brain as hard as they can).
This did bring up a copyright question I haven't been able to resolve - is footage from a private security camera somehow owned by the owner of the camera? AFAIK copyright is reserved for works of creative expression, so footage taken for non-creative purposes shouldn't be protected - is there some other mechanism to demand someone cease and desist sharing a video or an image once the cats out of the bag? IMO we could use something more flexible than revenge porn laws, that prevent noncensual use of your likeness, inc. impersonations of your face and voice. Fair use exceptions would obviously have to apply for newsworthy events otherwise Luigi could demand the cops take down his image during the manhunt :)

(Similar question for Internet comments , since the bluesky-huggingface-kerfuffle I haven't been able to find a definitive answer if internet commentary is copyrighted creative expression or some other public domain shaped thing)
My pharmacy is at a grocery store. They deeply discount certain common generic meds because they want you to shop there for groceries.

It’s less about negotiating a copay, but rather letting market forces work to people’s advantages
maintenance, and adherance to a security clearance is important, if you dont want to burn your castles.
Sure, no problem. Happy to answer questions.
Do command line programs built on Rhapsody DR2 (x86) run on Tiger (x86) or vice versa?
Rust fixes the problem at the language level by allowing your dependencies to use different versions of their dependencies. It can be a little rough on the size of your binaries, but you can end up with as many different versions of the common dependencies as you need.
A significant portion of the US population will lose nearly everything. Their investments will collapse, their benefits will be stripped away, and they will fall victim to countless scams, or be outright robbed. Much of this will happen through official channels, as restrictions and oversight on corporations and government organizations are reduced or eliminated entirely.