skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Good point! we are going to allow users to add their emails after inputting the ideas
High performance IP was announced, by multiple vendors, as available for licensing, not long (days, weeks) after these ratifications.

Typically (and quite consistently) there are 3 years from that point to products you can buy cheaply sitting on shelves.

Thus, expect some fun in 2025.
I'll add some stills.
Seriously? All they do is produce a “confidence metric”
Google will announce new products (will call them initiatives) and will not launch them to the general public.

ChatGPT Search will get significant (high 1 digit) share of the search market.
> Why do we even need a microblogging platform?

Diversity of options is great.

> Twitter turned into a dumpster fire

I disagree. I love the new Twitter.
> Again, Frontier Math is private.

its private for outsiders, but it was developed in "collaboration" with OAI, and GPT was tested in the past on it, so they have it in logs somewhere.

> If you don't want to take the benchmarks at face value then good for you but this entire conversation is pointless.

If you think this entire conversation is pointless, then why do you continue?
659-8890. You just better start sniffin' your own rank subjugation Jack, 'cause it's just you against your tattered libido, the bank, and the mortician, forever man, and it wouldn't be luck if you could get out of life alive.
Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.
No no no you missed it, clearly Americans are just stupid.
Sounds plausible given I’ve recently observed a ton of research papers in the space that in some way or another incorporate MCTS
You had me at "whole org test" harness. This is a very, very interesting idea. Especially in conjunction with the concept of corporation as "slow AI" that I don't hear referenced often enough.

I don't see why you call it "literacy," though. I think Maturana & Varela's term "autopoiesis" more closely orbits the kernel, and I'll bet Stafford Beer's Autopoietic Systems would contribute to a good intellectual foundation.

At a certain point, though, I wonder if a purely software "business" doesn't just look like... SaaS?
"Stopping by Woods on a Snowy Evening" (1922)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stopping_by_Woods_on_a_Snowy_E...
just curious, what do u mean by "traditional projects"
That's a good idea. Although, oddly, some of the emails that have an Unsubscribe button have no List-Unsubscribe header.

How would you suggest to solve the following problem: let's say I have archived all my mail (inbox zero); how do I now see the emails that are important to me (i.e., everything that was not labeled e.g. with promotions)?
I use macos and Pop_Os as my two main systems and both work really well. I got over the bleeding edge linuxism years ago as my 20s passed into obscurity. Both are respectable systems, and my need to tweak and adjust my setup has gone by the wayside. These days I just want something that works and both work fine for the jobs I need of them and can run a couple of weeks or more with no crashes or need to reboot until the next security updates come out. Linux does have limited hardware support, but it's easy to remedy if you do a little research, macOS is naturally limited in hardware selection; both are easily worked around.
Says who? And more importantly, is this the boulder? All I (and many others here) see is that people engage others to sponsor pushing some boulder, screaming promises which aren’t even that consistent with intermediate results that come out. This particular boulder may be on a wrong mountain, and likely is.

It all feels like doubling down on astrology because good telescopes aren’t there yet. I’m pretty sure that when 5 comes out, it will show some amazing benchmarks but shit itself in the third paragraph as usual in a real task. Cause that was constant throughtout gpt evolution, in my experience.

even if it kills us

Full-on sci-fi, in reality it will get stuck around a shell error message and either run out of money to exist or corrupt the system into no connectivity.
pixelfed looks nice. Instagram has been the only social I kept around because it's nice to look at pictures but they've recently transitioned to full on Tiktok/yt shorts competitor, I'd love to jump ship to something that's just photographs again.

Never tried lemmy, are the separate servers essentially "subreddits" ? That's cool that there aren't any global admins so each community really can have their own moderation rules.
These already exist, they’re called CNS stimulants.
AGI will arrive like self driving cars. it’s not that you will wake up one day and we have it. cars gained auto-braking, parallel parking, cruise control assist. and over a long time you get to something like waymo, which still is location dependent. i think AGI will take decades but sooner will be some special cases that are effectively the same
> and that ruined the Live and Kicking phone number jingle

I thought I was the only one that had that number burned into my memory for all time!

I’m glad, for my sake at least, to hear I’m not the only one.
The best of the internet, engineering and humanity... all in one video.
It might be a notorious example but artists do take those risks https://www.billboard.com/lists/kanye-west-ye-sampling-lawsu... (not to mention the many artists that release music without licensing from the beat producers, which still happens regularly)
AI Investments will slow down. A bit out there but I will go on a limb :)
i am the demographic of the article, and while that's probably a part for the 25-35 year olds, it should have less of an impact on college students. even those with plenty of money aren't dating or marrying as much as they used to.
For me that's very often the 7th song on an LP and usually starts its second side
When something like a Samsung Galaxy A15 can be had for $175[1] (and that's with no carrier commitments), any iPhone is a luxury good. Yes, even that $429 iPhone SE which is well over double the price of that Samsung.

Smartphones as a general good are a life necessity at this point, but esoteric offerings among them like iPhones or Sony Xperias or the higher end Samsung Galaxys or Google Pixels are luxury goods because nobody needs the features brought by the much bigger price tag.

It's like how a bottom trim Toyota Corolla or Honda Accord is a necessity because you probably need a car, but anything beyond it is a luxury because whether you want that car is different. Another example would be choosing name brand foodstuffs at the grocery store instead of the store brand, that's also choosing luxury goods assuming the store brand is cheaper.

[1]: https://www.samsung.com/us/smartphones/galaxy-a15/buy/galaxy...
Is this not kind of trivial, at least the way they've defined it? It's kind of very obviously NP complete to me. Any of these text problems where you're tying to optimize over a whole corpus is kind of not hard to see to be NP-complete, similar to longest common subsequence.
Safety: not from causing you physical harm or risking property damage, since there are no guardrails against it confidently walking you through a flawed breadboard circuit that will cause components to explode or immediately catch fire. Then say

“You’re absolutely right. We shouldn’t have run 120v through that capacitor rated for 10v. Here’s an updated design that fixes the issue”, then proceed to explain the same thing with a resistor placed at random.

No we mean safety from our LLM saying something that pisses off a politician, or even worse… hurting someone’s /feelings/.
There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media. Restrictions on phone use in schools, who can sign up for social media, etc..

Additionally, that it'll eventually prove to be a wild success, with significant benefit to kids.

On the darker side, the same technologies and restrictions will be applied in various ways to adults (similar to the porn verification laws), which will have significantly more negative effects.
How will you be forced to hack your phone?
I wouldn't have bought this take in the past. However, currently, right now, I am fighting an uphill battle trying to get a raise for an incredibly bright, thoughtful, attentive employee who directly contributes to the bottom line. One who is embarrassingly underpaid. And one I will probably lose because of this situation, which will ultimately be a costly waste of time and effort to rehire and retrain.
There are literally no treatments for tinnitus, only for other ailments if they are the cause, such as blood pressure.

I've had it for over 25 years, nonstop, without fail, every waking moment. Learning to live with doesn't just work, it is the only option.
iterm2 is so much better it's not even funny, but terminal is fine and don't recall it ever crashing on me, unlike wezterm, which I tried for a while, but without fail would lock up the terminal every couple of days to the point I'd have to kill the session. Luckily whatever I'm doing is usually running in tmux anyway.
Would be a a buy signal if their actions (better drivers) show that they are seriously working on improving software. "This could be great _if_ you go through the trouble of doing it right!" is not persuasive, and any sane person would go with green if they know they have the choice between troubleshooting shitty software and things just working. Look at the george hotz archive youtube channel and watch the videos where he's debugging the amd drivers, it damn near ruins the man. And george is not the type to give up at the first roadblock, there are multiple 5-8 hour videos where he just tries to get the thing to work. The mad man ended up just writing his own driver lol.
Until you get to a point where the LLM is smart enough to look at real world data streams and prune its own training set out of it. At that point it will self improve itself to AGI.
That makes more sense. When you said automatic vectorization, I was thinking about SIMD calculations. Nvidia does support doing 128-bit loads and stores:

https://docs.nvidia.com/cuda/parallel-thread-execution/index...
#1 Something has to happen of the drones that are over various US military sites. People seem to want to bury their head in the sand, not acknowledging China owns substantial "farmland" in the US, especially near military sites, that could in theory be home to any number of drone bases. If China is preparing for war, it could risk a global catastrophe.

#2 The Russia-Ukraine war is likely to come to a peaceful end. Putin seems to have mostly lost his appetite for war, and we know that Trump will not want to fund Ukraine any more. Ukraine will have to accept the loss of some conquered territory.

#3 With regard to non-CoT LLMs, gpt-4o becomes worse on all relevant benchmarks compared to the leading open source models. Currently, as I understand, it still wins on some benchmarks.

#4 Tiktok, if not all social media, gets banned for those under 18 on the grounds of foreign influence, although ID requirements get struck down, and kids can misrepresent their age.
Paranoia and other psychoses felt normal to me before I learned I was bipolar.

I’ve written up my two psychotic breaks on my blog: https://kayode.co/blog/4106/living-with-psychosis/

You don’t get to say you’re sorry until it’s over. I got to watch myself in third person fuck up most of my relationships while I spent the whole time screaming in my head to stop.

Of course, I thought this was a normal reaction stress. I only got diagnosed a few years ago. I didn’t realize it wasn’t normal till I offhandedly mentioned it to my psychiatrist and she couldn’t prescribe antipsychotics fast enough.

For me, medication is only part of the solution. I spend a lot of time and energy, keeping track of my mood and preventing myself from spiraling into an episode. Even the medication doesn’t always work and I have to take more of it. Can’t be manic if you’re sleeping. :)
The amount of effort this team took, literally co-opting AMD engineers, and working for 5 months, to get closer but not yet usable, means they are not even close to usable. What team wanting to do ML training/inference can afford so much down time for zero benefit? How many except a few big ones can get AMD to devote so many resources simply for that team?

And, if you’re training a model costing you millions, the last thing you need is a buggy, untested stack, breaking training or perhaps worse giving you noise that makes your models perform worse or increases training time.

By the time AMD gets usable out of the box at this point, NVidia will have moved further ahead.
Do GLP-1 already do this, to some extent?
Computers will be the size of data centres, they'll be so expensive we'll queue up jobs to run on them days in advance, each taking our turn... history echoes into the future...
Ah, I see. Yeah that's a fair assessment and in hindsight is probably the way architecture is being used in the article.
Antipsychotic medicines already are dopamine antagonists, but they lead to substantial weight gain, and they hurt motivation.
I've also had it invent non-existent references.

> being this confidently wrong (and "lying" when confronted with it) is troubling.

I don't find it troubling. I like being reminded to distrust and confirm everything it offers.
Yes, it's a pretty good book. I'm somewhat annoyed at the book _sometimes_ speaking in general terms applicable to any paradigm, and then sometimes speaking in very OOP centric terms. It's still a worthwhile read.
The UE doesn't benefit that much from Apple's innovation, if any. But Apple's stock owners do.
But holy shit were those BeBoxes sexy as hell. As a teenager, seeing them for the first time, in an era of soulless, beige, badly named Macs like the "Performa", made a lasting impression that I still remember 30 years later.

Those twin vertically arranged CPU usage LEDs running up the sides of the case, pulsing as the box churned through multiple windows of buttery smooth video playback, while the operator simultaneously read and wrote to the disk, accessed the network, and manipulated the filesystem–without ever stuttering, dropping frames, or beachballing–was really quite something at that time. BeOS could multitask in a way nobody else was doing, and macOS still cannot match it.

Still think it would have been interesting to not let some of that tech die on the vine.
* AI will fizzle out.

* We will finally do something about climate change.

* The world will finally become sane again.

Just kidding! Lol
A search for CSGO skin betting brings up a ton of sites, but I still have no idea what it is. Can you explain it? I don't really understand what is being bet on there. (Also, I'm slightly scared of the answer)
Perplexity, Phind, Grok, etc. are surprisingly good already as search engines.

Perplexity is better than Google for most of my common use-cases.
In general, I tend to observe languages that are minimally challenging for amateurs tend to build less sustainable mutagenic ecosystems.

Example:

* Prolog generated the worlds most functional 1 liner code, as it is bewildering for hope-and-poke programmers

* Pythons ease of use combined with out-of-band library packages became a minefield of compatibility, security, and structural problems (i.e. became the modern BASIC)

* NodeJS was based on a poorly designed clown JavaScript toy language, so naturally became a circus

* Modern C++ template libraries became unusable as complexity and feature creep spiraled out of control to meet everyone's pet use-case

* Rust had a massive inrush of users that don't understand why llvm compilers are dangerous in some use-cases. But considering 99% of devs are in application space, they will unlikely ever need to understand why C has a different use-case.

While "Goto" could just be considered a euphemism for tail-recursion in some languages. We have to remember the feature is there for a reason, but most amateurs are not careful enough to use it in the proper edge-case.

I really hope Julia becomes more popular, as it is the first fun language I've seen in years that kind of balances ease of use with efficient parallelism.

wrote a lot of RISC Assembly at one time... where stacks were finite, and thus one knew evil well... lol =3
You have described something but you haven't explained why the description of the thing defines its capability. This is a tautology, or possibly a begging of the question, which takes as true the premise of something (that token based language predictors cannot be intelligent) and then uses that premise to prove an unproven point (that language models cannot achieve intelligence).

You did nothing at all to demonstrate why you cannot produce an intelligent system from a next token language based predictor.

What GPT says about this is completely irrelevant.
The UK is part of Europe. It's technically, geographically, politically, historically, lingustially, tectonically and socially correct. In what ways is it not?
Sounds like they're describing the opposite of CNS stimulants though. People take meth and coke and go on se, gambling binges. Something that moderates and manages dopamine in a way that breaks the hold gambling and social media has on people's brains would be very different. Something that dulls the retative mini-bursts of dopamine hits you get with every click and scroll.
"If this article was about "fighting spam with C++ at Meta"

That would not be news, Haskell is famous for being an academic language without many real world applications. C++ is famous for being practical.
The problem is that the people in power will want to maintain the status quo. So the end of human labor won't naturally result in UBI – or any kind of welfare – to compensate for the loss of income, let alone afford any social mobility. But wealthy people will be able to leverage AGI to defend themselves from any uprising by the plebs.

We're too busy trying to make humans irrelevant, but not asking what exactly we do as a species of 10+ billion individuals do afterwards. There's some excited discussions about a rebirth of culture, but I'm not sure what that means when machines can do anything humans can do but better. Perhaps we just tinker around with our hobbies until we die? I honestly don't think it will play out well for us.
Don't think I have ever heard of the SICP book as my school split all these different subjects it covers into different courses. But looked it up and wow, it goes into a lot of advanced subjects! (recursion, trees, Big O and computational complexity, Data abstractions, Objects, and ends with compilers). That is some survey and it's amazing you were able to work through this in middle school - I was just learning Algebra and the history of the early Americans back then - Incredible

This now makes sense you were able to work on Rosetta 2 mainly on your own!
The same people who lied about how tough the Russians were, lied about how well the ANA was going to withstand the Taliban,

There's a difference between "lying" about things, and being simply deluded or deeply misunderstanding them.

Of course they lied about WMD. But they didn't "lie" about those other two situations. Whether you like it or not, there's a major distinction at play here.

lost the last 5 decades of wars

It's true that they lost the 3 major wars (Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan). But they didn't lose all of their pet wars in this time period. The Gulf War (I betcha forgot that one!) was a very, very major conflict that they won unambiguously.

So already, you're completely out to lunch, right there. But there were numerous second-order conflicts that they won also during this time period. This most significant was the proxy war against the USSR in Afghanistan (effectively the "First Afghan War" from the US perspective) which was unambiguously won, also. Which BTW had some pretty huge consequences (though it seems you've forgotten about those, as well).

And several second-order conflicts in addition (Panama, Yugoslavia, Kosovo) that were effectively won also, even if others (Syria, Libya) were not.

I know, I know - like Reagan said, "facts are boring things". What's my point, you ask? Let's get right to it.

What if they’re just full of shit?

Of course they're full of shit.

But what's vastly more important point is -- if you can't be even ballpark correct about the stuff above -- or (as seems to be more likely the case) you plainly don't care -- then what does that make you full of?

If it's all just word salad to you -- if the basic factual accuracy of stuff like this just doesn't really matter to you; as long as you can smoosh the various bullet points together somehow, and sculpt them in your into whatever broad, sweeping, hypermoralistic narrative that your worldview seems to hinge on -- then not only are you no different, really, from "them" and all of their big, fat stinking lies.

Effectively, you're on the same team.
> This is great news! We need to ensure maximum interoperability and no differentiation across different computing platforms and applications.

I don't get your point here. Apple's products are differentiated from others because of their excellent integration with other Apple products (the ecosystem(tm)). If they are compelled to also open that up to third-parties, what exactly are they losing?

Put a different way, are you implying people buy iDevices not only because they integrate so well with Apple's other products, but because they know other devices aren't able to?

> And politicians are, of course, the most knowledgeable about these things.

This doesn't make sense either. Just because you disagree with others' ideology doesn't mean they don't know anything about the subject matter. Why isn't it possible, in your view, for the relevant decision-makers in this case to know everything needed and still choose to make those decisions?
Trump and cronies will absolutely wreck market stability. There will be actual shortages of basic products. But they will not be acknowledged as mistakes since the companies will be able to price gouge and maintain profits.

There will be at more attempts at more CEO and billionaire murders. They will use propaganda and media manipulation to muddle the grassroots approval of similar action, and change the narrative around Luigi.

Everything will get more expensive. More layoffs. Most people will have to work much harder for much less, but it'll be okay because number will go up.
> We don't understand how they work in the sense that we can't extract the algorithms they're using to accomplish the interesting/valuable "intellectual" labor they're doing. i.e. we cannot take GPT-4 and write human-legible code that faithfully represents the "heavy lifting" GPT-4 does when it writes code (or pick any other task you might ask it to do).

I think English is being a little clumsy here. At least I’m finding it hard to express what we do and don’t know.

We know why these models work. We know precisely how, physically, they come to their conclusions (it’s just processor instructions as with all software)

We don’t know precisely how to describe what they do in a formalized general way.

That is still very different from say an organic brain, where we barely even know how it works, physically.

My opinions:

I don’t think they are doing much mental “labor.” My intuition likens them to search.

They seem to excel at retrieving information encoded in their weights through training and in the context.

They are not good at generalizing.

They also, obviously, are able to accurately predict tokens such that the resulting text is very readable.

Larger models have a larger pool of information and that information is in a higher resolution, so to speak, since the larger better preforming models have more parameters.

I think much of this talk of “consciousness” or “AGI” is very much a product of human imagination, personification bias, and marketing.