skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Important to remember that while income and wealth inequality is at record highs, the trillions of dollars injected into the economy are still floating around among the top. People are getting more and more creative with investments (see luxury watches, sneakers, trading cards, collectibles, meme stocks all seeing a significant bump in value in recent years). Bitcoin's price is simply another symptom of this.

What I find new about this recent bull run is that the usual "crypto will upend global financial systems/crypto will change the world" hype is conspicuously missing. All the "Blockchain startups" have basically disappeared. NFTs are worthless. There is little/no VC money going into the space. I think people are finally coming to terms with the fact that it is a speculative investment and nothing more.
Whole Foods is the definition of ‘crazy expensive’. As for the other prices, I don’t know.
On the contrary. Your way better hedge was polymarket not hitting 100k prior to the election.
the thing is, this is happening across any remotely wealthy or developed country, and in that sense the US is actually the ninth highest birthrate in the OECD and well above the average. The only OECD country with fertility rates above 2 is Israel, and that's mostly because the ultra-Orthodox have really high birth rates.
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Remote: Yes (but also in-person or hybrid)
Willing to relocate: Yes
Technologies: C, C++, C#, Python, SQL, R, Redis, ZeroMQ, MQTT, Protobuf, gRPC, PyTorch, and Tensorflow.
Résumé/CV: https://thequant.ca/resume.pdf
Email: aaron@thequant.ca

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

I am a Quantitative Developer/Analyst with a MMath from the University of Waterloo. I have experience in both financial modelling and systems development, especially in the context of high frequency trading. As an avid contributor to open-source, most of my public works are available to view at https://github.com/aarjaneiro.
Meta tried that, but unfortunately their satellite was on one of the few rockets that blew up ...
Seems like an overly high estimate to me, considering the Saudis say the entire project will create a total of 460,000 jobs over its lifetime and there are currently 140k working on it - so a 10% fatality rate? The Burj Khalifa only reported a single fatality and the Empire State Building, with 1930s safety, only killed 5 of 3400 workers. They're also saying that 100,000 have gone missing as well.

What's the methodology here? For these numbers to be accurate does nobody notice the refrigerated trucks filled with dead being carted away every day?
https://archive.ph/lkIBH
I'm going to guess there's just a long stagnation.

LLMs worked way better than people thought they would. Most of the experts in AI were floored by how well they worked. I think of LLMs as more of a discovery than an invention. We didn't really know what we were doing, and some people had some cute ideas about predicting responses based on modeling languages, and this really useful thing kind of just fell out of that endeavor. From that initial shock, we just kept adding more to it to see how far it could go.

What's important to appreciate is we have an extremely poor understanding of how intelligence appear to emerge from these models. Much like our own intelligence, we can explain parts and have ideas of roughly how it fits together, but on the whole, it's a bit of a mystery. We're like early bridge builders having discovered an arch in the design stops them from collapsing. We've gained a useful piece of knowledge which we can share and make things better, but we're missing the value of knowing why it all works as it does, and without that, it's harder to know what else we can do to improve things. We just throw more LLMs tech at the problem to make it better, just like the bridge builders used to throw more arches on a bridge to make them safer.

The other thing is, LLMs just appear to function so much better than almost anything else we've come up with. Nothing really comes close. There doesn't appear to be fruitful new tangential things to jump onto, incorporate, or do anything with. So, basically, if LLMs peak, we're probably just going to go back and try random things in a semi-directionless manner and hope we can discover what the next step up is from this. It's not completely blind as we can make educated guesses, but it's a slow process

Alternatively, though, since we don't understand LLMs we also don't really know what their limits are. There could be a good bit more growth left in them. It could be that putting 10x more resources into these models will end up with a AI that quite simply is human-level. There's nothing really to say that's not possible. There are some distinguist thinkeres that are beginning to argue our own intelligence may be just a biological LLM.
You earned it, you spend it. Not your children. They’re gonna have to work too!
Why hell does this keep going up? Can you pretty much just buy at any point in time and be guaranteed a 10x return?
Anthony Marinelli (film composer and synth programmer for many artists including Micheal Jackson) recently made a series of documentaries about FM Synthesis and its inventor John Chowning, the DX7 is mentioned multiple times alongside the Synclavier which used the same synthesis method but predated the DX7.

About Chowning and the DX7 https://youtu.be/Mu8lHX-xuSg

Other videos about FM and contemporary applications https://youtu.be/Pl7BY4C9Cg4 and https://youtu.be/Uoiqy5mkUKE

Aboout Synclavier https://youtu.be/G5T7NBLSY0c
I think it's great to document this, and some people are going to prefer working with containers no matter what. That said, personally I've moved away from it and these days I just use nixos modules and run all of the services on my home server directly on the host. You don't get the same isolation that you might get with proper containers, and that might be an issue for production machines, but I find the simplicity is a win for a home server.
MercifulStalinSort: Experimental sorting algorithm inspired by Stalin Sort
But the birth rate is on par with the rivals it’s being compared to in this article/thread.
For the curious, one reason for the difference in rules is the different approaches to enforcing rights.

In the US there is a tendency to make private civil suits for damages a big part of this, and to rely less on government agencies to investigate and take enforcement actions.

In much of the rest of the world the is more of a tendency to have government agencies handle it. It's enough of a difference that people in the rest of the world often don't even know that a private civil suit is an option. (You can see this with GDPR. Article 79 gives individuals a right to sue, but most people seem to think their only option is to complain to a government data protection authority).

Anyway, since the US is depending on private civil suits to enforce rights the English rule of winner pays could greatly discourage those who are not well off (who are often the people most likely to have their rights violated) from suing when their rights violator has significantly more resources.
Personally, I think the subsequent libel lawsuits demonstrates it was all just ego
Show HN: UtilsGPT, a set of utilities function in API or your LLM's func calls
I imagine we need a nuts and bolts definition of "virtual machine" before we can make a comparison.
Walmart Completes Acquisition of Vizio
>poorly simulating a broad range of superior instruments

Nothing touches FM's velocity responsiveness until physical modeling, it sounds lame when you get used to it, but the same thing is true to the romplers that replaced it.

>Relating to it's influence on 80s music

80s is quite broad, claims like this basically just showed which artists the writer prefer. Personally, it's PPG and Moog.
I get that, but since it is all probabilities, you might imagine even the LLM knows when it is skating on thin ice.

If I'm beginning with "Once / upon / a" I think the data will show a very high confidence in the word to follow with. So too I would imagine it would know when the trail of breadcrumbs it has been following is of the trashier and low probability kind.

So just tell me. (Or perhaps speak to me and when your confidence is low you can drift into vocal fry territory.)
If crypto has this much staying power despite the crazy hype, any AI winter would appear to be a long ways off!
> Do not fall into the trap of anthropomorphising Larry Ellison. You need to think of Larry Ellison the way you think of a lawnmower. You don't anthropomorphize your lawnmower, the lawnmower just mows the lawn, you stick your hand in there and it'll chop it off, the end. You don't think 'oh, the lawnmower hates me' -- lawnmower doesn't give a shit about you, lawnmower can't hate you. Don't anthropomorphize the lawnmower. Don't fall into that trap about Oracle. — Brian Cantrill
Well, you don’t need refrigeration when the entire empty quarter is your back yard.

I agree though, the numbers seem comically high.
Discussion (219 points, 8 days ago, 426 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42246739
It's quite nice and really lightweight but it's also very basic. So basic you can't even click on the table name in the side panel to see a preview of the data. I use it every day but yearn for a few more features.
Thank you for investigating this - I got scared when I saw what looked like an ephemeral URL!
I have literally lived in the US before. I spent 12 years in Canada, right next to the US as well. Awful place to live.

And of course your multinational coworkers want to move there. They’d make a lot of money to insulate them from the awfulness. Not to mention a huge raise compared to working in their home country.
Is there way to quantify how much of the economy these days is "bullshit" (purely speculative assets), and if we are at peak bullshit now as a percentage of total economic activity?
Bickering will just result in having multiple authorities.

This can be solved with a certificate authority authority authority.

The first will be named CARTMAN and must be respected by all.
It’s tied to politics. If your team isn’t in power was just voted out then the economy sucks or is teetering on the brink of disaster. However, if your team is in power or just voted in then things are looking great or will turn around soon.
The tipping point is much closer to the median than that.

A lot of US cities and burbs like Dallas, Phoenix, Atlanta, are full of people who aren't super-genius-tech-bro-200k+ but aren't one illness away from catastrophe. Working boring-ass office jobs with decent - not spectacular, but with solid pros-and-cons even compared to Canada next door - benefits.
I hadn't read Island but I'd like to imagine those kin of Hugin/Munin are cyborg MDs :)

>Farnaby awakens on the island with a leg injury, hearing a myna bird screaming "Attention"

Here Aldous seems to have gone beyond merely reacting to neoEdwardism..
Discussion (42 points, 22 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42324263
I won't defend the term but am curious what you think would have been also concise but more accurate. Calling them for example "inevitable statistical misdirections" doesn't really roll off the tongue.
If you hold long enough and the chain keeps working, then probably yes. However, this 10x return is guaranteed against the dollar and not real value. The gov. is committed to devaluing currency over a long period of time.
The problem that I see is that a million in net worth isn't enough to have a good retirement anymore now that rent is $2-3k a month in most major cities.
Who Sits and Who Stands at Work? [video]
Discussion (33 points, 1 day ago, 31 comments) https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42310755
The entire economy outside of agriculture and real estate is basically "bullshit", if you really think about it. The ratio of bullshit to everything else seems to increase over time, though, as a general trend. It's probably correlated to technology.
I didn't say that was their profit margin, that's their transaction margin.

As my mother used to say if you have nothing nice to say you're better off staying quiet ;)
These are a little chicken and egg as you need the system's host key for that. If you want to use a signed host key, you need to deploy that, otherwise if you just let it generate a host key you're in TOFU territory
Another language comparison repo that's been going for longer with more languages https://github.com/niklas-heer/speed-comparison.
Or it could just be a single action pistol, as noted in the article. They’re not common but there are a handful of them that are relatively easy to obtain. Competitive shooters use them and it seems that Seals are sometimes issued single action pistols too.
And to be fair, there's physical modeling, which in general comes much closer to simulating, well, physical instruments.

I think FM is inferior at this if only because harmonics/overtones have less variability.
We haven’t run out of greater fools just yet
bubbles go up and up and up… until they don’t
Unnecessary demonization of the unhoused as only drug addicts. Have some empathy.

Many places simply ship their unhoused elsewhere (I'm Canadian and I remember reading about Calgary paying for one-way bus tickets to Vancouver). In other places, the winters are literally unsurvivable outside.
Your quality of life points boil down to being rich. If you’re saying that you’re more likely to end up rich in the US then sure, but most people don’t end up rich.
It’s way higher than I ever thought it’d be. I sold mine at $800 so maybe I’ve got some sour grapes here, but all this reminds me of the book “Devil Take The Hindmost.”
Tether admitted they loaned USDT against BTC collateral and they allowed the collateral to be delivered later (basically T+2 settlement). When the order book is shallow this is basically free market manipulation. It's not clear how much loaned USDT exists vs. regular USDT and what effect this has had on the price.
For hosting a web gui for ollama I use https://tuns.sh

It really convenient because it's just an SSH tunnel and then you get automatic TLS and it protects your home IP.

With that you can access it from your mobile phone, just gotta require a password to access it.
"A man who sits for something stands for nothing"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqjUlmkYr2g
The idea that I get talking to people from other developed countries is that they don't have near the difference in quality of life that America does. College grads have desired locations because life in, for example, the deep South is pretty grim.
I had couple of bitcoin from 2013. Sold most at 10k and held on to one at 50k. I was absolutely super duper sure, 50k was the top.
Save in America, retire elsewhere
Tether appears to be too big to fail in the crypto world and now crypto is too big to fail in the White House so if you short you are the one who will lose.
I just struggle to see it's utility
Why does it matter if income inequality is high? Poorly hid envy it looks like.
I'm talking about owning both primary residence and investment property, both are great.
Don't forget the funding of North Korea and organized crime.
I have a MODX and although it’s so damn powerful when it comes to sound design - each of the 16 parts can have 8 layers each, it’s a lot of work to do anything with it.

I’ve seen piano patches that sound REALISTIC because in 8 layers, you can model the hammer, the initial string hit, the cabinet echo, string resonance, and a whole lot of other timbres… but it takes SO MUCH EFFORT. So unless you’re a /real/ sound designer or you buy patches online, you’re better off getting a Digitone for “simpler” FM or just stick to the MODX’s excellent sampled acoustic instruments.

Yeah… the MODX/Montage UI is really bad and feels like something out of 2004.
If salaries weren’t so high nobody would choose to work for Google in the US vs in other places.
Why have everyone buy a share of some companies and rely on that risky gamble to insure their future? The markets were never meant to be a way to redistribute wealth, but to sell risk away, to anyone willing to take them.

Using markets as the primary way to redistribute wealth seems convoluted at best, and yet another perversion of their original purpose.
To this day, I'm confused how "Three Body Problem" won so many awards. To me it reads like a really bad fanfic.
It’s because there isn’t any
Somewhere between tulips and gold.
The big problem is transportation. Many retired people can no longer safely drive. That means that if they don't live someplace with solid public transportation then their quality of life drops. Unfortunately, all of the places in America with decent public transportation are expensive.
I absolutely did live through it. I also watched my grandfather who had a 7th grade education double his money twice through the insanely technical investment strategy of...wait for it...driving down to the bank to renew CDs. I'd entertain an explanation of what's either offensive or naive about that.
> How?

People say Bitcoin is worth $100k but what they actually mean is it's worth 100,000 "USDT", because that's the thing you can actually exchange for it.

Are those 100,000 "USDT" worth $100k? Well, maybe. Tether claims every USDT is backed by a US dollar. It just can't tell you where they are or let you audit them. But they're there. Honest.

> And why isn't that being shorted?

How would you short it? Especially given that most crypto trading platforms are going to go bankrupt when it does crash.
Because you need the disposable income to buy speculative assets. This means that the rich get richer.
It's not a vibe-session when the bottom 50% see inflation that five times the headline rate. It's class warfare and somehow the party of the people is the one defending it.
Not in the crypto world. Failure to deliver is rare in the exchange world but someone out there would run the long con against Tether for that.
Bitcoin is a store of value. Nothing more or less. DAOs and NFTs were just distractions trying to ride the wave. The fundamentals remain strong. It really hasn't changed much in 15 years. The Hacker News comments certainly haven't either. Salty as ever.
I'm running OpenWebUI via Docker via OrbStack, it also automatically provides TLS and works pretty well.
> They usually understand that perfectly well, but understanding that doesn't mean that they should not rationally try to minimize the taxes that they personally pay.

Alternatively, many may understand that claim, but disagree with it.
In the future you can get a synclavier on your iphone.

We live in that future.

https://www.synclavier.com/synclavier-go/
It definitely has utility but it is at the same time overhyped IMO. Some examples of utility:

1. Cross-border transfers without needing permission from banks or identification

2. A fungible digital asset you can hoard and nobody can physically take from you if you secure the keys.

3. If you are a business in a gray or black market industry, you can accept payments from customers online without needing permission from payment processors. Many types of businesses are effectively banned by the banking system.

4. It provides a way to obfuscate your wealth which can help protect against asset seizures. Similar to #2.
Nah, I’d recommend the Yamaha DX Reface for something that’s a direct DX linage but compact (or you can use a MIDI controller if you want more than 37 keys).
Check out https://unix.stackexchange.com/questions/112023/how-can-i-re...

For more detailed resources, see https://www.grymoire.com/Unix/Sed.html and my ebook https://learnbyexample.github.io/learn_gnused/
The difference is that I’ve never met a Canadian who hasn’t been to the US at least once. The same can’t be said for US citizens, as evidenced by you.

I lived in Connecticut for 6 months too for what it’s worth. Awful place.

Canada is much better, but has its problem. These days I live in Tokyo and love it.
A part of the valuation comes from miners who gets their returns cut by half every ~4 years. They have an interest in having the price (at least) double by then.
Remember that this is a zero-sum game, for every winner that made it big, they are thousands more that had to pay up for their success.
What denial? It is an excellent way to gamble or launder money. That's not changed, but it's not expanded either.
Will people see it as good in hindsight? When coal plants have dumped more waste in the air and oceans, just to drive the value of these tulips?
Japanese vs Brazilians

Germans vs Turks

Han Chinese vs non-Han Chinese

Canada vs first nations

Many countries have their racial underclasses.
But it has been a bubble and popped/crashed/recovered 4(?) times now - it seem fair to start considering it as a cycle rather than a bubble. I don’t know much about crypto or finance, so maybe I’m completely wrong
>Bitcoin's price is simply another symptom of this.

Bitcoin is not the symptom, Bitcoin is the answer. People are not longing Bitcoin, people are exiting the dollar, the euro, the yuan...
Tailor – hold Alt to measure space around web elements
Crypto VC is booming! What the heck are you talking about
I'm not sure what's worse... inconsistent rulings, or a central authority with possibly ulterior motives (which might also change every few years). Perhaps they're in a way, the same thing?

Either way, neither option sounds particularly favorable to me.
I believe several key frontiers will emerge beyond current LLMs:

Multimodal AI Integration
Deeper integration of vision, audio, and language understanding
More sophisticated reasoning across different types of inputs
Better real-world physical interaction capabilities

Neuromorphic Computing
AI systems that more closely mimic human brain architecture
More energy-efficient AI processing
Better handling of uncertainty and novel situations

Hybrid AI Systems
Combination of symbolic reasoning with neural networks
Better causal reasoning capabilities
More transparent decision-making processes

Embodied AI
AI systems that learn through physical interaction
Better understanding of physical world constraints
More practical robotics applications

Quantum AI
Quantum computing applications for AI
New types of algorithms leveraging quantum properties
Potential breakthrough in optimization problems

FROM CURSOR :)
You can totally tweak the filter and amp of samples. Don’t believe be - run a sample with the LP turned all the way down :)
> no Linux support

Yeah, that makes it useless to me.
When You're Raising $6.6B: "It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days."

When You Want Out of Your Contract w/ Microsoft: "My guess is we will hit AGI sooner than most people in the world think and it matter much less."
Much of a fan as I am of his works, some of them certainly fall flat. Lock In is a great example; I loved his world building, but both of his first two books felt like it channeled Matlock or CSI with their endings, with exposition and some kind of reveal that felt out of character. I also admit lost interest in Old Man's War after The Last Colony.

Redshirts however is a master class in satire of Trek, and Starter Villain made me laugh.

I also admit Wil Wheaton's narration of his books always feels spot on to me.
This is definitely true but btc buys you more of almost anything else too (btc/X): X is one of s&p500, housing, gold, etc. except maybe $nvda or $tsla. For example the btc chart in dollars looks the same as in gold.
The problem with the anti-crypto absolutists is that they just watched Bitcoin and the entire crypto industry go up once again and they did nothing but complain.

They are real quiet today. No where to be seen this time and probably sulking that they ended up on the wrong side of the trade. (again)

Well done to those who did not listen to their cope.
Read some history, bad things tend to happen when a permanent underclass is cut off from ever-expanding wealth.
Sounds like btc is good for large amount of transfer as relatively low cost but not really ready for day to day expenses like gas/grocery. Yes?
Besides an exchange, what company is doing well right now in the crypto space?