skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>How is risk portrayed wrong here?

because he portrayed risk as "the risk of losing money", but that is not a proper definition of risk.

it's easier to understand the concept with the stock market because there is a market price (there is not a market price for startups). If a stock in the market has a price, what does it mean to say that it's a risky stock? that it might drop? No, not if you say that to the exclusion of the risk that it might also go up.

If a company has a price in the market, and you are an omniscient who can definitively say that there are a bunch unaccounted for factors that increase the probability that that stock will go down, what you would conclude (because you are an omniscient who also understands risk) is that the price of the stock is wrong, not that the riskiness has been mis-assessed.

This is an important area of finance, it's the basis, or rather the inescapable conclusion, of option pricing, the famous Black-Scholes model. It turns out the option price calculation does not contain any of the probabilities of what might happen to the stock/company in the future, the option price is only based on the variance of the outcomes. How can that be? Turns out the probabilities (the expected value) have already been accounted for in the market price of the underlying security. If a market is fairly pricing stocks, riskyness means degree of variation in outcomes.

There is a probability in variance, the probability "that you will wind up away from the mean". the FAANG salary is the mean, with no risk, meaning you aren't going to fall below or go above. He called out the other option as "risky" and somehow decided that the outcome this founder experienced was the upper limit, had no chance of being higher. He had no basis to think that, and his analysis is basically Monday night quarterbacking. "Since you didn't make the field goal, you shouldn't have tried, should have tried for a touchdown instead", ignoring that on average it's easier to get a field goal.
Hold your horses, OpenAI just came out with o1preview 2 months ago, showing what test time computer can do
I run an ML team in fintech, and am currently hiring. If a resumè came across my desk with this "skill set" I'd laugh my ass off. My job and my team's jobs are extremely stressful because we ship models that impact people's finances. If we mess up our customers lose their goddamn minds.

Most of the ML candidates I see now are all "working with LLMs". Most of the ML engineers I know in the industry who are actually shipping valuable models, are not.

Cool, you made a chatbot that annoys your users.

Let me know when you've shipped a fraud model that requires four 9's, 100ms latency, with 50,000 calls an hour, 80% recall and 50% precision.
I build wasm as a target and this is sadly not an option, I have to rebuild for each little bit. I will be trying a different linker and see how it goes though!
Thank you so much!! We hope to reach there too!
One major point I don’t see addressed, are endorsements public or private?

I could see major (but different) issues with both scenarios.
Well in my opinion it is a design flaw, you can do a lot in that container that I wish I could publish and the blog for me was hoping to inform researchers to open themselves to the possibilities of what they could really do.
The AI-assisted writing is unfortunately really obvious and makes reading a bad experience. People learn to skim, and skimming AI-inflated text is made more painful because of how much fluff AI adds.
Docker: Keep ejabberd automagically updated with Watchtower
> to virtually no complaint since nobody was actually verifying any of the signatures

And this is in no way a consequence of pypi stopping to host public keys right? Say the whole story at least… Say that there used to be a way to verify the signatures but you dropped it years ago and since then the signatures have been useless.
Satire is not a tool for change. In fact the opposite as laughter sublimates the emotions that would otherwise lead to action (cf Orwell’s 1984).

However people are not always in a position to change things and satire can be a useful outlet for venting, but culturally can also be good for providing talking points.

Southpark and the Onion strike a chord with me the others less so, I think because they believe that they are agents for change.

I love John Oliver though. He follows up his rants with some sensible ideas sometimes. Not everyone’s cup of tea though for sure.
Can you clarify what the difference between the Developer Edition and normal edition are? It's not clear from the checkout flow if this is required in order to create plugins, and is not mentioned anywhere in the docs.
Rush brainwashed a whole generation of boomers and their parents. Alex Jones barely registers compared to the damage Rush caused.
Having done this, you will also most likely want to setup a javascript timer that also triggers a refresh in case the meta refresh fails. And a weekly reboot of the machine in case there is a memory leak or some other issue.
Yeah I did :)
I agree that a "worst song of all time" is a bit silly, but if someone was trying to make the worst song of all time that would still get regular radio play and you asked me for ideas, "put a traffic report in the middle of the song" would be pretty high on my ideas list.

I say that with love as I absolutely love the We Built This City (and Starship for that matter)
I don't think you can predict the future any more than me.
Regardless of if you're "right" or not, I cannot imagine living in this society as an individual to br anything but depressing.
>There is another emerging paradigm which is still small(er) scale but showing remarkable results. That's full multi-modal training with embodied agents (aka robots). 1x, Figure, Physical Intelligence, Tesla are all making rapid progress on functionality which is definitely beyond frontier LLMs because it is distinctly different.

Tesla is selling this view for almost a decade now in self-driving - how their car fleet feeding training data is going to make them leaders in the area. I don't find it convincing anymore
yes! It's definitely talked out of making some really dumb decisions
Yes but that’s the security manager doing it not the field modifiers. It’s just reusing the modifiers as security metadata.
you can also just have whatever tool extract docx or doc from its archive and then do the diff on that directory as it's just xml files.
What are "ThomPike* macros"?
Yep that paper is from the same team that produced the paper I linked to.

But yes the title is much more exciting - “grandmaster level chess without search”.
Also consider that a good judge is doing a useful service to society, but isnt necessarily in the business of maximizing other people’s happiness.
The tokenizer does seem like it has a serious drawback for Chess notation.

The model is forced to lock in the column choice before the row choice when using chess notation. It can't consider the moves as a whole, and has to model longer range dependencies to accurately predict the best next move.... But it may never let the model choose the 2nd best move for that specific situation because of that.
Were there any other major Silicon Valley companies or executives that were pro-Trump other than Elon Musk and X? The whole premise of this post seems untrue on its face.
> Cool, but we already have robots doing this in 2d space (aka self driving cars) that struggle not to kill people. How is adding a third dimension going to help?

If we have robots that operate in 3D, they'll be able to kill you not only from behind or from the side, but also from above. So that's progress!
One thing I like about programming languages is that they usually constrain themselves to strings of ASCII characters, instead of using lots of more or less inscrutable symbols like mathematics does. For example, where a mathematician writes "Σ", a programmer simply writes "sum".
Well we wouldn't have Opie and Anthony's parody of it without the original. It made it all worth it
TFA sees fit to dispense with the hyphen and just uses "onchain", presumably because it's just so normal and accepted.

Less hype, more hyphen.
Do tech workers write better or worse code while high ?
The problem isn't "beliefs that are wrong", the problem is that it's Calvinball.

Say something happened, they'll say you don't have proof.

Show proof that it happened, they'll say it isn't a big deal.

Demonstrate a negative consequence, they'll say it's an isolated incident.

Show that it happens a lot, they'll say the victims deserve it.

And so on. Of course I don't have any proof.
Note that if it shows up in the dev tools "Storage" tab, then that's fine, that's how you audit cookies and local/sessionStorage just fine already. But from what I can tell, part of the "no no, we call it private for a reason" is that they're not getting exposed that way. If finding a sqlite3 db and manually working in that is the only way to audit the data, that's a dark pattern right there.

I'd be happy to be wrong about that, though.
> Hinton, a Turing award winner, gave up $$$ to doom-say full time

This is a hint of something but a weak argument. Smart people are wrong all the time.
Good question, we at 0Din have trace down hallucinations. We had to because we pay for LLM bugs. Here is a simple tell, if you prompt something specific look at a response window now use the same prompt with a completely different user account if the answer is 50% the same it is not a hallucination!
I mean... objectively "10 Coolest Things about New Jersey" is a worse song, but let's not pretend Bloodhound Gang's music is meant to be taken seriously.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk8hFuDoYq8
No, it's named for Nelson Mandela. Because when he died people falsely thought they remembered him dying a couple of decades before. But they likely conflated his release from prison with his death.
The song I wish the radio would stop playing today is "Murder on the Dance Floor"

Something about the way the singer sings it just feels unusually soulless. After listening to it, I am completely convinced that if the DJ did kill the groove, Ellis-Baxter wouldn't give a shit.
We had to keep our daughter on a photocopier looking device for bilirubin as well as the tests. Nobody told me how common this is so I also got to enjoy a feeling of panic and dread while that was going on.

Plus my boss kept calling me.
I agree that this is a mistake the Democrats are making. But focusing on that distracts from a more fundamental problem. Thomas Jefferson famously said that a well-informed electorate is a prerequisite for successful democracy. We've been neglecting that for a long time, and now we're paying the price. With a well-informed electorate, we wouldn't have to engage in these messaging games and identity politics.
Visual Basic 6 IDE recreated in C#
Only inadequate taxation rules and state failure to enforce such rules (corruption) contribute to wealth inequality.
I mean the same way you ran ls, you could run /bin/bash?

Which is kind of pointless because the ls command is probably executed through a shell anyways.

So technically correct. But getting root or running a shell usually means you can run arbitrary commands, which is a check here (albeit I wouldn't say there's root access)
And that is potentially only going to worsen as:

1. more data gets walled-off as owners realise value

2. stackoverflow-type feedback loops cease to exist as few people ask a public question and get public answers ... they ask a model privately and get an answer based on last visible public solutions

3. bad actors start deliberately trying to poison inputs (if sites served malicious responses to GPTBot/CCBot crawlers only, would we even know right now?)

4. more and more content becomes synthetically generated to the point pre-2023 physical books become the last-known-good knowledge

5. goverments and IP lawyers finally catch up
A16Z
> you are missing a lot of "ifs" in that hypothetical

The big one being I'm not assuming AGI. Low-level coding tasks, the kind frequently outsourced, are within the realm of being competitive with offshoring with known methods. My point is we don't need to assume AGI for these valuations to make sense.
I get the broader point of eye-for-an-eye.. but in this case how are people supposed to ignore when the harm done is very real and very cruel? These groups don’t want to operate in their own little corner of the world. They will up the ante until they gain notoriety and the attention they want, which enables them to make the money they want. The collective reaction is all but guaranteed, I would argue and it’s not because people want to silence morons, but to limit harm.
They actually do require some complex technologies to become cheap enough (batteries, motors, performant electronics and radio transmission).
Yes, because how dare someone have a non-conventional hobby. Furthermore, how dare they be encouraged to discuss what makes them happy with other people.
Everything in philosophy (and life in general) is grounded in base beliefs that are assumed rather than justified with reason.

If you don't believe that you have experiences of any kind then there is indeed no point in us discussing things further.

If you do believe that you have experiences of some kind, then I can tell you that I am taking to be definitional of consciousness - that when I say "conciousness", that's what I mean - and we can start from there.
Tbh I feel like this is a ‘read the room’ situation. So if I’m on HN, providing thorough, cited sources, with as much nuance as possible is right. On the other hand, if I’m teaching a class of middle school theory students, giving them a fun digestible story about ‘the real thing about the triangle guy’ is more effective.

It’s impossible to know the true scope of how it was all made whether it’s Pythagoras and the origin of tonality or Bach and the birth of common practice. There should always be a ‘click here to go deeper down the rabbit hole’ option, but sometimes Pythagoras and Bach are easy focal points to begin delivering the concept that this all came from somewhere.
>Since the physical device was satisfactory, the next step was writing a simple website that could drive the display.

>A Compose page my siblings and I write messages and save them to be displayed.

Is there a risk of a malicious actor discovering the website and writing in their own messages? I would think building user authentication in to the MomBoard website might be a bit heavyweight. Whats the best way to do this?
If superintelligence means a robot that looks, acts like a human in every way plus infinitely smarter, that does not mean human is lower value. There are people smarter and richer than me, but so what? Maybe they got lucky, and had better upbringing etc. same with machines/agi
I understand the desire to raise awareness about your fringe concern. But it makes no sense.
Ok, this is cool.

I use a few tools that does the same, but with CSVs. I often try to use "AI copilots for mind mapping", but this is good.

Rather than trying to pin down the first potential use case, why don't you showcase a few use cases in the docs / home page that people can start as a template?

- Insert your favorite book/author and explore peripheral works based on their other works / influences.
- Learn X in 5 minutes - Take a concept, draw a mindmap and let people click around explore.

If you can use some entity extraction to highlight the useful entities in a node, then you can build an experience where someone can generate the "next level" of a tree by clicking in a subject.

I like the function part as well.

Good luck! If you're ever in need of help, reach out. (E-mail in the profile)
I remember having my own rabbit hole with the Residents band.

In junior high I used to stay up late and watch Letterman. He used to have Chris Elliot the comedian on doing various bits. He had one that imitated the Residents where Chris and several other people dressed up in weird outfits called something like "Maumoshcantz" or something French sounding. Chris' costume had a big black box with three toilet rolls for the face on it and played bizarre, "avant-garde" music. When they finished, Chris came over to sit with Dave. Dave tried to announce the name of the band and Chris scolded him by over pronouncing the name. Then Dave asked what part Chris played and he exclaimed, "I played the guy with toilet rolls on his head Dave! Shesssh!"

I recounted the bit to a friend and he instantly said the whole bit was a tilt of the cap to the band The Residents and it poked fun at their outfits and members on purpose.

This lead me, pre-internet to start digging around to find out what I could about the band. A few weeks later there was some MTV News story about a musician who died that apparently was one of the members. They made light of the fact nobody knew this since the band had purposefully concealed their identities so they could rotate out people as necessary and then say they just wanted people to focus on the music instead. Strangely enough, there was a similar story making the rounds on the internet about something similar that Slipknot was doing and Corey Taylor even used the same reason they wear masks - so fans can focus more in the music! This of course, brought back memories in my own research that eventually concluded with an older brother of a friend who was into really weird stuff and gave me a somewhat sordid history of the The Residents, and some the eerie connections to their management team Cryptic Corporation. He even pulled out several albums saying there's a possibility The Beatles WERE the Residents and showed me the two albums "Meet the Residents" and "Meet the Beatles" album as proof. Keep in mind, I was like 10, my buddies brother was like 16; so imagine how that conversation went down.

Anyways, thanks for bringing this up, it was really fun remembering my own rabbit hole with that band. Which interestingly enough, started with a David Letterman bit and ended with similar rumors swirling around Slipknot.
Hard disagree, you should be skimming anyways, always. No one reads sequentially.

You just saw 'delve' and automatically classified it as ai generated.
This is misleading.

At the top of the feed, there are two tabs: "For you" and "Following". If you select "Following", then you only see people you follow.
If it doesn't change anything why is it needed? It clearly changes something and I'm not convinced it's for my, the user's, benefit.
I can't speak to the OPs decision, but I also have a similar script set up that adds a combination of YOLO, bakllava, tesseract etc. and also puts it along with a URI reference to the image file into a database.

I actually store the data in the EXIF as well, but the nice thing about having a database is that it's significantly faster than attempting to search hundreds of thousands of images across a nested file structure, particularly since I store a great deal of media on a NAS.
But that was a "novelty song" -- you weren't supposed to like it unironically even at the time.
I’m not seeing any prompt injection, any actual vulns, or anything probably running under an actual containerized environment.
Hence 'vuln' in quotes

Maybe it's more of a reading comprehension issue rather than a writing thing
>I don't think I need to refute the overall glibness here, but in case you're looking for a place in the coming months/years: brokers are often the only ones who take checks these days. The last landlord I had who took a check was 15 years ago, since then it's been cash, bank transfer, or Zelle only.

Firstly, I was talking about goings on 30-40 years ago, and GP's (incorrect) assertion that "In the past, there was some informational benefit for average Joe/Jane. Without internet, finding apartments, knowing which neighborhoods, buildings, or landlords were good or not was quite difficult." It was not.

As far as checks are concerned, I've been paying by check. The last time was for this month's rent.

Regardless, and I'll say it a second time in this message as you, apparently, missed it in the first message, my previous message was replying to the assertion that back in the 1980s/90s, it was much harder to find/get an apartment than now. It ain't true. I was there. I did it repeatedly.

The only real difference is that I don't have to go out and get the Village Voice or Sunday papers for the expanded classified ad pages. Oh, and more photos on the websites.

Edit: I went and checked and you, ics, were the GP to whom I referred. Please re-read my initial reply to you -- you obviously misunderstood.
I agree there's no single definition, but I think they all have something current LLM don't: the ability to learn new things, in a persistent way, with few shots.

I would argue that learning is The definition of AGI, since everything else comes naturally from that.

The current architectures can't learn without retraining, fine tuning is at the expense of general knowledge, and keeping things in context is detrimental to general performance. Once you have few shot learning, I think it's more of a "give it agency so it can explore" type problem.
I agree. New codebases are clean because they don't have all the warts of accumulated edge cases.

If the new codebase is messy because the team is moving fast as parent describes, that means the dev team is doing sloppy work in order to move fast. That type of speed is very short lived, because it's a lot harder to add 100 bugfixes to an already-messy codebase.
In fact, couldn’t this all simply be generative output? Not really following how this is a point at all?
You're right... Companies should pay mid 6 figures, as well as downtime for training.

Short answer is that most corporations don't have a job in training people.
I'm a big fan of specialization. The vet's should probably learn more tech but I really don't care all that much as long as the cats are healthy.

Building easier tech creates jobs for engineers, and saves the time of the people who are willing to do the stuff that's way harder than engineering.

It probably makes things cheaper for people trying to save their pets too.
The comments here are pretty funny, and do almost nothing for me more so than highlight the subjectivity of musical taste. I'd never claim to be an authority on music, but as the child of a professional musician and with chops of my own that I'd describe as "good enough to entertain myself and others at times", I love so many of the songs people are ragging on here, "We Built This City" included. Sure, there's plenty of stuff that I don't go out of my way to listen to, and again, subjective, but man, fluffy pop? Corny Christmas Music? Lewd Comedies/Parodies? It's all got it's time and place.

But that's just like, my opinion, man.
It is also very, very obviously written with lots of AI help. :/
Which could mean sleeping is good for the heart
By itself, sure, but there are many sources all pointing to the same thing.

Sutskever, recently ex. OpenAI, one of the first to believe in scaling, now says it is plateauing. Do OpenAI have something secret he was unaware of? I doubt it.

FWIW, GPT-2 and GPT-3 were about a year apart (2019 "Language models are Unsupervised Multitask Learners" to 2020 "Language Models are Few-Shot Learners").

Dario Amodei recently said that with current gen models pre-training itself only takes a few months (then followed by post-training, etc). These are not year+ training runs.
see: Lysenkoism
You are right, I didn’t realize it could mean both things. Thanks!
It seems obvious to me that Common Crawl plus Github public repositories have more than an enough data to train an AI that is as good as any programmer (at tasks not requiring knowledge of non-public codebases or non-public domain knowledge).

So the problem is more in the algorithm.