skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Don't build from scratch :-)

It's a rare project that a rebuild succeeds!

My experience is with Laravel, so not too far off your ideal of using Symfony, though I wouldn't let minimalism cause you to avoid Laravel and end up having to do more work. Whether you use Laravel or Symfony alone is probably negligible compared to the application itself.

For such a large application - in keeping with avoiding rebuilds - I'd be looking at ways to subsume parts of the current application into (say) a Laravel application, with glue code at the edges where necessary to paper over differences between the legacy code and the framework-backed code.

Continuing on that path with parts of the system - while (crucially) keeping it up and running for existing users - slowly replacing/enhancing existing code to work in a more coherent fashion with the guide ropes of a framework.

Eventually you ought to end up in a position where you can pick up speed and tap away at the legacy parts.

Ref: your final paragraph, in a decent framework you can quite easily scope queries to restrict the data queried via SQL. Particularly if you have a strong permission system this becomes easier! I like to avoid database-per-customer unless absolutely necessary, it has its own issues, like keeping all databases in sync and on the latest migrations.

Sounds like you've got a fun job ahead of you, holler if your org could use some help :) UK based.
Tariff targets are generally chosen on industries that have an oversized impact on politicians. Harley-Davidson was chosen because while those tariffs would have little impact on the European or US economy, they figured it would have an oversized impact on Trump.

Farmers are typically chosen for counter-tariffs for the same reason -- politicians listen to farmers a lot more closely than their voting or economic impact would imply. Upset farmers get a lot of media time.

Musk has Trump's ear. That's why he'll be targetted.
Matrix multiplication and the Gaussian distribution are also like that. A lot of things are like that. I really dislike that this approach is not a core tool for teaching in math.
the world can be idiotic far longer than...
> I do think the law should update and grant some protections to people who produce models

This is what every reasonable person thinks, and because legislators and lawyers generally aren't that great at or keen on designing new frameworks for IP protection, the most likely outcome would be extending the concept of copyrights to models.

They did it for photography, for software programs, and they will do it for AI models.
Prediction and explanation are basically equivalent IMO. A predictive model entails an explanation, and an explanation entails a predictive model. Predictive models that are more accurate are more accurate explanations, and predictive models that are more precise are more precise explanations, and vice versa. They are not that distinct.
In health care there have been studies that find an inverse correlation between patient satisfaction scores and patient outcomes. I don't know if the same is true in education, but I'd believe it.
(Author here).

> To rise above the simple wisdom of the crowds, you would want to identify the subset of market participants that are constantly beating the market (because they have a more accurate mental model of the world).

Identifying, and then working with, the top traders at Google (including one card-carrying superforecaster) was a great joy.

And yes, they're sitting on some great data, on what the employee crowd tends to get right and wrong, who individually is good at forecasting what. Though one complication is that being a great trader is not the same as being a great forecaster.
Biodiesel production breakthrough promises affordable, sustainable fuel
I have traded skins and other in-game items in different games for a while. Now, I don't have enough time for the grind. So yes, I am one of those people who openly admits that I pay to progress and be able in joining raids in WoW and other MMORPGs.

I have searched for different platforms, but all have a bad experience or I was scammed, if I did not really know the other trading partner. This is why I think that we need a financial intermediary.

I came across a startup working on exactly this. They asked me, whether I wanted to join and I did. Now, if you are a gamer and a trader, what are games you want to see listed on here? Check out the site with the games. You can find a form there, where you can tell us what we should list next.
The animated plots in here are practically impossible to read.
The creatine conundrum: can it help your muscles and your brain?
My new phone doesn't have a pen anymore, so I can't hover :( Thanks for the direct link!
Herb Sutter leaves Microsoft. I really hope this just gives him a nicer pay check and more time to dedicate specifically to mordern C++.

His recent talks[0] have been a really positive spin on C++'s roadmap which is really enjoyable from the normal doom and gloom of C++ articles.

0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNi1-x4pojs
No one includes complete detail at saying it’s useful and life-changing too, so that’s fair. It might turn out that what works for those for whom it works is trivial “code” not worth the ssd blocks it occupies. This is actually my current theory, cause LLMs (all of them, yes we tried all of them) are capable of what I tend to not think about as programming but as industry nonsense which should have been automated/abstracted/libraried away ages ago.

Maybe show us the successful code it built and we’ll see what type it is, cause recording failures is only useful in hindsight. I have no logs of lenghty struggling with llm stupidity.

getting perfect code out of the LLM is a non-goal

It stops being a goal after just a few tries, naturally. The problem is usually not that it isn’t perfect, the problem is it doesn’t understand the problem at all and tends to some resembling mediocrity instead. You can’t just fix it and move on.
This is an idiots take.
That makes sense. Like it. One question - in the video you mentioned adding credentials that would be available to the function calling. I didn't see that tool when I forked the HN demo agent. Where can I find that? I really like the credentials idea. Having a way to use them for tool/function calling but not available to the AI is smart. With credentials you could envision giving the AI access to all sorts of services. Really opens up the possibilities. Let me know where I can find the credentials tool. Thanks
> The dueling conclusions underscore the tricky balance facing public health agencies, says Kristie Ebi, a heat epidemiologist at the University of Washington. “The messaging needs to be simple,” she says—but not too simple.

It’s the COVID garbage all over again. They think the public are absolute drooling morons who cannot be trusted with any nuance, and they bake this prejudice into their recommendations.

Good lord, we are never going to be able to rebuild trust in our institutions if they haven’t learned any lessons over the last 5 years.
Hard to pursue someone for what could easily have been a hack or computer theft, though.
Thanks! I'm still sleep deprived though, just 1h less per day. :|
I think about this quote often, because of how it was played in the media. "Unknown unknowns" is an obvious and non-controversial idea in technical circles, but it became a popular focus of ridicule, as though he said something moronic. I take it as a reminder to be cautious how I phrase things for a general audience.
This is a silly statement given that guns beat arrows and arrows beat rocks. I believe you meant something more specific. What we are seeing in Ukraine is a war of attrition.
We got so far with transformers and huge amounts of compute and huge amounts of data.
If we can get an architecture that is able to extract a slightly higher order of reasoning it will have a cascading effect when we apply the same level of compute and data.
I see lots of potential for progressive improvement in this direction.
Problem is, it's quite expensive to develop and test new architectures, but that's were the financial capital comes in.
> It's not an intelligence, artificial or otherwise

That's what artificial means (even Pong had AI). If it ever becomes intelligent, it will be a synthetic intelligence (not an AGI).

For example, artificial vs synthetic diamonds; the former just looks the part, the latter is the genuine article - but manufactured as opposed to naturally formed.
Nice, thanks for the link. I'm in the western exurbs, so I'll have to make the trek on in!
FBDetect – Meta's In-Production Performance Regression Detection [pdf]
You don't really have to have a bespoke editor, you just have to display the control characters sanely in an otherwise normal plaintext editor and add a shortcut or menu item to insert the control characters.
I remember a video from a camera someone set up in their home to see what their dog -- who was not allowed on the furniture -- did when they were gone. It may not be surprising that the video depicted the dog rolling around and rubbing itself on all of the furniture.

It's a small wonder whether the dog did that when the owner was home!
The two problems I identify with this are 1) it underestimates the distorting effect of social rewards (see also karma farmers and serial confabulators on Reddit) and 2) it overlooks how verifiable reputation can be turned into profit by e.g. account-selling (once again, see Reddit).
The problem is that if a prediction market exposed the fact that 80% of their most accurate betters are betting for YES, then wouldn't that skew the rest of the market? If I'm on there and I think it's about 50/50 chances, but I see that the super-betters are mostly saying YES, I'm probably going to vote YES too.
Congrats on the launch, I bought one.

This is a really cool example of ambient technology. Typically when people talk about ambient technology they're talking about something like an e-ink display that is pushing information to you, but in a way that doesn't require interactivity and isn't screaming for your attention. This is a little different in that it's always _receiving_ information from you without any need for interaction or maintenance, except on your terms.

The interaction model is pretty clever too. Since it's collecting data from the instrument they've found a way to cue the device to perform an action without the user needing to open an app. (black keys to bookmark) There is an app of course, but it connects directly to the device, with no annoying setup requirements. I've seen this same approach with several other devices - Xbloom coffee maker, Combustion thermometers, Week Aqua lights - it works really well. I'm understating it. It's astounding how pleasant it is to use devices like this.

As hardware continues to improve I expect this will be the default mode for pretty much every new technology appliance. Ambient operation, local data, local app, with cloud and accounts as _options_ to extend functionality if it's necessary.
> the Thermonator robot dog from Throwflame, which is built on a Go2 platform and is equipped with a flamethrower

They WHAT with an LLM!?

Even for software-engineering standards, that's got to be some kind of professional malpractice!
Arguably workstations as a meaningful category largely died out when wintel took over the world. So Sun Ultras, SGI MIPS, HP PA-RISC, DEC Alphas, and IBM POWER belong to workstations. Wintel PCs are, well, PCs.

It is notable how for almost all of these venerable series the last models came out in fairly similar time (2005 ±few years).
How to build an event-driven architecture with Fluvio
exactly, this isn't america. despite not needing to have a specific reason for letting someone go you are not allowed to use morally questionable reasons (which goes beyond outright discrimination), and you must evaluate how the loss of employment affects the employee. that means, for example, the likelihood of that employee finding a new job with similar pay, (so you can't easily let go of older people), their family situation, or if they have another income. so you basically have to choose the employee who would be least affected. as far as i understand these kinds questions are not considered at all in the US. only discrimination againt protected classes, as defined by the law.
> This is why we have problems with our current predictions markets, e.g. the stock market (insider trading, etc.)

A unit of stock represents a legal claim on a company's assets even in the absence of a market for that stock.

In many situations, we do want people to influence the value of their stock. Any company that grants stock is doing so because they expect employees to work harder. There are many cases in which employees with stock grants might make short-sighted decisions for quick profits, but on the whole stock grants make employees into better workers.

> A senior executive saw Prophit give a very low probability that the company would complete the hire of a new senior executive on time (filling the position had been a quarterly objective for the past six quarters). “The betting on this goal was extremely harsh. I am shocked and outraged by the lack of brown-nosing at this company,” the executive said to laughter in a company-wide meeting. But the market was the nudge the execs needed. They subsequently “made some hard decisions” to complete the hire on time.

In this case, the predictions market would've been useless had the executive team not used it in their decision-making.

A pure predictions market would be completely isolated from the event they're trying to predict. But I would say that's not an ideal predictions market.
30y Floridian here.

> People live in hot climates year round without feeling miserable all the time.

Not this person, nor my sons (born here) or siblings. Heat makes us all sick.

Florida has 6 or 8 actual seasons and none of them are Fall, Spring or Winter.
> when someone tries to make metaverses happen again

While web3/metaverse as a branding concept flopped, the incumbents (roblox, fortnite, minecraft, gta creator mode) are growing strong with roblox leading the pack
What dictionary did you use for those definitions?

If I search for those phrases I can find them floating around in random unrelated places. However, if I look up the definition of the words, really common dictionaries have definitions that match what I just said.

Here's MW for example:

hypothesis: an assumption or concession made for the sake of argument

theory: a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena

It even has this handy bit of text after the definition

> A hypothesis is an assumption, an idea that is proposed for the sake of argument so that it can be tested to see if it might be true.

> In the scientific method, the hypothesis is constructed before any applicable research has been done, apart from a basic background review. You ask a question, read up on what has been studied before, and then form a hypothesis.

> A hypothesis is usually tentative; it's an assumption or suggestion made strictly for the objective of being tested.

> A theory, in contrast, is a principle that has been formed as an attempt to explain things that have already been substantiated by data. It is used in the names of a number of principles accepted in the scientific community, such as the Big Bang Theory. Because of the rigors of experimentation and control, it is understood to be more likely to be true than a hypothesis is.

[1] https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/hypothesis

[2] https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/theory
pron says "Behavioral programming is built on top of a paradigm called synchronous programming": https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19822463
The main time period in classical byoyomi has always seemed strange to me: if it's expected that you'd reach byoyomi at all in a game of a typical length, then the main time isn't making much difference. It lets you allocate extra time to a certain critical move, but only if it's early enough in the game. If say you have 10 minutes of main time with a single 30 second byoyomi, and you're disciplined enough to use 30 seconds per move generally, then the main time is irrelevant past the opening - you'll have used it by your 20th move or so even if nothing gave you a reason to take extra time.

Yes, I'm aware that traditionally instead of main time you'd have a large (for important slow games) number of one-minute periods. Using multiple byoyomi periods is even stranger - more complex for questionable effect on time management strategy.

One idea I've had that I'd like to see implemented is "reverse single byoyomi": you have a certain amount of time per move (which resets for each move), and when exceeded on a given move you start using your "main time" (and lose when that runs out). I think that fixes the above problems: you can spend a little time on each move (but you and your opponent can expect reasonably brisk play from each other most of the time), and if you prefer you can use your reserve in late game to count the score, double-check for teire and semedori, etc. And, of course, you don't encounter extra time pressure just because the game went to an unusually high number of moves (and your opponent doesn't get to waste huge amounts of time during dame-filling just because the game went to an unusually low number of moves).

Fischer is close to accomplishing this, but it makes you "bank" and manage your thinking time for the longer moves.
Why would you ask for a citation of something so easy to verify?
They are highly distinct.

Compare reporting the temperature tomorrow as a mode of all temperatures in November at your location, with a climate & weather simulation involving: cloud layers, the ocean, etc.

The former is likely to be vastly more predictively accurate than the latter, but explains nothing.

Explanatory models are often less predictively accurate than these (weakly inductive) predictive models. Their purpose is to tell us how reality works, and that provides some insight as to when we can adopt merely predictive approaches. This is because merely predictive models capture accidental features of measurement which hold up for awhile in some environments, that we wouldn't wish to explain.

Without explanatory insight we find merely predictive models catastrophically collapse, and are otherwise, highly fragile. Eg., consider the performance of "predict the mode" in a snow storm.

If you want a midly formal analysis of the difference: explanatory models quantify over causal properties of reality, describe their relationship, and provide necessary inferential methods for deducing conclusions from models. They permit arbitrary simulation across all relevant measuring systems.

Merely predictive models quantify over historical measurements, assume similarity conditions across them, and assume future similarity to past cases. They provide only extremely weak inferential grounds for any inference. They can offer only repetition of one kind of measure, and cannot simulate the state of other relevant measuring devices or in different environments of measurement.

Explanatory models describe reality. Predictive models describe the measurement device you happened to use, in the environment you specifically used it in.
That's interesting, but this article is about langurs (which is a type of monkey).
Due to the VoLTE end-ro-end encryption from your phone (UE) to the home operator, some countries (at least Sweden) will force downgrade inroaming users to circuit switched voice (2G/3G) in order to do lawful intercept (LI).
Just wondering, what does this have to do with the article, which is about code that positions desktop icons on the screen (in KDE)?
I am as far away from the target market as possible, but just want to say a lot of things about this device, from the use cases, the design and the UI, feel so delightful. Good luck with the launch.
> You're just betting as a hedge just in case that person wins.

But this itself is a form of market distortion. It calls to question what, precisely, people think the market is supposed to be measuring, both in theory and in practice.
They're wrong.

Any actor that simulates any aspect of intelligence is a genuine AI - it doesn't even need to be adaptive.

Pong had AI.
Show HN: I Built a Tool That Understands Your Design and Create Consistent UI
I was frustrated that no AI could understand my design (colors, components, typography) and generate consistent UIs with my brand. So, I built one!

Now, I’m offering 500 free credits to test it out! generate unique sections tailored to your design choices :)
> They think the public are absolute drooling morons who cannot be trusted with any nuance

I don't know where you've been the past couple years, but I think that's a fairly safe assumption.
You don't know what artificial means.
Too Much Therapy at Work
While not directly analogous, people often think "it's just math" or "it's just numbers" and therefore claim their use is ok. I would encourage those people to read about illegal numbers: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_number
It was one of the goals, specifically in the form of a "dictatorship of the proletariat" that prevents non-working social classes from engaging in politics. That would later evolve into a "state of the whole people" once it was perceived that class struggle had been eliminated.

If you look at how Russia failed to modernize as a republic though, you could argue the current oligarchy is significantly more dangerous for the state and it's people. When the Soviet Union collapsed and Russia started migrating to a free market economy, the government deeply subsidized entrepreneurs in an attempt to stimulate their economy into competition. It would end up being one of the major contributing factors of their economic collapse, and persists today as a toxic link between business and politics that should have never been forged in the first place. Russian oligarchs put out mob hits on polticians - politicians send secret police to kill their opposition. It's about as potent an example of political corruption that exists in a so-called "democracy" today.

I feel like you can see very clear echoes of this in America's modern economic strategy, the same sort of hubris from both Democrats and Republicans. America thought it would be smart to subsidize Elon Musk for sub-$25,000 cars he had no intention of ever making. Meanwhile, Elon is meeting with foreign dignitaries and shipping American jobs abroad to save his company instead of delivering on his promises. Elon must rather envy the violence and lawlessness of Russian economics.
Which is funny, since one man’s rights are, by definition another man’s duties.

(I mean, of course “person” and “their”.)
How deadline violations negatively affect perceived work quality and evals
Actually in almost all places I worked in (except during go-lives ofcourse), the env was usually quite, if you have a meeting or get a phone call you would typically go to a meeting room or a phone booth, otherwise the open space becomes a call center.
There are a couple of ways to rule out modern contamination.

Ancient DNA has certain characteristic damage that changes the sequence slightly, and you can use that to filter out any DNA that doesn't have that signature. Plus, you can maintain DNA profiles of all people involved in handling to ensure it's not modern contamination from the field workers or lab techs.