skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>History is also almost empty of positive climate change outcome.

What would you consider positive a climate change outcome? I think there are tons of positive outcomes, but agree there is a lot of greenwashing as well.

Moving from coal to natural gas has a enormous positive outcome. PV is as well. US CO2 per capita and total emissions are down 25% in the last 20 years, which is a massive positive outcome. Global CO2 per capita has gone negative, which is another massive win.

It is too soon to tell, but we may even be at or have passed global peak emissions, which will be another massive milestone.
(Author here.) This is generally checked via calibration charts, e.g. bucketing markets at various points in time into 0-5%, 5-10%, etc; then counting how often the underlying events actually happen. The more they match, the more it's reasonable to interpret the market prices as probabilities.

Google published [1] one such calibration chart on its current prediction market in late 2021. Also, the 2009 paper in the article [2] on Google's first prediction market published one too.

[1] https://cloud.google.com/blog/topics/solutions-how-tos/desig...
[2] https://static.googleusercontent.com/media/services.google.c...
I think science journalists often have some science background, and university press releases are in my experience collaborations between the scientist and the PR person.
This makes sense to me and other comments have covered why plenty well, but what does frustrate me is the constant insistence that nothing should ever be discussed in public and you must consult your own lawyer privately for every bit of basic information. That's just not realistic for the majority of people and even plenty of small businesses with how much lawyers cost.
Not in the way you're trying to imply, ie broadly recognized as a concern
My cubicle mate pirates everything, even if it's on a streaming site. Books, movies, music, comics, everything. He doesn't seem to care.
Do you think that you could use that Erlang feature where you can link up several server program instances running on separate physical servers?

Maybe you could simulate different parts of the game world on different physical servers.

I think this is something like what the Very Large MMOs do, but with Erlang it might be easier.
Great work. We definitely lost a prominent part of the Internet when Flash died.

Thanks Steve /s https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thoughts_on_Flash
It's possible that the signal alerting them to where she lived, had also been present in the other homes (smell, visible trails, decorations, etc). Statistically, this a large number of rare events that coincided.
A bad idea that became popular
> Why is a volatile market more fit?

More people get to feel like winners for longer [1]. And reward uncertainty makes gambling more additive [2].

For purposes of information discovery, volatility is bad. But for purposes of gambling, volatility is good. Running an information-discovery (or financial) platform is less profitable than running a gambling platform. Herego, operators will optimise their prediction markets for gamblers.

[1] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10562822/

[2] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3845016/
I agree. When scraping my school's portal which uses Canvas, my school actually allows it.

Sometimes you can get the green light just by reading API docs/School's privacy policy as they're usually obliged to have one (ofc this primarily applies to school APIs like in OP's article)
If you are looking through the web's back alleys to find obscure films, just be aware that sometimes you can buy them directly from the filmmaker. I discovered this while looking for a copy of Sleep Has Her House by Scott Barley (https://scottbarley.com/sleep-has-her-house).

Also, if you have even a passing interest in cinema, subscribing to Criterion is worth every penny, it is an absolute joy.
Surprisingly, I wanted to correct you but the phoenician alphabet is thought to be derived from Egyptian as well.

So egyptian it is.
Yeah, I think you're the one that's abusing the meaning of words, if you're calling that an AI. AI does not mean "a very simple program that responds to human input in some way".
The startup aims to solve a persistent problem in enterprise software: developers spend too much time configuring infrastructure instead of writing code. Companies currently face an unsatisfying choice between inflexible third-party platforms they quickly outgrow or expensive internal systems requiring large teams to maintain.
The harmonic series really, really does not explain why harmony comes in thirds.

The minor 7 is not in the harmonic series. It’s just not there. This is not a nitpick or a quibble—the minor 7 is just a completely different interval, separate from the just intonation 7:4 interval. To my ears, it is like saying that red and yellow are the same color.

What about augmented or diminished chords? How do they fit into this theory? What about, say, the 9? Why do we put a 9 in a chord, and not a 2? Why do we like the b9? Why do we use a #11?

There’s a million little historical and cultural factors going on here. You can come up with a sort of apologia to explain why thirds make sense, but this doesn’t mean that thirds are in any sense fundamental in some physical or physiological sense.
"cubicle" may be better... and "workrite" or similar
Thank you very much for the elaboration!

I think I follow better. Thinking doesn't have a rigorous and testable definition, so it isn't scientific. We all have our own colloquial understand. Since it's not testable and the definition varies person to person, it's not useful when reasoning about AI or intelligence.

Also I wanted to say I love how you write!
Spotify has supported downloads for over a decade.
Just about everything is worth watching on Criterion however, and unless you have very low standards, I don't think you can say that about Netflix.
I'm outside coverage areas all the time. I download my music to the phone and it still works.
It's Suno (generative AI).
The fact that futures markets are so heavily regulated, precisely because of the market failures described above, should aid in understanding why markets do not "predict", they "determine". Have you ever wondered why trading onion futures has been banned since the 50s? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act
Lovely. I did not know of this.

Sounds like the text file needs vocals and pitches along with time stamps. AI is getting there to allow automating it's creation.

For myself: Adding a link I just found for reading further.

https://www.reddit.com/r/karaoke/comments/x61kzy/modern_equi...
The cosmic question: how fast is the universe expanding?
communication between client and server is always encrypted and they don't even need MTProto for that, a simple TLS connection would be more then enough, and likely better. Also, that is likely true for all modern messaging apps..

The question proposed is that Telegram was monitoring private chats on the client side, but they do not need to do that unless E2E is enabled..

If you do not have E2E enabled then everything you send is in the open while in their servers..

So, if you do not have private chat enabled then Telegram does not need to make any type of client side monitoring, they can just monitor what is going trough their servers because it is all in the open..
WebGPU will make Web maps even more competitive than they are already.

The smoothness of an iPhone map zoom, on any device.
It is AI. To me, it sounds pretty... bad. I don't think there's a fundamental reason AI couldn't generate music that sounds good. But the vocals sound to me like they're coming through a super low-bandwidth VOIP codec.

Stylistically the music was good, but composition seemed to lack direction. It sounded "noodle"-y, as often happens in jam bands. There's no motif or strong melodic idea to anchor the song and give it an identity.

There's still a long way to go.
if it's just travelling: most streaming services allow downloading music so you can listen offline for some time (ie spotify)
`strings` is the Unix command line utility[0] of the same name.

strings file

will tell you all of the ASCII strings in file.

0 - https://www.unix.com/man-page/osx/1/strings/
Sounds like an awesome idea for when we introduce the Server Browser! Thank you!
Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI and the Future of AI and Humanity [video]
I was using Criterion subscription extensively for about 2 years. What I loved the most is that I could make a random pick from their main page and be sure it’s going to be a good quality film. I could never say this about Netflix, there I have to struggle to find something that’s at least decent
You can download music on Spotify / Apple Music / YT Music far more easily than pirating it. And you only have to connect to their servers once every 30 days. You don't even need a 4G connection for that, it's just a few kilobytes exchanged to renew the offline period.
(semi-professional piano player here) That's interesting. I've never heard that...not even sure what "lowest fifth" would mean. I would think that the root and the third contribute the most, right? The fifth is sometimes even omitted. I'm very curious how this might work. Do you have any examples?
YouTube's Content ID systems ensures that the vast majority of uploads pay royalties to the performer. Those royalties may be miniscule, but they are paid.
As someone who tracks Chinese semi equipment in Chinese forums, your assertions are laughable.
A fork wouldn't be explicitly required, but generally in established FOSS projects, when attempting to make changes that are either large or widely peppered throughout the project you're going to be fighting against headwinds from people who are happy with project as it is, which is understandable. You're likely going to find yourself spending more time on negotiating and politicking to get changes committed than actually making changes.

Audio/video has more to do the distribution being used than it does one's desktop environment, though the DEs can do things to smartly design configuration UI and surface the most commonly used A/V settings in the right places.
Author here. Thanks for reading this post. I had fun making this and thought the path that led me to this might be interesting for others.

I’m really interested in feedback and ideas on things I could improve and add. I found this really inspiring as it got me more into programming, discovering electronics, and 3d printing.

I have no desire to ever make this project commercial, but it’s been a great platform for me to learn and experiment new things so I’ll take any idea be it for the gameplay or purely technical. Some features I have in mind are:

- Multiplayer over bluetooth where one device is the ‘game-master’ running the exchange and can monitor and guide players while injecting events.

- Additional quoting algos such as pegging one side of the order book and fighting for position

- A tutorial and better UI. The game is hard to pick up for the first time and probably needs to be made more intuitive etc.

While all of this was made with no practical use in mind (there are a lot of markets and products, and you’d trade them in different ways, so you’d need a different game to speak to a volatility trader for example), some people I work with at various trading desks found it useful for interviews or as an introduction to the idea of market-making for junior people.
All of the major music streaming services have an offline mode.

https://support.apple.com/guide/iphone/add-music-and-listen-...

https://support.spotify.com/us/article/listen-offline/
Bluesky capitalizes on X woes with funding and user growth
Tarifs on services and advertising do not exist yet, but that would be a fun opportunity to try it.

Honestly I think we should just ignore and let it pass.
So destroying evidence saved them hundreds of millions in fines and cost them nothing.
That sends a pretty clear message. The legal system in this country is a sick joke.
How can one protect the server then? Do we need some special behavior and/or library?
>> making people more fragile, more precious, more incapable of coping with the most basic expectations of disappointments or adversity on the job.

I think that is an unintended (hopefully) consequence of companies' reward metrics for employees and the associated achievement culture in the US.

If you are hiring high achievers and telling them to care about X, Y, and Z then don't act surprised when they notice and complain about blemishes on either X, Y, or Z.
Also try The Man Without Qualities. Same time period and location.
There's also XMOS (effectively, software defined hardware). But ain't going to do those speeds.
Can't really comment have not ever used it. In general I'd err on the side of using ACID SQL DB over NoSQL unless you have some very specific use case that will highly benefit from NoSQL.
My french google-fu isnt great but bureau and restockage seem to turn up a few, eg buroways.fr
I’m not seeing a lot of traffic for a true sale… or worth for that matter.

Find someone else who blogs similar and have them take it over. Come up with some split.
Is it only me that needs to see the text to match the sounds to words? I wouldn't know what the song is about from just listening.
It's everything I can do to police the subscriptions that my wife and children think we should have. How you people don't have subscription fatigue I'll never know... it's like having debt standing over your head, but even with a thousand year mortgage I would make some progress in paying it off. Subscriptions? It's there forever. Even worse, sometimes the payment goes up.

There is no convenience in subscriptions, just some sort of pathology akin to recreational heroin, where it lulls you into a narcotic coma, death just waiting a few years down the road.

> And there was a brief period in the 2010s where I could almost say that about movies.

There was never any such time. There was a time when Netflix had a catalog of a few thousand movies. My Plex server has 6700, and I'm not even hardcore. I estimate that were I to get every new release, and work backwards through previous years to 1995 or so, I'd need storage for at least 30,000 movies just for English language titles. Television is an order of magnitude larger still, and that's if I stay away from reality tv shows. Organizing these would become a burden... if lumped all into the same library, a person might have trouble paging through all the movies that started with S just to find what they were looking for (already started to become an issue at about 5000). I'll need to start saving up for the two synology expansion bays that my nas supports.
That's very kind of you to ask.

My personal blog is defunct (for now!). But some of my recent writings can be found on the research page [1] of my startup, FutureSearch. We're building an AI that can forecast accurately.

We've written some pieces on topics like the problems with using crowds to forecast, and contesting recent papers' claims of good forecasts coming from simple LLMs.

[1] https://futuresearch.ai/reports
> He would say it is E7b10 because that g natural is coming from the minor modes so it’s actually the fourth degree which has been flattened.

I'm guessing you mean Emin7b10.

It's in interesting take, but a bit weird considering you wouldn't stack the chord that way. You want to voice the G# below the G, E G# D G, making a major 7 interval which sounds good. If you instead voice it E G D G#, then the G to G# will form a minor 9th which is pretty clashy, generally avoided, and doesn't sound like the Hendrix chord anymore. Try it out, tab (0 7 6 7 8 x) vs (0 7 5 7 9 x). This is a standard jazz voicing rule of thumb, although I forget the name of it.
This is one of my favorite categories of HN posts. But hey, if it engenders some interest in ______ (fill in arts category), then it's all good.
As I understand it, hot CPUs are less efficient CPUs. Could have an effect on temperature.

Unless the work to be done is unlimited, all else being equal, hopefully a well functioning system puts out less heat to do X amount of work than a poorly running system.
I haven't been to the Netherlands yet, it's on my list, but I was just in Japan a few weeks ago.

The thing that surprised me most about Tokyo was actually how generally crowded the trains were. It seems obvious that they should be running near twice as many trains in general and especially during rush hour. The tracks were still mostly empty compared to streets. While everyone was super considerate, it was still relatively low comfort traveling with a kid because of the uncertainty around getting a seat.

Why couldn't we build barriers along AV roadways and code them to drive an exact path? It's actually much easier to code an AV to act like a train than this freeform driving that they are doing. They could go into train/convoy mode to utilize the train infrastructure then back into car mode to take a side street.

You can easily put bathrooms and running water on AVs if it makes sense.

I do agree about having the nice walkable areas near stations, but was somewhat surprised that car right-of-way was still super dominant in Japan. Like the Shibuya Crossing, you have thousands of people all scrambling across then cramming onto the sidewalks while vehicles get 70% of the right-of-way timeslice. I'd actually flip that so that peds are the primary street users and AVs must yield.
Google Executive Picked to Supercharge News Efforts Has Resigned
Sure, being able to revive extinct species might benefit […] only if we also become good at not driving them to extinction.

This second ability is a must for the first one to be useful, and might even work alone. eg: just let the existing bisons grow new herds.
Sew their snow point inn treyeing two bee cleer ore korekt?
PGQueuer v0.15.0 Released – Now with Recurring Job Scheduling
Im excited to announce the release of PGQueuer v0.15.0!

PGQueuer is a minimalist, high-performance job queue library for Python that leverages PostgreSQL's robustness, designed for real-time, high-throughput background job processing.

Key Features in This Release:

- Recurring Job Scheduling: You can now easily schedule recurring jobs using cron-like expressions with the new SchedulerManager. Ideal for automating routine tasks like data synchronization or cleanups.
https://archive.ph/7n7JO
Why do you have to add more salt? Do you drain the pool regularly? I would imagine the salt stays in the pool when the water evaporates.
Even if you assume perfectly spherical rational traders with equal fixed budgets, prediction market prices aren't guaranteed to converge to the average belief: https://quantian.substack.com/p/market-prices-are-not-probab...

You cannot really do postprocessing to the market price to get the average belief back out, because the bounds aren't very tight: a market price of 50% could correspond to an average belief anywhere between 29% and 71%.
I mean, I share your opinion personally but plenty of people find it pleasant to read and write. If it was really a bad language, it wouldn't have the adoption it does.
When I worked on an underway Navy ship recently my friend's Netflix downloads stopped working after having no cell service for a month.
> If you believe the next year will be dryer than normal, you will buy more futures than normal.

The point is that you, the farmer, don't need to take a view on whether the next year will be drier than normal. You just buy $X worth of rainfall futures.

The same way you shouldn't buy more flood insurance if you think the next year will be exceptionally wet. You can't really predict that, after all. You should buy flood insurance roughly up to the value of restoring your house after a flood, and you should hope the insurance market is healthy enough that the cheapest provider of that insurance offers you a price that reflects the expected value of the insurance plus a small markup.
Maybe 40% of the time I pirate, you can’t see anything original or cult otherwise. The other time I do try to find it at the library. If I can find it on a service I torrent the 4K version anyways because streaming quality is varied trash.

If streaming didn’t offer such generalized garbage for everyone then it wouldn’t be this way.

If consumers just made a leap for physical copies again it also wouldn’t be this way.

It’s the drive to consume once and move on that causes this, but what if I never consume it in the appropriate time frame, then I’m just out of the loop as it goes in the vault because services lose money otherwise.
it really depends on the game. people have been writing large-scale multiplayer games for over 25 years now, with MMOs sporting 2,000 player+ shards on significantly more primitive hardware. There is always this assertion that high-level languages of various flavors are too slow for games, but I suspect that today's hardware more than makes up for it for the right kind of game.
100%, this is what I'm feeling as well. I don't want to come across as hating on IH but for me it provided a cool service/community in the early years and it does not provide any of that to me now.
Fresh water fish need to keep salt in and salt water fish need to push it out. They do this with their gills and kidneys.
Do you know that it’s common for genocide to include acts that aim to destroy a nation or culture even when it’s by other methods other than killing all its people?

Maybe you don’t agree with this definition, but in a list of events that is generally mentioned as genocide we should not limit ourselves to the most narrow definition. That would sweep too many atrocious acts under the rug. The article on the genocide should make it clear what actually happened, meaning you shouldn’t think “every single person got murdered” if you read genocide in a title.

By the more broad definition of genocide there shouldn’t be much doubt about who started it. Israel is a religious colonial project that sought to displace non-Jewish people in that area from its inception. There’s not really any secret or controversy about this except by those who try to distort history. You’ll find many Israeli openly talking and writing about these goals. You’ll also find Jewish people, even ones living in Israel saying the state should never have existed to begin with for these reasons and others.

Yes, it’s more complicated than what can be summarised in a comment. There is blame on both sides. But throughout recent history only Israel has been in a position of power to solve the issue and yet they’ve repeatedly and wilfully sabotaged anything that could lead to either a two or a (fair) one state solution. Again: they’re talking openly about this and why they’re doing it: there’s too many Palestine people. They can’t be integrated into Isreal or be given too much power as an independent state because it would threaten Israel as a religious project whose only purpose is to create a state primarily for Jewish people.

The goal is explicitly to destroy Palestine and its people. It always has been, even if they don’t say so out loud when the audience is non-Jewish. Doesn’t mean they want to kill them all.

It’s kind of insane that we recognise religious ethnostates as a very, very bad idea for all other countries, yet give Israel a free pass.
Sure. I too have heard many “performers” celebrate the effectiveness of content ID. They all talk about how that was the end of piracy. Thats exactly how they put it: “Content ID ended piracy.”