skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1817007890496102490

According to Snopes[0] he claims he was urging Christians specifically (who don't usually vote in high numbers) to vote "just this time", then they wouldn't have to vote anymore for four more years, or something (which they wouldn't anyway...)

He was definitely addressing Christians (he repeats it several times) but at the end of the video he says "[...] we'll have it fixed so good you're not gonna have to vote", which does sound a bit suspect to me, even in context and taking into account the fact that he's often loose with his choice of words and phrasing.

[0]: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/vote-four-years/
> Voters think “the economy” is “can I afford to live” NOT “we are doing better nationally than others”.

They think correct, in the only sense that matters.
I wonder how mr musk will handle and use his (unfortunately correct) bet.
I'm not sure how to interpret these prices. Is your $100k number current dollars or 01973 dollars? Does it include terminals?

That price list seems to be mostly for the PDP-11/40, which according to http://gunkies.org/wiki/PDP-11_Memory_Management does seem to have supported a kernel/user mode split and a base register for keeping multiple processes resident in core, without any extra options, so I infer it was suitable for Unix. But I'm not sure if you might have needed the KT11-D addon memory management unit.

The 01974 CACM paper https://dl.acm.org/doi/pdf/10.1145/361011.361061 says Unix could run on hardware costing as little as [US]$40 000, which would be about US$250 000 today.

I think it's common for each office employee today to receive a US$2500 computer, so US$250k is a 100-employee departmental computer budget, not counting things like network infrastructure and servers. In other workplaces such as machine shops, coal mines, construction sites, and cattle ranches, capital investment per employee is commonly several times that.

Unix was not designed to support that many users—the uid was 8 bits—so the Programmer's Workbench users over the next few years took to sharing a single uid per a whole team of users. Later versions of Unix, of course, expanded the uid to 16 and later 32 bits.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/capital-intensity-vs-labo... seems to have a measure of capital intensity capital stock per worker, but I don't understand how to interpret it. The US today is around 198, and 103 in 01973, and the units are supposed to be inflation-adjusted (02010) dollars per work hour. But work hours are a flow, not a stock, and we're supposed to be measuring capital stock. So does that mean dollars per work hour per year? If so, that works out to about US$200k of capital stock per full-time worker in 01973, as an average across the economy. That would be a US$700k PDP-11-equivalent for every 4–8 workers in 01973, or for every 2–4 workers today.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RKNANPUSA666NRUG puts the total capital stock of the US at 23 trillion inflation-adjusted dollars in 01973, and https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS puts total nonfarm employment at about 78 million for the country. This works out to about US$290 000 per employee, which is in the same ballpark as the French data but a bit higher, a US$700k PDP-11 for every 2–3 workers. But maybe a lot of the capital stock was on farms, which are excluded from the denominator here.
I see this as oversimplification. US Tech faces hard regulations too (fintech, healthcare etc...). Also Regulation is not that big of a bump in EU. GDPR simplified rules across 27 different national laws and forced new innovations in privacy.
Also Spotify, SAP, Adyen all started in small markets, as counterexamples.
The main reasons why USA is ahead I think are the historical advantages (internet, personal computer), the network effects created by the historical advantages and the VC ecosystem. Also the culture for risk tolerance.
Tariffs can work well. Sometimes you want to have tariffs, depending on the functionalities and industries you want to keep domestic.

But imposing all-encompassing tariffs is just plain nonsense. It is dangerous nonsense. Replacing federal taxes with those tariffs is even worse.

Again, Trump is fixated with tariffs. At least his idea of it. The last time he tried, ask farmers how that went.
RIP USA and the world. Bye guys.
I think this is it. Trump knows how to repeat what people say to themselves
> under Biden but was better under Trump.

Rich people getting richer doesn't matter if your rent goes up.

> Trump, on the other hand, went on a lot of longform podcasts,

Harris sure does have the time to go on Rogan now...
Or the information you were getting was not comprehensive.
What I heard recently is that the 2020 polls were actually less accurate than the 2016 polls. (the 2020 polls simply accurately predicted the winner, so there wasn't so much controversy.) From that standpoint, it's not clear that polling has had very good accuracy from 2016. What I'm not sure about is why pollsters are not able to adjust their models towards more accuracy, but it does seem to be a longitudinal problem.
And another 4 years of mass hysteria begins with this post
In a British system, isn't the head of state hereditary, and in theory has no majority or minority because they have a divine right to be there?
Biden has been the most pro union president since the new deal though

Totally agreed that neoliberalism is a cancer though
Great website & copy!

Are you obtaining the data via partneships with sources, or scraping? If the latter, do you forsee risks from the publishers?
It’s not /only/ Mexicans crossing the border…
> ... and Americans never voted for this policy.

Seems a bit of an overclaim. Strategic questions of how to handle the border was a defining issue in the 2016, 2020 and 2024 elections. Americans are continuously voting on border policy, it is one of the major elements of their national conversation. What the Biden administration did was a bit extreme but ballpark what was on the tin when he was voted in.
yeah man, us is not Brazil. This shit dont fly there. You americans are to worried when your institutions are way more solid than the resto of other democracies around the world. If he wanted to performe a coup, he had 4 years for that already,

Just stop being stuborn, start thinking about solving us real problems, and not demonizing the other party, and maybe the democrats will have a chance in the next election.
Sure, but it's true of 7 of the last 8 elections.
The polls were actually surprisingly close. The final margin between the candidates in key states will be smaller than a reasonable margin of error for any poll.

The margin in Pennsylvania will continue to shrink, as the only place with lots of votes left to count is Philadelphia. Michigan might still flip blue, because the only place with votes to count is Detroit. Arizona is still a total coin toss, with 51k vote difference and >1200k votes left to count. Wisconsin is going to be close too, although it will likely stay red.

None of that matters when there are less ballots left to count than the margin in PA, but still, the message from the polls before election was "this will be a nailbiter", and it kind of was.
'dont' was implied, though apparently not inferred
So you are saying people who think other people are stupid are, in fact, the stupid ones. Fascinating.
Yea Kamala should not have been the candidate. She was tied to Biden who was associated with inflation which I think really decided this. I'm not sure the rest of your comment has that much to do with it
Left-handed, and left foot forward for skateboard and snowboard. I associate my right foot with strength and my left with finesse
I don't think there is some kind of grand conspiracy where nefarious groups are out to "get" everyone.

More likely, it's what you see with any data set that produces incorrect results: the wrong data in.
Same exact thing that happened in 2016: if you repeatedly demonise a section of the population, don’t expect that section of the population to be honest with you about its opinions when those opinions are what led you to demonise it in the first place.
Yeah, that the US democratic system is broken; each state having an equal say is not fair given the populations are far from equal.
And based on what though do you think that?

I think neural networks are fundamental and we will focus/experiment a lot more with architecture, layers and other parts involved but emerging features arise through size
Good thing they'll all cease to exist very soon.
"Kill and eat the others" ideology has won
Schmidt, M. S. (2018, June 14). Top Agent Said F.B.I. Would Stop Trump From Becoming President. The New York Times.

Also, whistleblowers within the FBI have come forward in recent years to:

• Accuse Timothy Thibault of running cover on Hunter Biden's laptop.

• Accuse the FBI of manipulating case files to inflate the domestic threat perception towards conservatives.

• Accuse leaders within the FBI of "weaponizing" the agency against conservatives.

• Complain about retaliation when raising concerns about these and other instances of bias and misconduct.

Isn't this common knowledge?
But a good day for USA. With Trump winning a civil war is avoided.
The marginal voter doesn't have grievances like that unless the country is seriously in trouble (like it was in 2008 and 2020.) They're not paying close enough attention to have them, nor do they have clear ideas about which piece of government is capable of addressing which problems. They have better things to do.

If you talk to the median voter their thinking will be like "something happened three years ago I was mad about" or "my husband wants us to vote this way because he saw it on TV" or "the Democrats want to legalize incest" or "I like voting for whoever I think is going to win" (and yes these are all real.) They especially do not have coherent opinions on economic policy.

Mainly the problem is the US doesn't have a coherent media ecosystem anymore and Republicans were better aligned with newer media, ie Facebook posts and bro-y podcasts like Rogan. So TV ads and "ground game" don't work.
That's probably not accurate. A false sense of confidence is just as likely to discourage voters (eg: "I don't need to go vote, candidate ABC is already winning!") as anything else.
You're asking as if the other candidate is a no-brainer choice. If the other candidate were Kennedy, then sure—but they were not. In this case, many would be undecided and would vote not the best candidate, but the least bad one.
Correct, most voters are making decisions based on emotions, and those emotions are heavily influenced by their information sources.
You can be in deny, that's not my problem. All the facts are open there for you to interpret, if you think the cancer in his digestive tract wasn't because of his life-long diet, that's a problem for you. I hope you don't go to the same lengths as him to try to prove you are right (and find out too late that you are wrong).
Rogan alone has more daily listeners than left leaning news shows have people watching in a week. I think it was something like 11 million per day. Big mistake to not show up there.
I think he chose Vance for a reason. I think he wnats him to be his sucessor. I dont know much about Vance, but I saw his interview in the Joe Rogan, and he went very well there. Seens to have a good head above the shoulds and can be this more conventional politician you are talking about
It is astounding how many people don't get that.

Also how many people blame it on Biden while giving Trump credit for Obama's work.
America, thank you. Regards, Europe.

(You can't talk for all of Europe.)
I think its a crazy assumption to assume that over 200 years of political precident (4 year presidential terms) will be overturned by someone who got less votes than biden.

Every 4 years the same stuff happens, and yet every 4 years there is a so called "paradigm shift" or "rubicon crossed", when actually, nothing has really changed. It's getting really cringe and predictable.
Get out of your bubble and listen to people. Hacker News is part of your bubble.

The majority of people have picked a side long ago and are sticking to it. You want to talk to independents or people that have changed sides recently.

The interesting thing for me was seeing the blowback from the woke movement. People I know that were raised Democrats and supported gay rights could no longer identify with the party supporting a movement that appeared to be telling them that they are racist (and BTW be careful or you might get cancelled) and that it would be great if their kids changed genders. This led them away from legacy media and towards opposite points of view.

I am not claiming this was the decisive reason- just pointing out something that I don’t see talked about much. Listen to people and you will find other reasons.
If your own political conviction influence your works as a professor, then you're perhaps not that great a professor, but if you do good work, then maybe you have the tools to write about that work and target it to a group of like minded people, communicating in a why that they/I better understand.

Personally I'm not interested in going on Twitter, or Facebook, because those are going to be the most extreme people, at both ends. I'm also no prepared to do the filtering required to identify trolls or propaganda. My interest is in the vast majority of people who don't really have a voice online. I can't go out and talk to them, I'm on the other side of the planet. I'd still like to know why they vote the way they do, because I'm directly affected by how rural America votes. I wish I weren't, so I guess that's one opinion I share with Trump.
> If he wanted to performe a coup, he had 4 years for that already

He already tried to perform a coup and failed, I don't see why he wouldn't try again
Regardless of the "manipulate public opinion" claim ... , Didn't Clinton win the populair vote?
Vance is even more dangerous since he won't go off script, he'll stay ON SCRIPT to the point of absurdity (just see any of his interviews).

Donald is harder to control, he doesn't like homework and will ad-lib and improvise at all times.
How did the COVID handouts cause inflation? It was only a small amount. Isn't inflation caused by macro-economic forces, e.g. interest, international policy / stability, and free market somethings?
> Honestly, Americans don’t like modern feminism and anything related to trans ideologies

Americans (and people in general) do not care about social issues when they are hurting financially.
> This election has been a testament to the complete and utter obliviousness of the American voter,

My reading is "This election has been a testament to the complete and utter obliviousness of the Dems to the American voter".

Seriously, politicians who are out of touch with their constituencies should not really be expecting to win.
> the latter usually does not unless you are doing something they see as suspicious.

I used it as a gitlab server, it was regularly updated, there were no other services running. It wasn't even used intensively, maybe 2-3 pushes a day. And yet, one day they just closed everything.

No suprise as everybody was warning me they would do it but still it felt very weird.
> the information I was getting

What does this tell you?
Absolutely undeniable. I wish those 'not liking' your comment would say why they do not agree.

I'm not innocent of knee-jerk down-voting but I would like to cure myself of the habit. I wonder to what extent the extreme political and cultural polarization that prevails in the West results from a general reluctance on the part of adherents to engage in debate. At least that's my impression.
Yes, yes, we know. Democracy is over, America is doomed, he's going to start a nuclear war and kill us all, etc.

That's what you all said the last time he was elected.
Then Idk, he openly says that government agencies should have less power (epa, fda...). I mean, he doesn't sponsor this view, but he openly said he'll make musk give less and less agency to gov. Companies that aren't deemed worth of it, whatever it means
REmember the lady screaming the sky in Trump inauguration? That gave us 8 years of amazing memes.
I believe the argument being made is that calling spades spades is bad when spade is an insult and you need to convince the spades to vote for you.

Which is also why Republicans calling Democrats childish names such as "Dummy-crat" or saying "socialist" (or "commie") for all things to the left of their Overton Window doesn't convince any to their left to change their minds rightward.
You suspect correctly. Its been a great economy for yuppies with college degrees, not so much for everyone else. And everyone else is the majority.
No, they get a vote, obviously. You've focussed on the vote part of the quote when the important information was in the racism. It's racism that must be constantly pointed out, that people must be educated about, and racism should be rooted out when found. I'm not saying you support racism in any way, of course, I really don't think that. I just think you misunderstood what needs doing to prevent these unforced errors (Brexit was an unforced error of the UK government).
What happened is that the remain side had to fight on the side of a reality that existed and the Brexiteers made up a fantasy future that has failed to materialise.
My question is, why can't democrats see how bad and average intell. their candidate is? Trump can at least talk, give interviews and all. But other one???
> She was tied to Biden who was associated with inflation which I think really decided this.

What about the rest of the world who've also been experiencing the same?

It's a very shortsighted take, and we've seen the same in the UK where Liz Truss 6 weeks as PM has taken the blame for global inflation in the court of popular opinion
As someone who spent most of his life in a dictatorship, I don’t think you appreciate how easily a society can slide into a totalitarian state and how apathetic most of the population can become.

It’s also interesting that you served in the U.S. military and didn’t recognize how self-serving and institutionally corrupt it is. I come from a country with an oversized military relative to its government, and the parallels I can draw between its behavior and that of the U.S. Army are uncanny.
As a foreigner, the Democratic party just lives of to crying wolf on the Republican party without offering any meaningful difference. And people have gotten tired of it, judging by the fact that Trump is not getting more voters than in 2020, but they are getting considerably less.

Maybe I'm a bit too optimistic, but rather than "people want Trump" I read all this debacle as "people want something different from the Democrats".
He has not won yet.
Perhaps there may be a last minute change.

If the results remain roughly where they are now, then
that is one important positive outcome..
and I would say exactly the same if the election
had gone the other way.d

If it had been as close, or closer than last time,
then who becomes presient is nearly random, as WP
once wrote, and an enormous amount of drama would
ensue. Which it might still do depending how tight
the swing states are.

As it looks now it will be a solid win.
The american academic elite is a tiny minority who think they know best. They received a reality check today.
> Conservative counties quite literally cannot support themselves.

And yet they hold democratic counties hostage. Somewhat like parasites.
"Associated with" not "caused by".

This is why we call Trump's voters "stupid", the US is still under Trump's tax plan until 1/2025. So if someone has an issue with taxes, it's not Biden's fault even though he is in office.

I know this and I'm not even American
Yeah, sure. This is no better than all the "left is deep state" bs. This is what caused the loss.
Recreating old fonts in modern browsers is a hard problem

https://web.archive.org/web/20230603234837/https://vistaserv...
Between a clean sweep win of the Electoral College, the popular vote (by a Republican president for the first time in 20 years!), the Senate, and very likely the House this is an epic, bottom of the ninth comeback victory for the history books. And I thought the World Series Dodgers comeback in game 5 was incredible, I guess we just keep on winning.

I am also absolutely vindicated in my opinion that "journalism" (the mainstream media) are cancers upon society. The polls fucking lied and the "journalism" was the real garbage.

And yes, I voted for Trump and the Republicans as an Oregonian. No, my vote didn't count for his EC win, but I don't care: My vote still helped deliver a mandate that the Democrats and their policies are not acceptable.
Funny thing is we saved ourselves from 2008-style economic collapse with stimulus, which partially caused the inflation here but also caused it in all the other countries. But nevertheless, all their incumbent parties lost over it.
I don't think it was any of those, Elon and his mother have regularly referenced Tesla being snubbed at an EV Summit, and GM being praised as leading the EV transition in a quarter they (GM) delivered 42 electric cars to Tesla's 300,000.
It is still a matter of bruised ego though, I think Elon Musk takes things like this very seriously.
Zeros and Poles
Major companies aren't paying the headline rates.

Even at 37 signals size you're paying negotiated rates.

And 37 signals may not be a "major" organization to you, but they're bigger than the vast majority of companies.
OK, but what about the rest of the world that doesn't get to vote for this?
Why we're still waiting for Ubuntu Core Desktop
Not only will Trump not fix these things but he’s the cause or at least contributor to all the things you just mentioned. You may be right that those are the reasons people voted for Trump, but if they did they’re naive at best.
As an engineer who used to work in the car industry I do not think the engineers hate electric cars. Also, they are not the ones making the decisions.

Volkswagen basically bet the farm on electric vehicles. They were late to the party, but went all in, so you cannot blame them for trying to block EVs. I rather suspect that making cheap EVs is just extremely difficult if you intend to make a profit. I bet they lost a good sum of money on every eUp! they produced (here in Germany you could get them for 15,000€ at the right time, which is a steal), so they decided to quit producing it, which IMO is a real shame, because it is such a cool car for inner city commuting.
and people say americans that followed Q where paranoids...
The odds of a reversal are so low now, it's practically useless.
I did use it a lot. Have you considered Twitter might be an information bubble?

Musk says sensible stuff. But his actions are completely opposite.

"Free speech is essential to democracy" OF COURSE

No one is taking that away. They said the same thing before Biden won. It's just fear mongering and people eat it up.

He talks free speech and then buys Twitter and removes community notes from his account just to push his agenda. It's free speech but it's all fabricated propaganda.

Trump on jan 6th commanded his goons in the bubble to try to steal the election with the fake electoral plot. Look it up. No mention of that on free Twitter. They are literally trying to install Trump as dictator under your nose. While you fight here about free speech. It's ridiculous, and people eat it up.
I agree fully with your points. Covid restrictions were insane and will change my voting habits forever. What happened to "personal responsibility" in that time??
Europe is doing the same though.
I have always done that instinctively, even when there is no formal demand by the system. Every time I have implemented matmuls, at any level, with any optimization requirement, partitioning into dyadic blocks had always sped things up. So I try to feed the system the nicest numbers I can muster!