skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
One blood test can identify presence and type of cancer
> Chamath mistaking 0.85 absolute as 0.85 relative is fairly easy to do.

I would disagree. If you're actually looking at the data, then anyone with a high school education should know that you don't take percentages of percentages like this. I still think it's ignorance more than malice, but I can't trust someone who would make a simple mistake like this to prove a point. I need my sources of information to at least be unbiased in how they view facts of data.

You can represent those facts differently. For example, he might think that 30% of growth being tied to government spending is high and I can follow his reasoning based on that. However if he claims that the actual figure is 85% then the starting point itself is incorrect.
Hmm. I’m using an AIO cooler, a 3090 and a 1600W platinum psu - might be a bit inefficient. I remember unplugging the PSU and 3090 and plugging in a 650W gold PSU — the system drew 70W IIRC. That’s a wild difference still!
No, they didn't.

For one, they said Clinton had a 70% chance of winning.

But perhaps more importantly, people's poor understanding of stats meant that many people interpreted that as "She's going to get 70% of the vote" (i.e., a landslide, "and so I don't need to vote").
I recall a study which suggested that we don't really calculate the trajectory as such, but use some kind of simple visual heuristic to continually align ourselves with where the ball is going to land.

They showed that people running to catch a ball would follow an inefficient curved path as a result of this, rather than actually calculating where the ball will land and moving there in a straight line to intercept it.
No it's not. Harris has less than a 1% chance of winning the popular vote at this stage. You can put $100 on her right now and make $20K when she wins.
The hardest part of moderating a big, high-traffic, heated political thread being JavaScript's lack of tail recursion is the most HN thing I've ever seen.
Someone needs to create a brew formula for `hear`.
Archive link:

https://archive.is/SQnKA
The popular vote would be very different if it weren't for the electoral college.
The truth about latchkey kids is that they're not a monolith; Shocking, I know, especially in such a small world of 8 billion people.
I just recently spent some time in Japan (Kyoto), and I frequently travel to Tokyo. It always interests me to see these Japanese birthrate articles because anecdotally you might never know it while walking around the cities - you'll see so many young parents with babies strapped to their chests / in strollers / on bicycles.
I can simultaneously find something plausible and see that there's historical precedent for it, but not accept unsubstantiated fantasy stories made up on the internet.
No. In France birth rate is sustained by immigration, and its higher fertility rate. The birth rate of the native population is well below replacement rate. So technically there is population growth, but it's not the same as before. I highly doubt Japanese are willing to go this route.
It's like the US in a decade.

(I have been to both and would rather spend a week in Cape Town than Chicago for example)
Execution is everything. Not to drop a link in someone else’s HN launch but I’m building https://therapy-forms.com and these guys are way ahead of me on UI, polish, and probably overall quality. I do think there’s plenty of slightly different niches here, but even if there were not, execution is everything. Heck it’s likely I’ll wind up as a midship customer, my spare time to fiddle with OCR models is desperately limited and all I want to do is sell to clinics.
Latinos broke for Trump in unprecedented numbers, especially men.

Wonder how they will feel being constantly asked for papers lest they be thought of as undocumented and discriminated against.
Trump referred to Mexican immigrants as rapists and murderers and yet plenty still voted for him. By word and deed it's very clear how little Trump thinks of women, and yet white women as a bloc elected Trump. Hillary Clinton used the phrase 'basket of deplorables' ONCE, 8 years ago, but that was an unforgivable mistake. By contrast nothing Trump does sticks to him.

The perception that Democrats are smug and condescending have certainly hurt them. But that perception is mostly the result of relentless Republican messaging. Tim Walz is a down-to-earth governor of Minnesota who treats everybody with respect. He's a lot less condescending than JD Vance. But the perception of Democrats hating regular people persists.
the sample size is 97 recipients. probably about as reliable as the polls this election.
.DS_Store is also a bug. I’m not sure why it hasn’t been fixed. It’s history is quite interesting but I don’t recall where I read about it.
Well, it's also the effect of Fox News, right wing radio, and right wing leaning podcasts which convince people to focus on issues which can be leveraged for political gain. There are lots of problems, but right wing voters are convinced to stew about a relatively small subset of the totality. And regarding those problems they also are only ever presented with a subset of available rationales and solutions.

This also simplifies things for them. Instead of the myriad of real problems in the world, conservatives can concentrate on only a few, all of which have simple rationales and simple solutions.
Hetzner network is complete dog. They also sell you machines that are long should be EOL’ed. No serious business should be using them
For those of you who like dubstep, start the following video first
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2eBMuL0C2o
then 3 seconds later start to watch the (muted) SpaceX video from OP's post
and thank me later. ;-)

Especially the catch is awesome!
Big brick is a metaphor. Not compressed, but solid. Essentially enough plant matter that you can't walk through it, plant matter that is "solid" from ground to the tree branches.

For example, on this site: http://willhiteweb.com/washington_fire_lookouts/miller_hill/...

This image:
http://willhiteweb.com/washington_fire_lookouts/miller_hill/...

I've seen unburned forests where that undergrowth is more dense and taller. The more time, the more that underbrush thickens and grows. Eventually there is an old growth forest and that stuff is shaded out. AFAIK that process plays out o er centuries. We're typically in the first century of growth for west coast forests (few old growth forests remain)

Compare for example with these images of a post-burn forest: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/25/nyregion/nj-pine-barrens-...
Meta asks Supreme Court to dismiss fraud suit over Cambridge Analytica scandal
Not if "Project 2025" is implemented. Then the Republicans created a real Deep State. Who will Republican voters blame then?
Obesity is a multifaceted issue that many people misunderstand in a patronizing if not malicious way.

For many they wish the reason was as simple as them just being lazy, because then they would only need to tackle that one simple flaw. But it goes beyond having a lazy/sedentary lifestyle. Does it contribute? Absolutely, but there are examples of lazy/sedentary people who adopts an unhealthy diet and lifestyle who are on the opposite extreme in BMI. To treat the obesity epidemic in the States as an individual failing on all who find themselves in that category is to downplay the systemic failings that have allowed this to happen.

It's kind of weird how this is simply another avenue people take to put themselves on a "I'm better than you" pedestal.
There are many colos that offer dedicated server rental/hosting. You can just google for colos in the region you're looking for. I found this one

https://www.colocrossing.com/server/dedicated-servers/
I don't equate easy with better. I miss the sense of community inspired by going to the local polling place and seeing your neighbors. It's a ritual that has value. Yeah it takes some effort, and if people want to make it a federal holiday, that's cool too.

Mail-in ballots have so many more issues with them - lack of privacy (so more room for coercion and harvesting), they make auditability more difficult.

Regardless of whether you think the relaxed voting requirements of 2020 led to widespread fraud, it inspired enough distrust that both parties should be advocating to bolster the reliability, auditability, and trustworthiness of the voting process, not decrease it further. The only thing that sucks more than losing an election is losing it under suspicious circumstances. Subject people to that enough times, and it doesn't lead anywhere good, regardless of your political team. Instead, create and enforce policies that improve trust rather than erode it.
The solution is to stop the redistribution of wealth to the billionaire class. Something that is not going to happen under any American administration.
> make the same fatal mistake as you are doing right now by generalizing more than half of the American population as too dumb to know what is good for them.

They made the same exact mistake in 2016 and from what I can observe in this thread and similar ones in other forums, the lesson has not been learned. They will keep their smug ideological superiority complex, disdain those who dare to disagree with them and thus will continue to disenfranchise a large swath of the population.
Indeed. Paying for babies works very poorly in practice.

>France spent heavily on family policies (see chart 3). Since the turn of the millennium it has disbursed 3.5-4% of GDP a year on a mixture of handouts, services and tax breaks, meaning it has the highest pro-natalist spend in the OECD club of mostly rich countries. But in 2022 fewer children were born in the country than at any point since the second world war.

>[...] In France each extra child over the past decade has cost [$2 million].

https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/05/21/c...

https://archive.is/0139y
The right was calling Obama Hilter long before that. https://digitalcommons.usf.edu/etd/3598/
Settings > Privacy and Security > Analytics and Improvements
> because the parental neglect let them develop a sense of independence.

Parental neglect is an incredibly strong (and I'd argue biased) word to use here if we're using the articles definition of a latch key kid.

The article says "3.5 million latchkey kids in the U.S., or seven per cent of those between the ages of 5 and 13".

There's a massive difference between a 5 year old being home alone for a few hours each day and a teenager being home alone for a few hours. Even more so if, like it says in the article, there's support systems in place (like a neighbor that can be contacted in case of an emergency) and an established pattern (the kid isn't just unexpectedly home alone).

An 8 year old unexpectedly left home alone for an unknown amount of time without any support system could absolutely be called neglect (although it makes a great Christmas movie), but a 16 year old in an empty house from 2:30-5 every day with a full fridge and friendly neighbors next door is completely reasonable and (IMO) a healthy way to let them develop independence.
> There really isn't more security and integrity with in person elections versus mail.

There's a big list of security and integrity problems inherent with mail in ballots that do not exist for in person voting.

First and foremost: ballot canvasing.
Most of this decline isn't driven by a change in current fertility rates, but instead by a persistent trend downward in number of reproductive-aged adults. That was locked in by the fertility rates 20-40 years ago. These things move in the timescale of decades. Even if policy were reasonably successful, it would be a quarter of a century before things stabilized.
TBF, it's bad news for everyone. I'm not really sure who thought voting for him would actually help them, other than rich folks. Hopefully a lot of these industries had contingency plans in place to be able to handle this.
XLD is great.
The best thing about it is the heavy parallelization if you have many cores to throw at the problem.
You can convert mountains of albums very fast.

Love those type of OG Mac indie software.
There was a global pandemic. We are in a recovery. The U.S. is doing far better than Europe in our recovery. We are basically most of the way back, and people will start to feel better next year. Trump will benefit despite having done nothing.
Do you have, offhand, any names or references to point me toward why you think fish and lizards can make rapid common sense deductions about man made objects they couldn't have seen in their evolutionary histories?

Also, separately, I'm only assuming but it seems the reason you think these deductions are different from hard wired answers if that their evolutionary lineage can't have had to make similar deductions. If that's your reasoning, it makes me wonder if you're using a systematic description of decisions and of the requisite data and reasoning systems to make those decisions, which would be interesting to me.
I disagree that most people who are anti-abortion believe it is literal murder. More like "murder lite". Just ask them what the punishment for abortion should be for the doctor and woman, and then what the punishment should be for murdering a 1 year old. you'll get drastically different answers from I think 97% of people.
I'm sure everyone knows this, but `open` has an equivalent on Linux: `xdg-open`.
The only actual issue there is that energy companies want a fire sale on perpetual resource rights on protected federal land they don’t already have access to.

The rest, and the part communicated to voters, is yet another fake issue. It’s exhausting.
In multi-threaded workloads, the M4 gets 13,380, the 9800X3D gets ~19,000 (varies by build), and the 9950X gets 22,000-24,000 depending on build.

The M4 Max you can pre-order gets around 26,000 multicore but is significantly more expensive than the 9950X ($569) or 9800X3D ($479). The M4 Max is a $1,200 premium over the M4 on the 14 inch MacBook Pro and a $1,100 premium over the M4 Pro on the 16 inch.

The M4 Max is only available in the MacBook Pro at present. The Mac Mini and iMac will only get the base M4. The Mac Studio is still based on the M2.

This is just a summary of performance and cost. Portability, efficiency, and compatibility factors will weigh everyone's choices.
By announcing you mean a tweet from Sam saying "chat.com"?
Do people selectively credit the engineers when a musk company has a success, then blame musk when there's a failure? Teslas have quality issues, why don't people blame the manufacturing engineers and technicians instead of piling on the CEO?
And Biden was himself picked as a VP because Obama thought he'd be too old to run after his second term, and so would be completely loyal, rather then thinking about how decisions he made as a VP would affect his own future campaign.
I am actually not. I just don't know of any policies or promises of Trump that I would genuinely categorize as far right. Border control is not far right according to me.

First of all I dislike Trump and for sure have liberal views in lot of aspects. And say even if I have malice intent and I am a hardcore Trump supporter, comments like yours wouldn't have changed my mind. Assuming you want to change people's side, it is not the reply that would change it.
Really strange. I wonder why they omitted this. Usually you'd leave it compressed until the last possible moment.
Jarvis AI
> We can improve, create, and make things better and that doesn’t happen if humanity dies out.

Well the very best thing (and by a long shot) for the vast majority of species is for humanity to die out.

The only species who should care about humans is... the human species. Unfortunately for humans, it doesn't.
On the contrary - “Let the millionaires/billionaires do whatever they want” has been a core pillar of their platform for decades.

To be fair, Democrats are historically only marginally better in that regard.
Given the results of the election, I pray you be right and my fears be wrong.

Stay safe.
I want my taxes go down and want illigal migration to end as well! I want illegal drugs and illegal weapons and all wars to disappear as well. I want everything to be great and florishing for all Americans and the world. Still I would never vote for Trump because he just shouts he will 'fix' it, as if he would be some kind of Messias with some magic powers, without explaining realistically how that it can even work. A lot of people seem to believe it just because they 'want to believe' or maybe because he says it in such monotonic (hypnotising maybe?) way.
> the point is dems are a hateful group

Why do you do these broad generalizations where you demonize an entire group, when it's exactly the problem you have (or, perceive you have..) with how "the left" speak?
At enterprise scale migrating to SAP is a 2-3 year project. Most of which is planning, discovery, business analysis and process modeling.
What tools don't run on Linux? Modern tooling almost assumes Linux in most cases now. As a Windows user I feel like I hit this wall way more often than any other.
For this study, yes, but the trend of less and less charges has been occurring for a few years. There have been numerous studies that have happened 3-4 years ago that's even in the cituations.
Were it not for Steve Jobs’ return to Apple, the brilliant engineers who made the iPod would not have made the iPod. Their talent would have been directed towards yet another Apple inkjet printer PCB, or yet another iteration of the Newton, or something.

Great talent and bold leadership are a uniquely powerful combination.
Trump's Victory Is a Major Win for Elon Musk and Big-Money Politics
They did what every other startup does: put the PoC in production.
He does have support from actual literal Nazis. I don't think there a huge number of them, but he has their vote.
https://archive.ph/2024.11.06-201621/https://www.nytimes.com...
> The Geekbench scores cannot compare laptop CPUs with desktop CPUs, because the tasks that are executed are too short and they do not demonstrate the steady-state throughput of the CPUs. The desktop CPUs are much faster for multithreaded tasks in comparison with laptop/tablet CPUs than it appears in the GB results.

Bullshit. What you're talking about is the steady-state of the heatsink, not the steady state of the chip. Intel learned the hard way that a fast CPU core in a phone really does become a fast CPU core in a laptop or desktop when given a better cooling solution.

> However in multithreaded execution, where the power consumption of the CPU reaches the power limit, the number of logic transitions per second in the same manufacturing process is determined by the power consumption. Therefore the benchmark will be completed in approximately the same number of seconds when the power limits are the same, regardless of the differences in the single-threaded performance.

No, microarchitecture really does matter. And so does the macro architecture of AMD's desktop chips that burn a huge amount of power on an inefficient chip to chip interface.
Yes, considering they're achieving far better results at much lower cost than the SLS and other launch providers.
This article [0] is a pretty good explainer for why Starship is such a big deal

[0] https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2021/10/28/starship-is-st...
https://www.arno.org/on-the-origins-of-ds-store linked from original Hacker News thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40870357
I disagree. He will start taking credit for anything good that happens in the economy now, and blame anything bad that happens in the economy on Biden.
Im pretty left, I just also recognize demand-side provisions (tax breaks) dont work when the enemy is asset inflation (housing costs). In reality, that extra capital would just flow into the hands of people already holding the assets, and the now financially stretched buyer has to hope housing price growth continues (making the situation even more dire for future buyers), or the bet they've made doesn't make sense.

The reality with housing is: someone has to take the loss, but we keep choosing to double it and give it to the next generation.
+1. Gorden Bell said a new computer category would enter the market every decade [1]. PDP-8 and later the PDP-11 were the quintessential minicomputer category makers. They were basically the microcomputer-equivalent in the 1970s. Both brought great cost reduction in their respective eras.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bell%27s_law_of_computer_class...
LPCAMM2 is available.
It’s bad because at this rate South Koreans will literally be extinct within 100 years.
Oh, interesting. I haven't looked it up, but I'm probably getting another Boston Scientific. Mine was implanted in 2018.
Do not know who that guy is, just googled and found out he was Biden's buddy hence irrelevant and it does not change my opinion of they supported genocide enablers.
The national election is an exercise in partisanship. Your opportunity to feel represented is what the primary is for. And for once I'm not sneering at the sentiment because basically neither side ran a primary (the Ds managed to not run one twice!)
> the top 1% are taking the gains for themselves

They deserved it because they worked hard for it!
The media definitely didn’t learn that competing for horse-race viewers at the cost of all else gives Trump a large advantage. They all talked about that lesson in 2016, but didn’t really learn it. Clearly, given how they behaved.
From a recent Astral Codex Ten monthly links email:

> 54: Koreans are not okay:

https://x.com/airkatakana/status/1847964003416543478 ("83% of young korean women think of south korea as “hell” and 80% of them want to leave korea. if your mental model of south korea does not match this, it’s your mental model and not the data that is wrong")

Extrapolate to forward looking fertility rate. South Korea total fertility rate as of 2023 is 0.72.
> It sounds more like you've been listening to what the news tells you Trump is.

I've been listening to the literal words that Trump says, by watching videos of his rallies.

Regardless, I'm not really interested in engaging with someone who's going to argue that "I'm listening wrong" instead of presenting a coherent argument.
That's not the only reason, Microsoft and Sony did improve their security a lot but their console are also much less juicy targets than in the past as well. The Xbox and the Playstation have way less exclusive games than in the past and the difference with the PC is much smaller nowadays
There is always this uncomfortable undercurrent of misogyny in all these fertility discussions along the lines of "how do we coerce women to have more children?" or "it's a woman's duty to breed." I'd like to hope we are more enlightened than that, but the sentiment is worryingly pervasive.

The doomsayers are probably right, we are in for hard economic times as birth rates decline. But maybe that is a good thing, and we can finally come up with a system that doesn't depend on exponential population growth.
Yeah, the most relevant diagram I can find shows 32 bytes wide per core cluster and 128 bytes to the GPU.
Good point, although chatgpt.com used to redirect to chat.openai.com for a while too, until the former eventually became the default.
That is a good point.

And actually it's not all humans who would go extinct, it's modern urban/semi-urban more-liberal people. There are pockets of often-rural highly religious populations that are well above the replacement rate right now. Basically Kamala Harris supporters are going extinct and Donald Trump supporters will populate the future, unless something changes.
I don't know anything about Colo Crossing (are they a reseller?) but I would bet their $60 per month 4-core Intel Xeons would outperform a $1,000 per month "compute optimized" EC2 server.
Well, I started planning a road trip down Austin as soon as I saw this post. Crew of friends is coming together to watch! Thanks for posting. I'm so excited to witness this in person.