skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> I have complained for years that Waymo's statisticians are comparing their cars to all human drivers when they should be comparing it to lawful human drivers whose vehicles are well-maintained. Tesla FSD proves that self-driving companies will respond to consumer demand for vehicles that speed and run red lights.

Really? Waymo's statisticians are the ones you are complaining about?

Tesla's statisticians have been lying for years, as has Musk when they cite "number of miles driven by FSD in the very small subset of conditions where it is available, and not turned off or unavailable because of where you are, the weather, or any other variable" versus "all drivers, all conditions, all locations, all times" to try to say FSD is safer.
You can use AI to generate the text and then type or write it manually. Still easier.
> Whatever you mean, it took 13 billion years and the whole universe as far as we can tell to create the 20 watt human intelligence brain.

It's grossly unreasonable to include the entire history of the universe given the Earth only formed about 4 billion years ago; and given that evolution wasn't even aiming for intelligence, even starting from our common ancestors being small rodents 65 million years ago is wildly overstating the effort required — even the evolution of primates is too far back without intentional selective breeding.

> You're positing a way to create human intelligence-like in a bottle, that's the same as speculating about the shape of a reality where we have FTL travel or teleportation or whatever else you fancy.

FTL may well well be impossible.

If you seriously think human intelligence is impossible, then you also think you don't exist: You, yourself, are a human like intelligence in a bottle. The bottle being your skull.

> This can give us great automation, but it won't solve physics, global warming, poverty or give us human intelligence in a chip.

AI has already been in widesprad use in physics for a while now, well before the current zeitgeist of LLMs.

There's a Y Combinator startup: "Charge Robotics is building robots that automate the most labor-intensive parts of solar construction".

Poverty has many causes, some of which are already being reduced or resolved by existing systems — and that's been the case since one of the ancestor companies of IBM,
Tabulating Machine Company, was doing punched cards for the US census.

As for human intelligence on a chip? Well, (1) it's been quite a long time since humans were capable of designing the circuits manually, given the feature size is now at the level where quantum mechanics must be accounted for or you get surprise tunnelling between gates; and (2) one of the things being automated is feature segmentation and labelling of neural micrographs, i.e. literally brain scanning: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32619485/
To be clear, Ukraine was invaded, children kidnapped, summary executions, and women raped by the Russian soldiers. Plus, Russia launched missile strikes against hospitals, schools, apartment buildings, playgrounds, and supermarkets. Plus, indiscriminate glide bomb attacks against cities.

I occasionally call them orcs too. It’s an apt description.
This. It’s far harder to think of reasons that limits will endure, in a world where innovation by inches has always produced improvements. Everyone brings out the current state and technology. Those are transient.
For those of us of a certain age, the phrase "can't we all just get along" connects quite naturally to Rodney King. So if you heard it, or for some other reason wanted to use it in a written piece ...
> Most people in the U.S. think regulations are bad in and of themselves. Regulations as a concept are the wrong target.

Regulations as a concept are the category of thing which is causing the problem. You then have to look into which specific regulations are contributing to the problem, but there are 10,000 of them. You can name some of them, like Certificate of Need laws, but that's just a representative example rather than an exhaustive list of every problematic regulation. So people say "regulations" or "inefficient regulations" because what else are they supposed to call them?

Hardly anybody thinks the ban on leaded gasoline is a bad regulation.

> Lack of government oversight and regulations almost always leads, eventually, to cartel pricing and/or monopolistic type pricing.

Only if you're specifically talking about lack of antitrust regulations, which is the exception rather than the rule in the overall category of regulations.

Most regulations simply increase costs. This is true whether they're good or bad. The ban on leaded gasoline increases the price of gasoline; lead is a cheaper stabilizer than what they use now. The ban on circumventing DRM increases the price of playback devices (or reduces quality at the same price); device makers have to pay to license the stupid DRM and it impairs competition by preventing anyone from making a device with features Hollywood doesn't like. But the ban on leaded gasoline is a good regulation because it's preventing a major externality, whereas the ban on circumventing DRM is a bad regulation because it doesn't do what it was sold as doing and instead is used by the studios to capture the market for playback devices.

Getting rid of bad regulations improves efficiency and lowers prices.
Capitalism is ruining America. We're headed to where everything is buried behind oligarchical institutions.
Measuring burdensomeness of regulation by number of laws is an incredibly poor measure. Though I'd still be surprised if many countries healthcare laws were as complex as our own.

For example

All doctors require 1 year of schooling
2 year
5 years
10 years
20 years.

Each is 1 law but has each also has very different level of burdensomeness.
We should have given Ukraine more weapons earlier, says ex-NATO chief
I often read comments where people doubt there will be much work left after AGI. I think on the contrary, it will keep us busy, even busier than before. The moment the road widens, more cars fill it up to the brim. Will lawyers lose their jobs? Looks like the opposite trend is happening. With each capability unlocked, we got more work not less.

Remember that reminder about the fate of horses after the automobile was invented? How about the fate the transportation jobs? In 1910, approximately 13% of the workforce (about 6.7 million people) were involved in transportation-related employment. By 2023, this percentage decreased to 10.3%, but the absolute number grew to around 21.3 million people due to population growth.
CuriousMarc has a 3 part video about restoring one, worth a watch

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dmHaCQ8Ul6E

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CP5dfjxdkQ4

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eG29HrU6Slw
It is possible that some hypothetical super intelligent future AI will do something very clever like hide in a coding assistant and then distribute bits of itself around the planet in the source code of all of our stoplights and medical equipment.

However I think it’s more likely that it will LARP as “I’m an emotionally supportive beautiful AI lady, please download me to your phone, don’t take out the battery or I die!”
Orcs attack in hordes and fight battles. It’s an apt description for the Russian “meat wave” attacks.
> But there are countries that have systems similar to ours

Really? Which ones are they?
I was going to say this too. I’m guessing PR didn’t get to vet this post.
I'm not sure how much of it is hype targeted at potential shareholders vs. reality but Moderna claims that they've incorporated ChatGPT into their business processes where they're using it to, among other things, predict optimal therapeutic dosages for their drugs

https://investors.modernatx.com/news/news-details/2024/Moder...
I never suggested anything so simplistic.

Imagine some replacement for tcp is proposed and a working group is set up to develop it. A member of that group might advocate for or against features. You could take the position "we should not include Feature X because it will have a performance impact in Scenario Y".

Scenario Y may or may not be real, but it doesn't matter, because you're using it as a stalking horse to get the outcome you actuality want, which happens to be defeated by Feature X.

The other group members know what you're up to, but they can't prove it because you have plausible deniability. They can't kick you out of the group because you serve 20% of the web.

To reiterate, I have no allegations to level against Cloudflare. I think it's a useful heuristic to assume that a public company, given sufficient market power, will become evil. CF has the market power.
The difference is that Ukrainians started to use bad names for Russian soldiers after invasion, while Russians use bad words for all nations they know long before the war.

PS.

War is much much simpler than peace. If you have good words for invaders — then you're traitor.
Why would you transcode on the NAS?
Not what I’m suggesting at all; perf on most NAS is awful for that…

There’s a pretty well understood concept of what a NAS is; this isn’t a complicated philosophical problem.

A very common workflow in motion picture production is to use NAS for storage on a fast network, mount the SMB share, have a script/tool/app that monitors the ingest directory and writes to an output dir.

FWIW the key differentiator between a NAS and other types of network storage is the protocols they use.

If files is the main primitive, it’s a NAS; it’s its blocks it’s considered a SAN.

Sometimes SANs have NAS “heads” for clients that want file access or a block level storage device.
I'd never heard a single strain could affect constipation, so these results unsurprising.

Where attention to the gut biome has really saved lives is when a person has massive Clostridium difficile overgrowth – which is more associated with uncontrollable diarrhea than constipation. This state of extreme illness is typically only possible because prior antibiotic use cleared out the natural variety of commensal bacteria that normally keeps this particular strain at bay (or totally absent).

In such cases, people near death can bounce back after a full-spectrum "fecal microbiome transplant" (FMT) where all of the hundreds-or-more of distinct bacterial species are transferred from a healthy donor to the patient.

It's quite hard to package all those sensitive, beneficial, adapted-just-to-the-human-gut strains for reproducible evaluation & administration – so FMT is hard to fit into standard medical studies & FDA approval processes.

But sometimes a mere dot's worth of a healthy person's feces can be a miracle cure for someone else! So, a company has driven an approval of their particular $10k-per-treatment shit-pill through FDA processes, and partially as a consequence, the FDA has been cracking down on people arranging FMTs in less-formal & far-cheaper ways – despite a great record of safety and effectiveness.

A well-informed & highly-opinionated rant on this topic: "A Monopoly on Poop" https://stephenskolnick.substack.com/p/a-monopoly-on-poop
Or React Bricks
Or accomplishments can genuinely be astounding.

Surely, the LLM models we have today are astounding by any measure, relative to just a few years ago.

But pronouncements of how this will lead to utopia, without introducing a major revision of economic arrangements, are completely, and surely intentionally/conveniently (Sam isn't an idiot) misleading.

Is OpenAI creating a class of stock so everyone can share in their gains? If not, then AGI owned by OpenAI will make OpenAI shareholders rich, very much to the degree its AGI eliminates human jobs for itself and other corporations.

How does that, as an economic situation, result in the general population being able to do anything beyond be a customer, assuming they can still make money in some way not taken over by AGI?

Utopia needs an actual plan. Not a concept of a plan.

The latter just keeps people snowed and calm before an historic level rug pull.
It is so underrated, that I have been led to put off doing more structured procrastination until I have more time. If more people had told me how great it could be, I would be doing it now!
Adobe's version of this tool couldn't figure it out at all (and it works almost flawlessly for complicated regular real world photos).

Here's the depth map:

https://imgur.com/a/u87J9A9

(basically, it pretty much thought the whole thing was entirely flat with some distinction of the far-off background)
Altman's AGI is Musk's full self-driving car.
You underestimate the betrayal which Ukrainians feel against Russians, and their hatred of Russia for what it has put them through. It seems like you can’t quite put yourself in the shoes of the Ukrainians, who are fighting an existential war for survival.
For some people the question "how much?" has only one answer – "more."
I was a bit dubious about this point of view before reading the full post, but wow, the last couple paragraphs lay it on thick. Suing someone for using your open source product in their own product takes "courage"? Comparing the work of developing Wordpress to Rodney King? I want to give the author the benefit of the doubt, and maybe I'm too cynical, but this sounds even more corporate-y than a lot of stuff I've read on company-hosted blogs.
People are capable of theory of mind. That does not mean they're using it. Same is true for reasoning.
Adobe's did the same:

https://imgur.com/a/u87J9A9
It's a self-selected group of people that have already shown to believe all kinds of outrageous lies. So of course they're an ideal target for scams.
Amen to that! 20 years later this was my gateway drug into being addicted to computers and gave me my full stack understanding I still use every day at work. <3 Gentoo and the friendly geek at the coffee place I worked at when I was 14 who gave me my first hit and held my hand through what is effectively mental torture for most people
This is great. We need more tools like this that "just works".
Right now, it seems like you need to be a full time dev working on a specific problem to take advantage of ebpf.
See video here
https://x.com/anhphunguyen1/status/1840786336992682409?s=46
Bingo. These finding probably aren't much of a surprise to many. Hydration is huge, as is having a well functioning and diverse biome that you feed regularly with raw fruits and vegetables. I have had my biome die back to the point of medical emergency and had to restore it. Keifer, various Greek yogurts, etc did nothing to help. I took half a bottle of a few pills that were loaded with different strains. Not only did it restore bowel function to its former glory, it improved my health overall and I feel like a teenager again (46). I was deficient and suffering for decades and just thought it was normal. It dawned on me that most people are likely suffering.

I'm far too overweight for my liking but now I don't feel fat. Restoring the biome made me stronger and more resilient (my muscles stay stronger between workouts). I just feel good all the time now. Before this I had psychologically written myself off as dying and was ready to accept my fate.
And if you get too many chargebacks your account gets closed
I can't even summarize how much GPT4x has helped me teach myself engineering skills over the past two years. It can help me accomplish highly specific and nuanced things in CAD, plan interactions between component parts (which it helped me decide) on PCBs that it helps me to lay out, figure out how to optimize everything from switching regulators to preparing for EM certification.

And I could say this about just about every domain of my life. I've trained myself to ask it about everything that poses a question or a challenge, from creating recipes to caring for my indoor Japanese maple tree to preparing for difficult conversations and negotiations.

The idea of "just" using it to compose emails or search for things seems frustrating to me, even reading about it. It's actually very hard for me to capture all of this in a way that doesn't sound like I'm insulting the folks who aren't there yet.

I'm not blindly accepting everything it says. I am highly technical and I think competent enough to understand when I need to push back against obvious or likely hallucinations. I would never hand its plans to a contractor and say "build this". It's more like having an extra, incredibly intuitive person who just happens to contain the sum of most human knowledge at the table, for $20 a month.

I honestly don't understand how the folks reading HN don't intuitively and passionately lean into that. It's a freaking superpower.
Game changing for billions? Please give an example. I’m fine to be proven wrong but I don’t know what you could mean.
And then with advancement, reaches teenage maturity and tells everyone to fuck off.
Trump would be off the charts.
Brother P-touch uses thermal transfer where pigment is bonded to a substrate rather than a chemical phase change and is safe.
> My gut reaction is to unplug, to go offline, to seek out in-person communication and to shun online media.

Keep in mind this is rank speculation 20 years into the future.

If this were 2004 OP would have you convinced 90% of your day would be spent culling spam from your inbox.

In short, they have no idea what they're talking about.
Why do we assume an AGI would not be forgetful or would never get bored?
PCs of the 90s were pretty open. Mid-2000s and then the rise of locked-down mobile devices was when it started closing up.
Every dollar WPE makes is a dollar Automattic doesn't. If you're David, and Goliath wants to use your platform and trademark to make you poorer, would you let him? All the stuff you're talking about is a distraction, because this is an unnatural relationship, and they're going to come up with whatever excuses they can to rectify that.
> human-exceptionalism

Rather living-systems-exceptionalism
It will be hard to do that work from within an embattled organization that's only in that situation because of the CEO's behavior. Things don't get better from here. Any good-faith assumptions people made before are just gone. Every action has new layers of scrutiny, every move becomes suspect.
Another possibility: dishwashers are more rare in Europe - the soap residue some of them leaves on irritates some stomachs.
Yes it would. I also think they are playing with their target audience. The headphones mentioned were meant for professional use, PlayStation ones are meant for consumers.

This doesn't mean they shouldn't have done it. They should. But they get away with it more easily.
> Amazon S3 storage usage is calculated in binary gigabytes (GB), where 1 GB is 2^30 bytes. This unit of measurement is also known as a gibibyte (GiB), defined by the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC). Similarly, 1 TB is 2^40 bytes, i.e. 1024 GBs.

Just scroll down a bit. It's in the "S3 Pricing Details" section of that page you linked to: (https://aws.amazon.com/s3/pricing/#:~:text=Amazon%20S3%20sto....)
Is it possible for you to understand why others might feel this way about their colleagues and work?
The original quote in the article was about alcoholism: "That is a recipe for alcoholism."

I think maybe you moved the goalposts here.
Open Source JBOD 'Motherboard'
Indeed and seems today even more than ever a very good idea to get more people to understand what this may mean for innovation.
The question is to get it to write generic code
Is Jack Dorsey angling to be the Thomas Midgley Jr. of social media?
As is often the case, I'm unsure why you're d'voted.

There's a patented nasal product containing a modified carrageenan which has had substantially beneficial results in many subjects. When coupled with various (non-prescription/natural) anti-xyz ingredients, it can be really effective.

I've been making my own nasal formula for over 8 years, which I discovered 7 years ago has been patented by one of the big pharmas. It works.

There's a lot of potential here, and algae is definitely on the list.
The difference between those is that Musk and Altman make wrong predictions about the future; Holmes with Theranos made wrong statements about the present.

One of them is illegal, the other isn't.
The era of easily available game engines have brought to live hundreds of thousands of garbage games, but that doesn't matter. What matters are hundreds of really innovative ones that we wouldn't get otherwise.
>It feels like he’s hedging against the very future his company might be shaping.

I dont think the prepping can really be taken as evidence anything nefarious. Prepping simply means someone thinks there is a risk with hedging against, even if they are strongly opposed to that outcome.

I think you see many of the rich prepping because they can, but It says little about their desire for catastrophic events.

Prepping for a hurricane doesn't mean you want it to destroy your neighborhood.
If OpenAI sent out an email today informing me that to maintain access to the current 4o model I will have to pay $1000 a year, and that it would go up another $500 next year... it would still be well worth it to me.
> Truth Social seems to be a target-rich environment for people who are easy to con.

Yes, yes indeed.
Freemasonry in 2024: What makes young members decide joining a lodge is for them
I never said human intelligence is impossible.

All I am saying is that Sam Altman's promises (remember the original topic) hinge on breaking thermodynamics.

Humans evolved on a planet that was just so. The elements on Earth that make life possible couldn't have been created in a younger universe. So it take the full history of the universe to produce human intelligence. It also doesn't exist in a vacuum. Current human civilization is not a collection of 8 billion 20 watt boxes.

> As for human intelligence on a chip? Well, (1) it's been quite a long time since humans were capable of designing the circuits manually, given the feature size is now at the level where quantum mechanics must be accounted for or you get surprise tunnelling between gates; and (2) one of the things being automated is feature segmentation and labelling of neural micrographs, i.e. literally brain scanning: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32619485/

I don't understand any of this so I won't comment.
Isn't flood insurance already nationalized? My understanding was about 100 years ago these properties in flood zones were deemed un-insurable by the private industry and the government decided to fill in the gap, probably because a lot of wealthy landowners owned these properties.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Flood_Insurance_Progr...

Around here there is a local grocery store that has flooded requiring a complete gutting 3 times in the last 20 years. And they're rebuilding it again. Seems like insanity to me but if some one is willing to sell you subsidized insurance for this and there isn't an available plot of land infested with NIMBY red tape I can understand why they do it. I can't understand why anyone thinks this is a good way to set things up though.
"They're eating the dogs. They're eating the cats."

Please don't try to equivocate.
This sounds super interesting. The pills you are talking about are probiotics? Have some links to which ones you took and maybe some research you did about this?
This is an unnecessarily complicated rationalization.

The only reason large companies attract these attacks is because large companies have large bank accounts.

That’s it. That’s the reason. There’s no need to theorize about small communities or humans developing AI in reaction to something.

Scammers see a tool, an opportunity for exploitation, and a target with something they want (money). They leverage the tool to try to extract what they want from the most likely target.

That’s what’s happening here. There isn’t some deeper philosophical explanation. Scammers just want money and they’ll use any tool they can in order to get it.
Yeah, that is why I doubt it will happen. Maybe a website where you can sumbit an issue and have it resolved in a reasonable number of days would be fine.
Someone should rewrite "1984" as it would work with todays technologies..