skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You might argue that faith, in its various manifestations, is the root of all economic distortions and malaises. That being said, no, I don’t think that a subset of evangelical Christianity caused or meaningfully contributed to the 2009 crash, since there are abundant facts and analyses to the contrary. To believe otherwise would be, ironically, an act of faith.
>> I tried to replicate this and Claude 3.5 Sonnet got it correct on the first try. It generated a second set of dates which contained no solution so I asked it to write another python program that generates valid date sets.

That's good but no cigar and it certainly didn't get it "correct on the first try". First it generated a partially correct solution. Then you had to prompt it again to generate a new program. You were only able to do that because you know what the right answer looks like in the first place. The second program is missing a second set of dates so it's not clear if it really gets it right the second time or just reproducing a different program from its training set without understanding the problem and what's wrong with the first program and just because you asked it to do so instead.

>> I feel confident he found that his tests failed, but to disprove his thesis (at least as is internally consistent with his experiment) we just need to find a single example of an LLM writing Python code that realizes the answer. I found that on the first try.

That's not how testing LLM code generation is done in practice, exactly because of the variance that can be expected in generated results. To properly test an LLM (which I would agree Norvig's experiment falls a little short off) one has to run multiple experiments and evaluate all the results in aggregate in some form. The usual way to do it is to draw k samples from the LLM's distribution and check whether the correct answer is generated at least n times (k@n metric). That's an awful metric because it's basically allowing arbitrary "guesses" until the LLM code generator gets it right. A simpler test is to generate k programs, check whether each program is right or wrong, and assign 1 for each correct answer and 0 for each incorrect answer, then average over all answers. It's an open question whether to count a partial answer as a 0, or 0.5.

So if we took the total failure in Norvig's experiment and the only partial success in yours, and allowing for the most charitable aggregation of results, we have something like 0.25 accuracy, which is not that impressive. Not least because it's evaluated on just two test samples.

Also, please don't underestimate the knowledge of experts like Peter Norvig.
Well, it is a partly a yeast, which is a fungus, as are mushrooms. The main thing is that it is a symbiotic combination of particular yeast and bacteria strains, unlike what is used for brewing alcoholic drinks (just yeast) or fermenting dairy into yogurt (just bacteria).

Kefir is another combination of yeast and bacteria, though different strains.
Informally, an example of this problem is calculus class. A kid who's interested in programming, and takes calculus, can dream up a program that computes the derivative of any expression. But now try doing that with the anti-derivative. And to be sure you can write an expression in multiple ways, but the core problem remains.

Disclosure: I was that kid. My program was a mess, but good enough for a proof of concept.
It's reality. Russians started to use something like that few days ago. Messages from Russian bots are hard to distinguish from real people, while real people are shadowbanned by FB/YT. It's still relatively easy to see them (few dozens of new characters appears and start to sing almost in unison: stop the war, retreat early, leave occupied land to Russia, massive losses, etc.), but it's harder to catch them individually.
Im sorry to hear that. Tamagui is one of the biggest projects you’ll find in terms of scope - it’s not one library, it’s over 200, and it’s targeting 4 platforms, 4 JS engines, and has a featureset that is unmatched.

So I don’t think it’s surprising if you have regressions when upgrading 200+ packages for any project, and I also don’t think you should upgrade it honestly more than once every six months.

Second point is that we also moved (and had to move) much faster than a typical project. Because we had so many packages and were solving very hard problems, we had a lot of ground to cover. We never broke any API surfaces in a minor or patch, but we weren’t afraid to improve our underlying code because if we didn’t, on a project of that scale, we’d have quickly succumb to tech debt. A good chunk of our UI kit was under the “beta” tag until recently.

That said I’ll take responsibility for it. I wonder when this was that you adopted it, I think we’ve gotten a lot better over time as things have stabilized. We stopped adding features over a year ago now, and have entirely focused on stability, performance and documentation since.

A final note is that I have never been full-time on Tamagui, it’s always been a side project of mine while I had a full time job. We have a large test suite, but again, the surface area of the project is simply massive.

Now that I am full time on One and Tamagui, I am looking forward to proving that we know what we’re doing. We’ve hired great developers and have greatly expanded testing even just in the last few months.

One is a lot simpler than Tamagui. Like… not 10x simpler, closer to 1000x simpler. I keep telling people: a universal framework is surprisingly simple compared to a universal style library + UI kit.

Editing to add one more point of context. One of the best and pickiest developers I know - Fernando Rojo - has been using Tamagui since the beginning. He even wrote his own style library before Tamagui. He recently started on a new side project that he wants to turn into a real venture down the road, and he is using Tamagui for it. It’s actually one of my most proud accomplishments. It’s an extremely strong signal imo, as someone who is known for NIH and being very picky to choose such a big dependency like Tamagui again.
If this is sarcasm which aims to highlight the problem with parent comment, I wholeheartedly agree.
Wouldn't you prefer someone fearful of the apocalypse and who takes it seriously running such a company over someone who is ambivalent or doesn't consider it a risk?
It could be great if law finally would become equal to everyone and not only for those who can afford it
Follow up in this one… I asked an LLM to give me the funniest way to combine the concepts of a dinosaur and monetary policy of the Ottoman Empire. This was the answer.

Imagine a “Dinoflationosaurus”: a giant dinosaur who has the job of overseeing the monetary policy of the Ottoman Empire. However, this dinosaur is hopelessly behind the times, using outdated gold coins that are buried in random locations, like a prehistoric central bank.

Instead of regulating currency or adjusting interest rates, the Dinoflationosaurus spends its days stomping around, either hoarding or releasing massive piles of treasure based on whether it sees its shadow, causing huge economic fluctuations. Merchants and citizens scramble to predict where the dinosaur will dig next, turning the entire economy into a game of dinosaur-sized hide-and-seek with inflation spikes tied to the beast’s mood swings.

The Ottoman economists, dressed in traditional robes, nervously try to explain to the sultan that no one knows when the giant lizard will “stimulate the economy” by smashing a treasury vault open.

Try to code something like that up in prolog!
Dude those were different times. I remember building half adders and full adders with nand gates. Computing poles and residues by hand for 2nd order butterworth filter. There was so much depth to that!

of course nowadays i do the dumb shit everyone else is doing. import numpy as np, np.ones(arr), on and on. i once came across really convoluted business logic. rewrote that as a giant boolean expression and then simplified it using k maps. but when i tried to explain that in the kt session, they were like - what is k map ? what does that mean ? i thought wow i can explain it nicely and win the day. After all, in the kingdom of the blind, one eyed man is king. Instead, when i gave many examples and asked if they had any questions, they were like - what if a truck hits you on your way home ? then who will do this k map minimizing for us ?
that’s when I suddenly recalled what actually happened in country of the blind. Nunez doesn’t become King. Instead, the blind fuckers chase Nunez to poke his eyes out.
so in order to survive on the H1B, i had to forget all about the k map. pretend i am also blind and continue importing that numpy. otherwise i can forget about putting food on table.
I am going through that right now. IRS owes me 3 years of refunds, but I can't even get an appointment to see them. They hang up one when I call (after hours on hold), and won't let me just visit the local office. My current attempt is to work with my US Senators office.
I share this view too, especially about law. There is going to be a huge increase in demand for white collar work, but the problem we will face is that the skills required to supply this demand will go up, and there further will be demand for technology to lower the skill barrier to do the jobs. I think the paper to CAD transition is a perfect example.

We started with more demand for computer skills to increase manufacturing efficiency, and now there is increasingly cheaper and better software to lower the barrier to learning CAD

I envision a similar transition for law and justice.
Love this. Looking forward to docker selfhost!
>I dont have much trouble believing in the work, even in for-profit companies.

One of the things I liked about selling software is the knowledge that customers do value your software. If they didn't then they wouldn't put their hand in their pocket.
Visa chose public EVMs already supported by the industry and market

Take it up with them, “visachain” doesn’t inspire the same level of confidence for their stakeholders and shows competitors how to offer something without spinning up or maintaining their own blockchain, and wouldn’t have the rest of the DeFi infrastructure, namely liquidity pool from unrelated parties

Private transactions is its own niche that happens in parallel to this

The existence of either application doesnt preclude each other from occurring or gaining traction or changing the nature of the permissionless distributed system
Induction?
I wonder if there is something like this in the US? As an kidney transplant patient with immunosuppression, I've been super cautious to being in crowds without a mask.

I feel like something like this might give me more reassurance if I'm meeting friends and family at parties and events without a mask.
Us millenials are old. My 43rd birthday is coming up fast.

College students are the next generation. Most millenials remember dialup or at most a time before mainstream streaming video. College students today have seen their formative years being constantly on with instant access to more material in any format they want than they could ever grasp the concept of.
No, the U.S. has not done worse than Russia has in this war. Not even in Vietnam, I think. But, I guess we were orcs when we invaded and occupied Iraq, since we had no business being there.

With regard to Israelis, any sort of othering will be perceived as antisemitism. But, what Israel is doing in Gaza is on par with what Russia is doing in Ukraine.
I responded in a sibling comment.
(D) includes me, and does sound fun. Got any references?
> Your brain is evidence that it's "even possible".

All your brain proves is that a universe can produce planetary ecosystems capable of supporting human civilizations made of very efficient brain carrying mammals.

It definitely doesn't prove that these mammals can create boxes capable 'solve physics, poverty and global warming' if we just give Sam Altman enough electricity and chips. Or dollars to that effect.
You aren’t going to be making dune with this. Maybe a “we have dune at home version”…
> There might be a better way to handle that..

Yes... Just add lp group to your account (since /dev/usb/lpX are root:lp)
The only reason Sam would leave OpenAI is if he thought AGI could only be achieved elsewhere, or that AGI was impossible without some other breakthrough in another industry (energy, hardware, etc).

High-intelligence AGI is the last human invention — the holy grail of technology. Nothing could be more ambitious, and if we know anything about Altman, it is that his ambition has no ceiling.

Having said all of that, OpenAI appears to be all in on brute-force AGI and swallowing the bitter lesson that vast and efficient compute is all you need. But they’ve overlooking a massive dataset that all known biological intelligences rely upon: qualia. By definition, qualia exist only within conscious minds. Until we train models on qualia, we’ll be stuck with LLMs that are philosophical zombies — incapable of understanding our world — a world that consists only of qualia.

Building software capable of utilizing qualia requires us to put aside the hard problem of consciousness in favor of mechanical/deterministic theories of consciousness like Attention-Schema Theory (AST). Sure, we don’t understand qualia. We might never understand. But that doesn’t mean we can’t replicate.
I prefer these bots to those that prose profusely generating larger than human piles of crap...
Israel, Switzerland, and the Netherlands all rely on private insurance as well and still have vastly better systems than our own.
Respectfully, this is an incredibly weak take.

You are making a lot of assumptions about someone's ability to learn with AND without assistance, while also making rather sci-fi leaps about our brain somehow being able to differentiate between learning that has somehow been tainted by the tendrils of ML overlords.

The models and the user interface around them absolutely will continue to improve far faster than any one person's ability to obtain subject mastery in a field.
What stops it getting more intelegent? That's litterally its primary aim. Its only limit as to how quickly it does that is hardware capacity, and I'd be shocked if it didn't somehow theorise to itself that it can and should expand its knowledge in any way possible.
Sam was already a billionaire years ago. He is one of SV most prolific investors, with equity in hundreds of startups. He writes big checks as well from time to time, Helion for instance he gave 375 million.
I agree, and that's why they used a "randomized triple-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial".
It is, in fact, being written. It’s called the modern West.
Ask HN: Best practice to protect from back end data exfiltration via website?
Hey I am the odd non-engineer/dev here (although long-time geek for sure!) that has read HN for years. So first please consider this, first, as a “thank you” to everyone from whom I have learned so much just reading fascinating articles everyone has posted and likewise following the many lively discussions that have ensued.

And if I am asking this question the wrong way (or thinking about it the wrong way), please don’t hesitate to let me know.

I have been thinking through a B2C concept where the moat/value, if you will, would be the data. The website would allow you to query against those data via an increasingly specific filters. If I go through with this, collecting and organizing these data will be extremely expensive/time-consuming.

And that leads me to ask… is there a best practice for keeping a bot from running through every permutation of every filter and re-creating my master data set? The data itself isn’t proprietary. It’s just the organization and presentation of it that no one else is doing and I think would solve an existing pain point and provide real value to folks.

Would love thoughts on this. I get no solution is bullet proof, but I am sure others have had to contend with the same thing and so I would love to at least understand what best practices are here such that I am — at minimum — not leaving the front door wide open if there’s at least a cheap lock I can put on it. :)

Also, at least in an ideal world, I don’t want to force people to create accounts to access this, so it seems like I would need something in place to try and identify bots and block/confuse them. The good news is the number of permutations will be so large, it wouldn’t be realistic possible to do this by hand… so it seems like identifying “real” vs “bot” should/could (?) be relatively straightforward.

Thank you!!
That sounds counter-intuitive? I doubt most people take the time to rinse everything off with clear water. Dishwashers on the other hand always have a rinsing step
I feel like tech celebrities are generally people who don’t really understand tech very well and followed by people who don’t either.

There’s a whole aura of religiosity to it, and very limited substance. But maybe that’s just what it takes to sell things to a world that generally doesn’t understand computers or science.
By all means, go listen to the industry experts trying to sell you on a bubble before it pops

This analysis is just doing basic math based on reporting from the NYT and Post on OpenAI’s financials.
I’ll never understand how so many smart people haven’t realize that the biggest “hallucination” produced by AI was this Sam Altman.
It’s a trade off - better performance and native UI but a bit more of a learning curve and need to curate some API surfaces.

We have something close to ready based on Expos “use dom” feature they just announced. It should be available soon. I think that’s a smart strategy so you can do webviews if your want.

But to be honest I haven’t felt much pain in that regard. You can almost always find a library pretty easily for what you need, and the trade off in getting a great native feeling app is worth it, especially if we can keep improving DX, which I plan to do.
> All while hyping AGI more than ever.

Maybe not, since Altman pretty much said they no longer want to think it terms of "how close to AGI?". Iirc, he said they're moving away from that and instead want to move towards describing the process as hitting new specific capabilities incrementally.
Or .. you could use salt spray .. the kind of designed for kids. Its just salt and water.

I stopped using other kinds of spray since discovering that it fixes my sinus infections in a matter of a day or two.
You don’t need to look that far to find outrageous lies that people believe on the other side. There are numerous examples from COVID, BLM, illegal immigration, etc. Painting one side as gullible with this recent history is just a self serving elitist narrative.
> I honestly don't understand how the folks reading HN don't intuitively and passionately lean into that. It's a freaking superpower.

It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.

Many of us here would see our jobs eliminated by a sufficiently powerful AI, perhaps some have already experienced it. You might as well. If you use AI so much, what value do you really provide and how much longer before the AI can surpass you at that?
Tyler Cowen: No Such Thing as Talent Decline
I once worked on a UK e-commerce site. The existing user registration form had a title field. The previous engineer had listed a few titles in the requirements, and the longest he came up with were Colonel, General, Admiral and Viscount, so he set the width as 8.

I got assigned the bug when one of the only two Archbishops in Britain tried to open an account.

Luckily, Field Marshal has slipped from normal use in the British military, but he should have also noticed Brigadier, Commodore, Rear Admiral, Vice Admiral and perhaps Ambassador.

I guess Second Lieutenant or Sergeant Major aren't pompous enough to offer their titles to buy s***f on the internet.
QAnon and alike has made some fantastically wealthy.
A literal fungal infection?
It's important to put the line between yourself and the people who go in assault waves at your trench to preserve your own sanity. The thing is more of a natural response then top-down motivation in Ukrainian case.
It seems like the best use of ai / computing power would be to do common law through llm? I understand it’s nuanced and complicated but that seems like a good use case for our current ai systems ? What am I missing ?
COVID is airborne, it doesn’t spread via droplets. It’s not clear whether this spray can also block airborne viruses or it only works on droplets.
"This side lies more than that side" is the biggest lie both 'sides' tell you
Social auth almost always means oauth (2.0). It's good to have this, because you could technically Deploy your own oauth provider.

However, for my smaller personal side projects I rely on a simple JWT auth based on JWT, QR-codes and https-only AS secure AS possible cookies.

I plan to try openid but i did not habe the time yet.

If you have a userbase, a local username/password login should be at least an Option...
Imagine going to space by lighting up rocket engines with giant matches:

https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/rockets/a19966/russia...
The FTC really should put a stop to labeling community ERs as Urgent Care when they aren't subject to the same billing regulations and are just an excuse for a predatory money grab.
A Very Short Introduction to Nix
Holmes, Balwani and co lied about their current technology, which is a step beyond making overly optimistic future projections. They claimed to have their own technology when they were actually using their competitor’s machines with diluted blood samples.
USAers didn't try to kill me and my family in the last 50 years. I truly understand you if they or Israel did and you call them names.
I mean, sure, if we still lived as small groups of hunter-gatherers, many of today's problems would not exist. But many of yesterday's problems could never have been solved.
He also did not test o1-preview which I feel would do well on this class of problem.
Healthcare is essentially a creature of regulation. It owes its beginnings to the requirement that care must be effective.
Using AI has all kinds of new and unusual limits. It's hard to get exactly what you want and you often get unexpected results along the way.
I host my music on an Unraid box on my home LAN, use Plex+Plexamp to serve and access it, and 1000% recommended Plex+Plexamp. It is, without a doubt, the best music app I've used on a phone, including other self-hosting solutions, local apps like Poweramp, and commercial streaming apps like Spotify. I really can't speak of it highly enough.
This feels like a “fixed mindset” about energy, i.e. the way we generate and allocate energy today can not change. Of all the “wasteful” things we do with energy AI is not the top of my (very subjective) list of things to shut down.
AI has been a tech trend since McCarthy uttered "Artificial Intelligence" in 1955. Because it is an ideology, not a technology. Good luck.
This assumes you work on the principle of continuously buying new music. If you're someone with a library of ~2k songs and that doesnt change in any real way for years on end it probably doesn't stack up as well, especially when cd's are so darn cheap these days, being able to pick up ~5 full albums on CD for the price of 1 month streaming with little effort for example.

Obvious point about not owning it either, so if an artist or whole label decides to have a fight with your streaming provider, sorry tough luck, you just lost them from your library.
I've never understood why this problem is considered so difficult. I'm not a fancy schmancy computer scientist but even I can see that N = 1 or P = 0.
It is interesting to reflect on the possible social outcomes of something, even if those outcomes weren’t the goal or motivation of individual actors.

Making giant companies wasn’t the goal of society or anything, after all. Maybe the changing ground truth will produce new outcomes.
Smith Shorthand
You don't want to know what is actually used when "orc" is not enough.