skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>For example, lets say that everyone encounters an opportunity to become a billionaire at a perfectly constant rate of 1 opportunity/year [0] and the probability we can capitalise on it with our skills is normally distributed (ditto for ruinous events)

I think your assumption is wrong. The key idea is that the outcome of random lucky events depends on the amount of capital one already has. A lucky event doesn't add to capital, but multiplies it, so consecutive lucky events accumulate creating a long tail.

If you believed in Bitcoin in 2012 you probably wouldn't be rich today, if you were living paycheck to paycheck at the time. If by 2012 you already had some spare capital from getting lucky in the dotcom years, on the other hand...
Also, was Davis that hateful? Haven't followed him, and what I know from him is mostly anecdotal, but apart from some slurs he mostly did long weird God and CIA unhinged posts, but not active hate edgelord stuff like what I see from this guy.
White paper on recent UK reform of the Gambling Act for the digital age.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/high-stakes-gambl...
The pharmaceutical cartels profited - and hospitals, doctors, and insurance companies as well, if not quite as dramatically.
I can name your polynomial
Axel Springer and KKR in talks to break up media empire
terracotta army?
I don't mind the new outlook. The meeting notifications are far less intrusive. You can update a meeting without spamming new emails. The simplified views do 95%of what I use it for. The calendar view is easier to read.

Everyone will hate this but whatever, internal company email is dead. It causes more issues than solutions. Phishing, spam, malware, etc. It's legacy tech.

The new outlook client is linking it with more modern medium specific communication such as loop, teams, sharepoint online, one drive etc.
They could live stream the local radio for the soundtrack.
My TV is a Raspberry 3B+ with a TV Hat and TVHeadend on my Android phone and tablets. My disconnected LG smart TV sits in a corner connected to an old PlayStation. I can use it to watch movies with friends if I want to: I connect to it either my laptop or my tablet with a HDMI cable.

BTW: why a smart TV? Because for only an extra 50 Euro I got a much better screen (subjective assessment) than the best dumb TV on sale when I went shopping for them years ago.
Lotto Quebec runs both lottery ads and gambling-can-ruin-your-life ads. The German ads have nothing on those.
Here's the paper:

https://arxiv.org/html/2409.06203v1
#ConicalRefiner #PaperMachineEquipment
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https://www.flutingpapermachine.com/solution/corrugated-pape...
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Realistically?

Because I'm too risk averse to try high risk and high reward pursuits like starting my own company, or doing moonshot projects. Imagine the aversion people have to starting projects from scratch in a stack that they don't know and apply that to bookkeeping, laws and regulations, billing, marketing and other aspects that aren't focused purely on code.

I'm also the kind of person that doesn't want to sell snake oil by being a charming salesman, in contrast to the droves of borderline-scammers out there making projects to extract money from people who don't know any better (also applies even to many early access games, many of the crypto projects, the various lifestyle gurus etc.), in addition to knowing that many of the things I could built have already been built by others and built well.

At the same time, I'm not brilliant enough (e.g. an outlier) to have breakthrough successes and not focused enough to achieve greater success through sheer effort, which would make me sacrifice my health, time and relationships. Having a stable 9-5 where I still do good work might be better in that way rather than working 80 hour weeks for a company that might still go under in the end, survivorship bias in regards to success stories should probably be kept in memory.

In other words, I wasn't lucky enough to born with great inheritance or to be at the right place in the right time and other forms of success do somewhat elude me for now. Not that having employment, health, quality of life and good relationships isn't success in of itself, just not the kind that people glorify and chase.

That said, in regards to most things, people who are good at a craft have failed more times than others have even tried. Unless they're in a regulated sector, then they might just be in jail.

I will say that it's still immensely cool to see when the stars align and people who are smart and hard working enough end up in the right place at the right time and we get awesome stuff like entire industries starting up (e.g. how VR is getting more mainstream, to some degree the whole LLM thing, the rise of ARM processors etc., advances in graphics with the likes of Unreal Engine, programming languages like Go filling in all sorts of niches, people getting up and making engines like Godot; not that all of it is focused on money, but it's still cool). Neither someone's innate abilities, nor hard work, nor luck should be discounted.
You do know that lotto is state run, and all profit that isn’t redistributed to players is given to charity (mostly deutsche sporthilfe, who fund a lot of sports who would otherwise have trouble running).

Lotto and sports betting in its modern incarnation are very different.

Lotto was created so that people’s desire for gambling is diverted towards charity.
We're all tired of it, but to ignore it is to be unemployed.
If we were all Einsteins doing research, we wouldn't improve our lives 9999999x, instead we'd all die of hunger in a few days.

Einstein's work was very important, and benefitted us all greatly, but it was only enabled by countless others doing less glamorous, less rewarding work.
Governments make tons of money on gambling/lotteries. So they keep it running. This shows how much they don't care about making positive impact to people's lives.
Is there an online calculator to help you find the optimal combination of # of drives, raid level, and block size?

For example, I'm interested in setting up a new RAID-Z2 pool of disks and would like to minimize noise and number of writes. Should I use 4 drives or 6? Also, what would be the optimal block size(es) in this scenario?
You’d get flewced pretty quickly in any modding community.
I'm not sure if i understand what you are saying correctly, but generally hashing the same data with multiple different Merkle–Damgård hash functions is not anywhere as secure as you might naively expect.
This type of thinking can strike as post-hoc rationalization.

the US need a navy to have a presence in the middle east , and Asia. We are down to the bones for force projection and to secure our own shipping. There is no 'less Naval dependent' way to police the worlds waters - the alternative is to give up.

Which is fine, the USA has been struggling with naval force projection for some time.
Same thing is happening in India. For a poor country like India, Sports betting app that shows advertisements that you can make this much money should be banned.

It is literally taking money from the poorest and most gullible Indians to the owners.
I think researching a guest for an interview is more about understanding what they are doing and trying to convey, less about digging into obscure facts. Obscure facts may be interesting, but not when it's 100% of the interview.

His newer videos have shifted towards this "adorable weirdo" persona, but he used to be really tactless and I am sure he knew what he was doing.
If it has any smart features at all, you can be pretty sure that it's spying on you in all sorts of ways.
80% optimised charging, 100% battery life. iPhone 15 Pro, manufactred - September 2023, first use - November 2023.
There's also "you said that the average is X. But this one specific datapoint is not X!!! How do you explain that???"

I don't see that one much on HN, but it's rife on Twitter.
It was already dropping a lot by the time most places implemented smoking bans, though I think it certainly helped push rates even further down.
Even if you use the 80% limit how you use the device is what really matters, for example if you leave the phone a lot exposed to the sun on your car that will kill the battery fast regardless of how you charge it.

Heat is the main culprit.
> I wouldn’t say OpenAI is even among the most greedy companies in the space.

Sure, that's unchecked capitalism for you, but it's not a compelling reason for giving them a pass or looking the other way.
As an aside its really interesting how the human brain can so easily read an AI essay and realize its AI. You would think that with the vast corpus these models were trained on there would be a more human sounding voice.

Maybe it's overfitting or maybe just the way models work under the hood but any time I see AI written stuff on twitter, reddit, linkedin its so obvious its almost disgusting.

I guess its just the brain being good at pattern matching, but it's crazy how fast we have adapted to recognize this.
My theory would be that the Jr probably generated the code with o1 in the first place. The buggy, nonsensical crap I've seen that thing generate boggles the mind.
Looking for signs in the tealeaves is risky though. For example, my doctors sometimes sends me text messages saying something like "Hello enigmaflare, your XYZ Medical Center invoice for $83.00 is due in 7 days. Please pay to 01-2345-67890123-00." It's not using salesman tactics, but a scammer could replicate that and collect the money himself.

Another example I experienced was a door-to-door salesman who say your home has been identified by the government to be eligible for a heavily discounted air conditioner installation. Our company is authorized to provide that. There's limited funding available so buy quick to avoid missing out. So it ticks all your boxes but it wasn't a scam and I did buy it and it really was a great deal. BUT I didn't trust a word the salesman said. I checked with the government myself, found their company from the list of authorized installers, and called them back through that channel to order it. That's that part people keep getting wrong. They don't go through another channel to re-contact them.
Well, obviously it doesn't have parentheses. It's not like this is the only instance where adding parentheses affects the end result.

You could write even more complex declarators (but don't have to), but that would not prove that some other syntax is inherently intuitive. Case in point, I cannot parse the Go syntax as I do not know Go.

In my experience pointers to arrays are rather uncommon and I'm not sure that I've ever written a function returning one, having even less of a need for a pointer to such. (Thus out of all these, only your first example is somewhat common in practice.)
We did have it in the States; it just wasn't ever very broadly adopted.

Circa 1992, a friend's house had a then-fancy Zenith TV that supported Teletext, which was unusual at the time. IIRC it worked with exactly one cable channel in our town, TBS, and it had a fair variety of news and information. I enjoyed playing around with it when I visited, much to my friend's bemusement.

Eventually, TVs with Teletext (and closed captioning) became much more common, but by then the ship had sailed. The service was NLA by the time we had a TV with these capabilities in our own home.
In classic Outlook, I really hate the animated lagging cursor when composing. Seems like it can't be disabled any more? (Same with Excel)

Maybe this is to prepare us for slower new Outlook?
I know this is anecdata but many Outlook users I spoke with few years ago was wanting this feature to happen. And given how rampant cryptolockers were in those organisations, they're probably joyful about it not being stored locally.
Most Amazon workers considering job hunting due to 5-day in-office policy
Lua is written in C89, perhaps a good example of that.
I got rid of my bicycle for this reason. I simply walk everywhere. Much less stressful and I enjoy it.

Anything under a few kilometers I just walk it . Anything over requires a bit of planning. My commute these days is a bit short unfortunately but I compensate by taking detours. Last year it was 5km and I could do it in about 45 minutes (I walk at a decent pace). I'm not a maniac about it; I'll take public transport if it gets too nasty. And in the summer, walking is kind of a sweaty business so I walk a bit less. But overall, I don't use public transport a lot. A few times per month maybe.
4 years into a 12 Pro Max with zero optimization. Been at 84% for a while now.

Locking myself to 80% is silly since I'd much prefer that 20% as a buffer in important situations instead of having an extra 1% in some theoretical point 5 years in the future. I've been at 2-3% remaining while trying to find a hotel in a new city/country and starting the day with a 100% charge has saved my ass countless times.
That time never existed, there were plenty of subgroups inside Microsoft that wanted to make useful software.

Plenty of people still in there that do.

But it's never been a general policicy of Microsoft that turned into actual culture and actions.

Because that would require a general vision in that direction, which would imply we would never have one version out of two of Windows (Me, Vista, 8, 11...) that looks like a prototype.

We would not have the mess of UI with thousands of toolkits, the infamous env var windows staying unusable for decades, the right click "more option" in W11 that changes theme mid-flight.

We wouldn't have had the awful windows media player that couldn't read anything without a pack of spyware installed in the 90'. Or IE6 being frozen into obsolescence. Or ads in the start menu.

Teams file sharing and chat would not suck. Word would not destroy your layout because you move an image on pixel on the left. Access wouldn't produce the most corruptible db ever. The File explorer would not start in 7 seconds randomly in some machines (see last twitter trend), and its search would actually be useful.

The wizard to fix your internet issues would have solved a problem at least once. MS would not allow tons of crapware to be installed by 3rd party. Python in the windows store would not have been made non standard.

We wouldn't have to wait 2020 to have an upgrade to the terminal. The registry would be self documenting. Skype wouldn't have been destroyed after being bought. You would be able to get to your user directory easily out of the box. Cortana would be useful. Surface wouldn't run to crawl because they would be optimized for their hardware.

I can continue like that for hours.

Because those are not subtle issues. There are other teams at Microsoft that would never let that happen.

The priority of MS is to conquer the market. At some points it meant being a bully. Now it's to pretend to be FOSS BFF. It's always been about getting devs on the platforms, and business on the hook.

But at no point in MS history has been ever been, when you at the actual results, making good software.

Good software like .Net, AoE 2 or Excel were made by the few of their accidentally amazing team.
I am tired and hungry…

The thing I’m tired of is elites stealing everything under the sun to feed these models. So funny that copyright is important when it protects elites but not when a billion thefts are committed by LLM folks. Poor incentives for creators to create stuff if it just gets stolen and replicated by AI.

I’m hungry for more lawsuits. The biggest theft in human history by these gang of thieves should be held to account. I want a waterfall of lawsuits to take back what’s been stolen. It’s in the public’s interest to see this happen.
grazily and remotejobsly
What's the deal with trying so hard to defend the advertising of an objectively harmful industry?

I think a good parallel here is Tobacco advertising. Smoking is harmful in every way, therefore I don't see any reason why advertising it to a broad audience (which will inadvertently also include children) is something we should allow.

What's the net benefit of allowing such advertising? I don't see it. Yo could argue something about rights to free speech or some variation, but societies still have a responsibility to look out for the health of their people, no?
It runs in the browser to allow for more options regarding interoperability. When Outlook is a web app and Teams is a web app you can throw components from one into the other anywhere on the screen. It also saves a lot of money building apps this way. This is the case for all apps built by Microsoft and the trend is not going to change.

In Microsoft, all product managers care about is shipping more features, because that's the only way they can move their career in the company forward. Do yourself a favor and just don't use Outlook for personal stuff. Microsoft has never aimed to make a good impression on the consumer market. They only care for enterprise and that's how they build all of their software.
Can it yet do proper quoting?
I think WPE committed to contributing 40h per week of work on WordPress. I'm not clear if they didn't fulfill their commitment or Matt thinks that is not enough.
> fishy subject.

Get outta here with that specist language. It's 2024 ffs. Not all fish.
It's the RLHF training to make them squeaky clean and preternaturally helpful. Pretty sure without those filters and with the right fine-tuning you could have it reliably clone any writing style.
Am quite inclined to agree
>Maybe it's overfitting or maybe just the way models work under the hood

It feels more like averaging or finding the median to me. The writing style is just very unobtrusive. Like the average TOEFL/GRE/SAT essay style.

Maybe that's just what most of the material looks like.
I enabled the 80% charge limit from day one (September 2023) and after 159 cycles it is still at 100% maximum capacity.

I think it is also crucial to not allow deep discharge of the battery too frequently. Ideally keep the battery charge in the range of 40-80%. My usage is relatively low so I am mostly within that range.

Infrequently I have charged to 100% for longer days away from home. Enabling low power mode helps to prolong battery life on these occasions too.
So, gambling can ruin lives, sure, but the only reason lives are ruined is that money is so essential to everything in life. The problem isn't that our brains love to take risks and get immense pleasure from winning against the odds, it's that society is set up so that we can easily destroy our lives by doing otherwise harmless things that feel good. It very much reminds me of that Iain Banks quote: "Money implies poverty."

The sooner we get rid of money, the sooner people will just bet their imaginary internet points on internet gambling instead of their real life right-to-live-points, and everybody will be better off.
Depends on which point of your career. With 18 years of experience, consulting for tech companies, I can afford to be tired of AI. I don't get paid to write boilerplate code, and avoiding anyone knocking at the door with yet another great AI-powered idea makes commercial sense, just like I have ignored everyone wanting to build the next blockchain product 5 years ago, with no major loss of income.

Also, running a bootstrapped business, I have bigger fishes to fry than playing mentor to Copilot to write a React component or generating bullshit copy for my website.

I'm not sure we need more FUD saying that the choice is between AI or unemployment.
As someone who hires for this work, I'm extremely dubious about hiring someone who is actively looking for a functional programming job. I've been burned before by PhD-type people trying to implement some theoretical thing rather than getting any work done. In the Joel Spolsky nomenclature, smart but doesn't get stuff done.
Looks like that guy got lost a little in his life, I'm asking myself if he can be helped somehow? And if so then how?
Uh, how? Unless somehow it stays around even though you've left the network (which I didn't think happens, but I could be wrong), this lasts just as long as the mDNS attacking server is on the network?

This to me feels like the author missed why the system was set up the way it was, and therefore doesn't present useful solutions.
> Orchid ensures your system is always up-to-date without interrupting your workflow. With smart updates that check only when your device is idle, you get the latest features

The screenshot doesn't seem to show a toggle to turn on/off the automatic updates, not sure if that's because you can't, or the screenshot is just a mock up?

I'm probably not alone in that I stop updating my OS and related software while working on things with deadlines, as the risk of breakage tends to be non-zero, and surely a new OS today has to at least allow people the choice for automatic updates?
The MSFT P/E ratio went up from around 10 in 2010 to 37 now. Presumably due to hype strategies like Azure and AI.

Why do businesses tolerate the spying and data collection? Is there no industrial espionage? A German university advised researchers not to use Skype due to the possibility of research theft.

It's a pretty dangerous game that MSFT is playing here. What goes up can come down.
>If you had truly bought the game

I think this is the point. We want to truly buy with a Buy action, and license or subscribe with License and Subscribe actions. I'm sure people would be mad even if a Licensed or Subscribed item would cease to work, but it's more honest, than saying that someone Bought something.
I love free book browsing and hosting. This looks like a good project.
What a very strange repo.
> you can throw components from one into the other anywhere on the screen.

Wasn't this office OLE from the 90s? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Object_Linking_and_Embedding
I thought this was a long established knowledge in neuroscience, basically "diffused thinking". Is this specifically about walking, as a preferred method to get the best out of diffused thinking mode?
That's a hate of mine too I use the keyboard quite a bit in Outlook. No shortcuts in (new).
> but important to note.

Not sure why. Terry Davis made incredible software and his disability made it more exceptional. Being a weirdo doesn't make code better or worse. I wouldn't want my kids going to a school run by this person, but who cares about who writes interesting code.
How does operating expenses like salaries and bonuses look like? 10k bonus for every life ruined? I'm always worried about cronyism and corruption with this kind of monopolies.

When I was a cashier the state owned lottery monopoly had a training session for us on how to operate the lottery machines, and it was really dystopian how most of the time was spent on encouraging us to make upsells with sales pitches and being happy about gambling.
Money is not the issue here. If something different, call it 'X', had a similar impact on life, then people would gable with 'X'.
Why not get rid of unhappiness while you're at it? Just do it man, I'm sure you can figure out how.
I’m at 88% on an iPhone 14 purchased Nov 2022
>> This person lives differently to me.

Yup. The rich are different. They have more money.
This is so sad to hear...
I had quite a few episodes of "Johnny Sokko and his flying robot" recorded on VHS and also of one interesting TV series about a group of children living all by themselves in an old caravan (the opening credits shows them jumping through a hole in a fence). My mom gave them all away long back but even now I miss them :(
Efficient HTML Canvas Rendering with Tree Based Scene Graphs
One only need to go to the dirtier corners of the llm forums to find some _very_ interesting voices there.

To quote someone from a tor bb board: my chat history is illegal in 142 countries and carries the death penalty in 9.
Here is a proper explanation in order to exorcise this unholy comment.

https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/TooAwesomeToUse
Just like when you buy a book you’re allowed to photocopy it and sell the copies?