skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> its scaling keeps going with no end in sight.

Not only are we within eyesight of the end, we're more or less there. o1 isn't just scaling up parameter count 10x again and making GPT-5, because that's not really an effective approach at this point in the exponential curve of parameter count and model performance.

I agree with the broader point: I'm not sure it isn't consistent with current neuroscience that our brains aren't doing anything more than predicting next inputs in a broadly similar way, and any categorical distinction between AI and human intelligence seems quite challenging.

I disagree that we can draw a line from scaling current transformer models to AGI, however. A model that is great for communicating with people in natural language may not be the best for deep reasoning, abstraction, unified creative visions over long-form generations, motor control, planning, etc. The history of computer science is littered with simple extrapolations from existing technology that completely missed the need for a paradigm shift.
That’s not the impression I get from his iPhone 16/Pro review: https://youtu.be/MRtg6A1f2Ko

His summary is don’t buy unless your phone is on its last legs or older than the 13. Also knocks the 60hz screen on the 16.

> People don't want reviewers that detract from the hardware they own, they want blinded optimists who will say anything is good for you.

Frankly, I’m tired of people being so pessimistic. For instance Star Wars Outlaws was a lot of fun but the video gaming YouTube community was down on it before it even launched. Some people have unrealistic expectations.
Doesn't a conviction imply that it is beyond reasonable doubt?
Currently there is another OpenAI story on the front page about about Mira Murati leaving [1], and a couple of comments there are also talking about this news of OpenAI removing non-profit control [2] [3].

I tend to agree that this is the bigger story and more worthy of being on the front page, but HN tends to enjoy a bit of celebrity gossip so not surprising to me that the news of the CTO leaving would get more traction.

I don't think it's any sort of conspiracy if that's what you're implying.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41651038

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41653013

[3] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41651601
You are incorrect about the original iPhone. It was marginally thicker but it had smaller width and height than current iPhones.
What I have to say may come across as harsh but I only intend it to be helpful.

If you invested in projects, and the investments did not pay off, I see three likely explanations.

First, maybe your investment function is miscalibrated.

Second, maybe your investment function is well calibrated but your time horizon is too long.

Third, maybe you are unlucky.

I have no insights into what happened in your case, I don't even know what field your are in.

But, case 1 suggests you may be unsuccessful in academia.

Case 2 suggests possible success after adjustment to more immediate reward.

Case three suggests possible success after a difficult recovery process and further investments.

None are ideal paths but cases 2 and 3 suggest possible recovery strategies if you are deeply committed to academia. The optimality of such an approach is highly subjective.

You likely should not feel like academia is the only available path, if you do that is a red flag that something is amiss.
"Intelligence" is a poorly defined term prone to arguments about semantics and goalpost shifting.

I think it's more productive to think about AI in terms of "effectiveness" or "capability". If you ask it, "what is the capital of France?", and it replies "Paris" - it doesn't matter whether it is intelligent or not, it is effective/capable at identifying the capital of France.

Same goes for producing an image, writing SQL code that works, automating some % of intellectual labor, giving medical advice, solving an equation, piloting a drone, building and managing a profitable company. It is capable of various things to various degrees. If these capabilities are enough to make money, create risks, change the world in some significant way - that is the part that matters.

Whether we call it "intelligence" or "probabilistically generaring syllables" is not important.
I do not think it is a safe assumption that everyone who thinks those glasses are a creepy invasion of privacy are exactly the people who you will never see again.
> The company that looks most poised to capitalize on a product like this is still Apple.

It's also possible they don't ever put out an offering in this form factor. They never released a dual screen phone. They never released a touchscreen laptop. This might be one of those things they just don't touch.

Also, I wonder if they'll have a tough time filling the form factor with stuff to do. The lack of apps was a huge reason the APV flopped, while Meta has a large headstart in making it possible for devs to build for their device, even those without exp in spatial dev / game dev / etc.
When a paper is published, there are usually approximately 0 people in the world who really understand it. That number includes the authors. But if the authors continue working on the same topic, they should understand it much better after a few years.

Research papers are published early in the research process. Typically when there are some interesting, likely correct, and possibly relevant results to show, but long before anyone manages to put the results in the proper context.
The problem is you're violating other people's privacy, then uploading it.
Because it's nice to see people trying things for themselves, even if they aren't novel?
Former Deputy Prime Minister of the UK, but yes, that's the one.
openwebui
one reason engineers are frustrated with daily rituals is this assumption that they are aimless creatures who need constant instructions from rational beings (product managers and such)
Hint: success is not just around the corner.
I'm not advocating that you do this tedious, thankless, unpaid job for 300 years: apparently, there's already people who actually want to, for whatever unfathomable reason, so I'm advocating that those people be given the means to do so indefinitely.
Somewhat confusingly, it appears the tokenizer vocabulary as well as the context length are both 128k tokens!
+1. Scratch indeed is very flexible environment for that (even younger) age group.

Lots of interactive ideas could be easily implemented with already available assets (sprites, backgrounds, sounds), customized too. It's more tooled for platformers. There are many nice tutorials (loadable projects). Tons of books (we used 'Super skills. How to code').

The other day this 8yo even had to face first ever concurrency bug - the race condition. Alas there are no ready mutexes as such in Scratch, but we found a way to synchronize the execution.

At times I did feel that it'd be faster to just type the code, but the kid actually felt more in control doing all the needed coding with touch/mouse.

Also the projects/games are shareable, so friends can load that too.
Yes, that guy. Was he actually pm? Or just opposition leader? Either way, him.
The author is Matt Mullenweg, co-founder of WordPress!
My wife and I signed. It was exhausting. I did a token effort at looking at the contract and found the recension clause they had to include as required by law. When I asked about it, the way everyone else froze in that moment and then tried to downplay it stuck in my mind, but we were too exhausted and finished the paperwork.

Immediately upon walking out and got to a local restaurant, my wife and I looked at each other and knew we made a mistake. We ended up looking up how to give notice for the recension and was able to execute it (even though their office was closed for the weekend; it was a good thing I've written and executed business contracts before). (For those curious, you state that you are giving notice of recension for the new property; and then you send it in at least three different ways in accordance to the contract, and get paper trail for each of those ways to prove that you sent them).

It's how I knew about how people get trapped into this through property laws that normally protect property owners.

Since then, I've let myself get impolite at timeshare salesmen. The high pressure sales start at those tables, even before you get invited for the pitch. They abuse the tendency for civil people to be polite and redirect civility to continue the pitch. (And the slickest of them will guilt trip you on being nasty to explain yourself ... at which they can keep pitching ...)
Why? The biggest complaint about the smartphone, a world-changing device, is that it keeps people from being present in the world around them. If you can remove that biggest complaint, huge improvement, right?
Paramotorists soar across remote Peru desert to collect threatened plants
I don't think it follows. If someone is convicted of 15 counts of felony tax evasion, that doesn't mean they're guilty of any other crime they're accused of (including a 16th count of tax evasion—but set that aside). Especially not murder. You need more information other than their rap sheet to conclude someone is guilty.
Show HN: I used AI to write a surrealdb migration script
The script can be viewed here: http://pastie.org/p/5i9DLdZ2J9543NZjb4vzSl

I'd like to release it as a binary module on npm. But first I'm wondering what else I should add to it.

Right now it supports `create :table_name "comment here"` and `up` and `down` to run the migrations.
Indeed, and it’s clearly stated in the article:

> Safemode is the satellite equivalent of a blue screen of death.

It’s about avoiding safemode, and more generally about the end-to-end QA/testing process for satellites before they’re sent up into orbit. It’s very clearly not about actual Windows BSODs, it’s just written in a tongue-in-cheek style. Those commenting about “wtf windows on a spacecraft” clearly didn’t read the article, just read the title.

FWIW I found the writing style engaging and the content interesting. I guess the title is a little click-bait-y, but not in a way that I minded much, and I probably wouldn’t have read an article titled “How to avoid safemode on a satellite.” It’s a fine line, but titles DO have to draw you in, otherwise you’ll never read the article.

Re: the article itself, I did think it was pretty wild that customers have to be informed of every incident where a satellite flips into safemode in TESTING! In real operations, sure, but in testing, that’s wild. Feels like having to report bugs caught in my local dev environment, that were never deployed to prod.
Ilya was the Google researcher..
Even without intentionally biasing the model, without knowing the biases that exist in the training data, they're just biased black boxes that come with the overhead of figuring out how it's biased.

All data is biased, there's no avoiding that fact.
As in: "Only God can administer life and death, so stop those abortions or we'll set on fire your clinic and kill the doctors".
Psychology can explain completely that behavior, however this is not the right place for such discussions.
Show HN: Autoname – Generate brand names with AI
Bronze Age Lactobacillus genomes reveal origins of kefir cheese
Here is an example as to why: $0 to buy, maint fee $1076

https://www.redweek.com/posting/R1228603

The relationship is perverse. You cannot simply leave, so there is zero reason for the timeshare company not to bleed you dry in fees. You can sell your share for $0 or even pay someone to take it, but the management company still gets their due. They are not like a landlord who would ever have to contend with an empty unit if they get too uppity.
Their (Ilya and Mira) perspective on anything is so far remote from your (and my) perspectives that trying to understand their personal feelings behind their resignation is an enterprise doomed to failure.
If that's all you're trying to point out, then I agree and think that goes without saying. I'm not denigrating skilled labor. I think more people should go into it because it's a lucrative and high demand career.

In addition to what you said, it is also true that the cost of skilled labor is quite high relative to historic benchmarks.

Kye seems to think that smart and hard-working young people can't enter these fields due to various barriers, and I want to explore what those barriers are.

Do you have any thoughts to bring on the topic. Kye seems to think established companies are limiting training to drive up prices.

I tend to agree, but think there is more. I agree because my wife tried to break into being an electrician union because it starts at 100k salary per year, but ran into issues with limited spots used to drive up prices

I'm more inclined to think it is discovery is a big part of the problem for people trying to start small business. If you aren't a national chain or in the first 2 pages of yelp, you will have trouble finding customers, even if you are smart and talented.

Do you have anything to add in good faith?
This article is almost unbelievable. This whole thing seems like an incredibly complex racket comparable to cryptocurrency securities fraud.
I'm also building a canvas app these days. Thank you very much for sharing the code. I'm very curious to know your tricks to make the canvas efficient.

for my project, I use virtualization/windowing to only draw what's visible. but mine doesn't draw complex widgets like a code editor.

I will dig the code to find out.
How long before a frog grows wings and quits bumping its ass when it hops? Dunno, I’ll cross that bridge when it is built, as I'm dealing with TVs as they are built today.

But, yeah, someone always brings up Ethernet-over-HDMI. Show me one, just one implementation, one report of a found implementation, something that demonstrates that anyone even remembers that HEC exists, and…nah, I’ll still dismiss the idea. You think an Apple TV is going to let some random device hijack its network connection, or use it as a passthrough for $DEITY knows what?
Tree-ring data show how the jet stream shaped weather in Europe for centuries
Money buys recovery from failure, which is a double-edged sword. It doesn't buy the ability to learn the right lessons, and eventually the money teaches that failure doesn't really matter, because there's always another chance to get it right.

Which is why it is probably better to be just constrained enough financially that your first attempt really matters to your bottom line, but have enough to be able to pull it off.
I see what you mean, but at the same time there is a value in this being discussed on its own. The celebrity gossip story is currently covering up the actual important news. (Yeah, I'll go with with that conspiracy theory, also known as a classic PR move.)
I've been looking to start a blog to replace my dying social media accounts. Definitely not about to consider WordPress if one guy's psychotic episode can affect it like this.
The American public was willing to pay for the Apollo project because the Soviet Union was embarrassing us, right?

I hear China is kicking our asses at space stuff. Don’t look it up, there’s no time to check me on that, we need to hurray and load up the dump truck with money for NASA before China takes over Europa.
You can be not gullible, and they will find some way to get at you. Like to argue? They will jujutsu that. Think you are too intelligent to fall for this? They'll use that. If you find a trick that works, they learn and adapt.

Best way is to walk away. Easier said than done for a lot of people.

Robert Greene has a book about this. In one of the examples, he talked about a scammer trying to scam Henry Ford. Ford had no imagination. The scammer failed. Most people are not a Henry Ford.
They sell hardware that prompts privacy concerns?

Many conversations you will have when you wear smart glasses (I wear meta's ray bans often since October) is people's concerns..oh u are filming me and I don't know ..stuff to that extent.
The benefit of a mobile phone was extremely obvious to everyone as soon as you said what it was.

I've been reading about AR for years and I still have no idea how, if at all, I would use it. Never really come across a use case that's compelling for me. Getting WhatsApp messages without taking my phone out of my pocket feels like the opposite to the direction I'd like to move in.
idk why that would be google's concern or how anyone but you could answer. what are you asking for?
> I think I've called it a smoking crater where ten billion dollars used to be.

It’s less of a waste of money if it paints Facebook as a technology leader and distracts lawmakers, and helps give the company mind space among the tech press.

In fact the metaverse may have started out as DC strategy [1].

Facebook Inc. is old and boring, catering to a predominantly older cohort and becoming “Big Social” by buying up anything promising (Instagram, WhatsApp). But Meta Inc. is a scrappy pioneer at the forefront of American tech that’s creating the future™. Be harsh with them at your peril, is the implicit message to lawmakers.

If you look at it as a PR / Corporate defense strategy, a billion is actually cheap.

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2021/09/24/faceboo...
Sam Altman's response to Mira leaving OpenAI
It's actually the opposite. People don't really take no for an answer anymore, and that's doubly true of anyone trying to sell you stuff, so instead of saying "no/ will not", we try to justify why we "cannot/are physically unable to" to stop the onslaught.

Like canceling cable, home internet. It's not that we're using something else, not using it at all, don't want it. It's "we're moving/going to jail for 5 years/dying Thursday and thus cannot continue using this service"

I had a door to door salesman ask if I was racist after I told him I wasn't interested, as if to try to pressure me into proving I wasn't a racist by listening to his pitch/buying into whatever he was selling. It's gotten to the point where I have a video door bell so know when I can skip it all by not answering//pretending I'm not home.
Archaeologists Solve the Mystery of a Lead Coffin Beneath Notre-Dame
Ebay is full of $1 timeshares. There’s even a website with 17,000 timeshares for a dollar called sellmytimesharenow.com
> Rather, the argument is that the presence of substantial forensic evidence at the crime scene that explicitly does not match the accused introduces significant reasonable doubt.

Right, and this argument is just obviously wrong. The existence of forensic evidence which doesn't match the accused just proves that people other than the accused were in the victim's house at some point. It doesn't in any way contradict the hypothesis that the accused was also there.

It would be a different story if there were something like a bloody fingerprint, or other forensic evidence which could be presumed to come from only the real perpetrator. But there wasn't. (Although I can understand if you got the impression that there was from the way people talk about this case!)
Much like most trades above a negligible threshold, there are too many rules in place for it to be a free market (which would allow an equilibrium to occur).

Perhaps AirBnB should focus on timeshares instead?
I’ve seen the same “civility trap” with other salesmen. It’s truely dispicable.
Well, the announcement is necessary because Snap has a similar product that's out now, and ostensibly Google is making one also. Apple probably will be 2-3 years behind perfecting their version, as is their MO.

It also invigorates current devs for Quest by showing them what their apps could run on in the future
The Verge article said silicon carbide was too expensive and they were moving away from it.
I don’t even like deck builders and STS hooked me for solid 30hrs
I mostly agree that "willingly resigns to pursue other passions" is unlikely however "quit in frustration over $working_conditions" is completely plausible. Those could be anything from disagreeing with some strategy or thinking your boss is too much of a jerk to work with over your alternative options.
"...and then he had the nerve to tell me to keep my voice down!! CAN YOU BELIEVE IT?!?! HAHAHAHAHA"

Some people act like the rest of us are NPCs.
It's crazy how Apple is behind in this space. Smart AR glasses were conceptualized as early as the 1990s in movies like Mission Impossible (1996) and we had consumer-ready device (Google Glass) roughly 11 years ago. Yet, Apple wants to push out a "fresh" phone every year with hogwash new features.
Who don't actually do the work, and likely would not be able execute it no matter how hard they tried.

In that vein, I've sometimes wondered if this projected insinuation (of the developers' myopic tendencies and general haplessness in this regard), far from being an untended byproduct -- is in fact the whole point of Scrum.
Newbie question, what size model would be needed to have a 10x software engineer skills and no knowledge of the human kind (ie, no need to know how to make a pizza or sequence your DNA). Is there such a model?
So could this finally be the year of Linux on the Moon? ;-)
Expensive, ugly vaporware with poor specs from Facebook makes you think Apple is behind in this space?
I don't think this is right.

Usually the problem is much simpler with small models: they have less factual information, period.

So they'll do great at manipulating text, like extraction and summarization... but they'll get factual questions wrong.

And to add to the concern above, the more coherent the smaller models are, the more likely they very competently tell you wrong information. Without the usual telltale degraded output of a smaller model it might be harder to pick out the inaccuracies.
The goal is to make a prediction about the boundaries or interiors of black holes that can be tested. It’s based on the common sense belief that information is conserved even if it reaches the center of a black hole.
>If you were trying to pick a realistic scapegoat he would have been a great candidate.

It also helps if the scapegoat had the victims property in his car.
Yes, the fractional pressure change is greatest near the surface, so shallow water is the most dangerous region for lung damage if you hold your breath on ascent.
No, not yet. And such LLM wouldn't speak back in English or French without some "knowledge of the human kind" as you put it.
https://get.big-agi.com/
Nice one. Thank you .. it looks like ChatGPT (not that there’s anything wrong with that)
Wow, great work and kudos for making the source available! I'll have to give this a try.
It's a Koolaid type of statement that says Meta wants to sell you an information overload filter that they get to control, not the customer.
Well a flying frog exists: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flying_frog so maybe soon?

To be clear, I wasn’t criticising your approach, but the companies are so greedy for your data that I fear they will resort to these methods.
https://gwern.net/fiction/clippy

TL;DR spoiler from someone else is: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a5e9arCnbDac9Doig/it-looks-l...
ClamAV is open source
I mean, I certainly do. People with airpids look incredibly goofy.
I saw that you mention https://github.com/simonw/llm/. Hadn't seen this before. What is its purpose? And why not use ollama instead?
Espadarte (1558): Evidence of Early Portuguese Trade in Porcelain via Africa