> Meanwhile, in the real world, I've found that I haven't written a line of code in weeks. Just paragraphs of text that specify what I want and then guidance through and around pitfalls in a simple iterative loop of useful working code.

Comment on first principles:

Following the dictum that you can't prove the absence of bugs, only their presence, the idea of what constitutes "working code" deserves much more respect.

From an engineering perspective, either you understand the implementation or you don't. There's no meaning to iteratively loop of producing working code.

Stepwise refinement is a design process under the assumption that each step is understood in a process of exploration of the matching of a solution to a problem. The steps are the refinement of definition of a problem, to which is applied an understanding of how to compute a solution. The meaning of working code is in the appropriateness of the solution to the definition of the problem. Adjust either or both to unify and make sense of the matter.

The discipline of programming is rotting when the definition of working is copying code from an oracle you run it to see if it goes wrong.

The measure of works must be an engineering claim of understanding the chosen problem domain and solution. Understanding belongs to the engineer.

LLMs do not understand and cannot be relied upon to produce correct code.

If use of an LLM puts the engineer in contact with proven principles, materials and methods which he adapts to the job at hand, while the engineer maintains understanding of correctness, maybe that's a gain.

But if the engineer relies on the LLM transformer as an oracle, how does the engineer locate the needed understanding? He can't get it from the transformer: he's responsible for checking the output of the transformer!

OTOH if the engineer draws on understanding from elsewhere, what is the value of the transformer but as a catalog? As such, who has accountability for the contents of the catalog? It can't be the transformer because it can't understand. It can't be the developer of the transformer because he can't explain why the LLM produces any particular result! It has to be the user of the transformer.

So a system of production is being created whereby the engineer's going-in position is that he lacks the understanding needed to code a solution and he sees his work as integrating the output of an oracle that can't be relied upon.

The oracle is a peculiar kind of calculator with a unknown probability of generating relevant output that works at superhuman speeds, while the engineer is reduced to an operator in the position of verifying that output at human speeds.

This looks like a feedback system for risky results and slippery slope towards heretofore unknown degrees of incorrectness and margins for error.

At the same time, the only common vernacular for tracking oracle veracity is in arcane version numbers, which are believed, based on rough experimentation, to broadly categorize the hallucinatory tendencies of the oracle.

The broad trend of adoption of this sketchy tech is in the context of industry which brags about seeking disruption and distortion, regards its engineers as cost centers to be exploited as "human resources", and is managed by a specialized class of idiot savants called MBAs.

Get this incredible technology into infrastructure and in control of life sustaining systems immediately!