skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
From the abstract, the paper’s argument looks to be entirely different and reaches different conclusions than a Marxian TRPF argument. This paper claims that net profit margins have increased over the past few decades (which is certainly true at least for S&P 500 companies) and that the increase is mostly driven by lower interest expense and lower corporate taxes. If interest rates and tax rates can’t or won’t fall any further, then they won’t provide a tailwind to margins, and so corporate profits will grow much more slowly (not necessarily decline!) over the next few decades.

Marxian economists generally speak of the TRPF as a decline in return on invested capital, which doesn’t come into play in this paper at all AFAICT, but they also have a bad habit of confusing ROIC with profit margins, which is what the paper is all about.
Goal here was to build a visualization and communication tool; 3D is an essential component of that. For 2D, land use maps already exist.
On the other hand, countries with more regulated markets such as European nations, the U.K. and Commonwealth nations, and Japan and some of the East Asian Tigers might have less pollution than the United States. You get Americans importing EU baby formula because they are more restrictive about what chemical additives can go into them.

Couldn't it just be argued that free market extremism is as much folly as a pro-central planning position?
I think any kind of hard clipping approach which takes each pixel independently is going to necessarily create some significant artifacts, though as the examples here make clear, some directions of clipping work better than others. The most important part to preserve for the image to look reasonable is lightness contrast, as when it gets crunched away the image loses visible detail, and the better methods demonstrated in this post manage to save at least some lightness contrast. But all of the methods here end up blowing out / compressing away chroma contrast in some regions where it existed in the original image.

What I'd like to see someone try is do is record the relative lightness and chroma, and (adaptation/context dependent) color relationships from the original image, and then try to preserve those to the extent practical even when bringing out-of-gamut colors into gamut. This will necessarily require modifying in-gamut colors to some extent as well.

This is what good Photoshop users do when they manually adjust the color of an image from one display medium to another, but it involves some amount of careful conscious choice and skill.
My guess (not a VC) is they’ll sell ‘private’ models where safety is a priority: healthcare, government, finance, the EU…
>Their pay in the Bay Area is double tsmc in taiwan for equivalent roles in raw dollar terms but the ppp differences means your better off working for tsmc in Taiwan than intel in the Bay Area. That’s not a joke. Intel are literally incapable of attracting talent from Taiwan right now.

There's some whiplash in hearing constantly how the US is a corporate-dominated oligarchy, and then also seeing trillion-dollar industries at the forefront of the global economy constantly getting their shit rocked by a few dozen NIMBY retirees at city council meetings.
Most stock vests over time though. I can't trade it immediately, and the value may drop between when I get the grant and when I can actually sell the shares.
Until Windows starts updating in background!
I guess if they can get in early and then sell their stake to the next sucker then they’ll make back their investment plus some multiple. Seems like a Ponzi scheme of sorts. But oh well — looking forward to the HN post about what SSI inc puts out.
They’re 4-5 nodes behind Intel today, with no EUV machines let alone High NA EUV. They’re just not relevant in leading edge in the slightest.
That is called the Ken Thompson hack

In 1984, he published a paper called: Reflections on trusting trust

https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/358198.358210
Another ad company?
The argument does not hold up for me. When I think of PaaS I think of Heroku which was a breath of fresh air at the time and is a model that still works well for the initial stage of a project. Fly.io and Kubernetes may fit in the same general circle but I don't believe are comparable to a Heroku.

Agree that Fly.io is pretty terrible experience as it markets an edge case that I don't believe the vast majority of systems need. The base PaaS case is pretty magical though and abstracts away a lot of the things I honestly don't care about for the first N thousand users.
No moat
What will happen as the Titanic wreck disintegrates
Semiconductors and software have created enormous amounts of value for the companies that own them, but the Fed usually thinks in macroeconomic terms. For the macro economy, the effect of technical development on overall corporate profits is much more muted. Creative destruction destroys old industries as much as it creates new ones. For example, there's a TV show "Mad Men" about the dominance of Madison Avenue advertising firms; Google and Facebook have completely destroyed this industry. Berkshire Hathaway annual reports from the 1970s and 1980s used to say that the local newspaper for each major metro area was a natural monopoly and reliable source of corporate profits; now, this industry has been reliably commoditized by the Internet.

Of course, the creative destroyers in question would much rather focus on the "creation of value" narrative, because it avoids attracting attention (and competition or regulation) from the industries that they're about to destroy. So there are pretty significant information distortions in the popular narrative.

Interest rates and corporate taxes have the property that they affect the whole market, which makes them much more useful to the Fed. If you bought NVidia in 2022 or Apple in 1998, congrats, you made a good investing call. But if you bought the S&P 500 in 2009 and are congratulating yourself on your 600% returns over the decade, you should know that most of that is because of low interest rates, and if the low interest rate environment unwinds, so will your stock portfolio.
You can use RCU [1] to downgrade to a firmware of your choosing [2].

[1]: http://www.davisr.me/projects/rcu/

[2]: https://archive.org/download/rm110/RM110/
Very cool, great to see progress in this!
Did I misunderstand or did the author advocate a world where the only high-end chip manufacturer in the entire world is TMSC?

Just the one single company, located in a politically unstable area?

And putting aside the politics, if they become a monopoly what do you think will happen next?
The analogy I use is pro cooking vs home cooking. We mostly only have professional cooking in the world of computing. What if we created tools and environments for everyone to become a home cook?

- What types of things might a home cook compute-r create, share, and remix?

- How can individual home cook compute-rs get more agency and freedom over their programs? What would that world look like?

- What if we could incorporate all the ways we think when we compute? Our amazing skills in touching, feeling, grasping, moving, etc that we evolved

Dynamicland (as I see it) is exploring & researching what that world look like by building increasingly more powerful and capable computing environments.
Coding on an iPad is pretty nice. They have, IIRC, the better 4:3 aspect ratio. Much less awkward than a typical 16:9 laptop in portrait mode.

VSCode, I dunno. It is nice to be accessible. It seems like a poor replacement for tmux+vim, which runs happily over bog standard ssh.
Concorde was very popular with business travelers, though. 3-4 hours in the air is a lot easier to deal with than 7-8. Maybe you don't get to a formal meeting on the same day but it still frees up time in the evening to meet with local colleagues, and leaves you much more fresh for that meeting the day after.
The Ryujinx team (all? most? just the main dev?) are qlso based out of Brazil instead of the US, which probably makes it harder too.
Same. I can draw a straight line down my screen, and the drawn path deviates noticeably in certain areas, despite the pen moving in a straight path. Makes writing difficult. Have to sort of trust your hand movement, rather than watching your markings on the screen. Adjusting to the drawn marks will just lead you off slanted.
That could actually work if this LLM ai hype doesn’t die and is really actually useful
Tom Brady on the Art of Leading Teammates
US Telecom is not as far behind, but it's pretty far behind. Unfortunately, I think it largely competes with cellular networks and Starlink these day.
I think rockets are insanely simple compared to silicon. The amount of research and development it takes to build a light source (hot tin plasma[1]) is extraordinary, and fabs are also probably the most complicated manufacturing facilities in the world. Tesla struggled mightily with integrating disparate auto parts manufacturers some years ago.

SpaceX and Tesla benefited from being helmed by a crazy person (in their nascent stages), who pushed to break norms in the conventional thinking, either "rockets can't be reused/we must spend $10B on a test campaign[2] before any part leaves the ground" and "EVs aren't cool". I don't think if Musk could design a rocket engine from scratch is relevant, but the strategic design patterns of 1) reduce requirements, 2) remove unused things, 3) simplify/optimize, 4) accelerate cycle times, 5) automate. Those points aren't revolutionary, just a more expanded "go fast and break things."

The computers that came out of Silicon Valley in the late 70s-into the 80s were a disruption to the old stalwarts like IBM. Though for silicon maybe I'm just trapped in that pre-SpaceX thinking.

[1]: https://phys.org/news/2020-05-exceptional-euv-hot-tin-plasma...

[2]: https://www.planetary.org/space-policy/cost-of-sls-and-orion
It won't last, the algos ran by the billionaires will demand growth.
ESPP is completely different from stock-based compensation.
I’ve heard this and tried and didn’t notice a difference. What’s supposed to happen here? I have the Marker Plus.
Yes, I think that mobile screens will continue to be our present, but in the future! I think that touch screens are the preferred medium for computation for technology users who started using computers regularly for personal use after c. 2011. Personally, I hate the things but I can see that for people who are not technical users, the mobile phone is a natural way to compute. I know of many people who don't even own a laptop or desktop; they just use their phone for all computation
Macbook pro's are up to 128GB.
I assume this hasn't been "released" yet, but still thought I'd ask if the source code for the operating system (or "computing environment", in Dynamicland-speak) is available anywhere and also if there yet exists any DIY hardware guides for building your own to play with at my own location (far from the Oakland/Berkeley Dynamicland facility).

I believe the FAQ confirms that this is not possible at the moment:

> Where can I get Realtalk?

>> At present, Realtalk exists in Dynamicland spaces and in the spaces of our collaborators, where we can carefully grow and tend in-person communities of practice. In the short term, additional spaces will be started by people who have contributed significantly to an existing space and have internalized the culture and its values. Long term, we intend to distribute the ideas in the form of kits+games which will guide communities through building their own computing environments that they fully understand and control. Long long term, computing may be built into all infrastructure as electric light is today. This would also require an extensive network of educational support.
Aren't EMV and secure enclaves big deals?
Many of the primitive hydropower dams built a century or more ago have a production capacity which is negligible by modern standards. The two dams removed from the Elwha river here in Washington were the lowest and third-lowest producers in the state; the capacity lost by decommissioning them was utterly overwhelmed by the new wind and solar capacity added in a single year.

I don't recall precisely how much power the Klamath dams generated, but when I looked it up, though the numbers were larger, the overall situation was similar: the hydro capacity California lost was inconsequential given the growth in other renewable sources.

It's not so much that the river needs to be restored to a particular point in time as that the river needs to actually be a river and not a lake, if it is to support a river-dependent ecosystem. Water temperature, flow rate, presence of shallows, shade, woody debris, and so forth are all environmental elements which have a large effect on the viability of a habitat for keystone species like salmon. You can't just fake it with fish ladders.
Any recommendations for an iPad SSH client?
TSMC has been spending $15 - $50 billion per year for years to stay on top.

Estimates are it would take $200 - $300 billion just to catch up with them and little to no profitability for a decade while burning $10s of billions every year.

I think the federal govt is the only entity that has that kind of money.
The default is still unified diff but I see most people around me switch the diff view to split view (the side-by-side view).
CSS @property and the new style
And you're saying that other states affected by these decisions should have no recourse for judicial activism that happens in some gerrymandered area that happened to get a judge appointed. The alternative to that isn't lawlessness, it's mitigating a vulnerability in the separation of powers, and I think our eye should be toward patching that vulnerability. We live in a very different world than the one in which this system was designed
The powering ladder is unfortunately quite slow compared to the obvious vartime algorithm which is what temps these things to have a vartime algorithim in the first place, though too slow depends on the application. It doesn't help that these chips are underpowered to begin with.

Aside, for the FLT powering ladder n need needs to be prime, but it isn't when there is a cofactor, though there is a generalization that needs phi(n)... I probably shouldn't have made a comment on the issue of being curve specific since the problem is worse for sqrt().
I counted 63 display ads on this site, whereas the article contains 9 sentences. That's 7 ads per sentence of content.
The addition of infinite pages made my RM2 unusable. It's far too easy to accidentally scroll, and hugely disruptive. I checked for tuning improvements for a couple of software updates, then set it aside permanently. That such a "simple" change could doom the device made me decide to go back to real paper, in all likelihood forever.
$29b cash and about $50b in debt. They have a valid business still, but I think you're under appreciating how much of a hole they need to dig themselves out of.

Their current foundries can't just make other chips, and they certainly can't make GPUs for AI (TSMC make Intel GPUs). They are making a new foundry in Ohio, but in Intel's current state and comments they've made to the market it's not guaranteed the foundry will be built.

Intel might make it out of the hole, but it's going to get worse before it gets better. At their current trajectory their is not valid reason for the company to have 100,000 employees. I expect the recent layoffs are the first of a few.
Shelly works quite well.
Agreed it is a great demonstration, and I remember doing a similar one with an aluminum foil boat as a kid. Make a boat out of foil, put it in water, then add a few drops of dish soap behind the boat and watch it "sail."

The scientific name for this is the Marangoni effect [0].

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marangoni_effect
Intel was getting something like $20 billion from the CHIPS act - but it seems like by the time the fabs would have been ready TSMC will already have them beat to 1.4nm/a14 (also using High NA EUV). Intel has just consistently failed to execute whereas TSMC has been fairly close to schedule.
Nice analysis on competitive dynamics of semiconductor industry vs. space industry in the 2000s.

> I'm not aware of any other industries which are quite as far "behind" today as space launch systems were in 2010. But if anyone else is, please mention those industries here!

Digital payments may be in a similar situation. Visa's 2% fee may seem low but from a scale and competitive standpoint it is fairly absurd - they are making 80% gross margins on $30b of revenue to do what boils down to a few API calls and some fraud repayment. I doubt that they need to do much innovation to keep that moat either (in contrast to say Apple and their 30% cut of App Store revenues - they need to constantly stay ahead of Android and Windows).

Curious to hear your take on what other industries at least come close to the space dynamics in 2010.
If you read the literature around the Bolshevik revolution, Lenin's coup was highly criticized as un-socialist: Luxemburg, Goldman, etc.

Simple litmus test for socialism: do workers manage production completely, through direct democratic processes?
Secure Shellfish
> efficiency gains from globalization have already passed their peak

Is this true? Aren't there a ton of developing nations that have rapid debelopment that will increase efficiency of different industries as they grow?
Or we could just stop pumping up oil and gas from the ocean floor and then not make any plastics in the first place.
Just for everyone's reference, there is a rich community of third-party packages [0] ("apps") and launchers for rM and rM2, so it's possible to add on any number of sync (syncthing), encryption (gocrpytfs), epub (koreader), web browsing (netsurf), vnc (vnsee), wacom driver and more. The user get's root shell access from the beginning, and you can automate all sorts of things using systemd and standard shell utilities.

The out-of-the-box software may be a bit barebones for some power users, but you can certainly add-on the functionality that you desire.

[0]: https://toltec-dev.org/testing/
Yeah.

But like, also an ad company with no QA? Like Google is somewhat evil I think, but they are intensely competent in a way that Microsoft is not.
I think you have to distinguish dependent variables from independent.

If all variables are independent, then the number of test cases is the max of the number of (relevant) values for each variable (i.e., you can combine cases).

When a variable depends on another, you have combine them. But even then you can quantize the outcomes (i.e., which combinations result in different behaviors) and then partition the values to produce those combinations.

If you don't know if variables are dependent, you have to do some stochastic testing and find associations to investigate for causality, distinguishing confounders, etc. -- assuming that's cheaper than just running a full gamut of combinations.

Sometimes you can use grey-box indicators from the system itself to quantize behaviors, or define coverage as traversal through such indicated system states.

So, yeah: great start, but more to it...
Software Developers and Engineers Shortage in the US: The Case for Global Talent
> I say the math can’t be invalidated by observations

I meant, isn't a counter-example or proof by contradiction an invalidation by a type of observation?
> Intel also says it now is beating not just AMD but also Qualcomm in battery life. This is a disaster for Qualcomm as power efficiency has been the main selling point of its parts over Intel and AMD. It needs to show it can win because if you have used a Snapdragon X Elite device, there are still things that do not run on Arm.

Good to know that there's a viable Snapdragon equivalent for Chromebooks now. Remember, for whatever reason Qualcomm made an exclusive deal with Microsoft.
You can check the Pango's script gallery (GNOME project) [0] as showcase of their prowess to be able to render Persian/Urdu that is the most complex form of Arabic script.

Complexity comes from the fact that in Arabic, a single character can have at max 4 contextual shapes generally speaking. In Nastaleeq variation, a single character can have up 100s of contextual shapes depending upon where it appears in the word.

[0]. https://pango.gnome.org/ScriptGallery
Apple is heavily invested in the new TSMC fab in the US east of the north end of Phoenix, last i read; not sure how arranged that marriage really is, but perhaps tax incentives for TSMC facilitated Apple plans to heavily utilize it.

(trying to find linkable articles...like this

https://www.theverge.com/2022/12/6/23497417/apple-tsmc-phoen...

) ; p.s. i wonder if only i compulsively balance lisp parens
I agree, but the fact that a judge in Texas has the power to harm workers throughout the country while we wait for the government to act is a problem, and there's an asymmetry in how quickly a single judge can make a decision versus the entire apparatus of the federal government
Saving time and money with self-hosted runners on EC2 on-demand / spot instances
Hey! We're building this. It's a workflow driven automated documentation system for engineers based on your document templates. We started in energy and have expanded into engineering services. Would love your feedback.

fast-draft.ai

Please, please send me an email or dm if you are interested.
If Ilya is sincere in his belief about safe superintelligence being within reach in a decade or so, and the investors sincerely believe this as well, then the business plan is presumably to deploy the superintelligence in every field imaginable. "SSI" in pharmaceuticals alone would be worth the investment. It could cure every disease humanity has ever known, which should give it at least a $2 trillion valuation. I'm not an economist, but since the valuation is $5bn, it stands to reason that evaluators believe there is at most a 1 in 400 chance of success?
They even acted unhelpful in a bug report I tried to submit. I provided ample detail, and they continued to request other things that didn’t seem relevant. I supplied all version numbers, my account info, versions of my devices (iOS and Rm2), a screen recording, and I think it never got fully filed since I didn’t keep responding to them?

The bug was critical imo. The app wasn’t saving my work, and then would crash.

It’s supposed to be “like paper” plus sync. But it’s not like paper, and sync is unreliable. So, I use for an extremely narrow set of functions now. That is, editing my writing.
I don’t know. You’ll probably have to do your own research.
Interest rates have been all over the map over the last 60 years, including double digits in the 80s, and yet low-cost index funds have been a reliable driver of wealth that entire time.
I think the (interesting) output we see as the different UI is a side-effect of the actual research mentioned at the end of the video: how can we teach everyone how to do spatial programming, just like we teach everyone to write and calculate. The end result is not a finished product, but new knowledge about how to spread this new knowledge to everyone.
You should check out Cadillac Desert. Many dams in the US were built with no rationale beyond capturing federal infrastructure funds by local politicians and resume driven development on the part of the US Army Corps of Engineers and the Bureau of Land Reclamation.
Congrats on the launch!

I messed around with the playground onboarding...here's the output:

With Memory
Mem0.ai
I know that you like to collect records from New Orleans artists, and you enjoy running.

Relevancy: 9/10

Without Memory
I don’t have any personal information about you. I don’t have the ability to know or remember individual users. My main function is to provide information and answer questions to the best of my knowledge and training. How can I assist you today?

Relevancy: 4/10

--

It's interesting that "With Memory" is 9/10 Relevancy even though it is 100% duplication of what I had said. It feels like that would be 10/10.

It's also interesting that "Without Memory" is 4/10 — it seems to be closer to 0/10?

Curious how you thinking about calculating relevancy.